共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 31 毫秒
1.
A methodology to estimate seismic vulnerability of health facilities. Case study: Mexico City,Mexico
We developed a model to estimate seismic vulnerability of health facilities in Mexico City, Mexico, following these steps: (1) designing a theoretical framework (TF) to measure structural, non-structural, functional, and administrative-organizational vulnerabilities; (2) measurement of the vulnerability conditions of the analyzed facility by using the TF; and (3) estimation of the hospital’s seismic vulnerability by comparing the measured vulnerability to the TF’s vulnerability indicators by taking into account the optimal case. The TF was developed considering a scoring system and international standards for risk management in hospitals. The methodology establishes the degree of vulnerability of the analyzed institution as well as its interrelations with external infrastructure systems. This tool also identifies existing failures to estimate expected damage. The methodology was applied to the National Cardiology Hospital, the Children’s Hospital “Dr. Federico Gómez,” and the “Hospital de Jesus” of Mexico City. The vulnerability problems in these three hospitals are common within them, and some of the main causes of vulnerability found are: (1) the lack of technology to resistant seismic shaking; (2) the need to develop or update disaster response plans; (3) the need of periodic and proper maintenance to hospitals’ buildings; (4) the lack of sufficient financial resources for vulnerability reduction projects and autonomous operations of the hospital during 3–5 days after a disaster occurs. We believe that vulnerability in these health facilities can be reduced with low-cost procedures and that the methodology developed here will support the decision-making processes to reduce seismic risk in Mexico City. 相似文献
2.
Prioritization of disaster risk was carried out for a community in Toronto, Canada. Geographic information systems (GIS) were used for spatial analysis, including spatial overlays and clipping for extracting spatial and attribute information related to people’s vulnerability, critical infrastructure and landuse. In order to determine disaster risk, the overall community vulnerability was evaluated by combining social, economic, physical and environmental vulnerabilities. This paper uses the propane explosion incident as the case in point to demonstrate the methodology and procedure used to evaluate risk using GIS techniques. City of Toronto spatial data have been integrated with the study area to gather landuse information, identify risk zones based on the propane storage facility location and evaluate risks. Statistics Canada 2006 census data have been used for area demographics and people’s social and economic status. Vulnerability indicators were determined based on the GIS-derived spatial and attribute data for the hazard and evacuation zones followed by a quantitative spatial risk estimation and ranking. The methodology of this study, based on the risk evaluation and prioritization conducted, can be applied to future decision making in effective landuse planning and the development of risk management strategies. 相似文献
3.
The Islands of Réunion and Mayotte are French territories in the Indian Ocean and are prone to numerous and recurrent hazards
as well as to increasing vulnerabilities. This paper examines disaster risk reduction on non-sovereign islands through the
case studies of Réunion and Mayotte. The approach used is embedded in standard geographical approaches to risk analysis, focusing
on place-based vulnerability, in order to understand disaster risk and disaster risk reduction on both islands. In addition
to establishing baseline information and visiting both islands for further data, 21 semi-structured individual interviews
were completed to understand the people’s perceptions of the hazards and of their vulnerabilities. Disaster risk reduction
strategies, and attitudes from governing bodies implementing the strategies, tend to assume similar vulnerability contexts
as mainland France, despite obvious differences on the islands. Many policies are implemented in a top–down manner by those
from mainland France who have little interest in, and who do not fully take into consideration, local realities. This paper
contributes new case studies to the literature, especially in comparing two non-Anglophone non-sovereign islands, and reinforces
recommendations factoring in local contexts when addressing ‘vulnerability of a place’ to disasters. 相似文献
4.
Clare Herrick 《Geoforum》2012,43(6):1045-1056
While attention to the socio-ecological and political economic influences on health grows, there remains a paucity of political ecological analyses of health (King, 2010). At the same time, the growing burden of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) in the Global South demands new conceptual and pragmatic engagements with their modifiable risk factors. Drawing on the example of South Africa, this paper argues that alcohol consumption might usefully be theorised in political ecological lexicon as a “disaster”. To do so, it draws attention to the upstream causes of vulnerability, rather than just the downstream effects of risky drinking. This reorientation is needed for sustainable, publicly acceptable alcohol policies. To realise this, it draws on Blaikie et al.’s (1994, 2003) political ecological approach to risk, vulnerability and coping and, more specifically, applies their Pressure and Release model to explore liquor as a situated “disaster” in South Africa’s Western Cape province. In so doing, it aims to mark out an under-explored research agenda that considers alcohol as a pervasive governance dilemma. In addition, it also reflects on the model’s utility as a means of communicating findings that might reorient policy discussions on alcohol control in both South Africa and countries of the Global South. 相似文献
5.
Linda Sorg Neiler Medina Daniel Feldmeyer Arlex Sanchez Zoran Vojinovic Jörn Birkmann Alessandra Marchese 《Natural Hazards》2018,92(1):257-282
Vulnerability and disaster risk assessment has been evaluated from different perspectives with focus on global or national scale. There is a lack of methodologies on city scale, which are able to capture inner-city disparities with regard to socioeconomic aspects. Therefore, the main objective was to develop a transparent and comprehensive indicator-based approach which is flexible in terms of data availability and is not tied to a specific case study side. This research proposes two flexible methodological approaches on how to perform socioeconomic vulnerability assessment. Susceptibility, Coping and Adaptation are the main elements of a modular hierarchical structure to capture the societal sphere of vulnerability. The first method is completely based on official census data at block scale. The second method is an expansion and includes data derived from a field survey to add components of risk perception. The proposed methodologies were developed and applied in the city of Genoa (Italy). The results are displayed spatially explicit on maps. Furthermore statistical analysis, to reveal the driving forces which influence vulnerability, was performed. The census-based approach revealed that vulnerability is forced along the river by the inherent susceptibility, as well as the lack of adaptation. The two approaches can be used effectively in gaining different insights. The flexibility of the framework proved to be suitable to the objective of the research. However, the values computed in this research do not claim completeness, and the aim was to provide useful information for stakeholders in decision making process to reduce vulnerability and risk. 相似文献
6.
J. Birkmann O. D. Cardona M. L. Carreño A. H. Barbat M. Pelling S. Schneiderbauer S. Kienberger M. Keiler D. Alexander P. Zeil T. Welle 《Natural Hazards》2013,67(2):193-211
The paper deals with the development of a general as well as integrative and holistic framework to systematize and assess vulnerability, risk and adaptation. The framework is a thinking tool meant as a heuristic that outlines key factors and different dimensions that need to be addressed when assessing vulnerability in the context of natural hazards and climate change. The approach underlines that the key factors of such a common framework are related to the exposure of a society or system to a hazard or stressor, the susceptibility of the system or community exposed, and its resilience and adaptive capacity. Additionally, it underlines the necessity to consider key factors and multiple thematic dimensions when assessing vulnerability in the context of natural and socio-natural hazards. In this regard, it shows key linkages between the different concepts used within the disaster risk management (DRM) and climate change adaptation (CCA) research. Further, it helps to illustrate the strong relationships between different concepts used in DRM and CCA. The framework is also a tool for communicating complexity and stresses the need for societal change in order to reduce risk and to promote adaptation. With regard to this, the policy relevance of the framework and first results of its application are outlined. Overall, the framework presented enhances the discussion on how to frame and link vulnerability, disaster risk, risk management and adaptation concepts. 相似文献
7.
H. S. B. Duzgun M. S. Yucemen H. S. Kalaycioglu K. Celik S. Kemec K. Ertugay A. Deniz 《Natural Hazards》2011,59(2):917-947
In this paper, an integrated urban earthquake vulnerability assessment framework, which considers vulnerability of urban environment
in a holistic manner and performs the vulnerability assessment for the neighborhood scale, is proposed. The main motivation
behind this approach is the inability to implement existing vulnerability assessment methodologies for countries like Turkey,
where the required data are usually missing or inadequate for the decision-makers in prioritization their limited resources
for risk reduction in the administrative units from which they are responsible for. The methodology integrates socio-economical,
structural, coastal, ground condition, vulnerabilities (fragilities), as well as accessibility to critical services. The proposed
methodology is implemented for Eskisehir, which is one of the metropolitans of Turkey. In the implementation of the proposed
framework, geographic information system (GIS) is used. While the overall vulnerabilities obtained for neighborhoods are mapped
in GIS, the overall vulnerabilities obtained for buildings are visualized in 3D city model. The main reason behind using different
mapping and visualization tools for vulnerabilities is to provide better ways for communicating with decision-makers. The
implementation of the proposed vulnerability assessment methodology indicates that an urban area may have different vulnerability
patterns in terms of structural, socio-economical, and accessibility to critical services. When such patterns are investigated,
effective vulnerability reduction policies can be designed by the decision-makers. The proposed methodology well serves for
this purpose. 相似文献
8.
Integrated risk assessment of multi-hazards in China 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Maps of population exposure, vulnerability and risk to natural hazards are useful tools for designing and implementing disaster risk mitigation programs in China. The ranking of provinces by relative risk to natural hazards would provide a metric for prioritizing risk management strategies. Using provinces as our study unit, from the perspectives of hazard exposure, susceptibility, coping capacity and adaptive capacity, this study first constructed China’s disaster risk index for five types of major natural hazards: earthquakes, floods, droughts, low temperatures/snow and gale/hail. Then, the relative risk level at the provincial scale in China was assessed. Finally, the hotspots with the highest hazard exposure, vulnerability and risk were identified. The results showed that high exposure was a significant risk driver in China, whereas high vulnerability, especially social vulnerability, amplified the risk levels. Similar to the population exposure to disasters, the relative risk levels in the southwestern, central and northeastern regions of China were significantly higher than those in the eastern, northern and western regions. The high-risk regions or hotspots of multi-hazards were concentrated in southern China (less-developed regions), while the low-risk regions were mainly distributed in the eastern coastal areas (well-developed regions). Furthermore, a nonlinear relationship existed between the disaster risk level and poverty incidence as well as per capita GDP, demonstrating that disaster losses in middle-income areas are likely to increase if economic policies are not modified to account for the rising disaster risk. These findings further indicated that research on disaster risk should focus not only on hazards and exposure but also on the vulnerability to natural disasters. Thus, reducing vulnerability and population exposure to natural hazards would be an effective measure in mitigating the disaster risk at hotspots in China. 相似文献
9.
国内外洞穴旅游安全研究综述 总被引：3，自引：2，他引：1
安全是洞穴旅游的生命线,是洞穴旅游活动正常开展的前提和保障。利用CNKI、维普数据、Springer Link、Elsevier SDOL、EBSCO、SAGE JOURNALS、Wiley等中外文数据库并结合纸质文献,共获得与洞穴旅游安全相关的文献79篇。通过文献梳理发现:洞穴旅游安全是一个研究时间短暂的新兴学术领域,至今仅有25年的研究历史;研究成果较为分散,主题不突出,现有研究成果多属于洞穴或洞穴旅游研究中的“捎带”成果,至今尚无以洞穴旅游安全为主题的独立研究成果;现有研究成果主要涉及洞穴旅游安全的表现、影响因素以及对策等领域,研究内容限于浅表层次;研究尺度以微观为主。洞穴旅游安全作为洞穴旅游的新分支,是一个新的研究领域,在未来应综合运用洞穴学、安全学、旅游学等的相关理论与方法,从确保洞穴旅游环境、旅游者、旅游从业者等安全的角度出发,扩展洞穴旅游安全研究的内容;近期可着重对其理论架构、安全认知、安全风险评估以及安全救援体系等展开研究。 相似文献
10.
Rethinking the relationships of vulnerability, resilience, and adaptation from a disaster risk perspective 总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0
Vulnerability, resilience, and adaptation are three fundamentally inter-related concepts among such research communities as global environmental/climatic change, social–ecological and disaster risk science. However, their mutual relationships are still unclear so far particularly in the field of disaster risk reduction, which to some extent blocks the reasonable risk analysis and scientific decision making. This paper performed a brief overview on the basic definitions and evolution processes of vulnerability, resilience, and adaptation, and tentatively categorized past diverse thoughts of their relationships into three modalities, such as, vulnerability preference, resilience preference, and overlapped relationships. From a “hit-damage-recovery-learning cycle” insight and based on an empirical case study, we put forward two conceptual frameworks to address the relationships of vulnerability, resilience, and adaptation within the disaster risk domain, and we further discussed their broader implications in terms of disaster risk management and social–ecological sustainability. In an attempt to bring together the analytical frameworks of vulnerability, resilience, and adaptation, this study indicates that a sustainable adaptation strategy to the unavoidable disasters or changes should not only seek to reduce the vulnerability of a social–ecological system, but also to foster its resilience and adaptive capacity to future uncertainties and potential risks. 相似文献
11.
The natural environment plays an important role in adventure tourism. Specific environments are often necessary for certain types of adventure tourism and unique settings are seen to enhance the value of adventure tourism experiences. Given the importance of the environment in adventure tourism, the interplay between humans and the environment in this context should be given further attention. Although much research has examined the physical environmental impacts caused by specific activities considered adventure tourism, the impact of the environment on the behavior of adventure tourists has only briefly been touched upon. Environmental attitudes are said to be an indicator of environmentally conscious behavior. In the tourism context, however, conflicting results have been found as to whether or not environmental attitudes drive consumer behavior. Therefore, the manner in which environmental attitudes, using the New Environmental Paradigm scale, influence the motivations of participants in adventure tourism is investigated using the case of commercial adventure tourism in South Africa. The results show that the environmental attitudes of this group of tourists were relatively low and that the links between environmental attitudes and adventure tourism motivations are relatively weak. Therefore, the impact of general environmental attitudes on adventure tourist behavior is questionable. 相似文献
12.
Martin F. Price Dr. 《GeoJournal》1992,27(1):87-96
In recent decades, tourism has developed rapidly in mountain regions throughout the world, causing substantial economic, social, and environmental changes. While the physical and social environments of the world's mountains are characterized by their great diversity at all scales, comparable patterns of the development and impacts of tourism, and responses to it, have occurred and are taking place. However, tourism is not omnipresent in the world's mountains, and the degree of its development varies significantly over both space and time.Drawing on literature from around the world, five themes are considered: accessibility; temporal dimensions; types of tourists; changes in communities as perceived by tourists; and changes in the socio-cultural structure of tourist communities. It is concluded that no formal model of the growth and effects of tourism in mountain areas can represent the great diversity of patterns of development. Trends identified within the paper are not clear-cut, and should be used as hypotheses for future research, especially because of the lack of repeat, longitudinal, or comparative studies to date. It is questionable whether tourism can be relied on as the basis for the long-term future of mountain communities; much research is required to elucidate the complicated forces involved. 相似文献
13.
自然灾害脆弱性曲线研究进展 总被引：12，自引：2，他引：10
在全球变化与全球化背景下自然灾害风险逐年增大,灾害评估就成为风险防范的重要基础。灾害评估包括灾情估算与风险评估2个方面,而脆弱性分析是把灾害与风险研究紧密联系起来的重要桥梁。脆弱性曲线作为定量精确评估承灾体脆弱性的方法,近年来在多领域被广泛运用,成为灾情估算、风险定量分析以及风险地图编制的关键环节。从致灾因子角度综述脆弱性曲线的研究进展,重点阐述基于灾情数据、已有曲线、调查和模型的脆弱性曲线构建。研究表明脆弱性曲线构建由单曲线向多曲线库、单一参数向综合参数、单一方法向多领域综合应用发展,具有综合化和精细化的趋势。进一步开展多领域、多方法综合脆弱性曲线研究,对灾损快速评估及风险评价,防灾减灾具有重要意义。 相似文献
14.
15.
There is a clear need for integrated research on landslide disaster risk. Landslide disasters have major impacts in developing countries due to the increasing social vulnerability of both rural and urban communities. In recent decades, landslide disasters in Latin America triggered by both precipitation and earthquakes have also increased considerably. Thus, scientific contributions based on integrated risk research are quite urgent for improving the knowledge base for reducing the vulnerability of exposed communities to landslides. Thus, there is a parallel necessity to promote capacity building for young scientists in Latin America by considering the shift of disaster paradigm to recognize the “unnaturalness” of disasters. Under such a framework, there are particular goals to be pursued including: (1) Development of landslide regional networks with a commitment for understanding risk as a socially constructed process; (2) Engagement of young scientists in integrated landslide risk research; (3) Inducing a scientific multi- and transdisciplinary approach for integrated landslide risk research; (4) Development and implementation of capacity building; (5) Contributing to the dissemination and application of common methodologies on landslide disasters investigations; and (6) Strengthening collaboration on integrated landslide disaster risk research in Latin America. In this paper, we present one of the main activities of the ICL Latin-American network in terms of capacity building carried out in 2013; to that end, the first international workshop on forensic investigations of disasters associated with landslides was held in the University of Sciences and Arts of Chiapas in the city of Tuxtla Gutierrez, Chiapas, Mexico, from June 26th to July 4th, 2013. 相似文献
16.
安全是洞穴旅游的生命线,是洞穴旅游活动正常开展的前提和保障。国内外多数洞穴旅游安全事故多起因于旅游从业者和游客自身安全认知欠缺。由于洞穴旅游从业者直接面对游客,是洞穴旅游安全事故的“第一道防火墙”,因此,从洞穴旅游从业者的角度对洞穴旅游安全认知进行研究就显得尤为重要。本文对我国17个旅游洞穴从业者的旅游安全认知开展问卷调查,运用统计分析和灰色关联分析对洞穴旅游从业者的安全认知及其差异进行分析,得到以下结论:（1）我国洞穴旅游从业者的总体安全认知度较高;（2）我国洞穴旅游从业者安全管理认知存在一定差异;（3）不同属性的洞穴旅游从业者安全认知度存在一定差异;（4）不同洞穴旅游从业者的安全认知度存在一定差异。基于洞穴旅游从业者的安全认知,可采取如下措施提高洞穴旅游安全管理水平:加强对洞穴旅游从业者的安全教育培训,提高安全意识;提升洞穴旅游景区（点）的安全管理水平,增强执行力度;建立健全洞穴旅游安全控制、预警和救援制度,切实保障旅游。 相似文献
17.
A framework for spatio-temporal scales and concepts from different disciplines: the ‘vulnerability cube’ 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
The concept of vulnerability is increasingly used in the fields of disaster risk reduction and climate change adaptation, as well as socioeconomic studies. This paper reviews research inputs into the concept of vulnerability and highlights the challenges of resolving its spatial and temporal variability with building resilience and adaptation. We hypothesise that a clear understanding of scale is key to integrating these related issues, by differentiating three dimensions of scale when analysing relationships between the observed and the intrinsic scale of a given phenomenon, namely space, time and dimensional level. The paper analyses 20 vulnerability assessment approaches, ranging from the global down to the local scale, and positions them with regard to their integration of the spatial component. We then develop a vulnerability cube as a framework to position existing approaches and to map them in a three-dimensional space. The three axes represent space, time and dimension and provide a structure for the different notions of scales and ultimately for a spatial analysis workflow. The vulnerability cube framework helps us to position different vulnerability assessments and to identify overlaps, differences and specific characteristics. Additionally, this three-dimensional conceptualisation allows the identification and discussion of appropriate scaling issues. 相似文献
18.
This research appraises how residential built environment growth influences coastal exposure and how this component of societal vulnerability contributes to tropical cyclone impact and disaster potential. Historical housing unit data and future demographic projections from a high-resolution, spatial allocation model illustrate that the area within 50 km of the US Atlantic and Gulf Coastlines has the greatest housing unit density of any physiographic region in the USA, with residential development in this region outpacing non-coastal areas. Tropical cyclone exposure for six at-risk metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) along the US Atlantic and Gulf Coasts are assessed. All six MSAs evaluated are distinct in their development character, yet all experienced significant growth from 1940 through the contemporary period; projections from the model under various socioeconomic pathways reveal that this growth is anticipated to continue during the twenty-first century. Using a worst-case scenario framework, the historical and future residential data for the six MSAs are intersected with synthetic hurricane wind swaths generated from contemporary landfalling events. The New York City MSA contains the greatest residential built environment exposure, but Miami is the most rapidly changing MSA and has the greatest potential for hurricane disaster occurrence based on the juxtaposition of climatological risk and exposure. A disaster potential metric illustrates that all six MSAs will experience significant increases in disaster probability during the twenty-first century. This analysis facilitates a detailed spatiotemporal assessment of US coastal region vulnerability, providing decision makers with information that may be used to evaluate the potential for tropical cyclone disasters, mitigate tropical cyclone hazard impacts, and build community resilience for these and other hazards in the face of environmental and societal change. 相似文献
19.
Praveen K. Thakur Sreyasi Maiti Nanette C. Kingma V. Hari Prasad S. P. Aggarwal Ashutosh Bhardwaj 《Natural Hazards》2012,61(2):501-520
Vulnerability assessment of natural disasters is a crucial input for risk assessment and management. In the light of increasing
frequency of disasters, societies must become more disaster resilient. This research tries to contribute to this aim. For
risk assessment, insight is needed into the hazard, the elements at risk and their vulnerabilities. This study focused on
the estimation of structural vulnerability due to flood for a number of structural elements at risk in the rural area of Orissa,
India (Kendrapara), using a community-based approach together with geospatial analysis tools. Sixty-three households were
interviewed about the 2003 floods in 11 villages and 166 elements at risk (buildings) were identified. Two main structural
types were identified in the study area, and their vulnerability curves were made by plotting the relationships between flood
depth and vulnerability for each structural type. The vulnerability ranges from 0 (no damage) to 1 (collapse/total damage).
Structural type-1 is characterized by mud wall/floor material and a roof of paddy straw, and structural type-2 is characterized
by reinforced cement concrete (RCC) walls/floor and a RCC roof. The results indicate that structural type-1 is most vulnerable
for flooding. Besides flood depth, flood duration is also of major importance. Houses from structural type-1 were totally
collapsed after 3 days of inundation. Damage of the houses of structural type-2 began after 10 days of inundation. 相似文献
20.
Sarah Wolf 《Natural Hazards》2012,61(3):1099-1113
The concepts vulnerability and risk are of great importance in the fields of climate change and natural hazards. Confusion
is asserted in the terminology used by the respective communities, and a large conceptual literature has not solved this problem.
This affects the communication within and between the two communities and the comparison of results from vulnerability and
risk assessments. This paper argues that the main difference between methods to assess vulnerability and risk in the climate
and the disaster communities is not a conceptual one, but rather different terminologies are used. This point is made using
a formal framework of vulnerability to climate change that makes the structure of vulnerability and risk assessments explicit.
The framework distinguishes three assessment approaches in the field of vulnerability to climate change, which recur—under
different labels—in the risk assessment approaches analysed. While within each community, the same terms are ambiguously used
to refer to more than one assessment approach, the confusion is enhanced between the two communities by using different labels
for very similar approaches. As an application of the results, similarities and differences between two assessment tools are
analysed: the Dynamic Interactive Vulnerability Assessment model (DIVA) for the case of vulnerability to climate change and
the CATastrophe SIMulation model (CatSim) for risk of natural hazards. 相似文献