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1.
《Quaternary Science Reviews》2007,26(3-4):312-321
Based on a radiocarbon and paleomagnetically dated sediment record from the northern Red Sea and the exceptional sensitivity of the regional changes in the oxygen isotope composition of sea water to the sea-level-dependent water exchange with the Indian Ocean, we provide a new global sea-level reconstruction spanning the last glacial period. The sea-level record has been extracted from the temperature-corrected benthic stable oxygen isotopes using coral-based sea-level data as constraints for the sea-level/oxygen isotope relationship. Although, the general features of this millennial-scale sea-level records have strong similarities to the rather symmetric and gradual Southern Hemisphere climate patterns, we observe, in constrast to previous findings, pronounced sea level rises of up to 25 m to generally correspond with Northern Hemisphere warmings as recorded in Greenland ice-core interstadial intervals whereas sea-level lowstands mostly occur during cold phases. Corroborated by CLIMBER-2 model results, the close connection of millennial-scale sea-level changes to Northern Hemisphere temperature variations indicates a primary climatic control on the mass balance of the major Northern Hemisphere ice sheets and does not require a considerable Antarctic contribution. 相似文献
2.
利用1650～1750年逐年变化的太阳辐照度等外强迫资料,驱动中国科学院大气物理研究所LASG发展的快速气候系统模式FGOALS_gl,模拟了小冰期(LIA)气候。把模拟的LIA表面温度变化与重建资料进行对比,结果表明FGOALS_gl对LIA气候具有较强的模拟能力,说明太阳辐照度的自然变化是导致小冰期气候的重要成因。模拟结果显示,LIA时期纬向平均温度变化表现为整个对流层降温,低纬度地区的降温中心位于对流层中层,北半球降温幅度大于南半球,高纬地区的降温幅度大于低纬地区。分析发现,中高纬地区的局地温度变化主要与环流异常相对应的冷暖平流有关; 低纬地区的降温主要与赤道东风加强有关,东风增强通过增大蒸发和引起次表层冷海水上翻而令表层温度降低。LIA时期的降水变化主要位于中低纬地区,表现为日界线东(西)侧降水的负(正)异常。与降水异常相对应,Walker环流加强,东太平洋对流活动减弱,它与低纬地区对流层中层冷异常相联系。与大气层顶净短波辐射异常的季节变化相对应,南、北半球夏季平均表面温度异常较之冬季低0.28℃左右。 相似文献
3.
The global mean temperature during the recent decade (2007-2016) has increased above 1 ℃ relative to the pre-industrial period (1861-1890). The climate change and impact under 1.5 ℃ warming in the future have become a great concern in global society. Temperature projections, especially in regional scale, show great uncertainty depending on used climate models. Taking advantage of pattern scaling technique and observed temperature changes during 1951-2005, we tried to project the temperature changes globally under 1.5 ℃ threshold relative to current climate state, i.e. about 1 ℃ warming around 2007-2016. The projections of 21 climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project - Phase 5 under four Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP2.6, RC4.5, RCP6.0 and RCP8.5) were used to correct the assumptions in pattern scaling. Results showed that the geographical distribution and warming amplitude of surface air temperature changes under 1.5 ℃ threshold are similar in the four scenarios. Warming over most of the land would be above 0.6 ℃, 0.3 ℃ warmer than ocean. The Northern Hemisphere would be 0.2 ℃ warmer than the Southern Hemisphere. The temperature over China region will increase by 0.7 ℃. The warming in the Northern and Central China under RCP2.6 was obviously higher than that in the other scenarios. Ignoring the impact of correction method, uncertainty in temperature projection based on pattern scaling was much smaller than that in climate models, both in global and regional scales. 相似文献
4.
Impact of the Ice-albedo Feedback on Meridional Temperature Gradient of Northern Hemisphere 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
This paper analyzes the variation of meridional temperature gradient (MTG) over mid-latitude and high-latitude of Northern Hemisphere continents during last 100 years using observational data. It is found that MTG over high-latitude of Northern Hemisphere continents has an increasing trend, but the simulation results of CMIP5 models show a decreasing trend. Results of this study showed the decrease of MTG over the high-latitude continents of Northern Hemisphere calculated by CMIP5 historical simulations mainly because the models of CMIP5 exaggerated ice-albedo feedback over high-latitude regions. A series of simulation results by energy balance climate models showed that ice-albedo feedback amplified the magnitude of warming in the global warming induced only by carbon dioxide, and the magnitude of warming in high latitude was much larger than that in low-latitude regions. Along with global warming, ice-albedo feedback has little influence on MTG in low-latitude, but can induce the decrease of MTG in high-latitude regions. 相似文献
5.
David Morrill Anderson Bruce A. Bauer Charles R. Buckner Edward Gille Wendy S. Gross Michael Hartman Carrie Morrill Anju M. Shah Eugene R. Wahl 《Earth Science Informatics》2011,4(4):161-167
Reducing uncertainty in global temperature reconstructions of the past millennium remains the key issue in applying this record
to society’s pressing climate change problem. Reconstructions are collaborative, built on the research of hundreds of scientists
who apply their diverse scientific expertise and field and laboratory skill to create the individual proxy reconstructions
that underlie the multi-proxy, global average temperature time series. Web 2.0 features have enabled collaborative efforts
that improve the characterization of uncertainty. Raw data shared via a repository (the World Data Center for Paleoclimatology)
enable new reconstructions from the collection of user-generated data. Standards propagated by expert communities facilitate
quality control and interoperability. Open access to data and computer code promote transparency and make the science accessible
to a broader audience. Blogs, wikis, and listservs share background information and highlight contentious as well as unique
aspects of paleo science. A novel approach now underway, titled the Paleoclimate Reconstruction Challenge, and based on the
sharing of simulated data (pseudo-proxies) and reconstruction results, seeks to facilitate method development, further reducing
uncertainty. Broadly-useful aspects of the Challenge may find application in other fields. 相似文献
6.
全新世冷事件期间的气候格局及其成因是过去气候变化研究的热点问题.利用基于通用气候系统模式开展的TraCE-21ka气候模拟试验资料,在定义和提取典型冷事件的基础上,分析了全强迫试验模拟的全新世北半球多次冷事件的规模及冷事件发生时温度与降水的空间特征,并结合全强迫试验中使用的4个外强迫序列(淡水注入、轨道强迫、大气温室气体、大陆冰盖)及其对应的单因子敏感性试验,初步探讨了部分典型冷事件的成因.结果表明: TraCE-21ka模拟的冷事件年份与重建/集成序列的冷事件年份对应较好,模式较好地模拟出了全新世北半球的冷事件;全新世期间,北半球共发生了 10 次典型冷事件( 9. 7 ka B. P.、 8. 3 ka B. P.、 7. 3 ka B. P.、6. 2 ka B. P.、 5. 2 ka B. P.、 4. 2 ka B. P.、 3. 4 ka B. P.、 2. 1 ka B. P.、 1. 0 ka B. P.和 0. 2 ka B. P.);每次冷事件发生时,北半球大范围降温和变干,温度变化呈现明显的纬度地带性差异,中高纬地区降温最显著,低纬10°N附近降水减少最显著;在 8. 3 ka B. P.、 7. 3 ka B. P.、 6. 2 ka B. P.、 5. 2 ka B. P.、 4. 2 ka B. P.、 3. 4 ka B. P.、 2. 1 ka B. P.和1. 0 ka B. P.共8次冷事件中,北半球温度和降水的空间变化较为相似,北大西洋经圈翻转流( Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation,简称 AMOC)变弱导致了冷事件,格陵兰岛南部的北大西洋海域降温和变干尤为显著;9. 7 ka B. P.和3. 4 ka B. P.的冷事件可能与轨道强迫有关,淡水注入造成了8. 3 ka B. P.和7. 3 ka B. P.的冷事件, 0. 2 ka B. P.冷事件可能与大气温室气体波动有关.地球系统内部变率对于冷事件的发生可能也有一定影响. 相似文献
7.
21世纪北半球中高纬度净初级生产力(NPP)变化及其与气候因子之间的关系 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
基于CMIP5模式模拟的净初级生产力(NPP), 对21世纪初期(2016-2035年), 中期(2046-2065年)和末期(2080-2099年)三种排放情景下(RCP2.6、RCP4.5、RCP8.5)北半球中高纬度陆地NPP的时空变化进行了预估, 并结合气候因子分析了NPP的变化和气温、降水、辐射之间的关系. 结果表明: 相对于1986-2005年, 21世纪北半球中高纬度陆地NPP呈增加趋势, RCP8.5情景下NPP的增加比RCP2.6和RCP4.5情景下更为明显; 在季节变化上, 北半球中高纬度NPP也以增加为主, 且NPP在夏季, 尤其是6月增加最显著. NPP对气候变化的响应存在明显的区域差异性, 在中低排放情景下(RCP2.6、RCP4.5), 相对于1986-2005年, 21世纪北半球中高纬度地区温度显著影响的范围在逐渐缩小, 而辐射和降水显著影响的范围在扩大. 在高排放情景下(RCP8.5), 21世纪北半球中高纬度地区NPP的变化主要与温度有关. 相似文献
8.
利用1650～1750年逐年变化的太阳辐照度等外强迫资料,驱动中国科学院大气物理研究所LASG发展的快速气候系统模式FGOALS_gl,模拟了小冰期(LIA)气候.把模拟的LIA表面温度变化与重建资料进行对比,结果表明FGOALS_gl对LIA气候具有较强的模拟能力,说明太阳辐照度的自然变化是导致小冰期气候的重要成因.模拟结果显示,LIA时期纬向平均温度变化表现为整个对流层降温,低纬度地Ⅸ的降温中心位于对流层中层,北半球降温幅度大于南半球,高纬地区的降温幅度大于低纬地区.分析发现,中高纬地区的局地温度变化主要与环流异常相对应的冷暖平流有关;低纬地区的降温主要与赤道东风加强有关,东风增强通过增大蒸发和引起次表层冷海水上翻而令表层温度降低.LIA时期的降水变化丰要位于中低纬地区,表现为日界线东(西)侧降水的负(正)异常.与降水异常相对应.Walker环流加强,东太平洋对流活动减弱,它与低纬地区对流层中层冷异常相联系.与大气层顶净短波辐射异常的季节变化相对应,南、北半球夏季平均表面温度异常较之冬季低0.28℃左右. 相似文献
9.
RUILIN WEN JULE XIAO ZHIGANG CHANG DAYOU ZHAI QINGHAI XU YUECONG LI SHIGERU ITOH 《Boreas: An International Journal of Quaternary Research》2010,39(2):262-272
Wen, R. L., Xiao, J. L., Chang, Z. G., Zhai, D. Y., Xu, Q. H., Li, Y. C. & Itoh, S. 2009: Holocene precipitation and temperature variations in the East Asian monsoonal margin from pollen data from Hulun Lake in northeastern Inner Mongolia, China. Boreas, 10.1111/j.1502‐3885.2009.00125.x. ISSN 0300‐9483. Quantitative palaeoclimatic reconstruction with the weighted averaging partial least squares method was applied to the pollen profile from Hulun Lake in northeastern Inner Mongolia. The data provide a detailed history of variations in precipitation and temperature over the northeastern margin of the East Asian summer monsoon during the Holocene. A warm and dry climate prevailed over the lake region until c. 8000 cal. BP. During the period c. 8000–4400 cal. BP, precipitation increased markedly and temperature gradually declined. The interval between c. 4400 and 3350 cal. BP was marked by extremely dry and relatively cold conditions. Precipitation recovered from c. 3350 to 1000 cal. BP, with temperatures rising c. 3350–2050 cal. BP and dropping c. 2050–1000 cal. BP. During the last 500 years, the climate of the lake region displayed a general trend of warming and wetting. While Holocene temperature variations in the mid‐high latitude monsoonal margin were controlled by changes in summer solar radiation in the Northern Hemisphere, they could also be related to the strength of the East Asian summer monsoon. The lack of precipitation during the early Holocene could be attributed to the weakened summer monsoon resulting from the existence of remnant ice sheets in the Northern Hemisphere. Changes in the monsoonal precipitation during the middle to late Holocene would have been associated with the ocean–atmosphere interacting processes occurring in the western tropical Pacific. 相似文献
10.
集成中国季风区石笋氧同位素记录的共同变化特征,初步建立了近千年10年平均的东亚夏季风演变序列。在10年尺度以上分析了东亚夏季风演变与其他气候要素变化之间的关系。主要结论有： 1)近千年来东亚夏季风演变可划分为中世纪时期(11～13世纪初期)的季风稍弱阶段,13世纪中后期至14世纪前半叶的季风较强时期,14世纪后半叶至17世纪的季风较弱阶段,自18世纪开始持续约200年的季风再次增强时期,以及20世纪初开始的季风逐渐减弱阶段。2)近千年来东亚大陆或北半球温度的变化虽然对东亚夏季风变化具有一定的影响,但东亚夏季风强度的变化并不总是取决于陆地温度的变化。3)近千年来东亚夏季风的强弱变化与降水变化在低频趋势上有良好的对应关系,在东亚夏季风增强的时期,中国东部降水较多,而在夏季风减弱时,中国东部降水趋于偏少。 相似文献
11.
Boreal temperature variability inferred from maximum latewood density and tree-ring width data, Wrangell Mountain region, Alaska 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
Variations in both width and density of annual rings from a network of tree chronologies were used to develop high-resolution proxies to extend the climate record in the Wrangell Mountain region of Alaska. We developed a warm-season (July–September) temperature reconstruction that spans A.D. 1593–1992 based on the first eigenvector from principal component analysis of six maximum latewood density (MXD) chronologies. The climate/tree-growth model accounts for 51% of the temperature variance from 1958 to 1992 and shows cold in the late 1600s–early 1700s followed by a warmer period, cooling in the late 1700s–early 1800s, and warming in the 20th century. The 20th century is the warmest of the past four centuries. Several severely cold warm-seasons coincide with major volcanic eruptions. The first eigenvector from a ring-width (RW) network, based on nine chronologies from the Wrangell Mountain region (A.D. 1550–1970), is correlated positively with both reconstructed and recorded Northern Hemisphere temperatures. RW shows a temporal history similar to that of MXD by increased growth (warmer) and decreased growth (cooler) intervals and trends. After around 1970 the RW series show a decrease in growth, while station data show continued warming, which may be related to increasing moisture stress or other factors. Both the temperature history based on MXD and the growth trends from the RW series are consistent with well-dated glacier fluctuations in the Wrangell Mountains and some of the temperature variations also correspond to variations in solar activity. 相似文献
12.
近期北半球大多数山地冰川的物质平衡为负,冰川普遍退缩,表明北半球气候暖化的趋势.由于区域气候波动和变化的差异性以及冰川对气候变化的敏感性(响应程度)的不同,北半球山地冰川在普遍退缩的背景下具有鲜明的区域特征. 相似文献
13.
《Quaternary Science Reviews》2005,24(12-13):1345-1360
A three-dimensional climate model was used to perform 25 simulations over the last millennium, which are driven by the main natural and anthropogenic forcing. The results are compared to available reconstructions in order to evaluate the relative contribution of internal and forced variability during this period. At hemispheric and nearly hemispheric scale, the impact of the forcing is clear in all the simulations and knowing the forced response provides already a large amount of information about the behaviour of the climate system. Besides, at regional and local scales, the forcing has only a weak contribution to the simulated variability compared to internal variability. This result could be used to refine our conception of Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age (MWP and LIA). They were hemispheric-scale phenomena, since the temperature averaged over the Northern Hemisphere was, respectively generally higher/lower during those periods because of a stronger/weaker external forcing at that time. Nevertheless, at local-scale, the sign of the internal temperature variations determines to what extent the forced response will be actually visible or even masked by internal noise. Because of this role of internal variability, synchronous peak temperatures during the MWP or LIA between different locations are unlikely. 相似文献
14.
A continuous record of insect (Chironomidae) remains preserved in lake sediments is used to infer temperature changes at a small lake in Arctic Canada through the Holocene. Early Holocene summers at the study site were characterized by more thermophilous assemblages and warmer inferred temperatures than today, presumably in response to the positive anomaly in Northern Hemisphere summer insolation. Peak early Holocene warmth was interrupted by two cold reversals between 9.5 and 8 cal ka BP, during which multiple cold-stenothermous chironomid taxa appeared in the lake. The earlier reversal appears to correlate with widespread climate anomalies around 9.2 cal ka BP; the age of the younger reversal is equivocal but it may correlate with the 8.2 cal ka BP cold event documented elsewhere. Widespread, abrupt climate shifts in the early Holocene illustrate the susceptibility of the climate system to perturbations, even during periods of enhanced warmth in the Northern Hemisphere. 相似文献
15.
根据近年来对过去2000a气候变化研究成果,通过遥感方法将罗布泊盐湖近2000a 气候变化记录与不同地区、不同类型的气候变化曲线进行对比分析,探索了现代盐湖对气候事件的响应机制,并证明了罗布泊盐湖沉积物的气候变化曲线具有明确的古气候意义。研究表明在公元1300～ 1500a 区间,罗布泊盐湖气候记录与北半球千年来地面空气温度变化的相关性大于0. 8;千年尺度变化与古利雅冰芯曲线较一致,气候变化趋势是缓慢上升; 600a 以来,与北京石花洞石笋微层记录曲线有较好的相关性;相对于北半球区域气候,在公元13世纪前后出现过滞后现象。 相似文献
16.
17.
Plio‐Pleistocene increase of erosion rates in mountain belts in response to climate change 
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下载免费PDF全文 Here, we review an ensemble of observations that point towards a global increase of erosion rates in regions of elevated mountain belts, or otherwise high relief, since the onset of Northern Hemisphere Glaciation about 2–3 Ma. During that period of Earth's history, atmospheric CO2 concentrations may have dropped, and global climate cooled and evolved towards high‐amplitude oscillating conditions that are associated with the waxing and waning of continental ice sheets in the Northern Hemisphere. We argue for a correlation between climate change and increased erosion rates and relief production, which we attribute to some combination of the observed cooling, onset of glaciation, and climatic oscillation at orbital timescales. In our view, glacial erosion played a major role and is driven by the global cooling. Furthermore, analyses of the sedimentary fluxes of many mountain belts show peaks of erosion during the transitions between glacial and inter‐glacial periods, suggesting that the variable climatic conditions have also played a role. 相似文献
18.
A radiocarbon-dated series of 75 beach ridges, formed at regular intervals averaging 72 yr over the past 5400 yr, provides further support for the existence of a 70-yr oscillation in Northern Hemisphere climate, postulated recently from instrument data representing less than two cycles of this climate oscillation. Results from this study lend support to the interpretation that internal variations in the ocean–atmosphere system are an important factor in climate fluctuations on a decadal–centennial time scale. A temperature oscillation with a period of about 70 yr has been a previously unrecognized but fundamental part of the global climate system since at least the middle Holocene. 相似文献
19.
V. V. Zuev V. A. Semenov E. A. Shelekhova S. K. Gulev P. Koltermann 《Doklady Earth Sciences》2012,445(2):1006-1010
In this work, we evaluate the impact of terminated oceanic heat flux in the North Atlantic and Barents Sea on the Northern Hemisphere climate in January by numerical experiments with a coupled model of atmospheric general circulation and a thermodynamic model of the upper mixed layer of the ocean. We analyze the variations in the atmospheric circulation and near-surface temperature. We found that the termi-nation of the oceanic heat flux leads to a depression in atmospheric centers of action in the Northern Hemi-sphere (by 3?C5 hPa) and a significant cooling over the continents with the strongest temperature decrease down to ?10°C in northwestern Eurasia. 相似文献
20.
Quantification of the northern Italy Pliocene climate from pollen data: evidence for a very peculiar climate pattern 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
SÉVERINE FAUQUETTE ADELE BERTINI 《Boreas: An International Journal of Quaternary Research》2003,32(2):361-369
A climatic reconstruction has been carried out on the Stirone pollen sequence (northern Italy), covering the Pliocene period from the Zanclean to the early Gelasian (˜5.1 to ˜2.2 Ma). Despite the existence of a number of hiatuses, the section provides a clear picture of the vegetation and climatic evolution during this time interval, which includes the first glacial-interglacial cycles of the Northern Hemisphere. The climate of this period has been quantified using the 'Climatic Amplitude Method' developed for the Neogene, and five climatic parameters have been estimated. The results show that at the beginning of the Pliocene and during the interglacial periods the climate was warm and humid (mean annual temperature from 16 to 20°C, mean annual precipitation from 1100 to 1500–1600 mm), similar to that found elsewhere in the northwestern Mediterranean area. However, during the first glacial periods the reconstructed climate differs from that found at other Mediterranean sites: the mean annual temperature, the temperature of the warmest and coldest months show lower values than those found during the lower Pliocene, but no marked reductions are observed in the annual precipitation, allowing the continuous presence of a forested environment. These results are in agreement with the hypothesis that from at least the Upper Pliocene the Po region has been a special region from the point of view of both vegetation and climate. The difference is particularly marked during the earliest glacial phases in northern Italy. 相似文献