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1.
IntroductionWith sophistication of information technologysuch as global positioning system and remotesensing,anincreasing quantity of digital terraindata is produced fromvarious sources ,contribu-tingto accurate mapping and dynamic monitoringof the natural and built landscapes[1-3]. The val-ue of spatial information, however , dependsheavily on a good understanding and proper han-dling of uncertainty , which occurs due to the in-ability of any information systems to representthe real world as …  相似文献   

2.
Uncertainty Modeling in Buffer Operations Applied to Connectivity Analysis   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
In this paper we will study the potential connectivity of red squirrels in a fragmented landscape, using a buffer operation that takes into account the difficulty of moving through the landscape. The outcome of such an analysis is greatly influenced by the various sources of uncertainty that are introduced in the model. Two main sources of uncertainty can be identified: source layer uncertainty and model uncertainty. In this paper the propagation of source layer uncertainty resulting from a multivariate statistical classification of remotely sensed data is studied using Monte Carlo simulation, taking the spatial structure of uncertainty into account. Model uncertainty results from the adoption of deterministic model parameters regarding the dispersal capacity and the landscape effect, and is examined using fuzzy set theory. Comparing the outcome of error sensitized models to the observed dispersal activity of squirrels, demonstrates how modeling of uncertainty can help to explain the dispersal activity of red squirrels.  相似文献   

3.
基于用户和卫星概略位置的信号传播时延估计   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
辅助长码直捕的一个最重要的先验信息是时间信息,卫星信号传播时延估计是减少时域搜索范围的一个重要方面。针对地面静止用户,给出了基于用户和卫星概略位置的卫星信号传播时延估计算法,并指出用户和卫星位置误差对传播时延的影响可以分离计算。数值计量考印,即使用户和卫星的位置误差均达到1000km,也能将传播时延不确定范围压缩一半。  相似文献   

4.
非航海用DDM向航海应用转换的方法   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
针对非航海用数字水深模型(DDM)不能直接应用于航海上的这一问题,提出了一种基于水深不确定度拟合面的非航海用DDM向航海应用转换的方法。采用不确定度合成方法计算原始水深不确定度对非航海用DDM建模点的传递不确定度;利用测试点检验法估算非航海用DDM网格的地形描述不确定度,进而合成建模点的综合不确定度;基于模型网格双线性法构建非航海用DDM的水深不确定度拟合面,并推估模型内任一点的水深不确定度,以提高转换后非航海用DDM的深度保证率。试验证明:所提方法切实可行,能够较大程度地提高转换后非航海用DDM的深度保证率,以满足舰船的安全航海需求。  相似文献   

5.
矢量缓冲区不确定性传播的置信带模型   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
梅士员  江南 《遥感学报》2004,8(4):289-294
提出用缓冲区整体置信带对GIS中矢量缓冲区进行可靠性评定的方法 ,分别研究了点状和线状目标缓冲区整体置信带的情况。提出用一类似相对误差的量K值来对缓冲区整体置信带进行定量分析 ,并推导出具体的计算公式 ,最后的算例和分析部分重点考察对线段缓冲区K值产生影响的各因子 ,并得出直线端点误差和置信水平是影响缓冲区不确定性传播的关键因素  相似文献   

6.
7.
利用不确定度的海底数字高程模型构建   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
综合考虑水深点不确定度信息和距离对格网节点的影响,提出了利用不确定度和距离联合确定权函数方法构建海底数字高程模型(DEM)。利用不确定度信息传递模型和海底DEM格网分辨率选取标准,在DEM精度和数据容量之间保持平衡,为生成多种形式、满足多种需要的海洋数字产品提供了基础。  相似文献   

8.
Spatial decision support systems (SDSS) are designed to make complex resource allocation problems more transparent and to support the design and evaluation of allocation plans. Recent developments in this field focus on the design of allocation plans using optimization techniques. In this paper we analyze how uncertainty in spatial (input) data propagates through, and affects the results of, an optimization model. The optimization model calculates the optimal location for a ski run based on a slope map, which is derived from a digital elevation model (DEM). The uncertainty propagation is a generic method following a Monte Carlo approach, whereby realizations of the spatially correlated DEM error are generated using 'sequential Gaussian simulation'. We successfully applied the methodology to a case study in the Austrian Alps, showing the influence of spatial uncertainty on the optimal location of a ski run and the associated development costs. We also discuss the feasibility of routine incorporation of uncertainty propagation methodologies in an SDSS.  相似文献   

9.
城市交通网络分形维数的不确定性估计、控制与分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
长度-半径维数模型作为描述城市交通网络复杂不确定性现象的一种分形分维方法,其自身存在的不确定性往往被忽视,且相关研究更是鲜见报道。故针对该模型在分形维数测算全过程中存在的不确定性问题,本文率先开展了系统剖析、定量估计和质量控制研究。首先对数据源、矢量化处理、测算中心、尺度选择、以及分维数模型估计等一系列环节进行了不确定性估计与分析,其中首次给出了分形维数在一定置信水平下的不确定性度量区间,并依据误差传播理论对误差的传递和累积进行了描述;然后着重提出了基于LMed S(Least Median of Squares)的质量控制方法。最后通过对拉萨市的算例实验表明:道路的矢量化过程、测算中心和测算尺度的选择都会导致分维的不确定性;并在对数据质量进行控制的基础上,通过置信区间对长度-半径维数模型的不确定性进行了在一定概率水平下的首次度量;同时结合区域现状对研究结果给出了合乎实际的解释。本文在描述表征不确定性问题的分形几何和分形维数的基础上,系统地揭示了其自身不确定性的本质,不仅进一步丰富了分形分维理论,为控制其质量奠定理论基础,而且可为城市交通网络分形维数的地学应用提供可靠的科学依据。  相似文献   

10.
空间数据的不确定性评估是保证数据质量的重要手段.由于点群多尺度表达的不确定性非常复杂,评价指标和评估模型是点群多尺度表达不确定性评估需要亟待解决的关键问题.本文围绕点群的多尺度表达和空间分析流程,确立了点群多尺度表达不确定性的评估内容为位置不确定性和空间分析结论的不确定性,建立了点群及其多尺度表达位置不确定性的评价指标...  相似文献   

11.
空间数据挖掘及其不确定性研究   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4  
简要论述空间数据的不确定性及其传播,SDM&KDD的主要技术方法,以及SDM&KDD过程及其结果的不确定性问题,如它的算法、处理、传播模型和质量评价等。  相似文献   

12.
不确定性平差模型的平差准则与解算方法   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0  
在测量数据的获取过程中,经常存在着不确定性,它们影响着参数估计的可靠性。本文通过把不确定度作为参数融入函数模型,建立了不确定性平差模型。依据残差中不确定性传播规律,确定了残差最大不确定度达到最小的平差准则,利用迭代算法得到了不确定性平差模型的解算方法。通过实例分析了最小二乘平差、整体最小二乘平差和不确定性平差准则下最优解的不同特点,从另一个角度探讨了不确定性观测数据处理方法,推广了现有的误差理论。  相似文献   

13.
Uncertainty quantification is not often performed in spatial modeling applications, especially when there is a mixture of probabilistic and non‐probabilistic uncertainties. Furthermore, the effect of positional uncertainty is often not assessed, despite its relevance to geographical applications. Although there has been much work in investigating the aforementioned types of uncertainty in isolation, combined approaches have not been much researched. This has resulted in a lack of tools for conducting mixed uncertainty analyses that include positional uncertainty. This research addresses the issue by first presenting a new, flexible, simulation‐oriented conceptualization of positional uncertainty in geographic objects called F‐Objects. F‐Objects accommodates various representations of uncertainty, while remaining conceptually simple. Second, a new Python‐based framework is introduced, termed Wiggly and capable of conducting mixed uncertainty propagation using fuzzy Monte Carlo simulation (FMCS). FMCS combines both traditional Monte Carlo with fuzzy analysis in a so‐called hybrid approach. F‐Objects is implemented within the Wiggly framework, resulting in a tool capable of considering any combination of: (1) probabilistic variables; (2) fuzzy variables; and (3) positional uncertainty of objects (probabilistic/fuzzy). Finally, a realistic GIS‐based groundwater contamination problem demonstrates how F‐Objects and Wiggly can be used to assess the effect of positional uncertainty.  相似文献   

14.
基于区域平均垂直不确定度的自适应网格水深建模方法   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0  
提出一种基于区域平均垂直不确定度的自适应网格数字水深模型构建方法。利用水深不确定度及其传递机制,计算建模区域的水深平均不确定度,自动确定网格剖分层次和组织水深数据;并在公共边界处增加约束条件,解决相邻网格区域的水深模型不连续问题。试验证明:①在水深变化趋势不一致的区域,与等间距法和水深复杂度法相比,不确定度法所构DDM具有更高的质量;②相对于等间距法,不确定度法能自动确定网格剖分层次和网格大小,控制模型质量达到预先设计的指标要求,相对水深复杂度法,具有更强的自适应调控能力;③不确定度法比水深复杂度法具有更高的自动化程度和效率。  相似文献   

15.
遥感信息处理不确定性的可视化表达   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
如何全面、准确地度量和可视化表达遥感信息处理中不确定性的程度和空间分布方式,是遥感信息不确定性研究的关键问题之一.传统的度量方法(例如误差矩阵)是将以训练样本集为基础的度量作为总分类精度的度量,而我们需要估计模型对于"样本外数据"的性能.本文首先利用信息论和粗糙集理论等度量遥感分类影像属性信息的不确定性,提出基于像元、目标和影像的遥感信息不确定性度量指标;然后分别描述了基于不同度量指标的可视化表达方式,并对我国黄河三角洲地区的Landsat TM影像进行了分类信息不确定性度量和可视化表达实验.  相似文献   

16.
Area-to-point (ATP) kriging is a common geostatistical framework to address the problem of spatial disaggregation or downscaling from block support observations (BSO) to point support (PoS) predictions for continuous variables. This approach requires that the PoS variogram is known. Without PoS observations, the parameters of the PoS variogram cannot be deterministically estimated from BSO, and as a result, the PoS variogram parameters are uncertain. In this research, we used Bayesian ATP conditional simulation to estimate the PoS variogram parameters from expert knowledge and BSO, and quantify uncertainty of the PoS variogram parameters and disaggregation outcomes. We first clarified that the nugget parameter of the PoS variogram cannot be estimated from only BSO. Next, we used statistical expert elicitation techniques to elicit the PoS variogram parameters from expert knowledge. These were used as informative priors in a Bayesian inference of the PoS variogram from BSO and implemented using a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm. ATP conditional simulation was done to obtain stochastic simulations at point support. MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) atmospheric temperature profile data were used in an illustrative example. The outcomes from the Bayesian ATP inference for the Matérn variogram model parameters confirmed that the posterior distribution of the nugget parameter was effectively the same as its prior distribution; for the other parameters, the uncertainty was substantially decreased when BSO were introduced to the Bayesian ATP estimator. This confirmed that expert knowledge brought new information to infer the nugget effect at PoS while BSO only brought new information to infer the other parameters. Bayesian ATP conditional simulations provided a satisfactory way to quantify parameters and model uncertainty propagation through spatial disaggregation.  相似文献   

17.
18.
针对航空核线影像的稠密匹配问题,该文提出了一种基于控制点与RGB三色置信传播模型的多通道置信传播算法。该算法利用点特征匹配算子提取影像的部分同名点作为区域控制点,随后将RGB 3个颜色分量都作为置信传播模型的独立基础变量,同时增加邻域像素点对的颜色差异的贡献。两组核线影像匹配实验结果表明,所提算法在使用较少参数的情况下,降低了同名点存在颜色差异造成的干扰,利用置信传播原理提高了同名点的匹配正确率,能有效进行航空核线影像的逐像素密集匹配。  相似文献   

19.
The parameter distributions of the integer GPS model   总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6  
 A parameter estimation theory is incomplete if no rigorous measures are available for describing the uncertainty of the parameter estimators. Since the classical theory of linear estimation does not apply to the integer GPS model, rigorous probabilistic statements cannot be made with reference to the classical results. The fact that integer parameters are involved in the estimation process forces a reappraisal of the propagation of uncertainty. It is with this purpose in mind that the joint and marginal distributional properties of both the integer and non-integer parameters of the GPS model are determined. These joint distributions can also be used to determine the distribution of functions of the parameters. As an important example, the distribution of the vector of ambiguity residuals is determined. Received: 30 January 2001 / Accepted: 31 July 2001  相似文献   

20.
位置不确定性与属性不确定性的场模型   总被引:23,自引:2,他引:21  
张景雄  杜道生 《测绘学报》1999,28(3):244-250
不确定性是自地理信息系统发展与应用以来一个引起关注的课题。位置不确定性与属性不确定常常不加区分地被看作是可以单个讨论的问题。本文将借助场的概念和模型使二者得以统一的描述和分析;对于明确定义的离散目标,二者虽然可分别讨论,但却在数学上有着联合的基础;对于非明确定义的地理现象,二者以连续体的形式而存在,位置不确定性可以作为属性不确定性的空间映射而提取出来。  相似文献   

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