共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 31 毫秒
1.
2.
FENG Yu-guang 《中国地理科学(英文版)》2002,12(3)
3.
ZHOU Jia XIAO Haifeng SHANG Jincheng ZHANG Xuelin 《中国地理科学(英文版)》2007,17(4):304-310
Sustainable development is a complex and systemic issue. It is essential to study it by the component analysis method from the view of system science. The urban developmental sustainability is one of focuses that people has paid more attention to, however, little common understanding how to measure and evaluate the sustainability has been gotten. In this paper, a framework is designed to evaluate the developmental sustainability of Suihua City, Heilongjiang Province in China from the aspects of economy, society, population, resources and environment. We adopt the Principal Components Analysis (PCA) to decrease dimensions and simplify the original indexes into 12 indexes. Also, the hierarchy and comprehensive multiple-criterion evaluative methods are employed to assess the sustainable development system in Suihua City. Then, the weights of indexes are attained by Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) method. Furthermore, urban comprehensive development level, developmental sustainability, coordinate degree are calculated and analyzed. By analyzing, we know the fluctuation of development level of subsystem, especially resources and environment subsystem, is acute. The comprehensive development level of sustainable development system in Suihua has been on the rise since 1999. That results from the effect of traditional economic development mode with high energy-consumed being decreased in the city after 1999. At the same time, it is obvious that there was an instability of development level in Suihua City during 1990-2002, with a turn in 1998, and the development could be sustainable, the status trend was more harmonious in 1999-2002. 相似文献
4.
《中国地理科学(英文版)》2019,(4)
Urban comprehensive carrying capacity is an important guarantee and external representation of regional sustainable development. Based on urban comprehensive carrying capacity, this paper constructed a performance evaluation index system of urban comprehensive carrying capacity, and used entropy method, urban comprehensive carrying capacity measurement model and urban sustainable development model to measure spatial and temporal comprehensive carrying capacity of Harbin City in Heilongjiang Province from 2012 to 2017. The results show that: 1) index weight analysis suggested the regional development mode in Harbin still followed an epitaxial development mode, which pursued the expansion of scale and the growth of total amount of regional development, neglecting the effective utilization of resources and the improvement of structural benefits. 2) In the pressure system, the index of resource support has dropped sharply. The index of environmental capacity and social progress has risen circuitously, while the degree of agglomeration and the value of transportation facilities have risen steadily; in the pressure system, the index of population development and economic growth tended to fluctuate, while energy consumption and environmental pollution showed a more synchronous change in characteristics, and the livable demand remained at a high level. 3) The carrying capacity index of resources and environment in Harbin has been declining, and the acquired carrying capacity index fluctuated. The long-term regional development model has severely impaired the carrying capacity of resources and environment. 4) The comprehensive carrying capacity of Harbin has clear spatial differentiation characteristics. Finally, the paper proposes that location conditions, economic development level, government regulation, and science and technology are the main factors influencing the spatial differentiation of urban comprehensive carrying capacity. 相似文献
5.
城市规划信息系统作为城市地理信息系统的一个重要的专题分支系统 ,是城市规划体系的基础和纽带。因此 ,通过研究城市规划信息系统的基础理论来指导城市规划信息系统的具体实践 ,进而实现城市可持续发展的战略 ,具有重要意义。 相似文献
6.
YU Ya-juan GUO Huai-cheng LIU Yong WANG Shu-tong WANG Jin-feng 《中国地理科学(英文版)》2005,15(4):303-308
1IN TR O D U C TIO NEcologicaldem onstration area (ED A )isan authoritativenom ination by N ational Environm ental Protection A d-m inistration ofC hina,w hich firstbegan itsexperim entalconstruction ofED A in 1995 and w asprom ulgated "N a-tionalExam ina… 相似文献
7.
A key solution to urban and global sustainability is effective planning of sustainable urban development, for which geo-techniques especially cellular automata (CA) models can be very informative. However, existing CA models for simulating sustainable urban development, though increasingly refined in modeling urban growth, capture mostly the environmental aspect of sustainability. In this study, an adaptable risk-constrained CA model was developed by incorporating the social-ecological risks of urban development. A three-dimensional risk assessment framework was proposed that explicitly considers the environmental constraints on, system resilience to, and potential impacts of urban development. The risk-constrained model was then applied to a case study of Sheyang County, Jiangsu Province in the eastern China. Comparative simulations of urban development in four contrasting scenarios were conducted, namely, the environmental suitability constrained scenario, the ecological risk constrained scenario, the social risk constrained scenario, and the integrated social-ecological risk constrained scenario. The simulations suggested that considering only environmental suitability in the CA simulation of urban development overestimated the potential of sustainable urban growth, and that the urbanization mode changed from city expansion that was more constrained by social risks to town growth that was more constrained by ecological risks. Our risk-constrained CA model can better simulate sustainable urban development; additionally, we provide suggestions on the sustainable urban development in Sheyang and on future model development. 相似文献
8.
基于改进熵权DEA-TOPSIS模型的乡村国土综合整治格局优化 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
针对国土综合整治时空格局优化的多目标量化问题,以空间脆弱性和时间迫切性为切入点,构建以目标功能为主线的乡村社会-生态系统脆弱性和迫切性评价指标体系,采用改进熵权DEA模型开展脆弱性效率评价和改进熵权多因素综合模型进行迫切性评价;在此基础上,采用层次目标分解法和主导问题归因法构建“业态兴旺、形态优化、生态宜居和综合复兴”4种国土综合整治多目标格局优化方案,采用改进熵权TOPSIS分析法开展多目标最优决策定量分析,以期从有限多目标系统优选和排序视角识别和划分国土综合整治多目标时空格局类型,实现对乡村国土综合整治多目标格局优化体系构建的目的。研究以上海市青浦区184个行政村为例进行实证,研究结果表明：改进熵权DEA模型能有效克服多行政村高度关联造成的结果偏大问题,提高了空间适宜性的应用精度;改进熵权TOPSIS模型能较为准确地划分国土综合整治的多目标格局优化方案,细化各最优方案间的异质性;2018年青浦区社会-生态系统脆弱性均值表现为社会子系统脆弱性（0.605）>经济子系统脆弱性（0.577）>生态子系统脆弱性（0.549）,社会子系统脆弱成为影响该区脆弱性的重要原因;行政村社会-生态系统脆弱性空间上呈现由中部向南北递增变化趋势;而村域国土综合整治迫切性空间团聚状分异显著,其值域范围为[0.435, 0.785],农业产业整治迫切性最大;针对脆弱性-迫切性多目标构建的4种多目标方案决策评价结果,将该区国土综合整治时空格局优化类型划分为16种。该研究结果丰富了乡村地理学理论,可为乡村区域治理、乡村振兴和区域可持续发展提供决策依据。 相似文献
9.
作为可持续发展的重要主题之一,科学评估县域可持续发展潜力是制定县域发展战略的基础。现有可持续发展潜力评估方法多是基于县域发展现状的多维度综合分析,在体现发展的动态性上仍存在不足。本文构建了面向联合国2030年可持续发展目标的县域可持续发展潜力指标体系,采用系统动力学和FLUS模型对发展潜力指标进行预测,提出了一种结合共享社会经济路径的多情景县域可持续发展潜力评估方法。本文以山东省招远市作为案例区,基于2009—2018年的社会经济以及土地利用数据,通过模拟2030年招远市基准情景、SSP1、SSP2、SSP3、SSP5共5种情景下的县域发展态势,对比评估了实验区可持续发展潜力的差异性。结果表明：① 经济发展、居民福祉维度的多数指标在所有情景下均呈增长趋势,而生态维度指标则呈显著的下降趋势;② 相比2018年,SSP1、SSP2情景下县域发展潜力均值分别提升了17.36%、9.80%,而在SSP3、SSP5情景下分别下降了0.50%、4.20%,可见,SSP1情景能够最大限度提升招远市发展可持续性,SSP5则将产生显著的负面影响;③ 招远市未来发展应持续优化SSP1路径,重点关注不同产业劳动力占比、人口老龄化、碳固持等滞后指标。本研究建立了2030可持续发展目标与县域发展潜力的映射关系,提供了一种面向未来的多情景县域发展潜力评价技术框架,预期为招远市未来发展政策制定与高质量发展转型提供科学依据。 相似文献
10.
ZHONGYun PENGHua 《中国地理科学(英文版)》2002,12(3):226-232
In the forming of the Dynamic System of Tourism Development(DSTD)in developed regions from the view of supply side,the Dhlphi Method and the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) are used to count the weight of each component of the DSTD.It has been found that the attraction subsystem is the most important one of the three subsystems at the first hierarchical level of DSTD,which means that tourist attractions are always the principal factors for regional tourism development,even in developed regions.But it is also noteworthy that the significance of the attraction subsystem is not dominant in the DSTD.At the second hierarchical level,the physical attraction subsystem rand No.1,while the weight of the non-physical attraction subsystem is just a little larger than the weight of the hardware subsystem and that of software subsystem.And the weights of the three components in the medium subsystem are similar.The top 3 factors at the third hierarchical level are scenic spot,location and regional economic impact.The result verifies the conclusions of qualitative analysis,which depends on the market research and the study of historical date,that the most important compo-nent of the DSTD in Foshan is the impact of the developed economy.Knowing the weight of each component of the DSTD can be helpful to make out the most useful force,furthermore to determine the future orientation for regional tourism develop-ment. 相似文献
11.
To meet the challenge of sustainable development, sustainability must be made. Ecological network analysis(ENA) was introduced in this paper as an approach to quantitatively measure the growth, development, and sustainability of an economic system. The Guangdong economic networks from 1987 to 2010 were analyzed by applying the ENA approach. Firstly, a currency flow network among economic sectors was constructed to represent the Guangdong economic system by adapting the input-output(I-O) table data. Then, the network indicators from the ENA framework involving the total system throughput(TST), average mutual information(AMI), ascendency(A), redundancy(R) and development capacity(C) were calculated. Lastly, the network indicators were analyzed to acquire the overall features of Guangdong's economic operations during 1987–2010. The results are as follows: the trends of the network indicators show that the size of the Guangdong economic network grows exponentially at a high rate during 1987–2010, whereas its efficiency does not present a clear trend over its whole period. The growth is the main characteristic of the Guangdong economy during 1987–2010, with no clear evidence regarding its development. The quantitative results of the network also confirmed that the growth contributed to a great majority of the Guangdong economy during 1987–2010, whereas the development's contribution was tiny during the same period. The average value of the sustainability indicator(α) of the Guangdong economic network was 0.222 during 1987–2010, which is less than the theoretically optimal value of 0.37 for a sustainable human-influenced system. The results suggest that the Guangdong economic system needs a further autocatalysis to improve its efficiency to support the system maintaining a sustainable evolvement. 相似文献
12.
在分析可持续发展指标特征基础上，提出按持续、协调、结构和集聚四类建立可持续发展分类单项指标指数公式和综合指数公式，并用遗传算法对公式中参数进行优化，建立了可持续发展的综合指数评价模型。该模型应用于乌鲁木齐市的可持续发展评价结果与实况分析结果基本一致，该模型有简单、实用的特点。 相似文献
13.
China′ s urban reforms have brought social progress and development, but a comprehensive national system of social welfare (for example, unemployment insurance, pensions, medical care and public housing) for new migrants from rural areas is lacking. One of the most remarkable changes in Chinese cities in the last decade was a change in social " equality", with the rise of new poverty both in individual communities and some social groups in urban society. However, there is little social assistance and public infrastructure for the migrants. Governments or communities or individual should pay attention to the control of new urban poverty and new slums. This paper consider that it is necessary to launch a successful policy, which include mainly: 1) accommodating urban growth through low-cost investment projects; 2) urban economy depends heavily on successful macroeconomic policy; 3) to broaden the three channels linking adjustment to the incidence of urban poverty; 4) to restructure urban economic based on the high or new technology; 5) to coordinate relationship between urban economic growth and environment management for sustainable development of Beijing′ s metropolitan fringe. 相似文献
14.
基于FLUS-UGB的县域土地利用模拟及城镇开发边界划定研究 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
当前城镇开发边界的制定与已有基本农田和生态保护红线存在较大的龃龉,在新的国土空间规划体系下,需要科学划定县域合理的城镇开发边界以实现国土空间的可持续开发利用。对此,本文提出了基于三线协调和FLUS-UGB的城镇增长边界划定方法,以江苏省丰县为研究案例,在对其2011—2017年土地利用进行模拟和验证的基础上预测了至2035年的多情景土地利用变化,结合耕地保护与生态控制背景,最终确定城镇增长边界。结果表明：① 2017年丰县土地利用模拟的总体精度达到94.7%,Kappa系数为0.895,模拟精度较高。② 基准情景下,城镇用地呈现“摊大饼”的空间扩张趋势。在耕地保护与生态控制背景下,城镇呈“放射式”向外有序扩张。③ 预测2035年丰县城镇用地开发边界面积为80.29 km2,2017—2035年共17年增长幅度达到69.07%。明确划分城镇开发边界能够有效避免城镇用地对永久基本农田和重要生态用地的侵占,从而实现城镇扩张、永久基本农田和重要生态用地保护三者之间的良好空间协调。 相似文献
15.
Evolution of population, resources, environment and integrated strategy of their development in Shanghai 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
Study on coordiantion among population(P), resources(R), environment(E), and development(D) (PRED) has comprehensive and extensive
contents, which serves as the core of sustainable development. Since the 1980s, PRED has been becoming one of the most important
regional studies in China. Based on existing research and collected data, this study analyses the course of the PRED evolution
in Shanghai during 1978–1995. Seven indicators were selected to assess the evolution characteristics and interaction mechanism
of Shanghai PRED, including growth rate of GDP, growth rate of population, growth rate of industry energy consumption etc.
These indicators were designed to reflect representativeness, relativity and data availability. This study showed that there
was obvious asynchronous among indicators and annual change of single indicator lacked of regularity, coordination between
environment and economic remains the main challenge facing Shanghai, and the key readjusted factors will be population growth
rate, GDP growth rate and per residential area growth rate. The study further pointed out that plan, structure and system
power were equally important for the more coordinate development in Shanghai. Detailed dicussion on the systematic measurement
in each aspect of P, R, E, D indicated that higher development level is the essential basis for Shanghai PRED coordination.
Foundation item: Qimingxin Scheme Sponsored by Shanghai Science and Technology Committee.
Biography: YUAN Wen(1965–), female, a native of Changzhou City, Jiangsu Prorince, Ph. D in environmental evolution and sustainable
development, associate professor of East China Normal University. 相似文献
16.
Urbanization is a comprehensive concept, a trinity process that population urbanization, economic urbanization and space urbanization, is based on the interactions and mutual influences among the in which, people are the central and leading players in this process, while economic activities serve as the driving force and space is the carrier-the physical or material setting as well as the product. So the coordination among these processes is crucial for a country or region＇s sustainable development. China is experiencing rapid growth of cities and a surge in urban population, with the basic national condition of many people and little land, which calls for a systematic study of the issue of coordinated urbanization from theoretical, methodological and practical perspectives. Based on the concept of urbanization and non-coordination of urbanization, this article built a quantitative method to identify and evaluate the urbanization and non-coordination of urbanization, and made an empirical analysis in China between 2000 and 2008. The results show that the non-coordination overall level of China＇s urbanization declined during the study period, because population urbanization, economic urbanization, and space urbanization exhibited different trajectories of change. This study also reveals that performance assessment system, household registration system, and urban land expropriation system, etc., are the main affecting factors. At the end, we put forward some suggestions to achieve sustainable development of China＇s urbanization from the aspects of improving the local government＇s obiective function, imolementing the urban plalming svstem, enforcing public particination asnects and so on. 相似文献
17.
《中国地理科学(英文版)》2020,(4)
Urban agglomeration is the main spatial organization mode used by the Chinese government to promote the policy of new urbanization strategy. Hence, a better understanding of the urban growth boundary(UGB) has profound theoretical and practical significance regarding sustainable urban development. This study devised a raster-based land use spatial optimization(LUSO) framework, and utilized ant colony optimization(ACO) algorithm to delimit the smart growth boundaries of the Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan city group(CZTCG) in China. The aim of this study is to design a LUSO model to explore an optimal pattern of urban agglomeration for sustainable growth. Multi growth scenario including a single development center, multipolar development and balanced development patterns are generated by the LUSO model for the year of 2050, and the optimum spatial pattern is chosen based on objectives comparison and the present stage of economic and social development in CZTCG. The main results are listed as the following. 1) It is feasible to identify the growth boundaries of the urban agglomeration using the land use spatial optimization model, and the optimal form of the spatial pattern can be defined. 2) With the growth trend of the urban agglomeration gradually spreads from a single center to multi-centers and even small towns, the total optimization target performance gradually increases, which means that the traditional pie-shaped development does not meet the maximum comprehensive benefit of the city group. 3) Subject to the regional social and economic development stage, absolute fair development or simply developing the central city is not conducive to promoting the coordinated development of the urban agglomeration. Gradient equalization and gradual advancement are the best choice for UGB delineation of urban agglomeration. The findings of this study would be useful to identify the UGB in CZTCG for more sustainable urban development in the future. 相似文献
18.
19.
WANGHong GUChao－lin 《中国地理科学(英文版)》2002,12(2):152-156
Chinaˊs urban reforms have brought social progress and development,but a comprehensive national system of social welfare(for example,unemployment insurance,pensions,medical care and public housing)for new migrants from rural areas is lacking.One of the most remarkable changes in Chinese cities in the last decade was a change in so-cial“equality“,with the rise of new poverty both in individual communities and some social groups in urban society.Howev-er,there is little social assistance and public infrastructure for the migrants.Governments or communities or individual should pay attention to the control of new urban poverty and new slums.This paper consider that it is necessary to launch a successful policy,which include mainly:1)accommodating urban growth through low-cost investment projects;2)ur-ban economy depends heavily on successful macroeconomic policy;3)to broaden the three channels linking adjustment to the incidence of urban poverty;4)to restructure urban economic based on the high or new technology;5)to coordi-nate relationship between urban economic growth and environment management for sustainable development of Beijingˊs metropolitan fringe. 相似文献