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1.
针对1975年辽宁海城7.3级地震预报,对某些历史事实进行了订实,对其预报的偶然性与必然性进行了分析,并对"1975年海城地震预报"一文的某些观点和史实进行了讨论。  相似文献   

2.
明清时期西昌三次地震救助措施及社会影响   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
记述了西昌地区1489年、1536年和1850年地震灾害,分别对每次地震救助措施进行了研究整理、归纳和介绍。在此基础上,对影响社会的几种有关地震传说进行了研究考证和澄清。  相似文献   

3.
1954年2月11日山丹大地震距今已有三十年了。在这三十年中,曾有不少地震工作者深入震区,对山丹地震进行了实地考察。后来也有不少学者对与这次地震有关的问题进行了研究。在今天,把这些研究作一回顾总结,对今后地震学的研究是不无裨益的。1954年山丹地震发生后不久,甘肃省工业厅朱允明等就赴震区对山丹地震进行了调查,  相似文献   

4.
目前时间序列分析在工业及水文、气象、地球物理等自然科学领域中得到了迅速发展。本文用非线性门限自回归及最大熵谱分析方法分析了我国年最大震级和全球年地震能量释放序列。最大熵谱分析具有分辨率高、周期偏移小的突出优点。对1897年至1983年的我国最大震级和全球年地震能量序列进行了最大熵谱分析,计算结果表明,我国年最大震级的周期为3.9年,全球年地震能量的显著周期为7.7年、4.4年、2.9年、及2.3年。对上述序列进行了门限自回归分析,并对我国分区年最大震级序列进行了门限自回归分析。在门限延迟值d=4,8,10时相应的AIC值为谷值。  相似文献   

5.
对2012年和2013年的浚县地震台测震数据进行了统计。对影响数据连续性的原因以及故障进行了分类和分析,对提高测震数据连续率以及提高测震系统整体工作质量提出建议以及改进方法。  相似文献   

6.
本文叙述了地震活动的综合概率预报方法,并对宁夏及青海地区(35°00’-41°00’N,100°00’-107°40’E)1970年以来的地震活动资料进行了统计计算,对1992年-1993年该区地震活动进行了综合预报效能检验。并据此对该区1994年-1995年的地震趋势做了估计。  相似文献   

7.
仁和压容应变短临异常信息的提取及映震能力分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
张永久  朱航  程万正 《内陆地震》2003,17(2):134-140
自1997年以来,已经在仁和压容应变台监测范围内发生了多次中等地震。应用一元线性回归分析方法对1997年4月到2001年12月底的压容应变和井孔水位资料进行分析处理,对该台1997年4月以来的异常特征和映震能力进行了分析和探讨。  相似文献   

8.
用文献(贺仲雄,1983)提出的一种模糊综合评判方法,对内蒙布特哈旗一带进行了地震年度预报研究。利用1971~1988年共18年观测资料作为样本资料,对后17年进行预报检验,取得了较好的结果。  相似文献   

9.
1979年,我们对1924年7月发生在阿尔金断裂带上的两次7 1/4级地震进行了初步考察,依据调查访问的资料圈定了这两次地震综合等震线图。1985年和1986年,我们再次深入极震区对这两次大震进行了调查访问,收集到丰富的实际震害资料。  相似文献   

10.
根据焦运碧、华爱军等给出的方法,用微机对山东省测震台网的观测精度进行扫描,得到山东省测震台网对不同震级(M_L)地震的观测精度分布图。并用山东省内1981年~1987年的地震精度资料,对扫描结果进行了检验,并对影响观测精度的因素进行了定量分析。  相似文献   

11.
Sediment samples from the Gomti River basin were investigated to determine and evaluate trace metal concentrations,their biological effect,and potential ecological and human health risks for adults and children.The mean concentrations of trace metals were organized in the descending order of mercury(Hg)(0.08 mg/kg)>chromium(Cr)(0.06 mg/kg)>lead(Pb)(0.05 mg/kg)>arsenic(As)(0.02 mg/kg)>cadmium(Cd)(0.01 mg/kg).The current study illustrated that metals were attributed to the area from natural sources and different anthropogenic sources especially from industries.However,the concentration levels were lower than the sediment quality guidelines(SQGs)based on the effect-range classifications of threshold effect concentration(TEC)and probable effect concentration(PEC).Therefore,the concentration of the elements showed no adverse biological effects on aquatic organisms.The evaluated potential ecological risk index also revealed the low toxicity to the aquatic environment.Moreover,the applied sediment quality indices,geo-accumulation index(Igeo),contamination factor(CF),and contamination severity index(CSI)suggested that the contamination levels of the elements were in the acceptable range,and the contamination had not notably impacted on the sediment quality.The risk index(HI)concerning age groups was significantly less than the threshold limit of 1 indicating that the contamination had no non-carcinogenic risk effect.The total carcinogenic risk(TCR)was less than a risk value of 1×104.Hence,the current study suggests that immediate remediation is not required due to an absence of alarming conditions in the study area.Proper monitoring of the attribution of the metal elements should be done for the betterment of human and environmental health。  相似文献   

12.
Sun, climate, hunger, and mass migration   总被引:9,自引:1,他引:8  
Paleoclimatic studies indicate four epochs of global cooling during the last 4 000 years, i. e. during the few centuries before and after 2000 BC, 800 BC, 400 AD, and 1 600 AD; the quasiperiodicity corresponds to cyclic variation of solar activity. Global temperature changes influenced regional precipitation patterns: Northern Europe was wetter while the middle- and low-latitude lands were more arid during colder epochs. Both sets of cold climatical conditions were unfavorable for agricultural production. Historical records show that large demographic movements in history took place because of crop failures and mass starvation, rather than escaping from war zones. The “wandering” of the Germanic tribes during the first two or three centuries of the Christian Era is one example. Whereas the accelerated release of carbon dioxide from the burning of fossil fuels is ultimately to cause global warming, historical evidence indicates, however, that global warming has been on the whole a blessing to mankind. Global cooling, on the other hand, has curtailed agricultural production and has led to famines and mass migrations of people. Perhaps the most important task at the present is not so much computer-modelling of greenhouse effect on global climate, but water-management and agricultural researches to insure food-supply for an everincreasing world population.  相似文献   

13.
The size, shape, and magmatic history of the most recently discovered shield volcano in the Hawaiian Islands, Mahukona, have been controversial. Mahukona corresponds to what was thought to be a gap in the paired sequence (Loa and Kea trends) of younger Hawaiian volcanoes (<4?Ma). Here, we present the results of marine expeditions to Mahukona where new bathymetry, sidescan sonar, gravity data, and lava samples were collected to address these controversies. Modeling of bathymetric and gravity data indicate that Mahukona is one of the smallest Hawaiian volcanoes (~6,000?km3) and that its magmatic system was not focused in a long-lived central reservoir like most other Hawaiian volcanoes. This lack of a long-lived magmatic reservoir is reflected by the absence of a central residual gravity high and the random distribution of cones on Mahukona Volcano. Our reconstructed subsidence history for Mahukona suggests it grew to at least ~270?m below sea level but probably did not form an island. New 40Ar–39Ar plateau ages range from 350 to 654?ka providing temporal constraints for Mahukona’s post-shield and shield stages of volcanism, which ended prematurely. Mahukona post-shield lavas have high 3He/4He ratios (16–21?Ra), which have not been observed in post-shield lavas from other Hawaiian volcanoes. Lava compositions range widely at Mahukona, including Pb isotopic values that straddle the boundary between Kea and Loa sequences of volcanoes. The compositional diversity of Mahukona lavas may be related to its relatively small size (less extensive melting) and the absence of a central magma reservoir where magmas would have been homogenized.  相似文献   

14.
阪神·淡路大震灾后 ,日本着手对原有的地震观测体制作彻底改革 ,多项全国性配置地震计的计划同时开始启动。地震引起的地面晃动的程度不尽相同 ,无感微小地震引发的晃动仅有 0 .0 0 1 μm,频率为1 0 Hz;巨大地震引起的地面晃动的幅度高达 2~ 3 m,周期也有几十秒。虽说都称之为地震计 ,但由于地震动的振幅和频率涉及的范围太大 ,所以应针对观测对象选用不同类型的地震计。下面介绍不同类型的观测网。1 强震观测网 ( K- NET)无论大地有多大的晃动都能将其准确记录下来的地震计称之为强震计。它构造坚实 ,信号明确 ,通常设置在地表 ,对了…  相似文献   

15.
Transitional, entraining, cloudy, and coastal boundary layers   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
Atmospheric boundary layers are marvelously varied and complex. Recent research has examined some of that variety. Boundary layers over land undergo drastic changes throughout the day as the sun rises and sets, and as clouds form and dissipate. Air is entrained at the top of the boundary layer at varying rates. As air moves over the coast, the boundary layer reacts to changes in surface forcing. All of these changes affect pollutant transport and weather formation. In this paper, research attempting to understand transitional, cloud-topped, and coastal boundary layers, and boundary-layer top entrainment, is reviewed.  相似文献   

16.
In this study, we have checked the location and focal depth of the Yecheng earthquake (m b = 6.0, maximum intensity VII) of February 14, 1980. The result shows that this is an intermediate event with a focal depth of 90 km. The microepicenter is located at 36. 4°N, 76, 9°E, while the macroepicenter is at 37.3°N, 76.9°E, 90 km to the north of the microepicenter. This is the first destructive intermediate event in China which led to a damage as severe as of intensity VII. The focal mechanism of the event is determined to be of thrust type. Combined with the analysis of seismological and geological data in surrounding area, the possible relation between the event and plate movement has been discussed. The result in this paper indicates that in some particular place, the destructive effect of intermediate event should be considered in seismic hazard assessment.  相似文献   

17.
In this study, we experimentally established the relationship between physical properties, vitrinite reflectance, and microstructure of coal, Taiyuan Formation, Qinshui Basin, China using representative coal samples collected from three different mines via the rock mechanics testing system (MTS). We analyzed the organic macerals, vitrinite reflectance, and microstructure of 11 coal samples using petrography and scanning electron microscopy (SEM). The experimental results suggest that (1) the elastic parameters can be described by linear equations, (2) both P-and S-wave velocities display anisotropy, (3) the anisotropy negatively correlates with vitrinite reflectance, and (4) the acoustic velocities and Young’s modulus are negatively correlated with the volume of micropores. The derived empirical equations can be used in the forward modeling and seismic inversion of physical properties of coal for improving the coal-bed methane (CBM) reservoir characterization.  相似文献   

18.
内蒙古东乌珠穆沁旗-辽宁东沟地学断面   总被引:34,自引:10,他引:34  
内蒙古东乌珠穆沁旗-辽宁东沟地学断面位于中国东北地区,全长960 km.从东至西横穿中朝地台的辽东台隆、下辽河断陷、燕山台褶带、内蒙地轴和内蒙古-大兴安岭褶皱系的西拉木伦河加里东褶皱带、贺根山华力西褶皱带和东乌珠穆沁旗加里东褶皱带等构造单元.在断面东南部还穿过海城地震区. 沿断面进行了综合地球物理深部探测、地质调查及综合研究,揭示了该断面地壳与上地幔结构明显地具有纵向分层、横向分区的特点.反映了中朝地台与内蒙古-大兴安岭褶皱系不同的地质构造演化历史、板缘和板内构造及其动力学特征.本文还阐述了海城强震区、朝阳-义县及西拉木伦河地震较活跃地区特殊的深部构造环境.  相似文献   

19.
This study addresses the changes in dissolved major and trace element concentrations along the Orinoco River, including the mixing zone between the Orinoco and Apure Rivers. Water samples from the Apure and Orinoco Rivers were collected monthly in four sectors over a period of 15 months. Auxiliary parameters (pH, dissolved oxygen, conductivity, and temperature), total suspended sediments, dissolved organic carbon (DOC), and major (Na, K, Ca, Mg, and Si) and trace (Al, Fe, Mn, Zn, Cu, and Cr) element concentrations were measured in all sectors. The relative contribution of both rivers after the Apure–Orinoco confluence was determined using Ca as a tracer. Moreover, a mixing model was developed to determine whether dissolved species exhibit a conservative behavior during mixing. The results indicate that DOC is removed from waters during the Apure–Orinoco mixing, probably due to absorption of DOC on mineral phases supplied by the Apure River. Dissolved Na, Ca, and Mg behave conservatively during the mixing processes, and their concentrations are controlled by a dilution process. The anomaly in the temporal pattern of K in the Orinoco is caused by the input of biogenic K originating from the Apure River during the high‐water stage. The loss of dissolved Si during the low‐water stage can be explained by the uptake of Si by diatoms. Dissolved Mn, Zn, Al, and Fe showed a non‐conservative behavior during the Apure–Orinoco mixing. The removal of Mn and Zn from the dissolved phase can be explained by the formation of Mn‐oxyhydroxides and the scavenging of Zn onto Mn oxides. Dissolved Fe is controlled by redox processes, although the removals of Fe and Al due to the preferential adsorption of large organometallic complexes by mineral surfaces after the Apure–Orinoco confluence can affect the mobility of both elements during transport. The conservative behavior shown by Cu and Cr can be related to the tendency of both elements to be complexed with small organic colloids, which are not preferentially adsorbed by clays.  相似文献   

20.
Seismic data collected at four volcanoes in Central America during 1973 and 1974 indicate three sources of seismicity: regional earthquakes with hypocentral distances greater than 80 km, earthquakes within 40 km of each volcano, and seismic activity originating at the volcanoes due to eruptive processes. Regional earthquakes generated by the underthrusting and subduction of the Cocos Plate beneath the Caribbean Plate are the most prominent seismic feature in Central America. Earthquakes in the vicinity of the volcanoes occur on faults that appear to be related to volcano formation. Faulting near Fuego and Pacaya volcanoes in Guatemala is more complex due to motion on a major E-W striking transform plate boundary 40 km north of the volcanoes. Volcanic activity produces different kinds of seismic signatures. Shallow tectonic or A-type events originate on nearby faults and occur both singly and in swarms. There are typically from 0 to 6 A-type events per day withb value of about 1.3. At very shallow depths beneath Pacaya, Izalco, and San Cristobal large numbers of low-frequency or B-type events are recorded with predominant frequencies between 2.5 and 4.5 Hz and withb values of 1.7 to 2.9. The relative number of B-type events appears to be related to the eruptive states of the volcanoes; the more active volcanoes have higher levels of seismicity. At Fuego Volcano, however, low-frequency events have unusually long codas and appear to be similar to tremor. High-amplitude volcanic tremor is recorded at Fuego, Pacaya, and San Cristobal during eruptive periods. Large explosion earthquakes at Fuego are well recorded at five stations and yield information on near-surface seismic wave velocities (α=3.0±0.2 km/sec.).  相似文献   

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