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1.
In this study,we aimed to elucidate the critical role of moisture transport affecting monsoon activity in two contrasting summers over the Arabian Sea during the years 1994,a relatively wet year,and 2002,a relatively dry year.A comprehensive diagnostic evaluation and comparisons of the moisture fields were conducted;we focused on the precipitation and evaporation as well as the moisture transport and its divergence or convergence in the atmosphere.Monthly mean reanalysis data were obtained from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction(NCEP-I and-II).A detailed evaluation of the moisture budgets over Pakistan during these two years was made by calculating the latent energy flux at the surface(E P) from the divergence of the total moisture transport.Our results confirm the moisture supply over the Arabian Sea to be the major source of rainfall in Pakistan and neighboring regions.In 1994,Pakistan received more rainfall compared to 2002 during the summer monsoon.Moisture flow deepens and strengthens over Arabian Sea during the peak summer monsoon months of July and August.Our analysis shows that vertically integrated moisture transport flux have a significant role in supplying moisture to the convective centers over Pakistan and neighboring regions from the divergent regions of the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal.Moreover,in 1994,a deeper vertically integrated moisture convergence progression occurred over Pakistan compared to that in 2002.Perhaps that deeper convergence resulted in a more intense moisture depression over Pakistan and also caused more rainfall in 1994 during the summer monsoon.Finally,from the water budget analysis,it has been surmised that the water budget was larger in 1994 than in 2002 during the summer monsoon.  相似文献   

2.
利用1961~2020年西南地区东部118个气象站逐日降水量资料和1979~2020年欧洲中期天气预报中心(ECMWF)的ERA5逐月再分析资料以及美国气象环境预报中心和美国国家大气研究中心(NCEP/NCAR)提供的逐6 h全球再分析资料,采用相关、回归、聚类、混合单粒子拉格朗日综合轨迹(HYSPLITv5.0)模型...  相似文献   

3.
中国西南地区东部秋季干旱的环流特征及其成因分析   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
利用1961--2010年NCEP/NCAR再分析资料和全国753站月平均降水资料,研究了我国西南地区东部秋季干旱的环流特征及其成因。结果表明,西南地区东部秋季降水存在明显的年际和年代际变化。其中,年代际变化主要表现为,在20世纪80年代中后期,降水存在由多转少的突变;降水量年际变化则与苏门答腊一西太平洋和热带东太平洋的海温分布存在很好的关系。当苏门答腊一西太平洋和东太平洋海温呈现“+-”异常分布时,引起大气热源的异常,加强哈德莱环流,同时,在南海及孟加拉湾附近激发出异常气旋性环流,而西南地区东部则处于南海气旋性环流外围异常偏北气流控制,削弱了孟加拉湾的水汽输送,从而造成西南地区东部的干旱。通过大气环流模式NCARCAM3.0(Community Atmosphere Model3.0)的海温异常试验,验证了上述观测结论。  相似文献   

4.
The climatological characteristics of the moisture budget over the joining area of Asia and the Indian-Pacific Ocean (AIPO) and its adjacent regions as well as their anomalies have been estimated in this study. The main results are as follows. In the winter, the northeasterly moisture transport covers the extensive areas at the lower latitudes of the AIPO. The westerly and northerly moisture transport is the major source and the South Indian Ocean (SIO) is the moisture sink. In the summer, influenced by the southwesterly monsoonal wind, the cross-equatorial southwesterly moisture transport across Somali originating from the SIO is transported through the Arabian Sea (AS), the Bay of Bengal (BOB), and the South China Sea (SCS) to eastern China. The AIPO is controlled by the southwesterly moisture transport. The net moisture influx over the AIPO has obvious interannual and interdecadal variations. From the mid- or late 1970s, the influxes over the SIO, the AS, the northern part of the western North Pacific (NWNP), and North China (NC) as well as South China (SC) begin to decrease abruptly, while those over Northeast China (NEC) and the Yangtze River-Huaihe River basins (YHRB) have increased remarkably. As a whole, the net moisture influxes over the BOB and the southern part of the western North Pacific (SWNP) in the recent 50 years take on a linear increasing trend. However, the transition timing for these two regions is different with the former being at the mid- or late 1980s and the latter occurring earlier, approximately at the early stage of the 1970s. The anomalous moisture source associated with the precipitation anomalies is different from the normal conditions of the summer precipitation. For the drought or flood years or the years of El Ni\~no and its following years, the anomalous moisture transport originating from the western North Pacific (WNP) is the vital source of the anomalous precipitation over eastern China, which is greatly related with the variation of the subtropical Pacific high.  相似文献   

5.
This study simulated the moisture transport process of southern China annually first rainy season (SCAFRS) using a Lagrangian airflow trajectory model (Hybrid Single Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory: HYSPLIT), to determine SCAFRS moisture transport characteristics and their relationship with South China Sea summer monsoon (SCSSM). It is found that the moisture transport paths and sources of SCAFRS are closely related to the onset of SCSSM. Divided by SCSSM onset dates, the moisture transport characteristics of SCAFRS are compared quantitatively. Before the onset of SCSSM, precipitation of SCAFRS mainly comes from western Pacific and eastern China. Their contributions are 24% and 25%, respectively. The amount of water vapor carried along the path coming from Bay of Bengal-South China Sea (BSC) is relatively high, but the contribution rate of this path to SCAFRS precipitation is relatively low. Mainly due to strong precipitation over Bay of Bengal before the onset of SCSSM, this region is a moisture sink, which makes most moisture deposit in this region and only a small portion of water vapor transported to southern China. After the onset of SCSSM, most water vapor is transported to southern China by the southwesterly paths. The Indian Ocean is the main moisture source, which contributes almost 25% to SCAFRS precipitation. The contributions of moisture originating from BSC and eastern China to southern China precipitation after the onset of SCSSM are 21% and 18%, respectively.  相似文献   

6.
以NCEP/NCAR每日4次的GFS (Global Forecast System) 再分析资料驱动大气三维输送模式FLEXPART (Flexible Particle Model), 借助于拉格朗日水汽输送和源区识别技术, 在考虑了空气块输送过程中的比湿变化基础上, 诊断三江源区大气的水汽来源、输送途径及其空间结构特征。结果表明:夏季三江源区短时输送 (6 d内) 的水汽主要来自于青藏高原以及其西北侧陆地区域, 而更长时间 (8~10 d) 的来源可追踪到阿拉伯海和孟加拉湾等远距离海洋区域; 水汽输送通道主要有两支, 第1支为沿着索马里海到阿拉伯海的跨赤道水汽输送, 第2支为在西风控制下从中亚乃至西亚地区向三江源区的输送。定量分析亦显示:6月青藏高原西侧的水汽输送贡献最大, 7月阿拉伯海成为了主要水汽来源, 8月阿拉伯海水汽输送贡献减小。  相似文献   

7.
基于1961-2016年中国地面台站降水观测资料和多种再分析资料,分析了东部型和中部型两类厄尔尼诺事件对中国夏季水汽输送和降水的不同影响。结果表明:(1)厄尔尼诺事件对中国夏季降水的影响在发生当年和次年有明显的不同,主要影响是在其发生的次年,中国大部分地区的夏季降水明显偏多。(2)东部型厄尔尼诺事件当年夏季,西北太平洋副热带高压(副高)偏东偏弱,水汽输送条件较弱,不利于中国大范围降水的发生;中部型事件当年夏季,低纬度印度洋和西太平洋蒸发异常偏强,来自阿拉伯海、孟加拉湾和西北太平洋向华南地区的水汽输送和净水汽收支增加,有利于华南地区降水的异常增多。(3)东部型厄尔尼诺事件次年夏季,副热带太平洋蒸发异常偏强,副高西伸,由于东亚-太平洋(EAP)遥相关型的建立,副高西侧的强西南气流将来自太平洋蒸发的大量水汽持续输送至中国中东部地区。此外,在东亚-太平洋遥相关型影响下中高纬度地区建立了亚洲双阻型环流,其间的低槽冷涡与上游阻高之间的强偏北气流有利于北冰洋的水汽持续输送到西北和华北北部地区,中国大部分地区净水汽收支均增加,中国北方和南方地区的降水均产生了明显的同步性增多响应,形成了南北两条异常雨带。中部型厄尔尼诺事件次年夏季,副高较常年偏西且偏北,来自太平洋蒸发的大量水汽输送到江淮地区,使其净水汽收支增加和降水偏多。因此,厄尔尼诺事件的发生不仅对长江流域和淮河流域等南方地区的降水有重要影响,对华北、东北和西北地区的降水异常也有相当的作用。  相似文献   

8.
The time series of the sea surface temperature(SST) anomaly,covering the eastern (western) equatorial Pacific,central Indian Ocean,Arabian Sea.Bay of Bengal and South China Sea(SCS),have been analyzed by using wavelet transform.Results show that there exists same interdeeadal variability of SST in the tropical Pacific and tropical Indian Ocean,and also show that the last decadal abrupt change occurred in the 1970s.On the interannual time scale,there is a similar interannual variability among the equatorial central Indian Ocean and the adjacent three sea basins(Arabian Sea.Bay of Bengal and South China Sea).but the SST interannual changes of the Indian Ocean lagged 4-5 months behind that of the equatorial central-east Pacific.Meanwhile,the interannual variability and long-range change between SST anomaly and Indian summer monsoon rainfall in recent decades have been explained and analyzed.It indicates that there existed a wet(dry) period in India when the tropical SST was lower(higher)than normal,but there was a lag of phase between them.  相似文献   

9.
薛一迪  崔晓鹏 《大气科学》2020,44(2):341-355
利用拉格朗日轨迹追踪模式FLEXPART(the Flexible Particle Model)和水汽源区定量贡献分析方法,研究了超强台风"威马逊"登陆期间(2014年7月17日06:00至19日06:00,协调世界时)强降水的水汽来源和源区定量贡献。结果表明,大量目标气块源自目标降水区西南侧和东侧,西南侧气块可追溯到阿拉伯海和孟加拉湾等地区,且大部分气块来自相对较低层大气,高度在输送途中变化不大,来自东侧的气块可追溯到西太平洋海域,气块初始位置相对较高,在输送途中逐渐降低;源区定量贡献分析显示:南海区域(C)贡献最大,目标降水区域(T)局地贡献次之,孟加拉湾(B)和西太平洋南部区域(D)贡献相当且均低于区域T;区域C和T对"威马逊"登陆期间降水贡献较大源于其较高的源区水汽摄取率(尤其是区域C)和较低的沿途损耗率(尤其是区域T);区域B源地水汽摄取量高于区域D,但从前者摄取的水汽到达目标降水区域而未被释放的比例明显高于后者,同时,两者沿途损耗率相当,造成两者对目标降水区域的最终贡献也相当;尽管阿拉伯海区域(A)水汽摄取亦较明显,但由于沿途的显著消耗,导致其对目标降水区域的最终贡献显著降低。FLEXPART轨迹追踪模式和水汽源区定量贡献分析方法,与以往常用的环流和水汽通量进行定性分析相比,可更为清晰和定量地揭示热带气旋降水的水汽来源特征。  相似文献   

10.
李永生  张丽霞  王波 《大气科学》2020,44(3):611-624
本文基于Brubaker二元模型,采用JRA-55再分析资料定量研究了局地蒸发和外部水汽输送对松花江流域夏季气候态降水及其年际变率的相对贡献,并探讨了相应的物理机制。气候平均而言,外部水汽输送是松花江流域初夏(5~6月)和盛夏(7~8月)降水的最主要水汽源。受西风带影响,初夏自西边界进入松花江流域的水汽贡献占主导,外部水汽输送对当地降水的贡献为78.9%,源自蒸发的水汽贡献为21.1%。较之初夏,由于盛夏来自南边界的水汽输送加倍,外部水汽输送贡献增加,外部水汽输送和蒸发对降水贡献分别为86%和14%。JRA-55再分析资料可以合理再现观测降水演变,1961~2016年JRA-55再分析资料降水与观测在初夏与盛夏的相关系数分别可以达到0.73和0.83。研究发现,初夏,由于西南季风异常导致的南边界进入的水汽输送异常是松花江流域降水年际变率的主要原因,自西边界、北边界进入的水汽输送与降水呈现显著负相关,初夏局地蒸发的贡献不显著,该水汽输送异常对应的环流型易发生在El Ni?o衰减年初夏。盛夏来自南边界的水汽输送起主导作用,局地蒸发贡献与降水变化显著负相关,海温强迫作用对该环流异常的强迫并不显著,中高纬度大气内部变率影响占主导。由于盛夏降水与地表温度在盛夏期间显著负相关,盛夏时期降水偏少时,温度偏高,蒸发偏强,进而蒸发水汽对降水贡献增加。  相似文献   

11.
本文利用2010—2019年滇中石林县的全球再分析资料,通过HYSPLIT模型的后向轨迹对不同季节和不同高度的水汽来源进行追踪和分析。结果表明:石林县四季的水汽源地和水汽运移路径存在差异。春季水汽主要来源于受高空西风影响的欧亚大陆和非洲北部,夏季水汽主要来源于孟加拉湾,南海和西太平洋海域,秋季水汽主要来源于孟加拉湾—南海和西太平洋,冬季主要来源于欧亚大陆和非洲北部的高空西风、孟加拉湾海域。石林县的水汽通道有阿拉伯海和孟加拉湾—南海、西太平洋、欧亚非大陆、局地五条水汽通道,且春夏秋冬四季的不同高度层的水汽输送通道和水汽贡献率存在较大差异。  相似文献   

12.
Impact of Northwest Pacific anticyclone on the Indian summer monsoon region   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0  
Influence of northwest (NW) Pacific anticyclone on the Indian summer monsoon (ISM), particularly over the head Bay of Bengal and monsoon trough region, is investigated. Strong NW Pacific anticyclone during summer induces negative precipitation anomalies over the head Bay of Bengal and Gangetic Plain region. Westward extension of moisture divergence and dry moisture transport from NW Pacific associated with anticyclone (ridge) and local Hadley cell-induced subsidence are responsible for these negative precipitation anomalies. The impact is maximum when the anticyclone and Indian Ocean basin warming co-occur. This contributes significantly to year-to-year variability of ISM.  相似文献   

13.
中国东南部冬季降水变化及其环流特征   总被引:2,自引:2,他引:0       下载免费PDF全文
利用1951-2011年中国160站降水资料及NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,分析了中国东南部冬季降水的年际变化及与之相关的环流和水汽输送特征。结果表明:中国东南部冬季降水年际差异较明显,当降水异常偏多(少)时,蒙古高压及中国广大南方地区海平面气压异常偏低(高),而亚洲附近的洋面上则异常偏高(低);500 hPa上,巴尔喀什湖附近的高压脊和东亚大槽均偏弱(强);高层东亚西风急流异常偏弱(强),中东地区急流异常偏强(弱);中国东部20~30°N出现显著异常上升(下沉)运动,低纬度地区出现异常下沉(上升)运动。影响中国东南部冬季降水的水汽输送主要有两支:来自西风带绕高原的南支气流,经过阿拉伯海和孟加拉湾向华南的输送水汽;来自低纬西太平洋,经南海向中国西南的水汽输送。此外,东亚冬季风与中国东南部冬季降水关系密切。  相似文献   

14.
基于近57 a (1961—2017年)西藏雅鲁藏布江中游河谷地区(简称雅江河谷)4个站(拉萨、日喀则、泽当和江孜)盛夏(7—8月)月平均降水和同期NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,采用合成、相关分析等统计诊断方法,分析了雅江河谷盛夏降水的年际变化特征及其与大气环流的联系。结果表明:1)近57 a雅江河谷盛夏降水无显著线性趋势,降水主要以3~4 a显著周期的年际振荡为主。2)雅江河谷盛夏降水年际波动与区域内水汽收支的变化直接相关,其中印度半岛-东南亚异常反气旋引起的水汽输送通量和水汽在高原腹地辐合上升的动力过程是盛夏降水年际变化的主要原因。3)对流层中低层印度半岛-东南亚异常反气旋环流是该地区盛夏降水年际异常的重要水汽输送通道,该通道将西太平洋、南海和孟加拉湾等地水汽不断输送到高原,期间西太副高和伊朗高压等大尺度系统异常对水汽输送过程起到了重要作用,同时高原盛夏季风低压和南亚高压异常给水汽在高原腹地辐合抬升提供了动力条件。  相似文献   

15.
利用WRF区域模式模拟分析了中南半岛地区春季土壤湿度异常对亚洲热带夏季风建立和发展的影响,结果表明:亚洲热带夏季风对中南半岛春季土壤湿度的响应是不对称的,当中南半岛春季土壤湿度偏高时,中南半岛及孟加拉湾周边地区呈现异常东风,伴随降水减少,季风减弱;而中南半岛春季土壤湿度偏低时,孟加拉湾及周边地区西风减弱,降水减少,季风也对应减弱。通过进一步分析物理机制得到,中南半岛春季土壤湿度异常偏高使季风建立初期感热减小,陆表温度明显降低,从而导致海陆温差逐渐降低,使季风减弱;而中南半岛春季土壤湿度异常偏低使整个中南半岛区域蒸发减少,导致地表向上输送的水汽减少,减弱季风环流和降水。此外,通过分析850 h Pa纬向风及对流层中上层经向温度梯度两项季风暴发指数,探讨了中南半岛春季土壤湿度异常对孟加拉湾东部季风暴发时间的影响,结果表明:中南半岛春季土壤湿度偏高时,孟加拉湾东部季风暴发时间大约推迟10天左右,而土壤湿度较低对亚洲热带夏季风暴发时间影响甚微。  相似文献   

16.
本文通过多套观测与再分析降水资料的比较,分析了雅鲁藏布江流域夏季降水的特征,从水汽含量与水汽输送的角度检验了雅鲁藏布江水汽通道的特点,研究了流域夏季降水的年际变化及其原因。分析表明:(1)该流域夏季降水大值位于雅鲁藏布江出海口至大峡谷一带,观测中流域平均降水可达5.8 mm d-1。不同资料表现的降水空间分布一致,但再分析降水普遍强于观测,平均为观测的2倍左右。(2)该流域夏季的水汽主要来自印度洋和孟加拉湾的偏南暖湿水汽输送,自孟加拉湾出海口沿布拉马普特拉河上溯至大峡谷,即雅鲁藏布江水汽通道。水汽收支诊断表明,夏季流域南部(即水汽通道所在处)是水汽辐合中心,流域平均的辐合约9.5 mm d-1,主要来自风场辐合与地形坡度的贡献。(3)不同再分析资料表现的流域降水和水汽分布特征总体一致,但量值差异较大。NCEP(美国国家环境预报中心)气候预报系统再分析资料CFSR、日本气象厅再分析资料JRA-25较欧洲中期天气预报中心再分析ERA-Interim资料更适于研究该流域(青藏高原东南部)的水汽特征,因为后者给出的流域降水和水汽偏强。(4)近30年该流域夏季降水无显著趋势,以年际变率为主。年际异常的水汽辐合(约为气候态的35.4%)源自异常西南风导致的局地水汽辐合(纬向、经向辐合分别贡献了16.5%、83.5%),地形作用很小。流域夏季降水的年际变化是由印度夏季风活动导致的异常水汽输送造成的,其关键系统是印度季风区北部的异常气旋(反气旋)式水汽输送。  相似文献   

17.
王娜  顾伟宗  邱粲  孟祥新  周放 《高原气象》2021,40(1):159-168
利用山东省气象站的降水量资料和JRA-55、NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,分析了1962-2016年山东夏季整层大气可降水量、降水转化率、水汽通量及输送路径的分布特征和变化规律,探讨了夏季降水与水汽通量及其散度的相关性和多雨年的水汽来源。结果表明:从常年值来看,山东平均夏季降水量为401.2 mm,大气可降水量为3478.8 mm,降水转化率为11.5%。降水转化率和降水量的时空演变特征更加一致,经向水汽输送和局地水汽通量散度与地面有效降水的关系更加密切,当大气可降水量充沛、外部水汽输送充足并出现局地水汽辐合时,更加有利于山东南部地区降水的发生发展,从而形成夏季降水量和降水转化率气候特征表现出东南地区大于西北地区的空间分布型态。西北太平洋、南海、孟加拉湾和鄂霍茨克海至日本海是造成山东夏季降水异常偏多的重要水汽源地,巴尔喀什湖至贝加尔湖地区是重要的冷空气输送区域;当山东上游盛行偏西风时,自新疆和青藏高原至内蒙古的狭长带出现异常水汽扰动并发展,是由水汽异常引起的水汽通量异常对山东局地降水异常贡献的主要条件。  相似文献   

18.
The characteristics of moisture transport over the Asian summer monsoon region and its relationship with summer precipitation in China are examined by a variety of statistical methods using the NCEP/NC AR reanalysis data for 1948-2005.The results show that:1) The zonal-mean moisture transport in the Asian monsoon region is unique because of monsoon activities.The Asian summer monsoon region is a dominant moisture sink during summer.Both the Indian and East Asian monsoon areas have their convergence cente...  相似文献   

19.
In the context of global warming, apparent decdal-interdecdal variabilities can be detected in summer precipitation in southern China. Especially around the 1990s, precipitation in South China experienced a phase transition from a deficiency regime to an abundance regime in the early 1990s, while the Yangtze River Valley witnessed a phase shift of summer precipitation from abundance to deficiency in the late 1990s. Pertinent analyses reveal a close relationship between such decadal precipitation shifts and moisture budgets, which is mainly modulated by the meridional component. This relationship can be attributed to large-scale moisture transport anomalies. Further, the HYSPLIT model is utilized to quantitatively evaluate relative moisture contributions from diverse sources during different regimes. It can be found that during the period with abundant precipitation in South China, the moisture contribution from the source of Indochina Peninsula-South China Sea increased significantly, while during the deficient precipitation regime in the Yangtze River Valley, moisture from local source, western Pacific and Indochina Peninsula-South China Sea contributed less to precipitation. It means some new features of relative moisture contributions from diverse sources to precipitation anomaly in southern China took shape after 1990s.  相似文献   

20.
本文利用观测和再分析资料,通过奇异值分解(Singular Value Decomposition, SVD)分析,发现北极涛动(Arctic Oscillation, AO)是显著影响中国夏季降水年际异常的前冬中高纬大气环流变异的主模态。AO在冬季发展成熟,在春季衰亡,在夏季发生位相反转。AO会导致华北、东北、长江中下游和华南夏季降水异常呈现三极型分布。伴随正位相的AO,在黄海至日本海上空的异常低压伴随的东北风异常引起华北和东北水汽通量异常辐散及降水减少,而西北太平洋的异常高压不仅增强其北侧的西南风水汽输送,和北部异常低压共同作用导致长江中下游水汽通量异常辐合及降水增加,而且使得华南水汽通量异常辐散,降水减少。因此,本文发现的前冬AO模态与我国夏季三极型异常降水分布的关系可为我国夏季旱涝预测提供一个重要的中高纬前期因子。  相似文献   

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