共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 359 毫秒
1.
Principles of zoning a territory by the pollution hazard to groundwater depending on the pollution sources and their position in the environment are considered. Pollution hazard classifications are proposed for groundwater, pollutants (by their chemical and hydrochemical properties), and groundwater pollution risks, depending on the degree of hazard and the type of pollutant. A procedure is proposed for mapping the hazard and risks of groundwater pollution by various pollutants on the basis of the performed zoning. 相似文献
2.
A fuzzy parameterized probabilistic analysis (FPPA) method was developed in this study to assess risks associated with environmental
pollution-control problems. FPPA integrated environmental transport modeling, fuzzy transformation, probabilistic risk assessment,
fuzzy risk quantification into a general risk assessment framework, and was capable of handling uncertainties expressed as
fuzzy-parameterized stochastic distributions. The proposed method was applied to two environmental pollution problems, with
one being about the point-source pollution in a river system with uncertain water quality parameters and the other being concerned
with groundwater contaminant plume from waste landfill site with poorly known contaminant physical properties. The study results
indicated that the complex uncertain features had significant impacts on modeling and risk-assessment outputs; the degree
of impacts of modeling parameters were highly dependent on the level of imprecision of these parameters. The results also
implied that FPPA was capable of addressing vagueness or imprecision associated with probabilistic risk evaluation, and help
generate risk outputs that could be elucidated under different possibilistic levels. The proposed method could be used by
environmental managers to evaluate trade-offs involving risks and costs, as well as identify management solutions that sufficiently
hedge against dual uncertainties. 相似文献
3.
Developing a reliable model for aquifer vulnerability 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Cheng-Shin Jang Chien-Wen Lin Ching-Ping Liang Jui-Sheng Chen 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2016,30(1):175-187
The assessment of aquifer vulnerability to pollution is crucial for planning a sound management strategy of groundwater quality protection and farmland fertilizer use. This study establishes a reliable model for aquifer vulnerability assessment with an excellent performance for predicting groundwater nitrate-N contamination in the Choushui River alluvial fan, Taiwan based on the DRASTIC method. To promote the prediction performance of aquifer vulnerability assessment, discriminant analysis (DA) was applied to determine the weights of factors in the DRASTIC model by comparing the model results with the observed nitrate-N data. Key factors influencing the presence of groundwater nitrate-N pollution were characterized for different concentration thresholds. The results of analysis reveal that the modified DRASTIC model using DA significantly improves prediction performance for aquifer vulnerability assessment, and groundwater protection zones can be determined correctly based on the modified DRASTIC index. Furthermore, the sensitivity of the factors in the modified DRASTIC model indicates that the depth to the groundwater and aquifer media are critical when the nitrate-N concentration is less than 3 mg/L, while the impact of the vadose zone plays a vital role in controlling nitrate-N pollution of over 5 mg/L. 相似文献
4.
Dimitriou Elias Mentzafou Angeliki Markogianni Vasiliki Tzortziou Maria Zeri Christina 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2014,171(6):977-995
Managing water resources, in terms of both quality and quantity, in transboundary rivers is a difficult and challenging task that requires efficient cross-border cooperation and transparency. Groundwater pollution risk assessment and mapping techniques over the full catchment area are important tools that could be used as part of these water resource management efforts, to estimate pollution pressures and optimize land planning processes. The Evros river catchment is the second largest river in Eastern Europe and sustains a population of 3.6 million people in three different countries (Bulgaria, Turkey and Greece). This study provides detailed information on the main pollution sources and pressures in the Evros catchment and, for the first time, applies, assesses and evaluates a groundwater pollution risk mapping technique using satellite observations (Landsat NDVI) and an extensive dataset of field measurements covering different seasons and multiple years. We found that approximately 40 % of the Greek part of the Evros catchment is characterized as of high and very high pollution risk, while 14 % of the study area is classified as of moderate risk. Both the modeled and measured water quality status of the river showed large spatiotemporal variations consistent with the strong anthropogenic pressures in this system, especially on the northern and central segments of the catchment. The pollutants identified illustrate inputs of agrochemicals and urban wastes in the river. High correlation coefficients (R between 0.79 and 0.85) were found between estimated pollution risks and measured concentrations of those chemical parameters that are mainly attributed to anthropogenic activities rather than in situ biogeochemical processes. The pollution risk method described here could be used elsewhere as a decision support tool for mitigating the impact of hazardous human activities and improving management of groundwater resources. 相似文献
5.
The Basic Principles and Recommendations for the Assessment and Mapping of the Degree of Groundwater Protection against Pollution 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
It is shown that the interaction between subsurface hydrosphere and other environmental components and the possible extent of its pollution through these components can be characterized by the degree of groundwater protection against pollution and can be represented on appropriate maps based on simple model estimates of pollutant movement through the lithosphere serving as a protection zone. The principles and methods used in evaluating and different-scale mapping of groundwater protection degree and their vulnerability with respect to pollutants with different toxicity are discussed. 相似文献
6.
The quaternary coastal Collo aquifer in northeast Algeria (NE Algeria) marks an important local water resource supporting domestic, industrial and agricultural activities. The aquifer shows signs of contamination due to the existence of various pollution sources, especially nitrogen compounds. Focusing the local identification of key vulnerable zones and related main hazard types for wise future water management, the present study highlights results from a coupled analysis of the well-established Geographical Information System (GIS)-based GOD (groundwater occurrence, overall aquifer class, depth to groundwater) hazard index analysis and the COST Action 620 plan. Most prevalent hazard types in the study area were identified as the urban/residential areas without public sewage systems, landfill and agricultural/pasturing areas. Regarding the vulnerability analysis particularly the northern aquifer region is endangered, dominated by high (22.4%) and moderate (27.4%) vulnerability classes. Central, western and southern aquifer regions are characterized by low (23.3%) and very low (26.9%) vulnerability classes. Overall, these GOD-derived results are in good agreement with earlier results obtained by the more complex DRASTIC approach. Final risk assessment and validation related to 2014/2015 nitrate sampling campaigns indicate that “high risk” and “very high risk” classes only apply to a small part of the study area in the northern sector (8%), whereas the main part (>60%) broadly affecting the central, western and southern sector only bears a low to very low risk of water pollution. Apart from a future-oriented groundwater abstraction strategy it is recommended to update the evaluation regularly to effectively consider dynamic changes of local anthropogenic activities and hazards. 相似文献
7.
DRASTIC has drawbacks in groundwater risk assessment that are important in guiding activities to prevention agricultural diffuse groundwater pollution. This paper presents an improved and GIS‐based D‐DRASTIC approach for groundwater nitrate risk assessment from diffuse agricultural sources based on DRASTIC. D‐DRASTIC considers the risk concept, nitrate loading, pollutant transport with runoff, depth to water, net recharge, aquifer media, soil media, topography, impact of the vadose zone media, and the hydraulic conductivity of the aquifer. D‐DRASTIC was developed within an ArcGIS environment and applied to the Upper Bann Catchment, Northern Ireland as a case study. D‐DRASTIC shows that ‘very high’ and ‘high’ zones of groundwater nitrate risk occupy 5% and 11% of the case study area, respectively. When considering groundwater pollution sources and pathways, the results using D‐DRASTIC are helpful in guiding the activities of groundwater pollution prevention at the catchment scale in the context of better implementation of the EU Water Framework Directive. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
8.
A. P. Belousova 《Water Resources》2011,38(1):39-46
Approaches to risk assessment of underflooding of areas by groundwater during extreme floods, using probabilistic and deterministic
methods are considered. The latter methods are based on indicators of groundwater sustainability to adverse impacts. 相似文献
9.
The hydrochemical background and the specific features of pollution of geological environmental components by hydrocarbons and chemical components in the industrial sites of oil and gas fields is characterized for two types of natural-anthropogenic environments with different hydrogeological conditions. A methodology is proposed for comprehensive environmental-hydrogeological studies for the development of information support for the assessment of the hazard and risk for the environmental conditions, organization of complex environmental monitoring, and projecting of measures for protection of water resources. 相似文献
10.
Ing-Jia Chiou Ching-Ho Chen Wei-Lin Liu Shiao-Mei Huang Yu-Min Chang 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2015,29(3):775-792
“Disaster risk assessment” is important in the planning of risk management strategies that reduce societal losses. However, governmental agencies in Taiwan generally assess risks that emerge from debris flows without adequately considering risk management and taking a systems approach. This work proposes an approach to thoroughly consider the interactive influence mechanism of debris flow disaster risk. Additionally, a systematic method for assessing disaster risks is developed. This proposed method can be used in the current risk assessment and as a basis for management strategy planning. Based on systems thinking, the components and attributes of a conceptual system of disaster risk management associated with debris flows in a river basin are identified. Subsequently, a conceptual mitigation–hazard–exposure–resistance framework and an indicator system for assessing the debris flow disaster risks in a river basin are identified. The disaster risks for each exposed community in each drainage zone can be systematically calculated based on the current status or plans of prevention and evacuation measures using the proposed indicator system. A case study of implementing the proposed methodology that involves the Chishan River Basin is presented, in which disaster risk according to the current status of prevention and evacuation measures is assessed. Drainage zones and communities with a significant debris flow disaster risk are located; this risk is associated with a lack of adequate prevention and evacuation measures that have been planned of government agencies. Analytical results indicate that the proposed methodology can systematically and effectively assess the disaster risks of a river basin. The proposed methodology provides a valuable reference for governmental agencies that must manage disaster risk associated with debris flows. 相似文献
11.
Water Resources - A procedure for assessing the protection of groundwater against pollution is considered. This is a basic procedure for tentative forecast estimates of changes in the... 相似文献
12.
Jean Beaujean Jean‐Michel Lemieux Alain Dassargues René Therrien Serge Brouyère 《Ground water》2014,52(6):864-874
A general physically based method is presented to assess the vulnerability of groundwater to external pressures by numerical simulation of groundwater flow. The concept of groundwater vulnerability assessment considered here is based on the calculation of sensitivity coefficients for a user‐defined groundwater state for which we propose several physically based indicators. Two sensitivity analysis methods are presented: the sensitivity equation method and the adjoint operator method. We show how careful selection of a method can significantly minimize the computational effort. An illustration of the general methodology is presented for the Herten aquifer analog (Germany). This application to a simple, yet insightful, case demonstrates the potential use of this general and physically based vulnerability assessment method to complex aquifers. 相似文献
13.
Abstract Around 9000 inhabitants in the Panda River basin, Sonbhadhra District, Uttar Pradesh, India, are vulnerable to a “silent” dental and skeletal fluorosis from groundwater consumption. The fluoride source and seasonal groundwater quality variation were studied by collecting 65 groundwater samples in the Upper Panda River basin. Major rock types are phyllites and granite gneissic rocks. Fluoride concentrations are in the range 0.4–5.6 mg/L in the pre-monsoon season and 0.1–6.7 mg/L in the post-monsoon season. Fluor-apatite and biotite mica in the granite gneissic rock were identified as the main provenance of fluoride in the groundwater through water–rock interactions. Due to precipitation of calcium, soils become alkaline with high contents of sodium; these conditions allow fluoride to accumulate in water. According to risk index calculations, the fluoride-affected villages were shown to fall in the fluoride risk zone (with a risk index of around 1.7). On the basis of mineral stability diagrams, groundwater from the weathered and fractured aquifers appears to be stable within the kaolinite field, suggesting weathering of silicate minerals. The groundwater is chemically potable and suitable for domestic and agricultural purposes, except for a few wells in the southern region that are contaminated with high amounts of fluoride. Editor D. Koutsoyiannis Citation Raju, N.J., Dey, S., Gossel, W., and Wycisk, P., 2012. Fluoride hazard and assessment of groundwater quality in the semi-arid Upper Panda River basin, Sonbhadra District, Uttar Pradesh, India. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 57 (7), 1433–1452. 相似文献
14.
Geophysical methods can be applied to investigate the harmful effect of man's activities on the environment: the study of specific electrical resistivities and natural electric fields of filtrational origin makes it possible to control the penetration of exogenic pollutants into soil as well as desalinization and secondary salinization of soils; electrometric and seismometric methods allow to observe the groundwater level near water reservoirs thus evaluating the harmful effect of backing up natural groundwater flow; contrasting properties of bedrocks and rocks in a landslide body permit application of seismic and electrical prospecting methods. Observation of the changes in specific electrical resistivities with time on the slopes of quarries is an effective method of assessing slope stability and predicting landslide hazard. Mining activities, groundwater pumping, and oil extraction are the main causes of endogenic pollution of geological medium; surface and borehole geophysical methods make it possible to assess vertical and horizontal displacements of the interfaces between salty and fresh subterranean waters resulting from an extensive exploitation of water supply sources; activation of geodynamic processes associated with mining activities is determined from the data of ‘regime’ electrometric, seismometric, gravimetric, and inclinometric observations. Geophysical methods are applied widely for studying the intensification of physico-geological processes under the impact of man. A specific object of electrometric investigations is degradation of permafrost and intensification of karst processes in soluble rocks. The principal advantage of geophysical investigations lies in the possibility of creating high spatial and temporal density of observations permitting an extensive employment of statistical methods in the assessment of the impact of man on the geological medium. 相似文献
15.
The extensive use of pesticides for increasing the agricultural production is affecting the quality of groundwater. The objectives of this article are to (i) develop pesticide relative leaching ranks for well sites, (ii) develop maps for human health risks due to pesticide applications, and (iii) identify the most significant parameters in pesticide simulations for groundwater vulnerability assessment. The methods include (i) development of acifluorfen relative leaching ranks for 25 well sites using ArcPRZM‐3, (ii) development of health risk maps using model simulated maximum dissolved bentazon concentrations on the basis of USA drinking water quality guidelines, (iii) sensitivity analysis for 14 ArcPRZM‐3 input parameters using the Plackett–Burman method. ArcPRZM‐3 is a user‐friendly system for spatial modeling of pesticide leaching from surface to groundwater. Thirteen acifluorfen relative leaching potential ranks were developed in which the pesticide leaching decrease from 1 to 13. The model predicted ranks for well 34 and well 9 were 2nd and 3rd, respectively, and acifluorfen was detected in both wells during the physical monitoring. The percentages of high health risks in the agricultural areas were 48.38 and 72.72% for Randolph and Independence Counties, respectively. The most significant parameters were thickness of horizon compartment, runoff curve number of antecedent moisture condition II for cropping, soil bulk density, and total application of pesticide. The irrigation, soil permeability, and numerical dispersion could impact the pesticide leaching in soils toward groundwater. The ArcPRZM‐3 system could be efficiently applied for spatial modeling and mapping of pesticide concentrations for groundwater vulnerability assessment on a large scale. 相似文献
16.
Groundwater is an important source of freshwater for domestic, agricultural and industrial uses in Iran. Groundwater quality assessment and environmental evaluation are considered as critical issues in recent years. Intensive human activities have resulted in significant changes in environment leading to serious groundwater contamination. This research proposes a two-part systematic approach to tackle heavy metals contamination problem in Rayen Basin (southeast Iran). The first part consists of determining geochemical characteristics and evaluating groundwater quality through application of water quality index and heavy metal pollution indices (i.e. HPI and MI). The second part includes ranking sampling stations based on heavy metals concentration in groundwater using linear assignment method. Six types of water could be identified according to the dominant cations and anions in samples: Ca–HCO3, Ca–SO4, Na–Cl, Na–HCO3, Na–SO4 and mixed water type. Calculation of indices revealed that natural and anthropogenic activities are playing a vital role in degrading groundwater quality in the study area. The proposed methodology can help in groundwater resource management and preventative activities by identifying risk factors and recognizing their pollution level. The results of this research provide useful and effective information for water pollution control and management and can be used in environmental studies in order to protect groundwater resources in the future. 相似文献
17.
A method is presented to design monitoring networks for detecting groundwater pollution at industrial sites. The goal is to detect the pollution at some distance from the site’s boundary so that it can be cleaned up or hydrologically contained before contaminating groundwater outside the site. It is assumed that pollution may occur anywhere on the site, that transport is by advection only and that no retardation and chemical reactions take place. However, the approach can be easily extended to include designated (and uncertain) source areas, dispersion and reactive transport. The method starts from the premise that it is impossible to detect 100% of all the contaminant plumes with reasonable costs and therefore seeks a balance between the risk of pollution and network density. The design approach takes account of uncertainty in the flow field by simulating realisations of conductivity, groundwater head and associated flow fields, using geostatistical simulation and a groundwater flow model. The realisations are conditioned to conductivity and head observations that may already be present on the site. The result is an ensemble of flow fields that is further analysed using a particle track program. From this the probability of missing a contaminant plume originating anywhere on the terrain can be estimated for a given network. From this probability follows the risk, i.e. the expected costs of an undetected pollution. The total costs of the monitoring strategy are calculated by adding the risk of pollution to the costs of installing and maintaining the monitoring wells and the routinely performed chemical analyses. By repeating this procedure for networks of varying well numbers, the best network is chosen as the one that minimises total cost. The method is illustrated with a simulated example showing the added worth of exploratory wells for characterising hydraulic conductivity of a site. 相似文献
18.
H.-W. Ma 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2002,16(6):464-478
There exist many sites with contaminated groundwater because of inappropriate handling or disposal of hazardous materials
or wastes. Health risk assessment is an important tool to evaluate the potential environmental and health impacts of these
contaminated sites. It is also becoming an important basis for determining whether risk reduction is needed and what actions
should be initiated. However, in research related to groundwater risk assessment and management, consideration of multimedia
risk assessment and the separation of the uncertainty due to lack of knowledge and the variability due to natural heterogeneity
are rare. This study presents a multimedia risk assessment framework with the integration of multimedia transfer and multi-pathway
exposure of groundwater contaminants, and investigates whether multimedia risk assessment and the separation of uncertainty
and variability can provide a better basis for risk management decisions. The results of the case study show that a decision
based on multimedia risk assessment may differ from one based on risk resulting from groundwater only. In particular, the
transfer from groundwater to air imposes a health threat to some degree. By using a methodology that combines Monte Carlo
simulation, a rank correlation coefficient, and an explicit decision criterion to identify information important to the decision,
the results obtained when uncertainty and variability are separate differ from the ones without such separation. In particular,
when higher percentiles of uncertainty and variability distributions are considered, the method separating uncertainty and
variability identifies TCE concentration as the single most important input parameter, while the method that does not distinguish
the two identifies four input parameters as the important information that would influence a decision on risk reduction. 相似文献
19.
Applying Bayesian belief networks to health risk assessment 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Kevin Fong-Rey Liu Che-Fan Lu Cheng-Wu Chen Yung-Shuen Shen 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2012,26(3):451-465
The health risk of noncarcinogenic substances is usually represented by the hazard quotient (HQ) or target organ-specific
hazard index (TOSHI). However, three problems arise from these indicators. Firstly, the HQ overestimates the health risk of
noncarcinogenic substances for non-critical organs. Secondly, the TOSHI makes inappropriately the additive assumption for
multiple hazardous substances affecting the same organ. Thirdly, uncertainty of the TOSHI undermines the accuracy of risk
characterization. To address these issues, this article proposes the use of Bayesian belief networks (BBN) for health risk
assessment (HRA) and the procedure involved is developed using the example of road constructions. According to epidemiological
studies and using actual hospital attendance records, the BBN-HRA can specifically identify the probabilistic relationship
between an air pollutant and each of its induced disease, which can overcome the overestimation of the HQ for non-critical
organs. A fusion technique of conditional probabilities in the BBN-HRA is devised to avoid the unrealistic additive assumption.
The use of the BBN-HRA is easy even for those without HRA knowledge. The input of pollution concentrations into the model
will bring more concrete information on the morbidity and mortality rates of all the related diseases rather than a single
score, which can reduce the uncertainty of the TOSHI. 相似文献
20.
Disaster risk evolves spatially and temporally due to the combined dynamics of hazards, exposure and vulnerability. However, most previous risk assessments of natural disasters were static and typically based on historical disaster events. Dynamic risk assessments are required to effectively reduce risks and prevent future losses. Based on rainstorm disaster data and meteorological information collected in Dalian, China, from 1976 to 2015, the hidden Markov model (HMM) was used to detect inter-annual changes in rainstorm disaster risks. An independent sample test was conducted to assess the reliability of the HMM in dynamic risk assessments. The dynamic rainstorm risk in Dalian was simulated based on the observation probability matrix, which characterized the relationship dependence between rainstorm hazard and risk, and the probability matrix of state transition, which reflected the probability of changes for the risk level. High rainstorm risk was associated with high-hazard rainstorms and continuously appeared with little probability in several successive years. The reliability applied the HMM to simulate the rainstorm disaster risk was approximately 67% in the dynamic risk assessment. Additionally, the rainstorm disaster risk in Dalian is predicted to be at a medium-risk level in 2017, with a probability of 0.685. Our findings suggest that the HMM can be effectively used in the dynamic risk assessment of natural disasters. Notably, future risk levels can be predicted using the current hazard level and the HMM. 相似文献