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1.
基于加卸载响应比理论的降雨型滑坡预警研究 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
在建立边坡远程实时监测系统并获得变形与降雨量连续监测数据的基础上,运用加卸载响应比理论的基本原理,提出以一用为加卸载周期、将日降雨量及其变化作为边坡的加卸载参数、相应的日平均变形速率及其变化值为加卸载响应参数,建立了基于加卸栽响应比的降雨型滑坡短周期预警模型。以某公路边坡为例,运用加卸载响应比预测模型对边坡的2个监测点进行了加卸载响应比计算,发现2个点的加卸载响应比时序曲线与其稳定性动态演化规律相吻合。研究结果表明,可以运用该模型进行降雨型滑坡短周期预测预警。 相似文献
2.
降雨是诱发滑坡最主要的因素之一,认识雨水的渗流过程和地下水位的动态演化对滑坡的监测预警具有重要意义.基于动电机制,孔隙介质中的流体流动可产生自然电位,通过自然电位的观测可反演地下水动力过程,为滑坡稳定性分析及监测预警提供有效信息.本文基于室内小型滑坡控制实验平台,通过施加人工降雨模拟边坡雨水入渗过程,同步测量了在坡体内的自然电位、孔隙水压力和坡面变形数据.实验结果显示:(1)自然电位变化与孔隙水压力变化具有显著的相关性,自然电位的时移剖面可反映水在坡体内部的流动模式的演化;(2)表面变形发生在坡体下部饱和之后,即坡面变形滞后于自然电位与孔隙水压力变化.以上观测结果表明,自然电位在滑坡监测中具有潜在的应用价值. 相似文献
3.
基于饱和-非饱和渗流理论,综合考虑降雨入渗引起土体重量增加、渗透力增大以及抗剪强度降低等因素的影响,建立降雨条件下震后高边坡有限元模型,运用自编计算程序USLOPE-FEM进行稳定性分析。研究结果表明:未降雨之前,坡体塑性应变主要集中分布于松散堆积体下部与基岩分界面,边坡已经接近临界平衡状态;降雨量20mm/h时连续入渗使边坡上部土层含水量增加,负压区消失且出现饱和区;随着降雨时间延长,坡体表层暂态饱和区逐渐向内部推移,土体的重量和渗透力显著增大、抗剪强度明显降低,坡体中剪应力整体增大,塑性应变区向坡顶扩展而逐渐贯通;连续降雨6h后,临空面表层出现局部滑塌,连续降雨36h后整个堆积层将沿基岩滑塌逐步堵江。研究成果可为强降雨条件下边坡安全性评价提供参考,也为该边坡的失稳预警与滑坡防治积累资料。 相似文献
4.
降雨型滑坡时空预报新方法 总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4
地质条件和降雨是引起重庆地区山体滑坡的两个最主要条件. 文中在分析降雨型滑坡形成条件的基础上, 提出了将地质条件和降雨因素进行分级叠合的降雨型滑坡时空预报新方法. 首先, 利用多因素相互作用关系矩阵, 对某个地区或者某个边坡所在位置的地质条件进行半定量的评价和分级. 然后, 根据日最大降雨量和降雨过程的总降雨量, 对该地区降雨的严重程度进行分级. 最后将“地质条件影响因子”和“降雨影响因子”进行分级叠合, 得到了“滑坡易滑程度判别因子”, 并据此将滑坡按照其易滑度分为滑坡极易发生、滑坡易发生、滑坡不易发生和滑坡基本不发生4级. 通过对某个地区的一些危险边坡进行地质勘察, 结合比较准确的天气预报, 可以对该地区的降雨型滑坡进行较为准确的时空预测预报. 以鸡扒子滑坡为例, 验证了利用“双因素”分级叠合方法进行降雨型滑坡时空预报的可靠性和可行性. 相似文献
5.
在库水位升降及降雨作用下,三峡库区不少土质滑坡出现周期性阶跃变形,此类滑坡变形机理复杂,预警预报难。以典型涉水土质滑坡卧沙溪滑坡为例,通过10多年野外宏观巡查资料、13年的人工监测和4年的全自动监测数据,揭示卧沙溪滑坡次级滑体的变形机理,建立降雨及库水位相关阈值。结果表明：(1)次级滑体变形的主控因素由库水位下降和库水浸泡转变为持续性降雨。(2)持续性降雨导致坡体变形,监测点位移速率“峰值滞后”效应为1～2 d,位移速率衰减时间为5～9 d。(3)降雨及库水位阈值：30 d累积降雨量阈值150 mm,且变形前1 d降雨量40 mm;变形启动3 d内,累积降雨量超过50 mm会加速坡体变形,且变形时间延长。库水位下降至146 m前30 d累积降雨量115 mm,库水位下降速率阈值为0.8 m/d。研究成果可为类似滑坡的监测预警提供参考。 相似文献
6.
为研究震后降雨作用下堆积体滑坡的灾变机理、裂缝发展规律、滑坡启动时间等问题,以甘肃省舟曲县江顶崖滑坡为对象,采用振动台及人工降雨模型试验,开展4组相同地震烈度不同降雨强度的震后降雨试验。研究结果表明：(1)地震作用使坡体发生剪切破坏,震后降雨工况坡体呈现土体流失的浸蚀破坏,在坡脚处产生明显的剪出口,震后降雨作用诱发堆积体滑坡发生局部失稳。(2)地震作用使坡体中部产生剪切裂缝与错台,后缘处产生“圆弧状”张拉裂缝,在后期降雨中,裂缝变形随降雨强度增大而加剧,并在降雨中期发生突变变形。(3)地震烈度相同的情况下,滑坡启动时间与降雨强度呈指数函数关系,土体沉降变形与降雨强度呈对数函数关系。研究成果可为堆积体滑坡在震后降雨作用下的预警及防治提供参考。 相似文献
7.
2014年8月3日鲁甸MS6.5地震触发了大量的滑坡崩塌,其中,位于鲁甸县李家山村和巧家县红石岩村交界处的牛栏江干流北岸的红石岩滑坡规模巨大,与此处位于左岸的红石岩古滑坡体的前缘部分一起堵塞了牛栏江而形成高达120m、体积达1 200×104m3的大型堰塞体。通过震后开展的野外实地调查,获得了红石岩滑坡发生处的地形地貌、地质构造、岩体结构及物质组成等资料。以这些第一手资料为基础,构建了红石岩滑坡的边坡模型,并应用边坡稳定性分析软件Geo Studio中Slope/W模块分别计算了红石岩滑坡体震前坡体安全系数和地震作用下的坡体安全系数。结果表明,红石岩滑坡体发生处的坡体安全系数在地震前为1.450,处于相对稳定状态,而鲁甸地震的地震动作用则使坡体的安全系数降低至0.962,直接导致红石岩坡体的失稳。文中进一步讨论了坡体滑动面的存在与否对坡体稳定性的影响:安全系数计算的结果表明,在中强地震作用下,先存滑动面的存在是导致大型滑坡形成的重要条件;对于高陡岩质边坡,如果没有先存滑动面,只可能形成浅表性滑坡。 相似文献
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9.
地震滑坡往往会造成巨大的人员伤亡和财产损失,而边坡在地震作用下的响应规律是研究地震边坡稳定性的首要问题。本研究利用FLAC3D有限差分软件建立多个边坡模型,进行边坡地形效应的地震动力响应分析,考虑的地形主要包括坡高、坡角、坡面形状等三方面的因素。将选取的地震波作用于不同模型,分析坡面加速度、速度放大比及坡顶坡脚傅里叶谱值,研究边坡几何形态对边坡地震响应的影响。结果表明,坡高对坡面的速度放大影响明显,坡角对坡面加速度放大效果较强,而不同的坡面形状会造成不同的加速度响应规律,凹面坡加速度放大效果更小一些。该研究有助于地震边坡的稳定性分析并为边坡工程的抗震设计提供参考。 相似文献
10.
基于滑坡敏感性与降雨强度-历时的中国浅层降雨滑坡时空分析与模拟 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
《中国科学:地球科学》2017,(4)
本研究提供了一种基于滑坡敏感性与降雨强度-历时(I-D)的中国浅层降雨滑坡时空模拟的方法.该研究用到了滑坡敏感性指数与I-D阈值,实现了实时模拟中国整个区域内浅层降雨滑坡可能发生的时间与地点.论文主要包括三个部分:首先,介绍了前期中国滑坡敏感性的工作,整个区域按照滑坡敏感性的指数分为5类(低、较低、中、较高、高),其中较高与高敏感区域占到总区域的4.15%;其次,采用TMPA3B42的降雨产品分析近年来60起降雨滑坡事件,统计拟合降雨强度与历时的关系,并构建降雨滑坡响应阈值.最后,综合上述的工作,模拟了浅层降雨滑坡的时空分布,并通过实例进行了验证.本研究为浅层降雨滑坡模拟预测提供了一种理论依据,旨在能够为降雨滑坡灾害预警与防治提供帮助. 相似文献
11.
Rainfall-induced landslides have occurred frequently in Southwestern China since the Wenchuan earthquake,resulting in massive loss of people''s life and property. Fortunately,landslide early-warning is one of the most important tools for landslide hazard prevention and mitigation. However, the accumulation of historical data of the landslides induced by rainfall is limited in many remote mountain areas and the stability of the slope is easily affected by human engineering activities and environmental changes, leading to difficulties to accurately realize early warning of landslide hazards by statistical methods. The proposed warning method is divided into rainfall warning component and deformation warning component because the deformation induced by rainfall has the characteristic of hysteretic nature. Rainfall, tilted angle and crack width are chosen as monitoring indexes. Rainfall grade level that contains rainfall intensity and duration information is graded according to the variation of the safety factor calculated by 3-D finite difference numerical simulation method, and then is applied using the strength reduction method and unascertained information theory to obtain the deformation grade level of several monitored points. Finally, based on the system reliability theory, we establish a comprehensive landslide warning level method that provides four early warning levels to reflect the safety factor reductions during and post rainfall events. The application of this method at a landslide site yield generally satisfactory results and provide a new method for performing multi-index and multi-level landslide early warnings. 相似文献
12.
The mechanism of slope instability due to rainfall-induced structural decay of earthquake-damaged loess 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Hu Tao Mengmeng Zhang Li Gong Xi Shi Yijie Wang Guoqiang Yang Shaowei Lei 《地震研究进展（英文）》2022,2(3):100137
Natural loess slopes are characterized by a strong geological structure, which is an important factor in maintaining slope stability. The magnitude and duration of the earthquake may disturb the soil structure at different levels degrees, locally changing the arrangement between soil particles. The process of rainfall humidification weakens the cementation between soil particles, and the disturbance and humidification change the structural state of the soil, which in turn causes sliding of the slope along with the decay of soil mechanical properties. As slope instability is often the result of a series of post-earthquake ripple effects, it is of great scientific significance to study the mechanism of slope instability due to the structural decay of earthquake-damaged loess exacerbated by rainfall. In this paper, the impact of structural decay of loess on slope stability is simulated by GEOSTUDIO software under three conditions: pre-earthquake rainfall, post-earthquake rainfall and earthquake, taking the landslide in Buzi Village, Min County, Gansu Province as an example. The comparative analysis of the calculation results shows that the structural properties of the slope without earthquake disturbance are influenced by infiltration amount. When it is fully saturated, the structural properties are similar to those of saturated soil, and the safety factor is reduced by 12.9%. In addition, the earthquake intensity and duration have different degrees of structural damage to the soil. When the structure is fully damaged, it is similar to that of remodelled soil, and the safety factor is reduced by 45.84%. Notably, the process of the earthquake and the following humidification generates the most serious damage to the loess structure, with a reduction in the safety factor of up to 56.15%. The quantitative analysis above obviously illustrates that the post-earthquake rainfall causes the most severe damage to structural loess slopes, and the resulting landslide hazard should not be underestimated. 相似文献
13.
1 Introduction The landslides influences on the human society have become an environment difficult problem not able to be neglected, and according to the priority of harms, harms of landslides are only smaller than those from earthquakes in all sorts of natural hazards[1]. Landslide is part of rock mass, soil mass or their compound mass slides downward along a certain slid- ing surface under the actions of inner and external dy- namics, and it is one severe instability phenomenon of rock and s… 相似文献
14.
Tomomi Terajima Ei‐ichiro Miyahira Hiroyuki Miyajima Hirotaka Ochiai Katsumi Hattori 《水文研究》2014,28(23):5711-5724
Knowledge of the mechanisms of rain‐induced shallow landslides can improve the prediction of their occurrence and mitigate subsequent sediment disasters. Here, we examine an artificial slope's subsurface hydrology and propose a new slope stability analysis that includes seepage force and the down‐slope transfer of excess shear forces. We measured pore water pressure and volumetric water content immediately prior to a shallow landslide on an artificial sandy slope of 32°: The direction of the subsurface flow shifted from downward to parallel to the slope in the deepest part of the landslide mass, and this shift coincided with the start of soil displacement. A slope stability analysis that was restricted to individual segments of the landslide mass could not explain the initiation of the landslide; however, inclusion of the transfer of excess shear forces from up‐slope to down‐slope segments improved drastically the predictability. The improved stability analysis revealed that an unstable zone expanded down‐slope with an increase in soil water content, showing that the down‐slope soil initially supported the unstable up‐slope soil; destabilization of this down‐slope soil was the eventual trigger of total slope collapse. Initially, the effect of apparent soil cohesion was the most important factor promoting slope stability, but seepage force became the most important factor promoting slope instability closer to the landslide occurrence. These findings indicate that seepage forces, controlled by changes in direction and magnitude of saturated and unsaturated subsurface flows, may be the main cause of shallow landslides in sandy slopes. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
15.
A.J. Merritt J.E. Chambers W. Murphy P.B. Wilkinson L.J. West S. Uhlemann P.I. Meldrum D. Gunn 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2018,43(6):1321-1334
A common factor in landslide activation (or reactivation) is subsurface moisture and associated pore pressure variations linked to rainfall. Monitoring of these subsurface hydrogeological processes is necessary to improve our understanding of water‐induced landslide activation. Geophysical approaches, electrical methods in particular, are increasingly being applied to landslide monitoring because they provide non‐invasive spatial information in heterogeneous subsurface environments that can be difficult to characterise using surface observations or intrusive sampling alone. Electrical techniques are sensitive to changing subsurface moisture conditions, and have proven to be a useful tool for investigating the hydrogeology of natural and engineered slopes. The objectives of this investigation were to further develop electrical resistance monitoring for slope stability assessment, and to validate the approach at an intermittently‐active UK landslide system to advance the understanding of complex landslide activation mechanisms. A long‐term transfer resistance dataset was collected from a grid of electrodes to allow spatial monitoring of the landslide. These data were interpreted using a synthesis of rainfall, temperature, GPS and piezometric records. The resistance data were corrected for seasonal temperature variations and electrode movements were monitored, as these processes were shown to mask moisture related changes. Results reveal that resistance monitoring is sensitive to soil moisture accumulation, including changes in piezometric levels, and can be used to study the principal activation mechanism of slow‐moving shallow earthflows. Spatial monitoring using resistance maps was shown to be particularly valuable as it revealed the evolution of subsurface moisture distribution, in the lead up to landslide activation. Key benefits of this approach are that it provides a simple, rapid and non‐invasive means of spatially monitoring subsurface moisture dynamics linked to landslide activation at high‐temporal resolution. Crucially, it provides a means of monitoring subsurface hydraulic changes in the build‐up to slope failure, thereby contributing to early warning of landslide events. Copyright © 2018 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
16.
Hong-zhi Qiu Ji-ming Kong Ren-chao Wang Yun Cui Sen-wang Huang 《Journal of Seismology》2017,21(4):869-884
This paper uses the catastrophic landslide that occurred in Zhongxing Town, Dujiangyan City, as an example to study the formation mechanism of landslides induced by heavy rainfall in the post-Wenchuan earthquake area. The deformation characteristics of a slope under seismic loading were investigated via a shaking table test. The results show that a large number of cracks formed in the slope due to the tensile and shear forces of the vibrations, and most of the cracks had angles of approximately 45° with respect to the horizontal. A series of flume tests were performed to show how the duration and intensity of rainfall influence the responses of the shaken and non-shaken slopes. Wetting fronts were recorded under different rainfall intensities, and the depth of rainfall infiltration was greater in the shaken slope than in the non-shaken slope because the former experienced a greater extreme rainfall intensity under the same early rainfall and rainfall duration conditions. At the beginning of the rainfall infiltration experiment, the pore water pressure in the slope was negative, and settling occurred at the top of the slope. With increasing rainfall, the pore water pressure changed from negative to positive, and cracks were observed on the back surface of the slope and the shear outlet of the landslide on the front of the slope. The shaken slope was more susceptible to crack formation than the non-shaken slope under the same rainfall conditions. A comparison of the responses of the shaken and non-shaken slopes under heavy rainfall revealed that cracks formed by earthquakes provided channels for infiltration. Soil particles in the cracks of slopes were washed away, and the pore water pressure increased rapidly, especially the transient pore water pressure in the slope caused by short-term concentrated rainfall which decreased rock strength and slope stability. 相似文献
17.
Soil moisture is a key process in the hydrological cycle. During ecological restoration of the Loess Plateau, soil moisture status has undergone important changes, and infiltration of soil moisture during precipitation events is a key link affecting water distribution. Our study aims to quantify the effects of vegetation cover, rainfall intensity and slope length on total infiltration and the spatial variation of water flow. Infiltration data from the upper, middle and lower slopes of a bare slope, a natural grassland and an artificial shrub grassland were obtained using a simulated rainfall experiment. The angle of the study slope was 15° and rainfall intensity was set at 60, 90, 120, 150, and 180 mm/hr. The effect these factors have on soil moisture infiltration was quantified using main effect analysis. Our results indicate that the average infiltration depth (ID) of a bare slope, a grassland slope and an artificial shrub grassland slope was 46.7–73.3, 60–80, and 60–93.3 cm, respectively, and average soil moisture storage increment was 3.5–5.7, 5.0–9.4, and 5.7–10.2 mm under different rainfall intensities, respectively. Heavy rainfall intensity and vegetation cover reduced the difference of soil infiltration in the 0–40 cm soil layer, and rainfall intensity increased surface infiltration differences on the bare slope, the grassland slope and the artificial shrub grassland slope. Infiltration was dominated by rainfall intensity, accounting for 63.03–88.92%. As rainfall continued, the contribution of rainfall intensity to infiltration gradually decreased, and the contribution of vegetation cover and slope length to infiltration increased. The interactive contribution was: rainfall intensity * vegetation cover > vegetation cover * slope length > rainfall * slope length. In the grass and shrub grass slopes, lateral flow was found at a depth of 23–37 cm when the slope length was 5–10 m, this being related to the difference in soil infiltration capacity between different soil layers formed by the spatial cross-connection of roots. 相似文献
18.
青藏高原边缘地带堆积体滑坡的发生与地质构造、强降雨、地震等作用密切相关,其中多数属于大型高位堆积体滑坡。为研究其发生机理与稳定性,以舟曲县江顶崖大型高位堆积体滑坡为研究对象,首先,从滑坡所处的地理位置、地质条件等出发,分析滑坡的概况与成因;其次,基于传统传递系数法划分滑坡计算模型,提出滑坡稳定性分析的变坡法;最后,采用Midas GTS NX软件对江顶崖滑坡自然工况下稳定性进行数值模拟分析,并与传统及改进算法结果进行对比。研究结果表明：(1)研究区的地形坡度、地层岩性条件以及活动断裂、历史强震作用是滑坡发生的内因,外因是连续强降雨作用使岩土体力学强度降低以及暴雨导致滑坡前缘的白龙江水位上涨、流速加快,冲刷坡脚导致前缘失稳,滑坡中后缘发生牵引式滑动;(2)运用传递系数法计算折线形滑坡稳定性时,滑面倾角变化值大于10°会导致结果出现较大误差,应用改进的“等分均匀变坡法”可以减小误差,以江顶崖滑坡为计算实例并结合数值模拟验证该方法的有效性;(3)自然工况下模拟发现,滑体的前缘主要表现为水平滑移,滑体的中后部局部主要表现为垂直下沉,而滑坡前缘则主要表现为隆起,因此,滑坡部分区域出现了较大的位移... 相似文献
19.
Jos‐Manuel Nicolau 《水文研究》2002,16(3):631-647
The aim of this study was to identify the mechanisms of runoff generation and routing and their controlling factors at the hillslope scale, on artificial slopes derived from surface coal mining reclamation in a Mediterranean–continental area. Rainfall and runoff at interrill and microcatchment scales were recorded for a year on two slopes with different substrata: topsoil cover and overburden cover. Runoff coefficient and runoff routing from interrill areas to microcatchment outlets were higher in the overburden substratum than in topsoil, and greater in the most developed rill network. Rainfall volume is the major parameter responsible for runoff response on overburden, suggesting that this substratum is very impermeable—at least during the main rainfall periods of the year (late spring and autumn) when the soil surface is sealed. In such conditions, most rainfall input is converted into runoff, regardless of its intensity. Results from artificial rainfall experiments, conducted 3 and 7 years after seeding, confirm the low infiltration capacity of overburden when sealed. The hydrological response shows great seasonal variability on the overburden slope in accordance with soil surface changes over the year. Rainfall volume and intensities (I30, I60) explain runoff at the interrill scale on the topsoil slope, where rainfall experiments demonstrated a typical Hortonian infiltration curve. However, no correlation was found at the microcatchment level, probably because of the loss of functionality of the only rill as ecological succession proceeded. The runoff generation mechanism on the topsoil slope is more homogeneous throughout the year. Runoff connectivity, defined as the ratio between runoff rates recorded at the rill network scale and those recorded at the interrill area scale in every rainfall event, was also greater on the rilled overburden slope, and in the most developed rill network. The dense rill networks of the overburden slope guarantee very effective runoff drainage, regardless of rainfall magnitude. Rills drain overland flow from interrill‐sealed areas, reducing the opportunity of reinfiltration in areas not affected by siltation. Runoff generation and routing on topsoil slopes are controlled by grass cover and soil moisture content, whereas on overburden slopes rill network density and soil moisture content are the main controlling factors. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
20.
本文在对四川德阳地区龙风水库西岸滑坡的地质地貌条件及变形迹象进行深入调查的基础上,对该滑坡的主要成因及稳定性进行了分析与评价,并有针对性地提出了工程防治方案。研究表明,疏松透水的土层、较强的降雨以及人类耕作活动是导致滑坡发生的主要因素。在天然状态下该滑坡稳定或基本稳定;在天然＋地震状态下,该滑坡欠稳定或不稳定;在连续高强度降雨状态下,该滑坡不稳定。故采取截、排水及抗滑桩等工程措施是防治该滑坡的有效方案。 相似文献