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1.
On the need to test hydrological models under changing conditions   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0  
Abstract

The ability of hydrological models to deal with changing conditions should not be taken for granted: it is an unfortunate but well-known problem of hydrology that the model structure and/or parameters optimized for certain conditions may not be transferable in time. Consequently, it is essential that, for application under changing conditions (e.g. in climate change impact studies), models be thoroughly assessed for their extrapolation capacity using adequate protocols. This editorial provides an overview of the Special Issue of Hydrological Sciences Journal compiled after a workshop on this theme held during the General Assembly of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences (IAHS) in Gothenburg (Sweden) in 2013. The Workshop participants had been invited to apply a calibration and evaluation protocol to their own models on a given set of changing basins. The results show that this protocol is an appropriate and instructive way of assessing the suitability of hydrological models to be applied under changing conditions. This special issue also includes papers following alternative testing methodologies, as well as an opinion paper on the definition of non-stationarity.  相似文献   

2.
Distance,time and scale in soil erosion processes   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
This commentary brings together, as a virtual Special Issue, a number of recent papers in Earth Surface Processes and Landforms that are all related to issues of scale in soil erosion. Empirical concepts that were developed in the 1940s are now in need of re‐thinking, and papers are increasingly exploring, through modelling and measurement, appropriate ways to recognize the mechanisms that connect processes across time and space scales. Issues include a more nuanced approach to selective transportation, responses to variability in surface and sub‐surface conditions and the need to analyse measurements in ways that can be transferred between sites and storms. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

3.
This article reports on the Special Issue of Earth Surface Processes and Landforms dedicated to planetary dune analogues and the advances that have been made through the integration of remote sensing and terrestrial field data to better model and understand aeolian systems. The 11 articles presented demonstrate a spectrum of analytical techniques that are employed to investigate ripples, dunes, draa and ergs across a variety of spatial and temporal scales. Nine of the papers involve innovative research about aeolian bedforms and processes, while the final two papers are examples of how vast quantities of data may be organized and scrutinized using a GIScience approach. Based on these 11 papers and the many abstracts archived in a series of three planetary dunes workshops at the Lunar Planetary Institute ( http://www.lpi.usra.edu/publications/abstracts.shtml ; LPI Contributions 1403, 1552, and 1673) it is evident that there exists diverse and complementary approaches to the comparative study of landforms and processes for terrestrial and extra‐terrestrial aeolian landscapes that is driven by a vibrant international community of scientists and educators that engage in the cross‐fertilization of ideas. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

4.
This thematic Virtual Special Issue highlights a personal selection of 18 recent (2007–2009) contributions to Earth Surface Processes and Landforms. These papers provide a flavour of recent research that is concerned with furthering our understanding of the many ways in which the biosphere interacts with the physical and chemical processes of sediment transfer/transformation. Much of this research has focused on understanding the mechanics by which the biota can modulate sediment transport and the strength of earth surface materials, often with the aim of applying that knowledge to enhance bioremediation methods of erosion control. This work continues to be fundamentally important in enhancing our understanding of earth surface processes, but often treats the biosphere and physical world as uncoupled entities. This selection therefore also provides samples of work that point to an ongoing but significant disciplinary reappraisal in which it is the interactions between ecological and geomorphological realms that are of primary interest. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

5.
This commentary brings together, as a Virtual Special Issue, several recent papers in Earth Surface Processes and Landforms that improve our understanding of coastal barrier response to relative sea level rise and a change in the frequency and/or magnitude of storm events. The ability to predict barrier response depends on the ability to quantify the spatial and temporal scales of sediment exchange amongst the nearshore, beach and dune. This exchange controls the height of the dune, which in turn determines the transfer of sediment to the backbarrier through washover and/or blowouts. The papers in this issue provide new insight on beach–dune interaction and the importance of this interaction to long‐term barrier evolution across a range of sites and scales, and how active management can influence this interaction and alter barrier response. Copyright © 2018 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

6.
This Special Issue of Earth Surface Processes and Landforms develops from the ‘Geomorphology: a 2020 Vision’ Annual Conference of the British Society for Geomorphology, organised at the University of Birmingham, UK, in July 2007. Entitled ‘New Developments in Process Understanding and Modelling in Geomorphology’, the Issue comprises a vibrant selection of 10 ‘process’ papers from leading researchers in geomorphological processes who presented at Birmingham. It aims to provide a readily accessible source of new and emerging ideas in understanding different landform processes across a range of space and time scales, based on innovations in geomorphological modelling and monitoring. The last few years have seen significant and exciting changes in geomorphology, especially in conceptual developments, numerical simulations, monitoring methodologies, data‐acquisition strategies and dating techniques. The resultant empirical datasets, theory development and modelling results have generated substantial advances in the understanding of geomorphological processes, form‐process feedbacks, scale impacts, long‐term landform evolution, the effects of climate and environmental change, and human impacts and management strategies. The Special Issue attempts to address the following key challenges: (a) to build on our Conference theme ‘Geomorphology: a 2020 Vision’, by identifying fundamental areas where doors need to be opened, for example in theory development, conceptual understanding, model evaluation, integration of the chemistry, physics, biology and mathematics of geomorphological processes, experimental validation, data needs and monitoring requirements; (b) to look forward to the next decade and beyond, and critically examine some of the approaches we will need for the questions ahead; and (c) to stimulate new research in the geomorphological sciences by highlighting both research gaps and promising developments, including emerging process modelling approaches, monitoring technologies and robust datasets. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

7.
ABSTRACT

The intended performance of hydraulic structures such as dams built on soluble rock or soil foundations may depend upon rates of dissolution caused by water seeping through joints, fissures or granular zones. Previous papers by one author and collaborators have defined the rates of dissolution for soluble rocks by means of a simple equation: dM/dt = K A (Cs—C)θ. This relationship may be used as an aid to prediction of enlargement of joints and fissures in rocks, settlements of granular foundation strata, the deterioration of filters, risks to shallow but intensely loaded foundations, and durability of underground storage caverns in soluble rocks. The relationship requires a knowledge of the solution potentials of groundwater associated with these features of engineering structures. They in turn require an understanding of the relevant hydrochemistry and hydrology which is discussed in this paper.  相似文献   

8.
Chilean Patagonia is one of the most extended fjord regions in the world that covers nearly 240,000 km2 with an extremely complex coastline and topography in one of the least densely populated areas of the country (1–8 inhabitants every 10 km2). In recent years, the area has been undergoing somewhat intense pressure since several commercial projects in hydroelectricity, tourism, and commercial salmon and mytilid cultures have been developed, or are in progress. Concomitantly, several large research programs have been devised to study the physical, chemical, and biological environment of Patagonia, such as the CIMAR FIORDO, and recently COPAS Sur-Austral based at Universidad de Concepcion, that attempts to close the bridge between oceanographic knowledge and its use by society.In this introductory article we summarize the collection of papers comprising this Special Issue of Continental Shelf Research. These papers deal with aspects of regional oceanography and geology, inorganic and organic geochemistry, ecology of pelagic and benthic organisms, and past changes in productivity.  相似文献   

9.
Abstract

The term debris torrent was introduced in North America's Pacific Northwest region to describe coarse-grained, rapid channelized flows rich in organic debris. Environmental conditions favouring their occurrence and distinctive criteria for recognition of debris torrents are discussed. A classification of gravitational and fluvial sediment transporting processes is presented as a framework for papers presented at the Debris Torrent Workshop 6a held in Vancouver in August, 1987.  相似文献   

10.
Abstract

The dominant source of streamflow in many mountainous watersheds is snowmelt recharge through shallow groundwater systems. The hydrological response of these watersheds is controlled by basin structure and spatially distributed snowmelt. The purpose of this series of two papers is to simulate spatially varying snowmelt and groundwater response in a small mountainous watershed. This paper examines the spatially and temporally variable snowmelt to be used as input to the groundwater flow modelling described in the second paper. Snowmelt simulation by the Simultaneous Heat and Water (SHAW) model (a detailed process model of the interrelated heat, water and solute movement through vegetative cover, snow, residue and soil) was validated by applying the model to two years of data at three sites ranging from shallow transient snow cover on a west-facing slope to a deep snow drift on a north-facing slope. The simulated energy balances for several melt periods are presented. Snow depth, density, and the magnitude and timing of snow cover outflow were simulated well for all sites.  相似文献   

11.
The subject of this paper is the treatment of rocks - and, especially, fluid-saturated and partially saturated reservoir rocks, as composite visco-elastic media. By this we mean to study and partially answer the question of how the effective material (frequency-dependent and complex-valued stiffness/density) parameters can be estimated from a knowledge of the constituents of the rocks, their volume fractions, the statistical distribution of sizes, shapes, orientations and positions of the individual particles (minerals of quartz, clay, etc.) and cavities (pores, cracks, etc.); in addition to parameters related to the fluid and its ability to flow, at the scale of the microstructure as well as that of the wavelength (assumed to be long compared to the scale-size of the microstructure).Our approach is to develop and combine a theory of stochastic waves with established results for the micromechanics of defects in solids, as well as state-of-the-art models of wave-induced fluid flow. Specifically, we first derive an exact formal expression for the effective material parameters in terms of a dynamic T-matrix for the material, which satisfies a single integral equation of the Lippmann-Schwinger type (known from quantum scattering theory), but formulated in an abstract vector space, associated with the combination of the strain and velocity fields into a more general state vector . Inclusions-based models are developed on the basis of standard many-body techniques, known from the static T-matrix approach as well as nuclear collision theory. The t-matrix of a low-aspect-ratio spheroidal crack is expressed in terms of the familiar displacement discontinuity parameters of Hudson, via the so-called K-tensor, which is of interest in itself, for example, when connecting cracks to pores (in the presence of multiple solid constituents) on the basis of an expression for the t-matrix of a communicating cavity.The present theory can in principle be used beyond the Rayleigh limit, but explicit estimates of the effective material parameters have so far been derived only under the assumption that (scattering attenuation can be ignored) the wavelength is large compared to the scale-size of a representative volume element. Starting with the dynamic equations of motion, we show that the behaviour of the mean wave in the Rayleigh limit is indeed determined by the effective stiffness tensor associated with a static theory of composites, in conjunction with the spatially averaged density for the heterogeneous material as a whole. Thus, we have provided justification to the procedure we used in a series of related papers, where we started out with the static equilibrium condition and employed the elastic/visco-elastic correspondence principle. Numerical examples (dealing with the effects of randomly oriented cracks on the isotropic velocity and attenuation spectra of a dual porosity model of clay-sand mixtures, and the effects of spatial distribution on the anisotropic attenuation spectra of fully aligned cracks that are partially saturated with two different fluids) will be provided in order to complement those in our earlier papers.  相似文献   

12.
Abstract

This review paper critically examines one of the most popular flood hydrograph modelling techniques for ungauged basins, the synthetic unit hydrograph (SUH), and its recent developments and advances. For this purpose, the SUH models were first grouped into four main classes, as follows: (a) traditional or empirical models; (b) conceptual models; (c) probabilistic models; and (d) geomorphological models. It was found that the geomorphological class is the most useful and interesting, since it is able to employ topographic information, so limiting the role of the calibration parameters. This review is expected to be helpful to hydrologists, water managers and decision-makers searching for models to study the flood hydrograph, modelling techniques and related processes in ungauged basins. It was completed as the International Association of Hydrological Sciences (IAHS) Decade (2003–2012) on predictions in ungauged basins (PUB), drew to a close.

Editor D. Koutsoyiannis; Associate editor S. Grimaldi

Citation Singh, P.K., Mishra, S.K., and Jain, M.K., 2013. A review of the Synthetic Unit Hydrograph: from the empirical UH to advanced geomorphological methods. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 59 (2), 239–261.  相似文献   

13.
This Commentary introduces a Special Issue of Earth Surface Processes and Landforms dedicated to the memory of Stephen Coleman (1966–2012) who sadly passed away on July 23, 2012. Stephen was an incredible enthusiast for the study of bedforms and made seminal contributions to our knowledge and understanding of flow, sediment transport and bedform dynamics. Stephen presented a keynote address at MARID 3, which has led to this Special Issue (see Coleman SE, Nikora VI. 2011. Fluvial dunes: initiation, characterization, flow structure. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms 36 : 39–57. DOI. 10.1002/esp.2096) and was always keen to discuss research, from theory to techniques to experiments. He was always generous with his time and touched many with the influence of his thoughts and intellect. Our community has lost an outstanding scientist and Stephen will be greatly missed by us all. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

14.
Abstract

The sediment yield model of the MUSLE (modified universal soil loss equation) is applied extensively throughout the world, but different performances have been reported of its success relative to measured data. A review of all the available literature is presented to assess the application of the model under different conditions and, ultimately, make a comprehensive judgement on the different aspects to allow readers to adjust their further research. A review of 49 papers showed the variable accuracy of the model, which depends on the manner of calculation and determination of the input and output, and the study time and space scales. There were differences in land use, in correspondence of the physiographic characteristics with those of the original conditions of model development, and even in the experience of researchers in applying the model. The results also show the need to consider the original application of the model, as proposed by its developers, to achieve comparable results.

Editor Z.W. Kundzewicz

Citation Sadeghi, S.H.R., et al., 2014. A review of the application of the MUSLE model worldwide. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 59 (2), 365–375.  相似文献   

15.
Abstract

This study modified the BTOPMC (Block-wise TOPMODEL with the Muskingum-Cunge routing method) distributed hydrological model to make it applicable to semi-arid regions by introducing an adjustment coefficient for infiltration capacity of the soil surface, and then applied it to two catchments above the dams in the Karun River basin, located in semi-arid mountain ranges in Iran. The application results indicated that the introduced modification improved the model performance for simulating flood peaks generated by infiltration excess overland runoff at a daily time scale. The modified BTOPMC was found to fulfil the need to reproduce important signatures of basin hydrology for water resource development, such as annual runoff, seasonal runoff, low flows and flood flows. However, it was also very clear that effective model use was significantly constrained by the scarcity of ground-gauged precipitation data. Considerable efforts to improve the precipitation data acquisition should precede water resource development planning.

Editor D. Koutsoyiannis  相似文献   

16.
In the framework of the eddy dynamic model developed in two previous papers (Dubovikov, M.S., Dynamical model of mesoscale eddies, Geophys. Astophys. Fluid Dyn., 2003, 97, 311–358; Canuto, V.M. and Dubovikov, M.S., Modeling mesoscale eddies, Ocean Modelling, 2004, 8, 1–30 referred as I–II), we compute the contribution of unresolved mesoscale eddies to the large-scale dynamic equations of the ocean. In isopycnal coordinates, in addition to the bolus velocity discussed in I–II, the mesoscale contribution to the large scale momentum equation is derived. Its form is quite different from the traditional down-gradient parameterization. The model solutions in isopycnal coordinates are transformed to level coordinates to parameterize the eddy contributions to the corresponding large scale density and momentum equations. In the former, the contributions due to the eddy induced velocity and to the residual density flux across mean isopycnals (so called Σ-term) are derived, both contributions being shown to be of the same order. As for the large scale momentum equation, as well as in isopycnal coordinates, the eddy contribution has a form which is quite different from the down-gradient expression.  相似文献   

17.
Abstract

Abstract In the first part of this study, theoretical analyses showed that the Gumbel distribution is quite unlikely to apply to hydrological extremes and that the extreme value distribution of type II (EV2) is a more consistent choice. Based on these theoretical analyses, an extensive empirical investigation is performed using a collection of 169 of the longest available rainfall records worldwide, each having 100–154 years of data. This verifies the theoretical results. In addition, it shows that the shape parameter of the EV2 distribution is constant for all examined geographical zones (Europe and North America), with value κ = 0.15. This simplifies the fitting and the general mathematical handling of the distribution, which become as simple as those of the Gumbel distribution.  相似文献   

18.
Abstract

Data unavailability is the main reason for limited applications of hydrodynamic models for predicting inundation in the developing world. This paper aims to generate moderately high-resolution hybrid terrain data by merging height information from low-cost Indian Remote Sensing satellite (IRS) Cartosat-1 stereo satellite images, freely-available Shuttle Radar Topograph Mission (SRTM) digital elevation model (DEM) data, and limited surveyed channel cross-sections. The study reach is characterized by anabranching channels that are associated with channel bifurcation, loops and river islands. We compared the performance of a simple 1D–2D coupled LISFLOOD-FP model and a complex fully 2D finite element TELEMAC-2D model with the hybrid terrain data. The results show that TELEMAC-2D produced significantly improved simulated inundation with the hybrid terrain data, as compared to the SRTM DEM. LISFLOOD-FP was found unsuitable to work with the hybrid DEM in a complicated fluvial environment, as it failed to efficiently divert water in the branches from the main channel.
Editor D. Koutsoyiannis; Associate editor A. Viglione  相似文献   

19.
Abstract

Bayly (1993) introduced and investigated the equation (? t + ▽-η ▽2)S = RS as a scalar analogue of the magnetic induction equation. Here, S(r, t) is a scalar function and the flow field v(r, t) and “stretching” function R(r, t) are given independently. This equation is much easier to handle than the corresponding vector equation and, although not of much relevance to the (vector) kinematic dynamo problem, it helps to study some features of the fast dynamo problem. In this note the scalar equation is considered for linear flow and a harmonic potential as stretching function. The steady equation separates into one-dimensional equations, which can be completely solved and therefore allow one to monitor the behaviour of the spectrum in the limit of vanishing diffusivity. For more general homogeneous flows a scaling argument is given which ensures fast dynamo action for certain powers of the harmonic potential. Our results stress the singular behaviour of eigenfunctions in the limit of vanishing diffusivity and the importance of stagnation points in the flow for fast dynamo action.  相似文献   

20.
《湖泊科学》2022,34(4)
麦地卡湿地,位于西藏自治区拉萨河源头地区,面积435km2 ,平均海拔4900m,属高原湖泊沼泽草甸湿地, 是黑颈鹤等多种珍稀鸟类的迁徙走廊和栖息地.2005 年被列入《国际重要湿地名录》.  相似文献   

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