Statistical description of non-Gaussian samples in the <Emphasis Type="Italic">F</Emphasis>2 layer of the ionosphere during heliogeophysical disturbances     

N.?P.?SergeenkoEmail author 《Geomagnetism and Aeronomy》2017,57(6):761-768

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Simulating stiffness degradation and damping in soils via a simple visco-elastic–plastic model     

《Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering》2014

Stiffness degradation and damping represent some of the most well-known aspects of cyclic soil behavior. While standard equivalent linear approaches reproduce these features by (separately) prescribing stiffness reduction and damping curves, in this paper a multiaxial, 3D, viscoelastic – plastic model is developed for the simultaneous simulation of both cyclic curves over a wide cyclic shear strain range.The proposed constitutive relationship is based on two parallel resisting/dissipative mechanisms, purely frictional (elastic–plastic) and viscous. The frictional mechanism is formulated as a bounding surface plasticity model with vanishing elastic domain, including pressure-sensitive failure locus and non-associative plastic flow – which are essential for effective stress analysis. At the same time, the use of the parallel viscous mechanism is shown to be especially beneficial to improve the simulation of the overall dissipative performance.In order to enable model calibration from stiffness degradation ($G/G_{\mathit{max}}$) and damping curves, the constitutive equations are purposely kept as simple as possible with a low number of material parameters. Although the model performance is here explored with reference to pure shear cyclic tests, the 3D, multiaxial formulation is appropriate for general loading conditions.  相似文献   

The langevin model for turbulent diffusion     

E. Krasnoff  R. L. Peskin 《地球物理与天体物理流体动力学》2013,107(1):123-146

Abstract

The Lagrangian approach to turbulent diffusion is considered through an improved Langevin model approach. The improved model partially accounts for the interaction between pressure and viscous stresses, an interaction not included in previous studies. The model is used to obtain one and two particle dispersion relations and it permits calculation of Eulerian-Lagrangian scale relations. Turbulence Reynolds number and time span limits for Richardson's law of diffusion are obtained. Non-stationarity of the acceleration between two particles is discussed as it relates to Richardson's law and the conclusions are considered in view of both laboratory and geophysical fluid dynamical data.  相似文献   

A hidden Markov model segmentation procedure for hydrological and environmental time series   总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0  

Ath.?KehagiasEmail author 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2004,18(2):117-130

In this paper we present a procedure for the segmentation of hydrological and enviromental time series. We consider the segmentation problem from a purely computational point of view which involves the minimization of Huberts segmentation cost; in addition this least squares segmentation is equivalent to Maximum Likelihood segmentation. Our segmentation procedure maximizes Likelihood and minimizes Huberts least squares criterion using a hidden Markov model (HMM) segmentation algorithm. This algorithm is guaranteed to achieve a local maximum of the Likelihood. We evaluate the segmentation procedure with numerical experiments which involve artificial, temperature and river discharge time series. In all experiments, the procedure actually achieves the global minimum of the Likelihood; furthermore execution time is only a few seconds, even for time series with over a thousand terms.  相似文献   

Locating microseismic events using borehole data   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

G.A. Jones  J.‐M. Kendall  I.D. Bastow  D.G. Raymer 《Geophysical Prospecting》2014,62(1):34-49

Constraining microseismic hypocentres in and around hydrocarbon reservoirs and their overburdens is essential for the monitoring of deformation related to hydraulic fracturing, production and injection and the assessment of reservoir security for CO₂ and wastewater storage. Microseismic monitoring in hydrocarbon reservoirs can be achieved via a variety of surface and subsurface acquisition geometries. In this study we use data from a single, subsurface, vertical array of sensors. We test an existing technique that uses a 1D velocity model to constrain locations by minimizing differential S‐to‐P arrival times for individual sensors. We show that small errors in either arrival time picks or the velocity model can lead to large errors in depth, especially near velocity model discontinuities where events tend to cluster. To address this issue we develop two methods that use all available arrival times simultaneously in the inversion, thus maximizing the number of potential constraints from to N, where N is the number of phase picks. The first approach minimizes all available arrival time pairs whilst the second approach, the equal distance time (EDT) method defines the hypocentre as the point where the maximum number of arrival time surfaces intersect. We test and compare the new location procedures with locations using differential S‐to‐P times at each individual sensor on a microseismic data set recorded by a vertical array of sensors at the Ekofisk reservoir in the North Sea. Specifically, we test each procedure's sensitivity to perturbations in measured arrival times and the velocity model using Monte Carlo analysis. In general, location uncertainties increase with increasing raypath length. We show that errors in velocity model estimates are the most significant source of uncertainty in source location with these experiments. Our tests show that hypocentres determined by the new procedures are less sensitive to erroneous measurements and velocity model uncertainties thus reducing the potential for misinterpretation of the results.  相似文献   

Statistical Analysis and Modeling of the Local Ionospheric Critical Frequency: A Mid-latitude Single-Station Model for Use in Forecasting     

Danislav Sapundjiev  Stanimir M. Stankov 《Acta Geophysica》2016,64(3):810-824

The hourly values of the F-layer critical frequency from the ionospheric sounder in Dourbes (50.1°N, 4.6°E) during the time interval from 1957 to 2010, comprising five solar cycles, were analyzed for the effects of the solar activity. The hourly time series were reduced to hourly monthly medians which in turn were used for fitting a single station foF₂ monthly median model. Two functional approaches have been investigated: a statistical approach and a spectral approach. The solar flux F_10.7 is used to model the dependence of foF₂ on the solar activity and is incorporated into both models by a polynomial expression. The statistical model employs polynomial functions to fit the F-layer critical frequency while the spectral model is based on spectral decomposition of the measured data and offers a better physical interpretation of the fitting parameters. The daytime and nighttime foF₂ values calculated by both approaches are compared during high and low solar activity. In general, the statistical model has a slightly lower uncertainty at the expense of the larger number of fitting parameters. However, the spectral approach is superior for modeling the periodic effects and performs better when comparing the results for high and low solar activity. Comparison with the International Reference Ionosphere (IRI 2012) shows that both local models are better at describing the local values of the F-layer critical frequency.  相似文献   

Optically stimulated luminescence dating of single and multiple grains of quartz from perennially frozen loess in western Yukon Territory, Canada: Comparison with radiocarbon chronologies for the late Pleistocene Dawson tephra     

M. Demuro  R.G. Roberts  D.G. Froese  L.J. Arnold  F. Brock  C.Bronk Ramsey 《Quaternary Geochronology》2008,3(4):346-364

Optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) dating of perennially frozen loess was tested on quartz grains extracted from deposits associated with the late Pleistocene Dawson tephra in western Yukon Territory, Canada. OSL samples were obtained from ice-rich loess bracketing the Dawson tephra, while radiocarbon (¹⁴C) samples were collected from the bulk sediments directly underlying the tephra and from a ground-squirrel burrow 2.7 m below the tephra. Here we report the OSL characteristics and ages of the extracted quartz grains, as well as additional radiocarbon ages for samples described in Froese [2002. Age and significance of the late Pleistocene Dawson tephra in eastern Beringia. Quaternary Science Reviews 21, 2137–2142; 2006. Seasonality of the late Pleistocene Dawson tephra and exceptional preservation of a buried riparian surface in central Yukon Territory, Canada. Quaternary Science Reviews 25, 1542–1551]. We refine the time of Dawson tephra deposition to between 25,420±70 and 25,290±80 ¹⁴C a BP. Bayesian analysis of constraining radiocarbon ages places the deposition of the Dawson tephra at between 30,433 and 30,032 cal a BP. Linear modulation (LM) OSL analysis of multi-grain aliquots of quartz showed that the initial part of the decay curve is dominated by a rapidly bleached (‘fast’) component; these samples, however, had relatively dim continuous wave (CW) OSL signals at the multi-grain aliquot (each composed of 80 grains) and single-grain scales of analysis. The single-aliquot regenerative-dose protocol was applied to multi-grain aliquots and single grains to obtain equivalent dose (D_e) values for samples collected from below and above the Dawson tephra. The D_e values were examined graphically and numerically, the latter using the central age, minimum age, and finite mixture models. For multi-grain aliquots, the central age model gave weighted mean D_e values between 30 and 50 Gy, which greatly underestimated the expected D_e of 74–81 Gy for both samples studied. Possible reasons for these underestimations are discussed, and a solution proposed based on single-grain analysis. Measurements of single grains produced D_e values in agreement with the expected D_e, and yielded OSL ages of 28±5 and 30±4 ka for the samples taken from above and below the Dawson tephra, respectively. Examination of individual grains with differing luminescence behaviors showed that a significant number of the measured quartz grains exhibited anomalous luminescence properties that would have compromised the results obtained from multi-grain aliquots. We therefore recommend analysis of individual grains to overcome the age-shortfall from multi-grain analysis of these and similar samples of quartz.  相似文献   

A mixed model for earthquake interevent times     

Abdelhak Talbi  Fumio Yamazaki 《Journal of Seismology》2010,14(2):289-307

A mixed model is proposed to fit earthquake interevent time distribution. In this model, the whole distribution is constructed by mixing the distribution of clustered seismicity, with a suitable distribution of background seismicity. Namely, the fit is tested assuming a clustered seismicity component modeled by a non-homogeneous Poisson process and a background component modeled using different hypothetical models (exponential, gamma and Weibull). For southern California, Japan, and Turkey, the best fit is found when a Weibull distribution is implemented as a model for background seismicity. Our study uses earthquake random sampling method we introduced recently. It is performed here to account for space–time clustering of earthquakes at different distances from a given source and to increase the number of samples used to estimate earthquake interevent time distribution and its power law scaling. For Japan, the contribution of clustered pairs of events to the whole distribution is analyzed for different magnitude cutoffs, m _c, and different time periods. The results show that power laws are mainly produced by the dominance of correlated pairs at small and long time ranges. In particular, both power laws, observed at short and long time ranges, can be attributed to time–space clustering revealed by the standard Gardner and Knopoff’s declustering windows.  相似文献   

A numerical study of the slope current northwest of the British Isles     

《Continental Shelf Research》1998,18(1):1-30

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