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1.
Air over-pressure (AOp) is one of the products of blasting operations for rock fragmentation in open-pit mines. It can cause structural vibration, smash glass doors, adversely affect the surrounding environment, and even be fatal to humans. To assess its dangerous effects, seven artificial intelligence (AI) methods for predicting specific blast-induced AOp have been applied and compared in this study. The seven methods include random forest, support vector regression, Gaussian process, Bayesian additive regression trees, boosted regression trees, k-nearest neighbors, and artificial neural network (ANN). An empirical technique was also used to compare with AI models. The degree of complexity and the performance of the models were compared with each other to find the optimal model for predicting blast-induced AOp. The Deo Nai open-pit coal mine (Vietnam) was selected as a case study where 113 blasting events have been recorded. Indicators used for evaluating model performances include the root-mean-square error (RMSE), determination coefficient (R2), and mean absolute error (MAE). The results indicate that AI techniques provide better performance than the empirical method. Although the relevance of the empirical approach was acceptable (R2?=?0.930) in this study, its error (RMSE?=?7.514) is highly significant to guarantee the safety of the surrounding environment. In contrast, the AI models offer much higher accuracies. Of the seven AI models, ANN was the most dominant model based on RMSE, R2, and MAE. This study demonstrated that AI techniques are excellent for predicting blast-induced AOp in open-pit mines. These techniques are useful for blasters and managers in controlling undesirable effects of blasting operations on the surrounding environment. 相似文献
2.
Flyrock is one of the most important environmental issues in mine blasting, which can affect equipment, people and could cause fatal accidents. Therefore, minimization of this environmental issue of blasting must be considered as the ultimate objective of many rock removal projects. This paper describes a new minimization procedure of flyrock using intelligent approaches, i.e., artificial neural network (ANN) and particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithms. The most effective factors of flyrock were used as model inputs while the output of the system was set as flyrock distance. In the initial stage, an ANN model was constructed and proposed with high degree of accuracy. Then, two different strategies according to ideal and engineering condition designs were considered and implemented using PSO algorithm. The two main parameters of PSO algorithm for optimal design were obtained as 50 for number of particle and 1000 for number of iteration. Flyrock values were reduced in ideal condition to 34 m; while in engineering condition, this value was reduced to 109 m. In addition, an appropriate blasting pattern was proposed. It can be concluded that using the proposed techniques and patterns, flyrock risks in the studied mine can be significantly minimized and controlled. 相似文献
3.
Ground vibration induced by rock blasting is one of the most crucial problems in surface mines and tunneling projects. Hence, accurate prediction of ground vibration is an important prerequisite in the minimization of its environmental impacts. This study proposes hybrid intelligent models to predict ground vibration using adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) optimized by particle swarm optimization (PSO) and genetic algorithms (GAs). To build prediction models using ANFIS, ANFIS–GA, and ANFIS–PSO, a database was established, consisting of 86 data samples gathered from two quarries in Iran. The input parameters of the proposed models were the burden, spacing, stemming, powder factor, maximum charge per delay (MCD), and distance from the blast points, while peak particle velocity (PPV) was considered as the output parameter. Based on the sensitivity analysis results, MCD was found as the most effective parameter of PPV. To check the applicability and efficiency of the proposed models, several traditional performance indices such as determination coefficient (R2) and root-mean-square error (RMSE) were computed. The obtained results showed that the proposed ANFIS–GA and ANFIS–PSO models were capable of statistically predicting ground vibration with excellent levels of accuracy. Compared to the ANFIS, the ANFIS–GA model showed an approximately 61% decrease in RMSE and 10% increase in R2. Also, the ANFIS–PSO model showed an approximately 53% decrease in RMSE and 9% increase in R2 compared to ANFIS. In other words, the ANFIS performance was optimized with the use of GA and PSO. 相似文献
4.
Strict control of the environmental impacts of blasting operations needs to be completely in line with the regulatory limits. In such operations, flyrock control is of high importance especially due to safety issues and the damages it may cause to infrastructures, properties as well as the people who live within and around the blasting site. Such control causes flyrock to be limited, hence significantly reducing the risk of damage. This paper serves two main objectives: risk assessment and prediction of flyrock. For these objectives, a fuzzy rock engineering system (FRES) framework was developed in this study. The proposed FRES was able to efficiently evaluate the parameters that affect flyrock, which facilitate decisions to be made under uncertainties. In this study, the risk level of flyrock was determined using 11 independent parameters, and the proposed FRES was capable of calculating the interactions among these parameters. According to the results, the overall risk of flyrock in the studied case (Ulu Tiram quarry, located in Malaysia) was medium to high. Hence, the use of controlled blasting method can be recommended in the site. In the next step, three optimization algorithms, namely genetic algorithm (GA), imperialist competitive algorithm (ICA) and particle swarm optimization (PSO), were used to predict flyrock, and it was found that the GA-based model was more accurate than the ICA- and PSO-based models. Accordingly, it is concluded that FRES is a very useful for both risk assessment and prediction of flyrock. 相似文献
5.
Recent upward trends in acres irrigated have been linked to increasing near-surface moisture. Unfortunately, stations with dew point data for monitoring near-surface moisture are sparse. Thus, models that estimate dew points from more readily observed data sources are useful. Daily average dew temperatures were estimated and evaluated at 14 stations in Southwest Georgia using linear regression models and artificial neural networks (ANN). Estimation methods were drawn from simple and readily available meteorological observations, therefore only temperature and precipitation were considered as input variables. In total, three linear regression models and 27 ANN were analyzed. The two methods were evaluated using root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and other model evaluation techniques to assess the skill of the estimation methods. Both methods produced adequate estimates of daily averaged dew point temperatures, with the ANN displaying the best overall skill. The optimal performance of both models was during the warm season. Both methods had higher error associated with colder dew points, potentially due to the lack of observed values at those ranges. On average, the ANN reduced RMSE by 6.86% and MAE by 8.30% when compared to the best performing linear regression model. 相似文献
6.
Blast-induced flyrock is a hazardous and undesirable phenomenon that may occur in surface mines, especially when blasting takes place near residential areas. Therefore, accurate prediction of flyrock distance is of high significance in the determination of the statutory danger area. To this end, there is a practical need to propose an accurate model to predict flyrock. Aiming at this topic, this study presents two machine learning models, including extreme learning machine (ELM) and outlier robust ELM (ORELM), for predicting flyrock. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work that investigates the use of ORELM model in the field of flyrock prediction. To construct and verify the proposed ELM and ORELM models, a database including 82 datasets has been collected from the three granite quarry sites in Malaysia. Additionally, artificial neural network (ANN) and multiple regression models were used for comparison. According to the results, both ELM and ORELM models performed satisfactorily, and their performances were far better compared to the performances of ANN and multiple regression models. 相似文献
7.
Evaluation and prediction of groundwater levels through specific model(s) helps in forecasting of groundwater resources. Among the different robust tools available, the Integrated Time Series (ITS) and Back-Propagation Artificial Neural Network (BPANN) models are commonly used to empirically forecast hydrological variables. Here, we discuss the modeling process and accuracy of these two methods in assessing their relative advantages and disadvantages based on Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and coefficient of efficiency (CE). The arid and semi-arid areas of western Jilin province of China were chosen as study area owing to the decline of groundwater levels during the past decade mainly due to overexploitation. The simulation results indicated that both ITS and BPANN are accurate in reproducing (fitting) the groundwater levels and the CE are 0.98 and 0.97, respectively. In the validation phase, the comparison of the prediction accuracy of the BPANN and ITS models indicated that the BPANN models is superior to the ITS in forecasting the groundwater levels time series in term of the RMSE, MAE and CE. 相似文献
8.
The complexity of hydrological processes and lack of data for modeling require the use of specific tools for non-linear natural phenomenon. In this paper, an effort has been made to develop a conjunction model – wavelet transformation, data-driven models, and genetic algorithm (GA) – for forecasting the daily flow of a river in northern Algeria using the time series of runoff. This catchment has a semi-arid climate and strong variability in runoff. The original time series was decomposed into multi-frequency time series by wavelet transform algorithm and used as inputs to artificial neural networks (ANN) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) models. Several factors must be optimized to determine the best model structures. Wavelet-based data-driven models using a GA are designed to optimize model structure. The performances of wavelet-based data-driven models (i.e. WANFIS and WANN) were superior to those of conventional models. WANFIS (RMSE = 12.15 m 3/s, EC = 87.32%, R = .934) and WANN (RMSE = 15.73 m 3/s, EC = 78.83%, R = .888) models improved the performances of ANFIS (RMSE = 23.13 m 3/s, EC = 54.11%, R = .748) and ANN (RMSE = 22.43 m 3/s, EC = 56.90%, R = .755) during the test period. 相似文献
9.
In the present work, blast-induced air overpressure is estimated by an innovative intelligence system based on the cubist algorithm (CA) and genetic algorithm (GA) with high accuracy, called GA–CA model. Herein, CA initialization model was developed first and the hyper-parameters of the CA model were selected randomly. Subsequently, the GA procedure was applied to perform a global search for the optimized values of the hyper-factors of the CA model. Root-mean-square error (RMSE) is utilized as a compatibility function to determine the optimal CA model with the lowest RMSE. Gaussian process (GP), conditional inference tree (CIT), principal component analysis (PCA), hybrid neural fuzzy inference system (HYFIS) and k-nearest neighbor (k-NN) models are also developed as the benchmark models in order to compare and analyze the quality of the proposed GA–CA algorithm; 164 blasting works were investigated at a quarry mine of Vietnam for this aim. The results revealed that GA significantly improved the performance of the CA model. Based on the statistical indices used for model assessment, the proposed GA–CA model was confirmed as the most superior model as compared to the other models (i.e., GP, CIT, HYFIS, PCA, k-NN). It can be applied as a robust soft computing tool for estimating blast-induced air overpressure. 相似文献
10.
Research on forest phenology is an important parameter related to climate and environmental changes. An optical camera was used as a near-earth remote sensing satellite device to obtain forest images, and the data of Green excess index (GEI) in the images were calculated, which was fitted with the seasonal variation curve of GEI data by double Logistic method and normalization method. LSTM and GRU deep learning models were introduced to train and test the GEI data. Moreover, the rationality and performance evaluation of the deep learning model were verified, and finally the model predicted the trend of GEI data in the next 60 days. Results showed: In the aspects of forest phenology training and prediction, GRU and LSTM models were verified by histograms and autocorrelation graphs, indicating that the distribution of predicted data was consistent with the trend of real data, LSTM and GRU model data were feasible and the model was stable. The differences of MSE, RMSE, MAE and MAPE between LSTM model and GRU model were 0.0014, 0.013, 0.008 and 5.26%, respectively. GRU had higher performance than LSTM. The prediction of LSTM and GRU models about GEI data for the next 60 days both showed a trend chart consistent with the change trend of GEI data in the first half of the year. GRU and LSTM were used to predict GEI data by deep learning model, and the response of LSTM and GRU deep learning models in forest phenology prediction was realized, and the performance of GRU was better than that of LSTM model. It could further reveal the growth and climate change of forest phenology in the future, and provide a theoretical basis for the application of forest phenology prediction. 相似文献
11.
We explored the possibility of using artificial neural networks (ANN) to develop quantitative inference models in paleolimnology. ANNs are dynamic computer systems able to learn the relations between input and output data. We developed ANN models to infer pH from fossil diatom assemblages using a calibration data set of 76 lakes in Quebec. We evaluated the predictive power of these models in comparison with the two most commonly methods used in paleolimnology: Weighted Averaging (WA) and Weighted Averaging Partial Least Squares (WA-PLS). Results show that the relationship between species assemblages and environmental variables of interest can be modelled by a 3-layer back-propagation network, with apparent R 2 and RMSE of 0.9 and 0.24 pH units, respectively. Leave-one-out cross-validation was used to access the reliabilities of the WA, WA-PLS and ANN models. Validation results show that the ANN model (R 2
jackknife = 0.63, RMSE jackknife = 0.45, mean bias = 0.14, maximum bias = 1.13) gives a better predictive power than the WA model (R 2
jackknife = 0.56, RMSE jackknife = 0.5, mean bias = –0.09, maximum bias = –1.07) or WA-PLS model (R 2
jackknife = 0.58, RMSE jackknife = 0.48, mean bias = –0.15, maximum bias = –1.08). We also evaluated whether the removal of certain taxa according to their tolerance changed the performance of the models. Overall, we found that the removal of taxa with high tolerances for pH improved the predictive power of WA-PLS models whereas the removal of low tolerance taxa lowered its performance. However, ANN models were generally much less affected by the removal of taxa of either low or high pH tolerance. Moreover, the best model was obtained by averaging the predictions of WA-PLS and ANN models. This implies that the two modelling approaches capture and extract complementary information from diatom assemblages. We suggest that future modelling efforts might achieve better results using analogous multi-model strategies. 相似文献
12.
Location-allocation modeling is an important area of research in spatial optimization and GIScience. A large number of analytical models for location-allocation analysis have been developed in the past 50 years to meet the requirements of different planning and spatial-analytic applications, ranging from the location of emergency response units (EMS) to warehouses and transportation hubs. Despite their great number, many location-allocation models are intrinsically linked to one another. A well-known example is the theoretical link between the classic p-median problem and coverage location problems. Recently, Lei and Church showed that a large number of classic and new location models can be posed as special case problems of a new modeling construct called the vector assignment ordered median problem (VAOMP). Lei and Church also reported extremely high computational complexity in optimally solving the best integer linear programming (ILP) formulation developed for the VAOMP even for medium-sized problems in certain cases.In this article, we develop an efficient unified solver for location-allocation analysis based on the VAOMP model without using ILP solvers. Our aim is to develop a fast heuristic algorithm based on the Tabu Search (TS) meta-heuristic, and message passing interface (MPI) suitable for obtaining optimal or near-optimal solutions for the VAOMP in a real-time environment. The unified approach is particularly interesting from the perspective of GIScience and spatial decision support systems (DSS) as it makes it possible to solve a wide variety of location models in a unified manner in a GIS environment. Computational results show that the TS method can often obtain in seconds, solutions that are better than those obtained using the ILP-based approach in hours or a day. 相似文献
13.
Simulation and quantitative analysis of urban land use change are effective ways to investigate urban form evolution. Cellular Automata (CA) has been used as a convenient and useful tool for simulating urban land use change. However, the key issue for CA models is the definition of the transition rules, and a number of statistical or artificial intelligence methods may be used to obtain the optimal rules. Neighborhood configuration is a basic component of transition rules, and is characterized by a distance decay effect. However, many CA models do not consider the neighbor decay effect in cellular space. This paper presents a neighbor decay cellular automata model based on particle swarm optimization (PSO-NDCA). We used particle swarm optimization (PSO) to find transition rules and considered the decay effect of the cellular neighborhood. A negative power exponential function was used to compute the decay coefficient of the cellular neighborhood in the model. By calculating the cumulative differences between simulation results and the sample data, the PSO automatically searched for the optimal combination of parameters of the transition rules. Using Xiamen City as a case study, we simulated urban land use changes for the periods 1992–1997 and 2002–2007. Results showed that the PSO-NDCA model had a higher prediction accuracy for built-up land, and a higher overall accuracy and Kappa coefficient than the urban CA model based on particle swarm optimization. The study demonstrates that there exist optimal neighborhood decay coefficients in accordance with the regional characteristics of an area. Urban CA modelling should take into account the role of neighborhood decay. 相似文献
14.
提高干旱预测精度能为流域干旱应对及风险防范提供可靠数据支撑,构建比选合适的干旱模型是当前研究的热点。研究以4个时间尺度（3、6、9、12月）标准化降水指数（SPI）为表征指标,利用小波神经网络（WNN）、支持向量回归（SVR）、随机森林（RF）三种机器学习算法分别构建了海河北系干旱预测模型,利用Kendall、K-S、MAE三种检验方法判定模型表现及其稳定性。研究表明：（1） WNN、SVR模型呈现结果在不同时间尺度SPI存在差异,WNN最适合12个月尺度SPI干旱预测;SVR最适合6个月尺度SPI干旱预测。（2） 对3、12个月尺度SPI,RF预测性能最优（Kendall>0.898,MAE<0.05）;对6、9个月尺度SPI,SVR预测性能最优（Kendall>0.95,MAE<0.04）。（3） 模型预测性能稳定性存在区别,RF预测稳定性最高,其次为SVR。（4） 构建的三种模型表现异同主要是因为SVR转为凸优化问题解决了WNN易陷入局部最优解的不足,从而提高了模型预测性能,RF集成多样化回归树,降低了弱学习器的负面影响,提高了模型预测准确率及稳定性,同时,RF处理包含噪声的降水数据的能力更强。 相似文献
15.
Abstract This study examines the propagation of thematic error through GIS overlay operations. Existing error propagation models for these operations are shown to yield results that are inconsistent with actual levels of propagation error. An alternate model is described that yields more consistent results. This model is based on the frequency of errors of omission and commission in input data. Model output can be used to compute a variety of error indices for data derived from different overlay operations. 相似文献
16.
Soil moisture simulation and prediction in semi-arid regions are important for agricultural production,soil conservation and climate change.However,considerable heterogeneity in the spatial distribution of soil moisture,and poor ability of distributed hydrological models to estimate it,severely impact the use of soil moisture models in research and practical applications.In this study,a newly-developed technique of coupled(WA-ANN) wavelet analysis(WA) and artificial neural network(ANN) was applied for a multi-layer soil moisture simulation in the Pailugou catchment of the Qilian Mountains,Gansu Province, China.Datasets included seven meteorological factors:air and land surface temperatures,relative humidity,global radiation, atmospheric pressure,wind speed,precipitation,and soil water content at 20,40,60,80,120 and 160 cm.To investigate the effectiveness of WA-ANN,ANN was applied by itself to conduct a comparison.Three main findings of this study were:(1) ANN and WA-ANN provided a statistically reliable and robust prediction of soil moisture in both the root zone and deepest soil layer studied(NSE >0.85,NSE means Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency coefficient);(2) when input meteorological factors were transformed using maximum signal to noise ratio(SNR) and one-dimensional auto de-noising algorithm(heursure) in WA, the coupling technique improved the performance of ANN especially for soil moisture at 160 cm depth;(3) the results of multi-layer soil moisture prediction indicated that there may be different sources of water at different soil layers,and this can be used as an indicator of the maximum impact depth of meteorological factors on the soil water content at this study site.We conclude that our results show that appropriate simulation methodology can provide optimal simulation with a minimum distortion of the raw-time series;the new method used here is applicable to soil sciences and management applications. 相似文献
17.
Property valuation studies often use classical statistics techniques. Among these techniques, the Artificial Neural Networks are the most applied, overcoming the inflexibility and the linearity of the hedonic models. Other researchers have used Geostatistics techniques, specifically the Kriging Method, for interpreting spatial-temporal variability and to predict housing unit prices. The innovation of this study is to highlight how the Kriging Method can help to better understand the urban environment, improving the results obtained by classical statistics. This study presents two different methods that share the general objective of extracting information regarding a city’s housing from datasets. The procedures applied are Ordinary Kriging (Geostatistics) and Multi-Layer Perceptron algorithm (Artificial Neural Networks). These methods were used to predict housing unit prices in the municipality of Pozuelo de Alarcon (Madrid). The implementation of both methods provides us with the urban characteristics of the study area and the most significant variables related to price. The main conclusion is that the Ordinary Kriging models and the Neural Networks models, applied to predicting housing unit prices are necessary methodologies to improve the information obtained in classical statistical techniques. Abbreviations: ANN: Artificial Neural Networks; OK: ordinary Kriging; MLP: multi-layer perceptron 相似文献
19.
Natural Resources Research - Drilling and blasting operations are one of the most effective techniques for rock removal in mines. However, these operations are associated with some environmental... 相似文献
20.
Accurate simulations and predictions of urban expansion are critical to manage urbanization and explicitly address the spatiotemporal trends and distributions of urban expansion. Cellular Automata integrated Markov Chain (CA-MC) is one of the most frequently used models for this purpose. However, the urban suitability index (USI) map produced from the conventional CA-MC is either affected by human bias or cannot accurately reflect the possible nonlinear relations between driving factors and urban expansion. To overcome these limitations, a machine learning model (Artificial Neural Network, ANN) was integrated with CA-MC instead of the commonly used Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Logistic Regression (LR) CA-MC models. The ANN was optimized to create the USI map and then integrated with CA-MC to spatially allocate urban expansion cells. The validated results of kappa and fuzzy kappa simulation indicate that ANN-CA-MC outperformed other variously coupled CA-MC modelling approaches. Based on the ANN-CA-MC model, the urban area in South Auckland is predicted to expand to 1340.55 ha in 2026 at the expense of non-urban areas, mostly grassland and open-bare land. Most of the future expansion will take place within the planned new urban growth zone. 相似文献
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