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1.
依据 《中国震例》 资料,统计分析了云南地区1966—2006年MS≥5.0地震的地下流体测项异常,结果表明:超过70%的水位和水温震前异常表现为上升,水氡和水位异常出现时间最早;震级越大相应的流体异常范围就越大;大多数震前流体异常会持续到地震发生,说明流体异常与震前地壳活动有关,并据此得出云南地区地震发生时间及异常检测井至震中距离的经验性边界方程。分类汇总云南地区地下流体测项的异常形态,识别出该地区地下流体异常的5种主要异常形态,即趋势转折类、周期类、突变类、阈值类和综合类,并举例阐明了各种异常形态的特征及其可能的成因。本文研究结果对于认识云南地区流体异常特征以及提升流体异常应用水平具有一定的参考意义。 相似文献
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The large scales of co-seismic water level changes in mainland China were observed in response to the tragic 2008 Ms 8.0 Wenchuan earthquake. To better understand the mechanism of these hydrogeological phenomena, groundwater-level data at 17 confined wells, with an epicentral distance of <500 km, were collected. We compare the static strain predicted by dislocation theory with the volumetric strain calculated by the tide effect of the groundwater based on poroelastic theory. The results show that the sign of the co-seismic groundwater level change is consistent with the sign predicted by dislocation theory. Additionally, the magnitude of the strain calculated by the two methods is also concordant in half of the wells. In the rest of the wells, the strains inversed from the groundwater level are one or two orders of magnitude larger than the fault dislocation model. These wells mostly have an epicenter distance larger than 300 km; therefore, the dynamic stress induced by the seismic wave may be responsible for the co-seismic water level changes in these wells. According to these results, we roughly estimate that the effect range of the static stress is approximately 300 km for the Wenchuan earthquake, and the dynamic stresses dominate beyond this epicenter distance. In addition, geological and hydrogeological conditions and other mechanisms may be responsible for these changes. 相似文献
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Since 1976 groundwater-levels and the temperature of thermal water have been monitored in 100 wells distributed mostly in the southern Kanto and Tokai districts of Japan in order to predict earthquakes. Good examples of groundwater precursors were recognized prior to the following destructive earthquakes: the 1978 West Off Izu-Oshima Earthquake (M 7.0), the 1978 Off Miyagi Earthquakes (M 7.4), and the 1980 East Off Izu Peninsula Earthquake (M 6.7). In the 1978 West Off Izu-Oshima Earthquake, groundwater levels and the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) volume strainmeters, installed in the Izu peninsula, showed precursory changes at about the same time. In the other cases, however, precursory behavior was observed only in water level and temperature monitoring. Empirical relations are given between earthquake magnitude and the epicentral distance of the farthest groundwater anomaly, and between earthquake magnitude and the precursor time of groundwater. 相似文献
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It is widely acknowledged that the 1964 Niigata, Japan, earthquake is associated with the preseismic anomalous crustal movement detected by repetition of precise levelings, while some doubts have been raised on the validity of reported precursory movement. Validity of the crustal movement is tested by an analysis of tidal data. When we are able to deduce crustal movement referring to the determined mean sea level, we can discuss the absolute crustal movement. Tidal data along the Japan Sea coast of northeast Japan are analyzed by the method developed inTsumura (1963, 1970) for the period from 1955 to 1986.The final results at tidal station, Nezugaseki, indicate clearly the steady-state movement during 1955–1958, 4 cm of abnormal upheaval from 1959–1964, 20 cm of coseismic abrupt subsidence, and 4 cm of postseismic rapid subsidence, and finally very gradual subsidence. Thus the present results support the idea of the typical pattern of the seismic crustal movement, including the precursory movement. 相似文献
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许多地下流体监测井在地震发生时都能记录到同震水位变化,而利用地下水位的同震响应特征以及水位固体潮效应可以反演地震对含水层产生的体应变量．本文尝试从大尺度上对大地震引起的体应变变化进行研究,为此收集了位于我国大陆不同构造活动区5口地下流体监测井两年半的水位数据资料进行分析,去除干扰项,提取出水位固体潮成分,进行调和分析求取潮汐因子,并反演出汶川MS8.0地震对这5口井所在含水层产生的体应变量．结果显示,汶川大地震对这5口井 含水层造成的体应变量基本在10-7量级. 地震引起的体应变随距离的衰减规律比较复杂,其不仅与震中距有关,而且与活动断裂带的展布和地壳岩体结构等密切相关． 相似文献
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Hydrologic precursors to earthquakes: A review 总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4
Evelyn A. Roeloffs 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1988,126(2-4):177-209
This review summarizes reports of anomalous flow rates or pressures of groundwater, oil, or gas that have been interpreted as earthquake precursors. Both increases and decreases of pressure and flow rate have been observed, at distances up to several hundred kilometers from the earthquake epicenter, with precursor times ranging from less than one day to more than one year. Although information that might rule out nontectonic causes does not appear in many published accounts of hydrologic anomalies, several recent studies have critically evaluated the possible influences of barometric pressure, rainfall, and groundwater or oil exploitation. Anomalies preceding the 1976 Tangshan, China, and the 1978 Izu-Oshima-Kinkai, Japan, earthquakes are especially well-documented and worthy of further examination.Among hydrologic precursors, pressure head changes in confined subsurface reservoirs are those most amenable to quantitative interpretation in terms of crustal strain. The response of pressure head to earth tides determines coefficients of proportionality between pressure head and crustal strain. The same coefficients of proportionality should govern the fluid pressure response to any crustal strain field in which fluid flow in the reservoir is unimportant. Water level changes in response to independently recorded tectonic events, such as earthquakes and aseismic fault creep, provide evidence that a calibration based on response to earth tides may be applied to crustal strains of tectonic origin.Several models of earthquake generation predict accelerating stable slip on part of the future rupture plane. If precursory slip has moment less than or equal to that of the impending earthquake, then the coseismic volume strain is an upper bound for precursory volume strain. Although crustal strain can be only crudely estimated from most reported pressure head anomalies, the sizes of many anomalies within 150 kilometers of earthquake epicenters appear consistent with this upper bound. In contrast, water level anomalies at greater epicentral distances appear to be larger than this bound by several orders of magnitude.It is clear that water level monitoring can yield information about the earthquake generation process, but progress higes on better documentation of the data. 相似文献
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Reaearch on Skempton's coefficient B based on the observation of groundwater of Changping station 
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下载免费PDF全文 Based on isotropic linear poroelastic theory and under the undrained condition, we summarize three equations connecting the Skempton's coefficient
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Shukra Raj Paudel Sushant Prasad Banjara Amrita Wagle Friedemann T. Freund 《Journal of Seismology》2018,22(5):1293-1314
We review changes in groundwater chemistry as precursory signs for earthquakes. In particular, we discuss pH, total dissolved solids (TDS), electrical conductivity, and dissolved gases in relation to their significance for earthquake prediction or forecasting. These parameters are widely believed to vary in response to seismic and pre-seismic activity. However, the same parameters also vary in response to non-seismic processes. The inability to reliably distinguish between changes caused by seismic or pre-seismic activities from changes caused by non-seismic activities has impeded progress in earthquake science. Short-term earthquake prediction is unlikely to be achieved, however, by pH, TDS, electrical conductivity, and dissolved gas measurements alone. On the other hand, the production of free hydroxyl radicals (?OH), subsequent reactions such as formation of H2O2 and oxidation of As(III) to As(V) in groundwater, have distinctive precursory characteristics. This study deviates from the prevailing mechanical mantra. It addresses earthquake-related non-seismic mechanisms, but focused on the stress-induced electrification of rocks, the generation of positive hole charge carriers and their long-distance propagation through the rock column, plus on electrochemical processes at the rock-water interface. 相似文献
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The seismic waves excited by the M
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7.6 Olyutorskii earthquake that occurred on April 20, 2006 in the Koryak Upland gave rise to water-level changes in five
wells situated in continental areas of Kamchatka at hypocentral distances of 750–1150 km. We describe the effects due to seismic
waves, as well as the water-level anomalies for February–April 2006 before the earthquake. We used an original technique for
the processing of water-level records based on the study of barometric and tidal water-level responses in order to estimate
the volume strain in water-saturated rocks during synchronous level variations at two wells. We discuss possible mechanisms
for producing anomalous water-level changes due to elastic deformation of monitored groundwater reservoirs and to crack dilatancy
in the water-saturated rocks. 相似文献
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The Dogo hot spring, situated in Matsuyama City, Ehime Prefecture, Japan, is one of the oldest and most famous hot springs
in Japan. The groundwater level or discharge at the spring decreased four times during the past eight or nine Nankai earthquakes.
These are large interplate earthquakes that have occurred repeatedly in the western part of the Nankai Trough at intervals
of 100–200 years since A.D. 684. To clarify the mechanism of these earthquake-related changes in the water level at the spring,
we analyzed groundwater-level data recorded at the spring immediately after the 1946 Nankai earthquake and over the period
from 1985 to 2006. We detected the other nine postseismic increases in groundwater level and no decreases, except for a large
decrease of 11.4 m related to the 1946 Nankai earthquake. The increases were probably caused by ground-shaking, while the
decrease was caused by a change in coseismic volumetric strain. These results lead to the following explanation of the recorded
earthquake-related changes in the groundwater level at the Dogo hot spring. Both coseismic changes in volumetric strain and
ground-shaking can lead to postseismic changes in groundwater pressure. The increase in groundwater pressure arising from
ground-shaking is generally greater than the change in pressure associated with changes in coseismic volumetric strain; however,
at the time of the Nankai earthquakes, the spring experiences a large increase in coseismic volumetric strain, leading to
a considerably larger decrease in the groundwater level than the increase associated with ground-shaking. Therefore, the groundwater
level at the Dogo hot spring usually increases at times of relatively large earthquakes, although the groundwater level or
discharge decreases in the case of the Nankai earthquakes. 相似文献
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Introduction The behavior of ground water is influenced by many factors, such as rainfall, exploitation ofground water, atmospheric pressure, tidal gravitation, ground stress variation, effect of surfacewater-body loads (or other loads) and other unknown factors. These factors change the dynamicstate of ground water to different extents and result in the diversification of ground water behavior.As for their mechanism, our knowledge is still superficial. Based on various images of water le… 相似文献
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地下水诱发的浅层前兆异常及其机理与有关的地震预报问题(1) 总被引：17，自引：1，他引：16
依照“源、场、外”相结合的地震科学研究思路,提出地下水诱发浅层前兆异常机理。认为降水等因素造成的地下水动态变化,可产生一种作用于地壳岩石的附加流体力;地震前,通过多种流体力作用,引起已经积累较高应力的地壳应力－－应变场调整变化,并使岩石强度改变,从而促进与诱发浅层地壳的构造变动;其结果是派生或伴生出地形变、地应力、水化学及地电阻率等多种浅层前兆异常。在降水、地下水的多种周期变化成分中,只有那些能与地壳应力－应变过程产生力学耦合的周期变化,才能调制与诱发出异常,这一部分变化可做为广义的地震前兆。孔隙压力、动水压力以及化学腐蚀等原理,是该异常机理的理论基础。列举出六方面的事实做为该机理直接的或间接的证据。 相似文献
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系统分析了三峡井网 8口井水位、4口井水温和 4个井台土氡 2 0 0 1年的观测数据 ,建立了各个测项的正常动态 ,并检验了其各自的映震能力。结果表明 ,8口井水位均有固体潮显示 ,其对地壳体应变的响应灵敏度为 10 - 9～ 10 - 10 体应变 /mm。井水位大多有气压效应 ,并受一定程度的降雨干扰。 4口井的水温动态相对平稳 ,日变幅一般为千分之几度。 4个井台的土氡动态起伏较大 ,变化范围在几到几十Bq/L之间。在 2 0 0 1年 10月 16日秭归县梅家河ML3 6地震前 ,有 6口井水位、1口井水温和 1个井台的土氡有异常显示 ,表明三峡井网具有较强的映震能力 相似文献
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This work focuses on variations of the Earth tidal factor and phase lag derived from groundwater observations before and after major earthquakes. It is based on an analysis of the data from four observational wells at boundaries between distinct active blocks of China mainland. These wells are also situated on several active fault zones and have exhibited considerable responses to the Wenchuan M s8.0 earthquake of 2008 in China. We collected hourly records of water levels of these wells from 2007 to 2009 and processed these data for analysis. The tidal factors, phase lags, and phase-difference changes of tidal residuals of each well were calculated. We found that when the Wenchuan quake happened, the tidal factors of the 4 wells were changing rapidly, while their phase lags and phase differences of tidal residuals declined swiftly, which may reflect the stress and strain changes of the well-aquifer system during the seismic generation. 相似文献
20.
Yosihiko Ogata 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2010,167(8-9):1115-1127
If aseismic slip occurs on a fault or its deeper extension, both seismicity and crustal deformation around the source would be affected. Anomalous phenomena of this kind are revealed from earthquake occurrence data and geodetic records during a period of 10 years leading up to the March 2005 M 7.0 earthquake west of Fukuoka that occurred off the northern coast of Kyushu, Japan. Seismicity rate anomalies (quiescence and activation) took place relative to the rates expected by the ETAS model in a number of seismic zones in and around the Kyushu District. The seismic zone of the relative quiescence and activation consistently corresponds to the zone of the negative and positive ΔCFS (Coulomb failure stress change), respectively, assuming the precursory aseismic slips on the M 7.0 source fault. In addition, we consider the time series of geodetic baseline distances between permanent GPS stations in the Kyushu District for the same period, which also supports the possible precursory slips rather than the known slow slips beneath the Bungo Straight, off the eastern coast of Kyushu. 相似文献