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1.
针对岩土工程的功能函数强非线性且难以显式表达的特点,提出了基于人工神经网络的四阶矩法,充分利用了基本随机变量的统计信息。首先利用神经网络对结构的隐式功能函数进行拟合,求得基本随机变量在均值点处的功能函数值及其偏导数,然后利用泰勒级数展开的方法由基本随机变量的前四阶矩求得功能函数的前四阶矩,并借助于Pearson系统获得功能函数的更高阶矩。在此基础上,通过最大熵原理确定以功能函数各阶矩为约束的功能函数的概率密度函数,最后由一次积分得到结构的失效概率。通过数值算例和工程实例不同方法的对比分析,表明基于神经网络的结构可靠度分析四阶矩方法是可行的,有效的,能够满足岩土工程可靠度分析的要求。  相似文献   

2.
何婷婷  尚岳全  吕庆  任姗姗 《岩土力学》2013,34(11):3269-3276
提出了基于支持向量机(SVM)的边坡可靠度分析新算法。该方法采用均匀设计确定样本点,通过一定数量的确定性计算来训练SVM,拟合边坡的功能函数;采用一阶可靠度方法(FORM)和迭代算法优化SVM模型,获得可靠度指标和验算点信息;在SVM模型基础上进一步通过二阶可靠度方法(SORM)和蒙特卡罗模拟(MCS)计算边坡的失稳概率。以两个典型边坡为例,通过与其他方法比较,证明了该方法的准确性和高效性。结果表明:提出的在标准正态空间(U空间)中取样并构建SVM,在原始空间(X空间)中计算功能函数的算法,有效地解决了具有相关非正态分布变量的可靠度分析问题,并且可很容易扩展到SORM的计算。算例结果证明,该方法的精度高于FORM;而效率优于MCS。分析过程中,边坡安全系数计算和可靠度分析相互独立。因此,该方法既适用于具有显式功能函数的简单问题,也适用于需要软件计算安全系数的实际边坡问题。  相似文献   

3.
This paper investigates the feasibility of Least square support vector machine (LSSVM) model to cope the problem of implicit performance function during first order second moment (FOSM) method based slope reliability analysis. LSSVM is firmly based on the theory of statistical learning. In LSSVM, Vapnik’s ε -insensitive loss function has been replaced by a cost function which corresponds to a form of ridge regression. Here, LSSVM has been used as a regression technique to approximate implicit performance functions. A slope example has been presented for illustrating the applicability of LSSVM based FOSM method. The developed LSSVM based FOSM has been compared with the artificial neural network (ANN) and least square method. The result shows that the approximation of LSSVM can be used in the FOSM method for slope reliability analysis.  相似文献   

4.
确定性设计安全系数法由于简单易行得到了广泛的应用。可靠度方法在一定程度上弥补了确定性设计中不能考虑实际工程中岩体参数离散性的问题,使设计更加符合实际情况。函数连分式方法在边坡一次二阶矩概率设计中可以方便地计算出状态函数对各随机变量的偏导数,也可使传统安全系数法和可靠度分析有机结合。考虑经济最优的原则,结合风险分析来确定可靠度法设计中的可靠度数值问题。由安全系数和可靠性共同度量边坡系统的稳定性,建立传统安全系数与可靠度理论耦合的边坡稳定二元体系,可有效地考虑边坡系统内实际存在的不确定性和相关性,使边坡的稳定性评价更加客观精确,为边坡安全和滑坡灾害的风险性管理提供理论和方法。  相似文献   

5.
Correlated random variables are commonly involved in probabilistic slope stability analysis, such as reliability analysis of slopes with spatially variable soil properties. This paper proposes a simple Correlated Sampling Technique (CST) for generating samples of correlated random variables. The CST firstly produces correlated standard-normally distributed samples through linear combinations of independent standard-normally distributed samples. Correlated arbitrarily distributed samples can then be obtained by the Nataf transformation. The CST was combined with FOSM (named CST-based FOSM) for probabilistic slope stability analysis. The slope reliabilities of a single-layered cohesive soil slope and a high earth and rockfill dam were analyzed to illustrate the CST-based FOSM. These illustrative examples indicated that the CST-based FOSM can accurately estimate the slope reliability indices with considerably fewer simulations (especially in the case of low failure probability) compared with direct MCS, and the slope reliability was sensitive to the correlation of the strength parameters.  相似文献   

6.
SVM在地下工程可靠性分析中的应用   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4  
将支持向量机应用到地下工程可靠性分析中,通过将支持向量机分别与一阶二次矩和蒙特卡洛结合,提出了基于支持向量机的可靠性分析方法,利用数值模拟构造学习样本,通过支持向量机学习,建立变形与随机变量之间映射关系的支持向量机表达,进而实现隧道极限状态函数及其偏导数的显式表达,从而计算隧道的可靠性指标。该方法避免了传统可靠性分析的缺点。算例分析结果表明,该方法计算效率高、结果可靠,对含有大量随机变量的复杂岩土工程可靠性分析具有很大的潜力,具有广泛的应用前景和工程价值。  相似文献   

7.
边坡模糊随机可靠性分析   总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1  
吕玺琳  钱建固  吕龙  吕恩琳 《岩土力学》2008,29(12):3437-3442
为合理描述边坡稳定性分析中存在的多种不确定性,应同时考虑随机和模糊两种因素带来的影响.用L-R型模糊数描述随机变量的均值和方差,建立了模糊随机可靠性分析模型.为简化计算,将模糊数通过分解定理,取一系列λ截集,转换为一系列区间数进行计算.在一次二阶矩法基础上,推导了基于瑞典条分法及毕肖普法计算模糊随机可靠度的具体公式.算例表明,该法是合理实用的.  相似文献   

8.
To reduce computational costs in structural reliability analysis, utilising approximate response surface functions for reliability assessment has been suggested. Based on the similarities of two adaptive and flexible models, the radial basis function neural network (RBFN) and support vector machine (SVM), the derivatives of the approximate functions of RBFN and SVM models with respect to basic variables are given, and two RBFN-based RSMs (RBFN-RSM1, RBFN-RSM2) and two SVM-based RSMs (SVM-RSM1, SVM-RSM2) are studied. The similarities and differences of these methods are reviewed, and the applicability of these methods is illustrated using five examples. It is shown that there is no obvious difference between RBFN-based RSMs and SVM-based RSMs, and the number of samples needed in RBFN/SVM-RSM2 is smaller than that of RBFN/SVM-RSM1.  相似文献   

9.
基于认知聚类分区方法的边坡可靠度分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
提出了边坡可靠度分析的一种新的全局优化方法--认知聚类分区方法。该方法主要包括5个步骤:分区、随机抽样、计算极径L、回代、计算可靠指标及验算点。给出了相应的计算流程图,并编写了基于C语言的计算程序KCPREL。最后,以岩质边坡稳定可靠度问题为例证明了所提方法的有效性。结果表明,认知聚类分区方法能同时计算出可靠指标和验算点,并能获得全局最优解。该方法的计算精度和蒙特卡洛模拟方法相当,计算效率远远高于传统的蒙特卡洛模拟方法。此外,该方法在分析含有复杂的隐式及非线性功能函数的边坡稳定可靠度问题方面体现出明显的优越性。等步长认知聚类分区方法能全面且均匀地搜索角度,从而得到更准确的验算点。为了保证足够的计算精度及减小计算量,建议步长取10º以内。  相似文献   

10.
A reliability analysis method based on the combination of the first-order reliability method (FORM) and hybrid particle swarm optimization (SACPSO) is presented for the reliability optimization calculation. The new reliability method, named as SACPSO-FORM, can be utilized for those complex reliability problems with correlated non-normal variables and implicit performance functions. Three examples are performed to verify its validation, and stability reliability analysis on the complicated rock foundation of a practical gravity dam is demonstrated. The results show that the proposed method is accurate, stable, flexible and efficient for reliability analysis in engineering applications.  相似文献   

11.
基于莫尔-库伦强度理论构架,界定了点稳定系数的概念,并推导其计算公式。利用Geostudio软件建立了均质斜坡模型及计算其应力分布,并在此基础上结合MATLAB软件计算斜坡模型中各点的点稳定系数,勾绘出斜坡体内不同稳定度区域,探析了斜坡稳定性,并与传统极限平衡法进行了对比。对比结果表明:对直立斜坡,两种方法的计算结果均为不稳定,但点稳定性系数法勾绘出坡脚及坡脚底部存在两处不稳定区域;对60°斜坡,点稳定系数法的计算结果表明坡脚处存在潜在不稳定区域,而极限平衡法的计算结果表明坡体处于稳定状态;对45°斜坡,两种方法的计算结果均为稳定,计算结果一致。进一步分析得到结论:点稳定系数法不需要假设或指定某一形状滑面进行斜坡稳定性评价,且可考虑应力集中对坡体稳定性的影响;极限平衡法以稳定系数表达计算结果,而点稳定系数法以不稳定区域表达计算结果。在分析了应力和岩土体力学参数因素对点稳定系数法计算结果的敏感性后发现:相对于极限平衡法,岩土体力学参数对点稳定系数法影响更为敏感,存在黏聚力界限点和内摩擦角界限点,且对均质斜坡破坏形式(局部滑动变形破坏或整体压缩变形破坏)起着非常重要的作用。  相似文献   

12.
The response surface method (RSM) is a powerful approach for carrying out reliability analysis for complicate engineering with implicit limit state functions. The quality of a response surface mainly depends on the choice of response surface function and the selection of sample points. To investigate the influence of the types of response surface functions and to reduce the computation efforts, two new sampling methods and a hybrid RSM are proposed. In the hybrid RSM, four types of response surface functions and three sampling methods are involved, and each Response surface function can be connected to each sampling method. The four response surface functions are quadratic polynomial without cross terms (PN1), quadratic polynomial with cross terms, radial basic function network (RBFN) and support vector machine (SVM). The three RSMs using the traditional sampling method, the new iterative sampling method and the new experiment design method are RSM1, RSM2 and RSM3, respectively. The accuracy and efficiency of different RSMs are illustrated through three examples. When an iterative method is used for locating sample points, the PN1-based RSM2 is proposed for its accuracy and efficiency. And when an experiment design method is used for locating sample points, the RBFN- or SVM-based RSM3 is suggested because the RBFN or SVM is suitable for global fitting.  相似文献   

13.
物质点强度折减法及其在边坡中的应用   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
王双  李小春  石露  刘召胜 《岩土力学》2016,37(9):2672-2678
物质点法适用于模拟连续介质大变形,如边坡失稳全过程。在物质点法中应用强度折减法,用于边坡稳定性评价。与极限平衡法相比,二者安全系数计算值、滑动面位置结果基本一致;与有限元强度折减法相比,物质点法失稳评价标准的物理意义明确。利用物质点法大变形计算优势,评价边坡失稳后的破坏后果,通过算例说明其评价不同安全系数下的滑坡堆积形态及滑移距离的能力,尤其是评价滑坡对临近建筑物的影响程度的能力。物质点强度折减法可用于边坡稳定性评价及边坡破坏后果评价。  相似文献   

14.
吴春秋  肖大平 《岩土力学》2007,28(Z1):905-908
通过对复合地基加固路堤稳定性的极限平衡法和有限单元法的计算结果进行对比分析,揭示出当路堤的稳定性由复合地基决定时,极限平衡法和有限单元法的计算结果存在较大差异。应用岩土有限元软件Plaxis中的强度折减法可得到合理的路堤稳定性分析结果。对复合地基中桩体破坏模式的分析认为,桩体发生非剪断破坏之外的弯曲、转动、拉伸等破坏模式是极限平衡法与有限单元法计算结果产生差异的根本原因。由此进一步指出,当处理存在土与结构物相互作用的边坡稳定问题时,极限平衡法的分析结果可能会高估了边坡的稳定性,应慎重判别其合理性。  相似文献   

15.
在边坡稳定性分析中,滑面搜索方法对于得到边坡的稳定性系数至关重要。现今两种常用的边坡稳定性分析方法,极限平衡法以及强度折减法,可以得到极限应力状态下边坡的潜在滑面。而为了评价边坡在当前应力场下的稳定性,提出一种基于聚类分析概念的滑面搜索方法。这种方法综合考虑了边坡各点的位移以及点安全系数,采用K均值聚类法将具有相近性质的点进行分类,把边坡体分为潜在危险区以及稳定区。潜在危险区的边界即为边坡在当前应力状态下的潜在滑面,并运用矢量和方法计算得到其稳定性系数。采用上述方法对3个算例进行验算,并与极限平衡法以及强度折减法进行对比。结果表明:(1)基于聚类分析的边坡稳定性评价方法具有较好的合理性和可靠性;(2)当边坡处于临界状态附近,通过聚类分析得到的潜在滑面与其他两种方法得到的滑面基本一致;当边坡处于较稳定状态时,当前应力状态下的潜在滑面要比强度折减法得到的滑动带范围要更深更广,但求出的稳定性系数也较高;当存在软弱夹层时,矢量和计算出的滑面更为陡峻,稳定性系数比其他两种方法的结果要小。  相似文献   

16.
露天煤矿边坡稳定性评价方法的耦合应用   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
将有限差分法、极限平衡法(简化Bishop法)、可靠度分析法(简化一次二阶矩法)耦合应用于露天煤矿边坡稳定性评价,确定了可靠度法设计中的可靠度数值问题,并采用力学行为、稳定系数及破坏概率等3项综合指标分析了边坡稳定性,旨在建立一种有效的耦合方法,多角度分析边坡工程的即时状态。研究结果表明,该分析方法可行,结果可信。   相似文献   

17.
傅方煜  郑小瑶  吕庆  朱益军 《岩土力学》2014,35(12):3460-3466
提出了基于响应面法的边坡稳定二阶可靠度分析的实用算法。选择U空间中的随机变量,通过空间变换和相关矩阵分解,计算试验点的功能函数;通过迭代算法构造响应面、以确保通过最小的计算量获得最优精度,并在此基础上进行FORM/SORM计算。以一岩石边坡的平面滑动问题为例,通过与蒙特卡洛模拟、FORM及随机响应面法的比较,证明了该方法的准确性和高效性。分析了参数的相关性及试验点取值范围对计算结果的影响,讨论了可靠度分析结果中参数敏感性和物理属性问题。该方法可为实际边坡问题的可靠度分析提供参考,并可以用来进行基于可靠度分析的加固设计。  相似文献   

18.
This paper presents a new methodology for slope reliability analysis by integrating the technologies of updated support vector machine (SVM) and Monte Carlo simulation (MCS). MCS is a powerful tool that may be used to solve a broad range of reliability problems and has therefore become widely used in slope reliability analysis. However, MCS often involves a great number of slope stability analysis computations, a process that requires excessive time consumption. The updated SVM is introduced in order to build the relationship between factor of safety and random variables of slope, contributing to reducing a large number of normal computing tasks and enlarging the problem scale and sample size of MCS. In the algorithm of the updated SVM, the particle swarm optimization method is adopted in order to seek the optimal SVM parameters, enhancing the performance of SVM for solving complex problems in slope stability analysis. Finally, the integrating method is applied to a classic slope for addressing the problem of reliability analysis. The results of this study indicate that the new methodology is capable of obtaining positive results that are consistent with the results of classic solutions; therefore, the methodology is proven to be a powerful and effective tool in slope reliability analysis.  相似文献   

19.
刚性抗滑桩结构的主要失稳模式是锚固段内桩侧土体受压失稳。为计算刚性抗滑桩结构的模糊随机可靠性指标和可靠度,首先根据抗滑桩滑面以下桩侧压应力 ?y在两个深度处的极值,分别建立两个极值下刚性抗滑桩锚固深度可靠性分析的结构功能函数。计算时,利用定值法比较两个极值的大小,选择较大的极值所对应的结构功能函数作为待计算的抗滑桩可靠性分析的结构功能函数,然后,考虑抗滑桩结构可靠性分析中的随机性和模糊性,建立模糊随机可靠性分析模型。在一次二阶矩法的基础上,推导出计算模糊随机可靠度的公式,用L-R型模糊数描述随机参数的均值和方差,利用分解定理处理模糊数,得到结构的随机模糊可靠性指标和可靠度。根据上述方法,利用MATLAB程序计算了某刚性抗滑桩,得出了结构的模糊可靠性指标和模糊可靠度,计算结果与安全系数法具有很好的一致性。  相似文献   

20.
The methods used in conducting static stability analyses have remained pertinent to this day for reasons of both simplicity and speed of execution. The most well‐known of these methods for purposes of stability analysis of fractured rock masses is the key‐block method (KBM). This paper proposes an extension to the KBM, called the ‘key‐group method’ (KGM), which combines not only individual key‐blocks but also groups of collapsable blocks into an iterative and progressive analysis of the stability of discontinuous rock slopes. To take intra‐group forces into account, the Sarma method has been implemented within the KGM in order to generate a Sarma‐based KGM, abbreviated ‘SKGM’. We will discuss herein the hypothesis behind this new method, details regarding its implementation, and validation through comparison with results obtained from the distinct element method. Furthermore, as an alternative to deterministic methods, reliability analyses or probabilistic analyses have been proposed to take account of the uncertainty in analytical parameters and models. The FOSM and ASM probabilistic methods could be implemented within the KGM and SKGM framework in order to take account of the uncertainty due to physical and mechanical data (density, cohesion and angle of friction). We will then show how such reliability analyses can be introduced into SKGM to give rise to the probabilistic SKGM (PSKGM) and how it can be used for rock slope reliability analyses. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

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