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1.
Guofeng Zhu Dahe Qin Huali Tong Yuanfeng Liu Jiafang Li Dongdong Chen Kai Wang Pengfei Hu 《中国地理科学(英文版)》2016,26(5):687-702
The Thornthwaite moisture index, an index of the supply of water(precipitation) in an area relative to the climatic demand for water(potential evapotranspiration), was used to examine the spatial and temporal variation of drought and to verify the influence of environmental factors on the drought in the Hengduan Mountains, China. Results indicate that the Thornthwaite moisture index in the Hengduan Mountains had been increasing since 1960 with a rate of 0.1938/yr. Annual Thornthwaite moisture index in Hengduan Mountains was between –97.47 and 67.43 and the spatial heterogeneity was obvious in different seasons. Thornthwaite moisture index was high in the north and low in the south, and the monsoon rainfall had a significant impact on its spatial distribution. The tendency rate of Thornthwaite moisture index variation varied in different seasons, and the increasing trends in spring were greater than that in summer and autumn. However, the Thornthwaite moisture index decreased in winter. Thornthwaite moisture index increased greatly in the north and there was a small growth in the south of Hengduan Mountains. The increase of precipitation and decrease of evaporation lead to the increase of Thornthwaite moisture index. Thornthwaite moisture index has strong correlation with vegetation coverage. It can be seen that the correlation between Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(NDVI) and Thornthwaite moisture index was positive in spring and summer, but negative in autumn and winter. Correlation between Thornthwaite moisture index and relative soil relative moisture content was positive in spring, summer and autumn, but negative in winter. The typical mountainous terrain affect the distribution of temperature, precipitation, wind speed and other meteorological factors in this region, and then affect the spatial distribution of Thornthwaite moisture index. The unique ridge-gorge terrain caused the continuity of water-heat distribution from the north to south, and the water-heat was stronger than that from the east to west part, and thus determined the spatial distribution of Thornthwaite moisture index. The drought in the Hengduan Mountains area is mainly due to the unstable South Asian monsoon rainfall time. 相似文献
2.
基于植被状态指数的云南省农业干旱状况时空分析 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
本文首先计算了云南省2004-2013年农业干旱指数VCI,然后使用Pearson相关系数评价降水与VCI的相关性,基于VCI识别云南省2004-2013年农业干旱事件,最后,与SPEI气象干旱识别结果进行对比分析,在VCI农业干旱识别的基础上,使用干旱频率和干旱面积占比指标分析了云南省2004-2013年农业干旱时空特征。结果表明：降水只是影响VCI指数的关键因素之一;VCI和SPEI指数均能够较好对干旱进行监测并识别典型干旱,但两者的识别结果存在差异;云南省农业干旱频率在春冬两季较高,夏季较低,秋季介于夏季和春冬季之间;春夏冬三季农业干旱频率空间分布较为均匀,秋季农业干旱频率呈南低北高的分布态势,整体上北部干旱频率高于南部;2004-2013年云南省整体干旱面积占比呈现先减小后增加再波动的趋势,春冬两季整体干旱面积占比最高,分别为46.63%和47.18%,呈现下降趋势,夏季整体干旱面积占比最低,为43.81%,呈现上升趋势,秋季整体干旱面积占比介于冬春季和夏季之间,为45.74%,呈现下降趋势。总之,云南省农业干旱春冬易发性最高,影响范围最大,夏季易发性最低,影响范围最小。 相似文献
3.
近年来,空气质量问题日渐突出,大气污染已严重影响了人们的身体健康和日常生活。为了探究成都市近年来的大气污染状况,分析大气颗粒物浓度的时空变化特征及其控制性因子,本文利用2016年成都市逐小时PM_(2.5)监测数据,分析成都市PM_(2.5)浓度时空变化特征,探索气象因子与城市空间形态因子(建筑错落度)对PM_(2.5)浓度变化的影响。结果表明:(1)成都市PM_(2.5)浓度的日变化特征表现为城市中心具有"单峰单谷"特征,而城市郊区日变化特征不明显。且城市中心PM_(2.5)浓度空间变化特征整体表现为由西北向东南逐渐减小的趋势。(2)从全年来看,成都市PM_(2.5)浓度与气温和风速均呈显著负相关,与海平面气压呈显著正相关,而与相对湿度的相关性不明显。(3)PM_(2.5)浓度日间变化率与城市空间形态因子的相关性较强,建筑错落度越高,PM_(2.5)浓度下降越快。 相似文献
4.
《山地科学学报》2021,(4)
The Fraction of Absorbed Photosynthetically Active Radiation(FPAR) is an important indicator of the primary productivity of vegetation. FPAR is often used to estimate the assimilation of carbon dioxide in vegetation. Based on MOD15 A2 H/FPAR data product, the temporal and spatial variation characteristics and variation trend of FPAR in different vegetation types in 2001 to 2018 were analyzed in the Hengduan Mountains. The response of FPAR to climate change was investigated by using Pearson correlation analytical method and partial least squares regression analysis. Results showed that the FPAR in Hengduan Mountains presented an increasing trend with time. Spatially, it was high in the south and low in the north, and it also showed obvious vertical zonality by elevation gradient.The vegetation FPAR was found to be positively correlated with air temperature and sunshine duration but negatively correlated with precipitation. Partial least squares regression analysis showed that the influence of sunshine duration on vegetation FPAR in Hengduan Mountains was stronger than that of air temperature and precipitation. 相似文献
5.
利用贵州高原34个气象站1960-2016年共57 a的降水资料,基于协同克里金法、Mann-Kendall趋势检验法、气候倾向率、重心模型等方法分析了贵州高原降水在不同时间尺度下的时空分布规律以及降水重心的转移趋势。结果表明：① 贵州高原多年平均降水量呈现南多北少特征。在南部与东部存在3个多雨中心,分别位于西南暖湿气流的北上通道（兴义-安顺一带）、苗岭山脉的迎风坡（都匀-独山一带）以及武陵山脉的迎风坡（铜仁–松桃一带）;少雨区位于乌蒙山脉背风坡的威宁–毕节一带。② 1960-2016年降水量年代变化呈现出波动性,2010s的降水变异性最大,1990s的降水变异性最小;年际变化较为剧烈,呈不显著减少的趋势,在空间上呈现中部西部减少、东部增加的趋势;降水季节差异显著,春季、秋季降水显著减少,夏季、冬季的降水不明显增加;各月降水变化情况不同,1、3月降水增加最明显,4月降水下降最明显。③ 降水重心呈西南-东北向分布,有明显的东移趋势。贵州高原降水量的减少可能与西南季风的减弱有关。研究结果对贵州地区水资源配置及洪涝灾害预防具有重要意义。 相似文献
6.
Drought is the most widespread and insidious natural hazard, presenting serious challenges to ecosystems and human society. The daily Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) has been developed to identify the regional spatiotemporal characteristics of drought conditions from 1960 to 2016, revealing the variability in drought characteristics across Southwest China. Daily data from142 meteorological stations across the region were used to calculate the daily SPEI at the annual and seasonal time scale. The Mann-Kendall test and the trend statistics were then applied to quantify the significance of drought trends, with the following results. 1) The regionally averaged intensity and duration of all-drought and severe drought showed increasing trends, while the intensity and duration of extreme drought exhibited decreasing trends. 2) Mixed (increasing/decreasing) trends were detected, in terms of intensity and duration, in the three types of drought events. In general, no evidence of significant trends (P < 0.05) was detected in the drought intensity and duration over the last 55 years at the annual timescale. Seasonally, spring was characterized by a severe drought trend for all drought and severe drought conditions, while extreme drought events in spring and summer were very severe. All drought intensities and durations showed an increasing trend across most regions, except in the northwestern parts of Sichuan Province. However, the areal extent of regions suffering increasing trends in severe and extreme drought became relatively smaller. 3) We identified the following drought hotspots: Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region from the 1960s to the 1990s, respectively. Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region and Guizhou Province in the 1970s and 1980s, and Yunnan Province in the 2000s. Finally, this paper can benefit operational drought characterization with a day-to-day drought monitoring index, enabling a more risk-based drought management strategy in the context of global warming. 相似文献
7.
基于2004~2021年GRACE/GRACE-FO重力卫星数据反演黄河流域陆地水储量时空变化,并构建干旱指数模型和洪水因子模型,对黄河流域的极端气候现象进行分析研究。结果表明,2004~2021年黄河流域的陆地水储量以0.56 cm/a的速度减少,具有明显的季节周期性特征,在夏季和秋季呈盈余状态,春季和冬季呈亏损状态;干旱指数模型监测到期间黄河流域发生极度干旱事件22次、重度干旱事件37次,干旱事件范围涵盖整个黄河流域;洪水因子模型探测到黄河流域共发生洪水事件118次,多出现在夏季和秋季雨水较为丰沛的时候,期间黄河流域陆地水储量能力较弱,降雨量增大。利用GRACE/GRACE-FO重力卫星数据构建的干旱指数模型和洪水因子模型探测的气象结果与实际观测结果较为符合,能真实反映黄河流域发生的极端气候,可为极端气候研究提供有利工具。 相似文献
8.
西南地区空中云水量分布特征及变化趋势 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
为了能更好的合理开发空中水资源,采用NCEP 1980~2009年云水量的逐月再分析资料,通过统计和EOF分析等方法,研究了30年来西南地区(云南、贵州、重庆、四川)云水量的时空分布特征和变化趋势。结果表明:西南地区年和季节云水量分布均具有明显的地区性差异,东南多,西北少,最小值出现在四川西部高原地区;云水量在夏季最多,春季略高于秋季,冬季最少;逐月云水量呈近似的正态分布,1月到6月逐渐增加,7月到12月逐渐减少;西南地区云水量的空间变化既存在南部与北部相反的变化趋势,也存在整体一致型。 相似文献
9.
福建省地表温度与植被覆盖度的相关性分析 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
地表温度（Land surface Tenperature, LST）和植被覆盖度（Fractional Vegetation Coverage, FVC)是生态环境变化的重要指标因子,研究两者的时空变化及相互关系对评价区域生态环境建设、改善区域生态环境具有重要意义。本文以福建省为研究区域,利用2001-2015年MODIS 11A2 LST和13Q1 NDVI数据,在时序数据重构的基础上对福建省LST时空变化及LST与FVC的相互关系进行分析。结果表明：①2001-2015年福建省LST总体呈轻微下降趋势,尤其是2010年之后其LST明显降低。LST与FVC的空间分布具有较好的负相关一致性：在FVC较高的区域,LST值较低;在FVC较低的区域,LST较高。② LST与FVC、DEM和纬度均成负相关关系,且负相关性在一年之中随着月份的变化而呈规律性增加或降低。夏季FVC对LST的负相关性最大为0.7,冬季FVC对LST的负相关性降低为0.4。③LST随着FVC增加而降低的趋势呈现分段线性关系,存在“FVC拐点”。“FVC拐点”前后随着FVC增加LST的降低速率在夏季 “先慢后快”,而在冬季则“先快后慢”。春秋两季,LST随着FVC增加而降低的速率在“FVC拐点”前后差异变小。在夏季,当FVC大于0.4时,FVC每增加0.1可降低LST约0.77 °C,降温效果大约是FVC小于0.4时的2倍。因此如果要有效地降低夏季地表高温,要使地表植被覆盖大于40%,才能较好的发挥植被的降温的作用。④在1-8月份,FVC对LST的负相关作用存在滞后性,FVC变化对滞后一个月的LST时空分布影响更大。研究成果对福建省生态环境建设与评估具有一定的意义,对于发挥植被对区域高温抑制作用提供了重要的参考依据。 相似文献
10.
本文对近30 a以来中国上空臭氧总量的时空动态变化特征进行遥感监测与分析。结果表明,中国上空的臭氧总量在持续下降,下降速度低于全球臭氧总量下降速度,而与北半球下降速度基本一致,略低于北半球下降速度。中国臭氧总量每年平均减少0.11%,大约下降0.36 DU,但2000年后中国臭氧总量下降的速度有所减缓,尤其是2005年以来,中国臭氧总量呈上升趋势,这与全球的臭氧总量变化趋势相同。中国臭氧总量的季节变化呈正弦曲线变化,最大和最小值分别出现在3月和10月,平均值大约分别为333.36 DU和284.54 DU。中国臭氧总量季节变化在纬度方向上不明显,而在经度方向上变化较大,同纬度地区臭氧总量,东部地区的大于西部地区的,南北方地区臭氧总量季节变化几乎呈相反的趋势。 相似文献
11.
Wen-xiong Jia 《山地科学学报》2016,13(12):2224-2236
Based on daily maximum and minimum temperatures at 18 meteorological stations in the Qilian Mountains and Hexi Corridor between 1960 and 2013, temporal and spatial variations in extreme temperatures were analysed using linear trends, ten-point moving averages and the Mann-Kendall test. The results are as follows: The trends in the majority of the extreme temperature indices were statistically significant, and the changes in the extreme temperatures were more obvious than the changes in the extreme values. The trends were different for each season, and the changes in rates and intensities in summer and autumn were larger than those in spring and winter. Unlike the cold indices, the magnitudes and trends of the changes in the warm indices were larger and more significant in the Hexi Corridor than in the Qilian Mountains. Abrupt changes were detected in the majority of the extreme temperature indices, and the extreme cold indices usually occurred earlier than the changes in the extreme warm indices. The abrupt changes in the extreme temperatures in winter were the earliest among the four seasons, indicating that these temperature changes were the most sensitive to global climate change. The timing of the abrupt changes in certain indices was consistent throughout the study area, but the changes in the cold indices in the Hexi Corridor occurred approximately four years before those in the Qilian Mountains. Similarly, the changes in the warm indices in the western Hexi Corridor preceded those of the other regions. 相似文献
12.
利用GRACE/GRACE-FO数据对长江流域2003~2021年期间发生的干旱事件进行定量分析,以探究卫星重力监测区域性干旱的可行性。采用3个机构发布的5种GRACE/GRACE-FO数据产品(CSR_SH、JPL_SH、GFZ_SH、CSR_M、JPL_M)反演长江流域陆地水储量异常(TWSA),计算陆地水储量亏损(WSD)和水储量亏损指数(WSDI),结合气象干旱数据(SPI、SPEI、scPDSI)对5种数据产品的结果进行比较,并对2003~2021年长江流域干旱事件进行分析。结果表明,不同机构发布的GRACE/GRACE-FO数据产品对长江流域干旱事件严重等级的划分具有一定差异;WSDI与6个月时间尺度的SPEI相关性最高,相关系数为0.66,与scPDSI相关系数最低为0.54,降水是影响长江流域陆地水储量变化的重要因素;长江流域最严重的干旱事件发生在2019年夏秋季,干旱强度为2.31,持续10个月,水储量累计亏损达到415 Gt,此次干旱事件的WSDI空间分布图显示2019-09干旱最为严重,出现极端干旱区域。WSDI可反映长江流域干旱分布的时空变化,可在监测全球和大尺度区域干旱方面发挥重要作用。 相似文献
13.
基于2000-2014年MOD16蒸散量和气象站实测数据,借助于空间数据统计法和趋势分析法对中国西北干旱区“天山湿岛”—伊犁河谷地表蒸散量时空变化特征和多年变化趋势进行定量分析。结果表明:① MOD16-ET产品在伊犁河谷地区的精度总体上满足要求,可用于地表ET的时空分布特征研究;② 伊犁河谷地表ET、PET年际波动不大,多年平均ET为392.35 mm,多年平均PET为1331.19 mm,年均ET与PET的比例在0.26-0.33之间波动,说明研究区总体上水分不足。ET、PET年内分布处于先增大后减少的单峰型变化趋势,主要集中在5月到9月。秋季ET与PET的比例为0.29,此时研究区最干旱缺水。气温是研究区蒸散量变化的主要驱动因素之一。③ ET、PET的空间分布状况正好相反,东部喀什河及巩乃斯河上游地区、南部大面积草甸覆盖区域ET值较高,PET值较低,此区域水分比较充足。伊宁市及霍尔果斯河周边地区、察布查尔县、特克斯河下游等区域ET值均较低,PET值较高,此区域干旱缺水;④ 从2000-2014年伊犁河谷地表ET、PET变化趋势来看,ET总体上处于减少趋势,PET处于增加趋势,说明研究区近15年内干旱加重。 相似文献
14.
Xiao-yi Guo Hong-yan Zhang Ye-qiao Wang Hong-shi He Zheng-fang Wu Ying-hua Jin Zheng-xiang Zhang Jian-jun Zhao 《山地科学学报》2018,15(1):1-12
The Changbai Mountains and the Appalachian Mountains have similar spatial contexts. The elevation, latitude, and moisture gradients of both mountain ranges offer regional insight for investigating the vegetation dynamics in eastern Eurasia and eastern North America. We determined and compared the spatial patterns and temporal trends in the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) in the Changbai Mountains and the Appalachian Mountains using time series data from the Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies 3rd generation dataset from 1982 to 2013. The spatial pattern of NDVI in the Changbai Mountains exhibited fragmentation, whereas NDVI in the Appalachian Mountains decreased from south to north. The vegetation dynamics in the Changbai Mountains had an insignificant trend at the regional scale, whereas the dynamics in the Appalachian Mountains had a significant increasing trend. NDVI increased in 55% of the area of the Changbai Mountains and in 95% of the area of the Appalachian Mountains. The peak NDVI occurred one month later in the Changbai Mountains than in the Appalachian Mountains. The results revealed a significant increase in NDVI in autumn in both mountain ranges. The climatic trend in the Changbai Mountains included warming and decreased precipitation, and whereas that in the Appalachian Mountains included significant warming and increased precipitation. Positive and negative correlations existed between NDVI and temperature and precipitation, respectively, in both mountain ranges. Particularly, the spring temperature and NDVI exhibited a significant positive correlation in both mountain ranges. The results of this study suggest that human actives caused the differences in the spatial patterns of NDVI and that various characteristics of climate change and intensity of human actives dominated the differences in the NDVI trends between the Changbai Mountains and the Appalachian Mountains. Additionally, the vegetation dynamics of both mountain ranges were not identical to those in previous broader-scale studies. 相似文献
15.
Variations and trends in extreme climate events are more sensitive to climate change than the mean values,and so have received much attention.In this study,twelve indices of temperature extremes and 11 indices of precipitation extremes at 32 meteorological stations in Hengduan Mountains were examined for the period 1961-2008.The results reveal statistically significant increases in the temperature of the warmest and coldest nights and in the frequencies of extreme warm days and nights.Decreases of the diurnal temperature range and the numbers of frost days and ice days are statistically significant.Regional averages of growing season length also display the trends consistent and significant with warming.At a large proportion of the stations,patterns of temperature extremes are consistent with warming since 1961:warming trends in minimum temperature indices are greater than those relating to maximum temperature.As the center of the Shaluli Mountain,the warming magnitudes decrease from inner to outer.Changes in precipitation extremes is low:trends are difficult to detect against the larger inter-annual and decadal-scale variability of precipitation,and only the wet day precipitation and the regional trend in consecutive dry days are significant at the 0.05 level.It can be concluded that the variation of extreme precipitation events is not obvious in the Hengduan Mountains,however,the regional trends generally decrease from the south to the north.Overall,the spatial distribution of temporal changes of all extreme climate indices in the Hengduan Mountains illustrated here reflects the climatic complexity in mountainous regions. 相似文献
16.
利用2003-01?2014-12 CSR和JPL的RL06 Mascon解、RL06球谐系数(SH)解及level-3等6种GRACE时变重力场模型数据和GPM数据产品,分别计算长江流域的水储量和降雨变化,并利用广义三角帽方法分析GRACE数据的不确定性,同时计算水储量亏损指数(WSDI),以监测和分析长江流域干旱的... 相似文献
17.
本文以厦门市为例,基于MODIS影像反演的大气气溶胶光学厚度（AOD）,利用空间自相关和景观格局指数从数量、形态和结构方面综合分析了2014年各月份（5月和9月除外）AOD时空格局变化。结果表明,研究区AOD具有明显的时空分布差异,林地上空的AOD处于较低等级,建设用地上空AOD大部分处于中高等级;AOD在春夏季较大,在秋冬季较小。AOD分布存在显著正空间自相关性,而且主要存在高高（HH）、低低（LL）、高低（HL）3种聚集模式。低低聚集模式主要分布在厦门市的北部山区;高高（HH）和高低（HL）模式主要分布在本岛东北部新城和本岛外各新城的城区。在景观格局指数方面,从秋冬季节到春夏季节期间,研究区气溶胶光学厚度高等级斑块增加,景观结构趋于复杂,景观异质性增加。对AOD时空格局变化进行多指标综合分析可以更加深入、细致、全面地刻画气溶胶的变化规律,有助于精确评估气溶胶对环境、气候等的影响,为城市可持续发展提供决策支持。 相似文献
18.
近55年来澜沧江流域降水时空变化特征分析 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
本文利用澜沧江流域及周边共30个气象站点1960-2014年的逐月降水数据,采用气候倾向率、Mann-Kendall趋势检验、Morlet小波分析、Co-Kriging插值以及重心模型等方法,分析了澜沧江流域降水的时空变化特征。结果表明：① 分析时段内全区、北部和中部年降水量呈现增加趋势,南部年降水量出现减少趋势。春季全区、北部、中部和南部降水均呈增加趋势;夏季均呈减少趋势;秋季全区和南部降水呈现减少趋势,北部和中部呈增加趋势;冬季全区、中部和南部呈下降趋势,只有北部呈增加趋势。② 近55年来,全区包括北部、中部和南部年降水都存在近29年、近22年和5-10年左右的周期,这3个周期在分析时段内表现很稳定,具有全域性。全区、北部和南部还存在明显的13年左右的周期,中部1975年前和1995年后也存在13年左右的周期,北部1975年前存在明显的7-10年的周期,1995年后,7-10年的周期表现也比较稳定。降水量变化的第一主周期是近29年,第二主周期是近22年。③ 澜沧江流域多年平均降水量由南部向北部减少,流域南部降水最多,多年平均降水量在1200 mm以上,中部多年平均降水量处于800~1100 mm,北部多年平均降水量多小于800 mm,大部分在400~800 mm;澜沧江流域年降水重心和月降水重心都集中在中部,其中11月的降水重心迁移距离最大,向东南方向迁移了131.82 km。从季节来看,春季、夏季和秋季降水重心向东南迁移,冬季的向西北方向迁移,雨季降水重心相对比较集中,旱季降水重心相对 比较分散。 相似文献
19.
Diversity and geographical pattern of altitudinal belts in the Hengduan Mountains in China 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
This paper analyses the diversity and spatial pattern of the altitudinal belts in the Hengduan Mountains in China. A total
of 7 types of base belts and 26 types of altitudinal belts are identified in the study region. The main altitudinal belt lines,
such as forest line, the upper limit of dark coniferous forest and snow line, have similar latitudinal and longitudinal spatial
patterns, namely, arched quadratic curve model with latitudes and concave quadratic curve model along longitudinal direction.
These patterns can be together called as “Hyperbolic-paraboloid model”, revealing the complexity and speciality of the environment
and ecology in the study region. This result further validates the hypnosis of a common quadratic model for spatial pattern
of mountain altitudinal belts proposed by the authors. The spatial pattern of altitudinal belts is closely related with moisture-related
exposure effect in the Hengduan Mountains. Different combinations (spectra) of altitudinal belts and different base belt types
appear in windward and leeward flanks and even in the same flanks of different ranges. This is closely related with the parallel
mountain ranges of the Hengduan Mountains, which, at nearly right angle with the moving direction of prevailing moisture-laden
air masses from west and east, hold up the warm and humid monsoon wind from moving into the core region and result in different
moisture conditions in windward and leeward flanks. However, how to quantitatively describe the moisture-related exposure
effect needs further study. In addition, the data quality and data accuracy at present also affect to some extent the result
of quantitative modeling and should be improved with RS/GIS in the future. 相似文献
20.
1INTRODUCTIONOneoftheeffectsofglobalwarmingisthatprecipita-tionhasincreasedoversomeareasintheworld,andthegaugedataofprecipitation (excludingAntarctica)showthatglobalprecipitationhasincreasedslightlybyabout9mmforthe20thcentury, whichwas verysmallcomparedwiththeinterannualandmul-ti-decadalvariability(NEWetal.,2001).Butregion-ally,thereexisted agreatdealofdifferences,suchasinmostpartsofAfrica, Amazon,westernSouthAmerica,theweatherhasbecomedrier,andinmostpartsofEuropeandCanada,thereexisted… 相似文献