共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 31 毫秒
1.
Applying Vondrák narrow-band filters on high precision Length of Day (LOD) measurements provided by space observation techniques as well as Atmosphere Angular Momentum (AAM) computed by U.S. National Meteorological Center (NMC), we show variation in amplitude of the annual components. From filter series of LOD and AAM, we find that annual variation of the LOD induced by AAM is about 20% higher than observed one. The aim of this work is to investigate how far the torque applied by the solar wind on the Earth's magnetosphere could contribute to explain this excess. The advocated dynamical mechanism could counterbalance annual discrepancies between AAM and LOD by an amount of 20%. Therefore, the torque produced by the solar wind on the earth might be considered as one of the most possible contributions to annual fluctuation in LOD. 相似文献
2.
《Chinese Astronomy and Astrophysics》2023,47(1):236-256
In consideration of the complex time-varying characteristics of polar motion (PM), this paper takes PM as chaotic time series. A Volterra adaptive filter is employed for predicting PM based on the state space reconstruction of delay-coordinate embedding of dynamic system. This method first uses the Least Squares (LS) technology to estimate the harmonic models for the linear trend, Annual and Chandler Wobbles (AW and CW) in PM. The selected LS deterministic models are subsequently used to extrapolate the linear trend, AW, and CW, and obtain the LS residues (the difference between the LS model and PM data themselves). Secondly, the phase space and largest Lyapunov exponent of the LS residues are reconstructed, and calculated by means of the C-C and small data-set algorithm, respectively. Further, a Volterra adaptive filter is designed for generating the extrapolations of the LS residues. The extrapolated LS residues are then added to the LS deterministic models in order to obtain the predicted PM values. The EOP C04 time series released by the International Earth Rotation and Reference Systems Service (IERS) are selected as data base to generate the PM predictions up to 60 days in the future. The results of the predictions are analyzed and compared with those obtained by the Earth Orientation Parameters Prediction Comparison Campaign (EOP PCC) and IERS Bulletin A. The results show that the accuracy of the predictions up to 30 days is comparable with that by the most accurate prediction techniques participating in the EOP PCC for PM, but worse than that by those most accurate techniques beyond 30 days in the future. The results also illustrate that the short-term predictions are better than those published by the IERS Bulletin A. However, the errors of the predictions rapidly increase with the prediction days. It is therefore concluded that the proposed method is a potential technology for short-term PM prediction. 相似文献
3.
针对极移复杂的时变特性, 根据混沌相空间坐标延迟重构理论, 提出一种基于Volterra自适应滤波的极移预报方法. 首先, 利用最小二乘拟合算法分离极移序列中的线性趋势项、钱德勒项和周年项, 获得线性极移、钱德勒极移和周年极移的外推值; 其次, 通过C-C关联积分法对最小二乘拟合残差序列进行相空间重构, 并利用小数据量法计算残差序列的最大Lyapunov指数验证其混沌特性, 在此基础上, 构建Volterra自适应滤波器对残差序列进行预测; 最后, 将线性极移、钱德勒极移和周年极移的外推值以及最小二乘拟合残差的预测值相加获得极移最终预报值. 利用国际地球自转服务局(International Earth Rotation and Reference Systems Service, IERS)提供的极移数据进行1--60d跨度预报, 并将预报结果分别与国际地球定向参数预报比较竞赛(Earth Orientation Parameters Prediction Comparison Campaign, EOP PCC)结果和IERS A公报发布的极移预报产品进行对比, 结果表明: 对于1--30d的短期预报, 该方法的预报精度与EOP PCC最优预报方法相当, 当预报跨度超过30d时, 该方法的预报精度低于EOP PCC最优预报方法, 优于参与EOP PCC的其他方法; 与IERS A公报相比, 该方法的短期预报效果较好, 当预报跨度增加时预报精度低于IERS A公报. 预报结果表明该方法更适合于极移短期预报. 相似文献
4.
Li-Hua Ma De-Chun Liao Yan-Ben Han National Astronomical Observatories Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing Shanghai Astronomical Observatory Chinese Academy of Sciences Shanghai 《中国天文和天体物理学报》2006,(6)
We use wavelet transform to study the time series of the Earth's rotation rate (length-of-day, LOD), the axial components of atmospheric angular momentum (AAM) and oceanic angular momentum (OAM) in the period 1962-2005, and discuss the quasi-biennial oscillations (QBO) of LOD change. The results show that the QBO of LOD change varies remarkably in amplitude and phase. It was weak before 1978, then became much stronger and reached maximum values during the strong El Nino events in around 1983 and 1997. Results from analyzing the axial AAM indicate that the QBO signals in axial AAM are extremely consistent with the QBOs of LOD change. During 1963-2003, the QBO variance in the axial AAM can explain about 99.0% of that of the LOD, in other words, all QBO signals of LOD change are almost excited by the axial AAM, while the weak QBO signals of the axial OAM are quite different from those of the LOD and the axial AAM in both time-dependent characteristics and magnitudes. The combined effects of the axial AAM and OAM can explain about 99.1% of the variance of QBO in LOD change during this period. 相似文献
5.
Variations of Earth’s rotation rate (length-of-day, LOD) occur over a wide range of time scales from a few hours to the geological age. Studies showed that the 50-day fluctuation exists in LOD change. In the present paper, the authors use wavelet technique to study the 50-day oscillation in LOD series. Temporal variations of the oscillation are presented in this work. After analyzing the axial component of atmospheric angular momentum (AAM) and oceanic angular momentum (OAM), the 50-day periodic signal is also found in atmospheric and oceanic motion with remarkable time-variation. Meanwhile, the 50-day oscillation of the axial AAM is in good consistence with that of LOD change. This suggests that the 50-day oscillation of LOD change is mainly excited by the axial AAM. Possible origin of the oscillation for Earth system is discussed in the end of this paper. 相似文献
6.
本文分析了ＩＧＳ＇９２联测期间七个ＧＰＳ数据处理中心提供的极坐标序列。通过谱分析、最小二乘拟合和Ｆ检验，表明在这些序列中存在一些共同的高频波动：在Ｘ方向上具有２７．０，１６．５，１３．４和１０．４天的周期，在Ｙ方向上的波动周期约为２０．５，１５．８和１０．０天。并且每个序列与ＥＯＰ（ＩＥＲＳ）９２Ｃ０４之间都存在一个系统差。计算与分析表明，这些系统偏离的主要原因是由于在用ＧＰＳ资料解算Ｘ、Ｙ时，不同分析中心采用了不同系统的台站坐标（或者说只有部分台站采用了固定的台站坐标），从而造成这些序列所在的参考架与ＩＴＲＦ９１之间存在一个平移和旋转。最后，计算了该期间的大气角动量激发函数，可部分地解释该期间的Ｘ、Ｙ高频波动的原因。 相似文献
7.
Li-Hua Ma Yan-Ben Han National Astronomical Observatories Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 《中国天文和天体物理学报》2006,6(1):120-124
We use the method of wavelet transform to analyze the time series of the Earth's rotation rate of the EOP(IERS)C04.The result shows that the seasonal (annual and semiannual)variation of the length-of-day(LOD)has temporal vari- ability in its period length and amplitude.During 1965.0-2001.0,the periods of the semiannual and annual components varied mainly from 175-day to 190-day and from 360-day to 370-day,respectively;while their amplitudes varied by more than 0.2 ms and 0.1 ms,respectively.Analyzing the axial component of atmospheric angular mo- mentum(AAM)during this period,we have found that time-variations of period lengths and amplitudes also exist in the seasonal oscillations of the axial AAM and are in good consistency with those of the seasonal LOD change.The time variation of the axial AAM can explain largely the change of the LOD on seasonal scales. 相似文献
8.
C. Z. Zhang 《Earth, Moon, and Planets》1994,64(1):31-38
Using the Stokes coefficients of the Moon recommended by IERS Standards (1992), we determined the expression of lunar equipotential surface (selenoid), then calculated the parameters of best-fitting lunar ellipsoid. Moreover, we derived a set of hydrostatic values of lunar physical parameters by solving the Clairaut equation, and discussed the feature of nonhydrostatic component in the figure parameters of the Moon. Finally, we suggest that the lunar physical parameters should be divided into three kinds: primary constants, derived constants, and estimated constants (see Table III); as well that the second-degree Love number,k
2, of the Moon should belong to the estimated constants. At present, in view of the accuracy in reductions of LLR data, a value ofk
2 obtained from model calculations should be defined as its adopted value. For example, the value ofk
2, 0.0266, in this paper can replace 0.0222 in IERS Standards (1992). 相似文献
9.
Burša Milan Kenyon Steve Kouba Jan Müller Achim Raděj Karel Vatrt Viliam Vojtíšková Marie Vítek Vojtěch 《Earth, Moon, and Planets》1999,84(3):163-176
The TOPEX/POSEIDON (T/P) satellite altimeter data from January 1, 1993to October 24, 1999 (cycles 11–261) was used for investigating
thelong-term variations in the geoidal geopotential W0 and/orin the geopotential scale factor R0 = GM/W0 (GM is theadopted geocentric gravitational constant). The mean valuesdetermined for the whole period covered are: W0 =(62 636 856.161 ± 0.002) m2 s-2, R0 =(6 363 672.5448 ± 0.0002) m. The actual accuracy is limited bythe altimeter calibration error (2–3 cm) and it isestimated
to be about ± 0.5 m2 s-2 (± 5 cm).The yearly variations of the above mean values are at the formalerror level. No long-term trend in W0, representing the oceanvolume change, was found for the seven years period 1993–9 on thebasis of T/P altimeter (AVISO) data.
No sea surface topography modelwas used in the solution.
This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献
10.
Bharat Mahajan Srinivas R. Vadali Kyle T. Alfriend 《Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy》2018,130(3):25
A novel approach for the exact Delaunay normalization of the perturbed Keplerian Hamiltonian with tesseral and sectorial spherical harmonics is presented in this work. It is shown that the exact solution for the Delaunay normalization can be reduced to quadratures by the application of Deprit’s Lie-transform-based perturbation method. Two different series representations of the quadratures, one in powers of the eccentricity and the other in powers of the ratio of the Earth’s angular velocity to the satellite’s mean motion, are derived. The latter series representation produces expressions for the short-period variations that are similar to those obtained from the conventional method of relegation. Alternatively, the quadratures can be evaluated numerically, resulting in more compact expressions for the short-period variations that are valid for an elliptic orbit with an arbitrary value of the eccentricity. Using the proposed methodology for the Delaunay normalization, generalized expressions for the short-period variations of the equinoctial orbital elements, valid for an arbitrary tesseral or sectorial harmonic, are derived. The result is a compact unified artificial satellite theory for the sub-synchronous and super-synchronous orbit regimes, which is nonsingular for the resonant orbits, and is closed-form in the eccentricity as well. The accuracy of the proposed theory is validated by comparison with numerical orbit propagations. 相似文献
11.
The formulae for the perturbations in radial, transverse and binormal components of the Earth artificial satellite motion have been derived. Perturbations due to the tesseral part of the geopotential are considered. The geopotential expressed in terms of the orbital elements has the form proposed by Wnuk (1988). The formulae for the perturbations have been obtained using the Hori (1966) method. They can be effectively applied in calculation of the perturbations in the components including the coefficients of the high order and degree tesseral harmonics. The derived formulae reveal no singularities at zero eccentricity. 相似文献
12.
Sergey M. Kudryavtsev 《Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy》2013,115(4):353-364
We develop analytical series representing the main part of corrections to the geopotential coefficients caused by the solid Earth tides, where Love numbers are assumed to be frequency-independent. The series are compact, precise and valid over 1800 A.D.–2200 A.D. The maximum difference between the corrections given by the analytical series and their numerical values, obtained with use of the DE/LE-423 planetary/lunar ephemerides, does not exceed $0.7\times 10^{-12}$ . A new algorithm is proposed for calculating amplitudes of the additional variations of the geopotential coefficients for frequency dependence of Love numbers. It uses the representation of the Earth tide-generating potential in the standard HW95 format and takes into account the phase of tidal waves. Corrections of up to $2\times 10^{-12}$ to the published by the IERS Conventions (2010) amplitudes of the additional variations of the geopotential coefficients are suggested. Examples of use of the obtained series in analytical theories of motion of low-altitude STARLETTE and high-altitude ETALON-1 satellites are given. 相似文献
13.
本文分析了１９９２年至１９９５年期间国际地球自转服务（ＩＥＲＳ）天球参考架的指向维持情况，结合１９８８年至１９９２年的指向维持情况指出，该参考架在１９８８年至１９９５年期间历年的指向均存在显著变化，赤经零点和天极的最大年度漂移约为０．４ｍａｓ。至１９９５年，ＩＥＲＳ天球参考架的赤经零点和天极与各自预期位置的偏差不于０．４ｍａｓ。１９９４年和１９９５年的ＩＥＲＳ天球参考架基本上维持了１９９３年的ＩＥＲＳ天球参考指向，但是其实际维持精度约为０．０５ｍａｓ，并非０．００５ｍａｓ。０．００５ｍａｓ的维持精度只是数学上的平均效果，相当一部分基本源在相邻年度的ＩＥＲＳ天球参考架中的坐标差大于０．５ｍａｓ，这说明只有采用恰当的消除局部相对形变的方法，才能将天球参考架的指向真正维持在较高水平。 相似文献
14.
15.
鉴于ＩＥＲＳ综合河外射电源表在建立ＩＡＵ协议天球参考架方面的重要意义和它们的不足之处，本文重新组建了１９８８至１９９２各年度的综合河外射电源表，称之为Ｃａｔ系列表。并依据综合表的组建原理，对重新计算得到的Ｃａｔ系列表进行了检验，结果表明Ｃａｔ系列表克服了ＩＥＲＳ系列表中坐标系不统一的缺点，指向的定义及维持亦较之ＩＥＲＳ系列表有较大程度地改观。比较结果显示，ＩＥＲＳ系列表中部分源的坐标存在毫角秒量级的偏差，各年度综合表的指向与ＩＥＲＳ预期指向亦有不同程度的偏离，个别轴的最大指向偏差至０．６ｍａｓ。同时指出，１９９３年ＩＥＲＳ综合表的指向亦有待讨论。 相似文献
16.
不同频段上极移,日长变化与大气角动量变化激发结果的比较 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
本文用ＪＭＡ大气角动量序列计算了对极移和日长变化的激发量（ｍ＇１、ｍ＇２和ｍ＇３），并分三个频段与天文观测得到的地球自转参数序列（ｍ１、ｍ２和ｍ３）进行了比较．结果表明：在钱德勒和季节性频段上，大气运动确实是固体地球自转变化的主要激发源． 相似文献
17.
18.
O. Demircan Z. Eker Y. Karata&#; S. Bilir 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2006,366(4):1511-1519
The secular evolution of the orbital angular momentum (OAM), the systemic mass ( M = M 1 + M 2 ) and the orbital period of 114 chromospherically active binaries (CABs) were investigated after determining the kinematical ages of the subsamples which were set according to OAM bins. OAMs, systemic masses and orbital periods were shown to be decreasing by the kinematical ages. The first-order decreasing rates of OAM, systemic mass and orbital period have been determined as per systemic OAM, per systemic mass and per orbital period, respectively, from the kinematical ages. The ratio of d log J /d log M = 2.68, which were derived from the kinematics of the present sample, implies that there must be a mechanism which amplifies the angular momentum loss (AML) times in comparison to isotropic AML of hypothetical isotropic wind from the components. It has been shown that simple isotropic mass loss from the surface of a component or both components would increase the orbital period. 相似文献
19.
In this study, more than 13 yr of merged altimetry sea level anomalies (SLA) data were used to analyze the trends of sea level variations in the South China Sea (SCS). The result shows that the mean sea level over the SCS has a rise rate of 11.3 mm/yr during 1993–2000 and a fall rate of 11.8 mm/yr during 2001–2005. The geographical distribution of the sea level variations over the SCS is asymmetric with a pronounced variation existing in the deep water. The trends of thermosteric sea level variations were also examined using Ishii data and MITgcm assimilation data. The result indicates that the thermal change of the upper layer of the SCS has a significant contribution to the sea level variations. Heat budget analysis suggests that heat advection may be a key factor influencing the thermal change. Apart from thermal contribution, the effect of water exchange on the sea level variations was also studied. 相似文献
20.
J. Hpfner 《Astronomische Nachrichten》1996,317(4):273-280
Variations of annual and semiannual oscillations in rotation parameters have been investigated on the basis of length-f-ay(LOD) as well as atmospheric-ngular-omemtum (AAM) series. These oscillations were determined using band-ass filters. In order to show the character of variations of seaasonal oscillations, amplitudes, phases and periods were computed by a least-quares adjustment with the method of modified harmonic analysis at quarterly intervals. In addition, the seasonal imbalances in LOD and AAM budgets were determined and analysed in a similar way. These discrepancies were corrected for tidally excited effects. The non-tmospheric oscillations without the annual tide effect Sa and the semiannual tide effect Ssa have variable amplitudes between 0.02 and 0.10 msec. 相似文献