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1.
中国全球业务化海洋学预报系统是国家海洋环境预报中心在国内首次构建的全球—大洋—近海3级嵌套的全球业务化海洋学预报系统体系,系统稳定高效业务运行,通过多种方式实时提供和发布全球多尺度多要素的海流、海浪、海温、海冰、海面风场等预报产品,实现了全球海域范围内从百公里级到公里级空间分辨率的一体化预报业务全覆盖。全球业务化海洋学预报系统从全球尺度、大洋尺度到中国周边海域包括8个子系统:全球海面风场数值预报子系统、全球海洋环流数值预报子系统、全球海浪数值预报子系统、全球潮汐潮流数值预报子系统、印度洋海域海洋环境数值预报子系统、极地海冰数值预报子系统、中国周边海域精细化海洋环境数值预报子系统、全球海洋环境预报业务化集成支撑子系统。该系统紧密结合我国经济社会发展和军事保障需求,在"雪龙号"极地遇险脱困预报保障、马航MH370失联飞机搜救预报保障、"蛟龙号"多次深潜海试预报保障、日本福岛"3.11"地震海啸核泄漏影响评估等重大事件的预报保障任务中发挥了至关重要的作用,为我国实施海洋强国战略,维护国家海洋权益、保障涉海安全生产、应对海上突发事件等提供有力的科技支撑。  相似文献   

2.
中国近海海洋锋和锋面预报研究进展   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
海洋锋是水文要素特性不同的2个水团之间的狭窄过渡带,是一种重要的中尺度海洋现象,对渔业、军事和海洋环境保护等许多领域有重要影响,已经成为近年来物理海洋学以及海洋交叉学科中的重要课题之一。中国近海由于众多环流、水团和涡旋在此交汇,海洋锋现象十分显著,近年来,我国学者对中国近海的海洋锋产生机制和变化规律取得了一定的进展。首先从实测水文资料分析、遥感资料分析和数值模拟3个方面分别回顾了黄海、东海、南海北部等中国近海海域海洋锋的研究进展。对于海洋锋的预报研究,我国起步较晚,但目前对近海海洋锋预报的需求十分迫切。回顾总结了国外海洋锋预报的进展,集中介绍了黑潮锋、冰岛—法罗群岛锋、湾流锋和墨西哥湾锋面涡旋的预报方法和现状,最后对如何开展中国近海海洋锋预报提出思考和展望。  相似文献   

3.
永久船闸是三峡工程的重要组成部分,其高边坡是在花岗岩山体中开挖而成的,最大开挖深度达170m。由于开挖卸载,在岩体中形成卸荷应力场,这种新的应力场往往成为岩体持续变形的主要因素,而岩体的持续变形可对工程建筑物(特别是高边坡)的稳定性产生致命的影响。另外,岩体内的地应力释放,使岩体产生回弹变形,岩体结构松弛破裂,岩体力学性质恶化。因此,在永久船闸的开挖过程中,对其进行地应力测量和监测,不仅对边坡整体稳定性分析和安全预报具有重要意义,而且还为制定合理的施工方案,并对边坡的加固处理提供依据。按设计技术要求,地应力测量及其变化监测在永久船闸北坡第四层排水洞内进行,地应力测量和监测的布置如图1所示。按照要求,首先在NB4—7测孔中进行5个测段的绝  相似文献   

4.
北京市突发地质灾害预警模式研究   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
突发地质灾害气象预警预报,是有效降低灾害可能造成的人员、财产损失的重要方法。本文概略地总结了北京市突发地质灾害气象预警第一代人工预警产品和第二代智能预警产品的特点。基于即将建成的覆盖北京市山区、浅山区的突发地质灾害专业监测网络,对未来突发地质灾害的预警产品影响的分析,提出了未来突发地质灾害气象预警,将由一、二代的单因素的气象预警模式,转化为激发因素、响应因素、表达因素等多因素联合的第三代物联多维度的预警模式的构想。  相似文献   

5.
在分析海底地貌学国内外研究现状基础之上,综述我国海底地貌的最新研究进展和发展历程,探讨今后我国近海地貌的研究发展方向:我国现代海底地貌学研究虽然起步较晚,但总的趋势是随着测量技术的不断更新,由宏观向微观、从大的地貌类型向特定的地貌体、从形态特征到地貌过程的研究,并着重研究人类活动与地貌过程的响应关系。针对"908专项"在我国近海海域的调查成果,着重介绍其在我国东海近海海域地形地貌研究中的新发现、新认识:长江口外古潮流沙脊群可分为堆积型、侵蚀—堆积型和侵蚀型潮流沙脊群3种类型;在福建闽江口近岸的马祖列岛和白犬列岛之间发现多条呈SW—NE走向、条带状分布的潮流沙脊,面积约200 km2,水深在15~30 m;在东海陆架沙脊区与金门岛外发现2处新的海底礁石。这些全新的发现和认识对于我国近海海底地貌的研究将起到丰富和推动作用。  相似文献   

6.
藏东南嘎隆拉冰川表碛冻融过程与零点幕效应   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0  
冰川表碛区冻融过程的观测分析有助于厘清各层之间能量和水分传输的关系,从而为构建相应的能量平衡模型以及冰川径流模型提供理论支持。基于2015年10月至2016年11月嘎隆拉冰川表碛区自动气象站气象资料,对表碛区冻融过程进行分析,结果表明:表碛中出现冻土中常见的秋季和春季零点幕效应,秋季零点幕持续时间32天,春季零点幕持续58天;春季零点幕期间,气温和地表温度均呈现清晨低,午后高的日变化特征,而表碛层内温度没有明显的日变化特征,其体积含水率呈“脉冲式”变化;春季零点幕效应结束,底层冻结层破坏后,冰川冰消融才开始;嘎隆拉冰川表碛对冰川冰消融的影响不仅是因为表碛较厚,在消融量上抑制了冰川冰的消融,而且更重要的是表碛产生零点幕效应,延迟了表碛下冰川冰开始消融的日期,在时间上抑制了冰川冰消融。  相似文献   

7.
鄂尔多斯盆地上古生界层序地层划分及演化   总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6  
利用露头、岩心、钻测井、地震资料,进行层序界面识别,建立鄂尔多斯盆地上古生界的层序地层格架,将其划分为5个二级层序、19个三级层序,并分析了层序的体系域构成及其基本特征。二级层序对应于特定的构造—沉积演化阶段:SS1—裂陷海湾与局限海共存阶段;SS2—统一陆表海阶段;SS3—近海平原沼泽、三角洲阶段;SS4—近海湖盆沉积阶段;SS5—内陆红色碎屑岩沉积阶段。建立了三种层序格架中的沉积砂体发育模式(包括太原组的海陆交互相潮坪—三角洲模式,山西组的近海平原沼泽—三角洲模式、下石盒子组的辫状河—辫状三角洲模式),并对层序格架中的主要砂体类型及分布进行分析预测。  相似文献   

8.
李佳  曲田  牟时宇  陶思铭  胡义明 《水文》2023,43(1):47-51+56
径流预报对于防洪、发电和生态调度等具有重要意义。以大渡河丹巴以上流域为研究区域,采用黏菌优化算法(SMA)对长短期记忆神经网络(LSTM)的隐藏层输出维度进行优化,构建SMA-LSTM模型对未来10日径流过程进行预报,以探讨深度学习方法对流域径流预报的适用性。基于2012—2017年的日降雨量和日流量资料,构建了预见期为10天的逐日径流SMA-LSTM预报模型,以2018—2019年的资料进行模型验证;采用最大1日径流量相对误差和10日总径流量相对误差作为SMA-LSTM模型精度的评价指标,并与未优化的LSTM模型和新安江模型结果进行对比。结果表明:SMA-LSTM模型具有较高的模拟和预报精度,无论是在率定期还是验证期,两种指标均控制在±10%以内,且两种指标的绝对值平均都不超过7%;整体而言,SMA-LSTM模型精度更高,预报的径流过程与实测过程更为贴近。研究成果可供流域径流预报实际工作参考。  相似文献   

9.
俞炜博  梁忠民 《水文》2024,44(1):26-32
大渡河流域内站点分布较少,历史观测数据不足,给该地区的融雪径流预报带来困难。基于欧洲中期天气预报中心提供的最新一代高分辨率陆面再分析数据集ERA5-Land,将积雪覆盖率和积雪平均深度引入度日因子雪量计算公式中,对HBV模型的积融雪模块进行改进,以提升融雪径流计算的可靠性。以大渡河上游为研究对象,选取1961—2018年的水文气象资料对模型进行率定和验证,并以2019年为例进行试预报研究。结果表明,通过引入ERA5-Land再分析数据,以及对积融雪模块进行改进,发挥了其在模拟积融雪上的优势,有效提升了融雪径流预报精度,对大渡河流域具有适用性。研究成果可为稀缺资料地区融雪径流模拟预报提供经验。  相似文献   

10.
山东济宁下第三系的划分和对比   总被引:2,自引:1,他引:2  
<正> 济宁地层小区位于山东省的西南部,广大地区均被第四系所覆盖。历年来在钻孔中获得不少地层资料,但对下第三系的研究工作做的较少,还缺乏详细的划分和对比,也缺少相应的命名。宋之琛(1 964)关于山东第三系的孢粉化石进行了研究,对本区第三纪孢粉化石的组合特征及对比提供了重要的依据。笔者于1977—1979年,对鲁西南一带的成武、鱼台、黄口等凹陷钻孔中的下第三系,进行了孢粉分析工作,将下第三系划分为三个组、六个孢粉化石组合带(表1)。  相似文献   

11.
豫西太原组、山西组中潮道沉积的类型和特征   总被引:5,自引:1,他引:5  
豫西太原组中的潮道为陆表海滨岸潮道类型,其特点为:向上变细的层序,冲刷切割下伏的灰岩层,具大型板状、槽状交错层理和双向交错层理,潮道曲流砂坝发育。山西组下段的潮道为障壁后潮道,位于障壁砂坝后的潮坪区;潮道砂岩泥质杂基较高,正粒序,砂体自海向陆分叉尖灭;潮坪、潮道等亚环境组合影响了其上发育的煤层的厚度变化。山西组上段的潮道为下三角洲平原潮道类型,多位于分流河口,砂岩为正粒序,双(单)粘土层和潮汐周期层序发育。  相似文献   

12.
珠江口盆地下中新早期的水下潮汐三角洲   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
石国平 《沉积学报》1989,7(1):135-142
珠江口盆地第一次大规模海侵,发生在晚渐新世末期的陆架沉降过程中,使长期处于封闭状态的陆相断陷湖盆,逐渐向半封闭的海盆转化.由于盆地与广海之间的通道较狭窄,造成了半封闭浅海内较强烈的潮汐作用,潮汐砂体十分发育,其中下中新统沉积早期(下珠江组)的水下潮汐三角洲砂体是在盆地水域不断扩大背景下.在涨潮流与退潮流的频繁作用下,于潮汐通道附近的三角区域内建造起来的.水下潮汐三角洲主要由潮汐砂坝(砂脊)构造,为多套向上变粗的韵律层,其结构、构造有别于河砂和海滩砂.本文论述了水下潮汐三角洲发生、发展与消亡的兴衰史,并对其沉积特征进行了描述.  相似文献   

13.
基于卫星高度计的全球大洋潮汐模式的准确度评估   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
依据152个深海验潮站与大洋岛屿地面验潮站观测得到的8个主要分潮(M2、S2、K1、O1、N2、K2、P1及Q1)调和常数,对现有7个全球大洋潮汐模式的准确度进行了检验,结果显示各模式在深海大洋区域均达到了比较高的准确度:M2分潮的潮高均方根偏差在1.0~1.3cm之间;8个分潮的和方根偏差在2.1~2.3cm之间,与早期的模式相比,准确度又有了进一步提高。还依据中国近海18个岛屿的调和常数对其中的5个大洋潮汐模式的准确度进行了检验,结果表明,M2分潮均方根偏差在4.4~10cm,明显高于大洋的均方根偏差。其中日本国家天文台的潮汐模式NAO99在中国近海的结果相对较准确。  相似文献   

14.
在进行庵东潮坪水文要素定点测量的基础上,对地貌特征,沉积粒度,沉积构造及重向剖面作了全面分析与研究。结果表明,滩地位于杭州湾进、退潮流的交会点,控制其发育的主动力为潮汐作用,具明显的不规则半日潮特性,涨潮流强度远大于落潮流,造就了宽达十余公里的潮滩地貌。滩地水动力深受湾内水流影响,高潮期服从其总体潮流流向,导致潮坪上发育众多与杭州湾深槽系统相连的潮沟,破坏了沉积物正常分布规律,高潮坪存在一定向平行岸线的大型潮沟,受强劲水流影响,沉积粒度粗化,并因快冲快淤而产生变形构造;中潮坪接受退潮期潮沟漫岸物质,粒度相对较小,分选性变差,沉积构造以直脊流水波痕及板状交错层理为主;低潮坪潮流作用大、沉积粒度粗,分选性最佳,发育小型流水波痕,内部构造以槽状交错层理,“青鱼刺”层理及再作用构造为特征。潮坪近岸处潮沟迁移层序及浪成波痕层理的发现反映水动力异常强大,威胁人工海塘的安全,建议停止进一步围垦滩涂,采取促淤方法,抑制潮沟的发育,以维持滩地稳定。  相似文献   

15.
The long-term response of circulation processes to external forcing has been quantified for the Columbia River estuary using in situ data from an existing coastal observatory. Circulation patterns were determined from four Acoustic Doppler Profilers (ADP) and several conductivity–temperature sensors placed in the two main channels. Because of the very strong river discharge, baroclinic processes play a crucial role in the circulation dynamics, and the interaction of the tidal and subtidal baroclinic pressure gradients plays a major role in structuring the velocity field. The input of river flow and the resulting low-frequency flow dynamics in the two channels are quite distinct. Current and salinity data were analyzed on two time scales—subtidal (or residual) and tidal (both diurnal and semidiurnal components). The residual currents in both channels usually showed a classical two-layer baroclinic circulation system with inflow at the bottom and outflow near the surface. However, this two-layer system is transient and breaks down under strong discharge and tidal conditions because of enhanced vertical mixing. Influence of shelf winds on estuarine processes was also observed via the interactions with upwelling and downwelling processes and coastal plume transport. The transient nature of residual inflow affects the long-term transport characteristics of the estuary. Effects of vertical mixing could also be seen at the tidal time scale. Tidal velocities were separated into their diurnal and semidiurnal components using continuous wavelet transforms to account for the nonstationary nature of velocity amplitudes. The vertical structure of velocity amplitudes were considerably altered by baroclinic gradients. This was particularly true for the diurnal components, where tidal asymmetry led to stronger tidal velocities near the bottom.  相似文献   

16.
Current, water level and wind data collected from a study site at the Aransas Pass, Texas, during a 45-day period in mid 1977 are used to describe tidal motions and low-frequency, meteorologically-forced exchanges between the inner shelf and a series of intracoastal bays. Analysis of individual tidal constituents indicates a mixed but principally diurnal tide. Tidal constituents move through the Pass as nearly progressive waves. Asymmetry in the co-oscillating tidal motions is explained as a result of unequal frictional forces acting on flood and ebb currents in the Pass. Tidal excursions computed from the tidal harmonic constants and from cumulative net displacements suggest that tidal-period exchanges are not effective in flushing the bays even under tropic tidal conditions. Nontidal water levels are related to the cross-shelf component of the coastal windstress at statistically significant levels. This suggests that low-frequency local meteorological forcing, as a set-up or set-down of coastal water levels, plays a valuable role in assisting tidally-driven exchanges.  相似文献   

17.
This paper presents examples of various large tidal sandbodies from the Eocene Roda Sandstone in the southern Pyrenees and the Late Pleistocene and Early Holocene in the East China Sea. An attempt is made to summarize the geometric variability of these large tidal sandbodies in relation to the sediment supply and tidal discharge of the depositional system. Transverse sand bars were developed in low-sinuosity, high-gradient channels with high influxes of coarse sediments and water from fluvial systems. Tidal point bars were formed in meandering low-gradient estuarine channel where tidal influence was stronger and sediment was finer than those of the transverse sand bar. A tidal delta complex was built up at the estuary mouth with an abundant sediment supply and an increased tidal discharge. Tidal sand ridges were formed when relict fluvial or deltaic sands were eroded and reworked by strong tidal currents during subsequent sea-level rise.

Since the sediment supply and the tidal discharge of the depositional system were closely related to the eustatic sea-level change and basin subsidence, i.e. the relative sea-level change, special attention will be given to the relationship between geometric variability of tidal sandbodies and the sequence stratigraphic framework in which various sandbodies occurred. Three orders of eustatic sea-level fluctuations can be recognized. The third-order eustatic sea-level cycle, together with basin subsidence, controlled the development of systems tracts and the occurrence of different tidal sandbodies, such as estuary and tidal flat facies during the late stage of a LSW systems tract (type 1 sequence) or a SM systems tract (type 2 sequence); tidal point bar facies, tidal delta facies or tidal sand-ridge facies during a TR systems tract; estuary facies during an early HS systems tract; and fluvial sand bar facies in a late HS systems tract and the early stage of a SM or LSW systems tract. There are also the fourth-order and fifth-order eustatic fluctuations, which are superimposed on the third-order eustatic changes and have important control on the build-up, abandonment and preservation of composite and single tidal sandbodies, respectively.

Since the deposition of tidal sandbodies is very sensitive to eustatic sea-level changes, recognition of various tidal sandbodies is important in sequence stratigraphy analyses of sedimentary basins and in the facies prediction of clastic sediments in basin modelling.  相似文献   


18.
Following the Late Aquitanian sea-level fall, tide-influenced deposition started in the North Hungarian Bay, an embayment in the Paratethys open to the north-east. The relatively narrow, funnel shape of the bay supported amplification of tidal movements, resulting in the generation of strong tidal currents. The length and the depth of the North Hungarian Bay and the connecting seaway through East Slovakia fell into the ‘Tidal Amplification Window’and thus fulfilled the conditions needed for resonant amplification of semidiurnal (M2) tides. Tide-influenced deposits were formed at both sides of the North Hungarian Bay. They reflect dominant currents in opposite directions and of different strengths at either side of the basin. This difference was the result of bottom-tide interactions. Cyclonic (anticlockwise) residual currents were induced above the asymmetrical central depression in the bay and were superimposed upon the tidal currents, producing an anticlockwise, time-and-velocity asymmetrical current system. The North Hungarian Bay and other examples show that amplification of tidal motions and formation of tide-influenced deposits may occur if basin dimensions pass through the ‘Tidal Amplification Window’. This window represents ideal conditions for resonant or amphidromic amplification of tidal currents. It determines an ideal length/depth or width/depth ratio relative to the wavelength of the astronomical tides. Thus signs of strong tidal influence in fossil basin fills can be used to reconstruct the dimensions (length, depth and width) of such basins.  相似文献   

19.
An active oolitic sand wave was monitored for a period of 37 days in order to address the relationship between the direction and strength of tidal currents and the resultant geometry, and amount and direction of migration of bedforms in carbonate sands. The study area is situated in a tidal channel near Lee Stocking Island (Exumas, Bahamas) containing an estimated 5.5 to 6 × 105 m3 of mobile oolitic sand. Tidal ranges within the inlet are microtidal and the maximum current velocity at the studied site is 0.6 m s?1. At least 300–400 m3 of mostly oolitic sand are formed within, or brought into, the channel area every year. The tidal inlet is subdivided into an ocean-orientated segment, in which sand waves are shaped by both flood and ebb tides, and a platform-orientated segment, where sand waves are mainly shaped by flood tides. The studied sand wave lies on the platformward flood-tide dominated segment in a water depth of 3.5.4.5 m. During the 37 days of observation, the oolitic and bioclastic sand wave migrated 4 m in the direction of the dominant flood current. The increments of migration were directly related to the strength of the tide. During each tidal cycle, bedforms formed depending on the strength of the tidal current, tidal range and their location on the sand wave. During flood tides, a steep lee and a gentle stoss side formed and current ripples and small dunes developed on the crest of the sand wave, while the trough developed only ripples. The average lee slope of the sand wave is 24.2°, and therefore steeper than typical siliciclastic sand waves. During ebb tides, portions of the crest are eroded creating a convex upward ebb stoss side, covered with climbing cuspate and linguoid ripples and composite dunes. The area between the ebb-lee side and the trough is covered with fan systems, sinuous ripples and dunes. The migration of all bedforms deviated to a variable degree from the main current direction, reflecting complex flow patterns in the tidal inlet. Small bedforms displayed the largest deviation, migrating at an angle of up to 90° and more to the dominant current direction during spring tides.  相似文献   

20.
The restoration of tidal wetland and seagrass systems has the potential for significant greenhouse gas benefits, but project-level accounting procedures have not been available at an international scale. In this paper, we describe the Verified Carbon Standard Methodology for Tidal Wetland and Seagrass Restoration, which provides greenhouse gas accounting procedures for marsh, mangrove, tidal forested wetland, and seagrasses systems across a diversity of geomorphic conditions and restoration techniques. We discuss and critique the essential science and policy elements of the methodology and underlying knowledge gaps. We developed a method for estimating mineral-protected (recalcitrant) allochthonous carbon in tidal wetland systems using field-collected soils data and literature-derived default values of the recalcitrant carbon that accompanies mineral deposition. We provided default values for methane emissions from polyhaline soils but did not provide default values for freshwater, oligohaline, and mesohaline soils due to high variability of emissions in these systems. Additional topics covered are soil carbon sequestration default values, soil carbon fate following erosion, avoided losses in organic and mineral soils, nitrous oxide emissions, soil profile sampling methods, sample size, prescribed fire, additionality, and leakage. Knowledge gaps that limit the application of the methodology include the estimation of CH4 emissions from fresh and brackish tidal wetlands, lack of validation of our approach for the estimation of recalcitrant allochthonous carbon, understanding of carbon oxidation rates following drainage of mineral tidal wetland soils, estimation of the effects of prescribed fire on soil carbon stocks, and the analysis of additionality for projects outside of the USA.  相似文献   

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