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1.
In this paper the N—S asymmetry of the soft X-ray flare index (FI
SXR) during solar cycles 21, 22 and 23 has been analyzed. The results show the existence of a real N—S asymmetry which is strengthened
during solar minimum. The slope of regression lines fitted to the daily values of asymmetry time series is negative in all
three cycles. The yearly asymmetry curve can be fitted by a sinusoidal function with a period of eleven years. The power spectral
analysis of daily asymmetry time series reveals significant periods of around 28.26 days, 550.73 days and 3.72 years. 相似文献
2.
The periodic analyses of solar flare data have been carried out by different authors for about three decades. Controversial
results appear as depending on the analysis techniques and investigated time periods. Considering that different authors applied
different methods to different data sets, it seems necessary to reanalyze the periodicity of solar flare index with a unified
method. In this study we used two new methods to investigate the periodic behavior of solar flare index data, first for individual
cycles 21, 22 and 23, and then for all of them. We used i) the multi taper method with red- and white-noise approximations, and ii) the Morlet wavelet transform for periodicity analysis. Apart from the solar rotation periodicity of about 27 days which
is of obvious significance and is found in all examined cycles with at least a 90% significance level, we obtained the following
prominent periods: 152 days for cycle 21, 73 days for cycle 22, and 62 days for cycle 23. Finally, we compare our results
with the ones previously found. We emphasize the fact that a lesser number of periodicities is found in the range of low frequencies
(long periods) while the higher frequencies show a greater number of periodicities. This result might be useful for better
predictions of the solar cycles. 相似文献
3.
Intermediate-term periodicities in solar activity 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
The presence of intermediate-term periodicities in solar activity, at approximately 323 and 540 days, has been claimed by different authors. In this paper, we have performed a search for them in the historical records of two main indices of solar activity, namely, the daily sunspot areas (cycles 12–21) and the daily Zürich sunspot number (cycles 6–21). Two different methods to compute power spectra have been used, one of them being especially appropriate to deal with gapped time series. The results obtained for the periodicity near 323 days indicate that it has only been present in cycle 21, while in previous cycles no significant evidence for it has been found. On the other hand, a significant periodicity at 350 days is found in sunspot areas and Zürich sunspot number during cycles 12–21 considered all together, also having been detected in some individual cycles. However, this last periodicity must be looked into with care due to the lack of confirmation for it coming from other features of solar activity. The periodicity around 540 days is found in cycles 12, 14, and 17 in sunspot areas, while during cycles 18 and 19 it is present, with a very high significance, in sunspot areas and Zürich sunspot number. It also appears at 528 days in sunspot areas during cycles 12–21. On the other hand, it is important to note the coincidence between the asymmetry, favouring the northern hemisphere, of sunspot areas and solar flares during cycle 19, and the fact that the periodicity at 540 days was only present, with high significance, in that hemisphere during that solar cycle. 相似文献
4.
In this work we study the mid-term periodicities (MTPs), between 1 and 2 years, of the sunspot groups and the flare index (FI), by separating the data into hemispheres and spectral bands (SBs) according to the most significant periodicities presented by these phenomena. We found that the MTP of sunspot groups has a diminished power during the Modern Minimum and an increased power during the Modern Maximum, with the exception of cycle 20. For flares, the MTP has a diminished power during the low activity cycle 20, and an increased power during cycles 21 and 22. Therefore, for both sunspot groups and FI, cycle 20 shows a very diminished power followed by the active and higher-power cycles 21 and 22; cycle 23 shows a weaker power than cycles 21 and 22. It is uncertain whether MTP can be a precursor of a long-term minimum of solar activity or not, as has been previously suggested. Also, there is no one-to-one correlation between the cycle intensity and the importance of MTP. Concerning the quasi-biennial periodicities and the theory of two kinds of dynamos, we notice the tendency that higher-power cycles mean weaker coupling in the model. Concerning the hemispheric north-south asymmetry, for sunspot groups the southern hemisphere dominates in most of the SBs, while for FI the northern hemisphere dominates for all the SBs. Additionally, the time lag found between the two hemispheres indicates that the degrees of coupling in the photosphere for sunspot groups and in the corona for flares are between moderate and strong. Finally, the modulation shown by the MTP time series suggests that these periodicities are the product of chaotic quasi-periodic processes and not of stochastic processes. 相似文献
5.
6.
The periodicities of monthly values of major flare numbers and comprehensive major flare index (CFI) have been studied for the 20th solar cycle. It has been proved that the periodicity 152 days exists also in the southern (S) solar hemisphere. This periodicity has been previously defined in the earlier cycles to be a northern (N) periodicity, but it has migrated to the southern hemisphere (S) during the cycles 19, 20, 21. For the whole solar disk data, it has been found that the periodicity at 78.43d is much remarkable than its first harmonic at 156.86d. We have also detected very strong periodicity at 548.96d in N-hemisphere while a strong one has been found near 100d in both solar hemispheres. The detected periodicities at 80±2d and 101-+1d seems to have a global origin . The 87.1d periodicity is present and it is suggested that it is related to 88d periodicity attributed to the tidal influence of the planet Mercury on sunspots. Both hemispheres present their periodicities independently. 相似文献
7.
The pressure-corrected hourly counting rate data of ground-based super neutron monitor stations, situated in different latitudes, have been employed to study the characteristics of the long-term variation of cosmic-ray diurnal anisotropy for a long (44-year) period (1965?–?2008). Some of these super neutron monitors are situated in low latitudes with high cutoff rigidity. Annual averages of the diurnal amplitudes and phases have been obtained for each station. It is found that the amplitude of the diurnal anisotropy varies with a period of one solar activity cycle (11 years), whereas the diurnal phase varies with a period of 22 years (one solar magnetic cycle). The average diurnal amplitudes and phases have also been calculated by grouping the days on the basis of ascending and descending periods of each solar cycle (Cycles 20, 21, 22, and 23). Systematic and significant differences are observed in the characteristics of the diurnal variation between the descending periods of the odd and even solar cycles. The overall vector averages of the descending periods of the even solar cycles (20 and 22) show significantly smaller diurnal amplitudes compared to the vector averages of the descending periods of the odd solar cycles (21 and 23). In contrast, we find a large diurnal phase shift to earlier hours only during the descending periods of even solar cycles (20 and 22), as compared to almost no shift in the diurnal phase during the descending periods of odd solar cycles. Further, the overall vector average diurnal amplitudes of the ascending period of odd and even solar cycles remain invariant from one ascending period to the other, or even between the even and odd solar cycles. However, we do find a significant diurnal phase shift to earlier hours during the ascending periods of odd solar cycles (21 and 23) in comparison to the diurnal phase in the ascending periods of even solar cycles (20 and 22). 相似文献
8.
We have analyzed the daily record of sunspot areas during the current cycle 22 looking for the short-term periodicity of around 155 days which was present during some previous solar cycles. Two different methods have been used to compute the power spectra and the results indicate that such periodicity has been absent during the current solar cycle, which confirms the results obtained by other authors who used flares or flare-related data.However, we have found that, during some intervals of time, a periodicity close to 86 days is statistically significant. A similar periodicity was found by Landscheit (1986) in energetic X-ray flares, between 1970 and 1982 (second and first half of solar cycles 20 and 21, respectively), and by Bai (1992b) for important solar flares during solar cycle 20. 相似文献
9.
Recent helioseismic observations have found strong fluctuations at a period of about 1.3 years in the rotation speed around
the tachocline in the deep solar convection layer. Similar mid-term quasi-periodicities (MTQP; periods between 1–2 years)
are known to occur in various solar atmospheric and heliospheric parameters for centuries. Since the deep convection layer
is the expected location of the solar magnetic dynamo, its fluctuations could modulate magnetic flux generation and cause
related MTQP fluctuations at the solar surface and beyond. Accordingly, it is likely that the heliospheric MTQP periodicities
reflect similar changes in solar dynamo activity. Here we study the occurrence of the MTQP periodicities in the near and distant
heliosphere in the solar wind speed and interplanetary magnetic field observed by several satellites at 1 AU and by four interplanetary
probes (Pioneer 10 and 11 and Voyager 1 and 2) in the outer heliosphere. The overall structure of MTQP fluctuations in the different locations of the heliosphere
is very consistent, verifying the solar (not heliospheric) origin of these periodicities. We find that the mid-term periodicities
were particularly strong during solar cycle 22 and were observed at two different periods of 1.3 and 1.7 years simultaneously.
These periodicities were latitudinally organized so that the 1.3-year periodicity was found in solar wind speed at low latitudes
and the 1.7-year periodicity in IMF intensity at mid-latitudes. While all heliospheric results on the 1.3-year periodicity
are in a good agreement with helioseismic observations, the 1.7-year periodicity has so far not been detected in helioseismic
observations. This may be due to temporal changes or due to the helioseismic method where hemispherically antisymmetric fluctuations
would so far have remained hidden. In fact, there is evidence that MTQP fluctuations may occur antisymmetrically in the northern
and southern solar hemisphere. Moreover, we note that the MTQP pattern was quite different during solar cycles 21 and 22,
implying fundamental differences in solar dynamo action between the two halves of the magnetic cycle. 相似文献
10.
We applied fast Fourier transform techniques and Morlet wavelet transform on the time series data of coronal index, solar flare index, and galactic cosmic ray, for the period 1986–2008, in order to investigate the long- and mid-term periodicities including the Rieger (\({\sim }130\) to \({\sim }190\) days), quasi-period (\({\sim }200\) to \({\sim }374\) days), and quasi-biennial periodicities (\({\sim }1.20\) to \({\sim }3.27\) years) during the combined solar cycles 22–23. We emphasize the fact that a lesser number of periodicities are found in the range of low frequencies, while the higher frequencies show a greater number of periodicities. The rotation rates at the base of convection zone have periods for coronal index of \({\sim }1.43\) years and for solar flare index of \({\sim }1.41\) year, and galactic cosmic ray, \({\sim }1.35\) year, during combined solar cycles 22–23. In relation to these two solar parameters (coronal index and solar flare index), for the solar cycles 22–23, we found that galactic cosmic ray modulation at mid cut-off rigidity (\(\hbox {Rc} = 2.43\hbox {GV}\)) is anti-correlated with time-lag of few months. 相似文献
11.
Statistical Analysis of the Fluctuations Detected in High-Altitude Neutron Monitor,Solar and Interplanetary Parameters 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Galactic cosmic ray fluctuations from six mountain altitude neutron monitors around the world are analyzed during the period 1990–1999. The period comprises the maximum and declining phase of solar cycle 22 and the beginning of cycle 23. The evolution of the most significant periodicities and comparisons with solar activity and interplanetary indicators are presented. We found a 38-day variation present in all neutron monitors, solar activity parameters, and IMF fluctuations. The possible origin of this and other stable periodicities of cosmic ray variations in the analyzed period are discussed. 相似文献
12.
We have used the daily values of the equatorial rotation rate determined from the Mt. Wilson daily Doppler-velocity measurements
during the period 3 December 1985 – 5 March 2007 to search for periodicities in the solar equatorial rotation rate on time
scales shorter than 11 years. After the daily values have been binned into 61-day intervals, a cosine fit with a period of
one year was applied to the sequence to remove any seasonal trend. The spectral properties of this sequence were then investigated
by using standard Fourier analysis, maximum-entropy methods, and a Morlet-wavelet analysis. From the analysis of the Fourier
power spectrum we detected peaks with periodicities around 7.6, 2.8, and 1.47 years and 245, 182, and 158 days, but none of
them were at a statistically significant level. In the Morlet-wavelet analysis the ≈1.47-year periodicity is detected only
for 1990 (i.e., near the maximum of cycle 22) and near the end of cycle 22 in 1995. From the same wavelet analysis we found some evidence
for the existence of a 2.8-year periodicity and a 245-day periodicity in the equatorial rotation rate around the years 1990
and 1992, respectively. In the data taken during the period 1996 – 2007, when the Mt. Wilson spectrograph instrumentation
was more stable, we were unable to detect any signal from the wavelet analysis. Thus, the detected periodicities during the
period before 1996 could be artifacts of frequent changes in the Mt. Wilson spectrograph instrumentation. However, the temporal
behavior of most of the activity phenomena during cycles 22 (1986 – 1996) and 23 (after 1997) is considerably different. Therefore,
the presence of the aforementioned short-term periodicities during the last cycle and absence of them in the current cycle
may, in principle, be real temporal behavior of the solar rotation during these cycles. 相似文献
13.
Periodicities in the occurrence rate of solar proton events 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Power spectral analyses of the time series of solar proton events during the past three solar cycles reveal a periodicity around 154 days. This feature is prominent in all of the cycles combined, cycles 19 and 21 individually but is only weak in cycle 20. These results are consistent with the presence of similar periodicities between 152 and 155 days in the occurrence rate of major solar flares, the sunspot blocking function (P
s
), the 10.7 cm radio flux (F
10.7) and the sunspot number (R
z
). This suggests that the circa 154-days periodicity may be a fundamental characteristic of the Sun. Periods around 50–52 days are also found in the combined data set and in the three individual cycles in general agreement with the detection of this periodicity in major flares in cycle 19 and inP
s
,F
10.7, andR
z
in cycle 21. The cause of the 155 day period remains unknown. The spectra contain lines (or show power at frequencies) consistent with a model in which the periodicity is caused by differential rotation of active zones and a model in which it is related to beat frequencies between solar oscillations, as proposed by Wolff. 相似文献
14.
Based on the monthly sunspot numbers (SSNs), the solar-flare index (SFI), grouped solar flares (GSFs), the tilt angle of heliospheric current sheet (HCS), and cosmic-ray intensity (CRI) for Solar Cycles 21?–?24, a detailed correlation study has been performed using the cycle-wise average correlation (with and without time lag) method as well as by the “running cross-correlation” method. It is found that the slope of regression lines between SSN and SFI, as well as between SSN and GSF, is continuously decreasing from Solar Cycle 21 to 24. The length of regression lines has significantly decreased during Cycles 23 and 24 in comparison to Cycles 21 and 22. The cross-correlation coefficient (without time lag) between SSN–CRI, SFI–CRI, and GSF–CRI has been found to be almost the same during Cycles 21 and 22, while during Cycles 23 and 24 it is significantly higher between SSN–CRI and HCS–CRI than for SFI–CRI and GSF–CRI. Considering time lags of 1 to 20 months, the maximum correlation coefficient (negative) amongst all of the sets of solar parameters is observed with almost the same time lags during Cycles 21?–?23, whereas exceptional behaviour of the time lag has been observed during Cycle 24, as the correlation coefficient attains its maximum value with two time lags (four and ten months) in the case of the SSN–CRI relationship. A remarkably large time lag (22 months) between HCS and CRI has been observed during the odd-numbered Cycle 21, whereas during another odd cycle, Cycle 23, the lag is small (nine months) in comparison to that for other solar/flare parameters (13?–?15 months). On the other hand, the time lag between SSN–CRI and HCS–CRI has been found to be almost the same during even-numbered Solar Cycles 22 and 24. A similar analysis has been performed between SFI and CRI, and it is found that the correlation coefficient is maximum at zero time lag during the present solar cycle. The GSFs have shown better maximum correlation with CRI as compared to SFI during Cycles 21 to 23, indicating that GSF could also be used as a significant solar parameter to study the cosmic-ray modulation. Furthermore, the running cross-correlation coefficient between SSN–CRI and HCS–CRI, as well as between solar-flare activity parameters (SFI and GSF) and CRI is observed to be strong during the ascending and descending phases of solar cycles. The level of cosmic-ray modulation during the period of investigation shows the appropriateness of different parameters in different cycles, and even during the different phases of a particular solar cycle. We have also studied the galactic cosmic-ray modulation in relation to combined solar and heliospheric parameters using the empirical model suggested by Paouris et al. (Solar Phys.280, 255, 2012). The proposed model for the calculation of the modulated cosmic-ray intensity obtained from the combination of solar and heliospheric parameter gives a very satisfactory value of standard deviation as well as \(R^{2}\) (the coefficient of determination) for Solar Cycles 21?–?24. 相似文献
15.
16.
Alejandro Lara Andrea Borgazzi Odim Jr. Mendes Reinaldo R. Rosa Margarete Oliveira Domingues 《Solar physics》2008,248(1):155-166
We have constructed a time series of the number of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) observed by SOHO/LASCO during solar cycle
23. Using spectral analysis techniques (the maximum entropy method and wavelet analysis) we found short-period (< one year)
semiperiodic activity. Among others, we found interesting periodicities at 193, 36, 28, and 25 days. We discuss the implications
of such short-period activity in terms of the emergence and escape of magnetic flux from the convection zone, through the
low solar atmosphere (where these periodicities have been found for numerous activity parameters), toward interplanetary space.
This analysis shows that CMEs remove the magnetic flux in a quasiperiodic process in a way similar to that of magnetic flux
emergence and other solar eruptive activity. 相似文献
17.
A. Kilcik V. Yurchyshyn B. Donmez V. N. Obridko A. Ozguc J. P. Rozelot 《Solar physics》2018,293(4):63
We analyzed temporal and periodic variations of sunspot counts (SSCs) in flaring (C-, M-, or X-class flares), and non-flaring active regions (ARs) for nearly three solar cycles (1986 through 2016). Our main findings are as follows: i) temporal variations of monthly means of the daily total SSCs in flaring and non-flaring ARs behave differently during a solar cycle and the behavior varies from one cycle to another; during Solar Cycle 23 temporal SSC profiles of non-flaring ARs are wider than those of flaring ARs, while they are almost the same during Solar Cycle 22 and the current Cycle 24. The SSC profiles show a multi-peak structure and the second peak of flaring ARs dominates the current Cycle 24, while the difference between peaks is less pronounced during Solar Cycles 22 and 23. The first and second SSC peaks of non-flaring ARs have comparable magnitude in the current solar cycle, while the first peak is nearly absent in the case of the flaring ARs of the same cycle. ii) Periodic variations observed in the SSCs profiles of flaring and non-flaring ARs derived from the multi-taper method (MTM) spectrum and wavelet scalograms are quite different as well, and they vary from one solar cycle to another. The largest detected period in flaring ARs is \(113\pm 1.6~\mbox{days}\) while we detected much longer periodicities (\(327\pm 13\), \(312 \pm 11\), and \(256\pm 8~\mbox{days}\)) in the non-flaring AR profiles. No meaningful periodicities were detected in the MTM spectrum of flaring ARs exceeding \(55\pm 0.7~\mbox{days}\) during Solar Cycles 22 and 24, while a \(113\pm 1.3~\mbox{days}\) period was detected in flaring ARs of Solar Cycle 23. For the non-flaring ARs the largest detected period was only \(31\pm 0.2~\mbox{days}\) for Cycle 22 and \(72\pm 1.3~\mbox{days}\) for the current Cycle 24, while the largest measured period was \(327\pm 13~\mbox{days}\) during Solar Cycle 23. 相似文献
18.
Barbara A. Emery Ian G. Richardson David S. Evans Frederick J. Rich Gordon R. Wilson 《Solar physics》2011,274(1-2):399-425
The behavior of a number of solar wind, radiation belt, auroral and geomagnetic parameters is examined during the recent extended solar minimum and previous solar cycles, covering the period from January 1972 to July 2010. This period includes most of the solar minimum between Cycles 23 and 24, which was more extended than recent solar minima, with historically low values of most of these parameters in 2009. Solar rotational periodicities from 5 to 27 days were found from daily averages over 81 days for the parameters. There were very strong 9-day periodicities in many variables in 2005?–?2008, triggered by recurring corotating high-speed streams (HSS). All rotational amplitudes were relatively large in the descending and early minimum phases of the solar cycle, when HSS are the predominant solar wind structures. There were minima in the amplitudes of all solar rotational periodicities near the end of each solar minimum, as well as at the start of the reversal of the solar magnetic field polarity at solar maximum (～?1980, ～?1990, and ～?2001) when the occurrence frequency of HSS is relatively low. Semiannual equinoctial periodicities, which were relatively strong in the 1995?–?1997 solar minimum, were found to be primarily the result of the changing amplitudes of the 13.5- and 27-day periodicities, where 13.5-day amplitudes were better correlated with heliospheric daily observations and 27-day amplitudes correlated better with Earth-based daily observations. The equinoctial rotational amplitudes of the Earth-based parameters were probably enhanced by a combination of the Russell-McPherron effect and a reduction in the solar wind-magnetosphere coupling efficiency during solstices. The rotational amplitudes were cross-correlated with each other, where the 27-day amplitudes showed some of the weakest cross-correlations. The rotational amplitudes of the >?2 MeV radiation belt electron number fluxes were progressively weaker from 27- to 5-day periods, showing that processes in the magnetosphere act as a low-pass filter between the solar wind and the radiation belt. The A p/K p magnetic currents observed at subauroral latitudes are sensitive to proton auroral precipitation, especially for 9-day and shorter periods, while the A p/K p currents are governed by electron auroral precipitation for 13.5- and 27-day periodicities. 相似文献
19.
The pressure-corrected hourly counting rate data of four neutron monitor stations have been employed to study the variation
of cosmic ray diurnal anisotropy for a period of about 50 years (1955–2003). These neutron monitors, at Oulu (
R
c = 0.78 GV), Deep River (
R
c = 1.07 GV), Climax (
R
c = 2.99 GV), and Huancayo (
R
c = 12.91 GV) are well distributed on the earth over different latitudes and their data have been analyzed. The amplitude of
the diurnal anisotropy varies with a period of one solar cycle (∼11 years), while the phase varies with a period of two solar
cycles (∼22 years). In addition to its variation on year-to-year basis, the average diurnal amplitude and phase has also been
calculated by grouping the days for each solar cycle, viz. 19, 20, 21, 22, and 23. As a result of these groupings over solar
cycles, no significant change in the diurnal vectors (amplitude as well as phase) from one cycle to other has been observed.
Data were analyzed by arranging them into groups on the basis of the polarity of the solar polar magnetic field and consequently
on the basis of polarity states of the heliosphere (
A > 0 and
A < 0). Difference in time of maximum of diurnal anisotropy (shift to earlier hours) is observed during
A < 0 (1970s, 1990s) polarity states as compared to anisotropy observed during
A > 0 (1960s, 1980s). This shift in phase of diurnal anisotropy appears to be related to change in preferential entry of cosmic
ray particles (via the helioequatorial plane or via solar poles) into the heliosphere due to switch of the heliosphere from
one physical/magnetic state to another following the solar polar field reversal. 相似文献
20.
The geomagnetic Kp-index data for the 1932–1969 period have been investigated by means of a modified power spectrum technique on the basis of overlapping 2-yr intervals. The observed 27-, and 13.5-day periodicities show an obvious solar cycle dependence through the whole period concerned. Also, periodicities in the range of 9?4 days have been observed through years of minimum and decreasing phases of solar activity. The periodicities observed are found to be related to the existence of variations in the interplanetary medium structure which modulates the geomagnetic activity. 相似文献