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1.
Rockbust is a violent expulsion of rock due to the extreme release of strain energy stored in surrounding rock mass, leading to considerable damages to underground strucures and equipment, and threatening workers' safety. As the operational depth of engineering projects increases, a larger number of factors influence the mechanism of rockburst. Therefore, accurate classification of rockburst intensity cannot be achieved based on conventional criteria. It is urgent to develop new models with high accuracy and ease to implement in practice. This study proposed an ensemble machine learning method by aggregating seven individual classifiers including back propagation neural network, support vector machine, decision tree, k-nearest neighbours, logistic regression, multiple linear regression and Naïve Bayes. In addition, we proposed nine data imputation methods to replace the missing values in the compiled database including 188 rockburst instances. Five-fold cross validation and the beetle antennae search algorithm are used to tune hyperparameters and voting weights of the individual classifiers. The results show that the rockburst classification accuracy obtained by the classifier ensemble has increased by 15.4% compared with the best individual classifier on the test set. The predictor importance obtained by the classifier ensemble shows that the elastic energy index is the most sensitive input variable for rockburst intensity classification. This robust ensemble method can be extended to solve other classification problems in underground engineering projects. 相似文献
2.
A hybrid Bagging based Support Vector Machines (BSVM) method, which is a combination of Bagging Ensemble and Support Vector Machine (SVM) classifier, was proposed for the spatial prediction of landslides at the district of Mu Cang Chai, Viet Nam. In the present study, 248 past landslides and fifteen geo-environmental factors (curvature, elevation, distance to rivers, slope, aspect, river density, plan curvature, distance to faults, profile curvature, fault density, lithology, distance to roads, rainfall, land use, and road density) were considered for the model construction. Different evaluation criteria were applied to validate the proposed hybrid model such as statistical index-based methods and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The single SVM and the Naïve Bayes Trees (NBT) models were selected for comparison. Based on the AUC values, the proposed hybrid model BSVM (0.812) outperformed the SVM (0.804) and NBT (0.8) models. Thus, the BSVM is a promising and better method for landslide prediction. 相似文献
3.
L. I. Kuncheva J. J. Charles N. Miles A. Collins B. Wells I. S. Lim 《Mathematical Geosciences》2008,40(6):639-652
We develop the classification part of a system that analyses transmitted light microscope images of dispersed kerogen preparation. The system automatically extracts kerogen pieces from the image and labels each piece as either inertinite or vitrinite. The image pre-processing analysis consists of background removal, identification of kerogen material, object segmentation, object extraction (individual images of pieces of kerogen) and feature calculation for each object. An expert palynologist was asked to label the objects into categories inertinite and vitrinite, which provided the ground truth for the classification experiment. Ten state-of-the-art classifiers and classifier ensembles were compared: Naïve Bayes, decision tree, nearest neighbour, the logistic classifier, multilayered perceptron (MLP), support vector machines (SVM), AdaBoost, Bagging, LogitBoost and Random Forest. The logistic classifier was singled out as the most accurate classifier, with an accuracy greater than 90. Using a 10 times 10-fold cross-validation provided within the Weka software, we found that the logistic classifier was significantly better than five classifiers (p<0.05) and indistinguishable from the other four classifiers. The initial set of 32 features was subsequently reduced to 6 features without compromising the classification accuracy. A further evaluation of the system alerted us to the possible sensitivity of the classification to the ground truth that might vary from one human expert to another. The analysis also revealed that the logistic classifier made most of the correct classifications with a high certainty. 相似文献
4.
基于AdaBoost组合学习方法的岩爆分类预测研究 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
针对岩爆等级划分问题,考虑了岩爆灾害发生的多种主要影响因素,采用新的数据挖掘方法AdaBoost（即Adaptive Boosting）的组合学习方法,结合流行的人工神经网络BP算法,构建了集成神经网络AdaBoost-ANN（简称AB-ANN）的岩爆等级多分类预测模型。该模型克服了单一弱分类器的不稳定性,提高了分类器精度,实验结果表明,预测的结果与实际值比较吻合,证明了该方法的可行性。 相似文献
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6.
为深入探讨评价单元和非滑坡样本选取对滑坡易发性预测的影响,构建了一种基于自组织特征映射网络-随机森林模型的滑坡易发性评价模型。该模型针对栅格单元和斜坡单元在滑坡易发性评价中的不足,结合栅格单元和斜坡单元的相互关系,提出了滑坡易发性指数的优化计算方法。在此基础上,基于随机森林Tree Bagger分类器构建滑坡易发性评价模型,通过对比分析自组织特征映射网络和随机方法选取非滑坡样本对评价结果的影响,探讨自组织特征映射网络、随机森林和自组织特征映射网络-随机森林三种评价模型的有效性;将评价模型应用于大余县滑坡易发性评价。结果显示,随机森林模型和自组织特征映射网络-随机森林模型的预测精度较高,分别达到91.19%和94.94%,成功率曲线的AUC值分别为0.822和0.849,表明自组织特征映射网络-随机森林模型具有更高的预测率和成功率, 自组织特征映射网络聚类的预测精度虽然有限,但作为非滑坡样本的选择方法,能够有效提高随机森林模型的评价精度。 相似文献
7.
Alaa M. Al-Abadi 《Arabian Journal of Geosciences》2018,11(9):218
This study examined the efficacy of three machine ensemble classifiers, namely, random forest, rotation forest and AdaBoost, in assessing flood susceptibility in an arid region of southern Iraq. A dataset was created from flooded and non-flooded areas to train and validate the ensemble classifiers using a binary classification scheme (1—flood, 0—non-flood). The prepared dataset was then partitioned into two sets with a 70/30 ratio: 70% (2478 pixels) for training and 30% (1062 pixels) for testing. A total of 10 influential flood factors were selected and prepared based on data availability and a literature review. The selected factors were surface elevation, slope, plain curvature, topographic wetness index, stream power index, distance to rivers, drainage density, lithology, soil and land use/land cover. The information gain ratio was first utilised to explore the predictive abilities of the factors. The predictive performances of the three ensemble models were compared using six statistical measures: sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, kappa, root mean square error and area under the operating characteristics curve. The results revealed that the AdaBoost classifier was the best in terms of the statistical measures, followed by the random forest and rotation forest models. A flood susceptibility map was prepared based on the result of each classifier and classified into five zones: very low, low, moderate, high and very high. For the model with the best performance, i.e., the AdaBoost model, these zones were distributed over an area of 6002 km2 (44%) for the very low–low zone, 2477 km2 (18%) for the moderate zone and 5048 km2 (40%) for the high–very high zones. This study proved the high capabilities of ensemble machine learning classifiers to decipher flood susceptibility zones in an arid region. 相似文献
8.
Accurate prediction of ore grade is essential for many basic mine operations, including mine planning and design, pit optimization,
and ore grade control. Preference is given to the neural network over other interpolation techniques for ore grade estimation
because of its ability to learn any linear or non-linear relationship between inputs and outputs. In many cases, ensembles
of neural networks have been shown, both theoretically and empirically, to outperform a single network. The performance of
an ensemble model largely depends on the accuracy and diversity of member networks. In this study, techniques of a genetic
algorithm (GA) and k-means clustering are used for the ensemble neural network modeling of a lead–zinc deposit. Two types of ensemble neural network
modeling are investigated, a resampling-based neural ensemble and a parameter-based neural ensemble. The k-means clustering is used for selecting diversified ensemble members. The GA is used for improving accuracy by calculating
ensemble weights. Results are compared with average ensemble, weighted ensemble, best individual networks, and ordinary kriging
models. It is observed that the developed method works fairly well for predicting zinc grades, but shows no significant improvement
in predicting lead grades. It is also observed that, while a resampling-based neural ensemble model performs better than the
parameter-based neural ensemble model for predicting lead grades, the parameter-based ensemble model performs better for predicting
zinc grades. 相似文献
9.
基于交替迭代算法神经网络评价岩石边坡稳定性 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
目前边坡工程中常用的稳定性分析方法主要分为极限平衡法和数值分析法2大类，文章对它们各自的主要愿理、特点及其优缺点等进行了阐述。首先，根据经典边坡稳定分析方法存在的局限性，提出有必要建立基于人工神经网络的边坡稳定性预报方法。其次，针对经典算法BP网络存在的某些缺陷，提出了一种交替迭代算法神经网络，以提高其非线性映射能力和泛化能力。交替迭代神经网络算法通过解2个阶数比较低的线性代数方程组，逐步求得连接权值的。以此提高收敛速度，且有利于寻求最优解。作者用FORTRAN语言编制了程序。分析了建立边坡岩体稳定性预测网络模型的建立中应该注意的几个方面。最后，基于已有的40个岩石边坡工程实例进行所建立的神经网络的训练和边坡稳定的预报，结果表明文中所建立的边坡稳定性预报方法具有较高的预报准确度。 相似文献
10.
Binh Thai Pham Abolfazl Jaafari Tran Van Phong Hoang Phan Hai Yen Tran Thi Tuyen Vu Van Luong Huu Duy Nguyen Hiep Van Le Loke Kok Foong 《地学前缘(英文版)》2021,12(3):101105
Improving the accuracy of flood prediction and mapping is crucial for reducing damage resulting from flood events. In this study, we proposed and validated three ensemble models based on the Best First Decision Tree (BFT) and the Bagging (Bagging-BFT), Decorate (Bagging-BFT), and Random Subspace (RSS-BFT) ensemble learning techniques for an improved prediction of flood susceptibility in a spatially-explicit manner. A total number of 126 historical flood events from the Nghe An Province (Vietnam) were connected to a set of 10 flood influencing factors (slope, elevation, aspect, curvature, river density, distance from rivers, flow direction, geology, soil, and land use) for generating the training and validation datasets. The models were validated via several performance metrics that demonstrated the capability of all three ensemble models in elucidating the underlying pattern of flood occurrences within the research area and predicting the probability of future flood events. Based on the Area Under the receiver operating characteristic Curve (AUC), the ensemble Decorate-BFT model that achieved an AUC value of 0.989 was identified as the superior model over the RSS-BFT (AUC = 0.982) and Bagging-BFT (AUC = 0.967) models. A comparison between the performance of the models and the models previously reported in the literature confirmed that our ensemble models provided a reliable estimate of flood susceptibilities and their resulting susceptibility maps are trustful for flood early warning systems as well as development of mitigation plans. 相似文献
11.
Ensemble prediction methodology based on variations in physical process parameterizations in tropical cyclone track prediction has been assessed. Advanced Research Weather Research and Forecasting model with 30-km resolution was used to make 5-day simulation of the movement of Orissa super cyclone (1999), one of the most intense tropical cyclones over the North Indian Ocean. Altogether 36 ensemble members with all possible combinations of three cumulus convection, two planetary boundary layer and six cloud microphysics parameterization schemes were produced. A comparison of individual members indicated that Kain–Fritsch cumulus convection scheme, Mellor–Yamada–Janjic planetary boundary layer scheme and Purdue Lin cloud microphysics scheme showed better performance. The best possible ensemble formulation is identified based on SPREAD and root mean square error (RMSE). While the individual members had track errors ranging from 96–240 km at 24 h to 50–803 km at 120 h, most of the ensemble predictions show significant betterment with mean errors less than 130 km up to 120 h. The convection ensembles had large spread of the cluster, and boundary layer ensembles had significant error disparity, indicating their important roles in the movement of tropical cyclones. Six-member ensemble predictions with cloud microphysics schemes of LIN, WSM5, and WSM6 produce the best predictions with least of RMSE, and large SPREAD indicates the need for inclusion of all possible hydrometeors in the simulation and that six-member ensemble is sufficient to produce the best ensemble prediction of tropical cyclone tracks over Bay of Bengal. 相似文献
12.
边坡稳定性分析中,模糊点估计法能同时考虑模糊不确定性和随机不确定性因素。针对传统模糊点估计法计算工作量大的缺点,提出一种神经网络改进模糊点估计法。利用拉丁超立方抽样法和径向基函数神经网络（RBF）建立边坡安全系数的预测模型;对黏聚力和内摩擦角等模糊随机变量取λ截集,并在各截集水平对参数进行组合;利用建立的预测模型对各参数组合的安全系数进行预测;最后由统计矩点估计法计算边坡的可靠度指标。实例分析表明：改进模糊点估计法使用方便、结果可靠,且能通过增加λ截集水平的数目来提高计算精度。对于含有2～4个模糊随机变量的边坡,采用改进模糊点估计法计算可靠度时λ截集水平的数目可近似取25。 相似文献
13.
准确的滑坡易发性评价结果是滑坡风险评价的重要基础.为提升滑坡易发性评价精度,以三峡库区龙驹坝为例,选取坡度等10个因子构建滑坡易发性评价指标体系,应用频率比方法定量分析各指标与滑坡发育的关系.在此基础上,随机选取70%/30%的滑坡数据作为训练/测试样本,应用径向基神经网络和Adaboost集成学习耦合模型(RBNN-Adaboost),径向基神经网络和逻辑回归模型分别开展易发性评价.结果显示:水系距离、坡度等是滑坡发育的主控因素;RBNN-Adaboost耦合模型的预测精度最高(0.820),优于RBNN模型和LR模型的0.781和0.748.Adaboost集成算法能进一步提升模型的预测性能,所提出的耦合模型结合了两者的优点,具有更强的预测能力,是一种可靠的滑坡易发性评价模型. 相似文献
14.
为了分析边坡的稳定性,利用协调粒子群算法和BP网络建立了边坡稳定性CPSO-BP预测模型。BP网络能够很好地描述边坡稳定性与其影响因素之间复杂的非线性关系,将内摩擦角、边坡角、岩石重度、边坡高度、黏聚力、孔隙压力比6个主要影响因素作为网络的输入,将边坡稳定性系数作为网络的输出。为避免BP网络陷入局部最优,利用协调粒子群算法的全局优化能力确定BP网络的连接权值和阀值,使BP网络的优势得到分发挥,达到提高模型预测精度目的。实例表明CPSO-BP模型有更好地预测精度以及将其应用于边坡稳定性预测是可行的。 相似文献
15.
Selma Etteieb Mounir Louhaichi Chariton Kalaitzidis Ioannis Z. Gitas 《Arabian Journal of Geosciences》2013,6(12):5017-5032
Mediterranean forests are characterized by spatiotemporal heterogeneity that is associated with Mediterranean climate, floristic biodiversity and topographic variability. Satellite remote sensing can be an effective tool for characterizing and monitoring forest vegetation distribution within these fragmented Mediterranean landscapes. The heterogeneity of Mediterranean vegetation, however, often exceeds the resolution typical of most satellite sensors. Hyper-spectral remote sensing technology demonstrates the capacity for accurate vegetation identification. The objective of this research is to determine to what extent forest types can be discriminated using different image analysis techniques and spectral band combinations of Hyperion satellite imagery. This research mapped forest types using a pixel-based Spectral Angle Mapper (SAM), nearest neighbour and membership function classifiers of the object-oriented classification. Hyperion classification was done after reducing Hyperion data using nine selected band combinations. Results indicate that the selection of band combination while reducing the Hyperion dataset improves classification results for both the overall and the individual forest type accuracy, in particular for the selected optimum Hyperion band combination. One shortcoming is that the performance of the best selected band combination was superior in terms of both overall and individual forest type accuracy when applying the membership classifier of the object-oriented method compared to SAM and nearest neighbour classifiers. However, all techniques seemed to suffer from a number of problems, such as spectral similarity among forest types, overall low energy response of the Hyperion sensor, Hyperion medium spatial resolution and spatiotemporal and spectral heterogeneity of the Mediterranean ecosystem at multiple scales. 相似文献
16.
Sk Ajim Ali Farhana Parvin Jana Vojteková Romulus Costache Nguyen Thi Thuy Linh Quoc Bao Pham Matej Vojtek Ljubomir Gigović Ateeque Ahmad Mohammad Ali Ghorbani 《地学前缘(英文版)》2021,12(2):857-876
Hazards and disasters have always negative impacts on the way of life.Landslide is an overwhelming natural as well as man-made disaster that causes loss of natural resources and human properties throughout theworld.The present study aimed to assess and compare the prediction efficiency of different models in landslide susceptibility in the Kysuca river basin,Slovakia.In this regard,the fuzzy decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory combining with the analytic network process(FDEMATEL-ANP),Na?ve Bayes(NB)classifier,and random forest(RF)classifier were considered.Initially,a landslide inventory map was produced with 2000 landslide and nonlandslide points by randomly dividedwith a ratio of 70%:30%for training and testing,respectively.The geospatial database for assessing the landslide susceptibility was generated with the help of 16 landslide conditioning factors by allowing for topographical,hydrological,lithological,and land cover factors.The ReliefF methodwas considered for determining the significance of selected conditioning factors and inclusion in the model building.Consequently,the landslide susceptibility maps(LSMs)were generated using the FDEMATEL-ANP,Na?ve Bayes(NB)classifier,and random forest(RF)classifier models.Finally,the area under curve(AUC)and different arithmetic evaluation were used for validating and comparing the results and models.The results revealed that random forest(RF)classifier is a promising and optimum model for landslide susceptibility in the study area with a very high value of area under curve(AUC=0.954),lower value of mean absolute error(MAE=0.1238)and root mean square error(RMSE=0.2555),and higher value of Kappa index(K=0.8435)and overall accuracy(OAC=92.2%). 相似文献
17.
The stability problem of natural slopes, filled slopes, and cut slopes are commonly encountered in Civil Engineering Projects. Predicting the slope stability is an everyday task for geotechnical engineers. In this paper, a study has been done to predict the factor of safety (FOS) of the slopes using multiple linear regression (MLR) and artificial neural network (ANN). A total of 200 cases with different geometric and shear strength parameters were analyzed by using the well-known slope stability methods like Fellenius method, Bishop’s method, Janbu method, and Morgenstern and Price method. The FOS values obtained by these slope stability methods were used to develop the prediction models using MLR and ANN. Further, a few case studies have been done along the Jorabat-Shillong Expressway (NH-40) in India, using the finite element method (FEM). The output values of FEM were compared with the developed prediction models to find the best prediction model and the results were discussed. 相似文献
18.
Moung-Jin Lee Jae-Won Choi Hyun-Joo Oh Joong-Sun Won Inhye Park Saro Lee 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2012,67(1):23-37
Ensemble techniques were developed, applied and validated for the analysis of landslide susceptibility in Jinbu area, Korea using the geographic information system (GIS). Landslide-occurrence areas were detected in the study by interpreting aerial photographs and field survey data. Landslide locations were randomly selected in a 70/30 ratio for training and validation of the models, respectively. Topography, geology, soil and forest databases were also constructed. Maps relevant to landslide occurrence were assembled in a spatial database. Using the constructed spatial database, 17 landslide-related factors were extracted. The relationships between the detected landslide locations and the factors were identified and quantified by frequency ratio, weight of evidence, logistic regression and artificial neural network models and their ensemble models. The relationships were used as factor ratings in the overlay analysis to create landslide susceptibility indexes and maps. Then, the four landslide susceptibility maps were used as new input factors and integrated using the frequency ratio, weight of evidence, logistic regression and artificial neural network models as ensemble methods to make better susceptibility maps. All of the susceptibility maps were validated by comparison with known landslide locations that were not used directly in the analysis. As the result, the ensemble-based landslide susceptibility map that used the new landslide-related input factor maps showed better accuracy (87.11% in frequency ratio, 83.14% in weight of evidence, 87.79% in logistic regression and 84.54% in artificial neural network) than the individual landslide susceptibility maps (84.94% in frequency ratio, 82.82% in weight of evidence, 87.72% in logistic regression and 81.44% in artificial neural network). All accuracy assessments showed overall satisfactory agreement of more than 80%. The ensemble model was found to be more effective in terms of prediction accuracy than the individual model. 相似文献
19.
《地学前缘(英文版)》2021,12(5)
The groundwater potential map is an important tool for a sustainable water management and land use planning,particularly for agricultural countries like Vietnam. In this article, we proposed new machine learning ensemble techniques namely Ada Boost ensemble(ABLWL), Bagging ensemble(BLWL), Multi Boost ensemble(MBLWL),Rotation Forest ensemble(RFLWL) with Locally Weighted Learning(LWL) algorithm as a base classifier to build the groundwater potential map of Gia Lai province in Vietnam. For this study, eleven conditioning factors(aspect, altitude, curvature, slope, Stream Transport Index(STI), Topographic Wetness Index(TWI), soil, geology,river density, rainfall, land-use) and 134 wells yield data was used to create training(70%) and testing(30%)datasets for the development and validation of the models. Several statistical indices were used namely Positive Predictive Value(PPV), Negative Predictive Value(NPV), Sensitivity(SST), Specificity(SPF), Accuracy(ACC),Kappa, and Receiver Operating Characteristics(ROC) curve to validate and compare performance of models. Results show that performance of all the models is good to very good(AUC: 0.75 to 0.829) but the ABLWL model with AUC = 0.89 is the best. All the models applied in this study can support decision-makers to streamline the management of the groundwater and to develop economy not only of specific territories but also in other regions across the world with minor changes of the input parameters. 相似文献
20.
滑坡灾害持续影响着人民生命财产安全和地区社会经济可持续发展,滑坡危险性评价能够为防灾减灾和区域规划提供有效的理论依据。以福建省南平市为研究区,区内1711个历史滑坡灾害点,选择高程、坡度、坡向、曲率、地质岩性、土壤类型、降雨、水系、土地利用类型、公路和铁路共11个影响因子构成基本评价体系。使用Spearman相关系数对各因子进行共线性分析。基于1711个滑坡样本和1711个随机选取的非滑坡样本数据,利用人工神经网络模型对研究区进行了滑坡危险性评价,并利用混淆矩阵和接收者操作特征曲线（ROC）对模型进行验证。结果表明:混淆矩阵精度84.91%,ROC曲线下面积AUC值0.93,说明模型具有较高精度和预测率。使用自然间断法将滑坡危险性分为5个等级,结果表明研究区内危险性最高地区位于延平区和浦城县,顺昌县和松溪县次之,其余地区多为低危险区和较低危险区。研究结果可为当地区域规划和防灾减灾工程提供一定的理论依据和科学指导。 相似文献