共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 875 毫秒
1.
Robert M. Wilson 《Solar physics》1987,112(1):1-15
It has been proposed that the observed solar neutrino flux exhibits important correlations with solar particles, galactic cosmic rays, and the sunspot cycle, with the latter correlation being opposite in phase and lagging behind the sunspot cycle by about one year. Re-examination of the data-available interval 1971–1981, employing various tests of statistical significance, however, suggests that such a claim is, at present, unwarrantable. For example, on the associations of solar neutrino flux and cosmic-ray flux with the Ap geomagnetic index, neither were found to be statistically significant (at the 95% level of confidence), regardless of the choice of lag (-1, 0, or +1 yr). Presuming linear fits, all correlations with Ap had coefficients of determination (r
2, where r is the linear correlation coefficient) less than 16%, meaning that 16% of the variation in the selected test parameters could be explained by the variation in Ap. Similarly, on the associations of solar neutrino flux and cosmic ray flux with sunspot number, only the latter association proved to be of statistical importance. Using the best linear fits, the correlation between yearly averages of solar neutrino flux and sunspot number had r
2 19%, the correlation between weighted moving averages (of order 5) of solar neutrino flux and sunspot number had r
2 45%, and the correlation between cosmic-ray flux and sunspot number had r
2 76%, all correlations being inverse associations. Solar neutrino flux was found not to correlate strongly with cosmic-ray flux, and the Ap geomagnetic index was found not to correlate strongly with sunspot number. 相似文献
2.
The sidereal rotation rate of the high-latitude solar regions is examined using long-lived photospheric polar faculae. The observations were carried out with the photoheliograph of Kislovodsk Mountain Station of the Pulkovo Observatory from 1982 to 1986. The following facts have been established: (a) There is a differential rotation of the polar faculae close to the maximum of solar activity, while the amount of latitude gradient of solar rotation decreases towards the sunspot minimum; (b) small differences of rotation in the northern and southern hemispheres of the Sun are observed; (c) some deviations of differential rotation curves constructed for each Carrington rotation from the mean curve of differential rotation are revealed. The total amplitude of the maximum positive and negative excesses is about 40–50 m s–1. The positive surplus velocities of solar rotation (the amplitude of which is about 20–25 m s–1) move in the form of a wave from heliographic latitudes 40° with a velocity of 1.6 m s–1. The latitude width of this flow is B 15°. This wave of abnormally high velocity starts in the year of minimum solar activity and reaches the pole 11 years later. The picture is symmetrical relative to the equator. 相似文献
3.
V. Letfus 《Solar physics》1994,149(2):405-411
Presuming a bimodal behaviour of even-odd solar cycle pairs (i.e., four modes designated asA, B, C, andD), we predict the amplitude of solar cycle 23. The bimodal properties include the dependence of maximum relative sunspot number (RM) on cycle rise time (TR) separately for odd-following and even cycles (both in two split modes), and the dependencies of odd-following on even cycles separately for cycle rise times and maximum relative sunspot numbers (each also split into two mode pairs). The procedure was first to identify the proper mode for cycle 22 (modeA), which then explicitly defines the mode for cycle 23 (modeC). The presumed mode-inherent relations were then used to estimate the rise time for cycle 23 (3.7 0.5 yr) and its maximum amplitude (195.1 17.1). A second estimate of maximum amplitude, based directly on a presumed mode-inherent relation between maximum amplitudes for even and odd cycle pairs, yields a somewhat lower value (181.3 44.3). Thus, the results of this analysis supports previous findings that cycle 23 may be one of the largest amplitude cycles ever observed. 相似文献
4.
Periodicities of solar irradiance and solar activity indices,I 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Using a standard FFT time series analysis, our results show an 8–11 months periodicity in the solar total and UV irradiances, 10.7 cm radio flux, Ca-K plage index, and sunspot blocking function. The physical origin of this period is not known, but the evidence in the results exclude the possibility that the observed period is a harmonic due to the FFT transform or detrending. Periods at 150–157 and 51 days are found in those solar data which are related to strong magnetic fields. The 51-day period is the dominant period in the projected areas of developing complex sunspot groups, but it is missing from the old decaying sunspot areas. This evidence suggests that the 51-day period is related to the emergence of new magnetic fields. A strong 13.5-day period is found in the total irradiance and projected areas of developing complex groups. This confirms those results (e.g., Donnelly et al., 1983, 1984; Bai, 1987, 1989) which show that active centers are located 180 deg apart from each other.Our study also shows that the modulation of various solar data due to the 27-day solar rotation is more pronounced during the declining portion of solar cycle than during the rising portion. This arises from that the active regions and their magnetic fields are better organized and more long-lived during the maximum and declining portion of solar cycle than during its rising portion. 相似文献
5.
Solar proton events have been studied for over thirty years and a great deal of lore has grown around them. It is the purpose of this paper to test some of this lore against the actual data. Data on solar proton events now exist for the period from 1956 to 1985 during which time 140 events took place in which the event integrated fluxes for protons of energy > 30 MeV was larger than 105 particles cm-2. We have studied statistical properties of event integrated fluxes for particles with energy > 10 MeV and for particles with energy > 30 MeV. Earlier studies based on a single solar cycle had resulted in a sharp division of events into ordinary and anomalously large events.Two such entirely separate distributions imply two entirely separate acceleration mechanisms, one common and the other very rare. We find that the sharp division is neither required nor justified by this larger sample. Instead the event intensity forms a smooth distribution for intensities up to the largest observed implying that any second acceleration mechanism cannot be rare. We have also studied the relation of event sizes to the sunspot number and the solar cycle phase. We find a clear bimodal variation of annual integrated flux with solar cycle phase but no statistically significant tendency for the large events to avoid sunspot maximum. We show there is almost no relation between the maximum sunspot number in a solar cycle and the solar cycle integrated flux. We also find that for annual sunspot numbers greater than 35 (i.e., non-minimum solar cycle conditions) there is no relation whatsoever between the annual sunspot numbers and annual integrated flux. 相似文献
6.
We revised relative sunspot numbers in the time interval 1700–1748 for which Wolf derived their annual means. The frequency of daily observations, counting simultaneously the number of sunspots and the number of sunspot groups necessary for determinating Wolf's relative sunspot numbers, is in this time interval very low and covers, on average, 4.8% of the number of all days only. There also exist incomplete observations not convenient to determine relative sunspot numbers. To enlarge the number of daily relative sunspot numbers we used the nonlinear, two-step interpolation method derived earlier by Letfus (1996, 1999). After interpolation, the mean value increased to 13.8%. Waldmeier (1968) found that the scaling factor k can be derived directly from the observed number of spots f and from the number of sunspot groups g. From the observations made at Zürich (Wolf and his assistants, Wolfer), at Peckeloh, and at Moncalieri during the years 1861–1928, we derived a new, more correct empirical relation. The resulting annual relative sunspot numbers are given in Table II. However, only for 26 years (53.0%) from the total number of 49 years was it possible to derive annual relative sunspot numbers. The observations were missing for the other years. This corresponds with results of Wolf, which gives the annual relative sunspot numbers for all 49 years. For the years when the data were missing, he marked these values as interpolated or very uncertain ones. Most of the observations originate from two data series (Kirch, Plantade), for which Wolf derived a higher scaling factor (k=2.0) than followed from the newly derived relation (k=1.40). The investigated time interval covers four solar cycles. After our results, the height of the first cycle (No. –4), given by Wolf, should be lowered by about two-thirds, the following two cycles (Nos. –3 and –2) lowered by one-third, as given by Wolf, and only the height of the fourth one (No. –1) should be unchanged. The activity levels of the cycles, as represented by group sunspot numbers, are lower by about one-fourth and, in the case of the first one (No. –4) even by two-thirds of the levels derived by us. The group sunspot numbers, derived from a much greater number of observations, have also greater credibility than other estimates. The shapes of the cycles, as given by Wolf, can be considered only as their more or less idealized form. 相似文献
7.
Martin F. Woodard 《Solar physics》1988,114(1):21-28
A study of the solar total irradiance data of the Active Cavity Radiometer Irradiance Monitor (ACRIM) on the Solar Maximum Mission (SMM) satellite shows a small but formally significant shift in the frequencies of solar acoustic (p-mode) oscillations between the epochs of maximum and minimum solar activity. Specifically, the mean frequency of the strongest p-mode resonances of low spherical-harmonic degree (l = 0–2) is approximately 1.3 parts in 104 higher in 1980, near the time of sunspot maximum, than in 1985, near sunspot minimum. The observed frequency shift may be an 11-yr effect but the precise mechanism is not clear. 相似文献
8.
The expansion of the solar wind in divergent flux tubes is calculated by taking into account a magnetic acceleration of the particles, analogous to the magnetic mirror effect.The resulting force term included in the magnetohydrodynamical equations describes a conversion of thermal into kinetic energy. This causes an additional acceleration of the solar wind plasma which has never been taken into account before. The force is directed opposite to the magnetic field gradient. Consequently, in this case the solar wind velocity increases faster to its asymptotic value than it does for corresponding nonmagnetic solutions. Therefore inside and close to the solar corona markedly higher velocities are found. Compared to strictly hydrodynamical models, the critical point is shifted towards the Sun, and the radial decrease of the ratio of thermal to kinetic energy is faster.The necessary prerequisites for these calculations are (a) that the gyroperoid
g
of the plasma particles is much shorter than the Coulomb collision time
c
, and (b) that the collision time
c
is shorter than the characteristic time
d
in which an appreciable amount of thermal anisotropy is built up. Thus it is (a) insured that the particles have established magnetic moments and follow the guiding center approximation, and (b) an almost isotropic velocity distribution function is maintained which, in this first approximation of a purely radial expansion, justifies the use of isotropic pressures and temperatures.Both (a) and (b) are shown to be fulfilled in a region around the Sun out to about 20R
, and thermal anisotropies developing outside of this region could explain the observed magnetically aligned anisotropies at 1 AU. 相似文献
9.
Plasma data from Pioneers 6–7 and from a variety of satellites operating near the Earth are used to investigate the heliographic latitude dependence of the solar wind bulk speed near the sunspot maximum. No evidence is found for a latitude effect: the latitudinal gradient, if any, turns out to be 2 km (sec degree)–1, to be compared with the gradient of 10 km (sec degree)–1 observed in periods of low or moderate solar activity. 相似文献
10.
Hongqi Zhang 《Solar physics》1994,154(2):207-214
A set of H chromospheric magnetograms at various wavelengths near the line center, chromospheric Dopplergrams, and photospheric vector magnetograms of a unipolar sunspot region near the solar limb were obtained with the vector video magnetograph at the Huairou Solar Observing Station. The superpenumbral chromospheric magnetic field is almost parallel to the surface at the outside of the sunspot penumbra, where the magnetic lines of force are mainly concentrated in the superpenumbral filaments. In the gaps between the filaments the chromospheric horizontal field is weak. 相似文献
11.
A few prediction methods have been developed based on the precursor technique which is found to be successful for forecasting
the solar activity. Considering the geomagnetic activity aa indices during the descending phase of the preceding solar cycle as the precursor, we predict the maximum amplitude of annual
mean sunspot number in cycle 24 to be 111 ± 21. This suggests that the maximum amplitude of the upcoming cycle 24 will be
less than cycles 21–22. Further, we have estimated the annual mean geomagnetic activity aa index for the solar maximum year in cycle 24 to be 20.6 ± 4.7 and the average of the annual mean sunspot number during the
descending phase of cycle 24 is estimated to be 48 ± 16.8. 相似文献
12.
Saken Obashevich Obashev Rimma Khaliullovna Gainullina Tamara Mikhajlovna Minasyants Gennadij Sergeevich Minasyants 《Solar physics》1982,78(1):59-66
The Wilson effect, used before only as a method of determining the physical depression of sunspots, is used here to estimate a quite different parameter - the sunspot symmetry axis inclination angle to the solar surface, this explains the observed negative Wilson effect.On the basis of photoheliograms taken with three telescopes of the High-Altitude Solar observatory Peak Alma-Ata, the Wilson effect for the whole solar disk is investigated, the east and west parts of the disk being studied separately. 111 sunspots of regular shape at different heliocentric angles were measured, eight of them being under observations from one limb to the other. To study the dependence of the Wilson effect on the heliocentric angle, all observations within an angular interval of 10° were averaged. The dependence thus derived is described by two sinusoids having the zero point shifted along both axes. The shift of the zero Wilson effect to the west, i.e., a shift along the heliocentric angle axis, can be caused by the deviation of the sunspot axis to the east from the normal to the solar surface. On the line of sight-normal plane the angle corresponding to this deviation is =34°±14°. 相似文献
13.
R. P. Kane 《Solar physics》1987,108(2):415-416
Using an earlier correlation analysis between the annual sunspot numbers at sunspot maximum epochs and the minimum annual aa index in the immediately preceding years, the minimum annual aa index (21.6) during 1985–86 implies a maximum annual sunspot number of about 190±40 in the coming solar maximum epoch, in about 1988–89. 相似文献
14.
Measurements of the Nimbus-7 and Solar Maximum Mission satellites reported temporary large decreases of the solar constant of the order of a few tenths of a percent on a time-scale from days to weeks. Our investigations show that these decreases were caused by active sunspot groups with fast development and complex structure. This connection between the solar constant variation and the appearance of the active groups seems to be more clear in the maximum of the solar activity. At the time of the solar minimum, mainly in the second part of 1984, there were not any active sunspot groups practically on the solar disk, the value of the solar constant only fluctuated around its mean without large variation. The results of time series analyses show that the periodicity of the solar constant values, of young and active spot areas was nearly 23.5 days in 1980, which increases to 28 days towards the minimum of the solar cycle till 1983. During this time interval the main periodicity of the old, passive spot areas was around 28 days. In 1984, at the time of the solar minimum, there were not any obvious periodicities practically in the projected areas of the different types of the sunspot groups. 相似文献
15.
Verdes P.F. Parodi M.A. Granitto P.M. Navone H.D. Piacentini R.D. Ceccatto H.A. 《Solar physics》2000,191(2):419-425
Two nonlinear methods are employed for the prediction of the maximum amplitude for solar cycle 23 and its declining behavior. First, a new heuristic method based on the second derivative of the (conveniently smoothed) sunspot data is proposed. The curvature of the smoothed sunspot data at cycle minimum appears to correlate (R 0.92) with the cycle's later-occurring maximum amplitude. Secondly, in order to predict the near-maximum and declining activity of solar cycle 23, a neural network analysis of the annual mean sunspot time series is also performed. The results of the present study are then compared with some other recent predictions. 相似文献
16.
Gu Zhennian 《Earth, Moon, and Planets》1990,48(3):189-195
In this paper, applying Vondrák band filter to both series of (l.o.d.) and sunspot relative number (R), we obtain variations of amplitude of 11 yr term during 1800–1985. The results show that solar cyclic signal in (l.o.d.) series is weak and unstable. The amplitude of 11 yr term in R series has long-periodic variation. The paper has briefly discussed some results about effects of solar activity on the Earth's rotation through the atmospheric motion. From the variation of (l.o.d.) obtained by band filter, we find that maxima of amplitude of annual term in (l.o.d.) occur at the same time with those of sunspot number. It implies that the angular momentum imbalance between the circulations in Southern Hemisphere and Northern Hemisphere is controlled in some way by solar activity. 相似文献
17.
S. I. Akasofu 《Solar physics》1981,71(1):175-199
It is shown that major geomagnetic storms (¦Dst¦ > 100) tend to develop at about the time of the passage of the solar current sheet or disk at the location of the Earth, provided this passage is associated with (1) a large impulsive increase of the IMF magnitude B, (2) a negative value of the IMF angle (Theta), and (3) an increasing solar wind speed. The passage occurs in association with the 27-day rotation of the warped current disk or a temporal up-down movement of the latter. The period in which ¦Dst¦/t< 0 during major storms coincides approximately with the period when the solar windmagnetosphere energy coupling function becomes 1019 erg s–1. These conclusions do not depend on the phase of the sunspot cycle.These results may be interpreted as follows: A high speed solar wind flow, originating either from flare regions or coronal holes, tends to push the solar current disk to move upward or downward for either a brief period (1 3 days) or an extended period (2 weeks). A relatively thin region of a large IMF B > 10 is often present near the moving current disk. Waves are also generated on the moving current disk, and some of them cause large changes of . A high value of is found in the region of a large IMF B near the wavy solar current disk, where has a large negative value. 相似文献
18.
Shinichi Watari 《Solar physics》1996,163(2):371-381
The fractal dimensions of solar radio fluxes at 245, 410, 610, 1415, 2695, 2800, 4995, 8800, and 15400 MHz are calculated for the data period 1976–1990. The fractal dimension used here is an index to quantify the time variability of radio emission. The fractal dimensions were found to have values in the range of 1.2–2.0 for time scales of 10 days, 1–10 months, and 10 months. The lowest values were found around 3 GHz. The annual variations of fractal dimensions are small and are not in concert with the solar cycle for most of the fractal dimension at the analyzed frequencies except those for 4995 and 8800 MHz. The annual variations of the fractal dimensions are similar for the sunspot number and radio emission around 3 GHz; this implies a close relation between them. According to a simulation, larger fractal dimensions correspond to shorter e-folding time constants in the distribution of radio-source lifetimes. 相似文献
19.
ACRIM data have been analyzed to study the time profiles of simple irradiance dips caused by single active regions. Comparison of the average characteristics of the dips appearing in the minimum and maximum of the solar cycle shows that there are no significant differences. In both periods we disclosed the facular irradiance excess in the profile wings having typical duration of two to three days and an amplitude of about 20% of the dip amplitude. The profiles were asymmetric, with a stronger and longer excess in the trailing wing. We determined an average profile which was attributed to an idealized active region, and we calculated the luminosity perturbation caused by it. Excess radiation in the wings of the profile compensates about 1/3 of the deficit in the dip. In the most simple case from our sample we compared the profile based on ACRIM measurements and the proxy profile estimated using sunspot and plage areas published in Solar Geophysical Data catalogues. The comparison indicates that the facular excess was compensating instantaneously about 2/3 of the luminosity deficit caused by sunspots. 相似文献
20.
P. K. Manoharan 《Solar physics》1993,148(1):153-167
Interplanetary Scintillation (IPS) measurements obtained from a large number of compact radio sources (nearly 150 sources) distributed over the heliocentric distance range 15–175 solar radii (R() and heliographic latitude 75° N-75° S have been used to study the global three-dimensional density distribution of the solar wind plasma. Contours of constant electron-density fluctuations (N
e) in the heliospheric plasma obtained for both the solar minimum and maximum show a strong solar latitude dependence. During low solar activity, the equatorial density-fluctuation value decreases away from the equator towards higher latitudes and is reduced by 2.5 times at the poles; the level of turbulence is reduced by a factor of 7; the solar-wind mass flux density at the poles is 25% lower than the equatorial value. However, during high solar activity, the average distribution of density fluctuations becomes spherically symmetric. In the ecliptic, the variation of N
e with the heliocentric distance follows a power law of the formR
–2.2 and it does not show any change with solar activity. 相似文献