共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 93 毫秒
1.
Tropical monsoon circulations exhibit substantial interannual variability. Establishing clear links between this variability and the slowly varying boundary forcing (sea surface temperatures, SSTs, and land surface conditions) has proved difficult. For example, no clear relationships have been found between SST anomalies associated with El Nino/La Nina events and monsoon rainfall. Despite much research over the past 50 years, there are still questions regarding how different components of the land-atmosphere-ocean system contribute to tropical monsoon variability. This study examines the question of land-surface-atmosphere interactions in large-scale tropical convection and their role in rainfall interannual variability. The analysis method is based on a conceptual model of convection energetics applied every day of the simulation at the grid points within the region of interest. This allows for a distinction between the frequency and the characteristic energy and water cycle of these events. With two ensembles of five and three experiments in which different land-surface schemes are used, the relation between land-surface processes and variation of the frequency of convection is studied. It has been found in this modeling study that the formulation of land surface schemes may be important for both the simulation of mean tropical precipitation and its interannual variability by way of the frequency of convective events. Linked to this is an increased response of hydrological cycle over land to SSTAs. Numerous studies have suggested that large-scale factors, such as SST, are the dominant control. However the influence of surface processes depends on the areal extent and distance that separates the region from the ocean. The fact that differences between tropical regions decreases as convection intensifies strengthens this hypothesis. The conclusion is that it is inappropriate to separate the causes of interannual variability between SSTAs and land-surface anomalies to explain precipitation variations as land surface processes play a significant mediating role in the relationship between SSTs and monsoon strength. However there remains the possibility that a substantial portion of variability is due to dynamical processes internal to the atmosphere. Determining the relative roles of internal and lower boundary forcing processes in producing interannual variations in the tropical climate is a major objective of future research. 相似文献
2.
Regional climate models, such as RegCM3, generally show large biases in the simulation of western North Pacific (WNP) summer monsoon (WNPSM). In this study, the authors improved the simulation of WNPSM by applying the convection suppression criterion based on the averaged relative humidity from cloud base to cloud top. The simulated rainfall and monsoon circulation are significantly improved. The suppressed convective heating associated with the decrease in convective rainfall simulates a low-level anomalous anticyclone to its north. The anomalous anticyclone reduces the intensity of low-level southwesterly flow and the wind speed at 10 m. The reduction in wind speed at 10 m decreases the evaporation at sea surface. The less supply of water vapor from underlying ocean in turn favors less convective rainfall. The overestimation of simulated convective percentages and the cold bias of 2 m air temperature are also reduced. The different effects of convection suppression criterion in stand-alone RegCM3 and corresponding regional air–sea coupled model are also discussed. 相似文献
3.
NATURE OF PRECIPITATION AND ACTIVITY OF CUMULUS CONVECTION DURING THE 1991 MEIYU SEASON OF CHANGJIANG-HUAIHE RIVER BASIN 
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下载免费PDF全文 Seasonal variability regarding the nature of precipitation and the activity of cumulus convectionduring the 1991 Meiyu season of Changjiang-Huaihe River Basin(Jianghuai)has been investigatedby calculating apparent heat source/apparent moisture sink and analyzing TBB(cloud-topblackbody radiation temperature)data.It is found that three periods of strong ascending motionduring the Meiyu season lead to three episodes of heavy rain,and the latent heat due to theprecipitation is of the sole heat source of the atmosphere.The nature of precipitation showsdistinct seasonal variability,from frontal precipitation of the first episode to the extremely strongconvective precipitation of the third episode.TBB field of East Asia may well reflect not only theintensity of convection and rainfall,but also the movement of rain belt and convection belt.In thewhole Meiyu season.convection belt mainly stays in Jianghuai.but may shift within the domain ofEast Asia.Its locating in Jianghuai or not determines the maintenance or break of Meiyu.In thethird episode,the narrow convection belt over Jianghuai is mainly caused by southwest monsoonwhich takes moist and convective atmosphere from tropical ocean. 相似文献
4.
Seasonal variability regarding the nature of precipitation and the activity of cumulus convection during the 1991 Meiyu season of Changjiang-Huaihe River Basin(Jianghuai)has been investigated by calculating apparent heat source/apparent moisture sink and analyzing TBB(cloud-top blackody radiation temperature)data.It is found that three periods of strong ascending motion during the Meiyu season lead to three episodes of heavy rain,and the latent heat due to the precipitation is of the sole heat source of the atmosphere.The nature of precipitation shows distinct seasonal variability,from frontal precipitation of the first episode to the extremely strong convective precipitation of the third episode.TBB field of East Asia may well reflect not only the intensity of convection and rainfall,but also the movement of rain belt and convection belt.In the whole Meiyu season.convection belt mainly stays in Jianghuai.but may shift within the domain of East Asia.Its locating in Jianghuai or not determines the maintenance or break of Meiyu.In the third episode,the narrow convection belt over Jianghuai is mainly caused by southwest monsoon which takes moist and convective atmosphere from tropical ocean. 相似文献
5.
K. Alapaty S. Raman R. V. Madala U. C. Mohanty 《Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics》1994,53(1-2):33-49
Summary Two numerical experiments are performed using a nested grid regional model to study the performance of the Kuo and the Betts-Miller cumulus parameterization schemes in simulating the rainfall during an active monsoon period. Results indicate that the monsoon circulation features, such as the Somali jet and monsoon depression are better simulated with the Kuo scheme. With the Kuo scheme, predicted intensity and associated rainfall of the monsoon depression are in good agreement with the observations. Uncertainty in the adjustment parameters in the Betts-Miller scheme appears to have lead to the poor prediction of rainfall. Also, the Betts-Miller scheme showed considerable sensitivity to the convergence in the lower troposphere in the initial conditions over the Arabian Sea, leading to a prediction of a spurious intense tropical cyclone. This cyclone replaced the normal heat-low over the desert region. Rainfall distribution and its maximum along the west coast of India were predicted better with the Kuo scheme. Area-averaged convective heating rates indicated that the cumulus convection is deeper and more intense with the Kuo scheme. Also, area averaged evaporation rates far exceeded the rainfall rates with the Betts-Miller scheme while with the Kuo scheme these rates are in balance after the spinup period. Forecast erros in the zonally averaged specific humidities indicate that the model atmosphere is more humid with the Betts-Miller scheme.With 14 Figures 相似文献
6.
7.
Summary During most El-Ni?o events the Indian summer monsoon rainfall has been below normal. El-Ni?o that occurred during 1997 was
one of the strongest in the 20th century, but did not have an adverse impact on the Indian summer monsoon rainfall in 1997.
This is despite the fact that most parameters observed in May 1997 suggested that the Indian summer monsoon rainfall may be
below normal. This intriguing feature of the 1997 Indian summer monsoon rainfall has been examined by studying the evolution
of various parameters from May to August. The behavior of the 1997 monsoon is related to its evolution during June and July,
with westward migration of cloudbands from West Pacific that increased convection over Bay of Bengal. We find that there exists
a significant correlation between convective activity over Bay of Bengal and winds over the Arabian Sea with the latter lagging
convection over Bay of Bengal by about three days. The convective activity over Bay of Bengal induces stronger winds over
the Arabian Sea and this in turn enhances advection of moisture into the Indian landmass and leads to increased precipitable
water and strength of the monsoon. Using a simple thermodynamic model we show that increased precipitable water during July
leads to increased rainfall. A similar behavior has also been noticed during the 1983 monsoon, with precursors indicating
a possible poor monsoon but subsequent events changed the course of the monsoon.
Received May 21, 2001 Revised October 10, 2001 相似文献
8.
Summary Intraseasonal variation of tropical convergence zones (TCZ) is studied focussing on the three major features of the TCZ over the Indian longitudes during the summer monsoon viz. (i) the oscillation between active and weak spells, (ii) the occurrence of two favourable zones — one over the equatorial oceans and another over the heated continent and (iii) poleward propagations of the oceanic TCZ onto the heated continent. An observational study of the intraseasonal variation over different parts of the tropics has shown that the first feature may be an ubiquitous feature of the TCZ variations, the second occurs only over the Asian summer and winter monsoon zones, and the third only over the Asian summer monsoon. Analysis of a simple monsoon model has revealed that poleward propagation occurs in the presence of a meridional surface temperature gradient because the convective heating is asymmetric, with more heating on the poleward side. Preliminary analysis of the T-21 version of the ECMWF model has shown that it is capable of simulating the three major features of the intraseasonal variation of the TCZ over the Indian longitudes during the summer monsoon.With 16 Figures 相似文献
9.
基于ECMWF客观分析资料，本文分析了１９８３／19８４和１９８６／19８７两个典型年份冬季东亚地区季内低频域中热带内外地区的季风环流、热带对流及低频波能之间的相互作用特征，强调了东亚冬季风对于这种相互影响的重要激发作用，同时指出热带地区积云对流可以是联系季内热带内外地区相互作用的一种重要的衔接因子。 相似文献
10.
This research is supported by the Research Grants Council of the University Grants Committee of Hong Kong Grant . C. H. So Johnny C. L. Chan Department of Physics Materials Science City University of Hong Kong 《大气科学进展》1997,(2)
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11.
Summary Convection, a sub-gridscale process, is coupled to the gridscale motions via the averaged budget equations. In this study atmospheric convection is represented by the vertical eddy flux of equivalent temperature, referred to asconvective flux. It is demonstrated with a thermodynamic diagnostic model for an atmospheric column (DIAMOD) that the convective flux can, with tolerable error, be diagnosed from daily global gridscale analyses. These yield the gridscale budget of equivalent temperature. The budget is the observable quantity, it is in balance with the unobservable convective flux. We reproduce the known result that in convectively active atmospheric columns the budget is negative in lower and positive in upper layers. The corresponding vertical mean slope of the budget controls the convective strength; the slope is strongly negative for deep convection.In the global mean column the convective flux converges upward throughout the entire atmosphere. In actual convective situations, however, the flux diverges in lower layers, reaches highest intensity somewhere between 700–500 hPa and converges in the upper atmosphere. We find maximum fluxes around 600 W/m2 in individual tropical columns and extreme fluxes exceeding 1000 W/m2 in midlatitude columns. In the monthly mean however, the convective flux is clearly larger in the tropics; it also reaches to significantly higher levels in the tropics than in midlatitudes. While these qualitative results are invariant against using both routine analysis and reanalysis data from different sources (ECMWF and NCEP) our results change quantitatively when changing the data sources. We attribute this effect to differences in the sub-gridscale parameterization implicit in the objective data assimilation of the weather centres which are not completely removed by the incoming observation data in the final analyses.With 12 Figures 相似文献
12.
This paper presents an observational study of the physical processes responsible for the inactive period (break) of the summer monsoon over South China (SC). The break of the monsoon is defined by using the rainfall data over Hong Kong Meteorological parameters provided by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) for the period 1985-1990 are examined. Daily values of each parameter for the six years are then composited each day for the period of 5 days before to 1 day after the break. It is found that several days before the break, changes opposite to those occurred during the onset and active periods begin to take place. This suggests that a feedback mechanism is present which tends to restore the atmosphere to a more stable state. This mechanism may be initiated by the formation of convective clouds during the onset and active periods. These clouds then reduce the solar radiation to the ground, leading to a gradual drop in the temperature. This drop, together with the cooling of the atmosphere due to the large amounts of rainfall, causes the pressure over the SC region to become higher, which in turn induces a westward extension of the subtropical ridge. The decrease in temperature over SC may also shift the location of the heat source to the west, which leads to a concomitant westward shift of the convergence of the southerlies and results in less moisture-laden air reaching the SC region. The atmosphere then becomes unfavourable for heavy convection and therefore a break starts. 相似文献
13.
14.
Jian Sheng 《Climate Dynamics》1995,12(2):125-140
The Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) simulated by the Canadian Climate Centre general circulation model (CCC GCM) is identified
by a principal oscillation pattern (POP) analysis and compared with that observed in the real atmosphere. The results are
based upon two integrations of the CCC GCM, one with a parameterization of penetrative cumulus convection (EXP1) and the other
with a moist convective adjustment scheme (EXP2). The signal of MJO can be detected in both integrations as the first POP
of the 200 hPa velocity potential along the equator. The disturbances show a distinctive wave number one structure with the
strongest local amplitude found in the longitudes corresponding to the region of the Asian monsoon. The phase speed of the
eastward wave propagation is higher in the eastern Pacific and lower in the monsoon region where the convective activities
are strongest. These features are in good agreement with the observations. The energy spectrum of the velocity potential peaks
at the frequency corresponding to a period of about 38 days for EXP1, which is somewhat shorter compared to the observed periods
of 40–50 days. On the other hand, two spectral peaks can be clearly identified for EXP2, one with a period of 24 days and
the other with a much longer period, somewhere near 112 days. Both peaks appear statistically significant at 95% level. Long
term data of the observed atmosphere show little indication of such spectral separation. The horizontal patterns identified
by the POP analysis resemble to some extent the baroclinic response of tropical flow to a heat source travelling with the
speed of MJO. At the upper level, Rossby wave energy propagates westward with winds generally following the height contours,
whereas Kelvin wave energy propagates to the east from the heat source with strong cross-contour flow near the equator. At
the lower level, the patterns are essentially reversed. The model-generated precipitation and diabatic heating are examined
by compositing against the moving MJO. It is found in EXP2 that the composite heating distribution is coherent with the flow
pattern only in a certain sector of the equator, depending on whether the fast or slow mode is used to determine the reference
point. The composite vertical heating profile of a slower mode tends to have a maximum found at a lower level. The sensitivity
of simulated MJO to the cumulus convection scheme in the model is discussed.
Received: 19 December 1994 / Accepted: 11 July 1995 相似文献
15.
Absorption of solar radiation within the thermal molecular sublayer of the ocean can modify the temperature difference across the cool skin as well as the air-sea gas transfer. Our model of renewal type is based on the assumption that the thermal and diffusive molecular sublayers below the ocean surface undergo cyclic growth and destruction, the heat and gas transfer between the successive burst events are performed by molecular diffusion. The model has been upgraded to include heating due to solar radiation. The renewal time is parameterized as a function of the surface Richardson number and the Keulegan number. A Rayleigh number criterion characterizes the convective instability of the cool skin under solar heating. Under low wind speed conditions, the solar heating can damp the convective instability, strongly increasing the renewal time and correspondingly decreasing the interfacial gas exchange. In the ocean, an additional convective instability caused by salinity flux due to evaporation becomes of importance in such cases. The new parameterization is compared with the cool skin data obtained in the western equatorial Pacific during the Tropical Ocean Global Atmosphere Coupled Ocean Atmosphere Response Experiment in February 1993. In combination with a model of the diurnal thermocline it describes main features of the field data both in nighttime and daytime. Under low wind speed conditions (< 5 m s-1) diurnal variations of the sea surface temperature due to the formation of a diurnal thermocline were substantially larger than those across the cool skin. Under wind speeds > 5 m s-1, diurnal variations of the surface temperature due to the variations of the thermal molecular sublayer become more important. 相似文献
16.
Despite recent advances in supercomputing, current general circulation models (GCMs) have significant problems in representing the variability associated with organized tropical convection. Furthermore, due to high sensitivity of the simulations to the cloud radiation feedback, the tropical convection remains a major source of uncertainty in long-term weather and climate forecasts. In a series of recent studies, it has been shown, in paradigm two-baroclinic-mode systems and in aquaplanet GCMs, that a stochastic multicloud convective parameterization based on three cloud types (congestus, deep and stratiform) can be used to improve the variability and the dynamical structure of tropical convection, including intermittent coherent structures such as synoptic and mesoscale convective systems. Here, the stochastic multicloud model is modified with a parameterized cloud radiation feedback mechanism and atmosphere-ocean coupling. The radiative convective feedback mechanism is shown to increase the mean and variability of the Walker circulation. The corresponding intensification of the circulation is associated with propagating synoptic scale systems originating inside of the enhanced sea surface temperature area. In column simulations, the atmosphere ocean coupling introduces pronounced low frequency convective features on the time scale associated with the depth of the mixed ocean layer. However, in the presence of the gravity wave mixing of spatially extended simulations, these features are not as prominent. This highlights the deficiency of the column model approach at predicting the behavior of multiscale spatially extended systems. Overall, the study develops a systematic framework for incorporating parameterized radiative cloud feedback and ocean coupling which may be used to improve representation of intraseasonal and seasonal variability in GCMs. 相似文献
17.
Hiroaki Ueda Harumitsu Kuroki Masamichi Ohba Youichi Kamae 《Climate Dynamics》2011,37(11-12):2167-2179
Modulation of a monsoon under glacial forcing is examined using an atmosphere?Cocean coupled general circulation model (AOGCM) following the specifications established by Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project phase 2 (PMIP2) to understand the air?Csea?Cland interaction under different climate forcing. Several sensitivity experiments are performed in response to individual changes in the continental ice sheet, orbital parameters, and sea surface temperature (SST) in the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM: 21?ka) to evaluate the driving mechanisms for the anomalous seasonal evolution of the monsoon. Comparison of the model results in the LGM with the pre-industrial (PI) simulation shows that the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal are characterized by enhancement of pre-monsoon convection despite a drop in the SST encompassing the globe, while the rainfall is considerably suppressed in the subsequent monsoon period. In the LGM winter relative to the PI, anomalies in the meridional temperature gradient (MTG) between the Asian continents minus the tropical oceans become positive and are consistent with the intensified pre-monsoon circulation. The enhanced MTG anomalies can be explained by a decrease in the condensation heating relevant to the suppressed tropical convection as well as positive insolation anomalies in the higher latitude, showing an opposing view to a warmer future climate. It is also evident that a latitudinal gradient in the SST across the equator plays an important role in the enhancement of pre-monsoon rainfall. As for the summer, the sensitivity experiments imply that two ice sheets over the northern hemisphere cools the air temperature over the Asian continent, which is consistent with the reduction of MTG involved in the attenuated monsoon. The surplus pre-monsoon convection causes a decrease in the SST through increased heat loss from the ocean surface; in other words, negative ocean feedback is also responsible for the subsequent weakening of summer convection. 相似文献
18.
台风榴莲(2001)在季风槽中生成的机制探讨 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
利用NCEP 1°×1°分析资料、TMI海温资料、卫星云图资料对季风槽中南海台风榴莲(2001)生成机制进行了分析,揭示了大尺度环境流场、温暖洋面、中尺度对流活动对热带气旋(TC)生成的控制作用.结果表明,水平风速垂直切变的演变在一定程度上指示着TC在暖湿洋面上生成的时间,水平风速垂直切变由强向弱转变,在TC发生前18小时迅速减小到10 m/s,随后在10 m/s以下维持少变,垂直切变的变化主要反映了对流层高层环流形势的演变;在对流层中低层,季风槽的形成和加强对TC的生成有重要作用,由于热带温暖洋面作用,季风槽首先表现出有利于单体对流和带状对流发生发展的条件性对流不稳定特征,随着季风槽的加强,季风槽进一步表现出有利于中尺度扰动发生发展的正压不稳定特征;季风槽槽线南侧的低空急流的经向分布很宽广,由105°E越赤道气流和中南半岛偏西气流(其源头是索马里越赤道低空急流)汇合而成,急流的加强活动具有经向差异,由于边界层高θ_e空气辐合抬升产生两条经向距离约300 km的显著带状对流云系,槽线南侧风速分布的经向差异导致两条带状云系发生追赶,并逐步在季风槽底部槽线附近合并加强为MCC,进而导致中尺度涡旋(MCV)的产生并最终发展成为TC.分析结果还表明,为深对供应丰富对流有效位能的主要是来自台风发生区域本地南海暖洋面的地面热通量,南海暖洋面对TC生成有重要贡献.台风榴莲的生成是一个多尺度相互作用过程,主要包括涡旋对流热塔、与带状对流云系伴随的涡度带的升尺度,涡度带合并成长为MCV,以及大尺度条件对TC在季风槽中生成的时间及地点的控制作用等. 相似文献
19.
J. Venkata Ratnam Filippo Giorgi Akshara Kaginalkar Stefano Cozzini 《Climate Dynamics》2009,33(1):119-139
A regional coupled atmosphere–ocean model was developed to study the role of air–sea interactions in the simulation of the
Indian summer monsoon. The coupled model includes the regional climate model (RegCM3) as atmospheric component and the regional
ocean modeling system (ROMS) as oceanic component. The two-way coupled model system exchanges sea surface temperature (SST)
from the ocean to the atmospheric model and surface wind stress and energy fluxes from the atmosphere to the ocean model.
The coupled model is run for four years 1997, 1998, 2002 and 2003 and the results are compared with observations and atmosphere-only
model runs employing Reynolds SSTs as lower boundary condition. It is found that the coupled model captures the main features
of the Indian monsoon and simulates a substantially more realistic spatial and temporal distribution of monsoon rainfall compared
to the uncoupled atmosphere-only model. The intraseasonal oscillations are also better simulated in the coupled model compared
to the atmosphere-only model. These improvements are due to a better representation of the feedbacks between the SST and convection
and highlight the importance of air–sea coupling in the simulation of the Indian monsoon. 相似文献
20.
利用辽宁省区域自动站、探空和多普勒雷达观测资料及ECMWF再分析资料, 对2016年6月30日发生在沈阳地区一次局地短时强降水过程的天气特征及可预报性进行分析。结果表明: 此次天气过程为东北冷涡背景下典型的午后强对流天气, 白天太阳辐射加热使得沈阳城区温度高于周边区域, 配合中低层的高湿环境具有较好的不稳定能量; 暴雨发生前2 h, 近地面至300 hPa高度西南气流不断增强, 低空急流出口区减压, 使得垂直运动增强, 上升运动高度达到对流层顶, 有利于触发和加强对流, 1.5—3.0 km的16 m·s-1的西南风脉动和急流减弱消失对降水发生和结束有较好的指示意义; 午后低层辐合、高层辐散的不稳定层结在强降水发生前2 h建立, 散度最大时段与强降水时间对应较好; 雷达观测反映这次降水以低质心暖云降水为主导, 具有较高的降水效率, 地面辐合线触发了对流, 并逐渐发展演变成带状对流系统。从数值预报的结果来看, 模式未能报出城市下垫面对气象要素的影响, 对于地面辐合线的预报存在明显的滞后偏弱, 导致强降水预报难度增加。 相似文献