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1.
大气能量有效性的研究进展 总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5
大气能量有效性一直是大气科学研究中的重要组成部分，在过去的几十年中，得到了长足发展。对大气能量学特别是能量有效性问题的研究进展进行了全面回顾。为了将能量有效性的研究从全球大气整体向局地或区域尺度拓展，针对经典有效位能理论中存在的问题提出了扰动位能的新概念，并初步探讨了其理论和应用问题。在已开展的工作中，利用NCEP/NCAR再分析资料研究了扰动位能的时空结构以及与大气动能之间的联系，取得了很有意义的结果。 相似文献
2.
研究过去气候快速变化能为当前极端气候分析和未来环境预测提供自然背景理解。亚洲季风在北半球乃至全球的第四纪气候变化中扮演着重要角色,其演化是全球气候变化背景下的典型区域响应。然而,不同地质载体及不同指标所记录的亚洲冬、夏季风变化存在着较大差异,产生差异的原因及受到的动力机制是值得深入研究的科学问题。渭河盆地位于黄土高原和古三门湖沉积交叠的区域,是研究第四纪亚洲季风演化的理想场所。在盆地西南部西安市户县和长安县获取了两个黄土沉积钻孔,户县ZZC孔长4 m,长安县XFC孔长3 m,两孔的年代均超过25 ka。通过两钻孔的粒度和元素地球化学等代用指标研究,对比分析不同指标对气候变化的敏感度差异,反演了末次冰盛期(LGM)以来的区域沉积环境变化,并尝试探讨该时期发生的气候突变事件及反映的季风强度变化。结果表明,两钻孔的平均粒径从LGM到中全新世逐渐变细,中全新世之后少许变粗,空间上表现出一致性,总体反映了末次冰盛期以来的冬季风强度演化;Ca/Ti反映了与季风降水相关的淋溶强度,从LGM到全新世暖期夏季风逐渐减弱,并记录了若干次气候快速变化。粒度和元素比值变化表明,渭河盆地沉积良好地记录了末次冰盛期至全新世的大幅冷干-暖湿波动及若干次持续时间较短的快速水文变化事件,主要是受到太阳辐射和冰量等因素调控的影响。由于渭河盆地有上千米的新生代沉积,未来开展高分辨率研究有望揭示不同时间尺度季风变化特征及其与区域和全球变化的联系。 相似文献
3.
利用地球系统模式CESM过去2 000年气候模拟试验结果,探讨了在百年尺度上东亚夏季风降水的时空变化特征及其成因,对于认识百年尺度气候变化规律、区分外强迫因子对东亚季风的影响有着重要的科学意义。研究表明:1东亚夏季风降水与温度基本同相变化,降水存在准100年、准150年和准200年周期。2降水标准化EOF第一模态为由北向南"负—正—负—正"的条带状空间分布,而EOF第二模态基本为全区一致的分布型态。3东亚夏季风降水准100年周期主要受太阳辐射、火山活动和气候系统内部变率的共同影响;准150年周期主要受太阳辐射的影响;准200年周期主要受太阳辐射和火山活动的影响。东亚夏季风降水在温带地区主要受温室气体和土地利用/覆盖的影响;在副热带地区主要受太阳辐射和火山活动的影响;在热带地区主要受太阳辐射、火山活动和气候系统内部变率的影响。 相似文献
4.
集成中国季风区石笋氧同位素记录的共同变化特征,初步建立了近千年10年平均的东亚夏季风演变序列。在10年尺度以上分析了东亚夏季风演变与其他气候要素变化之间的关系。主要结论有： 1)近千年来东亚夏季风演变可划分为中世纪时期(11～13世纪初期)的季风稍弱阶段,13世纪中后期至14世纪前半叶的季风较强时期,14世纪后半叶至17世纪的季风较弱阶段,自18世纪开始持续约200年的季风再次增强时期,以及20世纪初开始的季风逐渐减弱阶段。2)近千年来东亚大陆或北半球温度的变化虽然对东亚夏季风变化具有一定的影响,但东亚夏季风强度的变化并不总是取决于陆地温度的变化。3)近千年来东亚夏季风的强弱变化与降水变化在低频趋势上有良好的对应关系,在东亚夏季风增强的时期,中国东部降水较多,而在夏季风减弱时,中国东部降水趋于偏少。 相似文献
5.
Orbital-scale East Asian Summer Monsoon (EASM) variations inferred from loess deposits in northern China and speleothems from southern China display different dominant periods, complicating our understanding of monsoon response to insolation and ice-volume forcings. Here we integrate a new microcodium δ18O record from a high-resolution last interglacial loess profile with previously published data and provide a composite microcodium δ18O record on the Chinese Loess Plateau (CLP) since the last interglacial. The composite microcodium δ18O record displays distinct precessional cycles, consistent with speleothem δ18O records, but with different amplitude contrast (particularly during the peak interglacials). We propose that both loess and speleothem δ18O records exhibit covariations at precessional timescale oscillations. The discrepancy between loess and speleothem from southern China can be attributed to the influences of other processes besides summer precipitation on the proxies. A slight difference in amplitude between microcodium and speleothem δ18O records implies that the EASM is also influenced by inland surface boundary conditions, which has important impacts on the occurrence of EASM precipitation. Therefore, microcodium δ18O from the Chinese loess–paleosol sequences can be regarded as a representative proxy of EASM precipitation in northern China and then a reliable proxy reflecting the variation of EASM intensity. 相似文献
6.
在分析东亚地区夏季海平面气压场与中国东部6区域干湿指数关系的基础上,重建了公元960—2000年近千年东亚地区夏季海平面气压场的格点资料,并对重建效果进行了检验。同时,依据重建的海平面气压场资料定义了近千年东亚夏季风强度指数,探讨了近千年东亚夏季风的变化特征。结果表明：（1）重建的近千年东亚地区的海平面气压场具有一定的可信度,它为研究更长时间尺度的东亚夏季风变化特征提供了基础;（2）东亚夏季风指数存在60～70 a、30～40 a、10～20 a的显著周期变化;（3）近千年东亚夏季风的强度指数主要经历过9次明显的趋势突变。其中,13世纪30年代东亚夏季风的强度指数经历了最显著的振动。 相似文献
7.
通过对内蒙古东部现代东亚季风界线两侧的浑善达克沙地和呼伦贝尔沙地风成砂-古土壤剖面的光释光、~(14)C年代和沉积物主、微量元素地球化学的分析,重建内蒙古东部末次冰消期以来气候变迁过程。浑善达克沙地的浩来呼热剖面(hsh1-09)显示了末次冰消期以来3次暖湿气候期,分别对应末次冰消期、全新世大暖期、中世纪暖期。呼伦贝尔沙地的嵯岗剖面(CG-09)表现了全新世大暖期和中世纪暖期两次的暖湿气候期。这一过程是对东亚夏季风的响应,大致反映了内蒙古东部末次冰消期以来的东亚夏季风两次不同程度增强及大暖期结束的南退过程。通过对比前人研究结果,全新世中期东亚夏季风较强,在内蒙古东部大约距今4 ka开始减弱、南退;中世纪暖期夏季风强度较弱,持续时间短。 相似文献
8.
The stretched-coordinate ocean general circulation model has been designed to study the observed variability due to wind and
thermodynamic forcings. The model domain extends from 60‡N to 60‡S and cyclically continuous in the longitudinal direction.
The horizontal resolution is 5‡ x 5‡ and 9 discrete vertical levels. First a spin-up experiment has been done with ECMWF-AMIP
1979 January mean fields. The wind stress, ambient atmospheric temperature, evaporation and precipitation have been used in
order to derive mechanical and thermodynamical surface forcings. Next, the experiment has been extended for another 30 years
(3 cycles each of 10 year period) with varying surface boundary conditions (from January 1979 to December 1988 of ECMWF-AMIP
monthly fields for each cycle) along with 120 years extended spin-up control run's results as initial conditions. The results
presented here are for the last 10 years simulations. The preliminary results of this experiment show that the model is capable
of simulating some of the general features and the pattern of interannual variability of the ocean. 相似文献
9.
Spatial variations of monsoonal rain in eastern China: Instrumental, historic and speleothem records
Nai-Jung Wan Hong-Chun Li Zi-Qi Liu Hsin-Ying Yang Dao-Xian Yuan Yong-Heng Chen 《Journal of Asian Earth Sciences》2011,40(6):1111-1150
We select four caves and their nearby cities in the monsoonal region of China for studying the relationships among precipitation, temperature, summer monsoon intensity and stalagmite δ18O. The instrumental, historic and stalagmite δ18O records from these areas show strong spatial disparities on annual to decadal scales, so that climatic conditions in a single location cannot represent these of the entire eastern China. On time scales <500 years, stronger summer monsoon may lead to higher rainfall in some locations but not over eastern China. Correlation between the summer monsoon strength and precipitation is not only location-dependent but also changes with time. One may not use the paleoclimatic pattern of cold–dry and warm–wet on glacial/interglacial ages throughout all time scales for climatic conditions in the monsoonal region. On centennial to millennial scales, stalagmite δ18O variation trend from eastern China resemble solar irradiance with lighter δ18O corresponding to increased solar irradiance, and vice versa. The similar trends may reflect climatic feedbacks link to solar forcing to cause changes in the summer monsoon intensity and/or in monsoonal circulation. Changes in monsoonal circulation and intensity affect (1) summer rainfall intensity, (2) summer/winter precipitation ratio, or (3) ratio of moisture from Indian/Pacific oceans, or a combination of the three. Thus, a speleothem δ18O record may not be proper to be used as a proxy of paleo-precipitation amount, especially on short time scales. Based on the four stalagmite δ18O records during the last 2000 years, EASM strength decreased from AD 200 to AD 500, and from AD 1300 to AD 1600 (the 1st half of the Little Ice Age), whereas EASM strength increased from AD 1600 to AD 1900 (the 2nd half of the Little Ice Age). The EASM strength has weakened since early 1900’s. 相似文献
10.
A K SRIVASTAVA SOMENATH DUTTA S R KSHIRSAGAR KAVITA SRIVASTAVA 《Journal of Earth System Science》2014,123(3):445-456
In the paper, influence of extratropical circulation features on Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall (ISMR) is examined. Energetics of extratropics, north of Indian subcontinent for deficient and non-deficient ISMR years, during two periods 1951–1978 and 1979–2005, are calculated and critically analyzed. It is observed that for the period 1951–1978, only two out of the 10 energetics parameters, viz., the zonal available potential energy (high) and conversion of zonal kinetic energy to eddy kinetic energy (low) differed significantly in JJA months of the deficient years from that of the non-deficient years. However, during the 1979–2005 period, as many as six out of the 10 energetics parameters, viz., eddy available potential energy, zonal available potential energy, eddy kinetic energy, generation of zonal available potential energy, conversion of zonal available potential energy to zonal kinetic energy and conversion of zonal kinetic energy to eddy kinetic energy differed significantly in JJA months of the deficient years from that of the non-deficient years. These results confirm growing influence of the transient stationary waves in deficient years after the climate shift year, 1979. Analysis of energetics parameters of the pre-monsoon season of the two periods also reveals similar results. This suggests that forcings apparently responsible for energetics in JJA months of the deficient years of the later period were present even before the advent of Indian summer monsoon season. 相似文献
11.
12.
利用全球海气耦合气候模式ECHO-G的近千年连续积分资料,选取与降水关系较好的东亚夏季风指数,对不同气候特征时期的东亚环流及季风影响因子进行了探讨.结果表明用海陆热力差异定义的东亚夏季风指数Isun在年际尺度上较好地体现了长江流域及华北地区降水的变化,而利用850 hPa纬向风场定义的指数Iwang在年代际尺度上较好地体现了长江流域的降水变化.从不同气候特征时期的环流来看,中世纪暖期夏季风最强,东亚大陆降水明显偏多,现代暖期夏季风较之有所减弱,而小冰期则是夏季风最弱的时期,东亚大陆的降水明显偏少.不同气候特征时期夏季风指数与海温的相关表明,ENSO事件对东亚夏季风的影响在现代暖期有所增强,而与外部强迫因子的相关揭示出中世纪暖期有效太阳辐射变化是影响东亚夏季风变化的主要因子,现代暖期则是温室气体对夏季风的影响更重要. 相似文献
13.
Nityanand Singh 《Journal of Earth System Science》1995,104(1):1-36
Large-scale interannual variability of the northern summer southwest monsoon over India is studied by examining its variation
in the dry area during the period 1871–1984. On the mean summer monsoon rainfall (June to September total) chart the 800 mm
isohyet divides the country into two nearly equal halves, named as dry area (monsoon rainfall less than 800 mm) and wet area
(monsoon rainfall greater than 800 mm). The dry area/wet area shows large variations from one year to another, and is considered
as an index for assessing the large-scale performance of the Indian summer monsoon. Statistical and fluctuation characteristics
of the summer monsoon dry area (SMDA) are reported.
To identify possible causes of variation in the Indian summer monsoon, the correlation between the summer monsoon dry area
and eleven regional/global circulation parameters is examined. The northern hemisphere surface air temperature, zonal/hemispheric/global
surface air and upper air temperatures, Southern Oscillation, Quasi-biennial oscillation of the equatorial lower stratosphere,
April 500-mb ridge along 75°E over India, the Indian surface air temperature and the Bombay sea level pressure showed significant
correlation.
A new predictor parameter that is preceding year mean monsoon rainfall of a few selected stations over India has been suggested
in the present study. The stations have been selected by applying the objective technique ‘selecting a subset of few gauges
whose mean monsoon rainfall of the preceding year has shown the highest correlation coefficient (CC) with the SMDA’. Bankura
(Gangetic West Bengal), Cuddalore (Tamil Nadu) and Anupgarh (West Rajasthan) entered the selection showing a CC of 0.724.
Using a dependent sample of 1951–1980 a predictive model (multiple CC = 0.745) has also been developed for the SMDA with preceding
year mean monsoon rainfall of the three selected stations and the sea level pressure tendency at Darwin from Jan–Feb to Mar–May
as independent parameters. 相似文献
14.
Cheng Zhao Zhonghui Liu Eelco J. Rohling Zicheng Yu Weiguo Liu Yuxin He Yan Zhao Fahu Chen 《Quaternary Research》2013
Arid Central Asia (ACA) lies on a major climatic boundary between the mid-latitude westerlies and the northwestern limit of the Asian summer monsoon, yet only a few high-quality reconstructions exist for its climate history. Here we calibrate a new organic geochemical proxy for lake temperature, and present a 45-yr-resolution temperature record from Hurleg Lake at the eastern margin of the ACA in the northern Tibetan Plateau. Combination with other proxy data from the same samples reveals a distinct warm–dry climate association throughout the record, which contrasts with the warm–wet association found in the Asian monsoon region. This indicates that the climatic boundary between the westerly and the monsoon regimes has remained roughly in the same place throughout the Holocene, at least near our study site. Six millennial-scale cold events are found within the past 9000 yr, which approximately coincide with previously documented events of northern high-latitude cooling and tropical drought. This suggests a connection between the North Atlantic and tropical monsoon climate systems, via the westerly circulation. Finally, we also observe an increase in regional climate variability after the mid-Holocene, which we relate to changes in vegetation (forest) cover in the monsoon region through a land-surface albedo feedback. 相似文献
15.
研究冰量较大时期千年尺度事件的区域响应和结构特征有助于进一步理解和验证千年尺度事件的驱动机制。基于湖北永兴洞一支石笋的5个高精度230Th年龄和323个氧同位素数据,重建了Dansgaard-Oeschger（DO）18事件发生时高分辨率的东亚水文循环变化的过程和特征。结合同一洞穴另两支石笋记录,发现永兴洞石笋δ18O在~64.7 ka迅速负偏1.5‰,指示在MIS4阶段东亚季风区确实发生了持续时间较短的DO18事件。石笋δ18O结果精确标定了DO18事件的结束时间为~63.0 ka,结束过程呈现出5个百年尺度的季风增强振荡。在形态特征上,不同于格陵兰冰芯DO18事件的快速开始和快速结束（~60 a）的对称变化,季风区DO18事件呈现出快速增强但缓慢结束（持续达1500 a）的显著不对称特征。但是,石笋δ18O与北大西洋温盐环流（AMOC）变化在形态特征和持续时间上高度一致,暗示了AMOC对东亚季风区DO事件的重要调控作用。DO18事件时东亚季风与北大西洋气候的不同结构特征可归于高低纬气候系统对AMOC响应方式的差异。石笋δ18O功率谱结果呈现出208 a、150 a、52 a和14~12 a的变化周期,分别接近于太阳活动的207 a、149 a、57 a和11 a周期,说明在冰量较大的MIS4阶段太阳活动仍控制着东亚季风短尺度的波动。 相似文献
16.
Comparisons of drought variability between central High Asia and monsoonal Asia: Inferred from tree rings 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Keyan Fang Xiaohua Gou Fahu Chen Fen Zhang Yingjun Li Jianfeng Peng 《Frontiers of Earth Science》2010,4(3):277-288
Severe drought is a serious natural disaster that frequently strikes East Asia, highlighting the need to understanding its
drought regime and the associations with Asian monsoon. Tree-ring-based drought reconstructions provide invaluable paleoclimatic
archives for detecting regional and large-scale drought variability and their potential forcings. We herein reviewed many
drought reconstructions from central High Asia and monsoonal Asia and compared their similarities and differences, as well
as their linkages to Asia monsoon. We compared the decadal-scale variability of six drought reconstructions for the central
High Asia, where differing drought variations were found between the western and eastern portions. Seven drought reconstructions
were reviewed for monsoonal Asia, from which a difference in drought variability was observed between the northern and southern
parts. Therefore, we compared the drought variations of the four sub-regions of western and eastern parts of central High
Asia, as well as northern and southern portions of monsoonal Asia. ENSO activity and sea surface temperature of western Pacific
and northern Indian Oceans, coupled with Asian monsoon, play an important role in modulating drought variability of much area
of the East Asia. An improved denser multi-index tree-ring network of longer length for East Asia is necessary for the establishment
of more reliable large-scale drought reconstruction. 相似文献
17.
Rémy Roca Jean-Claude Bergès Hélène Brogniez Michel Capderou Philippe Chambon Olivier Chomette Sophie Cloché Thomas Fiolleau Isabelle Jobard Julien Lémond Mohamed Ly Laurence Picon Patrick Raberanto André Szantai Michel Viollier 《Comptes Rendus Geoscience》2010,342(4-5):390-402
The water and energy cycles are major elements of the Earth climate. These cycles are especially active in the intertropical belt where satellites provide the most suitable observational platform. The history of Earth observations of the water cycle and of the radiation budget viewed from space reveals that the fundamental questions from the early times are still relevant for today's research. The last 2 decades have seen a number of milestones regarding the documentation of rainfall, mesoscale convective systems (MCS), water vapour and radiation at the top of the atmosphere (TOA). Beyond dedicated missions that provided enhanced characterizations of some elements of the atmospheric water cycle and field campaigns that allowed the gathering of validation data, the advent of the long record of meteorological satellites lead to new questioning on the homogenisation of the data time series, etc. The use of this record to document the tropical climate brought new results of the distribution of humidity and reinforced the understanding of some robust features of the African monsoon. Challenges for the immediate future concerns the deepening of the understanding of the role of cloud systems in the monsoon circulation, the downscaling of the documentation of the water and energy cycle at the scale of these cloud systems, the research of better adequation between the users and the satellite estimate of rainfall and finally a much needed methodological effort to build exploitable time series for the estimation of climatic trends in the water and energy cycle in the Tropics. The required observations to address these challenges are rapidly presented with emphasis on the upcoming Megha-Tropiques (MT) mission. 相似文献
18.
《Comptes Rendus Geoscience》2007,339(11-12):721-733
The life cycle of pollutants is affected by chemical as well as meteorological factors, such as wind, temperature, precipitation, solar radiation. Therefore, climatic changes induced by anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases may be expected to have significant effects on air quality. Because of the spatial variability of the pollutant emissions and climate-change signals, these effects are particularly relevant at the regional to local scales. This paper first briefly reviews modelling tools and methodologies used to study regional climate-change impacts on air quality. Patterns of regional precipitation, temperature, and sea-level changes emerging from the latest set of general circulation model projections are then discussed. Finally, the specific case of climate-change effects on summer ozone concentrations over Europe is presented to illustrate the potential impacts of climate change on pollutant amounts. It is concluded that climate change is an important factor that needs to be taken into account when designing future pollution-reduction policies. 相似文献
19.
C M Kishtawal P K Pal M S Narayanan S K Manna O P Sharma Sangeeta Agarwal H C Upadhyaya 《Journal of Earth System Science》1993,102(4):507-519
The impact of moisture anomalies on the circulation of the south-west Indian monsoon has been studied with a general circulation model. Newtonian relaxation is adopted to subject the model atmosphere under sustained moisture anomalies. The impact of negative anomalies of moisture was seen as a divergent circulation anomaly, while the positive anomaly was a stronger convergent anomaly. Although the humidity fields display a resilient behaviour, and relax back to normal patterns 1–2 days after the forcing terms in humidity are withdrawn, the circulation anomalies created by the moisture variation keeps growing. A feedback between positive moisture anomalies and low level convergence exists, which is terminated in the absence of external forcings. 相似文献
20.
本研究利用辽宁本溪庙洞石笋MD12,通过230Th定年和高分辨率氧同位素分析,并集成庙洞另一支石笋MD11序列,重建了3.04~2.60 ka B.P.时期辽东地区夏季风(降水)变化历史。该石笋氧同位素序列记录了2.8 ka事件的详细过程,事件的核心阶段起止时间约为2.76~2.66 ka B.P.,中心点位于2.68 ka B.P.,稍微晚于西南石笋氧同位素记录(约2.71 ka B.P.),但是在事件的开始时间上,庙洞石笋氧同位素记录比西南石笋氧同位素记录晚了约100年。因此,庙洞石笋氧同位素记录与西南石笋氧同位素记录中显示的缓慢减弱-快速增强模式不同,2.8 ka事件在辽东石笋氧同位素记录中表现为快速减弱-突然增强的变化模式,与太阳活动代用指标一致变化,支持太阳活动是2.8 ka弱季风事件驱动因子的观点。庙洞石笋氧同位素快速响应太阳活动的变化特征,说明其动力学机制可能是太阳活动减弱导致北半球高纬度地区温度降低,然后通过大气"遥相关"作用影响东亚夏季风。 相似文献