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1.
本文简要分析了2008年5月12日汶川8.0级地震前川青块体及邻区的地震活动性特征。结果表明,汶川地震发生的龙门山断裂本身历史地震活动水平不高,其周边的鲜水河断裂、岷江断裂、虎牙断裂等历史上强震多发;汶川8.0级地震前龙门山断裂带3级以上中小地震活动增强或平静异常现象不明显,地震活动参数值均在正常变化区间内;4级以上地震异常平静,形成了地震空区;2007年底到2008年初位于龙门山断裂带及其附近台站的0.1级以上小震月频度增强明显。  相似文献   

2.
汶川Ms8.0级强震震前龙门山断裂带断层形变异常分析   总被引:3,自引:2,他引:1  
概述和分析四川汶川Ms8.0级强震的发震构造及其地质背景,从断层形变的角度研究这次地震前形变场的异常变化情况。结论是:汶川地震区的地形变前兆异常是客观存在的,在某些局部区域甚至是非常显著的;流动短水准观测资料反映出了震前龙门山断裂带局部区域的加速活动;从现有形变资料出发,要实现如此大地震的预报仍然缺乏根据和把握。  相似文献   

3.
本研究以鲜水河断裂带为例,通过断层三维活动参数、断层活动信息合成和主成分分析等方法,对汶川8.0、芦山7.0和康定6.3级地震前后鲜水河断裂带地区的跨断层形变资料进行了综合分析;计算断层水平扭错速率、水平张压活动速率的各个主成分和能够反映断层总体活动水平的综合指标W。结果表明:主成分分析方法能够最大限度地保留原始信息,剔除相关干扰,有利于前兆资料的分析研究;综合指标W可以较好地反映前兆资料的异常变化,能够代表一个地区前兆观测资料的总体映震水平;鲜水河断裂带跨断层资料对汶川8.0、芦山7.0和康定6.3级地震具有较好的映震能力,从中可以捕捉到中强地震的"孕育—发展—发生"过程中强震的前兆异常信息。  相似文献   

4.
鲜水河断裂带跨断层形变中短期强震预测指标研究   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
通过对鲜水河断裂带跨断层短水准、短基线资料的分析研究,系统地提取测区内外5.5级以上地震前跨断层形变前兆异常特征,并作详细的整理、分析,综合得出监测区及附近中短期强震预测指标及预报方法。其结果显示:跨断层形变观测资料大多在震前1~3年出现异常,其异常表现形式以断层活动停滞、反向、突跳为主,震前半年左右异常发育至最高,临震前有明显回落,其前兆意义较为明确;水平形变测量的预测成功率高于垂直形变测量。  相似文献   

5.
汶川地震前南北地震带中北段地形变变化特征的研究   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4  
牛安福  张凌空  闫伟  贾晓东  李晓帆 《地震》2009,29(1):100-107
2008年5月12日汶川8.0级地震是我国自建国以来灾难最为严重的一次强地震。 文中讨论了汶川地震前震源附近与外围地区潮汐形变变化及龙门山地震带、 鲜水河地震带和祁连山地震带断层活动的特点。 分析结果表明: 震前沿龙门山地震带分布的雅安、 汶川及茂县观测台地倾斜测项在2006年初发生转折, 由单向东倾或西倾转向平稳, 临震前无明显变化; 龙门山断裂带及附近地区有5个断层水准观测场地, 除耿达场地观测到巨幅变化外, 其他场地震前未观测到突出的前兆性变化。 震源外围龙灯坝断层蠕变仪(Δ=220 km)震前观测到持续时间在3个月左右的突变性异常, 但依据突变持续时间较难估计相应地震为8级。 而离震中较远的祁连山地震带中西段, 震前也有巨大的断层水准变化, 其与汶川地震的关系值得讨论。  相似文献   

6.
汶川8.0级地震前断层形变异常及与其它大震的比较c   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3       下载免费PDF全文
用蕴震系统信息合成和地壳形变图象动力学参量方法,对龙门山、鲜水河、安宁河断裂带69条跨断层形变观测时序(1997年1月——2008年1月)整体地作了数据处理,发现龙门山断裂带在汶川MS8.0地震前出现了整体活动强度增高(加速度运动)、突跳异常丛集和近震中断裂的快速滑动.汶川8.0级与唐山7.8级及丽江7.0级地震之前的断层形变异常具有相似性,呈现出一定的可重现性,但前者的异常强度偏低.用系统自组织理论、断裂力学、静地震、慢地震、蠕滑、亚板块挤压与深部物质向上运移的共同作用能初步解释这些异常现象.   相似文献   

7.
鲜水河断裂带内早期布设的跨断层短水准、短基线测量场地资料揭示了带内鲜水河断层在大震发生前后一段时间内的活动特征,在道孚1981年1月6.9级地震之前,该断层曾有一次由加速到反向的活动过程,这个活动过程可视为是道孚1981年1月6.9级地震的短期前兆信息。  相似文献   

8.
在大地震沿鲜水河断裂带向ES迁移和鲜水河断裂带SE段较长时间未发生强震的背景下,本文收集了2013年芦山MS7.0地震前后(2010—2014年)鲜水河断裂带SE段3个跨断层短基线测点数据,分析了芦山地震前后该段近场断裂活动。研究结果表明:1)芦山地震前后,鲜水河断裂带在SE段断层的走滑方式存在左旋和右旋相互交替现象。2)芦山地震后该段近场滑动速率小于1mm/a,与震前较长时间的测量结果相比无明显变化,说明SE段已经进入震间锁闭阶段,应变持续积累,芦山地震并未对该区域断裂活动产生明显影响。根据断层运动随时间变化的模型,认为鲜水河断裂带SE段距离该段上次大地震时间长于EW段距离上次大地震的时间是2段滑动速率不同的原因之一。  相似文献   

9.
运用变化率分析了张北6.2级地震前山两地区跨断层流动短水准资料变化特征,发现:在张北6.2级地震孕育过程中,特别是地震孕育中短期阶段,断层活动存在明显的异常变化且一致性好,主要表现为:①断层异常活动集中在震前3.5-0.5年且存在阶段性,断层异常恢复后发生地震;②断层异常活动性质发生剧烈快速的变化,离地震发生越近断层异常活动幅度越大、变化率越快;③山西地区跨断层流动水准异常特别是前中短期异常变化主要集中在山西带的北部地区,范嗣主要集中在震中周围500km左右范围内。  相似文献   

10.
基于龙门山断裂带及邻区2000—2008年的小震目录资料,采用全球7级以上地震活动影响“叠加”的思路,系统分析震前邻区小震受远程动态触发的异常活动特征。结果表明:汶川8.0级地震前,龙门山断裂带及邻区的小震活动明显受全球7级地震活动的影响,震前1年左右龙门山断裂带及邻区小震活动受远震动态触发活动的异常特征显著。并采用随机检验方法和改变统计参数对计算结果的可靠性进行验证。该方法能够有效地突出震前发震断层上远程动态触发小震的异常活动特征,对区域强震危险性评估具有一定的参考意义。  相似文献   

11.
Abstract The 2008 Wenchuan earthquake, a major intraplate earthquake with Mw 7.9, occurred on the slowly deforming Longmenshan fault. To better understand the causes of this devastating earthquake, we need knowledge of the regional stress field and the underlying geodynamic processes. Here, we determine focal mechanism solutions (FMSs) of the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake sequence (WES) using both P-wave first-motion polarity data and SH/P amplitude ratio (AR) data. As P-wave polarities are more reliable information, they are given priority over SH/ PAR, the latter of which are used only when the former has loose constraint on the FMSs. We collect data from three categories: (1) permanent stations deployed by the China Earthquake Administration (CEA); (2) the Western Sichuan Passive Seismic Array (WSPSA) deployed by Institute of Geology, CEA; (3) global stations from Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology. Finally, 129 events with magnitude over Ms 4.0 in the 2008 WES are identified to have well-constrained FMSs. Among them, 83 are well constrained by P-wave polarities only as shown by Cai et al. (Earthq Sci 24(1):115-125,2011), and the rest of which are newly constrained by incorporating SH/P AR. Based on the spatial distribution and FMSs of the WES, we draw following conclusions: (1) the principle compressional directions of most FMSs of the WES are subhorizontal, generally in agreement with the conclusion given by Cai et al. (2011) but with a few modifications that the compressional directions are WNW-ESE around Wenchuan and ENE-WSW around Qingchuan, respectively. The subhorizontal compressional direction along the Longmenshan fault from SW to NE seems to have a leftlateral rotation, which agrees well with regional stress field inverted by former researchers (e.g., Xu et al., Acta Seismol Sin 30(5), 1987; Acta Geophys Sin 32(6), 1989; Cui et al., Seismol Geol 27(2):234-242, 2005); (2) the FMSs of the events not only reflected the regional stress state of the Longmenshan region, but also were obviously controlled by the faults to some extent, which was pointed out by Cai et al. (2011) and Yi et al. (Chin J Geophys 55(4):1213-1227, 2012); (3) while the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake and some of its strong aftershocks released most of the elastic energy accumulated on the Longmen- shan fault, some other aftershocks seem to occur just for releasing the elastic energy promptly created by the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake and some of its strong aftershocks. (4) Our results further suggest that the Longmenshan fault from Wenchuan to Beichuan was nearly fully destroyed by the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake and accordingly propose that there is less probability for great earthquakes in the middle part of the Longmenshan fault in the near future, although there might be a barrier to the southwest of Wenchuan and it is needed to pay some attention on it in the near future.  相似文献   

12.
汶川8.0级特大地震汉源县震害特点与烈度异常成因探讨   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
本文在汉源县地震灾害调查的基础上,通过收集前人在该区已取得的成果资料,采用综合分析、类比等方法,对汉源县地震烈度异常区震害及造成异常的原因进行了分析探讨。汉源县建筑物破坏形式以水平地震作用造成的“X”型剪切破坏为主,竖向地震造成的破坏较少。地震波传播路径、场地土层条件和地形地貌条件三者的耦合是造成汉源县烈度异常的主要原因,其中场地土层中占优势厚度的砾石层是造成场地地震波放大的主要内因。本文取得的初步结论为更加深入地科学研究本区地震烈度异常的原因提供了新思路。  相似文献   

13.
2008年5月12日四川省汶川县发生8.0级地震,这是自1976年7月28日唐山7.8级地震后,中国发生的最大地震之一,给地震灾区人们带来深重的灾难。灾区大中型水电工程经受了远超工程设防标准的强震考验,大坝无一溃决,结构整体安全、稳定。部分建筑设施受到地震滑坡、崩塌等次生灾害影响,经及时抢修维护,均在震后迅速恢复发电及生产。灾区外大中型水电工程经受了强震考验,大坝完好无损,工程建设及运行正常有序。"5.12"汶川地震不是水库蓄水造成的,水库蓄水也不可能诱发"5.12"汶川地震。必须加强对地震机理、机制、地球板块运动、震源活动规律及趋势的探讨、认识与科学研究,逐步提高对地震的预警与预报,预防地震及地质灾害的水平,贯彻执行《防震减灾法》及有关律条例,复核、修订城镇工业、民用建筑和水利、水电工程抗震设防烈度及规范;结合生态环境修复,切实做好灾后重建工作。保护人民生命和财产安全,保障社会主义建设顺利进行,坚持可持续发展,构建和谐社会,确保长治久安。  相似文献   

14.
Based on faults surveying and research data in the Tianjin offshore areas, through studying tectonic structure, Quaternary activity, deep structure, stress and strain fields and seismicity in the Tianjin offshore areas, the activity and tectonic features of the faults are determined synthetically. Using seismo-geological data, and the historical and modern seismicity data, the frequency-magnitude relationship model normalized by 500a is established and based on the relationship between the upper limit of maximum magnitude Mu and at/b, the maximum magnitudes of the sea section of the Haihe river fault and the Haiyi fault are calculated. Then Poisson probability model is adopted and the quantitative parameters, such as the maximum magnitude, occurrence probability, recurrence cycle of the faults in the south Tianjin offshore areas in the coming 50 - 200a, are calculated.  相似文献   

15.
Using a time series method that combines both the persistent scatterer and small baseline approaches, we analyzed 9 scenes Envisat ASAR data over the L'Aquila earthquake, and obtained a Shocke's displacement field and its evolution processes. The results show that: (1) Envisat ASAR clearly detected the whole processes of displacement field of the L'Aquila earthquake, and distinct variations at different stages of the displacement field. (2) Preseismic creep displacement → displacement mutation when faulting → constantly slowed down after the earthquake. (3) The area of the strongest deformation and ground rupture was a low-lying oval depression region to the southeast. Surface faulting within a zone of about 22 km× 14 km, with an orientation of 135°, occurred along the NW-striking and SW-dipping Paganica-S. Demetrio normal fault. (4) In analyzing an area of about 54 km x 59 km, bounded by north-south axis to the epicenter, the displacement field has significant characteristics of a watershed: westward of the epicenter shows uplift with maximum of 130 mm in line-of-sight (LOS), and east of the epicenter was a region with 220 mm of maximum subsidence in the LOS, concentrating on the rupture zone, the majority of which formed in the course of faulting and subsequence.  相似文献   

16.
Monitoring of subsurface fluid (underground fluid) is an important part of efforts for earthquake prediction in China. The nationwide network, which monitors groundwater level, water temperature, and radon and mercury in groundwater, has been constructed in the last decades. Large amounts of abnormal fluid changes before and after major earthquakes have been recorded, providing precious data for research in earthquake sciences. Many studies have been done in earthquake fluid hydrogeology in order to probe the nature of the earthquake. Much progress in earthquake fluid hydrogeology has been made in the last decades. The paper provides a review of the advances in research on earthquake fluid hydrogeology over the last 40 years in China. It deals with the following five aspects: (1) an introduction to the development history of monitoring networks construction; (2) cases of different subsurface fluid changes recorded before some major earthquakes which occurred in the last decades; (3) characteristics of subsurface fluid changes following major earthquakes; (4) mechanism of subsurface fluid changes before and following earthquakes; (5) application of earthquake fluids in the hydrogeology field.  相似文献   

17.
The indirect boundary element method (IBEM) is used to study three-dimensional scattering of obliquely incident plane SH waves by an alluvial valley embedded in a layered half-space. The free-field response of the layered half-space is calculated by the direct stiffness method, and dynamic Green's functions of moving distributed loads acting on inclined lines in a layered half-space are calculated to simulate the scattering wave field. The presented method yields very accurate results since the three-dimensional dynamic stiffness matrix is exact and the moving distributed loads can act directly on the valley boundary without singularity. Numerical results and analyses are performed for amplification of obliquely incident plane SH waves around an alluvial valley in a uniform half-space and in single layer over half-space. The results show that the three-dimensional responses are distinctly different from the two-dimensional responses, and the displacement amplitudes around alluvial valleys in a uniform haft-space are obviously different from those in a layered half-space.  相似文献   

18.
In this paper, using the 1999 ~ 2007 GPS velocity field data, and by choosing the optimal block model, we obtained the deformation models applicable to the boundary zones of major blocks and the slip rates of block boundary faults on the mid-southern segment of the North-South Seismic Belt. The results show that: on the Longmenshan fault zone, the tensional and compressive slip rate is small on the Baoxing-Wenchuan segment, about 0. 5 ~ 1.8mm·a^-1, and the rate is relatively significant on the segment of the Wenchuan--Maoxian, as 1.8 ~3.8mm·a^-1; on the Xianshuihe fault belt, there is a certain difference in spatial distribution between the tensional slip rag.e and strike-slip rate: the tensional slip rate ( 8. lmm~a-1) is bigger than the sinistral strike-slip rate ( 4.8mm·a^-1) at the north of the Luhuo region; the tension and compression slip rate is basically the same as the strike-slip rate at Luhuo-Dawu; the Dawu-Kangding section presents a trend of decreased strike-slip rate and increased tensional slip rate; the Kangding-ghimian segment shows a strike-slip nature; the strike-slip rate is significantly greater than the tension/compression rate on the Xiaojiang fault zone; the slip rate on the Red River fault zone shows obvious spatial segmentation, the slip rate is smaller in its northwest part, but with a certain amount of tensional/compression component, 4. 7mm·a^-1 on the Jingdong segment. The segment east of Jingdong ( western Gejiu) is mainly of strike-slip, with a slip rate of 4. 5mm·a^-1.  相似文献   

19.
Comprehensive statistical analysis was performed on the basic features of focal mechanisms of 619 ML≥2.0 earthquakes which occurred in the capital circle area from January 2002 to June 2010. By dividing the capital area into three studying regions based on regional tectonic characteristics, cluster analysis was conducted on the focal mechanisms of all subregions using the longest distance method in the statistical cluster analysis to study the characteristics of tectonic stress tensors. The result shows that dominant P-axis azimuth distribution is NNE-NEE and that of T-axis is NNW--NWW, most of the focal areas are controlled by a horizontal stress field and rupture is mainly of horizontal strike-slip. The maximum principal compression stress orientation is NE75° in the west, NE62° in the middle, and near EW in the east of the capital area. The regional tectonic stress field is characterized by horizontal compression.  相似文献   

20.
汶川地震后的几点思考   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0  
本文认真思考了汶川地震对防震减灾各环节的影响,主要观点有:(1)地震预报很难,但不能不搞。(2)搞好建筑物的抗震设防、避让活断层与山地灾害隐患,或适当治理山地灾害隐患是震前防御减灾的有效途径。(3)汶川地震的紧急救援绩效卓著,但还有提升潜力。  相似文献   

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