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1.
H. Kiliç 《Solar physics》2009,255(1):155-162
The short-term periodicities in sunspot numbers, sunspot areas, and flare index data are investigated in detail using the
Date Compensated Discrete Fourier Transform (DCDFT) for the full disk of the Sun separately over the rising, the maximum,
and the declining portions of solar cycle 23 (1996 – 2006). While sunspot numbers and areas show several significant periodicities
in a wide range between 23.1 and 36.4 days, the flare index data do not exhibit any significant periodicity. The earlier conclusion
of Pap, Tobiska, and Bouwer (1990, Solar Phys.
129, 165) and Kane (2003, J. Atmos. Solar-Terr. Phys.
65, 1169), that the 27-day periodicity is more pronounced in the declining portion of a solar cycle than in the rising and maximum
ones, seems to be true for sunspot numbers and sunspot area data analyzed here during solar cycle 23. 相似文献
2.
Results are presented from a study of solar radius measurements taken with the solar astrolabe at the TUBITAK National Observatory
(TUG) over seven years, 2001–2007. The data series with standard deviation of 0.35 arcsec shows the long-term variational
trend with 0.04 arcsec/year. On the other hand, the data series of solar radius are compared with the data of sunspot activity
and H-α flare index for the same period. Over the seven year trend, we have found significant linear anti-correlations between the
solar radius and other indicators such as sunspot numbers, sunspot areas, and H-α flare index. While the solar radius displays the strongest anti-correlation (−0.7676) with sunspot numbers, it shows a significant
anti-correlation of −0.6365 with sunspot areas. But, the anti-correlation between the solar radius and H-α flare index is found to be −0.4975, slightly lower than others. In addition, we computed Hurst exponent of the data sets
ranging between 0.7214 and 0.7996, exhibiting the persistent behavior for the long term trend. In the light of the strong
correlations with high significance, we may suggest that there are a causal relationship between the solar radius and solar
time series such as sunspot activity and H-α flare index. 相似文献
3.
In the present study, the short-term periodicities in the daily data of the sunspot numbers and areas are investigated separately
for the full disk, northern, and southern hemispheres during Solar Cycle 23 for a time interval from 1 January 2003 to 30
November 2007 corresponding to the descending and minimum phase of the cycle. The wavelet power spectrum technique exhibited
a number of quasi-periodic oscillations in all the datasets. In the high frequency range, we find a prominent period of 22 – 35
days in both sunspot indicators. Other quasi-periods in the range of 40 – 60, 70 – 90, 110 – 130, 140 – 160, and 220 – 240
days are detected in the sunspot number time series in different hemispheres at different time intervals. In the sunspot area
data, quasi-periods in the range of 50 – 80, 90 – 110, 115 – 130, 140 – 155, 160 – 190, and about 230 days were noted in different
hemispheres within the time period of analysis. The present investigation shows that the well-known “Rieger periodicity” of
150 – 160 days reappears during the descending phase of Solar Cycle 23, but this is prominent mainly in the southern part
of the Sun. Possible explanations of these observed periodicities are delivered on the basis of earlier results detected in
photospheric magnetic field time series (Knaack, Stenflo, and Berdyugina in Astron. Astrophys.
438, 1067, 2005) and solar r-mode oscillations. 相似文献
4.
R. P. Kane 《Solar physics》2007,245(2):415-421
The occurrence of double peaks near the maximum of sunspot activity was first emphasized by Gnevyshev (Solar Phys.
1, 107, 1967) for the peak years of solar cycle 19 (1954 – 1964). In the present analysis, it is shown that double peaks in sunspot numbers
were clearly visible in solar latitudes 10 – 30° N but almost absent in the southern latitudes, where some single peaks were
observed out of phase by several months from any of the peaks in the northern latitudes. The spacing between the double peaks
increased from higher to lower northern latitudes, hinting at latitudinal migration. In the next cycle 20 (1965 – 1976), which
was of about half the strength of cycle 19, no clear-cut double peaks were seen, and the prominent peak in the early part
of 1967 in the northern latitudes was seen a few months later in the southern latitudes. A direct relationship of Gnevyshev
peaks with changes in the solar polar magnetic fields seems to be dubious. The commencements do not match. 相似文献
5.
R. P. Kane 《Solar physics》2007,246(2):471-485
Many methods of predictions of sunspot maximum number use data before or at the preceding sunspot minimum to correlate with
the following sunspot maximum of the same cycle, which occurs a few years later. Kane and Trivedi (Solar Phys. 68, 135, 1980) found that correlations of R
z(max) (the maximum in the 12-month running means of sunspot number R
z) with R
z(min) (the minimum in the 12-month running means of sunspot number R
z) in the solar latitude belt 20° – 40°, particularly in the southern hemisphere, exceeded 0.6 and was still higher (0.86)
for the narrower belt > 30° S. Recently, Javaraiah (Mon. Not. Roy. Astron. Soc.
377, L34, 2007) studied the relationship of sunspot areas at different solar latitudes and reported correlations 0.95 – 0.97 between minima and maxima of sunspot areas at low latitudes
and sunspot maxima of the next cycle, and predictions could be made with an antecedence of more than 11 years. For the present
study, we selected another parameter, namely, SGN, the sunspot group number (irrespective of their areas) and found that SGN(min) during a sunspot minimum year at latitudes > 30° S had a correlation
+0.78±0.11 with the sunspot number R
z(max) of the same cycle. Also, the SGN during a sunspot minimum year in the latitude belt (10° – 30° N) had a correlation +0.87±0.07 with the
sunspot number R
z(max) of the next cycle. We obtain an appropriate regression equation, from which our prediction for the coming cycle 24 is R
z(max )=129.7±16.3. 相似文献
6.
Based on the extended Greenwich – NOAA/USAF catalogue of sunspot groups, it is demonstrated that the parameters describing
the latitudinal width of the sunspot generating zone (SGZ) are closely related to the current level of solar activity, and
the growth of the activity leads to the expansion of the SGZ. The ratio of the sunspot number to the width of the SGZ shows
saturation at a certain level of the sunspot number, and above this level the increase of the activity takes place mostly
due to the expansion of the SGZ. It is shown that the mean latitudes of sunspots can be reconstructed from the amplitudes
of solar activity. Using the obtained relations and the group sunspot numbers by Hoyt and Schatten (Solar Phys.
179, 189, 1998), the latitude distribution of sunspot groups (“the Maunder butterfly diagram”) for the eighteenth and the first half of
the nineteenth centuries is reconstructed and compared with historical sunspot observations. 相似文献
7.
David A. Juckett 《Solar physics》2010,262(1):3-17
Wolff (Astrophys. J.
193, 721, 1974) introduced the concept of g-mode coupling within the solar interior. Subsequently, Wolff developed a more quantitative model invoking a reciprocal interaction
between coupled g modes and burning in the solar core. Coupling is proposed to occur for constant values of the spherical harmonic degree [ℓ] creating rigidly rotating structures denoted as sets(ℓ). Power would be concentrated near the core and the top of radiative zone [RZ] in narrow intervals of longitude on opposite
sides of the Sun. Sets(ℓ) would migrate retrograde in the RZ as function of ℓ and their intersections would deposit extra energy at the top of the RZ. It is proposed that this enhances sunspot eruptions
at particular longitudes and at regular time intervals. Juckett and Wolff (Solar Phys.
252, 247, 2008) detected this enhancement by viewing selected spherical harmonics of sunspot patterns within stackplots twisted into the
relative rotational frames of various sets(ℓ). In subsequent work, the timings of the set(ℓ) intersections were compared to the sub-decadal variability of the sunspot cycle. Seventeen sub-decadal intersection frequencies
(0.63 – 7.0 year) were synchronous with 17 frequencies in the sunspot time-series with a mean correlation of 0.96. Six additional
non-11-year frequencies (periods of 8.0 to 28.7 year) are now shown to be nearly synchronous between sunspot variability and
the model. Two additional intersections have the same frequency as the solar cycle itself and peak during the rising phase
of the solar cycle. This may be partly responsible for cycle asymmetry. These results are evidence that some of the solar-cycle
variability may be attributable to deterministic components that are intermixed with a broad-spectrum stochastic and long-term
chaotic background. 相似文献
8.
Radosław Rek 《Solar physics》2010,261(2):337-351
The Maunder Minimum was the time during the second part of the 17th century, nominally from 1645 to 1717 AD, when unusually
low numbers of sunspots were observed. On the basis of numerous recorded observations of auroras in the early 18th century,
the end of the Minimum could be regarded as around 1700, but details of sunspot observations by Jan Heweliusz (Heweliusz,
Machina Coelestis, 1679), John Flamsteed and Philippe de La Hire in 1684 allow us to interpret the Maunder Minimum as the period without a significant
cessation of activity. This Minimum was also recognized in 14C data from trees which grew during the second part of 17th century.
The variation in the production rate of radioactive carbon isotope 14C is due to modulation of the cosmic ray flux producing it by the changing level of solar activity and solar magnetic flux.
Stronger magnetic fields in the solar wind make it more difficult for cosmic rays to reach the Earth, causing a drop in the
production rate of 14C. However, more detailed analyses of 14C data indicate that the highest isotope abundances do not occur at the time of sunspot minima, as would be expected on the
basis of modulation of the cosmic ray flux by the solar magnetic field, but two years after the sunspot number maximum. This
time difference (or phase delay) can be accounted for if in fact there are both solar and non-solar cosmic ray contributions.
Solar flares could also contribute high-energy particles and produce 14C and are generally not most frequent at the time of the highest sunspot numbers in the cycle. 相似文献
9.
R. P. Kane 《Solar physics》2008,249(2):369-380
The sunspot number series at the peak of sunspot activity often has two or three peaks (Gnevyshev peaks; Gnevyshev, Solar Phys.
1, 107, 1967; Solar Phys.
51, 175, 1977). The sunspot group number (SGN) data were examined for 1997 – 2003 (part of cycle 23) and compared with data for coronal
mass ejection (CME) events. It was noticed that they exhibited mostly two Gnevyshev peaks in each of the four latitude belts
0° – 10°, 10° – 20°, 20 ° – 30°, and > 30°, in both N (northern) and S (southern) solar hemispheres. The SGN were confined
to within latitudes ± 50° around the Equator, mostly around ± 35°, and seemed to occur later in lower latitudes, indicating
possible latitudinal migration as in the Maunder butterfly diagrams. In CMEs, less energetic CMEs (of widths < 71°) showed
prominent Gnevyshev peaks during sunspot maximum years in almost all latitude belts, including near the poles. The CME activity
lasted longer than the SGN activity. However, the CME peaks did not match the SGN peaks and were almost simultaneous at different
latitudes, indicating no latitudinal migration. In energetic CMEs including halo CMEs, the Gnevyshev peaks were obscure and
ill-defined. The solar polar magnetic fields show polarity reversal during sunspot maximum years, first at the North Pole
and, a few months later, at the South Pole. However, the CME peaks and gaps did not match with the magnetic field reversal
times, preceding them by several months, rendering any cause – effect relationship doubtful. 相似文献
10.
Mausumi Dikpati Peter A. Gilman Giuliana de Toma Siddhartha S. Ghosh 《Solar physics》2007,245(1):1-17
We use the flux-transport dynamo prediction scheme introduced by Dikpati, de Toma, and Gilman (Geophys. Res. Lett.
33, L05102, 2006) to make separate simulations and predictions of sunspot cycle peaks for northern and southern hemispheres. Despite the division
of the data, the skill level achieved is only slightly lower than that achieved for the sum of both hemispheres. The model
shows skill at simulating and predicting the difference in peaks between North and South, provided that difference is more
than a few percent. The simulation and prediction skill is achieved without adjustment to any parameters of the model that
were used when peaks for the sum of North and South sunspot areas was simulated. The results are also very insensitive to
the averaging length applied to the input data, provided the simulations and predictions are for peaks defined by averaging
the observations over at least 13 rotations. However, in its present form, the model is not capable of skillfully simulating
or predicting short-time-scale features of individual solar cycles. 相似文献
11.
太阳活动周期的小波分析 总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5
运用小波技术对太阳射电流量2800 MHz,太阳黑子数和太阳黑子面积数周期进行分析．其结果表明: (1)这3个系列的数据显示最显著的周期是10．69年,其他周期并不明显．(2)小波功率谱给出了全部时间-周期范围的功率谱变化,它显示了在某个周期处于某个时段的局部功率的变化,小波功率谱分析表明,小于1年的周期仅仅在太阳活动最大期附近比较明显．(3)太阳射电2800 MHz,太阳黑子数和太阳黑子面积数的几个周期(10．69年,5．11年, 155．5天)的小波功率谱比较相似,出现峰值的时间相同;曲线的起伏相似,周期越小,曲线起伏的频率越大． 相似文献
12.
The wavelet analysis of the period of solar activity 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Zhan La-sheng He Juan-mei Ye Yi-lin Zhao Hai-juan 《Chinese Astronomy and Astrophysics》2006,30(4):393-401
Using the wavelet technique, we analyzed the time series of solar radio fluxes at 2800 MHz as well as sunspot numbers and areas. The results are as follows: (1) These three data sets demonstrate that the most prominent period is 10.69 years and that all other periods are not obvious. (2) The wavelet power spectrum displays the changes of the power spectrum over the entire time-period range and shows the variations in the local power of a given period in a given time interval. Our analysis shows that periods shorter than one year are distinct only around solar activity maximum. (3) The time curves of the wavelet power at three periods (10.69 years, 5.11 years and 155.5 days) for the three times series are rather alike, with the same times of peaks and similar undulations. The shorter the period, the more frequent the fluctuations. 相似文献
13.
K. J. Li Q. X. Li P. X. Gao J. Mu H. D. Chen T. W. Su 《Journal of Astrophysics and Astronomy》2007,28(2-3):147-156
Long-term variation in the distribution of the solar filaments observed at the Observatorie de Paris, Section de Meudon from
March 1919 to December 1989 is presented to compare with sunspot cycle and to study the periodicity in the filament activity,
namely the periods of the coronal activity with the Morlet wavelet used. It is inferred that the activity cycle of solar filaments
should have the same cycle length as sunspot cycle, but the cycle behavior of solar filaments is globally similar in profile
with, but different in detail from, that of sunspot cycles. The amplitude of solar magnetic activity should not keep in phase
with the complexity of solar magnetic activity. The possible periods in the filament activity are about 10.44 and 19.20 years.
The wavelet local power spectrum of the period 10.44 years is statistically significant during the whole consideration time.
The wavelet local power spectrum of the period 19.20 years is under the 95% confidence spectrum during the whole consideration
time, but over the mean red-noise spectrum of α = 0.72 before approximate Carrington rotation number 1500, and after that the filament activity does not statistically show
the period. Wavelet reconstruction indicates that the early data of the filament archive (in and before cycle 16) are more
noiseful than the later (in and after cycle 17). 相似文献
14.
Solar neutrino in relation to solar activity 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
D. Basu 《Solar physics》1992,142(1):205-208
Here we have carried out a power-spectrum analysis of solar nuclear gamma-ray (NGR) flares observed by SMM and HINOTORI satellites. The solar NGR flares show a periodicity of 152 days, confirming the existence of a 152–158 days periodicity in the occurrence of solar activity phenomena and also indicating that the NGR flares are a separate class of solar flares. The power-spectrum analysis of the daily sunspot areas on the Sun for the period 1980–1982 shows a peak around 159 days while sunspot number data do not show any periodicity (Verma and Joshi, 1987). Therefore, only sunspot area data should be treated as an indicator of solar activity and not the daily sunspot number data. 相似文献
15.
K. M. Hiremath 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2008,314(1-3):45-49
In the previous study (Hiremath, Astron. Astrophys. 452:591, 2006a), the solar cycle is modeled as a forced and damped harmonic oscillator and from all the 22 cycles (1755–1996), long-term
amplitudes, frequencies, phases and decay factor are obtained. Using these physical parameters of the previous 22 solar cycles
and by an autoregressive model, we predict the amplitude and period of the present cycle 23 and future fifteen solar cycles. The period of present solar
cycle 23 is estimated to be 11.73 years and it is expected that onset of next sunspot activity cycle 24 might starts during
the period 2008.57±0.17 (i.e., around May–September 2008). The predicted period and amplitude of the present cycle 23 are almost similar to the period
and amplitude of the observed cycle. With these encouraging results, we also predict the profiles of future 15 solar cycles.
Important predictions are: (i) the period and amplitude of the cycle 24 are 9.34 years and 110 (±11), (ii) the period and
amplitude of the cycle 25 are 12.49 years and 110 (±11), (iii) during the cycles 26 (2030–2042 AD), 27 (2042–2054 AD), 34
(2118–2127 AD), 37 (2152–2163 AD) and 38 (2163–2176 AD), the sun might experience a very high sunspot activity, (iv) the sun
might also experience a very low (around 60) sunspot activity during cycle 31 (2089–2100 AD) and, (v) length of the solar
cycles vary from 8.65 years for the cycle 33 to maximum of 13.07 years for the cycle 35. 相似文献
16.
We have analysed the observations of Solar Ca+K daily plage area for the period 1951-1977 to find evidence for the existence of short period (around 12–13 days) variation
in the data. We divided the data in three groups—two corresponding to 10–20‡N and 10–20‡S latitude belts, and one corresponding
to the total plage area—and used the power spectrum and autocorrelation techniques for the analysis. Both the techniques clearly
show the 27-day periodicity due to solar rotation modulation in all the sets. A 12–13 day periodicity is seen in only 3, out
of a total of 57 data sets when autocorrelation technique is used. A generally weak peak around 12–13 days is, however, seen
in the power spectrum of all the data sets. The relative power in the 12–13 day peak is found to be significantly higher in
those three data sets where the autocorrelation also shows this periodicity. On these two epochs the sunspot area distribution
showed the existence of two distinct active longitudes separated by about 140–170 degrees. This seems to be the cause for
the existence of a periodicity around 12–13 days in the autocorrelation and enhancement in the relative power of the 12–13
days peak in the power spectrum of these two epochs 相似文献
17.
Wavelet Analysis of solar,solar wind and geomagnetic parameters 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
The sunspot number, solar wind plasma, interplanetary magnetic field, and geomagnetic activity index A
p have been analyzed using a wavelet technique to look for the presence of periods and the temporal evolution of these periods. The global wavelet spectra of these parameters, which provide information about the temporal average strength of quasi periods, exhibit the presence of a variety of prominent quasi periods around 16 years, 10.6 years, 9.6 years, 5.5 years, 1.3 years, 180 days, 154 days, 27 days, and 14 days. The wavelet spectra of sunspot number during 1873–2000, geomagnetic activity index A
p during 1932–2000, and solar wind velocity and interplanetary magnetic field during 1964–2000 indicate that their spectral power evolves with time. In general, the power of the oscillations with a period of less than one year evolves rapidly with the phase of the solar cycle with their peak values changing from one cycle to the next. The temporal evolution of wavelet power in R
z, v
sw, n, B
y, B
z, |B|, and A
p for each of the prominent quasi periods is studied in detail. 相似文献
18.
One goal of helioseismology is to determine the subsurface structure of sunspots. In order to do so, it is important to understand
first the near-surface effects of sunspots on solar waves, which are dominant. Here we construct simplified, cylindrically-symmetric
sunspot models that are designed to capture the magnetic and thermodynamics effects coming from about 500 km below the quiet-Sun
τ
5000=1 level to the lower chromosphere. We use a combination of existing semi-empirical models of sunspot thermodynamic structure
(density, temperature, pressure): the umbral model of Maltby et al. (1986, Astrophys. J. 306, 284) and the penumbral model of Ding and Fang (1989, Astron. Astrophys. 225, 204). The OPAL equation-of-state tables are used to derive the sound-speed profile. We smoothly merge the near-surface properties
to the quiet-Sun values about 1 Mm below the surface. The umbral and penumbral radii are free parameters. The magnetic field
is added to the thermodynamic structure, without requiring magnetostatic equilibrium. The vertical component of the magnetic
field is assumed to have a Gaussian horizontal profile, with a maximum surface field strength fixed by surface observations.
The full magnetic-field vector is solenoidal and determined by the on-axis vertical field, which, at the surface, is chosen
such that the field inclination is 45° at the umbral – penumbral boundary. We construct a particular sunspot model based on
SOHO/MDI observations of the sunspot in active region NOAA 9787. The helioseismic signature of the model sunspot is studied
using numerical simulations of the propagation of f, p
1, and p
2 wave packets. These simulations are compared against cross-covariances of the observed wave field. We find that the sunspot
model gives a helioseismic signature that is similar to the observations. 相似文献
19.
George L. Withbroe 《Solar physics》2009,257(1):71-81
The daily images and magnetograms acquired by MDI are a rich source of information about the contributions of different types
of solar regions to variations in the total solar irradiance (TSI). These data have been used to determine the temporal variation
of the MDI irradiance, the mean intensity of the solar disk in the continuum at 676.8 nm. The short-term (days to weeks) variations
of the MDI irradiance and TSI are in excellent agreement with rms differences of 0.011%. This indicates that MDI irradiance
is an excellent proxy for short-term variations of TSI from the competing irradiance contributions of regions causing irradiance
increases, such as plages and bright network, and regions causing irradiance decreases, such as sunspots. However, the long-term
or solar cycle variation of the MDI proxy and TSI differ over the 11-year period studied. The results indicate that the primary
sources of the long-term (several months or more) variations in TSI are regions with magnetic fields between about 80 and
600 G. The results also suggest that the difference in the long-term variations of the MDI proxy and TSI is due to a component
of TSI associated with sectors of the solar spectrum where the contrast in intensity between plages and the quiet Sun is enhanced
(e.g., the UV) compared to the MDI proxy. This is evidence that the long-term variation of TSI is due primarily to solar cycle
variations of the irradiance from these portions of solar spectrum, a finding consistent with modeling calculations indicating
that approximately 60% of the change in TSI between solar minimum and maximum is produced by the UV part of the spectrum shortward
of 400 nm (Solanki and Krivova, Space Sci. Rev. 125, 53, 2006). 相似文献
20.
In the present investigation, we have carried out power spectrum analysis of sunspot number and great hard x-ray (GHXR) burst (equal to or greater than 10,000 counts per second) for a period of about 6 years. The GHXR bursts show a periodicity of about 155 days. On the other hand, sunspot numbers do not show any periodicity. The GHXR burst periodicity confirms the existence of a 152–158 days periodicity in the occurrence of solar energetic events. Further, the GHXR bursts are showing periodicity independently indicating that the GHXR bursts are a separate class of X-ray flares. 相似文献