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1.
江滢 《气候变化研究进展》2006,2(1):46-46
由中国气象局主办,国家外国专家局和国家自然科学基金委协办的第三届气候系统与气候变化国际讲习班(International Seminar on Climate System and Climate Change,ISCS)将于2006年7月17-29日在 相似文献
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张雁 《气候变化研究进展》2009,(5):310-310
2009年7月20-30日,由中国气象局主办,国家外国专家局、国家自然科学基金委和全球变化分析研究和培训影响系统（START）协办的“第六届气候系统与气候变化国际讲习班”（The Sixth International Seminar on Climate System and Climate Change, ISCS）在京举办。 相似文献
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Numerical Simulation Study on the Scientific and Methodological Aspects of the Brazilian Proposal 
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下载免费PDF全文 1. IntroductionObservations of surface air temperature indicatethat a significant global average warming has occurredduring the 20th century. The Intergovernmental Panelon Climate Change (IPCC, 2001) concludes that thereis new and stronger evidence that man has influencedthe climate. International negotiations have led to afirst step in combating climate change with the UnitedNations Framework Convention on Climate Change(UNFCCC) and the Kyoto Protocol, but further stepsare needed in … 相似文献
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《气候变化研究进展》2005,(1)
由中国气象局主办,国家外国专家局和国家自然科学基金委协办的第二届“气候系统与气候变化国际讲习班”(International Seminar on Climate System and Climate Change, ISCS)将于2005年7月18-29日在中国气象局举行。届时将邀请来自法国、美国和澳大利亚等国的5-7名国际著名专家前来执教。讲习班主要面向中国气象局、中国科学院、相关部委、高校以及亚洲其他国家从事气候研究的科研人员和研究生。此次办班的目的是:了解国际前沿及热点问 相似文献
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Future changes in the climate regimes over China as measured by the Kppen climate classification are reported in this paper. The analysis is based on a high-resolution climate change simulation conducted by a regional climate model (the Abdus Salam International Center for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) RegCM3) driven by the global model of Center for Climate System Research (CCSR)/National Institute for Environment Studies (NIES)/Frontier Research Center for Global Change (FRCGC) MIROC3.2_hires (the Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate) under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A1B scenario. Validation of the model performances is presented first. The results show that RegCM3 reproduces the present-day distribution of the Kppen climate types well. Significant changes of the types are found in the future over China, following the simulated warming and precipitation changes. In southern China, the change is characterized by the replacement of subtropical humid (Cr) by subtropical winter-dry (Cw). A pronounced decrease of the cold climate types is found over China, e.g., tundra (Ft) over the Tibetan Plateau and sub-arctic continental (Ec) over northeast China. The changes are usually greater in the end compared with the middle of the 21st century. 相似文献
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Liguang WU Bin WANG Johnny CLCHAN Kyung-Ja HA Il-Ju MOON Jun MATSUMOTO Zhemin TAN Ke FAN 《大气科学进展》2022,39(2):203-204
Tropical cyclones(TCs) are one of the most destructive natural phenomena on Earth in terms of human-life and economic losses. It is currently a matter of prodigious public and scientific interest how TC activity has changed and will change in a warming climate. This special issue focuses on a challenging subject raised in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC) report and numerous research papers. 相似文献
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An Overview of BCC Climate System Model Development and Application for Climate Change Studies 下载免费PDF全文
下载免费PDF全文 WU Tongwen SONG Lianchun LI Weiping WANG Zaizhi ZHANG Hu XIN Xiaoge ZHANG Yanwu ZHANG Li LI Jianglong WU Fanghu LIU Yiming ZHANG Fang SHI Xueli CHU Min ZHANG Jie FANG Yongjie WANG Fang LU Yixiong LIU Xiangwen WEI Min LIU Qianxi ZHOU Wenyan DONG Min ZHAO Qigeng JI Jinjun Laurent LI ZHOU Mingyu 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2014,28(1):34-56
This paper reviews recent progress in the development of the Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model(BCC-CSM) and its four component models(atmosphere,land surface,ocean,and sea ice).Two recent versions are described:BCC-CSM1.1 with coarse resolution(approximately 2.8125°×2.8125°) and BCC-CSM1.1(m) with moderate resolution(approximately 1.125°×1.125°).Both versions are fully coupled climate-carbon cycle models that simulate the global terrestrial and oceanic carbon cycles and include dynamic vegetation.Both models well simulate the concentration and temporal evolution of atmospheric CO_2 during the 20th century with anthropogenic CO2 emissions prescribed.Simulations using these two versions of the BCC-CSM model have been contributed to the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase five(CMIP5) in support of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report(AR5).These simulations are available for use by both national and international communities for investigating global climate change and for future climate projections.Simulations of the 20th century climate using BCC-CSMl.l and BCC-CSMl.l(m) are presented and validated,with particular focus on the spatial pattern and seasonal evolution of precipitation and surface air temperature on global and continental scales.Simulations of climate during the last millennium and projections of climate change during the next century are also presented and discussed.Both BCC-CSMl.l and BCC-CSMl.l(m) perform well when compared with other CMIP5 models.Preliminary analyses indicate that the higher resolution in BCC-CSM1.1(m) improves the simulation of mean climate relative to BCC-CSMl.l,particularly on regional scales. 相似文献
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As one of the participants in the Subseasonal to Seasonal(S2S) Prediction Project, the China Meteorological Administration(CMA) has adopted several model versions to participate in the S2S Project. This study evaluates the models’ capability to simulate and predict the Madden-Julian Oscillation(MJO). Three versions of the Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model(BCC-CSM) are used to conduct historical simulations and re-forecast experiments(referred to as EXP1, EXP1-M, and EXP2, respectively)... 相似文献
10.
不同水平分辨率BCC_CSM模式对中亚地面气温模拟能力评估 总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1
本研究基于IPCC AR5(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change:Fifth Assessment Report)中BCC_CSM1.1(Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model version 1.1)和BCC_CSM1.1(m)(Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model version 1.1 with a Moderate Resolution)气候模式的历史试验结果和CRU(Climatic Research Unit)资料, 采用趋势分析和滑动平均等方法检验了两个版本BCC_CSM模式对中亚地区1948～2011年平均地表气温、各热通量及其趋势的模拟性能, 并讨论了不同模式水平分辨率的影响, 结果显示:BCC_CSM1.1和BCC_CSM1.1(m)两个模式均能够模拟出中亚地区显著增温以及感热通量、长/短波净辐射等要素由南向北递减的总体趋势。其中, BCC_CSM1.1(m) 在对中亚地面年平均气温、感热通量和长/短波净辐射空间分布的模拟结果好于BCC_CSM1.1, 但对于气温标准差的模拟, BCC-CSM1.1模式略好于BCC-CSM1.1(m)。模式分辨率的提高, 能够更好地表现出地形的影响, 对气温和各热通量模拟性能改善较大, 在中亚地区年平均气温的模拟中表现出了一定的优势。 相似文献
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Simulated Change in the Interannual Variability of South Asian Summer Monsoon in the 21st Century 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
This study investigates the projected changes in interannual variability of South Asian summer monsoon and changes of ENSO-monsoon relationships in the 21st century under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scenarios A1B and A2, respectively, by analyzing the simulated results of twelve Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 3 (CMIP3) coupled models. The dynamical monsoon index (DMI) was adopted to describe the interannual variability of South Asian summer monsoon, and the standard dev... 相似文献
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Tianjun Zhou 《大气科学进展》2020,37(10):1033-1033
正The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) supports research in climate change and assessment, including the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Assessment Report (AR), through providing enormous datasets mainly produced by Earth system models (ESMs) and climate system models (CSMs). The newest (sixth) phase of CMIP(CMIP6) has been launched, including the DECK (Diagnostic, Evaluation and Characterization of Klima) and 23 endorsed MIP experiments, to address new scientific questions in climate fields (Eyring et al., 2016). Now, the datasets simulated by 相似文献
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The observed meridional overturning circulation (MOC) and meridional heat transport (MHT) estimated from the Rapid Climate Change/Meridional Circulation and Heat Flux Array (RAPID/MOCHA) at 26.5°N are used to evaluate the volume and heat transport in the eddy-resolving model LASG/IAP Climate system Ocean Model (LICOM). The authors find that the Florida Current transport and upper mid-ocean transport of the model are underestimated against the observations. The simulated variability of MOC and MHT show a high correlation with the observations, exceeding 0.6. Both the simu-lated and observed MOC and MHT show a significant seasonal variability. According to the power spectrum analysis, LICOM can represent the mesoscale eddy characteristic of the MOC similar to the observation. The model shows a high correlation of 0.58 for the internal upper mid-ocean transport (MO) and a density difference between the western and eastern boundaries, as noted in previous studies. 相似文献
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许红梅 《气象科技合作动态》2009,(4):18-20
2009年3月30日至4月4日,国家气候中心许红梅作为英国自然环境研究理事会资助项目“定量理解地球系统” （ QUEST ： Quantifying and Un derstanding the Earth System）第3课题“全球尺度气候变化的影响：多部门综合评估（ GSI： Global-Scale Impacts of Climate Change： an Integrated Multi-Sectoral Assessment ）”的参加人,受英国伦敦学院大学（UCL：University College London）地理系邀请,参加了在UCI,召开的QUEST—GSI项目关于水资源的研讨会。 相似文献
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李双林 《大气和海洋科学快报》2008,1(1):12-17
Since no consensus has been reached in previous studies about how the summer climate in China will evolve in the first half of the 21st century, this issue is addressed here through sensitivity experiments by forcing an atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM), the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL)’s Atmospheric Model Version 2.0 (AM2) with projected sea surface temperature (SST) trend. A total of two SST trends from the Intergovernmental Panels on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenario (SRES) A1B are used. The two trends are from two coupled climate system models, the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Community Climate System Model Version 3.0 (CCSM3) and the GFDL Climate Model Version 2.0 (CM2), respectively. Results consistently suggest a substantial warming and drying trend over much of China, with a surface air temperature increase of 1.0-2.0oC and a 10%-20% decrease in rainfall. Exceptions are the areas from northwestern China to western North China as well as the southern Tibetan Plateau, which are projected to be wetter with a rainfall anomaly percentage increase of 10%-50%. The drying in eastern North China has not been documented to date but appears to be reasonable. Physically, it is attributed to anomalous northeasterly winds at the rear of a low-level cyclone over the South China Sea, the Philippines and the subtropical western North Pacific. These conditions, which govern the climate of eastern China, are forced by the northward shift of convection over warm waters due to additional warming. 相似文献
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《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》1998,(4)
N0.1Studies on Climate Change in China in Reeent 45 Years ..................................................·························……chen Longx“n(陈隆勋)et al.Simulation of Monthly Climatie Mean Field in January and July in Q 相似文献
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The 26th Conference of the Parties(COP26) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change(UNFCCC) was held in Glasgow a year later than scheduled, with expected outcomes achieved under a post-pandemic background. Based on the Issue-Actor-Mechanism Framework, this paper systematically evaluates the outcomes achieved at COP26 and analyzes the tendency of post-COP26 climate negotiations. Overall, with the concerted efforts of all parties,COP26 has achieved a balanced and inclusive pack... 相似文献
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Projected Climate Change in the Northwestern Arid Regions of China: An Ensemble of Regional Climate Model Simulations 下载免费PDF全文
下载免费PDF全文 The projected temperature and precipitationchange under different emissions scenarios using Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 models over the northwestern arid regions of China(NWAC) were analyzed using the ensemble of three high-resolution dynamical downscaling simulations: the simulation of the Regional Climate Model version 4.0(Reg CM4) forced by the Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model version 1.1(BCC_CSM1.1); the Hadley Centre Global Environmental Model version 3 regional climate model(Had GEM3-RA) forced by the Atmosphere-Ocean coupled Had GEM version 2(Had GEM2-AO); and the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) model forced by the Norwegian community Earth System Model(Nor ESM1-M). Model validation indicated that the multimodel simulations reproduce the spatial and temporal distribution of temperature and precipitation well. The temperature is projected to increase over NWAC under both the 4.5 and 8.5 Representative Concentration Pathways scenarios(RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively) in the middle of the 21 st century, but the warming trend is larger under the RCP8.5 scenario. Precipitation shows a significant increasing trend in spring and winter under both RCP4.5 and RCP8.5; but in summer, precipitation is projected to decrease in the Tarim Basin and Junggar Basin. The regional averaged temperature and precipitation show increasing trends in the future over NWAC; meanwhile, the large variability of the winter mean temperature and precipitation may induce more extreme cold events and intense snowfall events in these regions in the future. 相似文献
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张雁 《气候变化研究进展》2007,3(4):207-207
2007年6月18-21日,以"气候系统、地球生态系统及流域管理的概念与综合模拟"(Conceptual and Integrated Modeling in Climate System,Geo-ecosystem and 相似文献