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1.
Conclusion Based on the analysis about the law of deformation rate, the concepts of the deformation rate of precursor, and its stress
drop, and the stress drop of instability are discussed. According to the obtained deformationu
0 corresponding to the maximum stress, the unstable pointu
1 and the stable pointu
2 of equilibrium, the complete process of rock failure can be divided into four stages quantitatively, corresponding to “the
steady stage I”, “the precursor stage II”, “the unstable stage III” and “the later stage IV” of rock failure respectively,
which can be used to simulate the complete course of earthquake. This kind of similarity between the complete process of rock
failure and the complete course of earthquake suggests clearly the direction to reveal the law being of universal significance
for the simulation of the earthquake in the laboratory experiments.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,13, 517–521, 1991. 相似文献
2.
Following a new train of thinking, this paper has explored first the potential information in the ground resistivity data observed by the existing geoelectric observation system, investigated and proposed a new dimensionless geoelectric precursor factor, the degree of ground resistivity anisotropy, S, and studied the characteristics of dynamic evolution pattern of S during the seismogenic process. The results show that, during the seismogenic process, the degree of ground resistivity anisotropy (S) displays a process of 'normal' →'abnormal strengthening (amplitude, range)' →abnormal weakening' → 'earthquake occurrence'→ 'normal'. The earthquake would occur at the time when the S value has entered the late stage of strengthening and turns to weaken and in the gradient belt on the margin of S anomaly region. The dynamic evolution pattern of S reflects the changes of the tectonic stress field during the seismogenic process. Therefore, it would be possible to trace the process of earthquake generation and occurrence from the dynamic evolution pattern of S so as to service earthquake prediction. 相似文献
3.
葛焕称 《地震学报(英文版)》1995,8(1):57-63
ＯｎｓｏｍｅｐｒｏｂｌｅｍｓｏｆｓｅｉｓｍｉｃｃｒｕｓｔａｌｐｈａｓｅＨｕａｎ－ＣｈｅｎｇＧＥ（葛焕称）（ＳｅｉｓｍｏｌｏｇｉｃａｌＢｕｒｅａｕｏｆＪｉａｎｇｓｕＰｒｏｖｉｎｃｅ,Ｎａｎｊｉｎｇ２１００１４,Ｃｈｉｎａ）Ａｂｓｔｒａｃｔ：Ｉｎｔｈｉｓ... 相似文献
4.
Willem V. R. Malkus 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1983,121(3):391-400
A new formulation of the problem of the statistical stability of fully turbulent shear flow is proposed, in which one seeks
mean fields that bound the observed flow from the stable side. In the spirit of maximum transport theory, this formulation
admits a larger set of “flows” than are dynamically possible. A sequence of constraints derived from the equations of motion
can narrow this set, permitting at each step the determination of a “most stable” field free of any empirical elements. Turbulent
channel flow is proposed as the first application and test of this quantitative theory. Past deductive theories for this flow,
from “mean field” to “transport upper bounds,” are assessed. It is shown why these theories do not retain the significant
destabilizing mechanisms of the actual flow. The implications for turbulent flow of recent work on the nonlinear and three-dimensional
instability of laminar shearing flow are described. In first exploration of the “decoupled mean” stability theory proposed
here, approximate analytical and numerical stability methods are used to find an amplitude and structure for the averaged
flow propoerties. The quantitative results differ by considerably less than two from the observed values, providing an incentive
for a more complete numerical study and for further constraints on the admitted class of flows. In the language now current
for nonlinear stability theory, evidence is advanced here that anN-dimensional central manifold is adjacent to the realized turbulent flow, whereN has the largest possible value compatible with the dynamical relations. 相似文献
5.
Chiara Turino Paola Morasca Gabriele Ferretti Davide Scafidi Daniele Spallarossa 《Journal of Seismology》2010,14(2):393-411
Reliable automatic procedure for locating earthquake in quasi-real time is strongly needed for seismic warning system, earthquake
preparedness, and producing shaking maps. The reliability of an automatic location algorithm is influenced by several factors
such as errors in picking seismic phases, network geometry, and velocity model uncertainties. The main purpose of this work
is to investigate the performances of different automatic procedures to choose the most suitable one to be applied for the
quasi-real-time earthquake locations in northwestern Italy. The reliability of two automatic-picking algorithms (one based
on the Characteristic Function (CF) analysis, CF picker, and the other one based on the Akaike’s information criterion (AIC),
AIC picker) and two location methods (“Hypoellipse” and “NonLinLoc” codes) is analysed by comparing the automatically determined
hypocentral coordinates with reference ones. Reference locations are computed by the “Hypoellipse” code considering manually
revised data and tested using quarry blasts. The comparison is made on a dataset composed by 575 seismic events for the period
2000–2007 as recorded by the Regional Seismic network of Northwestern Italy. For P phases, similar results, in terms of both
amount of detected picks and magnitude of travel time differences with respect to manual picks, are obtained applying the
AIC and the CF picker; on the contrary, for S phases, the AIC picker seems to provide a significant greater number of readings
than the CF picker. Furthermore, the “NonLinLoc” software (applied to a 3D velocity model) is proved to be more reliable than
the “Hypoellipse” code (applied to layered 1D velocity models), leading to more reliable automatic locations also when outliers
(wrong picks) are present. 相似文献
6.
B. S. Svetov 《Izvestiya Physics of the Solid Earth》2010,46(1):83-86
On the basis of comparison of the approaches to the solution of inverse problems in information theory and geophysics, it
is shown that results, obtained in information theory, are suitable to supplement the theory of geophysical inverse problems.
The conditions of the existence and uniqueness of the solutions of inverse problems in their practical discrete statement
are specified. The terms of ɛ-entropy H
ɛ and informational capacity C
ɛ, characterizing “volumes” of unknown and observed data, are introduced. It is shown, that the instability of the solution
of the inverse problem decreases with increase in H
ɛ, (increase in the “complexity” of studied section), if the relation H
ɛ ≤ C
ɛ is maintained. 相似文献
7.
Applying the idea of renormalization group and fractal theory, we analyzed seismic hierarchy feature detailed. Based on the
seismogenic model of “fracture penetration”, we built a model of seismic critical instability, deduced its recursion relationship
of renormalization, and estimated the probability of its critical instability P.
The paper is supported by the Chinese Joint Seismological Science Foundation, Project No. 950085. 相似文献
8.
Using the natural limestone samples taken from the field with dimension of 500 mm×500 mm×1 000 mm, the D-D (dilatancy-diffusion)
seismogeny pattern was modeled under the condition of water injection, which observes the time-space evolutionary features
about the relative physics fields of the loaded samples from deformation, formation of microcracks to the occurrence of main
rupture. The results of observed apparent resistivity show: 1 The process of the deformation from microcrack to main rupture
on the loaded rock sample could be characterized by the precursory spatial-temporal changes in the observation of apparent
resistivity; 2 The precursory temporal changes of observation in apparent resistivity could be divided into several stages,
and its spatial distribution shows the difference in different parts of the rock sample; 3 Before the main rupture of the
rock sample the obvious “tendency anomaly” and “short-term anomaly” were observed, and some of them could be likely considered
as the “impending earthquake” anomaly precursor of apparent resistivity. The changes and distribution features of apparent
resistivity show that they are intrinsically related to the dilatancy phenomenon of the loaded rock sample. Finally, this
paper discusses the mechanism of resistivity change of loaded rock sample theoretically.
This subject is supported by the key project during the 8-th “Five Year Plan” from the State Science and Technology Commission
of China (85-04-04). 相似文献
9.
In this paper, based on the previous study of practical use of seismic regime windows and seismic regime belts, the problem
of establishing a “seismic regime network” consisting of “windows” and “belts” is further posed and discussed according to
the observed fact that many “windows” and “belts” make responses to one earthquake. For the convenience of usage, the “seismic
regime network” is divided into two classes, the first class and the second one. The former can be used in tendency prediction
for long-term seismic activity in a large area, the latter used in short-term prediction in a small area. In this paper, after
briefly discussing the physical significance of “seismic regime network”, it is pointed out that this simple and easily used
method can be used to observe and extract seismic precursory information from a large area before a great earthquake, thus
it can provide a reliable basis for the analysis and judgement of seismic regime tendency in time and space. No doult, this
method is of certain practical significance.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,13, 161–169, 1991.
The English version of this paper is improved by Prof. Shaoxie Xu. 相似文献
10.
R. Signer F. v. Beust Ulrich A. Corti 《Aquatic Sciences - Research Across Boundaries》1951,13(1):31-35
Summary The investigation with an electron-microscope of the scales of the fresh water fish,Leuciscus rutilus L., showed that their ventral “smooth” surface scems to be formed like a corrugated plate with a distance between the ridges
of 1–2 μ. The dorsal “rough” side of the scales shows a very fine roughness. It is interrupted by pointed combs of the same
structure in a regular distance of 16–27 μ. The thickness of these combs is of about 1 μ at their base, their height of about
5–10 μ. It seems probable that the surface of scales is partially covered with laminas of hyalodentine or guanine.
13. Mitteilung siehe diese Zeitschrift,13, 29–30 (1951). 相似文献
13. Mitteilung siehe diese Zeitschrift,13, 29–30 (1951). 相似文献
11.
A three-component geomagnetic survey was carried out during the period from 2002 to 2004 in China including Jiujiang-Ruichang region. Comparing the ＂2005.0 surface spline model of China geomagnetic field＂ created on the basis of the survey data with the ＂1970.0 surface spline model of China geomagnetic field＂, we can see an obvious abnormity in the geomagnetic horizontal component within a range of about 100 km around the epicenter of the Ms=5.7 Jiujiang-Ruichang earthquake occurred on November 26, 2005. After the earthquake, we carded out a repeated geomagnetic survey at 21 stations in the Jiujiang-Ruichang region and created a corresponding ＂2005.0 partially revised surface spline model of China geomagnetic field＂. By comparing the above three models, analyzing the geomagnetic horizontal component at the profile in the Jiujiang-Ruichang region and quantitatively studying the geomagnetic data of every stations around the Ms=5.7 earthquake, we have obtained the geomagnetic abnormity associated with this earthquake. Then the geomagnetic abnormity and its relation with seismic activity are discussed in this paper. 相似文献
12.
Features and physical process of the dynamic evolution pattern of ground resistivity precursor front
ＩｎｔｒｏｄｕｃｔｉｏｎＳｉｎｃｅｔｈｅ１９６０′ｓ,ｔｈｅｄｅｖｅｌｏｐｍｅｎｔｏｆｍｏｄｅｒｎｓｃｉｅｎｃｅａｎｄｔｅｃｈｎｏｌｏｇｙｈａｓｇｒａｄｕａｌｙｍａｄｅｉｔｐｏｓｉｂｌｅｔｏｐｒｅｄｉｃｔｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｓａｎｄｈａｓｐｒｏｍｏｔ... 相似文献
13.
An alternative “direct method” to “mean dynamic topography” (MDT) computations using satellite altimetry-derived “mean sea
surface” (MSS) and “global geopotential model” (GGM), without direct application of the geoid, is devised. The developed approach,
which is based on derivation of an equipotential surface of the gravity field of the Earth that fits to global MSS in least
squares sense, is formulated via a constrained optimization problem. The validity of our method is numerically tested by computing
a global MDT model based on DNSC08 MSS model and EGM2008 GGM as input data. 相似文献
14.
IntroductionShort-to-imminentprecursorsstillarethemainbasisforearthquakepredictioninthepresenttime.Strongquakes,especiallythosewithnoforeshocks,canbeforecastedtosomeextentbasedonabundantshoat-to-imminentprecursorsandcombiningwiththemid-to-longtermvar... 相似文献
15.
Che Yong-tai Yu Jin-zi Zhang Shu-liang Fan Xue-fang Guo Jun-jie Zhang Tian-yuan Yang Jin-lan 《地震学报(英文版)》2002,15(2):226-233
A lot of slow fluctuations of water level have been observed in the original recording maps of subsurface fluid in Well Shuozhou,
Shanxi Province. Some typical recording maps of the “precursors” are introduced in the paper and the features of the “precursors”
recorded by the well are analyzed. The results show that 38% strong earthquakes possess this kind of record, which has a fluctuation
period arranging from several to tens of minutes and appear mostly two days before the earthquakes. Moreover, the mechanism,
transmission and responding conditions of well water level are discussed, as well as the scientific meaning and practical
value of the “precursor” of the well water level in earthquake predictions.
Foundation item: State Natural Science Foundation of China (19973011). 相似文献
16.
A comprehensive analysis of Kamchatka seismicity for the period 2005–2007 using the regional catalog
We characterize the Kamchatka seismicity for the period 2005–2007. Regional catalogs of Kamchatka earthquakes were used to
develop 2D distributions of parameters of background seismicity. The characteristics we consider include the activity A
10, the slope of the recurrence curve γ, the parameters involved in the methods RTL, ΔS, and the “Z-function”, as well as the control of earthquake clustering. We have detected the space-time agreement between the anomalies
exhibited by several parameters. 相似文献
17.
Time-dependent models for seismic hazard and earthquake probabilities are at the leading edge of research nowadays. In the
framework of a 2-year national Italian project (2005–2007), we have applied the Brownian passage time (BPT) renewal model
to the recently released Database of Individual Seismogenic Sources (DISS) to compute earthquake probability in the period
2007–2036. Observed interevent times on faults in Italy are absolutely insufficient to characterize the recurrence time. We,
therefore, derived mean recurrence intervals indirectly. To estimate the uncertainty of the results, we resorted to the theory
of error propagation with respect to the main parameters: magnitude and slip rate. The main issue concerned the high variability
of slip rate, which could hardly be reduced by exploiting geodetic constraints. We did some validation tests, and interesting
considerations were derived from seismic moment budgeting on the historical earthquake catalog. In a time-dependent perspective,
i.e., when the date of the last event is known, only 10–15% of the 115 sources exhibit a probability of a characteristic earthquake
in the next 30 years higher than the equivalent Poissonian probabilities. If we accept the Japanese conventional choice of
probability threshold greater than 3% in 30 years to define “highly probable sources,” mainly intermediate earthquake faults
with characteristic M < 6, having an elapsed time of 0.7–1.2 times the recurrence interval are the most “prone” sources. The
number of highly probable sources rises by increasing the aperiodicity coefficient (from 14 sources in the case of variable
α ranging between 0.22 and 0.36 to 31 sources out of 115 in the case of an α value fixed at 0.7). On the other hand, in stationary time-independent approaches, more than two thirds of all sources are
considered probabilistically prone to an impending earthquake. The performed tests show the influence of the variability of
the aperiodicity factor in the BPT renewal model on the absolute probability values. However, the influence on the relative
ranking of sources is small. Future developments should give priority to a more accurate determination of the date of the
last seismic event for a few seismogenic sources of the DISS catalog and to a careful check on the applicability of a purely
characteristic model. 相似文献
18.
In this paper, we show how to estimate the phase velocities of multi-mode signals as present in 2-D shallow seismic surveys
along a seismic line with the help of a method that is based on the deformation of the wavelet spectra of the seismic traces.
In analogy with frequency-wavenumber (f–k) analysis, we perform “frequency-velocity” analysis using the correlations between phases of the wavelet spectra. Our method
has two tuning parameters — the parameter of an analyzing wavelet and the parameter of a threshold operation. Numerical and
experimental examples are presented to illustrate how the method accurately extracts the phase velocity from single- and multi-mode
signals. 相似文献
19.
Eddy resolving modelling of the Gulf of Lions and Catalan Sea 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
The generation process of strong long-lived eddies flowing southwestwards along the Catalan slope was revealed through numerical
modelling and in situ observations. Careful analyses of a particular event in autumn 2007 demonstrated a link between a “LATEX”
eddy, which remained in the southwestern corner of the Gulf of Lions and a “CATALAN” eddy, which moved along the Catalan Shelf,
since the death of the former gave birth to the latter. The origin of such eddies was found to be an accumulation of potential
energy in the southwestern corner of the Gulf of Lions: under the influence of the negative wind stress curl associated with
the Tramontane, a warm and less dense water body can be isolated and fed by a coastal current carrying warm water from the
Catalan Sea. In summer, this structure can grow and intensify to generate a strong anticyclonic eddy. After a long period
of Tramontane, a burst of southeasterlies and northerlies appeared to detach the “LATEX” eddy, which flowed out of the Gulf
of Lions, migrating along the Catalan continental slope and continued into the Balearic Sea as the “CATALAN” eddy. 相似文献
20.
GUO Zeng-Jian 《地震学报(英文版)》2000,13(4):477-480
IntroductionIn the book Future CataS~ologr published in 1992, we proposed a viewpoiflt on using the"criterion of activity in quiescence" to predict big eathquake (MsZ7) (GUO, et al, 1992), and predicted in the book that in futore several years or in ten years a big earthquake (Ms27) will be possible to occur in the Zhongdian and nearby in Yunnan Province. In the 1994 nation-wide earthquake tendency consultation meeting we pointed out, once more, in the Zhongdian region of Yunnan Province… 相似文献