Adaptation of the SNOWMAP algorithm for snow mapping over eastern Canada using Landsat-TM imagery     

Karem Chokmani  Kristell Dever  Monique Bernier  Yves Gauthier  Lisa-Marie Paquet 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(4):649-660

Abstract

The snow mapping algorithm SNOWMAP was adapted to Landsat-TM data and to the context of eastern Canada. Six Landsat-5 TM scenes were used. It was found that the original version of SNOWMAP greatly underestimates snow cover extent. The modification made to the original algorithm, by cancelling the minimum threshold of 0.1 on the NDVI value, allows gaps to be filled in. In addition, a spatial correction procedure applied to the modified SNOWMAP algorithm results improves snow detection under coniferous forests. Based on a limited data set of ground-based observations (only 40 sites were available), the modified SNOWMAP seems to perform better in snow detection than the original version of the algorithm. An application case is presented in order to demonstrate the relevance of the modified SNOWMAP results as a high spatial-resolution reference for the validation of historical snow maps derived from medium spatial-resolution satellite data.

Citation Chokmani, K., Dever, K., Bernier, M., Gauthier, Y. & Paquet, L.-M. (2010) Adaptation of the SNOWMAP algorithm for snow mapping over eastern Canada using Landsat-TM imagery. Hydrol. Sci. J. 55(4), 649–660.  相似文献   

Mapping runoff generating areas using AGNPS-VSA model     

Kishor Panjabi  Pradeep Goel  Prasad Daggupati  Narayan Kumar Shrestha  Rituraj Shukla 《水文科学杂志》2020,65(13):2224-2232

ABSTRACT

In humid regions, surface runoff is often generated by saturation-excess runoff mechanisms from relatively small variable source areas (VSAs). However, the majority of the current hydrologic models are based on infiltration-excess mechanisms. In this study, the AGricultural Non-Point Source Pollution (AGNPS) model was used to integrate the VSA concept using topographic wetness index (TWI). Both the original and AGNPS-VSA models were evaluated for a small agricultural field in Ontario, Canada. The results indicate that the AGNPS-VSA model performed better than original model. The AGNPS-VSA model predicted that only the saturated portion of the field with higher TWI values produced runoff, whereas the original AGNPS model showed uniform hydrologic response from the entire field. The results of this study are important for accurately mapping the locations of VSAs. This new model could be a powerful tool in identifying critical source areas for applying targeted best management practices to minimize pollutant loads to receiving waters.  相似文献   

TENNESSEE VALLEY AUTHORITY DIVISION OF WATER CONTROL PLANNING HYDRAULIC DATA BRANCH     

G. E. LALIBERTE 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(2):131-176

ABSTRACT

Statistical surveys of vegetative cover, soils, and other measures, called hydrologic condition surveys, have been collected by the Tennessee Valley Authority for several years. Attempts to assure that sufficient data were collected for future studies resulted in a total of 53 variables being defined. Because the exact nature of these future studies was unknown it was difficult to reduce the number of variables despite the fact it was known that some of the variables were highly interrelated.

The technique of factor analysis provided a means for determining the number of independent measures available in the survey data. Factor analysis will establish a reduced set of independent, or orthogonal, factors that will represent the original data. The factors can be used as guides to reduce the set of original variables. In the study, these factors were used to indicate the total number of variables that could be justified in a survey, to indicate the number of independent measures available within survey groupings, and to identify variables that were highly interrelated. This information and other criteria were used to reduce the number of variables measured and to establish a new survey that should contain primarily independent measures of hydrologic conditions. Equally important, however, this study provided an opportunity to review systematically and improve a survey procedure that had been developed piecemeal without comprehensive objectives to serve as guidelines.  相似文献   

Trend detection in river flow series: 1. Annual maximum flow / Détection de tendance dans des séries de débit fluvial: 1. Débit maximum annuel     

《水文科学杂志》2013,58(5)

Abstract

Results of a study on change detection in hydrological time series of annual maximum river flow are presented. Out of more than a thousand long time series made available by the Global Runoff Data Centre (GRDC) in Koblenz, Germany, a worldwide data set consisting of 195 long series of daily mean flow records was selected, based on such criteria as length of series, currency, lack of gaps and missing values, adequate geographical distribution, and priority to smaller catchments. The analysis of annual maximum flows does not support the hypothesis of ubiquitous growth of high flows. Although 27 cases of strong, statistically significant increase were identified by the Mann-Kendall test, there are 31 decreases as well, and most (137) time series do not show any significant changes (at the 10% level). Caution is advised in interpreting these results as flooding is a complex phenomenon, caused by a number of factors that can be associated with local, regional, and hemispheric climatic processes. Moreover, river flow has strong natural variability and exhibits long-term persistence which can confound the results of trend and significance tests.  相似文献   

Reconstruction of groundwater levels to impute missing values using singular and multichannel spectrum analysis: application to the Ardabil Plain,Iran     

Majid Taie Semiromi  M. Koch 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(14):1711-1726

ABSTRACT

Groundwater-level time series often have a substantial number of missing values which should be taken into consideration before using them for further analysis, particularly for numerical groundwater flow modelling applications. This study aims to comprehensively compare two data-driven models, singular spectrum analysis (SSA) and multichannel spectrum analysis (MSSA), to reconstruct groundwater-level time series and impute the missing values for 25 piezometric stations in Ardabil Plain, northwest Iran. The reconstructed groundwater-level time series are assessed against the complete observed groundwater time series, while the imputed values are appraised against the artificially created gap values. The results show that both SSA and MSSA demonstrate a solid competency in imputation and reconstruction of groundwater-level data. However, depending on the spatial correlation between the piezometers, and the most suitable probability distribution function (pdf) fitted to the time series of each piezometer, the performance may vary from piezometer to piezometer.  相似文献   

Effects of climatic variability on the hydrologic response of a freshwater watershed     

Nikolaos P. Nikolaidis  Hsien-Lun Hu  Christopher Ecsedy 《Aquatic Sciences - Research Across Boundaries》1994,56(2):161-178

A generalized watershed model was used to evaluate the effects of global climate changes on the hydrologic responses of freshwater ecosystems. The Enhanced Trickle Down (ETD) model was applied to W-3 watershed located near Danville, Vermont. Eight years of field data was used to perform model calibration and verification and the results were presented in Nikolaidis et al., (1993). Results from the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) and the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) general circulation models which simulated the doubling of present day atmospheric CO₂ scenarios were used to perform the hydrologic simulations for the W-3 watershed. The results indicate that the W-3 watershed will experience increases in annual evapotranspiration and decreases in annual outflow and soil moisture. Stochastic models that simulate collective statistical properties of meteorological time series were developed to generate data to drive the ETD model in a Monte-Carlo fashion for quantification of the uncertainty in the model predictions due to input time series. This coupled deterministic and stochastic model was used to generate probable scenarios of future hydrology of the W-3 watershed. The predicted evapotranspiration and soil moisture under doubling present day atmospheric CO₂ scenarios exceed the present day uncertainty due to input time series by a factor greater than 2. The results indicate that the hydrologic response of the W-3 watershed will be significantly different than its present day response. The Enhanced Trickle Down model can be used to evaluate land surface feedbacks and assessing water quantity management in the event of climate change.  相似文献   

Analysis of cross-correlated chaotic streamflows     

AMIN ELSHORBAGY  U. S. PANU  S. P. SIMONOVIC 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(5):781-793

Abstract

A trial is made to explore the applicability of chaos analysis outside the commonly reported analysis of a single chaotic time series. Two cross-correlated streamflows, the Little River and the Reed Creek, Virginia, USA, are analysed with regard to the chaotic behaviour. Segments of missing data are assumed in one of the time series and estimated using the other complete time series. Linear regression and artificial neural network models are employed. Two experiments are conducted in the analysis: (a) fitting one global model and (b) fitting multiple local models. Each local model is in the direct vicinity of the missing data. A nonlinear noise reduction method is used to reduce the noise in both time series and the two experiments are repeated. It is found that using multiple local models to estimate the missing data is superior to fitting one global model with regard to the mean squared error and the mean relative error of the estimated values. This result is attributed to the chaotic behaviour of the streamflows under consideration.  相似文献   

The distribution of Kendall's tau for testing the significance of cross-correlation in persistent data     

K. H. Hamed 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(5):841-853

Abstract

Kendall's tau (τ) has been widely used as a distribution-free measure of cross-correlation between two variables. It has been previously shown that persistence in the two involved variables results in the inflation of the variance of τ. In this paper, the full null distribution of Kendall's τ for persistent data with multivariate Gaussian dependence is derived, and an approximation to the full distribution is proposed. The effect of the deviation from the multivariate Gaussian dependence model on the distribution of τ is also investigated. As a demonstration, the temporal consistency and field significance of the cross-correlation between the North Hemisphere (NH) temperature time series in the period 1850–1995 and a set of 784 NH tree-ring width (TRW) proxies in addition to 105 NH tree-ring maximum latewood density (MXD) proxies are studied. When persistence is ignored, the original Mann-Kendall test gives temporally inconsistent results between the early half (1850–1922) and the late half (1923–1995) of the record. These temporal inconsistencies are largely eliminated when persistence is accounted for, indicating the spuriousness of a large portion of the identified cross-correlations. Furthermore, the use of the modified test in combination with a field significance test that is robust to spatial correlation indicates the absence of field significant cross-correlation in both halves of the record. These results have serious implications for the use of tree-ring data as temperature proxies, and emphasize the importance of utilizing the correct distribution of Kendall's τ in order to avoid the overestimation of the significance of cross-correlation between data that exhibit significant persistence.

Citation Hamed, K. H. (2011) The distribution of Kendall's tau for testing the significance of cross-correlation in persistent data. Hydrol. Sci. J. 56(5), 841–853.  相似文献   

Group-based estimation of missing hydrological data: II. Application to streamflows     

AMIN A. ELSHORBAGY  U. S. PANU  S. P. SIMONOVIC 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(6):867-880

Abstract

The group approach that treats hydrological data as groups rather than as single-valued observations was proposed in a companion paper. Various models representing four techniques are briefly presented and applied to single series and bi-series cases, respectively, in this paper. The techniques represented by these models are regression, time series analysis, partitioning modelling, and artificial neural networks. The utility of the models for estimating missing streamflow data using the group approach is investigated. It turns out that the group approach is valid for estimating missing values, and possibly other applications, when data are significantly auto-correlated.  相似文献   

Improving the calibration strategy of the physically-based model WaSiM-ETH using critical events     

Shailesh Kumar Singh  Jiaying Liang  András Bárdossy 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(8):1487-1505

Abstract

The use of a physically-based hydrological model for streamflow forecasting is limited by the complexity in the model structure and the data requirements for model calibration. The calibration of such models is a difficult task, and running a complex model for a single simulation can take up to several days, depending on the simulation period and model complexity. The information contained in a time series is not uniformly distributed. Therefore, if we can find the critical events that are important for identification of model parameters, we can facilitate the calibration process. The aim of this study is to test the applicability of the Identification of Critical Events (ICE) algorithm for physically-based models and to test whether ICE algorithm-based calibration depends on any optimization algorithm. The ICE algorithm, which uses the data depth function, was used herein to identify the critical events from a time series. Low depth in multivariate data is an unusual combination and this concept was used to identify the critical events on which the model was then calibrated. The concept is demonstrated by applying the physically-based hydrological model WaSiM-ETH on the Rems catchment, Germany. The model was calibrated on the whole available data, and on critical events selected by the ICE algorithm. In both calibration cases, three different optimization algorithms, shuffled complex evolution (SCE-UA), parameter estimation (PEST) and robust parameter estimation (ROPE), were used. It was found that, for all the optimization algorithms, calibration using only critical events gave very similar performance to that using the whole time series. Hence, the ICE algorithm-based calibration is suitable for physically-based models; it does not depend much on the kind of optimization algorithm. These findings may be useful for calibrating physically-based models on much fewer data.

Editor D. Koutsoyiannis; Associate editor A. Montanari

Citation Singh, S.K., Liang, J.Y., and Bárdossy, A., 2012. Improving calibration strategy of physically-based model WaSiM-ETH using critical events. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 57 (8), 1487–1505.  相似文献   

Combined effect of climate change and human activities on the hydrological processes of an urban river: case study of the Xiaoqing River,China     

Yang Liu  Xitong Li  Fuzhen Li  Xi Zhang 《水文科学杂志》2019,64(16):2105-2114

ABSTRACT

The aim of this study is to reveal statistical characteristics and exceedance probability of discharge under the combined effect of climate change and human activities. The study is conducted in the Xiaoqing River in Jinan, China, based on data of discharge, land-use types and precipitation from the period 1970–2016. A multivariate joint probability distribution of the data is established to test the univariable, bivariable and trivariable change points. These are then used to calculate and analyse the risk probability of discharge exceeding the specific values under different conditions of precipitation and land-use type. The results show that the change point calculated by trivariate joint distribution can reduce the disturbance of the change point obtained with the univariable or bivariable approach and reflect the changes of various factors in the hydrological processes more objectively. When the land-use type is taken into consideration, the trivariate distribution can reflect the variation of hydrological processes more reasonably.  相似文献   

Disaggregation modelling of monthly streamflows using a new approach of the method of fragments     

A.T. Silva 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(5):942-955

Abstract

The method of fragments is applied to the generation of synthetic monthly streamflow series using streamflow data from 34 gauging stations in mainland Portugal. A generation model based on the random sampling of the log-Pearson Type III distribution was applied to each sample to generate 1200 synthetic series of annual streamflow with an equal length to that of the sample. The synthetic annual streamflow series were then disaggregated into monthly streamflows using the method of fragments, by three approaches that differed in terms of the establishment of classes and the selection of fragments. The results of the application of such approaches were compared in terms of the capacity of the method to preserve the main monthly statistical parameters of the historical samples.

Editor D. Koutsoyiannis; Associate editor C. Onof

Citation Silva, A.T. and Portela, M.M., 2012. Disaggregation modelling of monthly streamflows using a new approach of the method of fragments. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 57 (5), 942–955.  相似文献   

A multiple distribution Markovian model for annual hydrologic time series     

L. Valadares Tavares  R. C. Souza 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》1988,2(4):295-302

Nonlinear serial dependence and skewness of annual hydrologic time series {X _t } have been challenging the classical theory of Gaussian stochastic processes, particularly if the study of extremes (dry or wet years) is required as it is often the case. In this paper, a new and general model is proposed assuming that the geophysical system which is responsible forX _t can take different states and that this state process is modeled by a Markov chain. At each time,X _t is generated from a statistical distribution which depends on the state that has occurred. This model can preserve non-linear structures of serial dependence and it can produce a skewed marginal distribution ofX _t without any transformation. A successful application of this model to the study of annual rainfall at Fortaleza (Northeast of Brazil) is also presented.  相似文献   

Integration of gauge and radar rainfall to enable best simulation of hydrological parameters     

Pabitra Gurung 《水文科学杂志》2017,62(1):114-123

This study is about use of spatially distributed rain in physically based hydrological models. In recent years, spatially distributed radar rainfall data have become available. The distributed radar rain is used to precisely model hydrologic processes and it is more realistic than the past practice of distribution methods like Thiessen polygons. Radar provides a highly accurate spatial distribution of rainfall and greatly improves the basin average rainfall estimates. However, quantification of the exact amount of rainfall from radar observation is relatively difficult. Thus, the fundamental idea of this study is to apply hourly gauge and radar rainfall data in a distributed hydrological model to simulate hydrological parameters. Hence the comparison is made between the outcomes of the WetSpa model from radar rainfall distribution and gauge rainfall distributed by the Thiessen polygon technique. The comparative plots of the hydrograph and the results of hydrological components such as evapotranspiration, surface runoff, soil moisture, recharge and interflow, reflect the spatially distributed radar input performing well for model outflow simulation.