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1.
The natural formation and development of urban agglomerations is a process in which core cities continue to unite their neighboring cities to enhance sustainability for their own sustainable development.The upgrade mechanism of sustainable development urban agglomeration is a nonlinear composite upgrade curve that is a function of time,increasing with the number of cities.In this paper,the sustainable upgrade function curve,upgrade rate,and upgrade speed of urban agglomerations were solved using a geometrical derivation,and the index system for measuring the upgrade capability of sustainable development of urban agglomerations was established.The dynamic change in economic sustainable upgrade capability,social sustainable upgrade capability,environmental sustainable upgrade capability,and comprehensive sustainable upgrade capability of a Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration from 2000 to 2015 was measured by technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution and a grey correlation method,and a comprehensive,intercity unite strength model and a unite threshold calculation method for urban agglomerations were established.The research shows that the economic sustainable upgrade capability,social sustainable upgrade capability,environmental sustainable upgrade capability,and comprehensive sustainable upgrade capability of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration all show a wave-like rising trend.The average annual upgrade speeds during 2000-2015 are,respectively,2.4%.1.67%,1.1%,and 1.74%,with the intercity comprehensive unite strength of urban agglomerations maintaining a general increase;but there is a limit to the joint threshold.From 2000 to 2015,as the core city of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration,Beijing,to enhance its sustainable upgrade capability,jointly developed with Tianjin,Langfang,and Baoding before 2000,Tangshan in 2002,Cangzhou in 2009,Zhangjiakou and Shijiazhuang in 2012,and Chengde in 2014.By 2015,the comprehensive unite strength between Beijing and four cities(Handan,Qinhuangdao,Hengshui,and Xingtai) was still lower than the unite threshold of 6.14.These four cities are relatively far from Beijing,and offer no substantial contribution to the sustainable upgrade capability of Beijing.Through multiple fittings of the upgrade curve using the long-term sequence index of the comprehensive sustainable upgrade capability of Beijing(the core city of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration) from 2000 to 2015,it was found that the simulated curve of the comprehensive sustainable upgrade function of the agglomeration was very similar to the curve of the comprehensive sustainable upgrade capability,which indicates that the simulation results are satisfactory.The future comprehensive sustainable upgrade capability of the agglomeration can be analyzed and predicted by the comprehensive sustainable upgrade function model.This study provides quantitative decision-supporting evidence for promoting the coordinated development of the Beijing-TianjinHebei urban agglomeration and provides theoretical guidance and algorithms for determining the number of cities joined with the sustainable development of national urban agglomerations.  相似文献   

2.
Dynamic characteristics of structures — viz. natural frequencies, damping ratios, and mode shapes — are central to earthquake‐resistant design. These values identified from field measurements are useful for model validation and health‐monitoring. Most system identification methods require input excitations motions to be measured and the structural response; however, the true input motions are seldom recordable. For example, when soil–structure interaction effects are non‐negligible, neither the free‐field motions nor the recorded responses of the foundations may be assumed as ‘input’. Even in the absence of soil–structure interaction, in many instances, the foundation responses are not recorded (or are recorded with a low signal‐to‐noise ratio). Unfortunately, existing output‐only methods are limited to free vibration data, or weak stationary ambient excitations. However, it is well‐known that the dynamic characteristics of most civil structures are amplitude‐dependent; thus, parameters identified from low‐amplitude responses do not match well with those from strong excitations, which arguably are more pertinent to seismic design. In this study, we present a new identification method through which a structure's dynamic characteristics can be extracted using only seismic response (output) signals. In this method, first, the response signals’ spatial time‐frequency distributions are used for blindly identifying the classical mode shapes and the modal coordinate signals. Second, cross‐relations among the modal coordinates are employed to determine the system's natural frequencies and damping ratios on the premise of linear behavior for the system. We use simulated (but realistic) data to verify the method, and also apply it to a real‐life data set to demonstrate its utility. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

3.
Urban growth along the middle section of the ancient silk-road of China (so called West Yellow River Corridor—He-Xi Corridor) has taken a unique path deviating from what is commonly seen in the coastal China. Urban growth here has been driven by historical heritage, transportation connection between East and West China, and mineral exploitation. However, it has been constrained by water shortage and harsh natural environment because this region is located in arid and semi-arid climate zones. This paper attempts to construct a multi-city agent-based model to explore possible trajectories of regional urban growth along the entire He-Xi Corridor under a severe environment risk, over urban growth under an extreme threat of water shortage. In contrast with current ABM approaches, our model will simulate urban growth in a large administrative region consisting of a system of cities. It simultaneously considers the spatial variations of these cities in terms of population size, development history, water resource endowment and sustainable development potential. It also explores potential impacts of exogenous inter-city interactions on future urban growth on the basis of urban gravity model. The algorithmic foundations of three types of agents, developers, conservationists and regional-planners, are discussed. Simulations with regard to three different development scenarios are presented and analyzed.  相似文献   

4.
Multiple cities in a diveloped economic area may consist of a city cluster,and the difusion and mixing of its pollutants result in the effect of pollutants plume between cities and the large-scale regional pollution diffusion phenomenon.The distant transfer and diffusion of pollutants occurs when massive aerosols are affected by the dynamic porcess of large-scale circulations.Research suggesten that the life span of aerosol particles whose diameters are about 1 um is the longest.The longevity …  相似文献   

5.
Information entropy is introduced to describe the interactions between diverse agents in urban ecosystems. Basing on maximum information entropy method, a holistic structural parameter and its dynamic equation are derived to reflect urban ecosystem health (UEH). In this way, a new UEH assessment model has been proposed. We then apply the model to assess the UEH of Beijing, Dalian, Shanghai, Wuhan, Xiamen and Guangzhou in China. It is shown that the holistic structural parameter, the radar chart, and the associated correlations from the model can reveal the health features of different cities. According to the calculated ranges of the holistic structural parameter, a new UEH assessment grade standard is suggested and applied to the UEH assessment of some typical cities in China. It is demonstrated that the new model and the new assessment grade standard are precise and readily operational, which can be widely used in other urban ecosystems.  相似文献   

6.
Ecological network analysis of an urban energy metabolic system   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  
Analysis of the structure and function of urban energy metabolic systems is an important tool to facilitate compliance with China’s current energy-conservation policy. In this study, we used network throughflow analysis and network utility analysis to analyze the structure of an urban energy metabolic system and the complex relationships among its components. Using weight distributions in the network flow matrix, we determined the system structure; using the sign distribution in the network utility matrix, we determined the relationships between pairs of components. We then developed an ecological network model using Beijing in 1995, 2000, 2005, and 2007 as an example of how the model can be used to understand the system’s structure and function. The model’s components were the energy exploitation, transformation, consumption, and recovery sectors. Network throughflow analysis revealed that the energy transformation and consumption sectors had high weights (34–45%) in all 4 years, whereas the energy recovery sector had small weights (<5%) and the energy exploitation had low to intermediate weights (which decreased from 23% in 1995 to 11% in 2007). Network utility analysis revealed that the ecological relationships between the energy transformation and exploitation sectors, the energy consumption and transformation sectors, and the energy consumption and exploitation sectors did not change, but that the ecological relationships between the energy recovery sector and other sectors changed greatly. Our analysis of Beijing’s urban energy metabolic system provided guidance for optimizing the system’s structure and adjusting the relationships among the sectors.  相似文献   

7.
对耦合了Noah陆面模式和单层城市冠层模式的WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting)模式系统进行了改进和优化,通过对2010年8月6－7日北京地区晴天个例的模拟试验,检验了优化前后模式系统的模拟能力,分析研究了该个例中城市边界层的特征及日变化.另外,使用优化后的模拟系统通过两组敏感性试验研究了京津城市下垫面对海风的影响.结果表明,优化方案能够显著提高模式系统对该个例的模拟性能,模式系统基本能够模拟出北京夏季边界层的日变化特征,精确的地表使用类型分类等地理信息数据对提高模式预报的准确度有着至关重要的作用,京津城市对海风的发展和推进过程有明显影响,能够阻碍海风的推进、加强风场的水平辐合和垂直上升气流,北京城市下垫面还能在海风到达前增加其强度和推进速度,并在海风经过后延缓其消亡、增加其推进距离.  相似文献   

8.
The Gravity Model (GM), one of the most classic models adopted by the domain of social sciences from physics, has been widely used to study the interactions between social identities. Previous research that has used the Gravity Model to study the interactions among cities have mostly used a single variable, such as population or GDP, to represent a city, which does not provide a comprehensive depiction of a city’s influence. This paper develops a Synthesized Gravity Model (SGM) based on the traditional Gravity Model to study the evolution of the hierarchy of the Chinese urban system since the mid-1990s. Under this model, socioeconomic variables are synthesized and are represented by the Influential Factor, while the Function Distance is derived from a Network Analysis that is based on multiple transportation methods. As an improvement on the GM, the SGM is used to accurately establish and represent the nodal structure of China’s urban system, the evolution of its hierarchical structure, and the relationships that exist between the nodal structure and socioeconomic factors. The results based on the SGM indicate that China’s national urban system is characterized by the emergence of urban clusters with stronger inter-city interactions since the 1990s. However, the development among cities within certain urban clusters is not even, although the general pattern indicates a lessening inequality amongst cities. Spatially, while most cities at the top of the hierarchy are located in Eastern China, cities in the center and the west of the country are also gaining higher positions in the hierarchy over time. This paper is dedicated to improving the traditional GM in the applications of urban studies, while the system of Chinese cities is used to validate the SGM.  相似文献   

9.
本文对具有旗帜型滞回模型的单自由度自复位体系提出了设计能量谱的构造方法,包括设计输入能量谱和设计滞回耗能比谱。首先按中国规范场地类别选取360条实际强震记录进行时程分析,对影响单自由度自复位体系输入能量谱和滞回耗能比谱的参数,包括地震波类型、滞回模型、阻尼比、延性系数等进行研究。在此基础上分别建议了设计输入能量谱和设计滞回耗能比谱及其曲线参数的确定方法,并与实际强震记录计算结果进行比较。结果表明结构滞回模型对能量谱影响明显;阻尼比和延性系数对输入能量谱的影响在整个周期范围内有显著差异,但均有明显的削峰作用。建议的两种设计能量谱综合考虑了结构参数、地震波参数和中国场地类别的影响,可以较好的拟合实际情况,并对弹塑性单自由度自复位体系在地震作用下的耗能需求做出较准确的估计。  相似文献   

10.
张怡晅  庞锐  任源鑫  程丹东 《湖泊科学》2022,34(5):1550-1561
城市非点源污染向水生生态系统中输入大量的溶解有机物(DOM),对生态系统健康产生重要影响. 有色可溶性有机物(CDOM)是广泛分布于自然水体中的一类成分和结构复杂、含有多种高活性化学官能团的大分子聚合物,是DOM的重要组分,对水生生态系统健康、能量流动及生物地球化学循环有重要影响. 光化学反应和微生物代谢过程被认为是控制水体CDOM转化、降解和循环的主要影响因素. 然而,对城市化如何影响CDOM组成以及光化学和微生物如何相互作用影响城市水体CDOM动态的理解是不足的. 因此,为评估光化学过程和微生物代谢对不同城市水体CDOM降解与转化的贡献,解析不同城市水体CDOM光化学/微生物降解作用机理,本研究在英国伯明翰选择3类具有典型DOM来源的水体样本,通过实验室9 d受控培养实验,对比分析光化学以及微生物影响下CDOM来源和组成的变化. 结果表明：(1)城市河流由于接受上游污水排放及较短的水力滞留时间,含有丰富的芳香性碳,其CDOM光化学活性明显高于湖泊,光化学降解率为16.60%;(2)城市湖泊CDOM受人类活动影响,自生源类荧光成分富集,生物活性高,在微生物培养过程中CDOM增加了62.16%,而相较于城市湖泊,非城市湖泊由于接受周围景观土壤输入的大量腐殖质类CDOM,光照对其降解转化作用较为明显; (3)光化学过程促进了陆源CDOM中大分子类腐殖质物质降解成为生物活性高的小分子化合物,刺激微生物代谢生成类蛋白质类有机物; 以类蛋白质组分为主导的CDOM在光照过程中被转化为难降解状态,生物活性降低,CDOM微生物代谢过程被抑制. 研究成果为城市水体不同CDOM来源及活性差异特征研究提供了新的思路,有助于城市河流的可持续开放与管理.  相似文献   

11.
Studies of urbanization effects in Chinese cities from the aspect of the coupled development of economy and environment are rare due to data limitations. This paper studied Shanghai’s fast urban expansion and examined the dynamic relationship between economic growth and environment consequences at the district level. We extracted data on urban built-up area and land surface temperature from remote sensing images. We analyzed the patterns of urban expansion and land use change and explained the dynamic relationship between economic development and environment conditions. We attributed the uneven economic development and environmental change in districts of Shanghai to four main institutional factors: (1) the role of the government, (2) the multi-level urban planning system, (3) land market reform, and (4) the economic restructuring.  相似文献   

12.
系统地研究了双线性单自由度体系在简谐波输入下表现出非线性力学行为时,输入简谐波频率对体系动力响应的Hilbert谱、Hilbert边缘谱及Fourier幅值谱的影响.研究结果表明,如果体系输入简谐波频率为f,那么体系动力响应Hilbert边缘谱的能量分布在f附近一个较宽的频带上,该频带的产生是体系动力响应Hilbert谱中所蕴含的波内调制的必然结果,它源自于体系某个本征振动模态瞬时频率的波动,而这种瞬时频率的波动描述了体系屈服与卸载的非线性力学行为;体系动力响应的Fourier幅值谱自3f起,每隔2f就会出现一个幅值明显高出周围其它分量的Fourier“伪”谐波分量,这也是体系非线性力学行为所造成的结果.  相似文献   

13.
A methodology for assessing the seismic capacity of existing frames in terms of energy is proposed. It estimates the global amount of input energy—in form of a factor AEIU—and hysteretic energy that the overall structure can dissipate until collapse under earthquake-type loadings. The method requires static pushover analyses to determine the ductility factor and energy shape of an equivalent single-degree-of-freedom system for the first—two or more—modes. The procedure accounts for the relation between the frequency content of the earthquake expected at the site and the dynamic properties of the existing structure. It can be useful for evaluating the possible deficit on energy dissipation capacity of existing structures, and for designing seismic retrofit solutions. Finally, the methodology is applied to reinforced concrete frames with wide beam-column connections representative of existing post-1970 buildings located in the earthquake-prone southern part of Spain.  相似文献   

14.
The numerical modeling of the impacts of urban buildings in mesoscale meteorological models has gradually improved in recent years. Correctly representing the latent heat flux from urban surfaces is a key issue in urban land-atmosphere coupling studies but is a common weakness in current urban canopy models. Using the surface energy balance data at a height of 140 m from a 325 m meteorological tower in Beijing, we conducted a 1-year continuous off-line simulation by using a coupled land surface model and a single-layer urban canopy model and found that this model has a relatively large systematic error for simulated latent heat flux. To improve the numerical method for modeling latent heat flux from urban surfaces, we combined observational analysis and urban land surface model to derive an oasis effect coefficient for urban green areas; to develop a temporal variation formula for water availability in urban impervious surfaces; and to specify a diurnal profile and the maximum values of anthropogenic latent heat release for four seasons. These results are directly incorporated into the urban land surface model to improve model performance. In addition, this method serves as a reference for studies in other urban areas.  相似文献   

15.
城市布局规模与大气环境影响的数值研究   总被引：8，自引：0，他引：8       下载免费PDF全文
为探索城市建设对局地及周边大气环境的影响,本文采用典型代表性天气条件,以北京主城区及其东部发展带小城镇群的发展变化为例,设计算例进行数值模拟.分析结果表明：城镇群建设发展通过地气的相互作用对局地环境产生显著影响,在本文选择的夏日晴好天气条件下,就1980～2004年城市区域布局状况,模拟域内北京城市用地增加19%,城市区域平均气温增加1.91℃,植被覆盖率减少20%,城市区域平均比湿减少3.3 g·kg-1,并且城市发展的格局规模不同,对城市气象环境的影响程度也不同. 此外,由于地气多因子的相互影响和反馈作用,城建规模的变化对周边的环境也存在显著的影响,城建规模越大,对周边的影响越大．例如, (1) 北京主城区的存在对周边小城镇午间14:00近地面温度影响最大可达到1.2℃,混合层高度可增高150 m左右; (2) 城市建设在影响周边气象环境的同时,也改变了城市污染物的输送扩散能力,北京主城区的存在使周边小城镇PM10的允许排放总量减小18.02 t·d-1,同时,随着周边小城镇城市规模的扩大,影响主城区PM10逐渐由净的输出转变为净的收入,小城镇群的存在对主城区PM10净收支的贡献率达到0.192 t·d-1.  相似文献   

16.
Numerous studies related to the simulation and prediction of urban growth to address land-use and land-cover (LULC) changes have been conducted in recent years, but very few have considered the impact of climate change, flooding impact, government relocation, corridor cities, and long-term rainfall variations simultaneously. To bridge the gap, this study predicts possible future LULC changes for 2030 and 2050 in Beijing (China), since Beijing is one of the fastest-growing megacities in the world. The proposed integrated modeling analysis covers four key scenarios to reflect the influences of different factors and constraints on LULC changes, in which cellular automata, Markov chain, and multi-criteria evaluation are fully coupled. While fuzzy membership function was used to address the uncertainty associated with the decision analysis, Markov chain, which is regarded as a stochastic process, was applied to predict future urban growth pathways. In addition, a statistical downscaling model driven by possible climate change scenarios was employed to address long-term rainfall variations in Beijing, China. This study differs from previous ones for Beijing in terms of not only the effects of climate change and flooding impact but also the newly-developed economic free trade zone in Xiong’an and the central government’s plan to relocate to the Tongzhou district. Findings indicate that there is no marked difference in LULC over the four key scenarios. Compared to the baseline LULC in 2010, the predicted results indicate that urban expansion is expected to increase more than 6 and 11% in 2030 and 2050, respectively.  相似文献   

17.
Whereas an increase in material yield stress beyond the code specified characteristic value enhances plastic capacity, it may cause a reduction in overall ductility and energy absorption capability of steel frames. Since quality control of various shapes of sections used on site is difficult to impose, the effect of this random variability on design response parameters should be accounted for in earthquake-resistant regulations. Moreover, the required weak-beam/strong-column design principle in particular, and failure mode control in general, could be undermined if the yield stresses in beam and column assume two opposite extremes in a random sample. This paper addresses the problem of defining the expected range of response parameters in a steel frame with randomly varying yield stress. A simple portal frame is designed using code specified characteristic values and verified by non-linear transient dynamic analysis. The influence of yield stress variability, including the degree of correlation between beam and column material properties, on several response parameters is assessed through a Monte Carlo simulation study. Results are presented from both univariate and bivariate statistical analyses that quantify the relationship between input (material) and output (response) parameters. Assessment of the interdependence of output parameters given a particular model for yield stress variability is also undertaken. It is shown that certain response parameters exhibit more favourable statistical properties than others. Thus, the implications for seismic code design are discussed in the light of these results.  相似文献   

18.
北京城市下垫面对雾影响的数值模拟研究   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文
为了探究北京城市下垫面对雾天气过程的影响,为北京地区雾数值预报水平的提高提供理论基础和科学依据,选取2011年10月29日北京地区雾天个例进行了数值模拟试验,通过对WRF/Noah/UCM模式系统中城市冠层参数的调整,显著改善了模式对此次雾天气过程的模拟效果.使用参数调整后的模式系统通过敏感性试验分析研究了北京城市下垫面对雾发生、发展和消散过程的影响.结果表明:参数调整后的WRF/Noah/UCM模式系统能够与实际观测较相符地模拟此次发生在北京地区的雾天气过程,北京城市下垫面主要通过对温度的改变对雾的形成、发展和消散产生显著影响,使雾不易在城市及其附近形成和发展,延后城市地区雾的形成,但城市的存在也使得城市地区及其附近雾不易消散,相较于没有城市时消散时间延后.  相似文献   

19.
Dense networks of wireless structural health monitoring systems can effectively remove the disadvantages associated with current wire‐based sparse sensing systems. However, recorded data sets may have relative time‐delays due to interference in radio transmission or inherent internal sensor clock errors. For structural system identification and damage detection purposes, sensor data require that they are time synchronized. The need for time synchronization of sensor data is illustrated through a series of tests on asynchronous data sets. Results from the identification of structural modal parameters show that frequencies and damping ratios are not influenced by the asynchronous data; however, the error in identifying structural mode shapes can be significant. The results from these tests are summarized in Appendix A. The objective of this paper is to present algorithms for measurement data synchronization. Two algorithms are proposed for this purpose. The first algorithm is applicable when the input signal to a structure can be measured. The time‐delay between an output measurement and the input is identified based on an ARX (auto‐regressive model with exogenous input) model for the input–output pair recordings. The second algorithm can be used for a structure subject to ambient excitation, where the excitation cannot be measured. An ARMAV (auto‐regressive moving average vector) model is constructed from two output signals and the time‐delay between them is evaluated. The proposed algorithms are verified with simulation data and recorded seismic response data from multi‐story buildings. The influence of noise on the time‐delay estimates is also assessed. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

20.
Simulation of rainfall-runoff process in urban areas is of great importance considering the consequences and damages of extreme runoff events and floods. The first issue in flood hazard analysis is rainfall simulation. Large scale climate signals have been proved to be effective in rainfall simulation and prediction. In this study, an integrated scheme is developed for rainfall-runoff modeling considering different sources of uncertainty. This scheme includes three main steps of rainfall forecasting, rainfall-runoff simulation and future runoff prediction. In the first step, data driven models are developed and used to forecast rainfall using large scale climate signals as rainfall predictors. Due to high effect of different sources of uncertainty on the output of hydrologic models, in the second step uncertainty associated with input data, model parameters and model structure is incorporated in rainfall-runoff modeling and simulation. Three rainfall-runoff simulation models are developed for consideration of model conceptual (structural) uncertainty in real time runoff forecasting. To analyze the uncertainty of the model structure, streamflows generated by alternative rainfall-runoff models are combined, through developing a weighting method based on K-means clustering. Model parameters and input uncertainty are investigated using an adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo method. Finally, calibrated rainfall-runoff models are driven using the forecasted rainfall to predict future runoff for the watershed. The proposed scheme is employed in the case study of the Bronx River watershed, New York City. Results of uncertainty analysis of rainfall-runoff modeling reveal that simultaneous estimation of model parameters and input uncertainty significantly changes the probability distribution of the model parameters. It is also observed that by combining the outputs of the hydrological models using the proposed clustering scheme, the accuracy of runoff simulation in the watershed is remarkably improved up to 50% in comparison to the simulations by the individual models. Results indicate that the developed methodology not only provides reliable tools for rainfall and runoff modeling, but also adequate time for incorporating required mitigation measures in dealing with potentially extreme runoff events and flood hazard. Results of this study can be used in identification of the main factors affecting flood hazard analysis.  相似文献   

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