共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 31 毫秒
1.
Short time periodicities of 3, 6, and 12 months have been found by analysis of the coefficient of atmospheric activity of Jupiter for the time period 1963–1967.These periodicities have been attributed to seasonal variations of the Jovian atmosphere, and could be related to similar periodicities observed in solar flares and in the high velocity solar wind streamers. 相似文献
2.
In the present paper a study is made of the mean monthly number of grouped solar flaresf for the time period 1966–1988. Corresponding dataF were taken from the catalogue published by Coffey (1989). Periodicities of 140, 120, 48, 18, 12, and 11 months as well as shorter periodicities of the order of 6 and 3 months for the solar flares have been found. The emphasis is given as far as it concerns the period of 48 months, i.e., 4 years which is for the first time revealed by the present investigation. 相似文献
3.
S. D. Bouwer 《Solar physics》1992,142(2):365-389
Using a dynamic power spectral analysis technique, the time-varying nature of solar periodicities is investigated for background X-ray flux, 10.7 cm flux, several indices to UV chromospheric flux, total solar irradiance, projected sunspot areas, and a sunspot blocking function. Many prior studies by a host of authors have differed over a wide range on solar periodicities. This investigation was designed to help resolve the differences by examining how periodicities change over time, and how the power spectra of solar data depend on the layer of the solar atmosphere. Using contour diagrams that show the percent of total power over time for periods ranging from 8 to 400 days, the transitory nature of solar periodicities is demonstrated, including periods at 12–14, 26–28, 51–52, and approximately 154 days. Results indicate that indices related to strong magnetic fields show the greatest variation in the number of periodicities, seldom persist for more than three solar rotations, and are highly variable in their frequency and amplitude. Periodicities found in the chromospheric indices are fewer, persist for up to 8–12 solar rotations, and are more stable in their frequency and amplitude. An additional result, found in all indices to varying degrees and related to the combined effects of solar rotation and active region evolution, is the fashion in which periodicities vary from about 20 to 36 days. I conclude that the solar data examined here are both quasi-periodic and quasistationary, with chromospheric indices showing the longest intervals of stationarity, and data representing strong magnetic fields showing the least stationarity. These results may have important implications to the results of linear statistical analysis techniques that assume stationarity, and in the interpretation of time series studies of solar variability. 相似文献
4.
The distribution of monthly counts of grouped solar flares N
f
has been studied for the time period 1967–1985 and they have been compared to other solar activity index R
z
, F
2800, and F
3750 i.e. intensities of solar radio flux at 2800 MH
z
and 3750 MH
z
. Seasonal variations have been found in the monthly distribution of solar flares.We have also studied the variation of the correlation coefficient for every year between N
F
and R
z
for the time period 1967–1985. The distribution of monthly counts of grouped solar flares N
f
has also been compared to the number at high velocity solar-wind streamers for the same period. 相似文献
5.
Different records of solar activity (Wolf and group sunspot number, data on cosmogenic isotopes, historic data) were analyzed by means of modern statistical methods, including one especially developed for this purpose. It was confirmed that two long-term variations in solar activity – the cycles of Gleissberg and Suess – can be distinguished at least during the last millennium. The results also show that the century-type cycle of Gleissberg has a wide frequency band with a double structure consisting of 50–80 years and 90–140 year periodicities. The structure of the Suess cycle is less complex showing a variation with a period of 170–260 years. Strong variability in Gleissberg and Suess frequency bands was found in northern hemisphere temperature multiproxy that confirms the existence of a long-term relationship between solar activity and terrestial climate. 相似文献
6.
A reconstruction of sunspot numbers for the last 1000 years was obtained using a sum of sine waves derived from spectral analysis of the time series of sunspot number R
z for the period 1700–1999. The time series was decomposed in frequency levels using the wavelet transform, and an iterative regression model (ARIST) was used to identify the amplitude and phase of the main periodicities. The 1000-year reconstructed sunspot number reproduces well the great maximums and minimums in solar activity, identified in cosmonuclides variation records, and, specifically, the epochs of the Oort, Wolf, Spörer, Maunder, and Dalton Minimums as well the Medieval and Modern Maximums. The average sunspot number activity in each anomalous period was used in linear equations to obtain estimates of the solar radio flux F
10.7, solar wind velocity, and the southward component of the interplanetary magnetic field. 相似文献
7.
Power-spectrum analyses have been carried out on two data sets of the geomagnetic K-index from the Athens and Sofia magnetic Observatories. For the period between 1956–1984, periodicities of about 2.8 and 6 months have been obtained. Similar results were found by the auto-correlation technique. Both periods are significant to 0.05 and 0.01 level, respectively. In our attempt to explain transient geomagnetic disturbances caused by other parameters, the K-index was correlated to cosmic-ray and aurora intensity. The best correlation coefficient between K-variations and cosmic-ray data from Athens Neutron-Monitor Station was 0.58 and between K-index and Auroral, activity index was 0.47.An attempt to interpret these periodicities and relationships has been made. 相似文献
8.
Short-term periodicities of solar activity were studied with the flare index by using Discrete Fourier Transform for the time interval 1966–1986. Two noticeable periodicities (18.5 and 5 months) have been found. The existence of these periodicities comparing with the early findings is discussed. 相似文献
9.
We have made a statistical analysis of the monthly numbers of high-velocity solar wind streamers observed by the time period 1964–1978.The following periods have been found:
相似文献
| (1) | Eleven years, 6 and 3 months for the solar wind streamers, which have solar flares as sources. |
| (2) | Fourteen years and 36, 24, 12, 6, 4, 3 months for the number of solar wind streamers, which have coronal holes as sources. |
| (3) | Sixteen years for the total number of solar wind streamers. |
10.
A non-linear coupling function between sunspot maxima and aa minima modulations has been found as a result of a wavelet analysis of geomagnetic index aa and Wolf sunspot number yearly means since 1844. It has been demonstrated that the increase of these modulations for the past 158 years has not been steady, instead, it has occurred in less than 30 years starting around 1923. Otherwise sunspot maxima have oscillated about a constant level of 90 and 141, prior to 1923 and after 1949, respectively. The relevance of these findings regarding the forecasting of solar activity is analyzed here. It is found that if sunspot cycle maxima were still oscillating around the 141 constant value, then the Gnevyshev–Ohl rule would be violated for two consecutive even–odd sunspot pairs (22–23 and 24–25) for the first time in 1700 years. Instead, we present evidence that solar activity is in a declining episode that started about 1993. A value for maximum sunspot number in solar cycle 24 (87.5±23.5) is estimated from our results. 相似文献
11.
The recent measurements made by satellites of the aurorae in connection with solar phenomena have increased interest in auroral research. In the present investigation, we establish that, for the 20th solar cycle, the occurrence of visual discrete aurorae A, deduced from a complete set of data, is significantly related to the sunspot numbers R
z, the number of flares F (of importance 1) the solar wind streams derived from solar coronal holes H, and the geomagnetic index A
p.By employing the theory of residues it has been found that A correlates significantly well with the above indices. Accuracies of the order of 75–94% were found for geomagnetic latitudes in the range of 54 –63 N.The A-R
zrelationship was investigated in particular for the period 1897–1951. For this period spectrum analysis of A annual values revealed the existence of 3–4 yr and 8–10 yr periodicities of significances 95% and 99%; respectively.Research Associate. 相似文献
12.
Power spectral analysis of cosmic-ray intensity recorded by eight stations was carried out over a wide range of frequencies from 2.3 × 10–8 Hz to 5.8 × 10–6 Hz (2–500 days) during the period 1964–1995. Spectrum results of large-scale fluctuations have revealed the existence of a broad peak near 250–285 days and a narrower peak at 45–50 days during the studied epochs as a stable feature in all neutron monitors covering a wide rigidity range. The cosmic-ray power spectrum displayed significant peaks of varying amplitude with the solar rotation period (changed inversely with the particle rigidities) and its harmonics. The amplitudes of 27-day and 13.5-day fluctuations are greater during the positive-polarity epochs of the interplanetary magnetic field (qA>0) than during the qA<0 epochs. The comparison of cosmic-ray power spectra during the four successive solar activity minima have indicated that at the low-rigidity particles the spectrum differences between the qA>0 and qA<0 epochs are significantly large. Furthermore, the spectrum for even solar maximum years are higher and much harder than the odd years. There are significant differences in the individual spectra of solar maxima for different cycles. 相似文献
13.
Data series for the same time interval of characteristic solar parameters (sunspot number R; flux at 2.8 GHz), ionospheric parameters (critical frequency of the E-region) and atmospheric parameters (stratospheric and tropospheric temperatures T) have been analysed by the maximum-entropy method, in order to study the occurrence of periodicities in those parameters in the range from 12 to 150 days. Digital filtering of the most pronounced of the detected periods (mainly in the range between 19 to 33 days) shows a similar but not identical feature in the time interval 1974–1978. It is demonstrated that sunspot number and solar radio flux at 2.8 GHz behave in a similar way on the average, and at periods greater than 20 days. Although a number of similar periods occurred in solar, ionospheric and atmospheric parameters, cross-correlation estimations only show a relationship between periods in solar and ionospheric data, but none between solar data and stratospheric and tropospheric temperatures; exception: T (35 km) correlates with R at 12.3 days. The most obvious correlation was found between the critical frequency of the E layer and the solar flux at 2.8 GHz at a frequency of approximately 1/23 days–1.Proceedings of the 14th ESLAB Symposium on Physics of Solar Variations, 16–19 September 1980, Scheveningen, The Netherlands. 相似文献
14.
The cosmic-ray 1.68-year variation: A clue to understand the nature of the solar cycle? 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Using the maximum entropy method (MEM), the cosmic-ray power spectral density in the frequency range 3 × 10–9–2 × 10–7 Hz has been estimated for the period 1947–1990. Cosmic-ray intensity data were integrated from the ion chamber at Huancayo and the neutron monitor at Deep River, following the method of Nagashima and Morishita (1980). The estimated spectrum shows power-law dependence (f
–1.62), with several peaks superimposed. Periodicities of the different peaks are identified and related to solar activity phenomena; most of them were reported in the past. Once the 11-yr variation is eliminated, the most prominent feature in the spectrum is a variation, not reported before, with a period of 1.68 yr (604.8 d). This peak is correlated with fluctuations of similar periodicities found in the southern coronal hole area and in large active regions. The importance that this variation may have to elucidate the solar magnetic flux emergence and the activity cycle is discussed.Deceased 10 April, 1995. 相似文献
15.
The energy spectra of protons at energies in the range of about 1–100 MeV are investigated during time periods of low solar activity using data sets from near Earth spacecraft. These populations pose a tough experimental and theoretical problem that remains unsolved up to now. We attempt to provide a consistent definition of low-flux quiet-time periods relevant to low solar activity as well as quasi-stationary periods useful at higher levels of solar activity. Using statistical methods, the possible instrumental contribution to the lowest observed proton fluxes for various detectors is estimated. We suggest and prove that there exists a low-flux population of charged particles in the energy range of about 1–10 MeV, which is present in the inner heliosphere even during the quietest conditions at lowest solar activity. The dynamics of the variations of proton spectra over the solar cycle is investigated. A series of low-flux periods is examined in detail and energy spectra of protons are approximated in the form of J(E)=AE
–+CE. By determining the best fitting parameters to the energy spectra correlations are made among them as well as with monthly sunspot numbers characterizing solar activity. It has been demonstrated that the value of the energy minimum of proton spectrum E
min that `divides' the two populations – `solar/heliospheric' and `galactic' – is shifted towards higher values with increasing solar activity. Protons have been argued to be predominantly of solar origin up to several MeV near the solar cycle minimum and up to 20–30 MeV at maximum. The slope of the lower spectrum branch (parameter ) slightly decreases with increasing solar activity. The minimum fluxes observed during the last 3 minima of solar activity are compared; the lowest fluxes were those during the 1985–1987 period. 相似文献
16.
We have used the daily values of the equatorial rotation rate determined from the Mt. Wilson daily Doppler-velocity measurements
during the period 3 December 1985 – 5 March 2007 to search for periodicities in the solar equatorial rotation rate on time
scales shorter than 11 years. After the daily values have been binned into 61-day intervals, a cosine fit with a period of
one year was applied to the sequence to remove any seasonal trend. The spectral properties of this sequence were then investigated
by using standard Fourier analysis, maximum-entropy methods, and a Morlet-wavelet analysis. From the analysis of the Fourier
power spectrum we detected peaks with periodicities around 7.6, 2.8, and 1.47 years and 245, 182, and 158 days, but none of
them were at a statistically significant level. In the Morlet-wavelet analysis the ≈1.47-year periodicity is detected only
for 1990 (i.e., near the maximum of cycle 22) and near the end of cycle 22 in 1995. From the same wavelet analysis we found some evidence
for the existence of a 2.8-year periodicity and a 245-day periodicity in the equatorial rotation rate around the years 1990
and 1992, respectively. In the data taken during the period 1996 – 2007, when the Mt. Wilson spectrograph instrumentation
was more stable, we were unable to detect any signal from the wavelet analysis. Thus, the detected periodicities during the
period before 1996 could be artifacts of frequent changes in the Mt. Wilson spectrograph instrumentation. However, the temporal
behavior of most of the activity phenomena during cycles 22 (1986 – 1996) and 23 (after 1997) is considerably different. Therefore,
the presence of the aforementioned short-term periodicities during the last cycle and absence of them in the current cycle
may, in principle, be real temporal behavior of the solar rotation during these cycles. 相似文献
17.
Intermediate-term periodicities in solar activity 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
The presence of intermediate-term periodicities in solar activity, at approximately 323 and 540 days, has been claimed by different authors. In this paper, we have performed a search for them in the historical records of two main indices of solar activity, namely, the daily sunspot areas (cycles 12–21) and the daily Zürich sunspot number (cycles 6–21). Two different methods to compute power spectra have been used, one of them being especially appropriate to deal with gapped time series. The results obtained for the periodicity near 323 days indicate that it has only been present in cycle 21, while in previous cycles no significant evidence for it has been found. On the other hand, a significant periodicity at 350 days is found in sunspot areas and Zürich sunspot number during cycles 12–21 considered all together, also having been detected in some individual cycles. However, this last periodicity must be looked into with care due to the lack of confirmation for it coming from other features of solar activity. The periodicity around 540 days is found in cycles 12, 14, and 17 in sunspot areas, while during cycles 18 and 19 it is present, with a very high significance, in sunspot areas and Zürich sunspot number. It also appears at 528 days in sunspot areas during cycles 12–21. On the other hand, it is important to note the coincidence between the asymmetry, favouring the northern hemisphere, of sunspot areas and solar flares during cycle 19, and the fact that the periodicity at 540 days was only present, with high significance, in that hemisphere during that solar cycle. 相似文献
18.
Application of analyzing time-series into trigonometric series allows the investigation of cosmic-ray intensity variations in a wide periodicity range from a few months to 10 or even more years. By this technique, the amplitude and the phase of all observed fluctuations can be given. For this purpose, cosmic-ray data of five ground-based neutron-monitor stations for the time interval 1964–1985 have been analyzed.Two kinds of periodicities appeared in these data. The first one includes occurrences at periods greater than two years, as the ones of 10.41, 8.41, and 5.50 yr, which differ very little in amplitude from station to station but are similar in phase, and the second one includes periodicities smaller than two years (24, 12, 8, and 6 months) which are similar in all stations but appeared in variable time intervals.The possible origin of each observed variation due to a contribution either of cosmic-ray interaction in the upper atmosphere or to the solar dynamics is discussed. 相似文献
19.
The change in the darkness of the Great Red Spot (GRS) of Jupiter (1894–1974) has been analysed with Fourier (FFT), Maximum Entropy and Power spectrum (Blackman-Tukey window) (PSA) methods of spectrum analysis. Significance, non-randomness and stationarity tests assigned high variance to periodicities of 33 ± 4, 13–15, about 11, 9 and 3 yrs. The highest correlation between solar activity and GRS darkness was found for the 14th and 16th solar cycle. The periodicities obtained are interpreted as the combined eftects of solar activity, planetary resonances and internal jovian mechanisms. 相似文献
20.
Cosmic-ray intensity data for the period 1964–1985 covering two solar cycles are used to investigate the solar activity behaviour in relation to cosmic-ray modulation. A detailed statistical analysis of them shows a large time-lag of about one and half years between cosmic-ray intensity and solar activity (as indicated by sunspot number, solar flares and high-speed solar-wind streams) during the 21st solar cycle appearing for a first time. This lag indicates the very high activity level of this solar cycle estimating the size of the modulating region to the unambiguous value of 180 AU. The account of the solar-wind speed in the 11-year variation significantly decreases the modulation region of cosmic-rays to the value of 40 AU.A comparison with the behaviour of the previous solar cycle establishes a distinction between even and odd solar cycles. This is explained in terms of different contributions of drift, convection and diffusion to the whole modulation mechanism during even and odd solar cycles. 相似文献