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1.
Debris flow occurs frequently in mountainous regions in China. Because of the difficulties involved in predicting and catching
live debris flows, an assessment of the potential for debris flow is crucial in hazard mitigation. Magnitude–frequency (MF)
relations are of special significance in such assessments. In previous studies, MF relations have been inferred by analyzing
environmental factors and historical records and using empirical relations. This paper is concerned with the derivation of
MF relations at regional and valley scales, using a large database of statistics. At the regional scale, it is represented
by the distribution of the valley area, because the area is often taken to indicate the potential magnitude of debris flow.
Statistics from over 5,000 debris flow valleys in various provinces in China show that a power law holds for the distribution,
i.e., p(A) ∼ A
−n
, where p(A) is the percentage of valleys with area A and n varies with region and thus describes regional differences. At the valley scale, a case study focusing on Jiangjia Gully
(JJG) was conducted, and the MF relations derived from it were expressed by the distributions of discharge and runoff (i.e.,
the total volume) of living debris flows observed over the last 40 years. The distributions can be expressed as exponential
functions where the exponents vary with the events. These MF relations provide not only a potential quantitative reference
for practical purposes but also hint at the intrinsic properties of the debris flow. 相似文献
2.
3.
There exists a transition between rockfalls, large rock mass failures, and rock avalanches. The magnitude and frequency relations (M/F) of the slope failure are increasingly used to assess the hazard level. The management of the rockfall risk requires the knowledge of the frequency of the events but also defining the worst case scenario, which is the one associated to the maximum expected (credible) rockfall event. The analysis of the volume distribution of the historical rockfall events in the slopes of the Solà d’Andorra during the last 50 years shows that they can be fitted to a power law. We argue that the extrapolation of the F-M relations far beyond the historical data is not appropriate in this case. Neither geomorphological evidences of past events nor the size of the potentially unstable rock masses identified in the slope support the occurrence of the large rockfall/rock avalanche volumes predicted by the power law. We have observed that the stability of the slope at the Solà is controlled by the presence of two sets of unfavorably dipping joints (F3, F5) that act as basal sliding planes of the detachable rock masses. The area of the basal sliding planes outcropping at the rockfall scars was measured with a terrestrial laser scanner. The distribution of the areas of the basal planes may be also fitted to a power law that shows a truncation for values bigger than 50 m2 and a maximum exposed surface of 200 m2. The analysis of the geological structure of the rock mass at the Solà d’Andorra makes us conclude that the size of the failures is controlled by the fracture pattern and that the maximum size of the failure is constrained. Two sets of steeply dipping faults (F1 and F7) interrupt the other joint sets and prevent the formation of continuous failure surfaces (F3 and F5). We conclude that due to the structural control, large slope failures in Andorra are not randomly distributed thus confirming the findings in other mountain ranges. 相似文献
4.
Earthquakes occurring during the night or early morning hours cause a heavy loss of life. Also, an earthquake occurring in the late evening hours poses serious handicap for disaster mitigation efforts due to failure of electricity and blocking of roads due to fall of debris. The larger aftershocks may cause further damage depending upon the magnitude of the main earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 and more in the Indian region. Out of 7 great earthquakes (M >7.8) in the Indian region during the last 200 years, five (1819, 1897, 1905, 1941 and 1950) have occurred during the evening or early morning hours. About 67% of all the earthquakes of magnitude >7.0 show similar result. It is found that in general, the percentage of earthquakes occurring during evening/early morning is larger than that during the daytime. However, the difference in time of occurrence is not significant at 95% level of confidence using 2 test. Keeping in view that most of the earthquakes in India of magnitude more than 6 have caused significant damage in the last decade (Uttarkashi, 1991; Latur, 1993; Jabalpur, 1997; Chamoli, 1999) and have occurred in the night/ early morning, disaster management plans need to be designed for awareness and education separately for the night and day times.The limitations of the seismic zoning map with reference to the earthquakes in Koyna (1967) and Latur (1993) have suggested to safeguard the life and property of the Indian population from the effects of future damaging earthquakes which should be failsafe instead of following the code and then introduce further changes in the code. It is suggested that residential houses (including tall structures) should be built for a design earthquake of magnitude 6.0 in all the three seismic zones namely I, II and III demarcated by the Bureau of Indian Standards giving proper weight age to site response. However, for Zones IV and V usual code recommendations may be followed through micro zoning of important, densely populated or most vulnerable areas. 相似文献
5.
Trong C. D. Hoang N. Bach M. X. Luc N. M. Dung L. V. Trieu C. D. Syrbu N. S. Hai D. Th. Tuan Th. A. Toan N. Q. Thanh D. V. 《Geotectonics》2022,56(3):321-338
Geotectonics - This paper presents analysis of geomorphological indices for predicting the maximum observed earthquake (MOb?Max) in research region, conducted in three steps: (i)... 相似文献