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1.
Following a new train of thinking, this paper has explored first the potential information in the ground resistivity data observed by the existing geoelectric observation system, investigated and proposed a new dimensionless geoelectric precursor factor, the degree of ground resistivity anisotropy, S, and studied the characteristics of dynamic evolution pattern of S during the seismogenic process. The results show that, during the seismogenic process, the degree of ground resistivity anisotropy (S) displays a process of 'normal' →'abnormal strengthening (amplitude, range)' →abnormal weakening' → 'earthquake occurrence'→ 'normal'. The earthquake would occur at the time when the S value has entered the late stage of strengthening and turns to weaken and in the gradient belt on the margin of S anomaly region. The dynamic evolution pattern of S reflects the changes of the tectonic stress field during the seismogenic process. Therefore, it would be possible to trace the process of earthquake generation and occurrence from the dynamic evolution pattern of S so as to service earthquake prediction. 相似文献
2.
The properties of rock resitivity were studied under pressure, particularly with “stress reversal”, a procedure in which the
pressure applied was increased and decreased.
It was observed that, 1) With pressure increasing, the main feature of resistivity change was increase-steady-decrease for
high-saturation rock samples (saturation 70–100%). But the main feature for low-saturation samples was different. 2) In 10
out of 11 cases of “stress reversal” for high-saturation samples the resistivity droped (about 2%). Such drop could explain
the anomalies in geoelectricity terms, which are commonly observed before earthquakes in China. 3) It was also observed shortly
before rock failure that, a) the resistivity drops more dramatically (about 20%) during “stress reversal” period, which is
much more than ordinary drops. b) these drops occurred not only during stress decrease but also during stress increase. c)
Resistivity exhibits anisotropy: the resistivity along different directions may differ by 10%. These three features may indicate
that the rock is nearing failure, while ordinary resistivity drops are only connected with “stress reversal” and may not mean
the imminence of rock failure. 4) Resistivity increase was observed during the “stress reversal” period for low-saturation
rock samples.
The results mentioned above were explained with the effect of water flowing in and out of the cracks of rock. The temporary
factors which yield a reduction of the maximum main stress, may enhence the possibility of earthquake occurrence. 相似文献
3.
Case histories of water level subsidence in bore-holes as a precursor of earthquakes are given here. Based on the examples,
a testable quantitative theory for causative mechanism of the precursor—“draining-injecting water model with variable discharge”
is proposed (abbreviated to DIW model). Through analysing the constitution law of which the deformation changes in the porous,
water-saturated media under the effect of exterior stress, as first step of all, the authors suggested first a simple “drainage-natural
restoration model” (abbreviated to DNR model), calculated and gave a group of theoretical precursor curve by using DNR model,
compared the theoretical precursor curves of DNR model with the observational curves, found out the differences of the two
curves, studied the causative physical factors that caused the differences then, revised the DNR model, and finally, the theory
on “draining-injecting water model with variable discharge” in the paper was obtained. The authors deduced general equation
of the two dimensions “draining-injecting water linear source drawdown field” in the paper, suggested and developed the concept
on “domain”. DIW model can also give a possible explanation for both regularity and complexity of this precursor. DIW theory
can quantitatively divide the seismogenic process of the foci on the short-term and impending process into several phases,
and by inversing the discharge functionq(τ) curve, the time values by which the phases are divided were obtained. They will be helpful to predicting the occurrence
time of earthquake and judging the DD and IPE model of the seismogenesis.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,15, 194–201, 1993. 相似文献
4.
The spatial and temporal distributions of acoustic emission （AE） during the deformation of samples containing an inhomogeneous fault have been studied under biaxial compression. The results show that the fault strength and the duration from loading to failure increase and the failure mode changes from abrupt instability to gradual failure with increase of lateral stress σ2. The pre-setting fault and its heterogeneity play an important role in controlling AE spatial distribution during the deformation. The basic pattern of AE spatial distribution is controlled by the pre-setting fault, especially the parts with inhomogeneous strength and the strong segment, and the localization of fracturing starts from the positions with inhomogeneous strength, With increase of σ5, the dense AE distribution area spreads from the positions with inhomogeneous strength to the whole strong segment gradually. AE temporal sequence is significantly affected by σ2. The fault shows abrupt instability in final failure, which occurs on a background of ＂enhancement-quiescence＂ in microfracturing activity at lower σ2. At higher σ5, the fault shows gradual failure, and AE occurrence rate increases continuously and AER increase exponentially before and after the failure, The effect of σ2 on b-value is also remarkable, b-value shows precursory decrease in the weakening stage when fault behavior is abrupt instability, but it shows balanced change when fault behavior is gradual failure, 相似文献
5.
Wang Shuang-xu Jiang Zai-sen Chen Wen-sheng Zhang Xi Chen Bing Zhang Si-xin Wang Ji-ying 《地震学报(英文版)》2001,14(2):156-165
The time-space distribution characteristics of fault deformation anomaly in the near-source region and its outlying zone in
the seismogenic process of the Jingtai M
s=5.9 earthquake occurred on June 6, 2000 in Gansu Province is studied preliminarily. The distribution scope of fault deformation
anomaly before the earthquake is wide, the anomaly shape is complicated and the pattern anomalous zone of fault deformation
(strain) information index is obvious. The shape and amplitude of fault deformation anomaly in different regions differ significantly,
which is closely related with the tectonic location of anomaly. The fault deformation anomaly of α, β, and γ phases along
the western segment of Haiyuan fault zone shows the process from the quasi-linearity to non-linearity of fault movement in
the near-source region, matches the high-value anomalous area of fault deformation (strain) information index, and reflects
the high strain accumulation in the seismogenic region. However, the anomaly of abrupt jump and cusp with a large amplitude
occurred in the areas far from the earthquake, such as Liupanshan fault zone which is the tectonic convergent section does
not reflect the strain accumulation of its location, maybe it is a sign that the regional tectonic stress field is strengthened
in the seismogenic process. Based on the above-mentioned facts and combined with the preliminary summary of experiences and
lessons in the intermediate and short-term prediction of the Jingtai M
s=5.9 earthquake, we study and explore the application of fault deformation anomaly to earthquake judgment.
Foundation item: National Key Basic Research Development Program (G1998040703 and G1998040705), and State Scientific and Technological Project
of the “Ninth Five-Year Plan” (96-913-09-01-02-03 and 96-913-09-02-02-03), China. 相似文献
6.
GUO Zeng-Jian 《地震学报(英文版)》2000,13(4):477-480
IntroductionIn the book Future CataS~ologr published in 1992, we proposed a viewpoiflt on using the"criterion of activity in quiescence" to predict big eathquake (MsZ7) (GUO, et al, 1992), and predicted in the book that in futore several years or in ten years a big earthquake (Ms27) will be possible to occur in the Zhongdian and nearby in Yunnan Province. In the 1994 nation-wide earthquake tendency consultation meeting we pointed out, once more, in the Zhongdian region of Yunnan Province… 相似文献
7.
A three-component geomagnetic survey was carried out during the period from 2002 to 2004 in China including Jiujiang-Ruichang region. Comparing the ＂2005.0 surface spline model of China geomagnetic field＂ created on the basis of the survey data with the ＂1970.0 surface spline model of China geomagnetic field＂, we can see an obvious abnormity in the geomagnetic horizontal component within a range of about 100 km around the epicenter of the Ms=5.7 Jiujiang-Ruichang earthquake occurred on November 26, 2005. After the earthquake, we carded out a repeated geomagnetic survey at 21 stations in the Jiujiang-Ruichang region and created a corresponding ＂2005.0 partially revised surface spline model of China geomagnetic field＂. By comparing the above three models, analyzing the geomagnetic horizontal component at the profile in the Jiujiang-Ruichang region and quantitatively studying the geomagnetic data of every stations around the Ms=5.7 earthquake, we have obtained the geomagnetic abnormity associated with this earthquake. Then the geomagnetic abnormity and its relation with seismic activity are discussed in this paper. 相似文献
8.
Fracture characteristics of the 1997 Jiashi, Xinjiang, China, earthquake swarm inferred from source spectra 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
SHI-YONG ZHOU 《地震学报(英文版)》2000,13(2):125-135
Broadband P and S waves source spectra of 12 MS5.0 earthquakes of the 1997 Jiashi, Xinjiang, China, earthquake swarm recorded at 13 GDSN stations have been analyzed. Rupture size and static stress drop of these earthquakes have been estimated through measuring the corner frequency of the source spectra. Direction of rupture propagation of the earthquake faulting has also been inferred from the azimuthal variation of the corner frequency. The main results are as follows: ①The rupture size of MS6.0 strong earthquakes is in the range of 10～20 km, while that of MS=5.0～5.5 earthquakes is 6～10 km.② The static stress drop of the swarm earthquakes is rather low, being of the order of 0.1 MPa. This implies that the deformation release rate in the source region may be low. ③ Stress drop of the earthquakes appears to be proportional to their seismic moment, and also to be dependent on their focal mechanism. The stress drop of normal faulting earthquakes is usually lower than that of strike-slip type earthquakes. ④ For each MS6.0 earthquake there exists an apparent azimuthal variation of the corner frequencies. Azimuthally variation pattern of corner frequencies of different earthquakes shows that the source rupture pattern of the Jiashi earthquake swarm is complex and no uniform rupture expanding direction exists. 相似文献
9.
Current tectonic deformation and seismogenic characteristics along the northeast margin of Qinghai -Xizang block 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
Introduction The northeast margin of Qinghai-Xizang block has become the place with close attentions from geo-specialists at home and abroad for its significant tectonic movement and intensive seismicity. Quite a number of achievements have been obtained from the studies on geological structures and strong earthquake activities (DING, LU, 1989, 1991; GUO, et al, 1992, 2000; GUO, XIANG, 1993; HOU, et al, 1999; Tapponnier, et al, 1990; Gaudemer, et al, 1995). In the Development Program… 相似文献
10.
Features and physical process of the dynamic evolution pattern of ground resistivity precursor front
ＩｎｔｒｏｄｕｃｔｉｏｎＳｉｎｃｅｔｈｅ１９６０′ｓ,ｔｈｅｄｅｖｅｌｏｐｍｅｎｔｏｆｍｏｄｅｒｎｓｃｉｅｎｃｅａｎｄｔｅｃｈｎｏｌｏｇｙｈａｓｇｒａｄｕａｌｙｍａｄｅｉｔｐｏｓｉｂｌｅｔｏｐｒｅｄｉｃｔｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｓａｎｄｈａｓｐｒｏｍｏｔ... 相似文献
11.
ＥｓｔｉｍａｔｉｏｎｏｆｓｅｉｓｍｉｃｓｔｒｅｓｄｒｏｐｆｒｏｍｔｈｅｐｅａｋｖｅｌｏｃｉｔｙｏｆｇｒｏｕｎｄｍｏｔｉｏｎＪＩＡＺＨＥＮＧＱＩＮ（秦嘉政）ＺＵＹＩＮＬＩＵ（刘祖荫）ＸＩＡＯＤＯＮＧＱＩＡＮ（钱晓东）ＱＩＮＧＹＩＮＸＩＥ（谢庆... 相似文献
12.
赵和云 《地震学报(英文版)》1994,7(3):465-474
ＴｈｅｐａｔｔｅｒｎｃｈａｒａｃｔｅｒｉｓｔｉｃｓｏｆｔｈｅｔｅｎｄｅｎｃｙｖａｒｉａｔｉｏｎｓｏｆｅａｒｔｈｒｅｓｉｓｔｉｖｉｔｙａｎｄｉｔｓｒｅｌａｔｉｏｎｔｏｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｓＨｅ－ＹｕｎＺＨＡＯ（赵和云）（ＥａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅＲｅｓｅａｒ... 相似文献
13.
A comprehensive analysis of Kamchatka seismicity for the period 2005–2007 using the regional catalog
We characterize the Kamchatka seismicity for the period 2005–2007. Regional catalogs of Kamchatka earthquakes were used to
develop 2D distributions of parameters of background seismicity. The characteristics we consider include the activity A
10, the slope of the recurrence curve γ, the parameters involved in the methods RTL, ΔS, and the “Z-function”, as well as the control of earthquake clustering. We have detected the space-time agreement between the anomalies
exhibited by several parameters. 相似文献
14.
IntroductionShort-to-imminentprecursorsstillarethemainbasisforearthquakepredictioninthepresenttime.Strongquakes,especiallythosewithnoforeshocks,canbeforecastedtosomeextentbasedonabundantshoat-to-imminentprecursorsandcombiningwiththemid-to-longtermvar... 相似文献
15.
In this paper, based on the previous study of practical use of seismic regime windows and seismic regime belts, the problem
of establishing a “seismic regime network” consisting of “windows” and “belts” is further posed and discussed according to
the observed fact that many “windows” and “belts” make responses to one earthquake. For the convenience of usage, the “seismic
regime network” is divided into two classes, the first class and the second one. The former can be used in tendency prediction
for long-term seismic activity in a large area, the latter used in short-term prediction in a small area. In this paper, after
briefly discussing the physical significance of “seismic regime network”, it is pointed out that this simple and easily used
method can be used to observe and extract seismic precursory information from a large area before a great earthquake, thus
it can provide a reliable basis for the analysis and judgement of seismic regime tendency in time and space. No doult, this
method is of certain practical significance.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,13, 161–169, 1991.
The English version of this paper is improved by Prof. Shaoxie Xu. 相似文献
16.
The “earthquake nucleation” is discussed in this paper. The acceleration is a property of the nucleation phase and is a necessary
condition of earthquake instability too. If the acceleration property of this nucleating process is described by the equation
dΘ/dt=C/(t
f−t)
n
, the process can be summarized briefly that the rate of cumulative seismic release is proportional to the inverse power of
the remaining time to failure. Based on this principle, the foreshock sequence of the 1975 Haicheng earthquake withM
S7.3, was analysed backward. It is stated clearly that the time-to-failure and magnitude of the mainshock can be predicted
successfully if the coefficientr
2 attains to the maximum. In the estimation of mainshock time, the error can generally be less than, or far less than, one-half
the remaining time between the time of the last used data point and the mainshock.
Contribution No. 95A0024, Institute of Geophysics, SSB, China.
This study is the "Eighth-Five" contract project ofSSB. 相似文献
17.
本文介绍了国内外关于应力降研究及应用的一些进展。对应力降定义及计算方法进行简要介绍,对地震应力降整体特征、应力降与地震大小、应力降与构造环境、应力降与序列类型等之间的关系进行简要综述,重点讨论了应力降在震后趋势判定中的可能应用,并对应力降计算结果的不确定性进行了初步讨论。应力降表征地震错动导致的位错面上的应力变化,其定义为地震前后初始应力σ_0与终止应力σ_1之差。地震应力降数值大多为零点几兆帕至数十兆帕,以10MPa以下的居多。应力降与震级、震源深度、构造环境、震源机制、序列类型等之间的关系复杂,对此,也存在诸多不同的认识。消除震级影响之后,地震序列应力降随时间持续升高的现象,对后续强余震有一定的时间指示意义。值得注意的是,诸多因素均会影响应力降的计算结果,数值实验结果显示,拐角频率、零频极限的综合误差对应力降计算结果影响显著,二者不确定性造成的应力降计算误差几乎完全覆盖余震应力降随时间的变化。 相似文献
18.
Properties of wave velocity for two types of granitoids at high pressure and temperature and their geological meaning 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Shufeng Yang Hanlin Chen Jishuang Jiang Guoqiang Zhu Hongshen Xie Wei Hou Yueming Zhang Huigang Xu 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》1997,40(5):470-476
The wave velocity for two types of granitoids was measured using the analytic method of full-wave vibration at high pressure
and high temperature. The laws of velocity changes for them differ with the pressure boost and temperature rise, and the velocity
change of S-type is more violent than that of I-type. The “softening point” of compressional wave velocity (V μ) is also revealed
during the measurement for two types of granitoids imitating the pressure and temperature at a certain depth. But the depth
of “softening”, Vp after “softening” and the percentage of Vp’s drop around the “sofrening point” for two types of granitoids are obviously different. The depth of “softening” is 15 km
approximately and Vp after “softening” is 5.62 km/s for S-type granitoid. But for I-type granitoid the depth of “softening” is 26 km approximately
and Vp after “softening” is 6. 08 km/s. Through careful analysis of rock slices after the experiment, it was found that the “softening”
of elastic-wave velocity is caused by the partial melting of granite. Combined with the results of geophysical prospecting,
these results suggest that the low-velocity layers developing in the interior of Earth crust are related to thc partial melting
of different types of granitoids. The formation of the low-velocity layer in the upper-middle Earth crust is closely related
to the development of S-type granitoid, but that in the lower Earth crust is closely related to the development of I-type
granitoid. 相似文献
19.
This paper examines the role of the position and orientation of a regional fault in the roof of a magma chamber on stress
distribution, mechanical failure, and dyking using 2D finite element numerical simulations. The study pertains to the magma
chamber behavior in the relatively short time intervals of several hundreds to thousand of years. The magma chamber is represented
as an elliptical inclusion (eccentricity, a/b = 0.12) at a relative depth, H/a, of 0.9. The fault has a 45° dip and is represented by a frictionless fracture. The temperature field in the host rock is
calculated assuming a quasisteady-state thermal regime that develops through periodic episodes of magma supply. The rheology
of the surrounding rocks is treated using viscoelasticity with temperature activated strain-rate dependent viscosity. Strain
weakening of the rocks in the ductile zone is described within the frame of the Dynamic Power Law model . The magma pressure
is coupled with the deformation of the rock mass hosting the chamber, including the fault. The variation of magma pressure
in response to magma supply and chamber deformation is calculated in the elastic and viscoelastic regimes. The latter corresponds
to slow filling, while the former represents a filling time much less than the viscous relaxation time scale. The resulting
“equation of state” for the magma chamber couples the magma pressure with the chamber volume in the elastic regime, and with
the filling rate for the viscoelastic regime. Analysis of stresses is used to predict dyke propagation conditions, and the
mechanical failure of the chamber roof for different fault positions and magma overpressures. Results show that an outward
dipping fault located on the periphery of the chamber roof hinders the propagation of dykes to the surface, causing magma
to accumulate under the footwall of the fault. At high to moderate overpressures (30–40 MPa), the fault causes localized shear
failure and chamber roof collapse that might lead to the first stage of a caldera-forming eruption. 相似文献
20.
Application of rock creep experiment in calculating the viscoelastic parameters of earth medium 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
The viscosity of earth medium can explain many geophysical phenomena. The uplifting velocity of Ti- betan Plateau may be caused by extrusion of the low viscosity channel in middle and lower crust[1]. The post-deformation after earthquake also relates to the rheology of earth medium[2]. The aftershock sequence is considered a process of strain release after stress dropped[3]. There are two kinds of models in the study of rheological character of crustal medium, elastoplas- only when the forced… 相似文献