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1.
生命线工程系统抗震可靠度算法复杂性及简化原则   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4  
研究了生命线工程系统抗震可靠度常规算法的适用性,定义了算法的时间复杂性和结构复杂性,分析了使可行算法失效的原因,给出了回路分解公式,提出了优先降低结构复杂性的简化原则。  相似文献   

2.
用算法复杂性分析时间序列   总被引:11,自引:1,他引:11  
吕悦军  陆远忠 《中国地震》1993,9(3):229-234
本文介绍了算法复杂性的概念,总结了算法复杂性的一些性质,对其所具有的优点及在计算中所存在的问题进行了讨论。通过用算法复杂性C(n)分析由地震细胞自动机模型产生的地震时间序列,说明算法复杂性用于研究地震活动演化及地震活动图象是有希望的。  相似文献   

3.
赖晓玲  张先康  孙译 《地震学报》2006,28(3):230-237
利用地震波复杂性系数和频谱分析方法,处理了穿过张北地震区的一条地震测深剖面的PmP波形资料,获得了该震区以及相邻区域的壳幔边界复杂性特征. 结果表明,震中区的下方为壳幔边界复杂性的差异部位,北侧为复杂性系数小的内蒙地轴,南侧为复杂性系数大的怀安盆地. 频谱分析表明,在震区的两侧有不同的谱形态. 该震区中新生代以来有过多期岩浆活动并且地表有火山口. 从张北地震区的中上地壳速度成像可以看出,火山口周围壳内有低速体分布,并且有向地壳深部延伸的低速带. 推测壳幔边界复杂性的差异带可能是中新生代深部岩浆活动和上侵的边沿地带,南侧复杂性系数大的区域为深部岩浆活动区,北侧复杂性系数小的区域为壳幔构造稳定区.壳幔边界复杂性的差异为强震的孕育提供了深部环境.   相似文献   

4.
焦明若  张国民 《地震》1998,18(2):112-118
针对前兆复杂性的种种表现,作从震源、构造应力场、断裂力学、前兆监测等方面探讨了前兆复杂性产生的可能原因。认为前兆复杂性是客观存在的,与共性一起构成前兆的二重性,因此在研究前兆时,既要研究共性,也要研究复杂性,才能更好地掌握或认识前兆。同时从复杂性中再寻求普遍性,进一步完善孕震理论和开发新的分析预报方法;造成前兆复杂性的根本原因是孕震的物理力学过程的复杂性,其中包括地质构造、孕震环境、动力学过程、  相似文献   

5.
玛沁—兰州—靖边剖面壳幔复杂性的研究   总被引:6,自引:1,他引:6  
利用波的瞬时特性和波列长度参数量,给出一种地震波形复杂性系数的计算方法,该方法呆以用于描述研究区介质的复杂性,处理了中国地震局物探中心于1999年7月实施的玛沁-兰州-靖边地震测深剖面,得到了该剖莫霍界面复杂性系数分布图,结果表明沿剖面的不同构造单元。莫霍界面的复杂性有较大差异,复杂性系数分布沿剖面存在两个明显的变化特征,在该剖面的玛沁裂断和海原地地震的下方,莫霍界面的复杂性系数明显大于沿剖面的其它位置,对穿过各个构造单元的PmP波形做了频频分析,在玛沁断裂和海原地震的下方,频谱的优势频率范围明显较其它位置宽并且出现多峰值。  相似文献   

6.
我国地震工作者长期的探索与努力,证明了地震短临预报是有可能做到的.但地震的复杂性决定了前兆信息的复杂性,使得我们的地震短临预报面临着一些困境,我们对此进行了一些思考.  相似文献   

7.
以川滇地区11个地震带(区)为对象,研究了将算法复杂性C(n)用于地震预报的可能性。文中以1a为时间窗,0.5a为滑动步长,按2.5≤M<3.5,3.5≤M<4.5和M≥4.5分成3档,将各地震带(区)地震序列转换成由3种符号组成的字符串,从而计算各地震带(区)算法复杂性C(n)随时间变化曲线,规定了预报判据和预报规则,总体上取得了略高于随机瞎报的预报效能,显示了将算法复杂性用于地震预报研究有一定的前景。  相似文献   

8.
用算法复杂性分析地震活动演化特征   总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5  
吕悦军  陆远忠 《地震》1997,17(1):25-33
以非线性动力学理论为依据,用非线性动力学中分析时间序列的算法复杂性研究地震活动规律和构成地震活动复杂现象的动力学特征。提出了按震级计算的地震算法复杂性AC值和按发震时间计算的地震算法复杂性TAC值。选取1970年以来中国东部MS≥6.0地震,西部MS≥6.5的强震,对AC值和TAC值进行回顾性分析;利用1970 ̄1980年大华北地区展望性空区识别结果,对AC值和TAC值进行展望性检验分析,并进行了  相似文献   

9.
孙加林  章瑞 《地震》2007,27(2):30-40
2001年昆仑山口西 8.1 级特大地震后, 几年来地震界对中国大陆地震活动总趋势的判断与地震活动现实出现较大的偏差, 这是为什么? 该文系统地分析研究了20世纪中国大陆第五地震活跃期的复杂性和特殊性, 并着重探讨研究出现这种复杂性的本质问题和相关的地球动力学因素。  相似文献   

10.
张家口-渤海断裂带西缘壳幔过渡带研究   总被引:8,自引:1,他引:7       下载免费PDF全文
利用复杂性系数、频谱分析和小波变换方法处理了穿过张家口—渤海断裂带西缘的地震测深剖面的Pm波形资料,研究不同构造单元壳幔过渡带的多参数特征以及它们在岩石圈构造演化中的意义. 结果表明: 不同构造单元Pm波的复杂性系数和频谱特征有较大差异,内蒙地轴复杂性系数小,莫霍面具有明显的一级间断面特征,怀安—张北位于张家口—渤海断裂带的西缘,该区域Pm波复杂性系数大并且频谱为多极值,Moho面为复杂的壳幔过渡带. 利用小波分析和反射率理论地震图得到该壳幔过渡带由2~3层组成,总厚度约为6~9km,最大厚度位于怀安盆地下方. 该壳幔过渡带是大陆裂谷环境中底侵作用的产物,壳幔过渡带的分层特征与该区域中新生代的多期岩浆活动有密切联系.  相似文献   

11.
Although the evidence for complexity is overwhelming, the dynamics of faulting is still poorly understood. Whilst it has long been known that discreteness in numerical earthquake models produces complexity, the mathematical structure and form of this complexity has never been fully established. Using a simple 1D nonlinear fault model we show how complexity can arise in discrete models through the presence of nonlinear, scale-dependent (or mesh-dependent) terms. We show that scale-dependencies may be a significant factor in the generation of slip complexity and pulse-like rupture over multiple earthquake cycles. We demonstrate that the introduction of length scales in discrete earthquake models implies that both strongly weakening friction and scale-dependent processes may be necessary in generating the pulse-like rupture mode and earthquake complexity over multiple earthquake cycles.  相似文献   

12.
The ProP waveform data obtained from a deep seismic sounding profile, which ran through Zhangbei seismic region, were processed by means of both seismic wave complexity coefficient and frequency spectrum analysis methods, and the complexity characteristics of crest-mantle boundary beneath the studied area and its adjacent region were determined. The results show that the place below epicenter can be taken as boundary, the northern side of which is Inner Mongolia axis with small complexity coefficient and the southern side of which is Huai'an basin with large complexity coefficient. The different spectrum patterns at the two sides of the epicenter were inferred from spectrum analysis. In the epicentral area, there have been multi-period magmatic eruptions since Meso-Cenozoic and craters exist at the surface. From the velocity imaging of middle and upper crust in Zhangbei seismic region it can be found that there are crustal low velocity bodies around the craters and also there are low velocity zones, which went into deep crust. It is suggested that the distinct zones of crust-mantle boundary complexity may be the margin, where the magma had intruded due to magma activity in Meso-Cenozoic. The southern side with large complexity coefficient is deep magmatic activity area and the northern side with small complexity coefficient is stable crust-mantle tectonics. The difference of crust-mantle complexity provides deep background for the development of strong earthquake.  相似文献   

13.
Considering complexity in groundwater modeling can aid in selecting an optimal model, and can avoid over parameterization, model uncertainty, and misleading conclusions. This study was designed to determine the uncertainty arising from model complexity, and to identify how complexity affects model uncertainty. The Ajabshir aquifer, located in East Azerbaijan, Iran, was used for comprehensive hydrogeological studies and modeling. Six unique conceptual models with four different degrees of complexity measured by the number of calibrated model parameters (6, 10, 10, 13, 13 and 15 parameters) were compared and characterized with alternative geological interpretations, recharge estimates and boundary conditions. The models were developed with Model Muse and calibrated using UCODE with the same set of observed data of hydraulic head. Different methods were used to calculate model probability and model weight to explore model complexity, including Bayesian model averaging, model selection criteria, and multicriteria decision-making (MCDM). With the model selection criteria of AIC, AICc and BIC, the simplest model received the highest model probability. The model selection criterion, KIC, and the MCDM method, in addition to considering the quality of model fit between observed and simulated data and the number of calibrated parameters, also consider uncertainty in parameter estimates with a Fisher information matrix. KIC and MCDM selected a model with moderate complexity (10 parameters) and the best parameter estimation (model 3) as the best models, over another model with the same degree of complexity (model 2). The results of these comparisons show that in choosing between models, priority should be given to quality of the data and parameter estimation rather than degree of complexity.  相似文献   

14.
We explore the potential of using a complexity measure from statistical physics as a streamflow metric of basin-scale hydrologic alteration. The complexity measure that we employ is a non-trivial function of entropy. To determine entropy, we use the so-called permutation entropy (PE) approach. The PE approach is desirable in this case since it accounts for temporal streamflow information and it only requires a weak form of stationarity to be satisfied. To compute the complexity measure and assess hydrologic alteration, we employ daily streamflow records from 22 urban basins, located in the metropolitan areas of the cities of Baltimore, Philadelphia, and Washington DC, in the United States. We use urbanization to represent hydrologic alteration since urban basins are characterized by varied and often pronounced human impacts. Based on our application of the complexity measure to urban basins, we find that complexity tends to decline with increasing hydrologic alteration while entropy rises. According to this evidence, heavily urbanized basins tend to be temporally less complex (less ordered or structured) and more random than basins with low urbanization. This complexity loss may have important implications for stream ecosystems whose ability to provide ecosystem services depend on the flow regime. We also find that the complexity measure performs better in detecting alteration to the streamflow than more conventional metrics (e.g., variance and median of streamflow). We conclude that complexity is a useful streamflow metric for assessing basin-scale hydrologic alteration.  相似文献   

15.
Environments with higher complexity harbor a greater biodiversity and can directly influence on certain behaviors of aquatic animals. Here, we tested whether habitat complexity predicts odonate larvae emergence and mortality rates by rearing larvae in aquaria with or without artificial complexity. The results show a shorter emergence time in more complex environments, and a higher mortality rate on less complex habitats.  相似文献   

16.
Precipitation is an important part of the hydrologic cycle, and its complexity is closely related to surface runoff and changing groundwater dynamics, which in turn influences the accuracy of precipitation forecasts. In this study, we used the Lempel–Ziv algorithm (LZA) and a multi-scaling approach to assess precipitation complexity for 1958–2011 by analyzing time series data from 28 gauging stations located throughout Jilin province, China. The spatial distribution of normalized precipitation complexity was measured by LZA, a symbolic dynamics algorithm, and by a multi-scaling approach, which is described by fractals. In addition, the advantages and limitations of these two methods were investigated. The results indicate that both methods are applicable and consistent for calculating precipitation complexity, and that the degree of relief is a primary factor controlling precipitation complexity in the mountainous area; in the plain terrain, however, the prominent influencing factor is climate.  相似文献   

17.
库车坳陷高陡构造地震勘探复杂性定量分析   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0       下载免费PDF全文
波与非均匀介质的相互作用是多年来地球物理研究的理论问题之一.本文基于地震成像算子,定量分析了库车坳陷盐相关逆冲推覆构造的复杂性.首先,根据地震资料计算了大北构造、博孜构造、却勒构造、西秋10构造和西秋4构造的速度横向变化非均质谱和地层倾角变化非均质谱,这些量化表征高陡构造地质复杂性的地质非均质谱定最描述了速度横向变化和...  相似文献   

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