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1.
研究地震前兆数据的异常变化是地震短临预测的基础,本文提出一种地震前兆数据的异常智能检测新方法,利用长短期记忆单元的递归神经网络(LSTMRNN)构建数据趋势变化预测模型,通过模型预测的误差来提取数据的异常变化。该方法不需要对原始数据进行预处理,也不需要对异常数据判断的经验积累,适用于各类不同长度的地震前兆数据异常检测。通过使用三类真实的前兆观测数据的进行方法检验,将机器检测结果与人工识别结果进行对比分析,试验结果表明,基于LSTM-RNN的异常检测方法能够准确识别各类异常,可以代替人工用于地震前兆数据的异常检测。  相似文献   

2.
简要介绍了强震短临前兆的HRT波模型,和用HRT波模型分析强震前地电观测资料预测未来强震的时间、地点、震级三要素方法。用HRT波模型分析了2008年汶川MS8.0地震前四川红格地电台的记录资料,提取出了汶川MS8.0地震前短临前兆信息。  相似文献   

3.
盈江2014年5月24日和30日5.6和6.1级地震前,地震活动性震兆、滇西实验场(24°~28°N,98°~102°E)地震短临动态跟踪综合预测方案和地下流体前兆存在中短临异常现象。根据异常分析,做出了准确的地震短临预测。  相似文献   

4.
根据攀枝花地震台川05井所处构造环境,研究其水位观测前兆异常,探讨对应地震的中长期、短临异常时空变化规律和形态变化幅度等动态特征,试图寻找川05井水位观测前兆异常变化与地震的对应关系,给出川05井水位短临异常变化幅度与震级、震中距的经验公式,初步获得水位异常变化与震中的关系,为今后水位异常预测地震发生地提供依据。  相似文献   

5.
汶川地震与松潘地震前异常现象分析比较   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
分析了1976年松潘7.2级地震和2008年汶川8.0级地震前异常现象。汶川8.0级地震为地震活跃期的首发大地震,震前区域性中小地震相对平静,区域地震活动b值为0.77;松潘7.2级地震是活跃期间发生的地震,震中附近地区地震活动密集,曾发生松潘黄龙6.5级地震,震前区域地震活动b值为0.62;汶川地震前区域主压应力方位与错动类型总体上与8.0级地震给出的解大体一致,这与松潘7.2级地震前的情况有显著差异,震前地震与余震震型有差异。根据观测数据的分析和异常判定结果认为,松潘地震与汶川地震前的观测异常没有一个台项是重复出现的,短临异常数前者显著多于后者。松潘地震与汶川地震前的宏观异常现象差异极大,更未出现火球、地光临震异常现象。这说明,已有的短临前兆观测异常的出现仅有个案特征,而无普适意义。  相似文献   

6.
汶川8.0级地震引起了社会广泛地关注,产生了地震能否预测的疑问以及汶川地震前是否出现了异常的讨论,震后一些学者对前兆资料进行了研究总结,本文在前人研究的基础上仅对地下流体异常进行了分析,认为汶川地震前存在着一些地下流体异常,本文从中期异常、短临异常、同震及震后调整这几个方面对水氡、水位、水温、流量资料进行了分析研究。通过对中期异常的识别及提取,认为采用从属函数方法定量提取异常效果较为理想。  相似文献   

7.
汶川8.0级地震引起了社会广泛地关注,产生了地震能否预测的疑问以及汶川地震前是否出现了异常的讨论,震后一些学者对前兆资料进行了研究总结,本文在前人研究的基础上仅对地下流体异常进行了分析,认为汶川地震前存在着一些地下流体异常,本文从中期异常、短临异常、同震及震后调整这几个方面对水氡、水位、水温、流量资料进行了分析研究。通过对中期异常的识别及提取,认为采用从属函数方法定量提取异常效果较为理想。  相似文献   

8.
云南洱源2013年3月3日MS5.5和4月17日MS5.0地震前,滇西实验场(24°~28°N,98°~102°E)在地震活动性震兆、地震短临动态跟踪综合预测方案指标和地下流体前兆等方面,均存在中短临异常现象。地震活动性方面的异常有,云南自2008年以来M≥4.8地震成条带分布,且存在MS≥5.0地震背景性空区;滇西实验场小震平静异常;中甸窗口地震和程海断裂窗口地震中期震兆异常;洱源ML3.6前兆震群短临震兆异常。滇西实验场地震短临动态跟踪综合预测方案于2012年10月20日达到中期预测指标,且分别于2012年12月25日和2013年3月30日达到短临预测指标。在短期阶段,地下流体于2012年12月~2013年1月出现同测点不同测项的同步性异常和不同测点同测项的同步性异常现象。在长、中、短、临渐进式预报思路的指导下,综合分析以上异常,在时间上进行逐步逼近,于2013年2月对洱源2013年3月3日MS5.5和4月17日MS5.0双震作出了地震三要素的短临预测。  相似文献   

9.
本文仔细分析了我国宽带地震仪记录和论文“汶川大地震宽带地震仪短临异常及成因初探”提供的数据,探讨了5.12汶川8.0级强烈地震前后记录的“异常”现象,对该论文观点提出了质疑.有理由推测,该“短临异常”并非地震前兆,它最可能是在此期间在西太平洋的02号强台风“威马逊”激发的脉动异常.  相似文献   

10.
张绍治  范桂英 《地震》1994,(3):72-77
本文分析讨论了1990年2月10日常熟MS5.1地震前地电阻率、短水准、地应力、地倾斜、地下水等前兆异常现象的力学联系;建立了北西向压扭性断裂前兆分区模型,反映在不同区域里各种前兆均有其一定的表现特征,说明以力学联系为纽带,前兆异常时间与空间分布的咱应性是地震中期预测的一项重要指标,同时表明综合分析识别异常的必要性。  相似文献   

11.
断层错动对隧道的影响分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
隧道通过潜在地震地区时.存在活动断层的错动形成的重大工程地质问题的威胁.基于断裂儿何学和震源的运动学特征,以广州地区活动断裂为研究背景,通过在断层左右盘施加一定的速度荷载,模拟了断层错动达到0.28 m时对隧道的影响.得出隧道结构在断层错动影响下的位移和应力的变化规律.分别建立隧道结构距离断层50 m、100 m、150 m三个模型,比较了三种情况下的位移和应力状况.归纳出隧道与断层之间的安全距离.  相似文献   

12.
The goal of cathodic protection is to prevent corrosion by maintaining buried pipelines at a constant potential with respect to the surrounding soil. In practice, however, the implementation is very complicated since many factors can contribute to the current flowing off the pipe. Design requires characterization of the parameters impacting the corrosion process, such as soil resistivity, size of the pipe and quality of the coating.In the present paper, we have studied the effect of geomagnetic fields on the pipe-induced currents considering it as an additional cause of corrosion. A theoretical method implemented to model the induced currents was tested in a previous work and the effect during disturbed days was quantified. This theoretical model indicated that the intensity of the current induced in a pipeline by the varying geomagnetic field depends on the intensity and rate of change of the field and the electrical resistivity of the soil. This induced current is in equilibrium with the host current and there is no current drainage between the pipeline and the host until, along the length of the pipeline, the host resistivity becomes different. At that point, current must flow between the pipe and host in order to establish a new equilibrium. It is this drainage current, flowing between the pipeline and the host, which causes corrosion problems.Following these results, experimental tests were performed in Tierra del Fuego. In this zone, a geophysical study was made to determine the discontinuities in soil resistivities and simultaneous measurements of the geomagnetic field and the drainage of current were recorded at different sites. The results obtained from the correlation of the data are consistent with the theoretical predictions.  相似文献   

13.
Introduction With rapid development of national economy, urbanization has been speeded up in China, and several city groups or city belts with extra-large cities as their centers have been formed. For example, Pearl River Delta urbanized area surrounds Guangzhou City, Shenzhen City, Zhuhai City; Yangtze River Delta urbanized area surrounds Shanghai City, Suzhou City, Wuxi City, Nanjing City, Hangzhou City; Beijing-Tianjin-Tangshan urbanized area surrounds Beijing City, Tianjin City…  相似文献   

14.
Energy and thermal transfers in active volcanoes can play an important role incontrolling their dynamics depending on the hydrothermal state. Much geothermalenergy is released through the groundwater circulation, hot gas emission and thermalconduction. Therefore, it is very important to know the hydrological and thermalenvironments associated with volcanoes from the volcano-energetic point of view.However, it is difficult to evaluate these because of the availability of only a fewborehole data on the summit of volcanoes. Recent studies reveal that self-potential(SP) anomalies (up to some hundreds of mV) are observed on volcanoes, activefissure zones and/or fumarolic areas, suggesting that the SP anomalies are closelyrelated to heat-triggered phenomena such as thermoelectric and electrokinetic effectsdue to hydrothermal circulations. Therefore, SP studies can be appropriate for sensingthe thermal and hydrothermal states of volcanoes. In addition, monitoring SP anomaliescan be an efficient method for describing the change of thermal state and the evolutionof the hydrothermal (and volcanic) activities.In this paper, we have reviewed the origin of the SP anomalies associated withvolcanic phenomena theoretically as well as experimentally. Subsequently, wehave presented the results of many case studies and have classified the types ofanomalies in accordance with possible mechanisms. We have also described theresults of time variations of SP anomalies associated with volcanic activities. Timevarying SP fields exhibit the dynamic aspects of volcanic activities correspondingto the evolution of hydrothermal activity, changes in ground water circulation andmagma displacement. These morphological insights should lead to a quantitativeinterpretation of SP anomalies in volcanic regions.  相似文献   

15.
保证CT的可靠运行,提供最佳质量的CT图,已成为临床放射全面质量控制的重要内容之一,本文以TCT80A和GE9000两台CT机为例,从维修角度谈CT机的质量保证。  相似文献   

16.
沉积物再悬浮对食浮游动物鱼类捕食浮游动物的影响   总被引:3,自引:2,他引:1  
周礼斌  陈非洲 《湖泊科学》2015,27(5):911-916
在亚热带浅水湖泊中,由风浪引起沉积物再悬浮是其重要特征之一.沉积物再悬浮一方面直接影响浮游动物群落结构,另一方面通过影响食浮游动物鱼类对浮游动物的捕食而产生间接影响.以食浮游动物鱼类——餐条(Hemiculter leucisculus)为实验对象,通过模拟实验,比较不同再悬浮条件下餐条对浮游动物群落结构的影响.结果显示,在有餐条的处理组中,大型枝角类短钝溞(Daphnia obtusa)只在弱再悬浮条件下出现,并成为枝角类群落的优势种;在无餐条的处理组中,短钝溞生物量随再悬浮强度减弱而增加.强再悬浮(无餐条)和无再悬浮(有餐条)条件下,小型枝角类角突网纹溞(Ceriodaphnia cornuta)和盘肠溞(Chydorus sp.)为优势种.无论有、无餐条条件下,桡足类优势种均为中剑水蚤(Mesocyclops sp.),其生物量随再悬浮强度减弱而增加.所有处理组中,轮虫丰度均低于枝角类和桡足类丰度.研究表明,在亚热带浅水湖泊中,适当的悬浮质浓度既能干扰食浮游动物鱼类对大型浮游动物的捕食,又不影响大型浮游动物的生存,使得它们保持一定的丰度,通过对浮游植物的摄食,降低叶绿素a浓度.  相似文献   

17.
测定震源深度的意义的初步讨论   总被引:32,自引:5,他引:32  
高原  周蕙兰 《中国地震》1997,13(4):321-329
在地震目录中,震源深度是地震学最基本的参数之一,然而它也是一个最不易测准的参数,PDE报告中的震源深度以及USGS和Harvard大学的CMT反演的矩心深度和利用宽频带波形的深度震相资料获得的震源深度各不相同,其含义也不同,而宽频带波形模拟得到又是一种破裂“核心”的深度。本文对不同测量手段的震源深度的不同物理意义做了初步的探讨。  相似文献   

18.
The occurrence of water ponding on soil surfaces during and after heavy rainfall produces surface run‐off or surface water accumulation in low‐lying areas, which might reduce the water supply to soils and result in a reduction of the soil water that plants can use, especially in arid climates. On Mongolian rangeland, we observed ponded water on the surface of a specific soil condition subjected to a heavy rainfall of 30 mm/hr. By contrast, ponded water was not observed for the same type of soil where livestock grazing had been removed for 6–8 years via a fence or for nearby soil containing less clay. We measured the infiltration rate (the saturated hydraulic conductivity of the surface soil, Ks) of the three sites by applying ponded water on the soil surface (an intake rate test). The results showed that Ks in the rangeland was lower than the rainfall intensity in the site where water ponded on the soil surface; however, Ks of the soil inside of the fence has recovered to 3 times that of the soil outside of the fence to exceed the rainfall intensity. Heavy rainfall that exceeds the infiltration rate occurs several times a year at the livestock grazing site where we observed ponded water. Slight water repellency of the soil reduces rain infiltration to increase the possibility of surface ponding for the soil.  相似文献   

19.
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20.
Sorption between nanoparticles(NPs)and minerals may critically affect the migration of associated elements as well as the environmental impact of NPs.Since illite is widely present in soil,sediment,and water,we have experimentally investigated the sorption behavior of citrate-coated gold nanoparticles(AuNPs)as model NPs on illite under different pH and mineral mass conditions.We demonstrated that sorption of these negatively charged AuNPs strongly depended on the suspension pH.At pH above 8,which coincided with the apparent point of zero charge(pH 7.9)of our illite sample,only marginal sorption of AuNPs was observed.At pH 3-8,significant sorption of AuNPs on illite was found,with almost complete sorption occurring at more acidic conditions(pH 3-4).TEM observations revealed that sorption took place through the attachment AuNPs on illite edges.At pH 2,AuNPs mostly formed chain-like fused structures and precipitated out of the suspension.Based upon the above pH dependence,residual organic ligand content after sorption,and complementary sorption results with positively charged AuNPs,we conclude that the sorption process is mainly driven by the electrostatic attraction between negatively charged AuNPs and positively charged illite edges,with possible competitive involvement of citrate molecules.We expect that our findings will improve our understanding of NP-mineral interaction and the environmental fate of NPs.  相似文献   

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