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1.
Storm surge computations for the west coast of Britain using a finite element model (TELEMAC) 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
An unstructured mesh finite element model of the sea region off the west coast of Britain is used to examine the storm surge event of November 1977. This period is chosen because accurate meteorological data to drive the model and coastal observations for validation purposes are available. In addition, previous published results from a coarse-grid (resolution 7 km) finite difference model of the region and high-resolution (1 km) limited area (namely eastern Irish Sea) model are available for comparison purposes. To enable a “like with like” comparison to be made, the finite element model covers the same domain and has the same meteorological forcing as these earlier finite difference models. In addition, the mesh is based on an identical set of water depths. Calculations show that the finite element model can reproduce both the “external” and “internal” components of the surge in the region. This shows that the “far field” (external) component of the surge can accurately propagate through the irregular mesh, and the model responds accurately, without over- or under-damping, to local wind forcing. Calculations show significant temporal and spatial variability in the surge in close agreement with that found in earlier finite difference calculations. In addition, root mean square errors between computed and observed surge are comparable to those found in previous finite different calculations. The ability to vary the mesh in nearshore regions reveals appreciable small-scale variability that was not found in the previous finite difference solutions. However, the requirement to perform a “like with like” comparison using the same water depths means that the full potential of the unstructured grid model to improve resolution in the nearshore region is inhibited. This is clearly evident in the Mersey estuary region where a higher resolution unstructured mesh model, forced with uniform winds, had shown high topographic variability due to small-scale variations in topography that are not resolved here. Despite the lack of high resolution in the nearshore region, the model showed results that were consistent with the previous storm surge models of the region. Calculations suggest that to improve on these earlier results, a finer nearshore mesh is required based upon accurate nearshore topography. 相似文献
2.
《Continental Shelf Research》2006,26(12-13):1519-1541
Initially a brief overview of the problem of computing the wind-induced circulation on the west coast of Britain is reviewed together with storm surge modelling. To date this work has primarily been performed with finite difference models. However, here new work is presented using a finite element model with a range of mesh refinements in shallow water regions to examine the influence of mesh resolution upon the wind-induced circulation off the west coast of Britain. Steady state current fields are computed for uniform westerly and southerly winds and compared with a uniform grid (of order 7 km) finite difference model solution. Calculations show that in deep water regions away from the coastal influence, the large-scale circulation features in the finite element solution are in good agreement with those found in the finite difference model. This suggests that they can be adequately resolved on a 7 km mesh. In the nearshore region and within estuaries a significantly finer mesh is required, with the variable mesh finite element model showing significant small scale variability in the nearshore area. Refining the mesh in the Mersey and using an accurate topographic data set, shows that although the larger scale features in the estuary can be resolved in the coarser mesh model, accurate topography is required to model their exact location. In addition smaller scale features are found that were not resolved in the coarser mesh models. Due to the effects of “wetting and drying” and the importance of non-linear processes in shallow regions difficulties occurred in de-tiding the full solution in order to determine the wind forced residual. Determining the wind forced solution in shallow water from a calculation in which wind and tidal forcing are included poses problems as to how to “de-tide” the solution in such a highly non-linear region. An approach based upon the harmonic analysis of the total solution, rather than subtracting a “tide only” solution is shown to be most effective and has implications for storm surge prediction.General and specific conclusions on the importance of highly accurate bathymetry, good mesh resolution and de-tiding method upon the accuracy of the wind forced solution in nearshore regions are summarized in the final part of the paper. The implications for storm surge prediction together with suggestions for future research to enhance the accuracy of storm surge prediction, namely “the way forward” are given at the end of the paper. 相似文献
3.
An irregular mesh model of the west coast of Britain is used to examine the sensitivity of tidal residuals to mesh resolution in the region. Computed residuals are compared with earlier published results determined with a high resolution (1 km grid) finite difference model of the eastern Irish Sea. Initial calculations show that tidal residuals are largest in nearshore regions particularly in the vicinity of headlands. Local refinement of the mesh in these regions leads to a more detailed picture of the flow field, particularly adjacent to the coast. Although large scale offshore features of the flow can be resolved using the high resolution finite difference model, such an approach leads to a “stair case” representation of the coastal boundary with an adjacent near coastal region of spurious tidal residuals. By using an irregular mesh that follows the coast, this effect is removed. In the Mersey river region the tidal residual is resolved with a mesh resolution of 120 m, although calculations show that its distribution is particularly sensitive to small scale features of the topography. A variable mesh that can accurately represent the lateral variations in river width and details of topography in both the nearshore and estuarine environment appears essential in modelling the coastal spread of freshwater plumes from rivers and pollutants discharged into the near coastal environment. 相似文献
4.
5.
Topography perturbs practically every process and variable relevant to land-atmosphere interactions, including radiation, air temperature and saturation deficit, wind and turbulence, cloudiness and precipitation, and properties of the soil and vegetation. We review progress in understanding some of these influences, concentrating on the wind field and the exchanges of scalars (especially sensible and latent heat) over low to moderate hills, both without and with flow separation. The treatment of the wind field is based on a physical division of the flow into inner, outer and wake regions. This framework is used to discuss modelling approaches, measurements of both the mean flow and the turbulence, special processes in the wake region, and the effecs of satisfaction.
Scalar transfer and the surface energy balance are discussed first in terms of a linear theory which accomodates radiative, aerodynamic, and elevation perturbations on the surface energy balance over hills. The linear theory provides general scales for determining the relative magnitudes of these perturbations, but its quantitative predictions are limited to low slopes without separation. Next, wind tunnel experiments are used to study the aerodynamic perturbations on scalar transfer caused by hills in situations outside the scope of the linear theory, such as flows with separation. Finally, the wind tunnel results are extrapolated to the atmosphere, using the framework of a convenience boundary layer model. It is found that, for relatively gentle topography, the regional surface energy balance (spatial averaged over several hills) is insensitive to the presence of the topography. 相似文献
6.
The problem of resolving or parameterising small-scale processes in oceanographic models and the extent to which small-scale
effects influence the large scale are briefly discussed and illustrated for a number of cases. For tides and surges in near-shore
regions, the advantages of using a graded mesh to resolve coastal and estuarine small-scale features are demonstrated in terms
of a west coast of Britain unstructured mesh model. The effect of mesh resolution upon the accuracy of the overall solution
is illustrated in terms of a finite element model of the Irish Sea and Mersey estuary. For baroclinic motion at high Froude
number, the effect of resolving small-scale topography within a non-hydrostatic model is illustrated in terms of tidally induced
mixing at a single sill, or two closely spaced sills. The question of how to parameterise small-scale non-linear interaction
processes that lead to significant mixing, in a form suitable for coarser grid hydrostatic models, is briefly considered.
In addition, the importance of topographically induced mixing that occurs in the oceanic lateral boundary layer, namely, the
shelf edge upon the large-scale ocean circulation is discussed together with the implications for coarse grid oceanic climate
models. The use of unstructured grids in these models to enhance resolution in shelf-edge regions in a similar manner to that
used in storm surge models to enhance near coastal resolution is suggested as a suitable “way forward” in large-scale ocean
circulation modelling. 相似文献
7.
《Continental Shelf Research》2006,26(12-13):1496-1518
A nested-grid hydrodynamic modelling system is used to study circulation and temperature distributions in Lake Huron (LH) and adjacent areas. This nested system is based on the three-dimensional, primitive-equation z-level ocean model. The nested system consists of two sub-components: a coarse-resolution outer model covering LH and Georgian Bay (GB) with a horizontal resolution of roughly 2.5 km, and the fine-resolution inner model covering eastern LH and northwestern GB with a horizontal resolution of roughly 900 m. Both the outer and inner models have 30 z-levels in the vertical. To assess the model performance, we simulate the three-dimensional circulation and temperature distributions of LH and GB in 1974–1975 and compare the model results with observations made in the lake. We demonstrate that outer model of the nested system simulates reasonably well the large-scale circulation and seasonal evolution of thermal stratifications in LH and GB, and the inner model produces reasonably well the three-dimensional flow and thermal structure over the coastal boundary layer close to the eastern shore of the lake. 相似文献
8.
In this paper we explore the optimum assimilation of high‐resolution data into numerical models using the example of topographic data provision for flood inundation simulation. First, we explore problems with current assimilation methods in which numerical grids are generated independent of topography. These include possible loss of significant length scales of topographic information, poor representation of the original surface and data redundancy. These are resolved through the development of a processing chain consisting of: (i) assessment of significant length scales of variation in the input data sets; (ii) determination of significant points within the data set; (iii) translation of these into a conforming model discretization that preserves solution quality for a given numerical solver; and (iv) incorporation of otherwise redundant sub‐grid data into the model in a computationally efficient manner. This processing chain is used to develop an optimal finite element discretization for a 12 km reach of the River Stour in Dorset, UK, for which a high‐resolution topographic data set derived from airborne laser altimetry (LiDAR) was available. For this reach, three simulations of a 1 in 4 year flood event were conducted: a control simulation with a mesh developed independent of topography, a simulation with a topographically optimum mesh, and a further simulation with the topographically optimum mesh incorporating the sub‐grid topographic data within a correction algorithm for dynamic wetting and drying in fixed grid models. The topographically optimum model is shown to represent better the ‘raw’ topographic data set and that differences between this surface and the control are hydraulically significant. Incorporation of sub‐grid topographic data has a less marked impact than getting the explicit hydraulic calculation correct, but still leads to important differences in model behaviour. The paper highlights the need for better validation data capable of discriminating between these competing approaches and begins to indicate what the characteristics of such a data set should be. More generally, the techniques developed here should prove useful for any data set where the resolution exceeds that of the model in which it is to be used. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
9.
A two-way nested-grid ocean-circulation model for the Meso-American Barrier Reef System 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
A two-way nested-grid ocean-circulation model is developed for the Meso-American Barrier Reef System (MBRS), using a newly developed two-way interactive nesting technique. The unique feature of this new nesting technique is its use of the semi-prognostic method (Sheng et al. 2001) to exchange information between different grids through the model momentum equations. The nested-grid model for the MBRS has a fine-resolution inner model embedded in a coarse-resolution outer model. The outer model is the western Caribbean Sea model developed by Sheng and Tang (2003), with a horizontal resolution of roughly 19 km. The inner model domain covers the northwest Caribbean Sea (NWCS) between 79°W and 89°W and between 15.5°N and 22°N, with a horizontal resolution of roughly 6 km. The nested-grid ocean model is initialized with the January mean temperature and salinity and forced by the monthly mean COADS (comprehensive ocean-atmosphere data set) wind stress and surface heat flux. The model sea-surface salinity is restored to the monthly mean climatology. The nested-grid model is integrated for 2 years and the second-year model results are presented in this paper. The model-calculated annual-mean near-surface currents over the NWCS agree reasonably well with the time-mean near-surface currents inferred by Fratantoni (2001) from trajectories of the satellite-tracked 15-m drogued drifters in the 1990s. The two-way nested model is also used to quantify the role of local wind stress, local density gradients and boundary forcings of the outer model in driving the annual-mean circulation in the region.Responsible Editor: Phil Dyke 相似文献
10.
Jacek W Kaminski David A Plummer Lori Neary John C McConnell Joanna Struzewska Lech Lobocki 《Physics and Chemistry of the Earth》2002,27(35):1517-1524
A three-dimensional air quality model (MC2-AQ) developed for studying oxidant chemistry on regional to urban scales over North America was adapted and implemented for European conditions. The modelling system is based on the Canadian Mesoscale Compressible Community (MC2) Model, a non-hydrostatic meteorological model, to which modules permitting on-line calculations of chemical transformations, anthropogenic and biogenic emissions, and deposition were added. The transport of chemical species is done on the same grid and with the same advection, convection, and diffusion schemes as are used for the meteorological fields. The developed model is highly flexible and was adapted to different scales by allowing for self-nesting. In this paper we present model results for a high-ozone episode, June 18–26, 2000, over Europe. The modelling system was able to reproduce general characteristics (growth, extent, and dissipation) of the pollution episode. Accumulation of ozone precursors during weak wind and high-temperature synoptic conditions was essential for episode formation. Subsequent episode development and advancement across Europe was driven by frontal systems. A stationary front associated with a low-pressure system over Ukraine prevented the further eastward transport of the polluted air mass. The episode was terminated after the passage of a cold front advecting relatively clean Atlantic air mass. 相似文献
11.
采用WRFV2.2中尺度数值模式对鄱阳湖地区200 km×200 km范围内,2009年11月5日00∶00至2009年11月6日12∶00不同高度的气象要素进行了数值模拟,得到了水平分辨率为1 km的鄱阳湖地区大气边界层风、温、湿度场和廓线分布的大气边界层物理特征.模拟结果发现:白天鄱阳湖面上空存在着冷岛效应并伴随湖风,而夜间湖面上空存在着热岛效应并伴随陆风,湖面与陆地之间最大温差可达6 ℃;同时地形以及下垫面类型对鄱阳湖区风场的分布具有很大影响,夜间存在一条东北西南走向的低空辐合带,白天逐渐消失;此外受风场和地形作用湖面上空的湿度分布也不均匀,白天湿度层厚度低而夜晚湿度层厚度高,湖中心右侧湿度值大于左侧湿度值.模拟结果能较好地反映鄱阳湖的大气边界层物理特征,有助于了解鄱阳湖地区区域气候的特点,以及由于地形、地理环境、地表特征所形成的不同高度上的风、温、湿的分布规律和大气边界层物理特征,为鄱阳湖地区局地天气预报、风能资源开发、环境保护等提供了科学依据. 相似文献
12.
近地空间的太阳风参数预报具有重要的科学研究意义和实际应用价值,三维磁流体力学（MHD）数值模拟是太阳风参数预报的重要手段.本文建立了一套基于经验模型的三维MHD数值模型.模型的内边界设置在0.1天文单位（AU）处,在六片网格系统下利用TVD Lax-Friedrich格式求解理想MHD方程组,采用扩散法消除磁场的散度.模型以GONG的观测磁图作为输入数据,利用经验模型并结合卫星观测特征确定内边界条件.边界条件中保留了6个可调参数,以便适当调整参数使其方便适合模拟不同太阳活动期的太阳风.利用该模型分别模拟了2007年和2016年的背景太阳风,得到了太阳风速度、密度、温度和磁场强度,这些参数与ACE/WIND卫星观测符合较好. 相似文献
13.
An unstructured mesh model of the west coast of Britain, covering the same domain and using topography and open boundary forcing
that are identical to a previous validated uniform grid finite difference model of the region, is used to compare the performance
of a finite volume (FV) and a finite element (FE) model of the area in determining tide–surge interaction in the region. Initial
calculations show that although qualitatively both models give comparable tidal solutions in the region, comparison with observations
shows that the FV model tends to under-estimate tidal amplitudes and hence background tidal friction in the eastern Irish
Sea. Storm surge elevations in the eastern Irish Sea due to westerly, northerly and southerly uniform wind stresses computed
with the FV model tend to be slightly higher than those computed with the FE model, due to differences in background tidal
friction. However, both models showed comparable non-linear tide–surge interaction effects for all wind directions, suggesting
that they can reproduce the extensive tide–surge interaction processes that occur in the eastern Irish Sea. Following on from
this model comparison study, the physical processes contributing to surge generation and tide–surge interaction in the region
are examined. Calculations are performed with uniform wind stresses from a range of directions, and the balance of various
terms in the hydrodynamic equations is examined. A detailed comparison of the spatial variability of time series of non-linear
bottom friction and non-linear momentum advection terms at six adjacent nodes at two locations in water depths of 20 and 6 m
showed some spatial variability from one node to another. This suggests that even in the near coastal region, where water
depths are of the order of 6 m and the mesh is fine (of order 0.5 km), there is significant spatial variability in the non-linear
terms. In addition, distributions of maximum bed stress due to tides and wind forcing in nearshore regions show appreciable
spatial variability. This suggests that intensive measurement campaigns and very high-resolution mesh models are required
to validate and reproduce the non-linear processes that occur in these regions and to predict extreme bed stresses that can
give rise to sediment movement. High-resolution meshes will also be required in pollution transport problems. 相似文献
14.
With a detailed chemistry scheme for the middle atmosphere up to 70 km which has been added to the 3-D Karlsruhe simulation model of the middle atmosphere (KASIMA), the effects of coupling chemistry and dynamics through ozone are studied for the middle atmosphere. An uncoupled version using an ozone climatology for determining heating rates and a coupled version using on-line ozone are compared in a 10-month integration with meteorological analyses for the winter 1992/93 as the lower boundary condition. Both versions simulate the meteorological situation satisfactorily, but exhibit a too cold lower stratosphere. The on-line ozone differs from the climatological data between 20 and 40 km by exhibiting too high ozone values, whereas in the lower mesosphere the ozone values are too low. The coupled model version is stable and differs only above 40 km significantly from the uncoupled version. Direct heating effects are identified to cause most of the differences. The well-known negative correlation between temperature and ozone is reproduced in the model. As a result, the coupled version slightly approaches the climatological ozone field. Further feedback effects are studied by using the on-line ozone field as a basis for an artificial climatology. For non-disturbed ozone conditions realistic monthly and zonally averaged ozone data are sufficient to determine the heating rates for modelling the middle atmosphere. 相似文献
15.
有限差分法和有限单元法在大地电磁场数值模拟中已经得到了广泛的应用,但其数值结果的精度在很大程度上依赖于网格的离散程度.当模拟起伏地形、弯曲界面等复杂地电模型大地电磁场响应时,常常需要花费大量的时间以便得到较合理的离散网格.无网格局部Petrov-Galerkin法(MLPG)不同于有限差分法和有限元法,其形函数和权函数脱离了网格的束缚.本文详细推导了二维大地电磁场边值问题的弱式形式,并将其离散为局部积分域内的表达形式.通过模拟二维海洋地电模型大地电磁场响应,并与结构网格有限元结果进行对比,验证了本文算法和程序的正确性及精度.设计了一个含有弯曲界面的二维地电模型,讨论了不同离散网格对MLPG无网格法模拟结果的影响,并与结构有限元法结果进行了比较,结果表明MLPG无网格法模拟结果受离散网格影响较小.最后利用MLPG无网格法计算了两个海洋起伏地形模型的大地电磁响应,讨论了海底起伏地形对大地电磁响应的影响. 相似文献
16.
For better prediction and understanding of land-atmospheric interaction, in-situ observed meteorological data acquired from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) were assimilated in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model and the monthly Green Vegetation Coverage (GVF) data, which was calculated using the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) of the Earth Observing System Moderate-Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (EOS-MODIS) and Digital Elevation Model (DEM) data of the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) system. Furthermore, the WRF model produced a High-Resolution Assimilation Dataset of the water-energy cycle in China (HRADC). This dataset has a horizontal resolution of 25 km for near surface meteorological data, such as air temperature, humidity, wind vectors and pressure (19 levels); soil temperature and moisture (four levels); surface temperature; downward/upward short/long radiation; 3-h latent heat flux; sensible heat flux; and ground heat flux. In this study, we 1) briefly introduce the cycling 3D-Var assimilation method and 2) compare results of meteorological elements, such as 2 m temperature and precipitation generated by the HRADC with the gridded observation data from CMA, and surface temperature and specific humidity with Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) output data from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA). We find that the simulated results of monthly 2 m temperature from HRADC is improved compared with the control simulation and has effectively reproduced the observed patterns. The simulated special distribution of ground surface temperature and specific humidity from HRADC are much closer to GLDAS outputs. The spatial distribution of root mean square errors (RMSE) and bias of 2 m temperature between observations and HRADC is reduced compared with the bias between observations and the control run. The monthly spatial distribution of surface temperature and specific humidity from HRADC is consistent with the GLDAS outputs over China. This study could improve the land surface parameters by utilizing remote sensing data and could further improve atmospheric elements with a data assimilation system. This work provides an effective attempt at combining multi-source data with different spatial and temporal scales into numerical simulations, and the simulated results could be used in further research on the long-term climatic effects and characteristics of the water-energy cycle over China. 相似文献
17.
The Pearl River Estuary (PRE) in South China's Guangdong Province is a subtropical estuary with highly irregular topography
and dynamically complicated circulations. A nested-grid coastal circulation modelling system is used in this study to examine
dynamic responses of the PRE to tides, meteorological forcing and buoyancy forcing. The nested-grid modelling system is based
on the Princeton Ocean Model and consists of three downscaling subcomponents: including an outer-most model with a coarse
horizontal resolution of ~7 km for simulating tidally forced and wind-driven surface elevations and depth-mean currents over
the China Seas from Bohai Sea to the northern South China Sea and an innermost model with a fine resolution of ~1.2 km for
simulating the 3D coastal circulation and hydrography over the PRE and adjacent coastal waters. Model results during the winter
northeast monsoon surge in January and super typhoon Koryn in June of 1993 are used to demonstrate that the 3D coastal circulation
and hydrographic distributions in the PRE are affected by tides, winds and buoyancy forcing associated with river discharge
from the Pearl River with significant seasonal and synoptic variabilities. 相似文献
18.
An updated empirical climatic zonally averaged prevailing wind model for the upper mesosphere/lower thermosphere (70/110 km), extending from 80°N to 80°S is presented. The model is constructed from the fitting of monthly mean winds from meteor radar and MF radar measurements at more than 40 stations, well distributed over the globe. The height-latitude contour plots of monthly mean zonal and meridional winds for all months of the year, and of annual mean wind, amplitudes and phases of annual and semiannual harmonics of wind variations are analyzed to reveal the main features of the seasonal variation of the global wind structures in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres. Some results of comparison between the ground-based wind models and the space-based models are presented. It is shown that, with the exception of annual mean systematic bias between the zonal winds provided by the ground-based and space-based models, a good agreement between the models is observed. The possible origin of this bias is discussed. 相似文献
19.
The feasibility of polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) and response surface method (RSM) models is investigated for modelling reference evapotranspiration (ET0). The modelling results of the proposed models are validated against the M5 model tree and multi-layer perceptron neural network (MLPNN) methods. Two meteorological stations, Isparta and Antalya, in the Mediterranean region of Turkey, are inspected. Various input combinations of daily air temperature, solar radiation, wind speed and relative humidity are constructed as input attributes for the ET0. Generally, the modelling accuracy is increased by increasing the number of inputs. Including wind speed in the model inputs considerably increases their accuracy in modelling ET0. Mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), agreement index (d) and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) are used as comparison criteria. The PCE is the most accurate model in estimating daily ET0, giving the lowest MAE (0.036 and 0.037 mm) and RMSE (0.047 and 0.050 mm) and the highest d (0.9998 and 0.9999) and NSE (0.9992 and 0.9996) with the four-input PCE models for Isparta and Antalya, respectively. 相似文献
20.
Using the Climate Forecast System Reanalysis as weather input data for watershed models 总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4 
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下载免费PDF全文 Daniel R. Fuka M. Todd Walter Charlotte MacAlister Arthur T. Degaetano Tammo S. Steenhuis Zachary M. Easton 《水文研究》2014,28(22):5613-5623
Obtaining representative meteorological data for watershed‐scale hydrological modelling can be difficult and time consuming. Land‐based weather stations do not always adequately represent the weather occurring over a watershed, because they can be far from the watershed of interest and can have gaps in their data series, or recent data are not available. This study presents a method for using the Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) global meteorological dataset to obtain historical weather data and demonstrates the application to modelling five watersheds representing different hydroclimate regimes. CFSR data are available globally for each hour since 1979 at a 38‐km resolution. Results show that utilizing the CFSR precipitation and temperature data to force a watershed model provides stream discharge simulations that are as good as or better than models forced using traditional weather gauging stations, especially when stations are more than 10 km from the watershed. These results further demonstrate that adding CFSR data to the suite of watershed modelling tools provides new opportunities for meeting the challenges of modelling un‐gauged watersheds and advancing real‐time hydrological modelling. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献