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《地震地质》2017,(3)
利用青藏高原东北缘及周缘地区1999—2007年和2009—2014年2个时段的GPS水平运动速度场做约束,反演获取了海原-六盘山断裂带的闭锁程度和滑动速率亏损的时空分布演化。结果表明,海原断裂带以左旋走滑亏损为主,六盘山断裂北段以逆冲倾滑速率亏损为主,南段则以正向倾滑为主。其中,毛毛山断裂和老虎断裂西段在2个时段的闭锁深度都达到25km,最大左旋滑动亏损为6mm/a。老虎山东段和海原断裂(狭义)闭锁程度低,主要处于蠕滑状态。六盘山断裂2个时段的闭锁深度可达35km,最大逆冲滑动速率亏损为2mm/a。汶川地震后,六盘山断裂上逆冲滑动速率亏损高值区由中段迁移至北段且范围减小,南段则变成正倾滑速率亏损。毛毛山、老虎山西段和六盘山断裂的地震危险性要明显高于海原-六盘山断裂带其他断层段。 相似文献
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作为控制断层两盘相对运动的重要因素，断裂带介质力学性能与断层面上的滑动速率及应力状态、区域地壳运动速度场等密切相关.受印度板块北东向推挤以及阿拉善地块和鄂尔多斯地块的阻挡作用，青藏高原东北缘构造变形复杂.本文在综合区域动力学环境、活动断裂空间展布以及下地壳黏滞性结构的基础上构建了青藏高原东北缘三维有限元动力学模型；以GPS速度场为约束模拟研究了断层剪切力学性能对区域地壳运动速度场图像的控制作用，进而在最优模型基础上分析了当前青藏高原东北缘不同断裂的应力状态.结果显示：阿尔金断裂东段和广义海原断裂对区域地壳运动速度场控制作用强烈，但二者剪切力学性能相反，阿尔金断裂东段断层剪切模量与周边地壳介质相当，而广义海原断裂断层剪切模量可低至周边地壳介质剪切模量的1/10000；六盘山断裂和西秦岭北缘断裂对区域地壳运动速度场的控制作用较弱，模拟结果显示二者均具有较强的剪切力学性能.基于最佳模型的应力状态分析指出：阿尔金断裂东段，广义海原断裂西段的木里—江仓断裂、中段的金强河—毛毛山—老虎山断裂、东段的六盘山断裂，以及西秦岭北缘断裂中西段当前应力率水平较高，且与前人给出的青藏高原东北缘高闭锁区域吻合.动力学上的高应力率与运动学上的强闭锁良好吻合，预示着这些断裂是地震危险分析值得关注的区域. 相似文献
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为了获取青藏高原东北缘老虎山断裂带精确的震间形变速率场，通过对短时间基线干涉图大气改正效果的评价，从3种外部大气数据(MERIS, ERA-Ⅰ, WRF)中确定出最优的大气改正方法，用于长时间基线干涉图中的大气信号改正；然后利用层叠法(stacking)累积平均经大气和轨道改正后的干涉图，获取了研究区的震间形变速率场.结果显示:海原断裂系统区域内，MERIS和ERA-Ⅰ的大气改正效果优于WRF；MERIS和ERA-Ⅰ的改正结果给出了相似的形变速率场，断层两盘相对形变速率为视线向2.5 mm/a，转换成平行于断层方向为6.5 mm/a，与GPS结果一致；在近断层5 km的范围内，出现了较大的形变梯度，揭示了浅层蠕滑的存在. 相似文献
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西秦岭北缘断裂带是青藏高原东部一条重要的北西西向断裂．其空间上与鲜水河断裂带、东昆仑断裂带、海原断裂带平行，运动性质上以左旋走滑为主． England和Molnar（1990）、汪一鹏和马杏垣（1998）认为：这几条平行的走滑断裂把青藏高原东部划分成一些条形块体，它们依次向东滑移，同时可能伴有顺时针方向的转动．不仅如此，沿着西秦岭北缘断裂带历史上还多次发生过6.5级以上地震，如公元前47年漳县63/4级地震、 128年甘谷61/2级地震、 143年甘谷7级地震、 734年天水7级地震、 1756年武山61/2级地震和1936年康乐63/4级地震等．与海原断裂带、鲜水河断裂带、龙门山断裂带等相比（国家地震局地质研究所，宁夏回族自治区地震局， 1990；李坪， 1993；邓起东等， 1994； Burchfiel et al., 1995），西秦岭北缘断裂带虽开展过一些研究，但有待加强（康来迅， 1990；滕瑞增等， 1991）．本文通过野外调查、年代测定，对西秦岭北缘断裂带凤凰山-天水断裂晚更新世晚期以来的活动特征进行了讨论． 相似文献
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深地震反射剖面揭示的海原断裂带深部几何形态与地壳形变 总被引：9，自引：5，他引：4
由于活动的青藏高原不断的隆升和推挤作用,在西南向东北的推挤作用和周缘块体的阻挡以及东北缘内部块体挤压形变的作用下,形成了多个走向不同的青藏高原东北缘构造体系.新生代构造变形和地震活动强烈,区内分布多条大型深断裂带.海原断裂是青藏高原东北缘发育的弧形活动断裂带中规模最大、活动最为强烈的一条左旋走滑型断裂带,是重要的大地构造区边界,也是控制现今强震活动的活断层.本文利用2009年完成的高分辨率深地震反射剖面的北段资料,对其进行初步构造解释,揭示出海原断裂带的深部几何形态和其两侧地壳上地幔细结构.结果显示海原断裂并不是简单的陡立或者较缓,其几何形态随着深度变化.在海原断裂之下的Moho并未错断的反射特征显示海原断裂并不是直接错断莫霍面的超壳断裂.海原断裂带及两侧岩石圈结构和构造样式的研究为探讨青藏高原东北缘岩石圈变形机制提供地震学依据. 相似文献
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利用1999—2015年GPS水平速度场, 基于块体-位错模型, 反演了青藏高原东北缘4条主要断裂(海原断裂, 六盘山断裂, 陇县—宝鸡断裂, 西秦岭北缘断裂)的闭锁程度和滑动亏损速率的空间分布, 并分析了各断裂的地震危险性。 结果显示, 六盘山断裂南段、 陇县-宝鸡断裂北段、 西秦岭北缘断裂东段闭锁程度最强, 闭锁深度达到24 km左右; 西秦岭北缘断裂东段滑动亏损速率最大, 平均值达到3 mm/a; 六盘山断裂南段、 陇县—宝鸡断裂北段滑动亏损速率平均值达到1.9 mm/a, 稍弱于西秦岭北缘断裂东段; 海原断裂闭锁程度和滑动亏损速率相对较小, 闭锁程度和滑动亏损都仅分布在浅部。 我们认为现阶段海原断裂的地震危险性相对较小, 六盘山断裂南段、 陇县—宝鸡北段、 西秦岭北缘断裂东段地震危险性高于这些断裂的其他段落。 这些结果对于青藏高原东北缘地震危险性判定和地震灾害评估具有参考意义。 相似文献
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首先应用1999-2007年的GPS观测资料分析海原断裂带的运动特征,看出期间该断裂带GPS站点运动速度由南向北逐渐衰减,在NWW和NE走向断层两盘的运动差异较为明显,断层的活动以走滑运动为主.然后依据地质、地球物理等资料给出反演参数初值,利用水平形变资料对断裂三段的走滑速率及断层下界深度进行反演.结果为从西到东断裂带各段走滑速率分别为8.25 mm/a、5.49 mm/a和5.97 mm/a,断层底部深度依次为22.8 km;13.3 km;11.1 km.综合分析认为毛毛山-老虎山断裂运动速度明显高于海原断裂速度,在速度变化梯度较大的毛毛山断裂存在6级以上地震空区,推测具有发生强震的危险性. 相似文献
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海原—六盘山构造区为青藏高原东北部构造变形最为显著的区域之一，历史强震活动频繁，是研究青藏高原NE向扩展的重要窗口和地震孕育过程的理想场所。文中处理了跨海原-六盘山断裂2014—2020年期间2个轨道的时序Sentinel-1A/B SAR数据，获得了该区域InSAR视线向现今的地壳形变场。融合公开发表的近十多年时间尺度的水平GPS地壳运动速度场，获得了研究区高密度地壳水平形变场。对比GPS、水准和InSAR观测结果，以及GPS-InSAR融合的高密度水平形变场，分析讨论了该区域的地壳形变、应变场特征及其与构造之间的对应关系。主要结论如下：1)GPS和InSAR观测表明，1920年海原8.5级大地震的震后黏弹性松弛效应在海原断裂南侧至今仍较为明显；2)GPS-InSAR高分辨率水平形变场表明，狭义海原断裂左旋滑动速率的递减主要发生在中东段，而中西段递减并不显著，可能与海原断裂向六盘山断裂之间由左旋走滑向逆冲推覆构造转换有关；3)六盘山断裂中—南段的地壳垂直形变和水平形变场特征均显示，该段断裂可能处于强震孕育的中晚期，根据反演得到的断层运动参数和地震地质资料，估算六盘山断裂中—南段发生强... 相似文献
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利用“中国大陆构造环境监测网络”GNSS数据研究1998—2018年青藏高原东北缘排除同震影响等干扰后的速度场、主应变率场、最大剪切应变率场、面应变场等的变化,活动断裂滑动速率变化、跨活动断裂基线变化等。将研究区域内的二级块体再分区,获得各次级块体内部的应变率变化;获取研究区域地壳运动场的趋势性、动态特征。研究结果显示,阿尔金断裂带中东段、祁连块体和柴达木块体交界、巴颜喀拉块体与羌塘块体交界、祁连块体南边界中段、海原—六盘山断裂带和西秦岭北缘断裂带西段的逆冲运动,祁连块体北边界西段、庄浪河断裂的左旋走滑运动,祁连块体北边界东段、西秦岭北缘断裂带东段的左旋逆走滑运动,都属于造成一定程度地壳变形的持续性局部应变增强活动。阿尔金断裂带东段、东昆仑断裂带中西段、祁连块体北边界、庄浪河断裂北段、海原断裂南段、六盘山断裂北段、西秦岭北缘断裂带东段可能存在闭锁,未来十年可能发生MS6.0以上地震。 相似文献
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自1920年海原发生M8.5地震以来，青藏高原东北缘接连发生了1927年古浪M8.0地震、1932年昌马M7.6地震等一系列大地震，使其进入了强震活动的丛集期。为了探究青藏高原东北缘这一系列地震间的相互作用及区域地震危险性，建立青藏高原东北缘的三维Maxwell黏弹性有限元模型，模拟了区域自1920年以来17次M6.7以上地震的同震及震后库仑应力演化。结果显示：研究区自1920年海原M8.5大地震之后，后续的16次地震中，有13次地震发生在库仑应力变化为正的区域，说明了地震间的相互作用可能是导致区域地震丛集的主要原因之一。系列地震发生后，阿尔金断裂、柴达木盆地断裂西段、东昆仑断裂中段、鄂拉山断裂北段、共和盆地断裂南段、日月山断裂南段、庄浪河断裂、礼县—罗家堡断裂、成县盆地断裂西段、文县断裂西段、龙首山断裂南段、六盘山断裂东段、西秦岭北缘断裂东段、海原断裂西段和祁连断裂东段位于库仑应力变化为正的区域，且大部分断裂或断裂段的累积库仑应力变化超过了0.01 MPa,它们未来的地震危险性较高。 相似文献
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DEFORMATION CHARACTERISTICS AND KINEMATIC PARAMETERS INVERSION OF HAIYUAN FAULT ZONE BASED ON TIME SERIES INSAR 
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下载免费PDF全文 Located at the bend of the northeastern margin of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, the Haiyuan fault zone is a boundary fault of the stable Alashan block, the stable Ordos block and the active Tibet block, and is the most significant fault zone for the tectonic deformation and strong earthquake activity. In 1920, a M8.5 earthquake occurred in the eastern segment of the fault, causing a surface rupture zone of about 240km. After that, the segment has been in a state of calmness in seismic activity, and no destructive earthquakes of magnitude 6 or above have occurred. Determining the current activity of the Haiyuan fault zone is very important and necessary for the analysis and assessment of its future seismic hazard.
To study activity of the Haiyuan fault zone, the degree of fault coupling and the future seismic hazard, domestic and foreign scholars have carried out a lot of research using geology methods and GPS geodetic techniques, but these methods have certain limitations. The geology method is a traditional classical method of fault activity research, but dislocation measurement can only be performed on a local good fault outcrop. There are a limited number of field measurement points and the observation results are not equally limited depending on the sampling location and sampling method. The distribution of GPS stations is sparse, especially in the near-fault area, there is almost no GPS data. Therefore, the spatial resolution of the deformation field features obtained by GPS is low, and there are certain limitations in the kinematic parameter inversion using this method.
In this study, we obtain the average InSAR line-of-sight deformation field from the Maomaoshan section to the mid-1920s earthquake rupture segment of the Haiyuan earthquake in the period from 2003 to 2010 based on the PSInSAR technique. The results show that there are obvious differences between the slip rates of the two walls of the fault in the north and the south, which are consistent with the motion characteristics of left-lateral strike-slip in the Haiyuan fault zone. Through the analysis of the high-density cross-fault deformation rate profile of the Laohushan segment, it is determined that the creep length is about 19km. Based on the two-dimensional arctangent model, the fault depth and deep slip rate of different locations in the Haiyuan fault zone are obtained. The results show that the slip rate and the locking depth of the LHS segment change significantly from west to east, and the slip rate decreases from west to east, decreasing from 7.6mm/a in the west to 4.5mm/a in the easternmost. The western part of the LHS segment and the middle part are in a locked state. The western part has a locking depth of 4.2~4.4km, and the middle part has a deeper locking depth of 6.9km, while the eastern part is less than 1km, that is, the shallow surface is creeping, and the creep rate is 4.5~4.8mm/a. On the whole, the 1920 earthquake's rupture segment of the Haiyuan fault zone is in a locked state, and both the slip rate and the locking depth are gradually increased from west to east. The slip rate is increased from 3.2mm/a in the western segment to 5.4mm/a in the eastern segment, and the locking depth is increased from 4.8km in the western segment to 7.5km in the eastern segment. The results of this study refine the understanding of the slip rate and the locking depth of the different segments of the Haiyuan fault zone, and provide reference information for the investigation of the strain accumulation state and regional seismic hazard assessment of different sections of the fault zone. 相似文献
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青藏高原东北缘是青藏高原隆升、生长及变形前缘.区域地震活动频繁,且地震在其主要断层带之间时空迁移.为了研究区域大地震在主要断层带之间的迁移规律与概率,以及主要断层带大地震破裂的时空分布特征,本文建立了青藏高原东北缘地区的三维黏弹塑性有限元模型,模拟了区域断层系统的地震循环,得到了人工合成的万年时间尺度的地震目录.根据模拟的地震目录,并结合古地震数据,计算分析了大地震(MW≥7)在研究区各个主要断层带之间的迁移概率,探讨了黏度、高程、统计时间长度等因素对大地震在各主要断层带之间的迁移概率和大地震在各主要断层带上的发生概率的影响,并且初步调查了海原断层带和香山天景山断层带的大地震破裂时空分布特征.研究结果显示:继区域最近两次大地震(1920年海原断层带上的M8.5海原大地震和1927年香山天景山断层带上的M8古浪大地震)之后,下一次大地震(MW≥7)发生在海原断层上的概率最大,约为51%～81%;其次是在香山天景山断层上,概率约为9%～37%.模型结果显示,不同的青藏高原中下地壳上地幔黏度大小,对大地震在各个断层带之间的迁移规律和迁移概率的影响较小;而研究区的高程载荷对地震迁移则有显著的影响:高程载荷易于使得海原断层地震活动减弱及香山天景山断层的地震活动增强.研究结果也显示了青藏高原东北缘地区主要断层带的地震活动与断层滑动速率分布的分段性显著;大地震在断层带上的破裂位置并不固定,呈现不均匀性;并暗示了断层几何形状对地震活动、断层滑动速率分布与大地震破裂位置的控制作用. 相似文献
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Coseismic deformation of the 2021 MW7.4 Maduo earthquake from joint inversion of InSAR,GPS, and teleseismic data 下载免费PDF全文
下载免费PDF全文 Chaoya Liu Ling Bai Shunying Hong Yanfang Dong Yong Jiang Hongru Li Huili Zhan Zhiwen Chen 《地震科学（英文版）》2021,34(5):436-446
The MW7.4 Maduo earthquake occurred on 22 May 2021 at 02:04 CST with a large-expansion surface rupture. This earthquake was located in the Bayan Har block at the eastern Tibetan Plateau, where eight earthquakes of MS >7.0 have occurred in the past 25 years. Here, we combined interferometric synthetic aperture radar, GPS, and teleseismic data to study the coseismic slip distribution, fault geometry, and dynamic source rupture process of the Maduo earthquake. We found that the overall coseismic deformation field of the Maduo earthquake is distributed in the NWW-SEE direction along 285°. There was slight bending at the western end and two branches at the eastern end. The maximum slip is located near the eastern bending area on the northern branch of the fault system. The rupture nucleated on the Jiangcuo fault and propagated approximately 160 km along-strike in both the NWW and SEE directions. The characteristic source rupture process of the Maduo earthquake is similar to that of the 2010 MW6.8 Yushu earthquake, indicating that similar earthquakes with large-expansion surface ruptures and small shallow slip deficits can occur on both the internal fault and boundary fault of the Bayan Har block. 相似文献
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通过收集鄂尔多斯块体西缘固定地震台网2010年6月至2017年8月的近场地震资料，选择符合剪切波分裂分析的14个台站记录的共137个有效事件波形，得到了剪切波分裂参数，即快剪切波（简称快波）偏振方向和慢剪切波（简称慢波）时间延迟.结果表明，研究区的快波偏振方向和慢波时间延迟具有明显的分区特征，快波偏振方向主要与构造应力场方向或者断层走向大体一致.鄂尔多斯西缘紧邻块体边界的台站，快波偏振方向自北向南呈现NS、NNE、NE向的变化，与青藏高原东北缘主压应力方向变化基本一致.银川地堑东西两侧的快波偏振方向有差异，东侧区域主要受青藏高原NNE向挤压和黄河-灵武断裂共同影响，而西侧区域可能受到阿拉善块体与鄂尔多斯块体之间的NW方向的主张应力和阿拉善块体内部应力分布的影响；鄂尔多斯块体、阿拉善块体与青藏高原的交汇区快波优势偏振方向为NE向，与青藏高原东北缘主压应力方向一致；海原断裂带及以南区域快剪切波优势偏振方向为WNW向，与断裂走向基本一致，较好的说明了海原断裂带为活跃的活动断裂.构造与断裂分布都是控制快波偏振方向的主要因素，走滑断裂上的台站快波偏振方向与断裂走向一致，表明这些台站主要受到断裂的强烈影响；走滑断裂附近的个别台站快波偏振方向呈现与构造应力场一致的方向，表明几乎没有受到断裂的影响.鄂尔多斯、阿拉善与青藏高原的交汇区平均时间延迟高于其他地区，反映了青藏高原在NE向运动过程中，受到稳定的鄂尔多斯块体阻挡作用，导致了交汇区地壳介质各向异性程度增加.以海原断裂带到六盘山断裂带为界，其两侧区域的各向异性差异性明显，揭示了应力与介质特性的差异，暗示其邻近区域，特别在海原断裂带东端到六盘山断裂带与鄂尔多斯块体西缘交汇区域，可能有较高的强震危险背景.本研究还对该区域的地壳和上地幔的耦合问题进行了初步讨论. 相似文献
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本文采用欧拉反褶积、场源参数成像(SPI)、场源边界提取(SED)、莫霍面反演、地壳三维可视化等多源方法,对青藏高原东北缘地区的布格重力场进行反演与分析,深入研究该地区的深部结构与变形特征,探讨区域深部孕震环境及动力学机制.研究表明,青藏高原东北缘的布格重力场整体呈负异常值,具有明显的分区性,表现出鄂尔多斯盆地异常值相对偏高、阿拉善块体次之、青藏高原块体极低的特点,其中海源断裂系形成了一条宽缓的弧形重力梯度条带,梯度值达1.2 mGal·km^-1.欧拉结果显示,鄂尔多斯盆地相比于青藏高原块体而言,场源点具有较强的均一性,场源强度值高(密度值高)且深度稳定在25~32 km范围内,而高原块体的中下地壳尺度广泛分布着低密度异常体.SPI图可知,海源弧形断裂系位于“浅源异常”弧形区,反映其地壳较为活跃,易发生中强地震.SED图揭示青藏高原地壳向东北扩展,经过几大断裂系的调节后运动矢量向东或东南转化,SED与GPS、SKS运动特征大致相同,说明地表-地壳-地幔的运动特征有着较强的一致性.青藏高原东北缘地区壳幔变形是连贯的,加之莫霍面由北向南、由东向西是逐渐加深的,因此属于垂向连贯变形机制,不符合下地壳管道流动力学模式.区域形成了似三联点构造格局,其中海源弧形断裂系的深部地壳结构复杂,高低密度异常体复杂交汇,是青藏高原、阿拉善、鄂尔多斯三大块体相互作用的重要枢纽,其运动学特征总体为中段走滑尾端逆冲,而断裂系正处于大型的弧形莫霍面斜坡带之上,具备强震的深部孕震环境,因此大尺度的运动调节与深部孕震条件共同促使了该地区中强震的多发. 相似文献
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MIGRATION OF LARGE EARTHQUAKES IN TIBETAN BLOCK AREA AND DISSCUSSION ON MAJOR ACTIVE REGION IN THE FUTURE 下载免费PDF全文
下载免费PDF全文 YUAN Dao-yang FENG Jian-gang ZHENG Wen-jun LIU Xing-wang GE Wei-peng WANG Wei-tong 《地震地质》1979,42(2):297-315
On the basis of summarizing the circulation characteristics and mechanism of earthquakes with magnitude 7 or above in continental China, the spatial-temporal migration characteristics, mechanism and future development trend of earthquakes with magnitude above 7 in Tibetan block area are analyzed comprehensively. The results show that there are temporal clustering and spatial zoning of regional strong earthquakes and large earthquakes in continental China, and they show the characteristics of migration and circulation in time and space. In the past 100a, there are four major earthquake cluster areas that have migrated from west to east and from south to north, i.e. 1)Himalayan seismic belt and Tianshan-Baikal seismic belt; 2)Mid-north to north-south seismic belt in Tibetan block area; 3)North-south seismic belt-periphery of Assam cape; and 4)North China and Sichuan-Yunnan area. The cluster time of each area is about 20a, and a complete cycle time is about 80a. The temporal and spatial images of the migration and circulation of strong earthquakes are consistent with the motion velocity field images obtained through GPS observations in continental China. The mechanism is related to the latest tectonic activity in continental China, which is mainly affected by the continuous compression of the Indian plate to the north on the Eurasian plate, the rotation of the Tibetan plateau around the eastern Himalayan syntaxis, and the additional stress field caused by the change of the earth's rotation speed.
Since 1900AD, the Tibetan block area has experienced three periods of high tides of earthquake activity clusters(also known as earthquake series), among which the Haiyuan-Gulang earthquake series from 1920 to 1937 mainly occurred around the active block boundary structural belt on the periphery of the Tibetan block region, with the largest earthquake occurring on the large active fault zone in the northeastern boundary belt. The Chayu-Dangxiong earthquake series from 1947 to 1976 mainly occurred around the large-scale boundary active faults of Qiangtang block, Bayankala block and eastern Himalayan syntaxis within the Tibetan block area. In the 1995-present Kunlun-Wenchuan earthquake series, 8 earthquakes with MS7.0 or above have occurred on the boundary fault zones of the Bayankala block. Therefore, the Bayankala block has become the main area of large earthquake activity on the Tibetan plateau in the past 20a. The clustering characteristic of this kind of seismic activity shows that in a certain period of time, strong earthquake activity can occur on the boundary fault zone of the same block or closely related blocks driven by a unified dynamic mechanism, reflecting the overall movement characteristics of the block. The migration images of the main active areas of the three earthquake series reflect the current tectonic deformation process of the Tibetan block region, where the tectonic activity is gradually converging inward from the boundary tectonic belt around the block, and the compression uplift and extrusion to the south and east occurs in the plateau. This mechanism of gradual migration and repeated activities from the periphery to the middle can be explained by coupled block movement and continuous deformation model, which conforms to the dynamic model of the active tectonic block hypothesis.
A comprehensive analysis shows that the Kunlun-Wenchuan earthquake series, which has lasted for more than 20a, is likely to come to an end. In the next 20a, the main active area of the major earthquakes with magnitude 7 on the continental China may migrate to the peripheral boundary zone of the Tibetan block. The focus is on the eastern boundary structural zone, i.e. the generalized north-south seismic belt. At the same time, attention should be paid to the earthquake-prone favorable regions such as the seismic empty sections of the major active faults in the northern Qaidam block boundary zone and other regions. For the northern region of the Tibetan block, the areas where the earthquakes of magnitude 7 or above are most likely to occur in the future will be the boundary structural zones of Qaidam active tectonic block, including Qilian-Haiyuan fault zone, the northern margin fault zone of western Qinling, the eastern Kunlun fault zone and the Altyn Tagh fault zone, etc., as well as the empty zones or empty fault segments with long elapse time of paleo-earthquake or no large historical earthquake rupture in their structural transformation zones. In future work, in-depth research on the seismogenic tectonic environment in the above areas should be strengthened, including fracture geometry, physical properties of media, fracture activity behavior, earthquake recurrence rule, strain accumulation degree, etc., and then targeted strengthening tracking monitoring and earthquake disaster prevention should be carried out. 相似文献
Since 1900AD, the Tibetan block area has experienced three periods of high tides of earthquake activity clusters(also known as earthquake series), among which the Haiyuan-Gulang earthquake series from 1920 to 1937 mainly occurred around the active block boundary structural belt on the periphery of the Tibetan block region, with the largest earthquake occurring on the large active fault zone in the northeastern boundary belt. The Chayu-Dangxiong earthquake series from 1947 to 1976 mainly occurred around the large-scale boundary active faults of Qiangtang block, Bayankala block and eastern Himalayan syntaxis within the Tibetan block area. In the 1995-present Kunlun-Wenchuan earthquake series, 8 earthquakes with MS7.0 or above have occurred on the boundary fault zones of the Bayankala block. Therefore, the Bayankala block has become the main area of large earthquake activity on the Tibetan plateau in the past 20a. The clustering characteristic of this kind of seismic activity shows that in a certain period of time, strong earthquake activity can occur on the boundary fault zone of the same block or closely related blocks driven by a unified dynamic mechanism, reflecting the overall movement characteristics of the block. The migration images of the main active areas of the three earthquake series reflect the current tectonic deformation process of the Tibetan block region, where the tectonic activity is gradually converging inward from the boundary tectonic belt around the block, and the compression uplift and extrusion to the south and east occurs in the plateau. This mechanism of gradual migration and repeated activities from the periphery to the middle can be explained by coupled block movement and continuous deformation model, which conforms to the dynamic model of the active tectonic block hypothesis.
A comprehensive analysis shows that the Kunlun-Wenchuan earthquake series, which has lasted for more than 20a, is likely to come to an end. In the next 20a, the main active area of the major earthquakes with magnitude 7 on the continental China may migrate to the peripheral boundary zone of the Tibetan block. The focus is on the eastern boundary structural zone, i.e. the generalized north-south seismic belt. At the same time, attention should be paid to the earthquake-prone favorable regions such as the seismic empty sections of the major active faults in the northern Qaidam block boundary zone and other regions. For the northern region of the Tibetan block, the areas where the earthquakes of magnitude 7 or above are most likely to occur in the future will be the boundary structural zones of Qaidam active tectonic block, including Qilian-Haiyuan fault zone, the northern margin fault zone of western Qinling, the eastern Kunlun fault zone and the Altyn Tagh fault zone, etc., as well as the empty zones or empty fault segments with long elapse time of paleo-earthquake or no large historical earthquake rupture in their structural transformation zones. In future work, in-depth research on the seismogenic tectonic environment in the above areas should be strengthened, including fracture geometry, physical properties of media, fracture activity behavior, earthquake recurrence rule, strain accumulation degree, etc., and then targeted strengthening tracking monitoring and earthquake disaster prevention should be carried out. 相似文献
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1932年12月25日，甘肃玉门市昌马镇附近发生MS7.6地震(震中：39.70°N,96.70°E),此次地震是继1920年海原MS8.5地震、1927年古浪MS8.0地震之后青藏高原东北缘祁连山—河西走廊地震带内的又一强震。这组大地震活动无论在时间序列上还是在空间序列上都极其罕见，引起了众多国内外学者的广泛关注，普遍认为是一次陆内地震活动沿相关断裂带由东向西迁移的典型样例。基于PSGRN/PSCMP程序，以前人地表地质调查相关结果为约束，利用弹性位错理论获取昌马地震断层破裂模型，以此为基础，基于黏弹性半空间分层模型模拟计算昌马地震产生的地表同震三维形变场。通过研究单次地震与地震叠加的库仑应力变化对后续地震的触发关系，分别对海原地震、古浪地震以及它们的叠加对昌马地震的触发作用进行研究。结果表明：海原地震、古浪地震以及它们的叠加均未超过可能触发地震的经验阈值，故认为昌马地震可能不受海原地震和古浪地震所造成的库仑应力变化的影响。此研究可为利用实际形变解释昌马地震的孕震过程研究提供理论依据。 相似文献
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集成活动构造与震源机制解、重新定位小震分布、历史与现今地震、GPS速度场等资料，综合分析了六盘山断裂带的构造动力学条件与变形方式、横剖面构造、历史强震破裂背景、GPS形变以及现代地震活动性，进而探讨了该断裂带的强震危险背景.结果表明：NNW向六盘山断裂带的运动与变形主要缘于青藏地块东北缘的向东水平挤出受到相对稳定的华北地块西缘（鄂尔多斯地块）阻挡而聚集的水平挤压作用；此外，海原和陇县-宝鸡两条NW向走滑断裂带的左旋运动在右阶区的局部会聚作用，也由六盘山断裂带的变形与运动来承受与转换.横剖面上，六盘山断裂带表现为向东推覆的大型逆冲构造带，主滑脱带位于~25 km深处，之下很可能存在分隔青藏与华北地块的超壳-岩石圈型深断裂带.沿六盘山断裂带中-南段以及更靠南东的陇县-宝鸡断裂带存在总长为120~140 km、至少最近~1400年未发生M ≥ 6½强震破裂的地震空区.地震空区内的断裂，GPS形变显示已有显著应变积累，地震活动上出现为小震稀疏或空缺的部位，以及低b值区，反映那里的断面业已闭锁，并已有高应力积累.因此，六盘山断裂带中-南段和陇县-宝鸡断裂带应是未来可能发生强震/大地震的两个危险地段，潜在地震的最大矩震级估值分别为MW=7.3±和7.2±. 相似文献