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本文以管网造价为优化目标,管网拓扑结构为优化参数,管网节点最低可靠度为约束条件,建立了供水管网抗震拓扑优化模型。在供水管网功能可靠性分析方法的基础上,结合单元概率重要度分析方法,利用模拟退火算法提出了供水管网的抗震拓扑优化方法,并对一典型供水管网进行了拓扑优化分析。分析表明,对于管网抗震拓扑优化这样一个组合优化问题,模拟退火算法提供了一类很好的途径,以此为基础进行供水管网抗震可靠性优化设计具有很好的效果。 相似文献
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A new probabilistic analytical approach to evaluate seismic system reliability of large lifeline systems is presented in this paper. The algorithm takes the shortest path from the source to the terminal of a node weight or edge weight network as decomposition policy, using the Boolean laws of set operation and probabilistic operation principal, a recursive decomposition process then could be constructed. For a general weight network, the modified Torrieri method (NTR/T method) is introduced to combine with the suggested algorithm. Therefore, the recursive decomposition algorithm may be applied to evaluate the seismic reliability of general lifeline systems. A series of case studies, including a practical district electric power network system and a large urban water supply system, show that the suggested algorithm supplies a useful probabilistic analysis means for the seismic reliability evaluation of large lifeline systems. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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网络可靠度分析的最小路算法和最小割算法研究 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
网络可靠度分析是评价城市生命线工程系统整体抗震性能的主要手段。本文分别从最小路和最小割的角度介绍了网络可靠度分析算法,包括:经典不交最小路(割)算法、最小路(割)递推分解算法和改进最小路(割)递推分解算法。在此基础上,通过实例分析,着重进行了改进最小路递推分解算法和改进最小割递推分解算法的对比分析,分析结果表明两种算法在网络单元不同可靠度水平下具有不同的计算效率,并对引起以上区别的三个主要原因进行了分析。 相似文献
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An improved recursive decomposition algorithm for reliability evaluation of lifeline networks 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
The seismic reliability evaluation of lifeline networks has received considerable attention and been widely studied.In this paper,on the basis of an original recursive decomposition algorithm,an improved analytical approach to evaluate the seismic reliability of large lifeline systems is presented.The proposed algorithm takes the shortest path from the source to the sink of a network as decomposition policy.Using the Boolean laws of set operation and the probabilistic operation principal,a recursive deco... 相似文献
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Seismic reliability assessment of lifeline networks using clustering‐based multi‐scale approach 
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下载免费PDF全文 Seismic reliability assessment of lifeline networks gives rise to various technical challenges, which are mostly caused by a large number of network components, complex network topology, and statistical dependence between component failures. For effective risk assessment and probabilistic inference based on post‐hazard observations, various non‐simulation‐based algorithms have been developed, including the selective recursive decomposition algorithm (S‐RDA). To facilitate the application of such an algorithm to large networks, a new multi‐scale approach is developed in this paper. Using spectral clustering algorithms, a network is first divided into an adequate number of clusters such that the number of inter‐cluster links is minimized while the number of the nodes in each cluster remains reasonably large. The connectivity around the identified clusters is represented by super‐links. The reduced size of the simplified network enables the S‐RDA algorithm to perform the network risk assessment efficiently. When the simplified network is still large even after a clustering, additional levels of clustering can be introduced to have a hierarchical modeling structure. The efficiency and effectiveness of the proposed multi‐scale approach are demonstrated successfully by numerical examples of a hypothetical network, a gas transmission pipeline network, and a water transmission network. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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Recent earthquake events evidenced that damage of structural components in a lifeline network may cause prolonged disruption of lifeline services, which eventually results in significant socio‐economic losses in the affected area. Despite recent advances in network reliability analysis, the complexity of the problem and various uncertainties still make it a challenging task to evaluate the post‐hazard performance and connectivity of lifeline networks efficiently and accurately. In order to overcome such challenges and take advantage of merits of multi‐scale analysis, this paper develops a multi‐scale system reliability analysis method by integrating a network decomposition approach with the matrix‐based system reliability (MSR) method. In addition to facilitating system reliability analysis of large‐size networks, the multi‐scale approach enables optimizing the level of computational effort on subsystems; identifying the relative importance of components and subsystems at multiple scales; and providing a collaborative risk management framework. The MSR method is uniformly applied for system reliability analyses at both the lower‐scale (for link failure) and the higher‐scale (for system connectivity) to obtain the probability of general system events, various conditional probabilities, component importance measures, statistical correlation between subsystem failures and parameter sensitivities. The proposed multi‐scale analysis method is demonstrated by its application to a gas distribution network in Shelby County of Tennessee. A parametric study is performed to determine the number of segments during the lower‐scale MSR analysis of each pipeline based on the strength of the spatial correlation of seismic intensity. It is shown that the spatial correlation should be considered at both scales for accurate reliability evaluation. The proposed multi‐scale analysis approach provides an effective framework of risk assessment and decision support for lifeline networks under earthquake hazards. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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For effective hazard mitigation planning and prompt-but-prudent post-disaster responses, it is essential to evaluate the reliability of infrastructure networks accurately and efficiently. A nonsimulation-based algorithm, termed as a recursive decomposition algorithm (RDA), was recently proposed to identify disjoint cut sets and link sets and to compute the network reliability. This paper introduces a ‘selective’ RDA, which preferentially identifies critical disjoint cut sets and link sets to calculate the probabilities of network disconnection events with a significantly reduced number of identified sets. To this end, the original RDA is improved by replacing the shortest path algorithm with an algorithm that identifies the most reliable path, and by using a graph decomposition scheme based on the probabilities associated with the subgraphs. The critical sets identified by the algorithm are also used to compute conditional probability-based importance measures that quantify the relative importance of network components by their contributions to network disconnection events. This paper also introduces a risk assessment framework for lifeline networks based on the use of the selective RDA, which can consider both interevent and intraevent uncertainties of spatially correlated ground motions. The risk assessment framework and the selective RDA are demonstrated by a hypothetical network example, and the gas and water transmission networks of Shelby County in Tennessee, USA. The examples show that the proposed framework and the selective RDA greatly improve efficiency of risk assessment of complex lifeline networks, which are characterized by a large number of components, complex network topology, and statistical dependence between component failures. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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大型城市管网抗震可靠性分析与优化 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
本文提出了地震作用下供水系统的渗漏模型,发展了地震后带渗漏管网的流分析技术,结合一次二阶矩方法获得了地震后供水管网的功能可靠度。针对供燃气管网系统则提出了一类高效精确的大型网络抗震连通可靠度分析的概率解析算法———递推分解算法。以上述管网抗震可靠性分析理论为基础,分别发展了基于模拟退火算法的供水系统网络拓扑优化分析理论和基于遗传算法的供燃气网络系统拓扑优化理论。 相似文献
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Decomposition algorithms for system reliability estimation with applications to interdependent lifeline networks 下载免费PDF全文
下载免费PDF全文 Reliability and risk assessment of lifeline systems call for efficient methods that integrate hazard and interdependencies. Such methods are computationally challenged when the probabilistic response of systems is tied to multiple events, as performance quantification requires a large catalog of ground motions. Available methods to address this issue use catalog reductions and importance sampling. However, besides comparisons against baseline Monte Carlo trials in select cases, there is no guarantee that such methods will perform or scale well in practice. This paper proposes a new efficient method for reliability assessment of interdependent lifeline systems, termed RAILS, that considers systemic performance and is particularly effective when dealing with large catalogs of events. RAILS uses the state‐space partition method to estimate systemic reliability with theoretical bounds and, for the first time, supports cyclic interdependencies among lifeline systems. Recycling computations across an entire seismic catalog with RAILS considerably reduces the number of system performance evaluations in seismic performance studies. Also, when performance estimate bounds are not tight, we adopt an importance and stratified sampling method that in our computational experiments is various orders of magnitude more efficient than crude Monte Carlo. We assess the efficiency of RAILS using synthetic networks and illustrate its application to quantify the seismic risk of realistic yet streamlined systems hypothetically located in the San Francisco Bay Region. 相似文献
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现代城市的迅速发展对生命线工程系统依赖性逐渐增强。地震后生命线工程系统的性能直接决定了灾后生活和生产的恢复以及抢险工作的进行,因此对生命线工程系统进行地震作用下的可靠性分析具有十分重要的意义。本文中主要介绍2种求解大型网络抗震可靠度算法———最小路递推分解算法和最小割递推分解算法。在此基础上,利用这2种算法对沈阳市供气系统进行了分析。研究结果表明,合理选择使用这2种算法可以有效的进行不同地震烈度条件下的大型生命线工程系统的可靠性分析。 相似文献
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In this paper,an improved cut-based recursive decomposition algorithm is proposed for lifeline networks.First,a complementary structural function is established and three theorems are presented as a pr... 相似文献
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An approach to analyze the seismic reliability of water distribution networks by combining a hydraulic analysis with a first-order reliability method （FORM）, is proposed in this paper. The hydraulic analysis method for normal conditions is modified to accommodate the special conditions necessary to perform a seismic hydraulic analysis. In order to calculate the leakage area and leaking flow of the pipelines in the hydraulic analysis method, a new leakage model established from the seismic response analysis of buried pipelines is presented. To validate the proposed approach, a network with 17 nodes and 24 pipelines is investigated in detail. The approach is also applied to an actual project consisting of 463 nodes and 767 pipelines. The results show that the proposed approach achieves satisfactory results in analyzing the seismic reliability of large-scale water distribution networks. 相似文献
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Minimum‐cost optimization of nonlinear fluid viscous dampers and their supporting members for seismic retrofitting 下载免费PDF全文
下载免费PDF全文 This paper presents an effective approach for achieving minimum‐cost designs for seismic retrofitting using nonlinear fluid viscous dampers. The damping coefficients of the dampers and the stiffness coefficients of the supporting braces are designed by an optimization algorithm. A realistic retrofitting cost function is minimized subject to constraints on inter‐story drifts at the peripheries of frame structures. The cost function accounts for costs related to both the topology and the sizes of the dampers. The behavior of each damper‐brace element is defined by the Maxwell model, where the force–velocity relation of the nonlinear dampers is formulated with a fractional power law. The optimization problem is first posed and solved as a mixed integer problem. For the reduction of the computational effort required in the optimization, the problem is then reformulated with continuous variables only and solved with a gradient‐based algorithm. Material interpolation techniques, which have been successfully applied in topology optimization and in multi‐material optimization, play a key role in achieving practical final design solutions with a reasonable computational effort. Promising results attained for 3‐D irregular frames are presented and discussed. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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研究了生命线工程系统中供电网络系统的可靠性分析方法。在元件可靠性分析的基础上,进行供电网络系统工程地震可靠性分析,提出了供电网络系统功能失效分级及失效等级的判定方法,并建立了功能失效系数的概念,给出了供电网络系统功能失效系数的计算方法,从而实现了供电网络系统功能失效分析的定量化。 相似文献
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对于生命线工程网络系统而言,合理分析和评估其带有网络特征的节点可靠度,比只研究单体可靠度更具实际意义。基于数据包络分析法（Data Envelopment Analysis,DEA）有效性分析的思想,提出了生命线网络节点抗灾相对可靠度的概念。从生命线工程在灾害环境下着重体现出的系统性和网络性出发,考察网络中的节点所能实现的资源供给功能与其所在网络中的空间结构重要性是否匹配,即功能性相对于结构性的可靠度。选择节点资源实际需求量和管内水压作为DEA有效性分析的输入参数,结构重要性作为输出参数,并用网络中介中心性评价结构重要性,获得相应参数。通过实例分析,得出实例工程网络中各节点相应的DEA有效性分析结果,即相对可靠度,并通过对参数的权系数调整,得到了使非有效单元变为有效单元的调整值。该调整值可供优化及改进工程网络的技术性调整方案参考,相对可靠度也可作为评价工程网络系统性能的有益补充。 相似文献
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在生命线网络最小路递推分解算法的基础上,充分利用分解过程中的信息,采用合并节点的方法,快速降低分解出来子网的复杂程度,从而达到大幅度减少分解出来的不交最小路(割)数量和提高计算效率的目的.计算实例分析表明,与最小路递推分解算法相比,改进算法能更为高效地给出网络可靠度,是一种有效的生命线工程网络抗震可靠性分析工具. 相似文献
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Ground‐motion intensity and damage map selection for probabilistic infrastructure network risk assessment using optimization 下载免费PDF全文
下载免费PDF全文 In many parts of the world, earthquakes threaten regional infrastructure systems. For modeling risk using stochastic earthquake catalogs, random variables include rupture location and the damage state of different components. Thus, there is an infinite set of possible damage maps that a risk modeler could evaluate in an event‐based probabilistic loss model. Even a finite but large number of damage maps may not be practical, because many network performance measures are computationally expensive. Here, we show a computationally efficient method for selecting a subset of damage maps, corresponding ground‐motion intensity maps, and associated occurrence rates that reasonably estimates the full distribution of the ground‐motion intensity and a target performance measure using optimization. The method chooses a subset of maps and associated annual rates of occurrence that minimizes the error in estimating the distribution of a network performance measure as well as the marginal distributions of ground‐motion intensity exceedance. The joint distribution of the ground‐motion intensity is implicitly included in the objective function of the optimization problem via the network performance measure. We then show how to tune the optimization parameters based on consistency checks related to the network performance measure and the ground‐motion hazard. We illustrate the proposed method with a case study of the San Francisco Bay Area road network to estimate the exceedance curve of the average percentage change in morning commute trip time. This work facilitates expanded and risk‐consistent studies of the impacts of infrastructure networks on regional seismic risk and resiliency. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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Ivo Vanzi 《地震工程与结构动力学》2000,29(7):1053-1073
This paper presents a procedure to identify an optimal retrofitting strategy for electric power networks (EPN) subjected to seismic events. The optimization consists of the minimization, under economic constraints, of the probability of power cut‐off at the nodes where electric energy is most needed in the post‐earthquake situation; these nodes are referred to as critical nodes. The EPN model used herein has been presented earlier and is briefly reviewed in the text. The method to individuate the critical nodes, based upon the value of an index proposed in this study, is presented first; then the optimization procedure to select which elements of the EPN to upgrade is examined based upon a standard reliability study. Its effectiveness is tested against routinely used upgrading schemes for an existing EPN (the one of Sicily in Italy). It is shown that the optimization procedure is effective and leads to a significant saving of economic resources. Copyright © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献