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1.
通过北极涛动AO正负位相时期北半球1000 hPa月平均位势高度、位势高度距平和气温月距平图对比分析可知,北极区域异常增暖时期对应着AO负位相时期,而北极区域异常偏冷时期对应着AO正位相时期,说明北极区域气温异常变化是决定AO异常变化的重要因子.逐次滤波法分析可知,冬季1月北极涛动现象表现出十分清楚的与太阳活动密切联系的准110a世纪周期和准22a年代际周期,具体表现为：（1）冬季1月北极涛动现象具有十分清楚的与太阳活动密切联系的准110a世纪周期.准110a世纪周期对于北极涛动指数的方差贡献率达到44.4%,是冬季1月北极涛动现象最显著的世纪际变化特征.（2）谱分析结果表明,滤除准110a世纪周期变化以后的1月北极涛动指数具有显著的22a周期,其方差贡献率达到18.5%,乃仅次于准110a世纪周期之后北极涛动指数年代际变化重要特征.对比分析表明,太阳活动尤其是太阳磁场磁性指数变化与1月北极涛动22a周期变化呈密切的反相关关系,二者变化趋势基本相反,即多数情况当太阳磁性指数MI由最低值转为上升以后都可引起北极涛动AO由最高值转为下降;当太阳磁性指数MI由最高值转为下降以后都可引起北极涛动AO由最低值转为上升.综上所述,北极涛动的准110a世纪周期变化、22a年代际周期变化对于北极涛动方差贡献率达到62.9%,标志着太阳活动是北极涛动的重要驱动因子. 相似文献
2.
应用1871-2008年NCEP／NCAR月平均再分析资料,研究了1948-2008年期间全球纬向平均大气环流基本模态的年代际变化.小波凝聚谱的结果表明全球纬向平均大气环流基本模态存在显著的20年左右周期的年代际变化.小波凝聚位相的结果清楚地显示了纬向平均大气环流基本模态的变化顺序.在20年左右的年代际变化时间尺度上,全球纬向平均温度超前纬向平均位势高度2个月,同时超前纬向平均流10个月出现变化;全球纬向平均位势高度又超前纬向平均流8个月出现变化.全球温度上升(下降), 将使高纬度的纬向平均位势高度降低(升高),中低纬度的纬向平均位势高度升高(降低);进而使得中高纬和热带的纬向平均西风加(减)速或东风减(加)速,同时使极地和副热带的西风减(加)速或东风加(减)速.20世纪70年代末期以来全球显著增暖的异常信号最早出现在南半球对流层顶附近,其次出现在南半球对流层低层、北半球对流层顶附近和北半球对流层低层. 相似文献
3.
利用NOAA提供的1871-2008年月平均海平面气压场、雪盖、海冰等再分析资料、NASA提供的地表温度场资料、太平洋年代际振荡(PDO)指数,采用小波分析、带通滤波和凝聚谱分析等方法,研究了北半球环状模(NAM)周期变化及其影响因子.研究结果表明NAM在20世纪60年代前后发生了显著的年代际尺度周期突变,NAM在1895-1955年存在显著的准35年周期振荡,而在1971-2008年则主要以准15年周期振荡为主.NAM年代际尺度周期突变与外强迫源振荡周期变化有关,但突变前后与NAM周期振荡密切相关的外强迫因子并不尽相同.在1960年代之前,PDO、ATM、北美雪盖以及南极海冰涛动等外源强迫因子与NAM在准35年尺度上关系密切;而在1960年之后,NAM准15年振荡则与ATM和欧洲雪盖、南极海冰涛动等因素有关. 相似文献
4.
众多研究表明,太平洋年代际振荡(PDO)与东亚季风以及我国气候的年代际异常存在显著影响,然而其影响途径及机制仍不明确.本文分别分析了年代际尺度上的太平洋年代际振荡(PDO)、南北半球际大气质量振荡(IHO)以及东亚季风的变化特征,据此建立了三者之间的关系,并进一步分析了它们对我国东部冬夏两季年代际气候异常的影响,所得主要结果包括:(1)PDO与IHO以及东亚季风强度具有明显的年代际波动特征,三者之间存在较好联系,其中它们在70年代和90年代后期处于负位相,而在80年代至90年代中期均处于正位相期.PDO和IHO对全球大范围的低层气温异常,以及大气质量迁移尤其是东半球30°S-50°N区域的质量变化具有显著并且空间一致的影响;(2)当PDO为正位相时,整层大气质量年代际异常呈偶极型的自东半球向西半球太平洋区域输出,造成了南北半球际以及海陆间大气质量迁移,同时引起Walker环流的上升和下沉支位置变化,以及越赤道大气质量流的向北异常输送,并由此建立起东亚季风与PDO和IHO之间的联系;(3)PDO年代际异常与冬夏季节蒙古地区地表气压变动存在密切联系.当PDO指数增强时,冬夏季850hPa均出现显著反气旋风场异常,并在我国东部形成异常北风,从而显著影响东亚冬夏季风强度变化.与之对应,PDO指数与我国东部大部分地区的站点气温、降水的年代际分量保持显著的同期相关. 相似文献
5.
本文根据全球高空10 hPa位势高度距平场EOF分析得知,存在于地面层大气中的南北向涛动现象~北极高空大气涛动和南极涛动,在高空大气中更为清楚,而且这种高空南北向涛动现象是波及全球的;存在于地面层大气中著名的纬向涛动现象~南方涛动(Southern Oscillation,SO)和北方涛动(North Oscillation,NO),在高空大气中则变得不甚清楚.表征北极高空大气涛动的第一模态与表征南极涛动的第二模态的方差贡献率分别为41.47%和27.04%,二者累积方差贡献率达到68.51%,构成了平流层高空大气年代际振荡的主要形式;另外还存在两半球对称性中高纬度南极涛动模态和两半球不对称性中高纬度南极涛动模态,是高空大气中出现概率比较小的振荡形式.谱分析表明,无论北极高空大气涛动模态、南极涛动模态还是中高纬度纬向涛动模态,都存在与太阳磁场磁性指数相一致的22年准周期变化以及与太阳黑子相对数相一致的11年准周期变化;采用逐次滤波法的滤波分析和对比分析表明,高空大气涛动现象的重要影响因子乃太阳活动,其中太阳磁场的大幅度涨落及其磁性变化是主要因素,太阳黑子相对数的变化为次要因素. 相似文献
6.
南极涛动的年际变化及其对东亚冬春季气候的影响 总被引：7，自引：2，他引：7
研究了南极涛动的年际变化及其对冬春两季东亚气候的影响, 结果表明, 南极涛动强年不利于东亚冬春两季冷空气的活动. 通过平均经圈环流分析发现, 在南极涛动异常年有从南极到北极分布的经向遥相关, 并且该遥相关具有正压的结构. 此遥相关冬季在欧亚地区显著, 春季在太平洋地区显著. 研究还表明, 南半球高纬的平均纬圈西风, 在冬季与欧亚西风有显著的正相关关系, 因而在一定程度上证实了冬季经向遥相关的存在; 在春季, 则与太平洋北美型遥相关有显著的反相关关系. 因此, 局地经向遥相关是冬、春两季中南北半球中高纬大气环流相互作用的一个可能途径. 相似文献
7.
利用NCEP/NCAR再分析风场资料和NOAA海表温度(SST)资料，分析了冬、夏季Hadley环流的变化特征及其与热带海温在年际、年代际尺度上的关系. 结果表明，冬季北半球Hadley环流强度具有明显的年际和年代际变化，同时还呈现出明显的增强趋势. 伴随着Hadley环流的加强，环流中心位置南移，高度上升；夏季南半球Hadley环流变化主要表现为强、弱、强的年代际振动，没有明显的线性趋势. 研究还显示冬季Hadley环流与Nino3区SST正相关，这种相关性具有年代际变化特征. 年际尺度上，冬季北半球Hadley环流与Nino3区SST正相关；夏季南半球Hadley环流与Nino3区SST负相关，即当赤道中东太平洋SST异常偏暖(冷)时，冬、夏季Hadley环流变强(弱). 相似文献
8.
《中国科学:地球科学》2015,(5)
利用卫星遥感和现场观测资料,结合线性Rossby波诊断解,研究了近20年热带太平洋和印度洋暖池区海面高度的快速升高趋势.结果表明,两大洋热带区域同步的海面上升趋势通过印度尼西亚海的海洋波导通道联系在一起,其动力关联主要发生在温跃层深度,表现为热带太平洋的海面高度低频波动信号通过印度尼西亚海传至印度洋,并影响到南印度洋的东部海区,而南印度洋西部的海面变化主要受印度洋内区局地风场的调制.超前-滞后相关分析的结果表明,东南印度洋海面高度的年际和年代际变化信号分别源自太平洋赤道和近赤道海区,分别受到了太平洋赤道风应力异常和近赤道风应力旋度异常的调控,并且分别与ENSO的年际过程和PDO的年代际过程密切相关. 相似文献
9.
利用多通道奇异谱方法（MSSA）分析了1953~2003年亚洲和北美Palmer干旱指数（PDSI）与热带和北半球温带海洋海表面温度异常（SSTA）的主要周期振荡特征及其相互联系.结果表明：亚洲和北美PDSI以及SSTA均存在明显的3~6年的年际以及10年左右的年代尺度振荡;此外,亚洲PDSI还存在显著的6~8年的年际振荡.SSTA的年际振荡主要体现了ENSO的变化特征,而其年代尺度振荡的空间分布具有热带太平洋和北太平洋共同作用的类ENSO型.同时,MSSA的分析结果给出了亚洲和北美主要振荡信号的时间和空间演变特征.相关性分析表明,亚洲和北美PDSI的年际及年代尺度振荡均显示明显的对SSTA强迫信号的响应.对于年际振荡,亚洲PDSI对SSTA响应强于北美,但年代尺度振荡则反之.此外,亚洲和北美PDSI对于SSTA信号响应的关键区域也随时间尺度的不同而发生变化.亚洲的西西伯利亚、青藏高原东西两侧以及中西伯利亚东部在年际和年代尺度上均为受SSTA影响最显著的区域;在年际尺度上,北美中部地区的干湿变化与SSTA存在显著相关,而在年代尺度上,美国西部更易受SSTA年代尺度振荡的影响. 相似文献
10.
本文根据1948～2004年NCEP/NCAR 1000 hPa、500 hPa、100 hPa高度场逐月再分析资料，分析了近60年全球大气环流经向模态的气候变化. 结果表明：近60年来第一模态从低层到高层都表现出高纬与低纬地区之间明显的反向变化关系，且随时间有明显的增强趋势. 第一模态位相发生了相反的改变，低纬地区由负距平演变为正距平，高纬地区由正距平演变为负距平. 1000 hPa和500 hPa高度场上的南半球比北半球变化激烈，而100 hPa高度场上的北半球比南半球变化激烈. 第二模态在1000 hPa高度场上，主要表现为南极涛动（AAO）和北极涛动(AO)，且两涛动在年际、年代际尺度上表现出明显的负相关关系；在100 hPa高度场上，主要表现为南北半球高纬度地区之间的反向变化；500 hPa高度场是1000 hPa和100 hPa的一个过渡层次，主要表现出明显的南极涛动(AAO). 第二模态可能是南北半球中高纬环流相互作用的桥梁. 相似文献
11.
Interannual variability of Antarctic Oscillation and its influence on East Asian climate during boreal winter and spring 总被引：17，自引：2，他引：17
1 Introduction Antarctic Oscillation is a major mode of Southern Hemispheric (SH) extratropical atmospheric circula- tion. The SH Annual Mode represents a zonally sym- metric exchange of mass between polarward of 60°S and 40°S[1], therefore AAO indicates both the intensity of circumpolar low and zonal mean west wind at mid-high latitudes in SH. Positive phase of AAO tends to deepen circumpolar low and enhance west wind at mid-high latitudes in SH. Many studies show that AAO has bar… 相似文献
12.
本文基于2002年至2010年的GRACE卫星的观测密度统计分析南北极点的热层大气密度的世界时（即磁地方时）变化.研究发现：在9—11月份地球处于行星际磁场为背向太阳的扇区内（背向扇区）时，南极点热层密度在约17∶00 UT（13∶30 MLT）达到最大值，比日平均值高约22%；而在6—8月份，当地球处于行星际磁场为面向太阳的扇区内（面向扇区）时，北极点热层密度在06∶00 UT（12∶30 MLT）达到最大值，比日平均值高约13%.南极点的磁纬是-74°，其在15∶30 UT处于磁地方时正午，恰与极尖区位置重合.北极点在5∶30 UT处于磁地方时正午，此时北极点与极尖区位置最靠近.因此，极点热层大气密度的磁地方时变化可能是其周期性靠近极尖区的结果.南北极点热层密度的磁地方时变化分别在背向和面向扇区内更明显，这可能与行星际磁场By分量对南北半球密度的不同影响有关.统计结果还表明，极点热层大气密度的磁地方时变化在冬季半球内不明显.这可能是由于在冬季半球，沉降于极尖区的粒子相比夏季半球少、沉降高度低，因而能量沉降所引起的热层上部的密度增强较小. 相似文献
13.
An analysis of time variations in the earth's length of day (LOD) for 25 years (1973-1998) versus at- mospheric circulation changes and lunar phase is presented. It is found that, on the average, there is a 27.3-day and 13.6-day period oscillation in global zonal wind speed, atmospheric geopotential height, and LOD following alternating changes in lunar phase. Every 5-9 days (6.8 days on average), the fields of global atmospheric zonal wind and geopotential height and LOD undergo a sudden change in rela- tion to a change in lunar declination. The observed atmospheric oscillation with this time period may be viewed as a type of atmospheric tide. Ten atmospheric tidal cases have been analyzed by comparing changes in LOD, global zonal wind speed and atmospheric geopotential height versus change in lunar declination. Taken together these cases reveal prominent 27.3-day and 13.6-day tides. The lunar forcing on the earth's atmosphere is great and obvious changes occur in global fields of zonal wind speed and atmospheric geopotential height over the equatorial and low latitude areas. The driving force for the 27.3-day and 13.6-day atmospheric tides is the periodic change in lunar forcing during the moon's revolution around the earth. When the moon is located on the celestial equator the lunar declination equals zero and the lunar tidal forcing on the atmosphere reaches its maximum, at this time the global zonal wind speed increases and the earth's rotation rate decreases and LOD increases. Conversely, when the moon reaches its most northern or southern positions the lunar declination is maximized, lunar tidal forcing decreases, global zonal wind speed decreases, earth's rotation rate increases and LOD decreases. 27.3-day and 13.6-day period atmospheric tides deserve deeper study. Lunar tidal forcing should be considered in models of atmospheric circulation and in short and medium range weather forecasting. 相似文献
14.
本文基于1987—2017年南极点的无线电探空数据，研究了地面至30 km海拔高度的气温、风向和风速的垂直分布及变化趋势.多年平均的逐月数据表明，气温在各高度上均具有显著的季节变化，南半球夏季（冬季）对流层低层温度最高达-25℃（最低达-60℃），分别出现于1月（7月）地面以上约500 m（近地面）.近30年来，年平均地面气温呈0.3℃/10a的增加趋势，增温趋势总体上随高度增加而减缓，至对流层上层的气温变化趋势为负，约为-0.25℃/10a.对于对流层整层平均气温，秋季上升趋势在四季中最为明显，达0.55℃/10a，而年平均气温的趋势约为0.3℃/10a.近地面全年盛行东北风，风速大多在2~10 m·s-1范围内；对流层的低层（高层）为西北风（西南风），在海拔6~9 km处，对流层急流可达25 m·s-1；而平流层低层（高层）为南风（东南风），最大风速可超过30 m·s-1.风速和温度梯度变化特征在地面至10 km（10~30 km）高度段表现为负相关（正相关）.近30年近地面呈现北风增加东风减少的趋势，而高空南风减少，东风和北风增多.对流层整层平均风速显示，各季节平均风速均呈增加趋势，并且与温度类似，秋季的增加趋势最显著，达0.59 m·s-1/10a，而春季趋势最为平缓，仅0.05 m·s-1/10a.对流层整层年平均风速的线性趋势为0.24 m·s-1/10a，地面年平均风速呈0.05 m·s-1/10a的增加趋势. 相似文献
15.
The development of studies on estimating the accuracy of the Earth’s modern global gravity models in terms of the spherical harmonics of the geopotential in the problematic regions of the world is discussed. The comparative analysis of the results of reconstructing quasi-geoid heights and gravity anomalies from the different models is carried out for two polar regions selected within a radius of 1000 km from the North and South poles. The analysis covers nine recently developed models, including six high-resolution models and three lower order models, including the Russian GAOP2012 model. It is shown that the modern models determine the quasi-geoid heights and gravity anomalies in the polar regions with errors of 5 to 10 to a few dozen cm and from 3 to 5 to a few dozen mGal, respectively, depending on the resolution. The accuracy of the models in the Arctic is several times higher than in the Antarctic. This is associated with the peculiarities of gravity anomalies in every particular region and with the fact that the polar part of the Antarctic has been comparatively less explored by the gravity methods than the polar Arctic. 相似文献
16.
S. E. Palo Y. I. Portnyagin J. M. Forbes N. A. Makarov E. G. Merzlyakov 《Annales Geophysicae》1998,16(11):1486-1500
Observations of the horizontal wind field over the South Pole were made during 1995 using a meteor radar. These data have revealed the presence of a rich spectrum of waves over the South Pole with a distinct annual occurrence. Included in this spectrum are long-period waves, whose periods are greater than one solar day, which are propagating eastward. These waves exhibit a distinct seasonal occurrence where the envelope of wave periods decreases from a period of 10 days near the fall equinox to a minimum of 2 days near the winter solstice and then progresses towards a period near 10 days at the spring equinox. Computation of the meridional gradient of quasi-geostrophic potential vorticity has revealed a region in the high-latitude upper mesosphere which could support an instability and serve as a source for these waves. Estimation of the wave periods which would be generated from an instability in this region closely resembles the observed seasonal variation in wave periods over the South Pole. These results are consistent with the hypothesis that the observed eastward propagating long-period waves over the South Pole are generated by an instability in the polar upper mesosphere. However, given our limited data set we cannot rule out a stratospheric source. Embedded in this spectrum of eastward propagating waves during the austral winter are a number of distinct wave events. Eight such wave events have been identified and localized using a constant-Q filter bank. The periods of these wave events ranges from 1.7 to 9.8 days and all exist for at least 3 wave periods. Least squares analysis has revealed that a number of these events are inconsistent with a wave propagating zonally around the geographic pole and could be related to waves propagating around a dynamical pole which is offset from the geographic pole. Additionally, one event which was observed appears to be a standing oscillation. 相似文献
17.
Xinzhao Chu Chihoko Yamashita Patrick J. Espy Graeme J. Nott Eric J. Jensen Han-Li Liu Wentao Huang Jeffrey P. Thayer 《Journal of Atmospheric and Solar》2009,71(3-4):434-445
We present the first observational proof that polar mesospheric cloud (PMC) brightness responds to stratospheric gravity waves (GWs) differently at different latitudes by analyzing the Fe Boltzmann lidar data collected from the South Pole and Rothera (67.5°S, 68.0°W), Antarctica. Stratospheric GW strength is characterized by the root-mean-square (RMS) relative density perturbation in the 30–45 km region and PMC brightness is represented by the total backscatter coefficient (TBC) in austral summer from November to February. The linear correlation coefficient (LCC) between GW strength and PMC brightness is found to be +0.09 with a 42% confidence level at the South Pole and ?0.49 with a 98% confidence level at Rothera. If a PMC case potentially affected by a space shuttle exhaust plume is removed from the Rothera dataset, the negative correlation coefficient and confidence level increase to ?0.61 and 99%, respectively. The Rothera negative correlation increases when shorter-period waves are included while no change is observed in the South Pole correlation. Therefore, observations show statistically that Rothera PMC brightness is negatively correlated with the stratospheric GW strength but no significant correlation exists at the South Pole. A positive correlation of +0.74 with a confidence level of 99.98% is found within a distinct subset of the South Pole data but the rest of the dataset exhibits a random distribution, possibly indicating different populations of ice particles at the South Pole. Our data show that these two locations have similar GW strength and spectrum in the 30–45 km region during summer. The different responses of PMC brightness to GW perturbations are likely caused by the latitudinal differences in background temperatures in the ice crystal growth region between the PMC altitude and the mesopause. At Rothera, where temperatures in this region are relatively warm and supersaturations are not as large, GW-induced temperature perturbations can drive subsaturation in the warm phase. Thus, GWs can destroy growing ice crystals or limit their growth, leading to negative correlation at Rothera. Because the South Pole temperatures in the mesopause region are much colder, GW-perturbed temperature may never be above the frost point and have less of an impact on crystal growth and PMC brightness. The observed phenomena and proposed mechanisms above need to be understood and verified through future modeling of GW effects on PMC microphysics and ray modeling of GW propagation over the South Pole and Rothera. 相似文献
18.
南极地区重力波活动有大量报道，相对而言，北极地区重力波的研究还很少.本文利用极区Ny-Alesund站点（78.9°N，11.9°E）无线电探空仪从2012年4月1日到2017年3月31日共5年的观测数据，统计分析了北极地区低平流层惯性重力波的特征.观测显示，月平均纬向风在20 km以下盛行东向风，再随着高度增加，逐渐呈现出半年振荡现象.对流层顶高度在5~13 km范围内变化，其月平均高度显示出年循环，最高出现在夏季，约为10 km，最低出现在冬季，约为8.5 km.对流层和低平流层月平均温度都显示出明显的年周期变化，这与中低纬度观测结果有所不同.结合Lomb-Scargle谱分析和矢端曲线方法，估算了准单色惯性重力波参数.个例研究表明，低平流层惯性重力波呈现出远离源区的自由传播性质.统计结果显示，惯性重力波的水平和垂直波长分别集中在50~450 km和1~4 km范围内，本征频率集中在1~2.5倍惯性频率间，这些值都比中低纬度观测值稍小.垂直方向本征相速度主要集中在-0.3~0 m·s-1，而纬向和经向本征相速度集中在-40~40 m·s-1之间.在5年的观测中，大约91.5%的惯性重力波向上传播.在冬季和早春，由于极地平流层极涡活动，激发出向下传播的惯性重力波，因此，向下传播的比例上升到相应月份的20%左右.由于低层大气盛行的东向风的滤波效应，低平流层大部分惯性重力波向西传播.波能量呈现出明显的年周期变化，最大值在冬季、最小值在夏季，与北半球中低纬度观测结果一致，表明北半球重力波活动普遍冬季强、夏季弱. 相似文献
19.
Murry L. Salby 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1980,119(4):711-725
A technique is developed for optimally determining a base geopotential field, on which stratospheric heights may be constructed from remotely sensed temperatures. The scheme employs height information from within as well as below remote observational levels. In addition to producing best-estimate height fields within the observational volume, the procedure also yields the optimal level on which to base remotely derived thicknesses.The technique is demonstrated to yield an unbiased and optimal (in the sense of minimized rms error) estimate of the height at levels where conventional errors are typically large. A significant reduction in the rms error is achieved within the sample volume, most notably in cases where the conventional height error grows rapidly in the vertical. At levels where the conventional error has diverged, say due to sparsity in conventional observations, the error in the estimate remains at respectable values. The scheme is thus an effective means of securing a reasonable height field at levels where conventional errors may be unacceptable.The National Center for Atmospheric Research is sponsored by the National Science Foundation. 相似文献