共查询到18条相似文献，搜索用时 93 毫秒
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根据系统能量，由拉格朗日方程导出多层地基-非线性结构系统地震响应分析的动力方程，利用突变模型分析了系统地震响应的分叉和突变特性，讨论了振幅响应的跳跃现象和”路径”效应等非线性动力特性以及地基参数对分叉集和突变性质的影响，得出了对地基-结构动力系统设计有一定参考价值的结论。 相似文献
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通过研究唐山７．８级地震ρｓ震时突变现象。发现ρｓ震时突变具有变化幅度显著，空间分布普遍以及与震前ρｓ异常变化性质的相反的似弹性回跳现象等。研究了与ρｓ震时突变有关的震前ρｓ的前兆标志及其特征，用从复杂的ρｓ异常变化中识别和判定与地震有直接关系的地震前兆，对提高地电方法地震水平具有重要的实际意义和应用前景。 相似文献
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本文研究了我国大陆部分中、强地震前地电阻率变化,得到地电阻率临震突变是我国大陆中、强地震前能观测到的一种客观电现象;讨论了地电阻率临震突变的变化特点、变化形态和时、空间分布特征。 本文认为地电阻率临震突变主要是临震前震源区孕震造成地电台勘探体介质湿度发生变化而引起的。 相似文献
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潜在震源区内部空间非均匀分布地震区划方法在攀西地区和晋中南地区的应用 总被引：2，自引：1，他引：2
本文依据潜在震源区内部地震非均匀分布模型研究了攀西地区和晋中南地区地震区划问题。研究结果表明，一般使用的均匀分布模型会低估地震危险性结果，导致高烈度分区的面积缩小。本文讨论了不同的确定非均匀分布概率的方法对地震区划结果的影响。 相似文献
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叠层橡胶支座隔震结构地震响应的突变分析 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
为全面分析地震破坏过程中由非线性引起的,如突变和滞后效应等某些复杂特性,本文在现有的动力分析模型基础上引入了非线性恢复力,并用突变理论分析方法对改进后的模型进行分析,结果表明叠层橡胶支座参数的微小变化使响应振幅及其突变值、振幅响应的不稳定区域等特性产生明显变化,反映出隔震结构的地震响应特性对参数变化非常敏感。由于支座阻尼的耗能作用,当阻尼较大或激振力、非线性参数较小时,地震响应的突变现象消失,产生"伪线性"特性。 相似文献
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Earthquake disasters affect many structures and infrastructure simultaneously and collectively, and cause tremendous tangible
and intangible loss. In particular, catastrophic earthquakes impose tremendous financial stress on insurers who underwrite
earthquake insurance policies in a seismic region, resulting in possible insolvency. This study develops a stochastic net
worth model of an insurer undertaking both ordinary risk and catastrophic earthquake risk, and evaluates its solvency and
operability under catastrophic seismic risk. The ordinary risk is represented by a geometric Brownian motion process, whereas
the catastrophic earthquake risk is characterized by an earthquake-engineering-based seismic loss model. The developed model
is applied to hypothetical 4000 wood-frame houses in south-western British Columbia, Canada, to investigate the impact of
key insurance portfolio parameters to insurer’s ruin probability and business operability. The analysis results indicate:
(i) the physical effects of spatially correlated ground motions and local soil conditions at insured properties are significant;
(ii) the insurer’s earthquake risk exposure depends greatly on insurance arrangement (e.g. deductible and cap); and (iii)
the maintenance of sufficient initial surplus is critical in keeping insurer’s insolvency potential reasonably low, while
volatility of non-catastrophic risk is the key for insurer’s business stability. The results highlight the importance of adequate
balance between business stability under normal conditions and solvency under extreme conditions for efficient earthquake
risk management. Flexibility for determining an insurance arrangement would be beneficial for insurers to enhance their portfolio
performance and to offer more affordable coverage to their clients. 相似文献
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本文综合有关信息和资料,分析了美国巨灾发生、发展的趋势,介绍了美国建立巨灾风险识别与分析的步骤和程序。综述了美国自然灾害风险管理政策的框架设计和地震巨灾风险评估和地震保险研究的社会政策。 相似文献
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本文主要运用结构系统概念,建立地下水(水位、水化学)异常量、干扰量与地震之间的二维突变模型。并利用二维突变模型处理观测数据,用于多震区中强地震的预报。 相似文献
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A swallow-tail type catastrophic model of earthquake process 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
（殷有泉）（杜静）Ａｓｗａｌｌｏｗ－ｔａｉｌｔｙｐｅｃａｔａｓｔｒｏｐｈｉｃｍｏｄｅｌｏｆｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｐｒｏｃｅｓｓ￥Ｙｏｕ－ＱｕａｎＹＩＮａｎｄＪｉｎｇＤＵ（ＰｅｋｉｎｇＵｎｉｖｅｒｓｄｙ，Ｂｅｉｊｉｎｇ１００８７１，Ｃｈｉｎａ）（Ｎｏｒｔ... 相似文献
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The tsunami in the Indian Ocean caused by the earthquake of December 26, 2004, near Sumatra Island had catastrophic consequences in coastal areas of many countries in this region. Notwithstanding extensive investigations of this phenomenon at various laboratories of the world, the focal mechanism of the aftershock remains unclear. The paper analyzes possible seafloor movements in the source area of the earthquake on the basis of the keyboard model of tsunamigenic earthquakes and describes numerical simulation of the generation, propagation, and runup of water surface waves in terms of this model involving vertical displacements of seafloor “keyboard-blocks.” It is shown that generated tsunami waves are essentially dependent on the combination of keyboard-block movements, which results in an irregular distribution of maximum runups along the shoreline. If the oblique nature of the subduction zone associated with the Sumatra-Andaman earthquake of December 26, 2004, is taken into account, the model results fit well the runup values observed at the Thailand shoreline. It is noted that this model of the subduction zone accounts more adequately for the tsunami wave field pattern in both areas of the Indian Ocean and other water areas such as the region of the Kurile-Kamchatka Island Arc and the Sea of Okhotsk. 相似文献
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Numerical Simulations of Tsunami Waves and Currents for Southern Vancouver Island from a Cascadia Megathrust Earthquake 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Josef Y. Cherniawsky Vasily V. Titov Kelin Wang Jing-Yang Li 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2007,164(2-3):465-492
The 1700 great Cascadia earthquake (M = 9) generated widespread tsunami waves that affected the entire Pacific Ocean and caused
damage as distant as Japan. Similar catastrophic waves may be generated by a future Cascadia megathrust earthquake. We use
three rupture scenarios for this earthquake in numerical experiments to study propagation of tsunami waves off the west coast
of North America and to predict tsunami heights and currents in several bays and harbours on southern Vancouver Island, British
Columbia, including Ucluelet, located on the west coast of the island, and Victoria and Esquimalt harbours inside Juan de
Fuca Strait. The earthquake scenarios are: an 1100-km long rupture over the entire length of the subduction zone and separate
ruptures of its northern or southern segments. As expected, the southern earthquake scenario has a limited effect over most
of the Vancouver Island coast, with waves in the harbours not exceeding 1 m. The other two scenarios produce large tsunami
waves, higher than 16 m at one location near Ucluelet and over 4 m inside Esquimalt and Victoria harbours, and very strong
currents that reach 17 m/s in narrow channels and near headlands. Because the assumed rupture scenarios are based on a previous
earthquake, direct use of the model results to estimate the effect of a future earthquake requires appropriate qualification. 相似文献
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