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1.
全球二氧化碳循环的一维模式研究   总被引:3,自引:4,他引:3       下载免费PDF全文
石广玉  郭建东 《大气科学》1997,21(4):413-425
本文用一个全球碳循环的一维模式重建了1860年以来的大气二氧化碳浓度。结果表明:(1) 模拟结果与冒纳罗亚(Mauna Loa)的观测结果之间存在极好的一致性;(2) 海洋虽然是人类活动释放的CO2的最重要的汇,但其作为碳汇的能力受到海洋缓冲效应的限制。海洋吸收CO2的速率还与某些响应过程密切相关;(3) 在全球碳循环中,生态系统的作用是双重的:人类活动对它的破坏使它成为CO2的源,而其对过量CO2的响应又使其成为CO2的一个汇。工业革命以来,人类对生态系统的破坏与其自身的恢复大致是同量级的;(4) 陆地生物圈缩短了整个碳循环系统对人为扰动的响应时间。  相似文献   

2.
Organic carbon buried under the great ice sheets of the Northern Hemisphere is suggested to be the missing link in the atmospheric CO2 change over the glacial-interglacial cycles. At glaciation, the advancement of continental ice sheets buries vegetation and soil carbon accumulated during warmer pe-riods. At deglaciation, this burial carbon is released back into the atmosphere. In a simulation over two glacial-interglacial cycles using a synchronously coupled atmosphere-land-ocean carbon model forced by reconstructed climate change, it is found that there is a 547-Gt terrestrial carbon release from glacial maximum to interglacial, resulting in a 60-Gt (about 30-ppmv) increase in the atmospheric CO2, with the remainder absorbed by the ocean in a scenario in which ocean acts as a passive buffer. This is in contrast to previous estimates of a land uptake at deglaciation. This carbon source originates from glacial burial,continental shelf, and other land areas in response to changes in ice cover, sea level, and climate. The input of light isotope enriched terrestrial carbon causes atmospheric δ^13C to drop by about 0.3‰ at deglaciation,followed by a rapid rise towards a high interglacial value in response to oceanic warming and regrowth on land. Together with other ocean based mechanisms such as change in ocean temperature, the glacial burial hypothesis may offer a full explanation of the observed 80-100-ppmv atmospheric CO2 change.  相似文献   

3.
采用疏水性中空纤维膜组件和去离子水分离混合气中CO2,研究了气液流速、混合气CO2浓度和操作温度以及膜形态等因素对总传质系数的影响。通过传质阻力层方程和质量微分方程的关联,建立了新型数学模型,模拟了各种条件下的传质过程。结果表明,流体力学状态的改变能够加强传质,但加强程度有限;提高气相CO2浓度能够提高总传质系数;具有高孔隙率的膜组件拥有高传质系数;提高操作温度能够促进扩散,提高传质系数,在较高温度下,存在膜孔湿润的现象。模型能够较好地模拟膜接触器—物理吸收过程,模型值能够较准确地反映疏水性中空纤维模组件传质过程。  相似文献   

4.
A network of remote and in-situ sensors was deployed in a Paris suburb in order to evaluate the mesoscale evolution of the daily cycle of CO2 and related tracers in the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) and its relation to ABL dynamics and nearby natural and anthropogenic sources and sinks. A 2-μm heterodyne Doppler differential absorption lidar, which combines measurements of, (1) structure of the atmosphere, (2) radial velocity, and (3) CO2 differential absorption was a particularly unique element of the observational array. We analyse the differences in the diurnal cycle of CO, CO2, lidar reflectivity (a proxy for aerosol content) and H2O using the lidar, airborne measurements in the free troposphere and ground-based measurements made at two sites located few kilometres apart. We demonstrate that vertical mixing dominates the early morning drawdown of CO and aerosol content trapped in the former nocturnal layer but not the H2O and CO2 mixing ratio variations. Surface fluxes, vertical mixing and advection all contribute to the ABL CO2 mixing ratio decrease during the morning transition, with the relative importance depending on the rate and timing of ABL rise. We also show evidence that when the ABL is stable, small-scale (0.1-km vertical and 1-km horizontal) gradients of CO2 and CO are large. The results illustrate the complexity of inferring surface fluxes of CO2 from atmospheric budgets in the stable boundary layer.  相似文献   

5.
为快速掌握区域内全部水泥企业的碳排放情况,在部分企业实际生产数据未知时,也能建立其生产碳排放清单,文中基于熟料生产特征,构建了可根据设备设计产能和运行时长两种参数来核算企业CO2排放的数值模型。以京津冀地区59条典型水泥熟料生产线的生产数据作为统计样本,借助Eviews对生产线的实际产能、熟料烧成煤耗与设计产能间的关系进行回归分析,并引入了生产时间修正系数,完成了CO2核算模型的建立。将其应用到京津冀地区全部106条水泥熟料生产线中,得出 2018年度京津冀地区水泥熟料总产量,该核算值与数字水泥网发布的统计数据之间的相对误差均值为7.81%。通过核算,CO2直接排放系数为0.93 t CO2/t熟料,与国内均值相差7.27%。构建的核算模型与实际生产契合良好,更重要的是可以通过此数值模型自下而上建立区域内全部企业的CO2排放清单,实现较高时空精度的清单网格化,并可与现有卫星遥感探测、移动监测设备所得的数据形成比对,使水泥行业的碳监测和减排政策的制定更具针对性。  相似文献   

6.
A differential optical absorption spectroscopy (DOAS)-like algorithm is developed to retrieve the column-averaged dry-air mole fraction of carbon dioxide from ground-based hyper-spectral measurements of the direct solar beam. Different to the spectral fitting method, which minimizes the difference between the observed and simulated spectra, the ratios of multiple channel-pairs——one weak and one strong absorption channel——are used to retrieve X CO2 from measurements of the shortwave infrared (SWIR) band. Based on sensitivity tests, a super channel-pair is carefully selected to reduce the effects of solar lines, water vapor, air temperature, pressure, instrument noise, and frequency shift on retrieval errors. The new algorithm reduces computational cost and the retrievals are less sensitive to temperature and H2O uncertainty than the spectral fitting method. Multi-day Total Carbon Column Observing Network (TCCON) measurements under clear-sky conditions at two sites (Tsukuba and Bremen) are used to derive X CO2 for the algorithm evaluation and validation. The DOAS-like results agree very well with those of the TCCON algorithm after correction of an airmass-dependent bias.  相似文献   

7.
中国是煤转化的技术引领者,已建、拟建和审批了大量煤转化企业;随之带来了严峻的CO2排放和水资源缺乏的问题。CO2强化深部咸水开采(CO2-EWR)技术是大规模CO2减排和水资源开采的方法,特别适合缺水区域的煤化工行业。煤化工企业工艺排放的高浓度CO2结合CO2-EWR技术可以较低成本实现CO2减排,并部分解决工业缺水的问题。研究首先建立了行业尺度的包括源汇匹配、技术经济评价、CO2排放量评估和封存场地适宜性评价等方法的全流程碳捕集、利用和封存技术经济评估方法(ITEAM-CCUS),然后采用该方法对2018年的煤化工企业排放的高浓度CO2开展全流程CO2-EWR项目的源汇匹配、成本范围及减排潜力进行评价并得到:大部分的源汇组合分布在中国西北、华北及北部等干旱地区;基于煤化工厂2018年的实际产量和100%总产能计算,高浓度CO2年排放量分别是190 Mt和1726 Mt;当全流程CO2-EWR项目的平准化成本低于200元/t CO2时,累计CO2减排量分别为160 Mt/a与1569 Mt/a,地下水产量分别为241 Mt/a与2353 Mt/a。研究结果表明煤化工CO2-EWR技术是中国煤化工行业低碳可持续发展的关键技术,也为中国部署大规模CCUS提供了低成本机会。  相似文献   

8.
中国参与长期(2000-2050年)CO2减排的情景选择   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1       下载免费PDF全文
利用国外较为成熟的气候与经济综合评估模型(DICE/RICE),通过调整CO2排放控制率,对我国2000-2050年的若干CO2排放情景进行了设定,在保证大气CO2总量稳定的前提下开展了若干CO2减排方案下我国CO2排放量、经济发展水平和效用水平的影响评估。研究结果表明,若干CO2减排方案都可以使未来200年的全球平均地表温度增量控制在3.2℃的气候安全阈值范围内,都可以有效地保护全球气候安全。当我国到2050年的CO2排放量从2000年的253%控制为50%时,国内生产总值(GDP)的下降幅度从0.33%增加到12.22%,相对应的效用值的下降幅度从0.00422增加到0.09946,其下降幅度都随CO2减排额度的加大而增加。为此,我国将要追加621.96亿~13784.73亿美元的气候投资,占GDP的0.19%~10.5%。因此,从最大程度地减少实施减排所需要的气候投资和对我国经济影响的角度出发,我国应该优先选择到2050年CO2排放量控制为2000年的253%这个方案。  相似文献   

9.
在华北玉米生育期观测的16 m高度CO2浓度及通量特征   总被引:7,自引:1,他引:7  
利用中国气象局固城农业气象生态试验站2004年玉米生育期通量观测资料,分析了CO2浓度和通量随玉米生长的变化,并估算了玉米生育期陆地与大气CO2净交换量。结果表明:CO2浓度变化对农户活动和作物生长极其敏感;浓度在整个生育期始终有明显的日变化规律,峰值(谷值)出现在日出(日落)前后,通量仅在7月中旬至10月上旬之间出现明显的日变化特点,且位相超前于浓度,开花期通量最大;玉米播种期、苗期和成熟后地面向大气净排放碳, 拔节至成熟前地面从大气净吸收碳;开花期碳吸收最强,其后依次为吐丝-乳熟期和拔节期。比较分析了目前流行的通量计算方法对碳吸收估计的影响,结果显示不同计算方法能产生高达160%的碳吸收估计偏差,应当引起重视。生态系统碳平衡分析结果表明,玉米地在生长季表现为弱碳汇(大约660 kg/hm2),但这一结果可能低估了实际的碳汇强度,低估程度有待研究。  相似文献   

10.
The variation of the atmospheric Carbon Dioxide (CO2) concentration plays an important role in global climate and agriculture. We analyzed the spatial-temporal characteristics of CO2 in the China region and around the globe with the CO2 column mixing ratios observed by the Japanese GOSAT satellite (Greenhouse Gases Observing Satellite). In order to make sure that the accuracy of the CO2 data retrieved by the satellite meets the needs of the climate characteristics analyses, we ran a validation on the CO2 column mixing ratios retrieved by the satellite against the ground-based TCCON (Total Carbon Column Observing Network) observation data. The result shows that the two sets of data have a correlation coefficient of higher than 0.7, and a bias of within 2.2 ppmv. Therefore, the GOSAT CO2 data can be used for the climate characteristics analysis of global CO2. Our analysis on the spatial-temporal characteristics of the CO2 column mixing ratios observed during the period of June 2009 through January 2014 proved that, with the impact of the natural emission of near ground CO2 and human activities, the global CO2 concentration has a significant latitudinal characteristics with its highest level averaging 390 ppmv in the 0-40oN latitudinal zone in the Northern Hemisphere, and 387 ppmv in the Southern Hemisphere. China has a relatively higher CO2 concentration with the highest level exceeding 398 ppmv, and the eastern area higher than the western area. The variation of global CO2 concentration shows a seasonal pattern, i.e. the CO2 concentration reaches its highest in spring in the Northern Hemisphere averaging more than 392 ppmv, second highest in winter, and lowest in summer averaging less than 387 ppmv. It fluctuates the most in the Northern Hemisphere with an average concentration of 392.5 ppmv in April, and 385.5 ppmv in July. While in the Southern Hemisphere, the seasonal fluctuation is smaller with the highest concentration occurring in July. Over the recent years, the global CO2 concentration has shown an elevating trend with an average annual increase rate of 1.58 ppmv per year. It is a challenge that the human kind has to face to slow down the increase of the CO2 concentration.  相似文献   

11.
利用非色散红外气体分析方法,在不受人为污染直接影响的瓦里关山进行了大气CO2的连续测量,给出了我国内陆高原大气CO2本底浓度的变化特征,观测表明内陆大气CO2随陆地植被的生长而有明显的日变化及季节的周期变化,其季节变化规律与全球大气CO2本底值的地理分布相一致。瓦里关山大气CO2的年增长率在1993年明显偏低,1994年又有较快的“回升”。地表CO2排放的观测研究还给出了冬季高原草甸土壤的排放特征,测量表明在冬季陆地植被光合作用基本停滞的情况下,土壤CO2的排放率相对增强,其最大排放量可达170 mg/m2·h以上。  相似文献   

12.
中国二氧化碳排放源现状分析   总被引:23,自引:1,他引:22  
通过对20世纪90年代中国几个主要温室气体研究项目中关于二氧化碳(CO2)排放源研究结果的综合分析,结合最新资料,对1990年的中国CO2排放源进行了收集和完善,对1994年中国CO2排放源重新做了计算.其中,工业生产过程的CO2排放,在以前的研究中仅仅计算了水泥一项,本研究中我们增加了石灰、钢铁、电解铝三项,力求使结果更接近实际情况.结果表明,1990年和1994年中国CO2矿物燃料燃烧和工业过程总排放分别为2218.9×106t(合605.1×106t碳)和2787.8×106t(合760.3×106t碳),分别占当年全球CO2总排放的10.2%和12.7%.能源和工业生产活动的CO2排放均有不同程度的增长.矿物燃料燃烧是中国CO2的最大排放源,占总排放的90%以上.对CO2排放源的不确定性分析表明,中国CO2排放存在大于10%的减排潜力.  相似文献   

13.
海洋对人为CO2吸收的三维模式研究   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4  
文中用包含海洋化学过程和一个简单生物过程的三维碳循环模式模拟了海洋对大气CO2 的吸收 ,并分析了碳吸收的纬度分布。模拟工业革命以来海洋对大气 CO2 的吸收表明 :海洋碳吸收再加上大气 CO2 的增加只占由化石燃料燃烧、森林砍伐和土地利用的变化而释放到大气中的 CO2 的 2 /3。1 980~ 1 989年期间海洋年平均吸收 2 .0 5Gt C。海洋人为 CO2 的吸收有明显的纬度特征。模式计算的海洋 CO2 的吸收在总量与纬度分布上与观测结果比较相符。  相似文献   

14.
利用红外辐射光谱反演大气CO2浓度的理论研究   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
依据最新的大气分子光谱数据集(HITRAN 2004),利用逐线积分辐射传输模式,模拟计算了大气顶射出红外辐射光谱及其对大气CO2浓度变化的灵敏度,发现:大气CO24.3μm吸收带,特别是2241-2249cm^-1、2250-2258cm^-1、2259-2267cm^-1和2382—2390cm^-1波段射出的红外辐射,随CO2浓度的增加而显著降低,且很少受其他大气成分变化干扰,因此特别适于用来遥感探测大气CO2浓度的变化。根据最优非线性反演方法,反演获得了0-15km的大气CO2廓线,结果表明,利用上述4个通道的红外辐射值,可精确反演出自由对流层的CO2浓度变化。  相似文献   

15.
双偏振多普勒天气雷达差分反射率因子的测量误差   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0  
魏洪峰  薛震刚 《气象科技》2008,36(2):223-227
针对同时发射、同时接收体制双偏振多普勒天气雷达,论述了测量差分反射率因子时雷达应满足的基本要求,提出了测量差分反射率因子时能够引入误差的3类因素,即雷达测量基本要求不满足、接收机噪声和散射粒子相对运动引起的回波功率起伏、云雨目标对水平极化波和垂直极化波衰减的不同,并分别对影响差分反射率因子测量误差的各种因素及其影响程度,进行了深入研究和分析.  相似文献   

16.
A New Carrier Gas Type for Accurate Measurement of N$_{2}$O by GC-ECD   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
The accurate measurement of concentration is the basis for determining emission sources and sinks of nitrous oxide (N2O). The detection of N2O showed that the presence of carbon dioxide (CO2 biased the N2O response when pure nitrogen (N2) was used as a carrier gas for gas chromatography (GC) equipped with an electron capture detector (GC-ECD). In this study, laboratory experiments were carried out to explore how the presence of CO2 interferes with the accurate determination of N2O. The aims were to address the extent of the influence to try and explain the underlying mechanism, and to uncover technical options for solving the problem. Three GC carrier gases are discussed: pure nitrogen (DN); a mixture of argon and methane (AM); and a high concentration CO2, which was introduced into the ECD cell with a low flow rate based on DN (DN-CO2). The results show that when DN was used, the existence of CO2 in the ECD cell greatly enhanced the response of N2O, which increased with CO2 content and remained constant when the content reached a limit. Comparisons between the three methods show that the DN method is defective for the accurate determination of N2O. The bias is caused by ifferent electron capture mechanisms of CO2 and N2O and depends heavily on the detector temperature. New GC carrier gas types with make-up gases that can remove the CO2-induced influence, such as the DN-CO2 and DN-CH4 methods reported in this paper, are recommended for the accurate measurement of N2O.  相似文献   

17.
The influence of wave-associated parameters controlling turbulent \(\hbox {CO}_2\) fluxes through the air–sea interface is investigated in a coastal region. A full year of high-quality data of direct estimates of air–sea \(\hbox {CO}_2\) fluxes based on eddy-covariance measurements is presented. The study area located in Todos Santos Bay, Baja California, Mexico, is a net sink of \(\hbox {CO}_2\) with a mean flux of \(-1.3\, \upmu \hbox {mol m}^{-2}\hbox {s}^{-1}\) (\(-41.6\hbox { mol m}^{-2}\hbox {yr}^{-1}\)). The results of a quantile-regression analysis computed between the \(\hbox {CO}_2\) flux and, (1) wind speed, (2) significant wave height, (3) wave steepness, and (4) water temperature, suggest that the significant wave height is the most correlated parameter with the magnitude of the flux but the behaviour of the relation varies along the probability distribution function, with the slopes of the regression lines presenting both positive and negative values. These results imply that the presence of surface waves in coastal areas is the key factor that promotes the increase of the flux from and into the ocean. Further analysis suggests that the local characteristics of the aqueous and atmospheric layers might determine the direction of the flux.  相似文献   

18.
本文基于北京325米气象塔在47,140,和280米三层高度的5年涡动相关观测资料,研究了城市下垫面与大气间的CO2交换过程.由于北京市2011年开始实行工作日汽车尾号限行,140米高度CO2通量的年增长率由2008-2010年的7.8%降低到2010-2012年的2.3%.140米高度通量源区内植被比例最小且人口密度最大,因此140米高度的5年平均CO2通量年总量)6.41 kg C m-2 yr-1(大于47米)5.78 kg C m-2 yr-1(和280米)3.99 kg C m-2 yr-1(.在年尺度上,北京汽车总保有量和总人口是最重要的CO2通量控制因子.CO2通量随风向的变化主要与风向对应的通量源区内下垫面土地利用方式有关.三层高度的夏季CO2通量均与道路的比例呈正相关关系.47,140,和280米的决定系数分别为0.69,0.57,和0.54(P<0.05).植被比例的下降,会导致CO2年总量上升,两者存在近似于指数的关系.城市人口密度的上升会引起CO2年总量上升.  相似文献   

19.
The regional air quality modeling system RAMS-CMAQ(Regional Atmospheric Modeling System and Models-3 Community Multi-scale Air Quality) was developed by incorporating a vegetation photosynthesis and respiration module(VPRM) and used to simulate temporal-spatial variations in atmospheric CO2 concentrations in East Asia,with prescribed surface CO2 fluxes(i.e.,fossil fuel emission,biomass burning,sea-air CO2 exchange,and terrestrial biosphere CO2 flux).Comparison of modeled CO2 mixing ratios with eight ground-based in-situ measurements demonstrated that the model was able to capture most observed CO2 temporal-spatial features.Simulated CO2 concentrations were generally in good agreement with observed concentrations.Results indicated that the accumulated impacts of anthropogenic emissions contributed more to increased CO2 concentrations in urban regions relative to remote locations.Moreover,RAMS-CMAQ analysis demonstrates that surface CO2 concentrations in East Asia are strongly influenced by terrestrial ecosystems.  相似文献   

20.
采用静态暗箱采样—气相色谱/化学发光分析相结合的方法,对晋南地区盐碱地不同小麦秸秆还田量裸地土壤夏、秋季(2008年6~10月)的甲烷(CH4)、二氧化碳(CO2)、氧化亚氮(N2O)和一氧化氮(NO)交换通量进行了原位观测。结果表明:观测期内,秸秆全还田(FS)、秸秆一半还田(HS)和秸秆不还田(NS)处理土壤—大气间CH4、CO2、N2O和NO平均交换通量分别为-0.8±2.7、-1.4±2.3、-6.5±1.8μg(C).m-2.h-1(CH4),267.1±23.1、212.0±17.8、188.5±13.6mg(C).m-2.h-1(CO2),20.7±3.0、16.3±2.3、14.7±1.7μg(N).m-2.h-1(N2O),3.9±0.5、3.4±0.5、3.0±0.4μg(N).m-2.h-1(NO)。交换通量表现出明显的季节变化趋势,灌溉、降雨和温度变化是影响该趋势的主要因素。相对于NS处理,FS和HS处理降低了累积CH4吸收量(66%和59%),增加了累积CO2(42%和12%)、N2O(41%和9%)和NO(30%和13%)排放量,因此,秸秆还田促进了农田土壤总的温室气体排放。计算得到FS和HS处理小麦秸秆的CO2、N2O、NO排放系数分别为73.4%±1.6%和43.3%±1.0%(CO2)、0.37%±0.01%和0.17%±0.00%(N2O)、0.06%±0.00%和0.05%±0.00%(NO),FS处理的排放系数显著高于HS处理,且均低于同一实验地种植玉米、施肥农田的小麦秸秆排放系数(N2O和NO排放系数分别为2.32%和0.42%)。可见,在采用排放因子方法估算还田秸秆CO2、N2O和NO排放量时,应考虑秸秆还田量、农作物种植和施肥因素的影响。  相似文献   

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