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1.
利用耦合化学过程的区域气候模式RegCM3,模拟研究3种主要人为排放气溶胶(硫酸盐、黑碳、有机碳)对东亚区域气候的影响.计算分析近20 a来3种气溶胶的时空分布、综合辐射强迫作用及其对地面气温和降水的影响.模拟结果表明:3种气溶胶冬夏季分布有所不同,冬季气溶胶大值区主要分布在南方地区,而夏季大值区北移;气溶胶短波辐射强迫在大气层顶和地面均为负值;气溶胶的加入对东亚地区地表气温有明显影响,冬季降温中心位于四川盆地,夏季降温大值区位于华北地区.气溶胶直接气候效应使得冬季东亚大部分地区降水减少,夏季东亚地区降水与中国南方地区夏季气溶胶浓度有较好的相关关系,中国东部雨带有南移趋势.  相似文献   

2.
中国地区黑碳气溶胶直接辐射效应的数值模拟研究   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0  
李建云  张杰  田密 《气象与减灾研究》2009,32(1):17-24,I0003,I0004
利用意大利国际理论物理研究中心(ICTP)提供的2000年各月气溶胶资料(包括人类活动和生物质燃烧所产生的气溶胶),使用并行版本区域气候模式RegCM3,研究了黑碳气溶胶对中国区域气候的影响。结果表明,引入黑碳气溶胶后,冬、夏季中国大部分地区大气顶出现了正辐射强迫,其分布与垂直负荷分布基本相似。在仅考虑黑碳气溶胶的直接辐射效应时,中国大部分地区冬、夏季地面气温呈下降趋势,降温的高值区均位于中国东南部,冬季最大降温幅度约为0.9℃,夏季最大降幅约为2.4℃,夏季降温幅度明显大于冬季。相对于温度变化,黑碳气溶胶引起的降水变化较为复杂,无论是冬季还是夏季,降水量减小的区域均大于增加区。冬季降水量最大减幅约为20mm,夏季降水量最大减幅超过100mm,夏季降水量减幅明显大于冬季。冬、夏季仅西北和华南部分地区降水量有所增加。冬季中国大部分地区痕量降水和弱降水日数呈增加趋势;夏季黄河以北中国北方地区痕量降水和弱降水日数也是以增加为主。  相似文献   

3.
人为气溶胶的直接辐射效应及其对南亚冬季风的影响   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
运用区域气候模式RegCM4.0(Regional Climate Model Verson 4.0)耦合入一个化学过程,对硫酸盐、黑碳、有机碳这3种人为气溶胶的时空分布特征和直接辐射效应进行了数值模拟,进而研究了气溶胶对南亚冬季风的影响。结果表明:光学厚度和地表短波辐射强迫的时空变化可能主要受硫酸盐气溶胶的影响。在南亚夏季风向冬季风转换时期和南亚冬季风盛行时期,大气层顶和地表的负短波辐射强迫分布与气溶胶分布基本一致,地表辐射强迫强度绝对值比大气层顶辐射强迫强度绝对值大得多。相关分析和合成分析表明:在南亚夏季风向冬季风转换时期和南亚冬季风盛行时期,南亚人为气溶胶主要分布区中的气溶胶柱浓度含量与南亚冬季风的建立和强度有反相关关系。这与气溶胶吸收太阳辐射,从而引起气温和位势高度的变化有关。  相似文献   

4.
中国地区大气气溶胶辐射强迫及区域气候效应的数值模拟   总被引:47,自引:5,他引:42  
利用太阳直接辐射日总量和日照时数等多年观测资料,反演了中国地区大气气溶胶0.75 μm光学厚度的年、月平均值,分析了我国大气气溶胶状况的时空分布特征。据此,在中国区域气候模式中考虑气溶胶的辐射影响,模拟中国地区气溶胶直接辐射强迫的大小及气候响应的季节变化特征。计算结果表明: 我国大气气溶胶光学厚度多年平均分布状况是以四川盆地为大值中心向四周减少;长江中下游武汉附近和南疆盆地为另两个大值中心;青藏高原为气溶胶低值区;我国绝大部分地区春季气溶胶光学厚度值最大,各地气溶胶光学厚度最小值出现的季节则有所不同。气溶胶辐射强迫介于-5.3~-13 W/m2之间;辐射强迫具有春、夏季大,秋、冬季小,冬季南方偏大,夏季北方偏大的特征。气溶胶辐射强迫的分布与其光学厚度的分布基本一致。由于气溶胶的影响,中国大陆地区地面气温均有所下降,四川盆地到长江中下游地区以及青藏高原北侧到河套地区降温最为明显,分别可达-0.4℃和-0.5℃。气候响应具有明显的季节特征。地面气温的变化除与辐射强迫的大小有关外,还受大气环流的影响。  相似文献   

5.
利用NCAR的全球大气模式CAM3分析了黑碳气溶胶在大气顶和地表的直接辐射强迫分布及其季节变化,重点讨论了云对黑碳气溶胶直接辐射强迫的影响,以及黑碳气溶胶对中国夏季降水的影响。结果表明:黑碳气溶胶在大气顶和地表的直接辐射强迫分布范围和强度都具有明显的季节变化。有云条件下,黑碳气溶胶在大气顶产生正的直接辐射强迫,全球年平均强迫值为+0.33 W·m-2;在地表产生负的直接辐射强迫,全球年平均强迫值为-0.56 W·m-2。晴空条件下,黑碳气溶胶在大气顶和地表的全球年平均辐射强迫值分别为+0.21 和-0.71 W·m-2。云的存在对黑碳气溶胶的辐射强迫产生了很大的影响,使大气顶的正辐射强迫增加,地表的负辐射强迫减小。黑碳气溶胶导致夏季中国北方30°N~45°N之间区域降水明显增加;而中国长江以南地区除了海南和广西的部分城市外,降水明显减少。模拟结果表明,中国夏季近50年来经常发生的南涝北旱并非由黑碳气溶胶引起。  相似文献   

6.
通过比较EMAC模式模拟结果和卫星观测结果证实了模式的可信性,进而利用模拟结果分析研究了2010~2012年青藏高原上空气溶胶光学厚度及其直接辐射强迫的时空分布规律。结果表明:所有气溶胶组分中,沙尘、水溶性气溶胶和气溶胶中液态水是高原的主要消光物质,三者年平均消光占比分别为0.27、0.20和0.49。2011年夏季纳布罗火山爆发,高空气溶胶消光在海拔14 km以上显著增强。青藏高原气溶胶在大气顶和地表的直接辐射强迫分布总体上由北向南递减,沙尘气溶胶在高原北部边缘大气顶产生正辐射强迫,气溶胶大气层直接辐射强迫对大气有增温效应,主要出现在沙尘含量高的地区。此外,受纳布罗火山爆发的影响,平流层气溶胶在2011年秋、冬季产生了明显较强的负辐射强迫,相比于无火山爆发的2010年和 2012年,青藏高原上空平流层气溶胶负辐射强迫在2011年秋季和冬季分别增加了55.50%和52.38%。  相似文献   

7.
气溶胶的气候效应近年来备受关注。区域气候模式能够在有限的计算资源下取得更高的分辨率,成为一种研究区域气候的有力工具。本文使用意大利国际理论物理中心(ICTP)开发的区域气候模式(Reg CM3),对2008年12月~2009年11月我国硫酸盐气溶胶的时空分布及其直接气候效应进行了模拟。研究表明受大气环流影响,硫酸盐气溶胶空间分布在夏季分布最广,而其最大平均季度柱浓度出现在四川盆地,达到了27mg·m-2。受特殊地形的影响,四川盆地上空在全年一直维持着高浓度的硫酸盐。硫酸盐气溶胶对直接辐射强迫与其柱浓度的分布有很好的相关性。直接辐射强迫在夏季分布最广,其数值达到了-2.99W·m-2,全年平均为-2.4W·m-2。硫酸盐的直接气候效应造成了地面气温下降,在夏季达到了-0.26℃,全年平均为-0.09℃。直接气候效应对降水总体表现为微弱的抑制作用,但不同区域,不同季节差异较大。  相似文献   

8.
基于NCEP/FNL再分析资料,利用中尺度天气预报模式(WRF)对2006—2015年1月1日—8月31日的天气形势进行模拟,分析探讨了模式对江西省夏季(6—8月)气温和降水的模拟能力。结果表明:WRF模式能准确模拟出江西省气温和降水的空间分布气候特征,模拟结果与中国区域高时空分辨率地面气象要素驱动数据集(CMFD)接近。其中,降水的模拟精度低于气温模拟;模拟的气温在鄱阳湖地区出现低值,与CMFD的偏差最大。WRF模式模拟的地面反照率偏大导致气温模拟结果偏低。  相似文献   

9.
中国地区硫酸盐气溶胶的第一间接气候效应研究   总被引:14,自引:6,他引:8       下载免费PDF全文
将区域气候模式(RegCM3)与对流层大气化学模拟(TACM)耦合,建立区域气候化学模拟系统(RegCCMS),用以模拟中国地区硫酸盐气溶胶的空间分布、第一间接辐射强迫及其气候效应。研究结果表明,中国地区硫酸盐气溶胶主要集中在四川、河南、山东等地,秋冬季浓度较高而夏季浓度较低。1月份浓度最高值中心在四川,最高达到50μg/m3,而7月则出现在河南等地,浓度最高达10μg/m3。1、4、7、10月硫酸盐气溶胶的第一间接辐射强迫全国平均值分别为-1.80、-2.75、-3.43、-1.83 W/m2,局部地区可达-12 W/m2。敏感性试验结果表明,硫酸盐气溶胶的第一间接效应引起气温降低,降水减少,在不同季节和地区气温和降水的变化存在明显差异。  相似文献   

10.
13个IPCC AR4模式对中国区域近40a气候模拟能力的评估   总被引:15,自引:1,他引:14  
利用中国区域550个站点逐日地面气温及降水资料,评估了参与政府间气候变化专门委员会第四次报告(the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change,IPCCAR4)的13个新一代全球气候系统模式及多模式集合对中国近40 a(1961—2000年)地面气温和降水的模拟能力,结果表明:最新全球模式对中国地区地面气温年变化及空间分布的模拟结果均较好,但在整个模拟区域地面气温模拟值系统性偏低,东部地区模拟效果好于中西部;对于降水,大部分模式能模拟出中国降水的年变化及空间分布特征,但模拟的区域性差别较大,多数模式对中国东部季风区夏季雨带北抬的过程有一定的模拟能力,但模拟雨带位置偏北。新一代全球模式能模拟出温度的线性变化趋势,但对温度及降水的年际变率模拟能力较低。比较多种评估指标得出,模式集合对温度的模拟效果最好,模式UKMO-HadCM3对降水的模拟效果最好。  相似文献   

11.
The authors used a high-resolution regional climate model(RegCM3) coupled with a chemistry/aerosol module to simulate East Asian climate in 2006 and to test the climatic impacts of aerosols on regionalscale climate.The direct radiative forcing and climatic effects of aerosols(dust,sulfate,black carbon,and organic carbon) were discussed.The results indicated that aerosols generally produced negative radiative forcing at the top-of-the-atmosphere(TOA) over most areas of East Asia.The radiative forcing induced by aerosols exhibited significant seasonal and regional variations,with the strongest forcing occurring in summer.The aerosol feedbacks on surface air temperature and precipitation were clear.Surface cooling dominated features over the East Asian continental areas,which varied in the approximate range of-0.5 to-2°C with the maximum up to-3-C in summer over the deserts of West China.The aerosols induced complicated variations of precipitation.Except in summer,the rainfall generally varied in the range of-1 to 1 mm d-1 over most areas of China.  相似文献   

12.
A regional climate model is employed to simulate the aerosols(dust,sulfate,black carbon,and organic carbon) and their direct effect on the climate over China.The emphasis is on the direct radiative forcing due to the change in mixing state of aerosols.The results show that direct radiative forcing is significantly different between externally and internally mixed aerosols.At the top of the atmosphere(TOA),the radiative forcing of externally mixed aerosols is larger than that of internally mixed ones,especially in the Tarim desert region where the difference is about 0.7 W m 2.At the surface,however,the situation becomes opposite,especially in the Sichuan basin where the difference is about-1.4 W m 2.Nonetheless,either externally or internally mixed aerosols in China can result in a significant cooling effect,except for the warming in South China in winter and the slight warming in North China in February.The cooling effect induced by externally mixed aerosols is weaker than that induced by internally mixed aerosols,and this is more obvious in spring and winter than in summer and autumn.In spring and summer,the inhibiting effect of externally mixed aerosols on precipitation is less than that of internally mixed aerosols,whereas in autumn and winter the difference is not obvious.  相似文献   

13.
气溶胶气候效应的一维模式分析   总被引:4,自引:1,他引:4  
赵凤生  石广玉 《大气科学》1994,18(Z1):902-909
本文首先采用一线辐射对流模式,分析了乡村型、城市型气溶胶和平流层气溶胶含量增加对全球地表气温的直接影响以及硫酸盐粒子含量增加对全球地表气温的间接影响。然后利用考虑了海洋热惯性作用的EBM/BD模式,模拟了近百年来由于大气中硫酸盐粒子含量变化、火山爆发和大气温室气体浓度增加共同引起的全球地表平均气温变化。结果表明:气溶胶的气候效应在地气系统辐射收支和全球气温变化研究中起着非常重要的作用。  相似文献   

14.
The climatic effects of the atmospheric boundary aerosols are studied by the use of a three-dimensional climatemodel.Simulated results show that the climate states both at the surface and in the atmosphere change remarkably whenthe aerosols with different optical thicknesses and properties are introduced into the atmospheric boundary layer of themodel.The aerosols absorb and scatter the solar shortwave radiation,therefore,they reduce the solar energy reachingthe ground surface and decrease the surface and the soil temperatures.The temperature in the boundary layer increasesbecause of the supplementary absorption of radiation by the boundary aerosols.In the atmosphere,the temperatures atall isobaric surfaces rise up except for the 100 hPa level.The atmospheric temperatures below the 500 hPa level aredirectly influenced by the boundary aerosols,while the atmospheric temperatures above the 500 hPa level are influencedby the heating due to convective condensation and the changes in the vertical motion field.Cyclonic differential circula-tions appear over the desert areas at the low levels,and anticyclonic differential circulations exist at the upper levels inthe horizontal flow fields.The vertical motions change in correspondence with the differential circulations.The changesin precipitation are directly related to that of vertical motions.The mechanisms of climate effects of the boundaryaerosols are also discussed in this paper.  相似文献   

15.
The climatic effects of the atmospheric boundary aerosols are studied by the use of a three-dimensional climate model.Simulated results show that the climate states both at the surface and in the atmosphere change remarkably when the aerosols with different optical thicknesses and properties are introduced into the atmospheric boundary layer of the model.The aerosols absorb and scatter the solar shortwave radiation,therefore,they reduce the solar energy reaching the ground surface and decrease the surface and the soil temperatures.The temperature in the boundary layer increase because of the supplementary absorption of radiation by the boundary aerosols.In the atmosphere,the temperatures at all isobaric surfaces rise up except for the 100 hPa level.The atmospheric temperatures below the 500 hPa level are directly influenced by the boundary aerosols,while the atmospheric temperatures above the 500 hPa level are influenced by the heating due to convective condensation and the changes in the vertical motion field.Cyclonic differential circulations appear over the desert areas at the low levels,and anticyclonic differential circulations exist at the upper levels in the horizontal flow fields.The vertical motions change in correspondence with the differential circulations.The changes in precipitation are directly related to that of vertical motions.The mechanisms of climate effects of the boundary aerosols are also discussed in this paper.  相似文献   

16.
RegCM4.3, a high-resolution regional climate model, which includes five kinds of aerosols(dust, sea salt,sulfate, black carbon and organic carbon), is employed to simulate the East Asian summer monsoon(EASM) from 1995 to 2010 and the simulation data are used to study the possible impact of natural and anthropogenic aerosols on EASM.The results show that the regional climate model can well simulate the EASM and the spatial and temporal distribution of aerosols. The EASM index is reduced by about 5% by the natural and anthropogenic aerosols and the monsoon onset time is also delayed by about a pentad except for Southeast China. The aerosols heat the middle atmosphere through absorbing solar radiation and the air column expands in Southeast China and its offshore areas. As a result, the geopotential height decreases and a cyclonic circulation anomaly is generated in the lower atmosphere. Northerly wind located in the west of cyclonic circulation weakens the low-level southerly wind in the EASM region. Negative surface radiative forcing due to aerosols causes downward motion and an indirect meridional circulation is formed with the low-level northerly wind and high-level southerly wind anomaly in the north of 25° N in the monsoon area, which weakens the vertical circulation of EASM. The summer precipitation of the monsoon region is significantly reduced,especially in North and Southwest China where the value of moisture flux divergence increases.  相似文献   

17.
The regional climate model (RegCM3) and a tropospheric atmosphere chemistry model (TACM) were coupled, thus a regional climate chemistry modeling system (RegCCMS) was constructed, which was applied to investigate the spatial distribution of anthropogenic nitrate aerosols, indirect radiative forcing, as well as its climatic effect over China. TACM includes the thermodynamic equilibrium model ISORROPIA and a condensed gas-phase chemistry model. Investigations show that the concentration of nitrate aerosols is relatively high over North and East China with a maximum of 29 μg m-3 in January and 8 μg m-3 in July. Due to the influence of air temperature on thermodynamic equilibrium, wet scavenging of precipitation and the monsoon climate, there are obvious seasonal differences in nitrate concentrations. The average indirect radiative forcing at the tropopause due to nitrate aerosols is -1.63 W m-2 in January and -2.65 W m-2 in July, respectively. In some areas, indirect radiative forcing reaches $-$10 W m-2. Sensitivity tests show that nitrate aerosols make the surface air temperature drop and the precipitation reduce on the national level. The mean changes in surface air temperature and precipitation are -0.13 K and -0.01 mm d-1 in January and -0.09 K and -0.11 mm d-1 in July, respectively, showing significant differences in different regions.  相似文献   

18.
Climatic effects of air pollutants over china: A review   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
Tropospheric ozone(O3) and aerosols are major air pollutants in the atmosphere. They have also made significant contributions to radiative forcing of climate since preindustrial times. With its rapid economic development, concentrations of air pollutants are relatively high in China; hence, quantifying the role of air pollutants in China in regional climate change is especially important. This review summarizes existing knowledge with regard to impacts of air pollutants on climate change in China and defines critical gaps needed to reduce the associated uncertainties. Measured monthly, seasonal, and annual mean surface-layer concentrations of O3 and aerosols over China are compiled in this work, with the aim to show the magnitude of concentrations of O3 and aerosols over China and to provide datasets for evaluation of model results in future studies. Ground-based and satellite measurements of O3 column burden and aerosol optical properties, as well as model estimates of radiative forcing by tropospheric O3 and aerosols are summarized. We also review regional and global modeling studies that have investigated climate change driven by tropospheric O3and/or aerosols in China; the predicted sign and magnitude of the responses in temperature and precipitation to O3/aerosol forcings are presented. Based on this review, key priorities for future research on the climatic effects of air pollutants in China are highlighted.  相似文献   

19.
In this paper, the RIEMS 2.0 model is used to simulate the distribution of sulfate, black carbon, and organic carbon aerosols over China (16.2°-44.1°N, 93.4°-132.4°E) in 1998. The climate effects of these three anthropogenic aerosols are also simulated. The results are summarized as follows: (1) The regional average column burdens of sulfate, BC, OC, and SOC were 5.9, 0.24, 2.4, and 0.49 mg m-2, with maxima of 33.9, 1.48, 7.3, and 1.1 mg m-2, respectively. The column burden and surface concentration of seco...  相似文献   

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