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1.
谢娜  李国平  李昕翼  安峡 《气象科技》2012,40(4):666-670
利用成都市地基GPS综合应用网的观测数据,反演出大气水汽总量,并结合多普勒天气雷达探测的垂直积分液态水含量(VIL),分析了这两种新型大气水汽探测资料在人工影响天气作业中的变化特征,初步得出了GPS大气水汽总量(GPS PWV)与人影作业前后降雨量的关系。研究表明:GPS PWV与人工增雨过程有较好的对应关系,人影作业后1~3h伴随小时雨量的增大GPS PWV有下降,体现了催化剂将空中部分冰面过饱和水汽凝华核化转化为降水过程。GPS反演的水汽资料结合新一代多普勒天气雷达探测的液态水资料在指导人工影响天气作业和短临天气预报方面具有良好的应用前景。  相似文献   

2.
胡帆  王凌震  周文嫣  喜度  徐芬 《气象科学》2011,31(2):217-222
通过测量近地面层的水汽变化,可以研究中小尺度雷暴系统的初生和发展,进而可以根据水汽数据帮助作出未来中小尺度天气过程的临近预报.因此,水汽探测具有重要的研究和应用价值.研究和实验证明,目前我国大量布网的SA多谱勒天气雷达,能够开展大气折射率场的探测,并用探测到的折射率场反演水汽的变化.本文对用SA雷达实现这种探测的一些关...  相似文献   

3.
赵瑞金  李江波 《气象》2010,36(2):62-69
为准确分析和识别超折射雷达回波,发挥多普勒天气雷达效益,利用石家庄CINRAD/SA型多普勒天气雷达资料,结合探空实况对2005年11月19—21日华北平原大雾天气过程的超折射回波进行了射线追踪分析。结果表明:华北平原大雾天气有利于大气波导的形成,产生3层模式超折射回波。超折射回波使得雷达的目标视位置与实际位置产生偏差,特别是对雷达测高影响较大。超折射回波一般出现在大雾天气的发展和维持过程中,为进行雷达空间定位和华北平原大雾天气的监测、预报提供新的技术手段和科学依据。  相似文献   

4.
利用微波辐射计、探空气球、天气雷达和地面雨量等资料,对2020年1-3月长沙国家站5次降水过程的微波辐射计和探空温度廓线、水汽密度进行检验的基础上,分析了 5次降水过程中微波辐射计反演的水汽含量、液态水含量与雷达资料、降水量的变化特征.结果表明,微波辐射计反演的大气温度、水汽密度廓线精度较高,其反演的大气水汽资料可以作...  相似文献   

5.
王金辉  支俊  方冰  刘涛  唐秀 《干旱气象》2010,28(2):206-211
利用常规气象资料和喀什多普勒雷达资料,从天气形势、T213数值预报物理量场和雷达回波演变特征分析2008年5月26日克州境内出现的一次大范围强对流天气过程的成因。结果表明:此次天气过程发生在中亚低值系统,高空冷空气的侵入对不稳定能量释放起触发作用,高低空急流的相互配置为此次天气过程的发生提供了有利的动力抬升条件,大气不稳定层结和良好的水汽输送条件有利于对流天气的形成和发展;表现在雷达回波强度的不断发展加强和径向速度的风场辐合。  相似文献   

6.
一次强对流天气过程的成因分析   总被引:17,自引:2,他引:17  
夏丽花  冯晋勤  黄美金  陈德花 《气象》2006,32(7):110-114
利用常规气象资料和多普勒雷达资料,从天气形势、物理量场和雷达回波演变特征分析2005年5月5日福建省强对流天气过程的成因。结果表明:这次强对流天气过程发生在锋前暖区内,高空弱冷空气的侵入对不稳定能量释放起触发作用,高低空急流的相互配置为强对流的发生提供了有利的动力抬升条件,大气的不稳定和良好的水汽输送条件有利于飑线的形成和发展,移入型的回波在福建境内发展加强形成飑线,飑线是此次强对流天气过程的直接影响系统。  相似文献   

7.
利用常规气象资料和多普勒雷达资料,从天气形势、物理量场和雷达回波演变特征等方面对2010年9月4日豫西的一次强对流天气过程成因进行诊断.结果表明:这次强对流天气发生在低压环流前部,弱冷空气的侵入对不稳定能量释放起触发作用,速度场的辐合为中气旋的产生提供了有力的动力支持,大气的不稳定和低层充沛的水汽条件有利于超级单体风暴的形成和发展,中气旋是此次强对流天气过程的直接影响系统.  相似文献   

8.
“7.17”庐山雷击事件分析   总被引:3,自引:1,他引:3  
许爱华  马中元  郭艳 《气象》2004,30(6):35-39
通过对 2 0 0 2年 7月 1 7日雷电过程的天气形势、卫星云图、多普勒雷达资料 ,以及雷电探测定位系统资料的分析 ,指出水汽云图上的强水汽累积区、雷达回波上的回波合并与高层强回波区以及雷达回波速度场上的“零值线”等特征 ,是判断雷电发生和强对流天气的重要依据  相似文献   

9.
南京一次雷雨的闪电特征与多尺度资料分析   总被引:2,自引:2,他引:2       下载免费PDF全文
顾媛  魏鸣 《气象科学》2013,33(2):146-152
为探究闪电与其他气象要素之间的关系及可预报性,本文利用探空资料、多普勒天气雷达资料、闪电定位仪资料、卫星云图资料和地面自动气象站资料,对2009年7月7日南京雷雨天气进行多尺度分析.结果表明:暴雨过程中负地闪始终占较大比例,正地闪的数目在雷暴消散阶段稍有增长;地闪频数与地面风速时序变化呈现很好的一致性;雷暴来临前风矢位温特征表明对流云发展高度较高,对流层顶的薄层超低温为强对流发生提供了热力不稳定的先兆信息,整层大气深厚的顺时针垂直切变及中低层偏南风为强对流天气提供了有利的动力和水汽条件,为雷暴潜势预报提供了依据;地闪分布与雷达回波顶高、强的风切变区域以及暴雨落区有明显对应关系;负地闪密集区位于雷达强回波核前方强度为40 ~45dBz区域处,对于回波的未来移向有指示作用.  相似文献   

10.
利用南阳站微波辐射计反演产品数据,结合L波段探空、多普勒天气雷达和地面雨量等资料,分析了2017年6月4—5日南阳地区一次降水过程中水汽与液态水变化特征,并对2017年6—8月不同降水条件下该地区的水汽与液态水总含量进行了统计。结果表明:微波辐射计反演的产品数据较准确,可靠性较强,可应用于日常业务工作和科研中。降水开始前,水汽总含量与液态水总含量明显增加,随着降水减弱结束,水汽总含量与液态水总含量减少。利用这一现象,可以将水汽和液态水的变化作为选择人工影响天气作业最佳时机的辅助判别条件。对比同时刻、同位置的雷达和微波辐射计资料发现,水汽总含量和液态水总含量跃增时对应较强雷达回波。水汽总含量达到5 cm、液态水总含量达到1 mm,可以作为判断南阳地区夏季降水开始的参考值。  相似文献   

11.
Weather radar refractivity depends on low-level moisture, temperature, and pressure and is available at high space–time resolutions over large areas. It is of definite meteorological interest for assimilation, verification, and process-study purposes. In this study, the path-averaged refractivity change is simulated from the Arome cloud-resolving atmospheric system analyses and compared with corresponding radar observations over a 35-day period with various meteorological conditions. For that, a novel post-processing procedure is applied to radar data to improve its quality. Also, an observation operator is developed that ingests Arome analyses and simulates a 3-h path-averaged refractivity change. A sensitivity study shows that simulated path-averaged refractivity change is immune to the modelling of the beam height as long as it remains below approximately 60 m above the ground. Comparisons show overall consistency between observed and simulated path-averaged refractivity change, with discrepancies at times that suggest an improvement in analyses once radar refractivity change observations are assimilated. Finally, errors introduced when retrieving local refractivity from path-averaged refractivity are estimated and it is found for our dataset that such retrievals halve the range of usable observations.  相似文献   

12.
In the present reported study, the vertical distributions of local atmospheric refractivity were retrieved from ground- based GPS observations at low elevation angles. An improved optimization method was implemented at altitudes of 0-10 km to search for a best-fit refractivity profile that resulted in atmospheric delays most similar to the delays calculated from the observations. A ray-tracing model was used to simulate neutral atmospheric delays corresponding to a given refractivity profile. We initially performed a "theoretical retrieval", in which no observation data were involved, to verify the optimization method. A statistical relative error of this "theoretical retrieval" (-2% to 2%) indicated that such a retrieval is effective. In a practical retrieval, observations were obtained using a dual-frequency GPS receiver, and its initial value was provided by CIRA86aQ_UoG data. The statistical relative errors of the practical retrieval range from -3% to 5% were compared with co-located radiosonde measurements, Results clearly revealed diurnal variations in local refractivity prc,files, The results also suggest that the general vertical distribution of refractivity can be derived with a high temporal resolution. However, further study is needed to describe the vertical refractivity gradient clearly.  相似文献   

13.
李其琛  吕达仁 《气象学报》1963,33(1):115-125
研究大气折射率起伏对雷达波的散射时,得到的主要結果有以下两点: 1.在适当的大气条件下,折射率起伏构成的后向散射波能够超出一般雷达的灵敏度之上,它的量級正好和雷达观測到的气象“仙波”相同.根据这一結果和其他事实,作者认为起伏的后向散射可能是形成气象“仙波”的重要机制。 2.推导了表示雷达波在折射率有起伏的介貭中传播时,强度随距离变化的方程式,結果发現:一般情况下,散射效应不致引起波的强度的显著变化.但是,当大气折射率起伏的尺度长較小、輻度較大、并且雷达波瓣較窄时,散射效应会引起波瓣的加寬。  相似文献   

14.
Refractivity depends on meteorological parameters such as temperature and water vapour pressure and can be measured using a weather radar. A realistic atmospheric simulation from the Meso-NH numerical model is used in order to describe and establish the relation between refractivity and the dynamic and thermodynamic phenomena responsible for the development and propagation of convection. These investigations lead to discussion of the complementarity between the refractivity and the convective available potential energy. The relation observed between the refractivity signal and the meteorological parameters calls the refractivity measurement into question, since it is based on phase differentiation with time and space and can be degraded by phase aliasing problems. These aliasing problems increase with the radar frequency (perceptible in the S-band, serious in the C-band, and more serious in the X-band) and also with the integration range and sampling time. Thus, a statistical approach permits us to simulate the possibility of measuring the refractivity with operational radar during convective events. A typical case in the south-east region of France is selected to simulate measurements by radar (S-band, C-band, X-band) in convective systems, in order to evaluate the measurement feasibility, particularly in terms of phase ambiguity, related to temporal and spatial sampling, of a future implementation of the refractivity measurement over the French operational radar network. This numerical statistical approach is completed with a similar study using in-situ measurements performed at the Trappes station. The seasonal and diurnal dependencies of aliasing are investigated, leading to clarification of the impact of the turbulent fluxes on the refractivity measurement.  相似文献   

15.
In this paper, a simple relationship is employed to investigate the relative impacts on the movement and landfall of tropical cyclone in the Bay of Bengal region when wet component of atmospheric refractivity of different tropospheric levels is used as an input. Four tropical cyclones during pre-monsoon and post-monsoon season over the Bay of Bengal region were selected for the study. The radiosonde/radiowind data of coastal stations, namely Kolkata (Dumdum), Agartala, Bhubaneswar, Visakhapatnam, Machlipatnam, Chennai and Karaikal, were collected for the period of the cyclones under study. The wet component of atmospheric refractivity of different standard levels was plotted against time for the stations for every cyclone. The study suggests that the cyclone moves towards and crosses near the station having a relatively steeper increase in the wet component of atmospheric refractivity up to mid-tropical level. A possible explanation is also presented.  相似文献   

16.
为评价COSMIC-2掩星反演数据精度,利用探空站点资料,对比验证了基于COSMIC-2附加相位数据由无线电掩星数据处理软件ROPP计算得到的大气折射率及温湿廓线。实验结果表明:COSMIC-2数据经反演后的大气廓线质量较高,大气折射率相对偏差标准差为1.5%~4.3%,大气温度和相对湿度均方根误差分别为1.3~2.2 K、10%~15%;低纬地区样本精度总体优于中纬地区; 季节性差异不明显,但冬春季样本精度总体略优于夏秋季。反演数据与COSMIC-2二级产品相比,折射率与温度在部分高度层精度更优,相对湿度在总体上精度更优。   相似文献   

17.
徐晓华  罗佳  施闯 《大气科学进展》2009,26(6):1137-1145
In recent years, radio occultation (RO) technology making use of global positioning system (GPS) signals has been exploited to obtain profiles of atmospheric parameters in the neutral atmosphere. In this paper, the RO refractivity profiles obtained from the Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere and Climate (COSMIC) mission are statistically compared with the observations of 38 radiosonde stations provided by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology during the period from 15 July 2006 through 15 July 2007. Different collocation criteria are compared at first, and COSMIC RO soundings that occur within 3 hours and 300 km of radiosonde measurements are used for the final statistical comparison. The overall results show that the agreements between the COSMIC refractivity profiles and the radiosonde soundings from the 38 stations are very good at 0--30 km altitude, with mean absolute relative refractivity deviations of less than 0.5%. Latitudinal comparisons indicate that there are negative refractivity deviations in the lower troposphere over the low latitude and middle latitude regions and large standard deviations exist in the lower troposphere of low latitude regions, which can reach up to ~6%. The comparisons of COSMIC RO refractivity profiles and radiosonde observations for 3 polar stations in four different seasons indicate that the accuracy of GPS RO profiles is better in the Austral summer and autumn than in the Austral spring and winter during the year from September 2006 to August 2007.  相似文献   

18.
In this paper, we report a series of observing system simulation experiments that we conducted to assess the potential impact of Global Positioning System/meteorology (GPS/MET) refractivity data on short-range numerical weather prediction. We first conducted a control experiment using the Penn State/NCAR mesoscale model MM5 at 90-km resolution on an extratropical cyclone known as the ERICA (Experiment on Rapidly Intensifying Cyclones over the Atlantic) IOP 4 storm. The results from the control experiment were then used to simulate GPS/MET refractivity observations with different spatial resolution and measurement characteristics. The simulated refractivity observations were assimilated into an 180-km model during a 6-h period, which was followed by a 48-h forecast integration. Key findings can be summarized as follows:
• The assimilation of refractivity data at the 180-km resolution can recover important atmospheric structures in temperature and moisture fields both in the upper and lower troposphere, and, through the internal model dynamical processes, also the wind fields. The assimilation of refractivity data led to a considerably more accurate prediction of the cyclone.
• Distributing the refractivity randomly in space and applying a line averaging did not alter the results significantly, while reducing the spatial resolution from 180 km to 360 km produced a moderately degraded result. Even at the 360-km resolution, the GPS-type refractivity data still have a notable positive impact on cyclone prediction.
• Restricting the refractivity data to altitude 3 km and above considerably degraded its impact on cyclone prediction. This degradation was greater than the combined effects of distributing the refractivity data randomly, performing line averaging, and reducing the resolution to 360 km.
These results showed that the GPS/MET refractivity data is likely to have a significant impact on short-range operational numerical weather prediction. The random distribution and line averaging associated with the inherent GPS occultation do not pose a problem for effective assimilation. On the other hand, these results also argue that we need to improve the GPS/MET retrieval algorithm in order to recover useful data in the lower troposphere, and to increase the number of low-earth-orbiting satellites carrying GPS receivers in order to increase the density of GPS soundings, so that the potential impact of GPS/MET refractivity data on numerical weather prediction can be fully realized.  相似文献   

19.
COSMIC反演精度和有关特性的检验   总被引:3,自引:1,他引:2       下载免费PDF全文
COSMIC是一个由6颗低轨卫星组成的用于天气、气候和电离层观测的空基GPS星座观测系统, 从2006年9月开始每天可提供覆盖全球的约2000~3000个掩星点, 掩星过程可提供从40 km高空到近地面的大气温、压、湿的廓线资料。为了有效利用这些资料, 以探空资料为基准, 对2007年1-10月我国及邻近区域的COSMIC掩星资料进行精度、可用性和全天候性的检验。结果表明: COSMIC反演的温度和折射率的精度很高, 水汽压的精度相对较差。与NCEP/NCAR再分析资料相比, 折射率和湿度廓线有更高精度。  相似文献   

20.
稳定层结条件下非线性相似函数对蒸发波导模型的改进   总被引:3,自引:1,他引:3  
大气修正折射指数(M)廓线是描述大气折射环境的重要参数,也是评估电波传播的关键因子。为了提高稳定特别是强稳定层结条件下模型预测M廓线的效果,引入三种非线性无量纲相似函数BH91、CB05、SHEBA07对原始的Babin_V25模型进行了改进,并利用铁塔平台实测气象水文数据对改进后的模型预测效果进行了评估,同时将其与改进前的Babin_V25模型以及Local_HYQ92模型的效果进行比较。结果表明:引入非线性相似函数能明显改进模型预测M廓线的效果,尤其是最新发展的SHEBA07,改进后的Babin_SHEBA07模型能在稳定层结条件下预测M值、0~5 m及5~40 m内的M梯度均方根误差分别减少64.5%、16.6%和60.4%,但这种方法对蒸发波导高度的预测效果改进不明显;而基于局地相似理论的Local_HYQ92模型则能使稳定层结条件下M值、0~5 m内、5~40 m内的M梯度以及蒸发波导高度d的预测均方根误差分别减少76.7%、40.2%、83.7%和58.0%。考虑到在电磁波传播特性的评估中,M梯度比蒸发波导高度和M值本身更为重要,最终推荐在强稳定层结条件下选用Local_HYQ92模型和Babin...  相似文献   

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