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1.
评估了海平面上升情景和共享社会经济发展路径下辽东湾砂质海岸潜在侵蚀状况及其社会经济影响。结果显示,2100年辽东湾海平面将上升20~43厘米。在所有海平面上升情景下土地损失均增加,2100年RCP8.5情景下土地损失最大达到32.1平方千米。受海岸侵蚀影响,沿海人口将被迫迁移,SSP3情景下人口增长较快且迁移人数最多,2100年SSP3/RCP8.5情景下将达到3.1万人。2050年后,不同情景下的迁移人口差别将增大,在RCP2.6和RCP4.5情景下人口迁移速率将逐渐减小。2100年,SSP5/RCP8.5情景下海岸侵蚀经济损失最大将达到80.5亿元,而在海岸侵蚀造成的经济损失中,土地损失比人口迁移损失小两个数量级。在所有情景下,海岸侵蚀经济损失占当地GDP的份额约为1.12‰~4.76‰,这值得当地管理部门关注,并采取减缓海岸侵蚀的措施,尤其是加强对旅游沙滩的保护。建议采取最优的海岸防护方案,重点对价值较高的沙滩进行养护,在海岸侵蚀影响较小的区域可不采取养护措施。  相似文献   

2.
为保护亚龙湾砂质海岸及其生态系统,文章采用2016年和2019年的监测数据以及2008年的历史数据,依据相关技术标准和方法,从岸线后退速率和岸滩下蚀速率2个方面综合评价亚龙湾砂质海岸的侵蚀状况和侵蚀强度,并分析其原因。研究结果表明:亚龙湾砂质海岸存在持续性较强且较严重的海岸侵蚀;2008-2016年岸线后退速率和年均土地损失面积分别约为-1.00 m/a和2 080 m2,2016-2019年岸线后退速率和年均土地损失面积分别约为-1.80 m/a和9 836 m2,亚龙湾海岸侵蚀有明显加剧的趋势;2016-2019年亚龙湾东部和西部海岸的岸滩下蚀速率分别约为-13.3 cm/a和-36.2 cm/a,西部岸滩下蚀速率远高于东部岸滩;亚龙湾全段为强侵蚀等级,其中东部岸段为强侵蚀等级,西部岸段为严重侵蚀等级;造成亚龙湾海岸侵蚀的原因主要包括海岸工程建设、植被破坏和海平面上升。  相似文献   

3.
根据2014-2015年对大连李官华铜海岸、营口白沙湾海岸、营口仙人岛海岸以及营口鲅鱼圈月亮湾海岸的岸滩地形监测数据,依据海岸侵蚀灾害监测与评价技术方法,对辽东湾东岸的4个连续砂质海岸的稳定性进行了分析.结果表明:海滩岸线发生侵蚀的岸段主要分布在营口仙人岛海岸和大连李官华铜海岸南部,其中仙人岛岸段岸线后退距离最为严重,达到了7.8 m/a;从断面地形监测结果来看,大连李官华铜海岸发育较强侵蚀,岸滩下蚀速率为9.35 cm/a.辽东湾东岸的华铜海岸和仙人岛岸段,侵蚀现象仍然明显;而开展了防护修复工程的月亮湾、白沙湾等原侵蚀岸段,都基本趋于稳定,没有再发生海岸侵蚀现象.  相似文献   

4.
2013—2014年,在辽东湾六股河口两侧开展了海滩地形及海岸侵蚀的现场调查,于兴城至绥中沿海布设6处调查岸段及17条断面。结果表明,研究海滩地貌主要组成部分包括反射型高潮滩-滩坎-消散型低潮滩,其中低潮滩多发育有近岸沙坝和水下沙坝。绥中南江屯、皮家屯及兴城新立屯海滩侵蚀明显,多数海滩持续侵蚀,调查期内最大平均下蚀速率达53.2cm/a。分析发现,海滩地形及断面蚀淤量有较明显的季节或区域差异。海滩冬季近岸沙坝消失、水下沙坝离岸距离小于夏季。六股河口南侧夏季海滩断面侵蚀量增加、淤积量减少,而六股河口北侧相反。研究认为,岸线自然形态差异及其造成的沿岸输沙差异是导致不同岸段蚀淤差异的主要自然原因。海岸封闭性建筑物(尤其是突堤)影响了海滩局部断面蚀淤变化。海滩地貌及蚀淤的季节或区域变化的主要原因为沿岸波浪特征等因素的季节性和区域性差异。  相似文献   

5.
秦皇岛沿岸海平面变化与地壳升降   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4       下载免费PDF全文
于道永 《海洋学报》1998,20(3):76-81
本文研究发现,近43年来秦皇岛沿岸相对海平面变化呈总体下降趋势,其变化速率为-2.1~-2.4mm/a,经地壳升降观测资料修正后,确定海平面变化速率为-1.3~-1.6mm/a,并分岸段讨论了相对侮平面变化的年速率.由此证明,秦皇岛沿海海岸侵蚀并非由海平面变化引起.预计未来10余年内,海平面变化将不会对海岸带经济发展构成威胁.  相似文献   

6.
辽东湾两侧砂质海岸侵蚀灾害与防治   总被引:10,自引:1,他引:9  
自20世纪60年代至90年代,由于多种原因,辽东湾东西两侧的初始沙质海岸侵蚀范围逐年扩大,侵蚀不断加剧,给当人民的生产和生活带来严重危害。由多年监测资料发现,侵蚀严重的熊岳岸线以2~4m/a的速率而大幅度后退,特别严重的地区最大后退达10km;辽西绥中某些岸段平均每年后退1~2m。20世纪90年代后期,由于一些海域管理措施的出台和相应的海岸防护工程的建设,海岸侵蚀逐渐减弱。通过现场调查和多年监测,分析了辽东湾东西两侧砂质海岸侵蚀的特点,认为海岸组成物质松散与海岸动力作用强烈是本区现代海岸侵蚀的基本条件,人为活动是关键因素,并提出了海岸侵蚀灾害的防治对策。  相似文献   

7.
基于海岸侵蚀现状调查和多时相遥感影像,分析了广东省惠州市惠东县小完山附近海岸侵蚀状况,并结合海岸动力学知识,对其原因进行了初步探讨。研究发现在选取的3个岸段内呈现出3种不同的海岸变化状态,自北向南依次为沙滩粗化、海岸堆积和海岸侵蚀后退。分析认为在海平面上升的大背景下,台风和风暴潮是造成海岸侵蚀的主要原因。  相似文献   

8.
相对海平面上升引发的海岸潜在侵蚀是海岸带资源利用与规划的重点关注内容.基于杭州湾北岸龙泉—南竹港岸段实测断面资料,利用历史岸线后退和淹没法则计算法分析了该地区的海岸变化对海平面上升的响应.结果表明:近10 a来岸滩呈侵蚀后退趋势,年侵蚀速率为3.7~5.7 m/a,相对海平面上升对岸滩迁移后退的贡献为2%~6%;未来1...  相似文献   

9.
因气候变暖导致的海平面上升是全球面临的海洋问题。为加强海南岛的海洋防灾减灾工作,保障其沿海地区的生态环境和经济社会发展,文章在调查评估的基础上,分析海平面上升对海南岛沿海地区的影响,并提出对策建议。研究结果表明:我国沿海海平面总体呈波动上升趋势,海南岛沿海海平面的上升速率居全国之首;海平面上升对海南岛沿海地区的影响主要包括淹没滨海低地和减小旅游区沙滩面积,加重风暴潮、海岸侵蚀、海水入侵和土壤盐渍化、洪涝的灾害程度以及影响海岸防护设施等方面;在海南岛沿海地区发展中,应充分考虑海平面上升的因素,加强灾害风险抵御能力建设、城市科学规划、海平面观测和监测以及受损岸线整治修复等工作。  相似文献   

10.
广西北海银滩侵蚀及其与海平面上升的关系   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
黄鹄  戴志军  盛凯 《台湾海峡》2011,30(2):275-279
基于历史图件对比方法和Bruun法则对广西北海银滩岸线的侵蚀进行评估和预测.结果表明银滩在近30a内海岸侵蚀达10.40 m/a,其中人类活动作用是造成海岸侵蚀的主要因素,人类活动对岸线位置蚀退的影响贡献为98%;海平面上升导致岸线蚀退的贡献仅为2%.然而,在未来100 a内,基于历史图件对比分析估算的银滩侵蚀宽度可能超过1 000 m,银滩环境将会发生退化.因海平面上升而对岸线蚀退的贡献权重增加为9%.由于人类活动导致的银滩退化可以进行控制和预防,故对未来海平面上升引发的银滩环境退化应该予以重点关注.  相似文献   

11.
辽河三角洲地区海平面上升趋势及其影响评估   总被引:11,自引:1,他引:10       下载免费PDF全文
根据潮位资料分析,辽河三角洲平原和辽东湾东岸近四五十年来相对海平面处于上升趋势,从70年代以来平均每年上升量为5mm左右.考虑到辽河三角洲平原地面下沉以及全球性海平面将加速上升,预计下个世纪内,辽河三角洲平原相对海平面上升的速率将达到8-10mm/a,到2050年相对海平面上升量将达到40~55cm.利用遥感和地理信息系统,对不同的海平面上升量将造成的土地淹没损失进行了预测.如不加防护,相对海平面上升0.5m时,将淹没近4000km2,包括整个营口市区和半个盘锦市区;上升1.0m时,将淹没5000km2.对海平面上升将造成海岸侵蚀、风暴潮和洪涝等灾害加剧等影响也进行了分析.  相似文献   

12.
The UNEP in its regional seas program in 1989 has included Pakistan in a group of countries which are vulnerable to the impact of rising sea level. If the present trend of sea level rise (SLR) at Karachi continues, in the next 50 years the sea level rise along the Pakistan Coast will be 50 mm (5 cm). Since the rising rates of sea level at Karachi are within the global range of 1-2 mm/year, the trends may be treated as eustatic SLR. Historical air temperature and sea surface temperature (SST) data of Karachi also show an increasing pattern and an increasing trend of about 0.67°C has been registered in the air temperature over the last 35 years, whereas the mean SST in the coastal waters of Karachi has also registered an increasing trend of about 0.3°C in a decade. Sindh coastal zone is more vulnerable to sea level rise than Baluchistan coast, as uplifting of the coast by about 1-2 mm/year due to subduction of Indian Ocean plate is a characteristic of Baluchistan coast. Within the Indus deltaic creek system, the area nearby Karachi is more vulnerable to coastal erosion and accretion than the other deltaic region, mainly due to human activities together with natural phenomena such as wave action, strong tidal currents, and rise in sea level. Therefore, The present article deals mainly with the study of dynamical processes such as erosion and accretion associated with sea level variations along the Karachi coast and surrounding Indus deltaic coastline. The probable beach erosion in a decade along the sandy beaches of Karachi has been estimated. The estimates show that 1.1 mm/year rise in sea level causes a horizontal beach loss of 110 mm per year. Therefore, coast eroded with rise in sea level at Karachi and surrounding sandy beaches would be 1.1 m during a period of next 10 years. The northwestern part of Indus delta, especially the Gizri and Phitti creeks and surrounding islands, are most unstable. Historical satellite images are used to analyze the complex pattern of sediment movements, the change in shape of coastline, and associated erosion and accretion patterns in Bundal and Buddo Islands. The significant changes in land erosion and accretion areas at Bundal and Buddo Islands are evident and appear prominently in the images. A very high rate of accretion of sediments in the northwestern part of Buddo Island has been noticed. In the southwest monsoon season the wave breaking direction in both these islands is such that the movement of littoral drift is towards west. Erosion is also taking place in the northeastern and southern part of Bundal Island. The erosion in the south is probably due to strong wave activities and in the northeast is due to strong tidal currents and seawater intrusion. Accretion takes place at the northwest and western parts of Bundal Island. By using the slope of Indus delta, sea encroachment and the land area inundation with rising sea level of 1 m and 2 m have also been estimated.  相似文献   

13.
The UNEP in its regional seas program in 1989 has included Pakistan in a group of countries which are vulnerable to the impact of rising sea level. If the present trend of sea level rise (SLR) at Karachi continues, in the next 50 years the sea level rise along the Pakistan Coast will be 50 mm (5 cm). Since the rising rates of sea level at Karachi are within the global range of 1-2 mm/year, the trends may be treated as eustatic SLR. Historical air temperature and sea surface temperature (SST) data of Karachi also show an increasing pattern and an increasing trend of about 0.67°C has been registered in the air temperature over the last 35 years, whereas the mean SST in the coastal waters of Karachi has also registered an increasing trend of about 0.3°C in a decade. Sindh coastal zone is more vulnerable to sea level rise than Baluchistan coast, as uplifting of the coast by about 1-2 mm/year due to subduction of Indian Ocean plate is a characteristic of Baluchistan coast. Within the Indus deltaic creek system, the area nearby Karachi is more vulnerable to coastal erosion and accretion than the other deltaic region, mainly due to human activities together with natural phenomena such as wave action, strong tidal currents, and rise in sea level. Therefore, The present article deals mainly with the study of dynamical processes such as erosion and accretion associated with sea level variations along the Karachi coast and surrounding Indus deltaic coastline. The probable beach erosion in a decade along the sandy beaches of Karachi has been estimated. The estimates show that 1.1 mm/year rise in sea level causes a horizontal beach loss of 110 mm per year. Therefore, coast eroded with rise in sea level at Karachi and surrounding sandy beaches would be 1.1 m during a period of next 10 years. The northwestern part of Indus delta, especially the Gizri and Phitti creeks and surrounding islands, are most unstable. Historical satellite images are used to analyze the complex pattern of sediment movements, the change in shape of coastline, and associated erosion and accretion patterns in Bundal and Buddo Islands. The significant changes in land erosion and accretion areas at Bundal and Buddo Islands are evident and appear prominently in the images. A very high rate of accretion of sediments in the northwestern part of Buddo Island has been noticed. In the southwest monsoon season the wave breaking direction in both these islands is such that the movement of littoral drift is towards west. Erosion is also taking place in the northeastern and southern part of Bundal Island. The erosion in the south is probably due to strong wave activities and in the northeast is due to strong tidal currents and seawater intrusion. Accretion takes place at the northwest and western parts of Bundal Island. By using the slope of Indus delta, sea encroachment and the land area inundation with rising sea level of 1 m and 2 m have also been estimated.  相似文献   

14.
根据辽东湾东岸12段砂质海岸的实测剖面、表层沉积物粒度以及收集的水文资料,对其海岸类型、海岸动力环境等特征进行了研究,并运用Dean参数Ω探讨了研究区砂质海岸的动力地貌特征。结果表明:研究区砂质海岸发育岬湾型和沙坝-潟湖型两种海岸类型,并受浪控型、过渡型及潮控型三种海岸动力影响。辽东湾东岸砂质海岸动力地貌特征根据Dean参数Ω可划分为消散型与过渡型两种,两者在辽东湾东岸相间分布。  相似文献   

15.
Global climate models have predicted a rise on mean sea level of between 0.18 m and 0.59 m by the end of the 21st Century, with high regional variability. The objectives of this study are to estimate sea level changes in the Bay of Biscay during this century, and to assess the impacts of any change on Basque coastal habitats and infrastructures. Hence, ocean temperature projections for three climate scenarios, provided by several atmosphere–ocean coupled general climate models, have been extracted for the Bay of Biscay; these are used to estimate thermosteric sea level variations. The results show that, from 2001 to 2099, sea level within the Bay of Biscay will increase by between 28.5 and 48.7 cm, as a result of regional thermal expansion and global ice-melting, under scenarios A1B and A2 of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. A high-resolution digital terrain model, extracted from LiDAR, data was used to evaluate the potential impact of the estimated sea level rise to 9 coastal and estuarine habitats: sandy beaches and muds, vegetated dunes, shingle beaches, sea cliffs and supralittoral rock, wetlands and saltmarshes, terrestrial habitats, artificial land, piers, and water surfaces. The projected sea level rise of 48.7 cm was added to the high tide level of the coast studied, to generate a flood risk map of the coastal and estuarine areas. The results indicate that 110.8 ha of the supralittoral area will be affected by the end of the 21st Century; these are concentrated within the estuaries, with terrestrial and artificial habitats being the most affected. Sandy beaches are expected to undergo mean shoreline retreats of between 25% and 40%, of their width. The risk assessment of the areas and habitats that will be affected, as a consequence of the sea level rise, is potentially useful for local management to adopt adaptation measures to global climate change.  相似文献   

16.
辽东湾绥中海岸侵蚀研究   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
通过不同时期海图对比、分析遥感图像和多年现场监测资料,分析了辽东湾绥中沙质海岸侵蚀的特点,认为海岸组成物质松散与海岸动力作用强烈是本区现代海岸侵蚀的基本条件;陆源物质入海量减少、海动力作用、沿岸工程建筑和海上采砂是其海岸蚀退的主要影响因素。  相似文献   

17.
Artificial beach nourishment, the placing of sand onto eroded beaches, is increasingly employed by coastal engineers as an alternative to structural control of shoreline erosion. Man-made beaches approximating natural forms and processes offer greater protection against storms than eroded beaches and provide increased recreational opportunities. It is hoped that maintenance nourishment will keep pace with subsidence and eustatic rise in sea level, primary causes of beach erosion. Even though negative impacts of beach restoration may be short-lived and limited in scope, sound ecological engineering practices require careful monitoring of dredging operations.  相似文献   

18.
借鉴美国长期以来东部海岸的海滩养护工程投入大量资金物力所取得的显著成效,提出了中国砂质海滩资源开发面临的问题,如海岸侵蚀造成砂质海滩资源丧失、砂质海滩旅游资源面临严重的污染、砂质海滩旅游资源的利用程度差异悬殊、砂质海滩旅游资源的人为破坏严重等,预见到中国实施海滩养护工程将是大势所趋,该工程将会被纳入国家或地方海岸综合规划管理与相关法律中。  相似文献   

19.
根据粤西及珠江口12个验潮站1953-997年的月均潮位资料,采用奇异谱(SSA)分析方法,预测了华南海平面的变化,并根据预测结果,采用Everts剖面积分法,以后江湾和水东湾为例,分析了华南海岸对海平面上升的响应。其结果表明,微小幅度的海平面上升就可造成岸线较大幅度的退缩。  相似文献   

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