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1.
阮航  张勇慧  朱泽奇  王进 《岩土力学》2015,36(11):3337-3344
考虑影响公路边坡稳定性信息的不完整性、随机性和模糊性,以最大熵原理和工程模糊集理论为基础,并采用综合赋权法确定指标权重,提出了一种改进的公路边坡稳定性模糊评价方法。该模型充分利用影响因素的信息,以广义加权距离表示待评价样本与标准样本的差异,从优化条件中获得相对隶属度,并依据加权平均原则对边坡样本等级进行识别。该模型应用于常吉和吉怀高速公路边坡稳定性评价中,将评价结果与模糊综合模型和属性识别模型的结果以及边坡实际情况进行对比验证,体现了其较好的一致性,并且结果更合理。同时,该模型具有较小的信息熵值,表明其评价的不确定性小,可靠性较高,是一种边坡稳定性评价分析新方法,可在相关工程领域中应用推广。  相似文献   

2.
拟以湖南衡东某风电场公路切坡为例,对比分析了公路切坡稳定性评价常用的两种分析方法,即滑坡稳定性计算和滑坡稳定性量化评分,以具体的工程项目为案例,依据公路切坡引发滑坡的地质环境条件,应用两种方法对该切坡可能形成的滑坡进行了对比分析。研究表明:对于勘查程度较高的大型滑坡稳定性评价,采用滑坡稳定性定量计算方法,结论较为准确;对于勘查程度较低的中小型滑坡稳定性评价,采用滑坡稳定性量化评分法,可减少工作量,结论较为准确;对于为大型且地质环境条件复杂,建议用两种方法相互论证,结论可信度高。  相似文献   

3.
万县滑坡群稳定性的模糊数学分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
本文运用模糊ISODATA聚类分析和模糊综合评判方法,对万县滑坡群稳定性作出评价。其计算结果与稳定性评价的地质分析法,极限平衡计算等方法得出的结论一致,从而证实了模糊ISODATA聚类分析和模糊综合评判方法用于滑坡群稳定性评价的合理性。  相似文献   

4.
基于地下洞室工程中裂隙岩体围岩分类及稳定性分级的实际资料,选取岩石单轴抗压强度、岩体RQD值、裂隙间距、声波纵波波速等重要影响因素,运用模糊信息优化处理技术,建立了一套裂隙岩体围岩稳定性分级的评价方法;并应用于某水电工程地下厂房的围岩稳定性评价,体现了该方法简单、快速的特点。  相似文献   

5.
耿协威  武尚 《江苏地质》2014,38(2):328-333
公路土质滑坡在其滑动变形破坏的过程中,具有一定的潜伏性,不易被识别。对于该类滑坡稳定性的评价与治理,应结合其滑动变形破坏机理及规律,查明滑坡滑动的关键影响因素,以便因地制宜地进行防治。结合醴潭公路K53+960—K54+020段的具体工程边坡实例,分别运用传统的剩余推力法和数值模拟技术,分析了该边坡在自然状态、降雨及地震条件下的稳定性及变形机理,深入分析了导致该边坡变形破坏的成因,认为降雨及地震对公路土质滑坡均具有较大的诱发作用。通过对比分析,传统计算方法和数值模拟结果相符合,印证了数值模拟技术在工程应用中的可视性和实用性。  相似文献   

6.
露天煤矿台阶所构成的边坡对矿山资源生产及运输发挥着重要的作用,也承载着煤炭外运的任务,其稳定性对矿山连续生产具有重要意义。文章在边坡地质调查和监测信息分析的基础上,充分考虑边坡几何形态、地质信息、气象水文信息、现场监测信息等指标,以层次分析法确定边坡稳定性分析的指标权重,基于隶属度最大原则确定边坡稳定性状态,建立了多源信息融合的边坡层次分析-模糊综合评价模型。将该模型应用于扎哈淖尔露天煤矿北帮边坡稳定性分析中,最后基于数值模拟对模型进行了验证。研究表明,北帮边坡基本稳定,基于数值模拟得出扎哈淖尔露天煤矿北帮边坡滑移面安全系数为1.121,模型结果与数值模拟结果所得到的边坡稳定性状态吻合度较好,验证了模型的有效性。该模型可以充分考虑多重信息对边坡稳定性分析的贡献,从而更全面准确分析边坡稳定性。  相似文献   

7.
针对黄土-红层接触面滑坡存在的变异性、随机性、不确定性,为了充分考虑其影响因素,利用Monte-Carlo法的基本原理,结合传递系数法建立滑坡稳定性可靠性分析的状态功能函数,从而得到以失稳概率P_f和可靠性β为指标的滑坡稳定性可靠性分析结果。以天水-陇西滑坡密集带中典型的黄土-红层接触面滑坡为例,通过现场勘察、室内实验、理论分析等,分析了滑坡基本特征、岩土体性质以及影响因素。在分析滑坡形成机制的基础上,统计分析滑带土黏聚力c、内摩擦角φ得到其均值、标准差、变异系数、分布规律等,借助VC++程序设计,从而计算得到该滑坡失稳概率和稳定性可靠性。由分析结果可知,该方法得到的滑坡稳定性与传统稳定性分析方法基本一致;该方法从多角度、多指标综合分析了滑坡稳定状态,提高了滑坡稳定性评价精度。  相似文献   

8.
李俊东 《地球学报》2012,33(1):75-82
拟建的保腾公路是昆明至缅甸、印度国际大通道及亚洲公路网的重要组成部分。其控制性工程——龙江特大桥附近滑坡稳定性对特大桥建设至关重要。文中针对龙江特大桥桥位区存在影响的主要滑坡——龙江特大桥1号滑坡, 以滑坡的工程地质条件、形态分布特征为基础, 分析破坏模式、形成机制和不利因素, 指出节理结构面是控制龙江特大桥滑坡形成和稳定性的主要因素, 同时受地下水的影响, 并提出了相应的防治措施, 为该滑坡的有效防治提供了重要依据, 也为公路边坡的后续研究提供了有价值的参考。  相似文献   

9.
滑坡的形成机制及稳定性分析是滑坡防治工程的基础,因此对滑坡的形成条件、变形破坏机制、发展演变规律等进行较透彻的分析是非常必要的。本文分析了大邑县某公路滑坡的基本特征、滑坡形成的工程地质条件、成因机制、稳定性状况等,为滑坡的防治工程设计提供了科学的依据。  相似文献   

10.
由于地质环境薄弱,在西部公路等基础设施建设中,存在很多工程地质问题。陕甘G312高速公路彬县滑坡群就座落在公路连接线经过的泾河左岸与黄土塬之间的斜坡沟壑地带。对公路的正常的运营存在潜在威胁。在探明滑坡群工程地质特征和成因机制基础上,采用边坡稳定性分析软件FLAC/SLOPE,将滑坡群分成3个相对独立的滑坡体单元(Ⅰ号滑坡、Ⅱ号滑坡、Ⅲ号滑坡),选取4个具有代表性的地质剖面,建立地质模型。并按天然状态和饱和状态对滑坡群的稳定性进行了数值分析。剪应变率云图和稳定性计算结果表明,滑坡群在天然及饱和状态下均处于稳定状态。但滑坡群剪出口以下因公路开挖而形成的边坡处于不稳定状态。与现场变形现象相吻合。  相似文献   

11.
The purpose of this study is to assess the susceptibility of landslides around the area of Guizhou province, in south-west of China, using a geographical information system (GIS). The base map is prepared by visiting the field area and mapping individual landslide at a scale of 1:500,000 topographic maps. In the study, slope, lithology, landslide inventory, tectonic activity, drainage distribution and annual precipitation were taken as independent causal factors. Therefore, six causal factors maps are prepared by collecting information from various authorized sources and converting them in to GIS maps. The susceptibility assessment is based on the qualitative map combination model and trapezoidal fuzzy number weighting (TFNW) approach. Using a predicted map of probability, the study area was classified into four categories of landslide susceptibility: low, moderate, high and very high. In addition, the weighting procedure showed that the TFNW is an efficient method for landslide causal factors weighting.  相似文献   

12.
Landslide risk assessment (LRA) is a key component of landslide studies. The landslide risk can be defined as the potential for adverse consequences or loss to human population and property due to the occurrence of landslides. The LRA can be regional or site-specific in nature and is an important information for planning various developmental activities in the area. LRA is considered as a function of landslide potential (LP) and resource damage potential (RDP). The LP and RDP are typically characterized by the landslide susceptibility zonation map and the resource map (i.e., land use land cover map) of the area, respectively. Development of approaches for LRA has always been a challenge. In the present study, two approaches for LRA, one based on the concept of danger pixels and the other based on fuzzy set theory, have been developed and implemented to generate LRA maps of Darjeeling Himalayas, India. The LRA map based on the first approach indicates that 1,015 pixels of habitation and 921 pixels of road section are under risk due to landslides. The LRA map derived from fuzzy set theory based approach shows that a part of habitat area (2,496 pixels) is under very high risk due to landslides. Also, another part of habitat area and a portion of road network (7,204 pixels) are under high risk due to landslides. Thus, LRA map based on the concept of danger pixels gives the pixels under different resource categories at risk due to landslides whereas the LRA map based on the concept of fuzzy set theory further refines this result by defining the degree of severity of risk to these categories by putting these into high and low risk zones. Hence, the landslide risk assessment study carried out using two approaches in this paper can be considered in cohesion for assessing the risks due to landslides in a region.  相似文献   

13.
基于实例推理系统的滑坡预警判据研究   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
为研究滑坡预警预报指标,建立了31个典型岩质滑坡组成的滑坡数据库,基于滑坡数据库、工程类比和模糊综合评判方法开发了滑坡实例推理系统。首先将滑坡特征属性分为6大项:破坏模式、滑面倾角、滑面类型、边坡岩体结构、边坡倾角、滑坡的诱发因素(降雨、地下水、水库蓄水、开挖、爆破、地震),用11个特征值表示边坡的特征属性;其次采用比值法相似度计算理论在滑坡数据库中搜索与目标边坡最相似的滑坡,通过工程类比给出滑坡预警判据建议值;最后依据模糊综合评判模型修正建议值,得到预警判据确认值,形成滑坡实例推理系统。以锦屏一级水电站为例,通过计算找到了滑坡数据库中与锦屏一级水电站左岸边坡最为相似的5个滑坡实例;其中大冶铁矿狮子山滑坡和安家岭露天矿滑坡有较为完整的变形监测数据,深入分析类似边坡变形破坏过程,分4个阶段给出了锦屏一级水电站左岸边坡预警判据建议值;并建立边坡预警判据修正的模糊综合评判模型,修正相似边坡预警判据,给出锦屏一级水电站左岸边坡进入加速变形阶段的位移速率阀值的精确区间为1.0~1.2 mm/d。  相似文献   

14.
为了能在地质勘查和试验的基础上对碎石土滑坡稳定性进行评价,构建了一元多重属性回归模型。基于官家滑坡的14个工程地质剖面的实测资料,选取滑体重量、滑面倾角、滑面长度、水力坡度、浸水面积、内聚力、内摩擦角7个影响因素,采用模型对影响因素和稳定性系数进行回归分析和影响因素显著性研究,得到计算稳定性系数的回归方程,并利用新昌下山滑坡进行模型准确性验证。研究结果表明:根据模型建立的线性回归方程回归性显著,能够用模型对滑坡进行稳定性计算分析;通过模型得出对稳定性系数有显著性影响的因素,综合滑坡实际地质状况确定地下水对稳定性有显著的影响,有助于开展滑坡灾害预警预报工作和采取有效的工程治理措施;新昌下山滑坡介于稳定与较不稳定状态之间,在降雨量比较大的时段应加强监测。  相似文献   

15.
Landslide susceptibility mapping is among the useful tools applied in disaster management and planning development activities in mountainous areas. The susceptibility maps prepared in this research provide valuable information for landslide hazard management in Lashgarak region of Tehran. This study was conducted to, first, prepare landslide susceptibility maps for Lashgarak region and evaluate landslide effect on mainlines and, second, to analyze the main factors affecting landslide hazard increase in the study area in order to propose efficient strategies for landslide hazard mitigation. A GIS-based multi-criteria decision analysis model (fuzzy logic) is used in the present work for scientific evaluation of landslide susceptible areas in Lashgarak region. To this end, ArcGIS, PCIGeomatica, and IDIRISI software packages were used. Eight information layers were selected for information analysis: ground strength class, slope angle, terrain roughness, normalized difference moisture index, normalized difference vegetation index, distance from fault, distance from the river, and distance from the road. Next, eight different scenarios were created to determine landslide susceptibility of the study area using different operators (intersection (AND), union (OR), algebraic sum (SUM), multiplication (PRODUCT), and different fuzzy gamma values) of fuzzy overlay approach. After that, the performance of various fuzzy operators in landslide susceptibility mapping was empirically compared. The results revealed the excellent consistency of landslide susceptibility map prepared using the fuzzy union (OR) operator with landslide distribution map in the study area. Eventually, the accuracy of landslide susceptibility map prepared using the fuzzy union (OR) operator was evaluated using the frequency ratio diagram. The results showed that frequency values of the landslides gradually increase from “low susceptibility” to high “susceptibility” as 88.34% of the landslides are categorized into two “high” and “very high” susceptibility classes, implying the satisfactory consistency between the landslide susceptibility map prepared using fuzzy union (OR) operator and landslide distribution map.  相似文献   

16.
基于GIS的信息量法在滑坡危险性评价中的应用   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
光磊 《地质与资源》2005,14(3):231-233
根据滑坡灾害发生的特点,充分利用GIS强大的空间数据管理能力和空间数据分析能力,结合数据统计分析中的信息量法作为GIS的数据处理方法,对滑坡危险性进行评价,使得分析评价结果最终在GIS软件中成图显示,从而以较高的精度完成滑坡危险性评价,并大大提高了滑坡灾害评价的效率.  相似文献   

17.
Landslides are one of the most frequent and common natural hazards in Malaysia. Preparation of landslide susceptibility maps is one of the first and most important steps in the landslide hazard mitigation. However, due to complex nature of landslides, producing a reliable susceptibility map is not easy. For this reason, a number of different approaches have been used, including direct and indirect heuristic approaches, deterministic, probabilistic, statistical, and data mining approaches. Moreover, these landslides can be systematically assessed and mapped through a traditional mapping framework using geoinformation technologies. Since the early 1990s, several mathematical models have been developed and applied to landslide hazard mapping using geographic information system (GIS). Among various approaches, fuzzy logic relation for mapping landslide susceptibility is one of the techniques that allows to describe the role of each predisposing factor (landslide-conditioning parameters) and their optimal combination. This paper presents a new attempt at landslide susceptibility mapping using fuzzy logic relations and their cross application of membership values to three study areas in Malaysia using a GIS. The possibility of capturing the judgment and the modeling of conditioning factors are the main advantages of using fuzzy logic. These models are capable to capture the conditioning factors directly affecting the landslides and also the inter-relationship among them. In the first stage of the study, a landslide inventory was complied for each of the three study areas using both field surveys and airphoto studies. Using total 12 topographic and lithological variables, landslide susceptibility models were developed using the fuzzy logic approach. Then the landslide inventory and the parameter maps were analyzed together using the fuzzy relations and the landslide susceptibility maps produced. Finally, the prediction performance of the susceptibility maps was checked by considering field-verified landslide locations in the studied areas. Further, the susceptibility maps were validated using the receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) success rate curves. The ROC curve technique is based on plotting model sensitivity—true positive fraction values calculated for different threshold values versus model specificity—true negative fraction values on a graph. The ROC curves were calculated for the landslide susceptibility maps obtained from the application and cross application of fuzzy logic relations. Qualitatively, the produced landslide susceptibility maps showed greater than 82% landslide susceptibility in all nine cases. The results indicated that, when compared with the landslide susceptibility maps, the landslides identified in the study areas were found to be located in the very high and high susceptibility zones. This shows that as far as the performance of the fuzzy logic relation approach is concerned, the results appeared to be quite satisfactory, the zones determined on the map being zones of relative susceptibility.  相似文献   

18.
昔格达地层性质特殊,强度低,遇水极易崩解,在地质构造与水力作用下,极易发生滑塌。在调查研究的基础上,介绍了文武坡喇嘛溪沟重力侵蚀作用下昔格达地层滑坡的地层岩性、地质构造等工程地质条件及地表水、地下水等水文地质条件,重点分析了滑坡形成原因及影响因素,认为滑坡发生的易发斜坡坡度、坡角与高度,并按坡度对斜坡按危险性分成了3级,得出了滑坡易发坡度,为滑坡稳定性评价提供了依据,最后提出了适合于地质条件的填方反压结合排水沟的整治措施。  相似文献   

19.
采用基于网格的瞬态降雨入渗(TRIGRS)模型,以滑坡灾害频发的陕南安康市东部巴山东段白河县为研究区,探讨模型适用性及不同降雨条件下边坡稳定性空间分布规律。根据中国土壤分布图并结合已有研究,选取模拟所需的水土力学参数。将模拟所得研究区稳定性分布图与实际滑坡目录对比分析进行TRIGRS模型精度评估,分别模拟连阴雨和短时间强降雨两种降雨情景,探讨研究区边坡稳定性空间分布规律,结果表明:1)TRIGRS模型在模拟预测降雨诱发型浅层滑坡时,结合受试者特征ROC曲线进行精度评估,曲线下面积为0.752,说明此模型在白河县进行滑坡模拟时具有一定的合理性与准确性,能反应该地区滑坡灾害的空间分布特征;2)连阴雨情景模拟下,极不稳定区域主要集中在北部低山地貌区,以冷水镇和麻虎镇为主,随降雨历时增加向东部和南部增多,西部仓上镇、西营镇和双丰镇的极不稳定区域面积较少,能承受长时间连续性降雨。短时间强降雨对边坡稳定性的影响更为直接,极不稳定区域随降雨强度增大而增加,以冷水镇和麻虎镇为主要防范区域。结合地形分析,极陡峭区域边坡稳定性最差,无法承受持续性降雨和高强度降雨,较陡峭区域更易受到降雨历时和降雨强度的影响,而平缓区域则能承受长时间及高强度的降雨;3)TRIGRS模型根据不同降雨条件预测易发生滑坡灾害的区域,为滑坡实时预报警系统提供了新的可能方法。  相似文献   

20.
万(州)-梁(平)高速公路K34~K59段滑坡成因分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
万(州)-梁(平)高速公路K34-K59段滑坡十分发育,是重庆境内滑坡灾害最为严重的一段。该区地质条件复杂,岩体中缓倾角结构面、软化夹层发育,在外界因素触发下,即可形成岩层向临空面松弛滑移的依附面。1999年12月-2003年9月,该路段发生滑坡灾害23处,增加工程投资2亿多元,对高速公路的建设造成很大的危害和威胁,并拖延了工期,给国民经济建设带来严重的影响和损失。文章依据工程地质勘察结果,从该滑坡的地质环境及变形特征分析,对其形成机制做了深入研究,为今后类似滑坡的防治提供参考。近年来,在高等级公路的建设中,线形要求严格,在山区及丘陵地区往往需要采用开挖方式通过,由于建设中的不合理工程活动,新滑坡的产生以及老滑坡的复活可能性大增。致使滑坡灾害日趋严重。通过对影响岩质路堑边坡稳定性因素分析,说明了这些影响因素与边坡稳定性的关系。文章认为特殊的地质构造及易滑地层的广泛分布,是滑坡大量出现的地质基础。大量降雨入渗,不合理的人为工程是滑坡的诱发因素。各种情况表明,在今后一定时期内,人类活动可能成为滑坡的主要影响因素。  相似文献   

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