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模糊综合评判在水源判别应用中对权重确定的探讨 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
针对应用模糊综合评判方法解决水源判别常用的“超标加权法”确定评判因素权重系数方面存在的不足和局限,提出了更加适合于水源判别的权重系数确定方法--“偏标加权法”,并通过实例验证了该方法的合理、实用性. 相似文献
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边坡稳定性影响因素众多,其中一部分具有明显的不确定性,用经典数学理论及力学模型很难描述。采用二级模糊综合评判法,对影响边坡稳定的离散型和连续型因素采用不同方法确定隶属度,并利用二元对比分析法给出各因素权重值;同时考虑降雨对边坡稳定的重要影响,对降雨后各影响因素的权重进行修正,建立边坡稳定的二级模糊综合评判计算模型,评价降雨前后边坡稳定性的变化。研究结果表明:模型所采用的隶属函数,充分考虑了各个因素的不同特点和分布规律;考虑降雨前后权重的变化,能使评判结果更趋合理。以实际工程为例,模糊综合评判结果显示:降雨前边坡处于基本稳定状态,降雨后处于欠稳定状态,与经典极限平衡法计算结果一致。 相似文献
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矿井突(涌)水水源的快速识别是矿井水害有效防治的前提条件。针对应用模糊综合评判方法解决水源判别常用的"超标加权法"和"偏标加权法"确定判别因子的权重系数方面存在的不足,结合方差分析中的离差分解法,提出了矿井突水水源判别权重系数确定的离差加权法;利用SPSS软件,并以淮南潘三矿为例,对上述3种模型进行对比分析研究。结果表明:基于离差加权的模糊综合评判能够有效的判别突水水源,比"超标加权法"和"偏标加权法"有更高的判别率;基于离差加权的模糊综合评判具有原理清晰、结构简单、运算量小、更为合理等优点,适合快速识别水源,为矿井水害防治提供了一种辅助决策手段。 相似文献
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改进模糊综合评价模型对岩溶山区茶叶产地土壤重金属污染评判 总被引：4，自引：1，他引：3
优化的模糊综合评价模型,有助于查明生态茶叶园区表层土壤(0~20cm)重金属污染状况。以Hg、As、Cd、Pb、Cr、Cu为评判因子,运用最小相对信息熵原理,将污染物"超标倍数法"与"双权重超标赋权法"相结合,形成综合权重,对传统模糊综合评价模型进行了改进。接着对茶叶园区土壤重金属污染做了评判,并对比评判结果。结果表明,改进后的模糊综合评价模型,在计算评判因子权重时,综合土壤重金属浓度和毒理,评判结果更加合理;该茶叶园区土壤清洁率达38.81%、尚清洁率达61.19%,尚无土壤污染区。说明该茶叶园区土壤环境质量整体较好,满足无公害茶叶产地要求;对比评判结果,改进的模糊综合评价模型等级划分更加科学,评判结果客观。为优化岩溶山区茶叶区域布局提供参考。 相似文献
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基于两种典型的采煤区影响程度评估方法,对比分析两种评估方法的结果,讨论二者的优缺点。研究结果表明：概率积分法和模糊综合评判法的采煤区影响程度划分结果存在明显差异。与模糊综合评判法相比,概率积分法的评价结果更为客观,理论体系更加成熟,但是其参数选取也存在的不足,建议根据参数反演选取预测参数。模糊综合评判法运用于采煤区影响程度分析存在缺陷,因子权重分配和影响程度隶属函数体系有待进一步完善。 相似文献
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模糊数学在岩质边坡稳定性分析中的应用 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
模糊评判法作为一种评价边坡稳定性方法,其关键在于能否准确地建立评价模型,是否能准确建立模型的重点在于隶属度与各评价因子权重的确定。在实际工程中,几乎所有研究者都是采用专家打分法来定权重。虽然这一方法应用广泛,但是主观性太强,不够客观合理。采用判断矩阵分析法来确定评价因子的权重,用二级模糊评判对某工程实例进行计算分析,结果表明用该法确定权重简便,亦能较好反映边坡所处状态。 相似文献
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《岩土工程技术》2018,(6)
鉴于浅层采空区的复杂性、不确定性,目前缺乏针对浅层采空区塌陷危险性的有效评价方法。在对浅层采空区详尽客观调查探测基础上,提出了基于层次分析法的模糊综合评判定量评价方法评价采空塌陷危险性。首先,在研究区工程地质条件、采空区塌陷机理和塌陷影响因素分析基础上建立采空塌陷评价因子体系及标准;其次,针对离散型和连续型变量因子的不同,分别采用专家评定法和适宜的隶属度函数模型构建隶属度评价矩阵,同时采用层次分析法中的特征向量法确定因子权重;最后,通过权重矩阵和隶属度矩阵的合成运算得到评价结果向量,按贴近度原则确定危险性等级。研究结果表明,模糊综合评判方法在评价浅层采空区塌陷危险性方面是可行并有效的。 相似文献
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岩土质边坡是一种自然地质体，其稳定性在很大程度上具有不确定性、模糊性。模糊分析是边坡稳定性分析的有效途径之一。文章采用模糊数学分析法，构建了二次模糊综合评判模型，对影响边坡稳定性的诸多因素进行了分类归纳，并根据不同的稳定状态，将边坡划分为5个等级，再结合某水电站右岸泄洪洞出口开挖边坡稳定性的实际问题，利用梯形函数构建了与该边坡稳定性分析相关因素的隶属函数、运用专家评分法确定了各因素的权重，最终对该边坡的稳定性进行了评价。结果表明该评价分析结果与实际相吻合，评价效果较好。 相似文献
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Selection of wastewater treatment process based on the analytical hierarchy process and fuzzy analytical hierarchy process methods 总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1
A. R. Karimi N. Mehrdadi Ph.D. S. J. Hashemian G. R. Nabi Bidhendi R. Tavakkoli Moghaddam 《International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology》2011,8(2):267-280
This paper presents an application of the analytical hierarchy process and fuzzy analytical hierarchy process methods for selecting the best wastewater treatment process. The analytical hierarchy process is one of the best ways for deciding among the complex criteria structure in different levels, and the fuzzy analytical hierarchy process is a synthetic extension of the classical method when the fuzziness of the decision makers are considered. After reviewing aerobic treatment processes operated in Iran’s industrial estates and determining the main criteria used for treatment process evaluation, they are arranged in a hierarchy structure. Selection of the best wastewater treatment process is a multi-criteria decision making problem. Conventional methods are inadequate for dealing with the imprecise or vague nature of linguistic assessment. To overcome this difficulty, the fuzzy analytical hierarchy process is proposed for dealing with the vagueness of decision makers’ judgments. The alternatives consist of extended aeration, absorption bio-oxidation, integrated fixed-film activated sludge, sequencing batch reactor, aerated lagoon. Based on the general condition of industrial estate’s wastewater treatment plants, technical/administrative, economic and environmental criteria and their sub-criteria are weighted and then criteria evaluated and priorities of alternatives have been done by analytical hierarchy process and fuzzy analytical hierarchy process methods by the use of triangular fuzzy numbers. Finally, selection of the best process and ranking of these five processes are carried out by these foregoing methods, and some sensitivity analyses are conducted to show the results’ sensitiveness to the changes of the weights of the evaluation criteria. 相似文献
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丘陵型水库地质灾害危险性模糊综合评判——以辽宁省西丰县诚信水库为例 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
运用模糊综合评判法对丘陵型水库地质灾害危险性进行分单元评价,以辽宁省西丰县诚信水库为例,建立了丘陵型水库地质灾害危险性评价指标体系,利用层次分析法确定评价因子的权值,运用两级模糊综合评判法对地质灾害分区进行定量评价。根据最大隶属度原则得出每一单元的评价结果。 相似文献
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基于模糊因素的岩质边坡地震稳定性多模型组合评价 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
岩质边坡地震稳定性评价是岩土边坡地震失稳防治的基础工作,针对评价过程中评价因素的多源模糊性,借鉴工程可变模糊集理论,将模糊可变评价模型应用于岩质边坡地震稳定性评价中。综合考虑岩质边坡内在结构和外部自然条件,选取岩土体特性、新构造运动特征、坡高、坡角、年均降雨量和场地地震烈度6个指标作为评价指标体系并建立等级标准;将改进熵权算法引入该模型中,利用指标实际数据离散性求权重;通过改变模糊可变评价模型参数对岩质边坡地震稳定性进行线性与非线性组合评价,并将均值作为最终评价结果。将该方法应用于天然边坡与路堑边坡实例中,结果表明,模糊可变评价模型评价结果合理、客观,具有更高的可靠性与稳定性,为岩质边坡地震稳定性评价工作提供了一种新的研究方法与思路。 相似文献
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Risk evaluation of China’s natural disaster systems: an approach based on triangular fuzzy numbers and stochastic simulation 总被引：6，自引：6，他引：0
To deal effectively with the evaluation problem of natural disaster risk system affected by many uncertain factors, a multivariate
connection number expression is presented. This expression is based on the index samples and evaluation grade criterions of
natural disaster risk system and is capable of describing the hierarchy property and fuzziness of membership relationship
between index samples and evaluation grade criterions. In this proposed method, the fuzzy evaluation grade criterion problem
is resolved by combining triangular fuzzy numbers with multivariate connection number theory, and triangular fuzzy numbers
are used to express the discrepancy degree coefficients of connection number and evaluation index weights. Accordingly, a
connection number-based evaluation method for the natural disaster system of China (named CN-TFN for short) is established
using triangular fuzzy numbers and stochastic simulation. The application results show that the spatial distribution of natural
disaster risk grades of China has the trend of aggrandizement from west to east of China. The economically developed and densely
populated coastal areas are very likely to have a high level of natural disaster risk grade or above; thus, these areas are
the key regions of the natural disaster risk management of China. The results also show that the CN-TFN is able to reflect
practical conditions of the evaluation problem of natural disaster system and to provide more reliability information as compared
to the existing evaluation methods. This is as a result of its comprehensive usage of various information of subjective and
objective uncertainties in the evaluation process of natural disaster risk system and its expression by confidence intervals.
Due to the simplicity and generalization, the CN-TFM is applicable to comprehensive risk grade evaluation of various natural
disaster systems. 相似文献
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Handong Chu Guangli Xu Noriyuki Yasufuku Zhang Yu Pola Liu Jifeng Wang 《Arabian Journal of Geosciences》2017,10(7):179
A feasible and accurate method named two-class fuzzy comprehensive evaluation is put forward to assess the risk of water inrush in karst tunnels. In view of regarding tunnel face as the evaluation object, 12 influencing factors of water inrush are selected as the evaluation index system consisting of 4 first-class and 12 second-class indices. Based on fuzzy mathematics theory and expert evaluation method, all the indices are quantitatively graded according to five risk grades. The weights of indices affecting water inrush are rationally distributed by using analytic hierarchy process. Membership functions and weights of indices are utilized to stepwise compute the membership degree of indices corresponding to risk grade, and the principle of maximum membership degree is carried out to discern the risk grade of water inrush. The tunnel faces in seven segments of Qiyueshan tunnel are chosen as the case studies. Evaluation results are derived from the proposed method, and they are generally consistent with the actual results through comparisons. This method provides a cogent way for evaluating the risk of water inrush in karst tunnels. 相似文献