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1.
Natural Hazards - This study describes the impact of assimilation of INSAT-3D radiances data from both imager and sounder for Indian summer monsoon simulation and rainfall forecast over a hilly... 相似文献
2.
全新世早期弱夏季风事件的精确定位及机制探讨--以湖南莲花洞LHD5石笋为例 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
全新世早期是太阳辐射加强、全球温度上升,并伴随着冰盖消融的重要时期,而其间发生的冷事件以及亚洲季风区的弱夏季风事件的成因一直是全新世早期研究的重点。对亚洲季风-海洋-极地联系研究有着重要的意义。通过分析湖南莲花洞LHD5石笋28个U/Th年龄和535个氧同位素数据重建了全新世亚洲季风演化特征,其中全新世早期分辨率达8年。LHD5石笋记录到YD结束时间为11748±30 a B.P.,全新世开始于11684±39 a B.P.,转换时间约为64年,与格陵兰gicc05记录在误差范围内一致。LHD5石笋记录到全新世早期6次弱夏季风事件,事件年龄中心点分别为11461±34 a B.P.、10354±36 a B.P.、9957±25 a B.P.、9062±36 a B.P.、8744±23 a B.P.、8144±24 a B.P.,其δ18O值的波动幅度分别为1.08‰、0.94‰、0.66‰、0.90‰、0.55‰、1.02‰,这些弱季风事件在亚洲季风区具有普遍的区域意义。除8.2 ka事件之外,10 ka B.P.之前的弱季风事件除了受到太阳活动的影响,还受到北大西洋IRD事件的影响,而之后更多地受到太阳活动和ITCZ南移的影响。 相似文献
3.
贵州荔波地区2000年来石笋高分辨率的气候记录 总被引：9，自引：1，他引：9
通过对荔波董哥洞石笋进行高精度的ICP MS或TIMS U系测年和碳、氧同位素分析，建立了荔波地区2 300a B.P.来高分辨率的古气候变化的时间序列。研究结果表明，贵州荔波地区2 300a B.P.以来石笋记录的季风气候变化，大致可分为8个气候(亚)期:① 2 300～1 800a B.P.为降温期，显示东亚夏季风减弱，东亚冬季风增强，气候干旱寒冷；② 1 800～1 080a B.P.气温有所回升，显示东亚冬季风缓慢减弱，东亚夏季风有所回升，表现为半湿润的温凉气候期；③ 1 080～680a B.P. 为降温期，气温再次下降，显示东亚冬季风再次增强，但降水相对增大，表现为寒冷湿润的气候期，是气候变化的关键转折时期；④ 680～550a B.P.温暖期，显示东亚夏季风再次增强，气温升高，降水增大，表现为温暖湿润的气候期。⑤ 550～400a B.P.寒冷期，显示东亚冬季风快速增强，气温下降，表现为寒冷湿润的气候环境，是近1 000年以来最冷的时期；⑥ 400～364a B.P.温凉期，显示东亚夏季风有所增强，气温有所回升，表现为温凉湿润气候环境；⑦ 364～324a B.P.冷凉期，显示东亚夏季风有所减弱，气温有所下降，表现为冷凉湿润气候环境；⑧ 324a B.P.至今，气候相对波动期，同位素记录曲线呈锯齿状波动，在其内包括若干个冷凉半湿润、冷湿的气候变化亚阶段。根据荔波董哥洞石笋的高分辨率的古气候变化的连续记录，揭示了荔波地区2 300a B.P.以来的一些百年尺度的重大气候事件——干旱寒冷期、隋唐温暖期(或小温暖期)、小寒冷期以及一些十年尺度的降水、温度变化。石笋记录的这种百年、十年尺度的突发性气候变化事件，与冰芯记录极为相似，反映低纬度地区石笋记录的季风气候与高纬度及北极地区的气候具有极好的相关性，这对于认识现代气候系统变化以及对未来十年—百年尺度的气候预测和演化的驱动机制，具有重要的科学意义。 相似文献
4.
早全新世季风演化的高分辨率石笋δ18O记录研究--以河南老母洞石笋为例 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
基于豫西老母洞LM2石笋8个高精度230Th年龄,449个氧碳同位素,建立了达十年际分辨率的8.2~10.9 ka B.P.亚洲季风变化的δ18O记录序列.老母洞石笋δ18O值最为偏负达-12.0‰,最偏正为-8.2‰,振幅达3.8‰.早全新世10.13~10.9 ka B.P.时段内,河南西部老母洞石笋和东石崖石笋,陕西九仙洞C996-2石笋δ18O曲线揭示该时段内季风稳定,而中国南方的衙门洞石笋、三宝洞石笋和极地冰芯GRIP记录揭示该时段季风逐渐增强;同时季风达到顶峰的时期也不相同,进一步说明中国南北方早全新世10.13~10.9 ka B.P.时段季风演变过程的差异,可能与中国南北方气候的响应机制有关.从早全新世平均分辨率10年的LM2石笋记录中识别出8.2 ka,9.5 ka,10.2 ka和10.9 ka显著弱季风事件,尤其是8.2 ka和9.5 ka事件.对比分析老母洞与已发表的高分辨率石笋δ18O记录发现:石笋所揭示的某些冷事件发生时间在亚洲季风区存在差异,主要表现在事件内部变化特征及趋势上.LM2石笋δ18O曲线并没有明显记录9.3 ka弱季风事件,而是在9.3~9.6 ka B.P.左右记录了一个弱季风事件,与DSY09(2009)、Y1、HS-4记录相似,表明在该时段内存在季风的减弱事件,但是氧同位素传输的复杂性,使其在南北方表现不同.此外,在LM2石笋δ18O的8.2 ka B.P.开始时段,氧同位素曲线阶段性下降,且变幅达3‰,与Zhang等研究万象洞石笋提出的“中国8 200阶段”吻合,表明中国北方地区的8.2 ka事件是阶段性的事件,而南方的石笋氧同位素记录揭示的8.2 ka事件并未表现出阶段性特征,其原因有待于更多北方高精度石笋记录来进一步研究.LM2石笋氧同位素记录进行功率谱分析发现:在短尺度上季风变化与太阳活动密切相关,这与近年来对早全新世极端气候变化研究的驱动机制是一致的,早全新世亚洲季风的演化与太阳活动变化引起的太阳辐射能量的变化和北半球高纬气候的变化状况有关. 相似文献
5.
The Younger Dryas Event and Holocene Climate Fluctuations Recorded in a Stalagmite from the Panlong Cave of Guilin 总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1
Stein-Erik LAURITZEN 《《地质学报》英文版》1998,72(4):455-465
Comprehensive studies on a stalagmite from the Panlong cave, Guilin, have shown that the isotopic records and sedimentary characteristics can reflect the changes of both palaeotemperatures and palaeorainfall, that is to say, it is possible to get some information about the changes in climate of the area from the speleothem. The results suggest that: (1) the Younger Dryas event might have persisted in the area from 11 300 to 10 800 a B.P.; (2) from 9000 to 7000 a B.P., the climate got warmer and wetter, and the summer monsoon was gradually enhanced; (3) from 7000 to 4500 a B.P., the climate was warm and wet, and the summer monsoon prevailed; and (4) from 4500 a B.P. on, the summer monsoon was weakened and the modern climate pattern appeared, but there were several cold and dry periods, namely, from 4000 to 2500 a B.P., ca. 2400 a B.P. and < 1000 a B.P. 相似文献
6.
运用伊利石结晶度线性剥离法,定量计算了华南、台湾和吕宋这 3 个主要物源区对南海北部陆坡MD12-3432和MD12-3434两个岩芯(分别为50. 80 m和8. 33 m)MIS 2期粘土相对贡献量的时间序列变化.结果显示,台湾对两个岩芯的贡献最大(36%~62%),吕宋的贡献次之(28%~50%),二者之和一般大于90%,而来自华南的贡献最小(3%~17%).台湾和吕宋的贡献量呈现显著反向的千年时间尺度快速波动,二者贡献量随东亚夏季风增强或减弱而显著变化,因此,吕宋/台湾贡献量比值可以用于指示东亚夏季风的快速演化.吕宋/台湾粘土贡献量比值在B?lling-Aller?d和Dansgaard-Oeschger 2事件期间的增加,反映了同时期东亚夏季风的快速增强;而在Heinrich 1和Heinrich 2事件期间的减小,则指示了东亚夏季风的减弱.吕宋/台湾贡献量比值对东亚夏季风快速变化的指示,在一定程度上要明显优于蒙脱石/(伊利石+绿泥石)比值.南海北部MIS 2期粘土矿物对东亚夏季风快速变化的响应具有明显的空间差异性,受洋流搬运扰动和物源控制作用影响,陆坡相对浅水区粘土矿物记录的东亚夏季风快速变化信息相对有限,而深水稳定的沉积环境则更有利于保存东亚夏季风快速变化信息. 相似文献
7.
关于晚新生代准1.2Ma周期构造气候旋回 总被引：8，自引：2，他引：6
构造气候旋回的理论要点是构造作用驱动气候变化,因而不同于Milankovitch冰期气候旋回,但两者又都是受地球轨道要素控制的。本文主要根据青藏高原和黄土高原的晚新生代地质记录,以磁性地层为时间标尺,以黄道倾斜(ε)最大变幅位置为模式年龄,划分最近8Ma的准1.2Ma周期构造气候旋回的主旋回层,即MTC7、MTC6、MTC5、MTC4、MTC3、MTC2、MTC1、MTC0,它们的界线年龄分别为7.3、6.1、4.9、3.7、2.5、1.3和0.2MaBP。在此基础上,分析了青藏高原构造隆升和黄土高原风尘沉积各自显示的准1.2Ma周期的演变特征,表明它们之间具有构造驱动气候的因果关系。文中还探讨了最近7.3MaBP的古环境变迁,获得了有关晚新生代东亚季风形成演变和环境分异是在轨道气候旋回背景下受构造气候旋回控制的新认识。 相似文献
8.
Holocene Monsoon Changes Inferred from Lake Sediment Pollen and Carbonate Records, Northeastern Cambodia 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Andrew Lee Maxwell 《Quaternary Research》2001,56(3):390
Major Holocene monsoon changes in continental Southeast Asia are reconstructed from analysis of 14C-dated changes in pollen and organic/inorganic carbon in sediment cores taken from permanent, closed-basin, volcanic lakes in Ratanakiri Province, northeastern Cambodia. Analysis focuses on the nature and timing of monsoon changes, inferred from changes in vegetation and lake conditions. These data provide the first well-dated palynological record, covering most of the Holocene and continuous up to the present, from a terrestrial site in mainland Southeast Asia. The record from a 15-m core retrieved from Kara Lake, representing the last 9300 years, shows that the late Glacial conditions ended about 8500 14C yr B.P., more than 1000 years later than sites in southwest China. Summer monsoon intensity increased over the period ca. 8400–5300 14C yr B.P., similar to most other sites in the Asian monsoon region. A subsequent expansion of secondary forests at the expense of dense semievergreen forests suggest a drier climate leading to more frequent fire disturbance. After ca. 3500 14C yr B.P. disturbance frequency may have increased further with increasing seasonality. From ca. 2500 14C yr B.P. to the present, dense forest has recovered in a mosaic with annually burned dry forest, but climate may not be the main control on local vegetation dynamics in the late Holocene. 相似文献
9.
对南海北部大洋钻探ODP1 1 48站进行稳定同位素和有孔虫分析 ,采用多种替代性指标 ,追溯上新世晚期以来东亚冬季风的演变。发现约 3 1～ 2 2MaB .P .之间 ,浮游有孔虫Globigerinoidesruber的δ13C值显著降低 ,而Neogloboquadrinadutertrei的相对丰度明显增大 ,指示冬季风急剧增强 ,并伴随表层海水温度的降低和古生产力的增高。此后 ,冬季风还有几次明显的增强 ,特别是在约 1 7MaB .P .,1 .3MaB .P .,0 .9MaB .P .,0 .6MaB .P .和0 2MaB .P .。 相似文献
10.
亚洲夏季风是全球季风系统的重要组成部分,亚洲夏季风的变化对其控制区域自然生态系统的多样性和生态平衡,以及社会经济发展有重要的影响。本文选择位于现代亚洲夏季风边缘区对季风变化响应敏感的湖泊达连海为研究对象,基于陆生植物残体和全有机质的AMS14C定年建立了钻孔顶部24.6 m沉积物的年代框架,利用粒度指标重建了全新世研究区水文变化过程以及亚洲夏季风衰退事件序列。结果显示,沉积物中存在数层砂层,代表了湖泊低水位时期,进而指示了亚洲夏季风衰退事件。这些事件处在11.6~11.3 cal.ka B.P.、10.4~9.5 cal.ka B.P.、6.4~6.0 cal.ka B.P.、4.6~4.4 cal.ka B.P.、3.7~3.4 cal.ka B.P.、3.1~2.9 cal.ka B.P.以及2.0~0.9 cal.ka B.P.,可以发现中晚全新世以来亚洲夏季风衰退事件发生的频率显著增加。进一步与北半球高纬地区与低纬地区的气候突变事件记录对比显示,全新世百年-千年时间尺度上亚洲夏季风强度的变化与低纬ENSO活动存在密切的联系。 相似文献
11.
研究晚全新世季风气候演变有助于进一步认识与预测未来季风区气候变化。太平洋东西两岸是全球季风集中分布的地区,已经有大量的古气候记录发表,但是缺乏对各个季风区气候突变事件以及整体变化趋势的对比研究。针对这一问题,选取亚洲季风区、印澳季风区、北美季风区、南美季风区11个洞穴石笋δ18O和1个湖泊Ti含量,对比研究各个记录在3.5~0.5 ka B.P.期间指示的夏季风变化特征。通过对比发现四大季风区的石笋δ18O在晚全新世整体上呈现偏正趋势,指示夏季风减弱;2次重要的气候突变事件1.5 ka B.P.和2.7 ka B.P.弱夏季风事件在各个季风区内均有表现;同时也记录了一系列十年际-百年际尺度的弱夏季风事件,表明太平洋东西两岸和南北半球的夏季风都有减弱的趋势,这与先前研究认为的南北半球呈现"see-saw"模式表现出不一样的特征。晚全新世以来ENSO(El Nino-Southern Oscillation)活动的增强对太平洋东西两岸南北半球夏季风减弱具有重要影响。在El Nino事件发生时,Walker环流减弱,而且它的上升支向东移动远离西太平洋暖池,西太平洋副热带高压增强并向西移动,导致亚洲夏季风减弱。Walker环流的东移也会使得印度尼西亚-太平洋暖池(Indo-Pacific Warm Pool,简称IPWP)海温下降,热带季节内震荡减弱致使印澳夏季风减弱;此外,El Nino事件发生时,赤道东太平洋海水温度上升导致东西太平洋海水温度梯度减弱,在此状态下南美季风区低空急流(Low Level Jet,简称LLJ)减弱,导致南美夏季风减弱;同时,北美洲加勒比海低空急流增强,使得该季风区下沉气流增强,导致北美夏季风减弱。我们的研究表明,在晚全新世ENSO活动增强的状态下,太平洋东西两岸南北半球夏季风变化可能都呈现减弱趋势。 相似文献
12.
Md. Mizanur Rahman M. Rafiuddin Md. Mahbub Alam Shoji Kusunoki Akio Kitoh F. Giorgi 《Natural Hazards》2013,69(1):793-807
Summer monsoon rainfall was simulated by a global 20 km-mesh atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM), focusing on the changes in the summer monsoon rainfall of Bangladesh. Calibration and validation of AGCM were performed over Bangladesh for generating summer monsoon rainfall scenarios. The model-produced summer monsoon rainfall was calibrated with a ground-based observational data in Bangladesh during the period 1979–2003. The TRMM 3B43 V6 data are also used for understanding the model performance. The AGCM output obtained through validation process made it confident to be used for near future and future summer monsoon rainfall projection in Bangladesh. In the present-day (1979–2003) climate simulations, the high-resolution AGCM produces the summer monsoon rainfall better as a spatial distribution over SAARC region in comparison with TRMM but magnitude may be different. Summer monsoon rainfall projection for Bangladesh was experimentally obtained for near future and future during the period 2015–2034 and 2075–2099, respectively. This work reveals that summer monsoon rainfall simulated by a high-resolution AGCM is not directly applicable to application purpose. However, acceptable performance was obtained in estimating summer monsoon rainfall over Bangladesh after calibration and validation. This study predicts that in near future, summer monsoon rainfall on an average may decrease about ?0.5 % during the period 2015–2034 and future summer monsoon rainfall may increase about 0.4 % during the period 2075–2099. 相似文献
13.
文章基于15个剖面,采用土壤学使用的风化成壤强度指数(游离铁FeD/全铁FeT),对黄土高原S0,L1,S1,S4,S5-1层位的风化成壤强度的空间变化进行研究,并与磁化率反映的特征进行对比。结果表明,冰期(黄土层)和间冰期(古土壤层)的风化成壤强度均呈现由东南向西北减弱的特征,与现代季风气候的基本格局一致。然而,冰期时(以L1为代表)整个黄土高原南北气候梯度很弱,间冰期南北气候梯度远大于冰期,反映了冰期时夏季风环流对黄土高原影响很小,南北气候梯度更多体现了气候带的纬度效应。结果同时表明,间冰期时黄土高原地区风化成壤强度和南北气候梯度不具严格的对应关系。S1和S5-1指示了当时较强的夏季风环流,冬季风的影响相对亦较强,而S0和S4发育时期高原南北风化成壤强度的梯度明显减小,反映了当时黄土高原在夏季风影响的背景下,冬季风的影响亦减弱,导致南北梯度的减小。因此,黄土高原风化成壤强度的空间变化指示了冬、夏季风环流不同的消长关系,对研究高低纬度气候驱动力的相互作用具有重要意义。 相似文献
14.
INSAT-3D is the new generation Indian satellite designed for improved Earth observations through two payloads – Imager and Sounder. Study was conducted with an aim of simulating satellite level signal over land in the infrared channels of the Imager payload
using a radiative transfer model MODTRAN. Satellite level at-sensor radiance corresponding to all four infrared channels of
INSAT-3D Imager payload is obtained using MODTRAN and sensitivity of at-sensor radiance was inferred as a function of input
parameters namely, surface temperature, emissivity, view angle and atmospheric water vapour, which is helpful in understanding
the signal simulation scheme needed for retrieving a very critical parameter namely, land surface temperature. 相似文献
15.
云南宣威4.6万年以来洞穴石笋古气候变化记录 总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7
石笋是高分辨地记录古气候环境变化的主要信息载体之一。本文通过对宣威下水龙洞 1号石笋进行α能谱铀系测年及碳、氧同位素分析,获得了距今 46.1ka至 2.75ka高分辨率的古气候演变信息。其年龄与δ18O值的记录在纵向上的变化具有明显的韵律性特征,可与深海岩芯V2 8～ 2 3 8同位素记录所揭示的第 3阶段、2阶段和 1阶段进行对比。反映 46.1ka以来宣威地区的气候波动与全球的气候变化具有明显的一致性。但是,区内是气候变化的敏感区,是东亚季风与印度洋季风交互作用的特殊区域,存在有明显的地区性气候变化特征,在整个末次冰期时段 (4 6.1～8.1ka)气候总体偏温暖,10.2 5ka为新仙女木冷事件的最冷终止点。在全新世大暖期时段的 7.1～ 3.7ka间显示气候温暖湿润,而在 3.7～ 2.75ka间伴随太阳辐射和印度洋西南季风强度的减弱,气候有明显的降温趋势。此外,石笋的碳、氧同位素显示的气候冷暖变化是,主沉积旋回以万年级、千年级和百年级为周期性变化;亚旋回以千年级和百年级为周期性变化。 相似文献
16.
Ida Pramuwardani Hartono Sunarto Ardhasena Sopaheluwakan 《Arabian Journal of Geosciences》2018,11(21):673
The Indonesian archipelago which has over 15,000 islands, lies in the tropics between Asia and Australia. This eventually alters the rainfall variability over the region, which was influenced by the Asian-Australian monsoon and controlled by intraseasonal variabilities such as convectively coupled equatorial waves (CCEW), i.e., Kelvin, n?=?1 equatorial Rossby (ER), mixed Rossby gravity (MRG), and n?=?1 Westward inertio gravity (WIG), including the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO). This study examines a 15-year 3B42 data for trapping CCEW and MJO in the region of Indonesia during both active and extreme Western North Pacific (WNP) and Australian (AU) monsoon phases, which are then compared with 30-year rainfall anomalies among 38 synoptic stations over Indonesia. The space–time spectral analysis is employed to filter each wave including the MJO in the equator, then proceeding with the empirical orthogonal function (EOF) method to seek each wave peak which then coincides with WNP and AU monsoon peaks over Indonesia. It is concluded that an extreme monsoon classification has proven to control rainfall activity related to the CCEW and MJO at 60.66% during December through February (DJF)-WNP for only the significant wave perturbation value. Meanwhile, the CCEW and MJO significantly increase/decrease precipitation at Day 0 for about 37.88% from the total of Day 1st to Day end. Although the contribution of the CCEW and MJO does not profoundly influence rainfall activity during monsoon phase over Indonesia, they still modulate weather condition for more than 50%. On the other hand, a complex topography with a number of land–sea complexities is capable of influencing the rainfall variability in the region as a negative relationship is associated with the CCEW and MJO either during DJF-WNP or July through August (JAS)-AU monsoon phase. 相似文献
17.
REORGANIZATION OF THE ASIAN MONSOON SYSTEM AT ABOUT 2.6 Ma AGO AND ITS IMPLICATIONS FOR THE RISING OF THE TIBETAN PLATEAUheChineseResearchFoundation(KZ 951 A1 2 0 4 ) 相似文献
18.
本文据湖面、花粉和风成堆积等地质资料，分析１２０００年以来主要由夏季风决定的降水或湿度状况的时空分布，并运用数值模拟结果计算夏季(７月)降水增量、有效降水和季风强度指数。两者的结果一致表明，全新世适宜期有效降水增量的峰值在中国中、东部具有明显的穿时性，即以东亚夏季风降水或有效湿度为标志的全新世气候适宜期盛期在各地的出现时间并不相同，东北、西北和华北三区偏早，长江中下游区稍晚，华南区最晚，而西南区又偏早。作者对导致这种穿时性的轨道驱动力和季风锋面移动的机理进行了初步分析，对于尚待深入研究的问题也有简要讨论。 相似文献
19.
U. R. Rao P. S. Desai P. C. Joshi P. C. Pandey B. S. Gohil B. Simon 《Journal of Earth System Science》1998,107(1):33-43
Detailed analysis of the surface winds over the Indian Ocean derived from ERS-1 scatterometer data during the years 1993 and
1994 has been used to understand and unambiguously identify the onset phase of south-west monsoon. Five day (pentad) averaged
wind vectors for the period April to June during both years have been examined to study the exact reversal of wind direction
as well as the increase in wind speed over the Arabian Sea in relation to the onset of monsoon over the Indian west coast
(Kerala). The related upper level humidity available from other satellites has also been analysed.
The results of our analysis clearly show a consistent dramatic reversal in wind direction over the western Arabian Sea three
weeks in advance of the onset of monsoon. The wind speed shows a large increase coinciding with the onset of monsoon. These
findings together show the dominant role of sea surface winds in establishing the monsoon circulation. The study confirms
that the cross equatorial current phenomenon becomes more important after the onset of monsoon. 相似文献