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1.
Traditional grain storage used to be an effective mechanism to combat famine in the rural areas of W Sudan. Of late, this
mechanism has failed to function and a severe famine took place in 1984–1985. This paper endeavours to highlight this crisis,
show the traditional methods of grain storage and point out to ways of retrieving grain storage systems to start again on
a less vulnerable basis. An assessment of grain storage requirements under the new conditions where both market and subsistence
economy are effective in rural areas is made for the different ecological zones of W Sudan. 相似文献
2.
B. Currey 《GeoJournal》1980,4(5):447-466
The Pacific Islands are undoubtedly vulnerable to famine. There is varied evidence of past famines in the local Pacific languages, in the ethnographic accounts of Pacific islands, and in the reports of the missionary groups. This famine vulnerability is because of the prevalence of natural disasters and the limited ability of the different island social systems to adapt to these extreme events. The famine vulnerability in the Pacific islands bears both similarities and dissimilarities to the more researched vulnerability of South Asia. Five recent examples of famines or potential famines strongly suggest that the Pacific islands remain liable to famine and that the rapid influx of foreign food relief recently does not remove the islands' inherent susceptibility to famine. By masking the terminal symptoms of famine crises, the influx of food relief may cause loss of the opportunity to develop more sustainable island food systems. 相似文献
3.
Lingbo Xiao 《地球科学进展》2020,35(5):478-487
Based on records on famine kept in historical documents, 2950 famine events counted with “county time” in North China during 1736-1911 were collected, and annual famine index series in North China was reconstructed using weighted average method according to the severity of famine. Spatio-temporal distribution of famine and its relationship with climate, disaster and harvest was analyzed. The research shows that variation of temperature and precipitation has significant negative correlation with poor harvest and famine. The drought has a more significant correlation with harvest and famine than flood. In 1736-1795 when was at the peak of the Qing dynasty, the sensitivity of poor harvest and famine to drought was significantly lower than in 1796-1911 when was in decline, because effective social response to disaster could reduce the risk of poor harvest and famine. Using the kernel density estimation method, three main high risk areas of famine were indentified: Fen River Valley in south Shanxi Province, south-central He'nan Province, and the junction of Hebei, Shandong and He'nan Province. In general, there is significant corresponding relationship between the spatial distribution of drought, poor harvest and famine, however, abnormally high probability of famine in south-central He'nan Province might be related to local special socio-economic vulnerability. This study would enhance our understanding of the nature of interactions between climate change and socioeconomic system. Further research would focus on the mechanism by which famine originated in the past, and the pathway through which climatic impacts were delivered in human society. 相似文献
4.
Xiangzheng Deng Quansheng Ge Zhigang Xu Shaoqiang Wang Hongbo Su Qunou Jiang Jifu Du Yingzhi Lin 《Frontiers of Earth Science》2009,3(1):1-8
Based on field survey and statistical analysis, the immediate impacts of the Wenchuan Earthquake happened on May 12, 2008,
are evaluated from two aspects, i.e., the influence on the prices and yields of grain and pork products in the local region
and that on China. Wenchuan Earthquake, undoubtedly, has some negative effects on the local agricultural yields in Sichuan
Province. It has caused immediate impacts on the grain and livestock breeding industry in the earthquake worst-hit counties.
For example, due to the earthquake, the grain yields in Sichuan Province will decreased more than 0.4% and the pork productions
decrease 5% at least. Thus, prices of grain and pork products are likely to rise in local mountainous areas over a short term.
Our studying results that the disaster rate, the hazard rate and the complete loss rate of grain productions are 18%, 10%
and 6% respectively in the earthquake worst-hit counties, while the disaster rate in the eastern plain areas even reach to
30%-49%. Even so, the results of model analysis for sample survey indicates that Wenchuan Earthquake has caused only marginal
impacts on agricultural production, does not heavily hurt the stability of the prices and yields of grain and pork products
at the national level. In other words,Wenchuan Earthquake had not affected the overall situation of national agricultural
production. It is estimated that the reduction rate of national grain yield is as low as 0.006%, and the price changes of
grain and pork products are no more than 0.5% and 2.2% respectively. 相似文献
5.
Economic development,drought, and famines: some limitations of dependency explanations 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Dr. William I. Torry 《GeoJournal》1986,12(1):5-18
Drought is today a major instigator of famine disasters that developing countries suffer. Until recently scientists set great store in climatic theories of famine devastation. Over the past decade, climatic determinism has given way to a sociological thesis, putting famines connected with drought down fundamentally to political and economic causes of poverty rooted in colonial and neocolonial forms of capitalism. According to this thesis drought acts only as a catalyst of a situation long in the making. These dependency explanations, discussed below, trace over important links forming the causal chain. But they attend insufficiently to proximate (immediate) causes of famine and overlook risks from indigenous village institutions. Further, outbreaks of famine in developing countries opposed staunchly to capitalistic doctrines and practices lie beyond the explanatoru scope of dependency frameworls. These claims are elaborated and then directed to an assessment of research needs presented in the concluding section. 相似文献
6.
Analysing the contribution of climate and non-climate change factors to social development and the occurrence of historical events represents important research on the impact of climate change. This study identifies combinations of social subsystem indices affected by temperature changes using the conceptual framework of food security, a priori knowledge and logical reasoning to statistically analyse three 10-year data series (grain harvest grades, famine indices and economic levels) from the Western Han Dynasty to the Five Dynasties period of ancient China (210 bc to 960 ad ). The results are as follows. For 94 of the 118 decades in the study period, social development was relatively directly related to temperature effects. On a decadal scale, against a cold background, grain production was closely related to temperature conditions in 40.7% of all decades. Economic prosperity and depressions in 5.1 and 21.2% of these decades, respectively, were directly related to temperature effects. Against a warm background, grain production was closely related to temperature conditions in 39% of all decades. Economic prosperity and depressions in 22 and 8.5% of these decades, respectively, were directly related to the temperature effects. The century and decadal-scale characteristics were the same. Specifically, when mostly negative combinations of natural–socioeconomic factors dominated, the proportion of decades was slightly higher in cold than in warm periods. This case study enables a scientific understanding of the effect of changes in mean climate values/trends on social development and further demonstrates the different effects of the climate change process and mechanism. Climate cooling and warming may bring more positive than negative impacts in some regions and more negative than positive impacts in others. Complex feedback may amplify or reduce the impact of climate cooling and warming. Climate that evolves unfavourably has an impact more strongly correlated with the socioeconomic system's vulnerability and adaptability. © 2020 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
7.
Matthew D. Turner 《Geoforum》2009,40(5):746-81
In dryland areas of the Africa, livestock play important economic roles as commodities, wealth stores, producers of products, and agents of environmental change. Conventional depictions of livestock economies in this region have focused (in support or against) on the need for greater engagement of livestock producers with markets supplying meat to urban areas. This paper argues this singular focus has led analysts to ignore two important aspects of livestock economies: livestock as a preferred store of wealth across a wide range of social groups and the need for specialized labor to manage these livestock across open pastures to maintain their productivity and limit their negative environmental impacts. In the West African Sahel, the capital-like nature of livestock wealth has become more clear with a growing fraction of the region’s livestock owned by investors with little connection to livestock husbandry. Livestock investments are maintained on a day-to-day basis by hired herders who facilitate access to ephemeral pastures and water. A particular concern is the changing geographies of livestock ownership and the herding labor in relationship to regional pastures (to economic and environmental ends). This relationship will be explored using the case study of the Maasina region of central Mali - a historically important livestock region, which is now undergoing significant labor emigration. Building from a long-term ethnographic engagement with local livestock owners and herders, the results of ownership surveys of livestock herds across a 14-year period and interviews of urban-based emigrants from the study area about investment decisions will be used to analyze the changing geographies of livestock investment and herding labor in the Maasina. 相似文献
8.
The Hadendowa's customary law code, the Salif, used to regulate the social and economic behaviour of the Hadendowa, as well as their rational utilization of resources. Since the outbreak of the 1984 famine, however, the Hadendova have been depending on relief food, which has disrupted their Salif and rendered it uncapable of helping the Hadendowa to to cope with the current stress situation.Omer Hayati is a teaching assistant in the Geography Department, Faculty of Education, who has carried out the larger part of the survey for this study. 相似文献
9.
Mongolian pastoral husbandry is subject to various climate hazards such as dzud (Mongolian for “severe winter conditions”). Dzud in the 2009/2010 winter affected 80.9% of the country and killed more than 10 million livestock (23.4% of the total). To understand the natural and man-made mechanisms of this dzud, we examined the contributions of dzud-causing factors such as climate hazards (cold temperatures and heavy snow) and winter–spring livestock grazing (measured as overgrazing rate), which created a distinct regional pattern of high livestock mortality using a regression tree method. The regression tree model accounted for 58% of the total spatial variation of the mortality and identified various types of dzud in each region. Results showed that during the 2009/2010 winter, almost all of Mongolia experienced extreme cold temperatures, with abnormally large amounts of snow. In addition, more than half of the territory was overgrazed because of the lower pasture biomass resulting from summer drought and livestock overpopulation. At the regional scale, high livestock mortalities occurred in moderately to heavily overgrazed regions in south-central and western Mongolia, resulting from the combination of these factors. Conversely, areas with lower livestock mortalities (or non-dzud) coincided with sufficient pasture capacity in the north and east, even under extreme cold and snow. This indicates the importance of controlling the number of livestock to below the pasture carrying capacity regardless of an inter-annually varying climate. Moreover, we identified critical thresholds of each factor across which serious disasters occurred. These thresholds are practically useful for future livestock management of pasture land. 相似文献
10.
A Conceptual Framework for Enhancing the Utility of Rainfall Hazard Forecasts for Agriculture in Marginal Environments 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Semi-arid and dry sub-humid areas (especially in the tropics) are characterized by high inter-annual and intra-seasonal rainfall variability. Agriculture, which employs the bulk of the rapidly increasing populations, is largely rain-fed, low-input based and highly resource dependent. Recent spates of drought have, therefore, exacerbated the now-too-familiar specter of famine and starvation in these areas with glaring examples being the recurring episodes in sub-Saharan Africa since the great Sahel drought of 1969–1973. A great need for accurate and timely hazard forecast products in aid of agriculture thus exists.Several schemes are currently employed by various agencies around the globe in this direction. There does remain, however, a gap between product provision and user expectations. This paper examines this gap suggesting a five-point framework within which it can be addressed as an action agenda for the climate science community. The paper posits that changes are possible to existing methodologies (related to three of these points), which, within the context of current science, can greatly enhance the utility of forecast products for agriculture in marginal areas. The remaining two points have, however, been identified as requiring additional applied research and necessary pointers for addressing these issues are provided. First is the need for appropriate impact-related indicators for intra-seasonal and interannual rainfall variability that are easy to compute, amenable to forecasting and follow closely the experiences of farmers in marginal areas. The second is a consideration of appropriate forecast information formatting and communication medium that guarantee effective feedback between forecast producers and users. Specific examples of the status quo and of work currently underway are cited from southern Africa – a region currently attracting international attention as a result of recent droughts and the threat of famine. 相似文献
11.
Akhtar H. Siddiqi 《Geoforum》1977,8(1):33-38
Livestock are of vital importance in the rural economy of Pakistan. However, there are marked regional variations in the emphasis placed on the different livestock enterprises. Recognition of these variations is the basic objective of this study. From the standpoint of cattle breeding, the ranking of the animals permits an understanding of the livestock holders' preferences for different types of animals to raise in different areas. To focus on the regional variations in the livestock patterns in Pakistan, the livestock combination areas have been established. Any program which may be introduced for the improvement of animal industry in Pakistan should take cognizance of such regionalization. 相似文献
12.
近年来,莱芜市莱城区张家洼规模化畜禽养殖发展迅速,促进了当地的经济发展,但畜禽养殖用地的规划还处于无序状态,畜禽养殖破坏了环境,影响了村容村貌。为此,莱城区加强畜禽养殖用地管理,加强规划控制,加强畜禽养殖用地规模的核查;推行畜禽养殖用房流转,收取复耕保证金,走大棚养殖特色之路,取得了明显成效。 相似文献
13.
This paper focuses on the burgeoning application of genetic techniques in livestock agriculture, examining how these are changing livestock breeding knowledge-practices and the representation of animal life. Conventional livestock breeding relies on visual appraisal of animals and maintaining performance records, whereas genetic and genomic techniques offer the potential to assess particular aspects of animals’ genotypes. Advertising and promotional material produced by organisations involved in developing genetic techniques, and reportage and discussion of such techniques in the agricultural media, are used to examine the ways in which the production and value of living bodies in the future is being mapped out in emerging knowledge-practice networks which centre around particular visions and representations of what livestock bodies are and should do or be. The paper argues that bodies should be understood in part in terms of the wider spatial relationships in which they are entangled. A process of’circulating reference’ [Latour, B., 1999. Pandora’s Hope: Essays on the Reality of Science Studies. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA] is identified in which rounds of simplification occur in relation to the representation of the genetic qualities of livestock animals. However, these attempts to simplify produce new complexities when livestock breeders attempt to make use of genetic knowledge-practices. Identifying different modes of complexity, the paper discusses their spatiality in terms of differences between genetic abstractions from animal bodies and breeders ‘multi-layered ‘lay’ knowledges of their livestock animals. 相似文献
14.
The gases released by some large volcanic eruptions in history (e.g. Santorini in the seventeenth century BC) have led to famine. Similar events are likely in the future but could be made worse by the huge quantities of material already in the atmosphere as a result of industrial and domestic Processes. 相似文献
15.
新疆不同区域牧业雪灾损失时频变化特征 总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0
选用新疆1952-2013年75个县707条雪灾害资料, 采用灰色关联评估模型以县为单位将新疆分为特重雪灾区、 重雪灾区、 一般雪灾区、 小雪灾区. 用气候趋势系数与五阶函数分析各雪灾区牲畜死亡数额的长期变化趋势, 并用morlet小波分析其振荡周期. 结果表明: 全疆及各雪灾区牲畜死亡数额基本都存在23 a左右的长周期, 14～17 a中周期, 10 a左右的小周期, 另外, 还存在5～7 a的小波动, 各区周期振荡的强弱及时间范围不同. 全疆及特重雪灾区牲畜死亡数额长期以来有减少趋势; 而重雪灾区和一般雪灾区牲畜死亡数额长期以来有微弱的增加趋势. 特重雪灾区牲畜死亡数额长期变化趋势决定了新疆雪灾牲畜死亡数额的长期变化趋势, 全疆平均每年因雪灾牲畜死亡数额以0.4%的速率递减, 特重雪灾区每年按上一年度总额1.4%的速率递减. 由于20世纪80年代开始, 新疆有计划、 大规模推行牧民定居工程, 从而大大提高了新疆牧业抗御自然灾害的能力, 以及冬春气温升高的缘故, 使得全疆及各雪灾区牲畜死亡数额大大减少. 因为各牧业区实施牧民定居工程开始的时间不同, 使全疆各雪灾区牲畜死亡数额高值期(年代际与年际尺度振荡的活跃期)进入低值期(少发时期)的临界时间存在差异. 相似文献
16.
Mongolia is subject to regular peaks of livestock winter mortality called dzuds. Several kinds of dzud exist and the ‘white dzud’, characterized by heavy stochastic snowfalls preventing livestock to access forage, is considered the most common. Droughts and high livestock densities are thought to be part of the dzud process by affecting body condition, which increases vulnerability to snowfalls. Guided by the equilibrium/nonequilibrium framework, we studied how rainfall, animal numbers and pasture health (defined as the integrity of ecological processes sustaining grass growth) impact livestock body condition in a case study of West Mongolia. We studied this parameter through livestock productivity (LP) as a proxy, defined as the annual number of newborns per breeding-age female. We found no significant impact of rainfall or livestock numbers, alone or combined. We found through the study of pasture use, defined as the ratio forage consumed/forage available, an impact of the combined effect of rainfall, animal numbers and pasture health. We observed in addition sharp LP decreases prior to dzuds, which suggests that the above-mentioned drivers interact to weaken livestock which increases its vulnerability to winter hazards. This tends to show that in our case study, dzuds are not the simple consequence of stochastic hazards striking randomly, but instead, the final stage of a chain of events that involves dry years, high livestock densities and pasture degradation. This also indicates that dzud early warning indicators could be designed based on LP monitoring. 相似文献
17.
筛法／激光粒度仪法接序测定全样泥沙粒度是泥沙粒度分析的基本方法,分级交混现象会时有出现,需要研究全样级配的调整处理。本文从先用筛分法分析全样泥沙到分界粒级,再将分界粒级以下(筛下)泥沙做全样用激光粒度分析仪法分析的作业程序,按激光粒度分析仪法小于分界粒级D_(FJ)的泥沙的质量／体积比例等于1(100％)和小于1(100％)两种可能,提出了相应的粒度分析级配序列计算调整方法和全样级配序列的接序方法。分析了以“筛法分界粒级级配为准”和“以激光粒度分析仪法最大粒级级配为准”的不足。认为激光粒度分析仪法向上粒级的分界交混质量较小,应用本文“激光粒度分析仪法分析小于分界粒级D_(FJ)的泥沙的质量／体积比例小于1(100％)”的方法和公式,调整处理分级交混问题比较合理。 相似文献
18.
M. E. Atta El Moula 《GeoJournal》1991,25(1):47-50
Drought, desertification and lack of development have been the main causes of migration in the rural areas of Western Sudan. The author tackles the different migration patterns followed in the area of Omodiat Burush and the factors influencing these migrations. It is found that high preference is given to rural-rural migration either on a seasonal basis or a permanent one. The latter is directed towards Burush village which attracts the inhabitants of the surrounding villages by the relative availability of educational, health and marketing services. Seasonal migration, on the other hand, is an important coping strategy against crop failure and famine risks. 相似文献
19.
To restore China’s degraded ecological environment, the government has launched an environmental restoration project named
the “Grain for Green Project” (GGP) in 1999. From 1999 to 2010, the government will spend 40 billion dollars to convert 147
million ha of croplands and 173 million ha of wastelands into forestlands and grasslands in 25 provinces, municipalities and
autonomous regions. A primary goal is to replace cropping and livestock grazing in fragile areas with trees and grass. Given
the tremendous scale and great number of participants in the project, the attitudes of the affected farmers and the future
development in the area where GGP is implemented have a direct influence on the success of the project. To gain a clear idea
about the farmers’ attitudes towards the project and put forward the development models for the forestlands converted from
croplands, two case sites in the mountain-gorge region in Nujiang River are selected as the study areas, and the methods of
field survey and semi-structured interview are adopted to make interviews with more than 100 households in 2002 and 2003 in
order to quantify the farmers’ opinions about the GGP and how it has affected their livelihood, socio-cultural and industrial
structures, etc. The results are as follows: 1) the project has a certain influence on the farmers with better economic basis
and exerts greater influence on the farmers living in the low-elevation regions than on those living in the regions with middle-high
elevation; 2) the production models of the local farmers has changed from cultivation and animal husbandry to forestry and
sidelines due to the project and the income structure has changed from animal husbandry as main income source to state subsidy
and sideline as main income sources; 3) the reduction in the grain income and decrease in the quantity of livestock because
of the project have led to the diminution in the total income of the farmers; 4) the project has resulted in changes in the
lifestyles and architecture styles of the local farmers, and the traditional “huotang” culture has gone away after the implementation
of the project; 5) energy utilization has changed from firewood to methane and electricity in the wake of the implementation
of the project. The above-mentioned study results have indicated that the GGP has truly exerted influence on the livelihood
and production of the local farmers. Therefore, it is very necessary to make a research into the development models in the
forestlands converted from croplands to resolve the problems of the farmers’ livelihood and production. The study results
will provide some references for the sustainable development of the mountain-gorge regions. 相似文献
20.
Muneera Salem-Murdock Ph. D. 《GeoJournal》1987,14(1):37-47
New concerns with African drought and famine have redirected attention to the great potential of African rivers dramatically
to increase food production. The recent history of irrigation, however, has proved otherwise. This is partly due to policy
makers' failure systematically to consider the socio-economics of land/water use in river basins in their development plans.
This paper focuses on the socioeconomic dimensions of African river basin development and argues that a better incorporation
of such systems in development plans will aid African countries more effectively to achieve their food production and development
goals. 相似文献