共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 31 毫秒
1.
Contamination of groundwater has become a major concern in recent years. Since testing of water quality of all domestic and irrigation wells within large watersheds is not economically feasible, one frequently used monitoring strategy is to develop contamination potential maps of groundwater, and then prioritize those wells located in the potentially highly contaminated areas for testing of contaminants. However, generation of contamination potential maps based on groundwater sensitivity and vulnerability is not an easy task due inherent uncertainty. Therefore, the overall goal of this research is to improve the methodology for the generation of contamination potential maps by using detailed landuse/pesticide and soil structure information in conjunction with selected parameters from the DRASTIC model. The specific objectives of this study are (i) to incorporate GIS, GPS, remote sensing and the fuzzy rule-based model to generate groundwater sensitivity maps, and (ii) compare the results of our new methodologies with the modified DRASTIC Index (DI) and field water quality data. In this study, three different models were developed (viz. DIfuzz, VIfuzz and VIfuzz_ped) and were compared to the DI. Once the preliminary fuzzy logic-based (DIfuzz) was generated using selected parameters from DI, the methodology was further refined through VIfuzz and VIfuzz_ped models that incorporated landuse/pesticide application and soil structure information, respectively. This study was conducted in Woodruff County of the Mississippi Delta region of Arkansas. Water quality data for 55 wells were used to evaluate the contamination potential maps. The sensitivity map generated by VIfuzz_ped with soil structure showed significantly better coincidence results when compared with the field data. 相似文献
2.
With continued population growth and increasing use of fresh groundwater resources, protection of this valuable resource is critical. A cost effective means to assess risk of groundwater contamination potential will provide a useful tool to protect these resources. Integrating geospatial methods offers a means to quantify the risk of contaminant potential in cost effective and spatially explicit ways. This research was designed to compare the ability of intrinsic (DRASTIC) and specific (Attenuation Factor; AF) vulnerability models to indicate groundwater vulnerability areas by comparing model results to the presence of pesticides from groundwater sample datasets. A logistic regression was used to assess the relationship between the environmental variables and the presence or absence of pesticides within regions of varying vulnerability. According to the DRASTIC model, more than 20% of the study area is very highly vulnerable. Approximately 30% is very highly vulnerable according to the AF model. When groundwater concentrations of individual pesticides were compared to model predictions, the results were mixed. Model predictability improved when concentrations of the group of similar pesticides were compared to model results. Compared to the DRASTIC model, the AF model more accurately predicts the distribution of the number of contaminated wells within each vulnerability class. 相似文献
3.
Comparative study of specific groundwater vulnerability of a karst aquifer in central Florida 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
The Floridan aquifer system (FAS) is known to be one of the most productive aquifer systems in the USA. With the FAS being a karst aquifer, it presents unique challenges to land use planners because of inherent vulnerabilities to contamination through direct connections between the aquifer and the surface. In this study a new Geographic Information Systems (GIS) -based index, the Karst Aquifer Vulnerability Index (KAVI), incorporates geologic layers used in intrinsic groundwater vulnerability models (GVMs) plus an epikarst layer specific to karst, with land use coverages to create a specific groundwater vulnerability model. The KAVI model was compared to another specific vulnerability model, the Susceptibility Index (SI). Tabulation of the percentage areas of vulnerability classes reveals major differences between the two models with SI suggesting greater vulnerability for the study area than KAVI. Validation of these two models found that KAVI vulnerability levels best reproduced spatially varying concentrations of nitrate in the aquifer. Sensitivity analysis, the application of a variation index and measuring the effective weights for each parameter included in KAVI confirmed the importance of closed depressions but also aquifer hydraulic conductivity. The inclusion of land use was justified; however, effective weight analysis determined its assigned weight was too high as used in the initial calculation of KAVI. 相似文献
4.
Groundwater vulnerability and risk mapping for the Basaltic aquifer of the Azraq basin of Jordan using GIS, Remote sensing and DRASTIC 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
R. A. N. Al-Adamat I. D. L. Foster S. M. J. Baban 《Applied geography (Sevenoaks, England)》2003,23(4):303
Water consumption in Jordan already exceeds renewable freshwater resources by more than 20% and, after the year 2005, freshwater resources are likely to be fully utilised. Over 50% of supply derives from groundwater and this paper focuses on a small part of the northern Badia region of Jordan that is underlain by the Azraq groundwater basin where it has been estimated that annual abstraction stands at over 100% of the projected safe yield. While water supply is a crucial issue, there is also evidence to suggest that the quality of groundwater supplies is also under threat as a result of salinisation and an increase in the use of agrochemicals. Focusing on this area, this paper attempts to produce groundwater vulnerability and risk maps. These maps are designed to show areas of greatest potential for groundwater contamination on the basis of hydro-geological conditions and human impacts. All of the major geological and hydro-geological factors that affect and control groundwater movement into, through, and out of the study area were incorporated into the DRASTIC model. Parameters included; depth to groundwater, recharge, aquifer media, soil media, topography, and impact of the vadose zone. The hydraulic conductivity of the aquifer was not included in calculating the final DRASTIC index for potential contamination due to a lack of sufficient quantitative data. A Geographical Information System (GIS) was used to create a groundwater vulnerability map by overlaying the available hydro-geological data. The resulting vulnerability map was then integrated with a land use map as an additional parameter in the DRASTIC model to assess the potential risk of groundwater to pollution in the study area. The final DRASTIC model was tested using hydrochemical data from the aquifer. Around 84% of the study area was classified as being at moderate risk while the re mainder was classified as low risk. While the analysis of groundwater chemistry was not conclusive, it was encouraging to find that no well with high nitrate levels was found in the areas classified as being of low risk suggesting that the DRASTIC model for this area provided a conservative estimate of low risk areas. It is recognised that the approach adopted to produce the DRASTIC index was limited by the availability of data. However, in areas with limited secondary data, this index provides important objective information that could be used to inform local decision making. 相似文献
5.
Development and Implementation of a Bayesian-based Aquifer Vulnerability Assessment in Florida 总被引：4，自引：1，他引：4
Jonathan D. Arthur H. Alex R. Wood Alan E. Baker James R. Cichon Gary L. Raines 《Natural Resources Research》2007,16(2):93-107
The Florida Aquifer Vulnerability Assessment (FAVA) was designed to provide a tool for environmental, regulatory, resource
management, and planning professionals to facilitate protection of groundwater resources from surface sources of contamination.
The FAVA project implements weights-of-evidence (WofE), a data-driven, Bayesian-probabilistic model to generate a series of
maps reflecting relative aquifer vulnerability of Florida’s principal aquifer systems. The vulnerability assessment process,
from project design to map implementation is described herein in reference to the Floridan aquifer system (FAS). The WofE
model calculates weighted relationships between hydrogeologic data layers that influence aquifer vulnerability and ambient
groundwater parameters in wells that reflect relative degrees of vulnerability. Statewide model input data layers (evidential
themes) include soil hydraulic conductivity, density of karst features, thickness of aquifer confinement, and hydraulic head
difference between the FAS and the watertable. Wells with median dissolved nitrogen concentrations exceeding statistically
established thresholds serve as training points in the WofE model. The resulting vulnerability map (response theme) reflects
classified posterior probabilities based on spatial relationships between the evidential themes and training points. The response
theme is subjected to extensive sensitivity and validation testing. Among the model validation techniques is calculation of
a response theme based on a different water-quality indicator of relative recharge or vulnerability: dissolved oxygen. Successful
implementation of the FAVA maps was facilitated by the overall project design, which included a needs assessment and iterative
technical advisory committee input and review. Ongoing programs to protect Florida’s springsheds have led to development of
larger-scale WofE-based vulnerability assessments. Additional applications of the maps include land-use planning amendments
and prioritization of land purchases to protect groundwater resources. 相似文献
6.
Stratigraphic rule-based reservoir models approximate sedimentary dynamics to generate numerical models of reservoir architecture with realistic spatial distributions of petrophysical properties for reservoir forecasting and to support development decision making. A few intuitive rules for the sequential placement of surfaces bounding reservoir units render realistic reservoir heterogeneity, continuity, and spatial organization of petrophysical property distributions that are difficult to obtain using conventional geostatistical pixel- and object-based subsurface methods. While these methods are emerging in applications specifically for deepwater and fluvial clastic reservoirs, there are some remaining obstacles to broad application, such as selection of rule parameters and addressing emergent non-stationarities over the sequence of the placed surfaces. Firstly, there is a need to tune rule parameters to ensure the models honor natural heterogeneities. We demonstrate this for the compensational rule. Secondly, invariants over model sequence (from the base to the top of the model) may occur with respect to shape, volume, undulation, and gradients of surfaces. For example, for a stack of compensational lobes, the volume of individual lobes may decrease due to the onlapping of previous bathymetry and also increasing undulation over model sequence may occur. In addition, for stacking of compensational lobes, the interfacial width and average gradient of the composite surface may initially increase, but then saturate and stabilize. Such non-stationarities represent numerical artifacts that may bias the results from these rule-based models. It is essential that these features are quantified and mitigated as a prerequisite for robust application of rule-based aggradational lobe methods for reservoir modeling.
相似文献7.
小城镇灾害易损性熵权与可变模糊集评估方法研究 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
姜云 《地理与地理信息科学》2009,25(6)
为了客观评估小城镇的灾害易损性,提出一种熵权和可变模糊集组合评估方法.采用熵值法确定小城镇灾害易损性评估指标的权重,采用可变模糊集理论建立小城镇灾害易损性评估模型,并以湖南省小城镇为例,进行了相关研究.研究表明:熵值法通过挖掘统计数据的熵来确定评估指标的熵权,所确定的权重是客观的;可变模糊集通过相对隶属度和相对差异函数确定综合相对隶属度,并通过参数组合变换验证了评估方法的可靠性.因而熵权和可变模糊集组合评估是小城镇灾害易损性评估的一种有效方法. 相似文献
8.
在研究分析地址模型的基础上,建立了存储标准地址数据集的标准地址库和自定义的地址匹配规则库,提出了一种基于规则的模糊中文地址编码方法。该方法在依据标准地址库分词的同时,也沿着自定义的地址匹配规则进行推理,从而缩小了下次分词所用到的目标数据集,提高了系统执行效率。另外,通过借助构建的规则树与歧义栈,提高了文中定义的两类模糊地址匹配的成功率。最后,基于该算法建立了一个地理编码原型系统,并利用经济普查项目中的相关数据对算法的可用性进行了验证。 相似文献
9.
Z. Zhang U. Demšar J. Rantala K. Virrantaus 《International journal of geographical information science》2014,28(9):1922-1939
Research activity and published literature on the reliability and vulnerability analysis of urban areas for disaster management has grown tremendously in the recent past. Population information has played the most important role during the entire disaster management process. In this article, population information was used as the evaluation criterion, and a fuzzy multiple-attribute decision-making (MADM) approach was used to support a vulnerability analysis of the Helsinki area for disaster management. A kernel density map was produced as a result that showed the vulnerable spatial locations in the event of a disaster. Model results were first validated against the original population information kernel density maps. In the second step, the model was validated by using fuzzy set accuracy assessment and the actual domain knowledge of the rescue experts. This is a novel approach to validation, which makes it possible to see how and if computer decision-making models compare to a real decision-making process in disaster management. The validation results showed that the fuzzy model has produced a reasonably accurate result. By using fuzzy modelling, the number of vulnerable areas was reduced to a reasonable scale and compares to the actual human assessment of these areas, which allows resources to be optimised during the rescue planning and operation. 相似文献
10.
不确定性条件下的下辽河平原地下水脆弱性评价及空间分布软区划 总被引：3，自引：2，他引：1
建立地下水脆弱性评价的DRASTICH模型,辨析各个参数的不确定性特征,采用随机模拟方法同时对随机性参数和模糊性参数模拟赋值。分别对模糊性参数和脆弱性指数统计值设立具有概率分布意义的置信水平和百分位,得到多重地下水脆弱性的指数区间,在此基础上,分别绘制地下水脆弱性的保守分布图和冒险分布图,并对研究区地下水脆弱性分布状况进行分析。结果表明：① 以模糊区间形式表示的地下水脆弱性评价结果,能反映多种不确定因素综合影响下的地下水脆弱性客观实际情况,可提供更多可靠性方面的信息;② 以软区划方式制作地下水脆弱性分布图,保留了不确定性客观存在的事实,可给予决策者更多参考信息和调整余地;③ 地下水脆弱性软区划分布图显示：保守分布的脆弱性程度总体要高于冒险分布,置信水平选择越高,冒险分布与保守分布的空间分布差异越接近,且与最大可能性分布情况越接近;④ 研究区地下水脆弱性分布具有明显的空间集聚现象,地下水高脆弱性区域主要集聚在下辽河平原中部和南部地区,低脆弱性区域一般分布在下辽河平原东、西两侧地区。 相似文献
11.
应用于土壤盐分含量(Soil Salinity Content,SSC)反演的BP神经网络(Back Propagation Neural Network,BPNN)较少关注对模型精度影响较大的结构参数和初始权重的优化。该文利用Landsat-8 OLI、Sentinel-1 SAR影像数据及SRTM高程数据,基于谷歌地球引擎(GEE)平台构建反演参数,并建立3种反演模型:先利用遗传算法(Genetic Algorithm,GA)同步优化输入层反演参数子集和隐含层神经元数量,再优化初始权重的BPNN(GA-BP)模型;将变量投影重要性(Variable Importance in Projection,VIP)算法分割阈值分别设为1和0.5,优化出两组输入层反演参数子集并将其分别代入GA优化隐含层神经元数量,再优化初始权重的BPNN(VIP1-GA-BP、VIP2-GA-BP)模型。在玛纳斯流域和三工河流域各选一靶区进行SSC反演,对比分析GA-BP、VIP1-GA-BP、VIP2-GA-BP模型的反演精度,并统计各类盐渍土的面积比例,结果表明:1)两靶区3组模型反演精度由高到低排序均为GA-BP、VIP1-GA-BP、VIP2-GA-BP;2)盐分指数和植被指数在SSC反演中起到重要作用,同一模型筛选的反演参数存在空间分异性,但高程适用于不同的筛选模型,具有较强的鲁棒性;3)两靶区3组模型反演的SSC值域范围与实际采样点SSC值域范围的差异均较小,各子区GA-BP反演的SSC空间分布地物轮廓最清晰,且地物内SSC的均质性最好;4)玛纳斯靶区和三工河靶区面积占比最大的盐渍土类型分别为盐渍土和中度盐渍土。研究结果为构建具有一定推广性的干旱区土壤盐分含量反演模型奠定了基础。 相似文献
12.
The linkages between ecology and geomorphology can be difficult to identify because of physical complexity and the limitations of the current theoretical representations in these two fields of study. Deep divisions between these disciplines are manifest in the methods used to simulate process, such as rigidly physical-deterministic methods for many aspects of geomorphology compared with purely stochastic simulations in many models of change in landcover. Practical and theoretical research into ecology–geomorphology linkages cannot wait for a single simulation schema which may never come; as a result, studies of these linkages often appear disjointed and inconsistent.The grid-based simulation framework for cellular automata (CA) allows simultaneous use of competing schemas. CA use in general geographic studies has been primarily limited to urban simulations models of change for land cover, both highly stochastic and/or expert rule-based. In the last decade, however, methods for describing physically deterministic systems in the CA framework have become much more accurate. The possibility now exists to merge separate CA simulations of different environmental systems into unified “multiautomata” models. Because CAs allow transition rules that are deterministic, probabilistic, or expert rule-based, they can immediately incorporate the existing knowledge rules in ecology and geomorphology. The explicitly spatial nature of CA provides a map-like framework that should allow a simple and deeply rooted connection with the mapping traditions of the geosciences and ecological sciences. 相似文献
13.
‘Green Revolution’ was adopted as National Agricultural Policy by the Government of India to meet the requirements for food grain self-sufficiency. Improved seeds, fertilizers and irrigation were provided as science and technology (S&T) inputs to the soil resource base of the country. Land use changes in order to increase the area of land under cultivation have resulted in sectoral imbalances. The introduction of irrigation, fertilizers and new seed varieties using the district as a unit of agricultural input and management, without consideration of moisture and pedogenetic requirements at the micro-level, have resulted in ecological imbalances and environmental degradation in some parts of the district. Intensive irrigation has resulted in water mining in some blocks, and over a period of years the upper aquifer has been lost and in parts of the Aligarh district water-logging and salinity development has taken place.This paper presents the concept of spatial information systems for sustainable agriculture to eliminate the overdose effect of S&T inputs in a land system such as the fragile ecosystem at the semi-arid border in India.The present study has attempted to integrate the natural resource endowments of lithology, soil, ground-water and geomorphology into terrain mapping units (TMUs). The geological, geomorphological and soil maps were generated using remotely sensed data. For ground-water, well logging was carried out and secondary data regarding depth to water-table were collated. The spatial modelling for depth to water-table was carried out using SURFER software. The files on geology, geomorphology, soil and depth to water-table were digitized and integrated to generate an illuminated model characterized by areas of homogeneity in terms of geology, geomorphology, soil and ground-water conditions to map the TMUs. Intergraph's Modular GIS Environment (MGE) software was used to integrate the multiple data base.For sustainable agriculture the natural boundaries represented by TMUs will be more appropriate as spatial units for the application of agricultural inputs and management practices for the land system, rather than villages, blocks and districts which have cultural boundaries. The methodology proposed will be useful for all ecosystems in semi-arid and arid regions. 相似文献
14.
区域人地耦合系统脆弱性及其评价指标体系 总被引：11，自引：0，他引：11
从概念界定与目标定位入手,以气候变化和系统结构要素为分析框架,建立了包括敏感性、暴露性和适应性等三类指标要素和本底脆弱性、潜在脆弱性和现实脆弱性等三个评价层次的区域脆弱性评价系统,并以南方丘陵地区为例,针对泥石流、滑坡、干旱与洪涝等区域自然灾害,构建了水土流失敏感区的人地耦合系统脆弱性评价指标体系。作者认为,区域人地耦合系统脆弱性主要是针对全球气候变化扰动下与自然灾害有关的脆弱性,敏感性与易损性是其脆弱性的本质属性,敏感性、暴露性和适应性是脆弱性的系统要素。自然灾害频率指标可以作为反映灾害空间集聚性的区位暴露性指标,现实灾害度可以提供脆弱性评价因子厘定、指标权重确定、模型建立与阈值分析的结果验证。 相似文献
15.
Bianca Mitrică Istvan Bogardi Eugen Mitrică Irena Mocanu Marin Minciună 《Norsk geografisk tidsskrift. Norwegian journal of geography》2017,71(1):12-29
The article examines the risk of water shortages due to the climate change on Leu-Rotunda Plain, which is part of Oltenia Plain in Romania. The region has been exposed to several extreme climatic phenomena, mostly droughts, which has created several problems related to water quality and quantity. The authors defined climate change scenarios using two regional climate models. Water resources under climate change were estimated by a regional numerical groundwater model covering a deep aquifer. The water demand components were estimated for households, industries, services, and livestock, based on specific socio-economic assumptions. A non-probabilistic risk assessment, using simplified fuzzy sets mathematics, was used to estimate water supply, water demand, and the consequences of water shortages. The results of the study revealed significant vulnerability in the water supply, a limited territorial expansion of sewerage networks, an expected increase in households’ demand, an expected increase in industrial and services water demand, a relatively stable demand for water for livestock farming, and an important water shortage in the study area. The authors conclude by highlighting a set of actions to mitigate the risk of the potential crisis. 相似文献
16.
A total of 14 vertical electrical soundings using Schlumberger electrode configuration and the complementary laboratory analysis of aquifer samples were carried out in the Abak Local Government Area of Akwa Ibom State, the coastal region of Nigeria. The study focused on the estimation of geohydrodynamic parameters of the frequently exploited aquifers and the implication of hydrodynamic parameters on the lithostratigraphy and the anticipated exposure of the assessed geologic formation at the shorelines. These parameters were porosity (?), tortuosity (τ), formation factor (F), aquifer water formation resistivity (Rw) and coefficient of permeability/hydraulic conductivity (K). Computation of the effective porosities from the aquifer cuttings was carried out using wet weight–dry weight technique and petrophysical techniques. The F values were computed using the aquifer formation bulk resistivity measured from field 1-D resistivity data analysis, whose interpretation was constrained by nearby borehole information. The formation pore water resistivities were estimated from the laboratory using electrical resistivity metre. The Win RESIST software program was used in interpreting the field data electronically. The results of interpretation gave the primary parameters of saturated and unsaturated units of the coastal regions used in this work. The area generally shows seemingly high porosity with high coefficient of permeability. The primary and secondary parameters have been contoured to model their distributions. Besides, some functional relations have been realized through regression analyses. The contour distribution of the geohydrodynamic parameters indicates the vulnerability of the water repositories to contaminations as well as the vulnerability of the shoreline to waterborne erosion. The seemingly high effective porosity in the compliant laboratory and calculated values indicate that the coastal region is neither lithified nor compacted/consolidated. This signals the possibility of the formation to be easily eroded, weathered or flooded where these units are exposed to water current. With these revelations, the shorelines could be properly managed and conserved by geotechnically reinforcing with hard and water-resistant concrete that can protect the vulnerable and erosion-prone porous sediments.
相似文献17.
基于灰色关联度的AHP权重矩阵构建方法改进及在农地评价中的应用 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
合理确定评价指标的权重是准确测度农业土地资源可持续利用能力的关键所在。本文依据灰色关联度对层次分析法(AHP)中判断矩阵的构建方法进行了改进,并获取各项评价指标的权重。在此基础上,分别采用多目标线性加权函数综合评价模型和障碍因子诊断模型,对2001-2012年湖北省枣阳市的农业土地资源可持续利用水平及其制约因素进行评估和辨析。结果显示：基于灰色关联分析法(GRA)改进后的AHP方法在确定指标权重时不仅能有效降低主观赋权的影响,也可避免熵值法等客观赋权法所存在的弊端;地均农业生产总值、人均耕地面积、化肥使用强度、有效灌溉面积、年降水量、人均GDP和农村居民家庭人均纯收入是制约枣阳市农业土地资源可持续利用的最主要因素,但在不同年份各因素的阻碍度表现不一。2001年以来,枣阳市农业土地资源利用的社会经济可持续性水平较高,综合可持续利用水平指数整体上呈增加的态势;但在生态可持续方面,2006年之后不仅明显低于之前年份,而且也显著低于同时期的社会经济可持续性。 相似文献
18.
黑河上游天涝池流域草地蒸散发模拟及其敏感性分析 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
根据野外气象站观测资料,利用Penman、FAO-Penman、FAO-Penman-Monteith、Priestley-Taylor和FAO-Radiation等5个蒸散发模型模拟黑河上游天老池流域草地日尺度和小时尺度的蒸散发,对模拟值与观测值进行了比较,并进行了相关变量的敏感性分析。结果表明:在日尺度上, FAO-Penman-Monteith模型的模拟效果最好,FAO-Radiation模拟效果最差,其余3种模型的模拟效果较好;在小时尺度上,Priestley-Taylor模型的模拟效果最好,其余模型都不适合该地区草地小时尺度的潜在蒸散发模拟。模型输入参数对蒸散发模拟效果影响强弱顺序为辐射>气压>相对湿度>气温>风速。当地表辐射变动±10%时,模拟值变化幅度20%左右;在其他参数变动±10%时,模拟值变化幅度在8%以下,说明辐射以外的参数是模型模拟较不敏感因素。 相似文献
19.
Knowledge-Driven and Data-Driven Fuzzy Models for Predictive Mineral Potential Mapping 总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5
In this paper, we describe new fuzzy models for predictive mineral potential mapping: (1) a knowledge-driven fuzzy model that uses a logistic membership function for deriving fuzzy membership values of input evidential maps and (2) a data-driven model, which uses a piecewise linear function based on quantified spatial associations between a set of evidential evidence features and a set of known mineral deposits for deriving fuzzy membership values of input evidential maps. We also describe a graphical defuzzification procedure for the interpretation of output fuzzy favorability maps. The models are demonstrated for mapping base metal deposit potential in an area in the south-central part of the Aravalli metallogenic province in the state of Rajasthan, western India. The data-driven and knowledge-driven models described in this paper predict potentially mineralized zones, which occupy less than 10% of the study area and contain at least 83% of the model and validation base metal deposits. A cross-validation of the favorability map derived from using one of the models with the favorability map derived from using the other model indicates a remarkable similarity in their results. Both models therefore are useful for predicting favorable zones to guide further exploration work. 相似文献
20.
A personal computer-based geographic information system (GIS) is used to develop a geographic expert system (GES) for mapping and evaluating volcanogenic massive sulfide (VMS) deposit potential. The GES consists of an inference network to represent expert knowledge, and a GIS to handle the spatial analysis and mapping. Evidence from input maps is propagated through the inference network, combining information by means of fuzzy logic and Bayesian updating to yield new maps showing evaluation of hypotheses. Maps of evidence and hypotheses are defined on a probability scale between 0 and 1. Evaluation of the final hypothesis results in a mineral potential map, and the various intermediate hypotheses can also be shown in map form.The inference net, with associated parameters for weighting evidence, is based on a VMS deposit model for the Chisel Lake deposit, a producing mine in the Early Protoerzoic Snow Lake greenstone belt of northwest Manitoba. The model is applied to a small area mapped at a scale of 1:15,840. The geological map, showing lithological and alteration units, provides the basic input to the model. Spatial proximity to contacts of various kinds are particularly important. Three types of evidence are considered: stratigraphic, heat source, and alteration. The final product is a map showing the relative favorability for VMS deposits. The model is implemented as aFortran program, interfaced with the GIS. The sensitivity of the model to changes in the parameters is evaluated by comparing predicted areas of elevated potential with the spatial distribution of known VMS occurrences. 相似文献