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1.
流域水文模型计算域离散方法   总被引:7,自引:2,他引:7  
常用的概念性水文模型 ,能够很好地模拟水文时间变化过程 ,但没有考虑水文变量和水文参数的空间变化与空间不均匀性。随着空间数据的获取手段的增多以及空间离散技术的发展 ,考虑水文参数和水文变量空间变化的分布式水文模型得到了极大的发展。本文详细介绍了分布式流域水文模型中用到的几种不同计算域离散方法 ,并讨论了河道汇流模型中常用到的有结构网格和无结构离散网格。地理信息系统技术对计算域离散有辅助作用 ,其有利于无结构离散网格的自动生成和交互修改 ,并可结合遥感技术 ,使水文模型能获取精确的空间分布的水文参数和水文变量。  相似文献   

2.
基于Weibull函数和Gamma函数的环境污染与经济增长的关系   总被引:4,自引:1,他引:3  
宋涛  郑挺国  佟连军 《地理研究》2007,26(3):569-576
环境库兹涅茨曲线是研究环境污染与经济增长之间关系的有效工具。传统的环境库兹涅茨曲线研究大多采用线性模型或对数线性模型,其在采用模型描述关系的问题上存在一定的不足。为克服这些不足,本文采用Weibull函数和Gamma函数形式的面板数据模型对中国29个省区1989~2005年四种环境污染指标人均排放量与人均收入之间的关系予以研究。结果表明Weibull函数和Gamma函数的面板数据模型拟合效果较好,且参数具有较好的解释能力;人均废水和人均SO2都随人均收入增加先上升后减少,在25000元附近出现结构转变点,而人均固体废弃物和人均废气随人均收入增加则呈现单调增加的变化趋势,没有出现结构转变点。  相似文献   

3.
SWAT模型参数敏感性分析及应用   总被引:13,自引:0,他引:13  
地理信息系统(GIS)支持下的SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool)分布式水文模型以流域离散化空间参数来描述流域水文变化特性,从物理意义上表达流域内的水文过程,但众多不确定的参数影响了模型的应用效果,因此有必要对参数进行敏感性分析。将SWAT模型应用到祁连山黑河上游山区流域,进行了11年(1990-2000年)逐日径流模拟,通过一个简便的敏感性分析方法,将模型影响水文过程的参数分成4类敏感级别,最后确定模型的参数。在11年的逐日模拟中,1990-1995年为参数敏感性分析期和模型率定期,1996-2000年为模型的检验期,模拟结果显示,在黑河山区流域,丰水年逐日出山径流的模型效率系数R2达到0.8以上,平水年和枯水年R2在0.51~0.79之间。  相似文献   

4.
分布式水文模型软件系统研究综述   总被引:3,自引:1,他引:2  
分布式水文模型软件系统作为分布式水文模型的技术外壳,是模型应用的重要技术保障。当前分布式水文模型应用呈现出多过程综合模拟、用户群范围广和计算量大的特点,对分布式水文模型软件系统的灵活性、易用性和高效性提出了更高的要求。本文首先分析了分布式水文模型应用的主要流程,之后从应用视角对现有分布式水文模型软件系统的特点进行了归纳,主要结论为:①软件系统按照模型结构灵活性的高低分为以下3种类型:不支持子过程选择和算法设置,不支持子过程选择、但支持算法设置,同时支持子过程选择和算法设置;②根据用户操作数据预处理软件方式的不同,参数提取方式分为菜单/命令行式和向导式;③按照模型的程序实现方法分为串行和并行方式,按照模型运行环境分为本地和网络模式。现有软件系统在灵活性、易用性和高效性方面存在如下问题:一是尚未解决模型结构灵活性和对用户知识依赖性之间的矛盾;二是现有菜单/命令行式和向导式的参数提取方式步骤繁琐,难以实现参数的自动提取;三是模型大多为串行方式和本地模式,容易遇到计算瓶颈问题。最后从模块化、智能化、网络化及移动化、并行化和虚拟仿真等方面探讨了分布式水文模型软件系统的发展趋势和研究方向。  相似文献   

5.
基于DEM的分布式水文模型构建方法   总被引:52,自引:4,他引:52  
基于 DEM的分布式水文模型是现代水文学同高科技 (如计算机技术、 3S技术等 )相结合的产物 ,是研究变化环境下水文循环与水资源演化规律的理想工具 ,代表了水文模型的最新发展方向。从 DEM的特性出发 ,本文探讨并总结了分布式水文模型的特点、建模思路和模型基本结构框图。在流域离散化方面 ,重点介绍了分布式水文模型常用的三种单元划分方法 ;最后 ,针对分布式水文模型构建问题 ,从“输入模块”、“单元水文模型”、“河网汇流模型”三方面 ,阐述了分布式水文模型微结构构建方法。  相似文献   

6.
水文模型研究综述   总被引:22,自引:6,他引:16  
水文模型是水文学发展到一定阶段的产物。依照水文系统的概念,给水文模型下了一个粗略的定义。在初步分析水文模型发展历程的基础上,划分了水文模型的发展阶段。汇总了水文模型的11种分类。依照系统理论模型、概念性模型和分布式模型的分类标准,对各类水文模型的优缺点进行了分析和比较,并探讨了水文模型的可能发展方向。  相似文献   

7.
湿地与周边水文系统通过复杂的水文过程相互联系和影响,具有整体性和复杂性.研究湿地与周边水文系统相互作用过程和机理,对湿地保护和恢复起着重要的作用.以美国奥克弗诺基(Okefenokee)流域为案例,构建包含沼泽地表水、沼泽地下水、高地地表水和高地地下水4个水文子系统的流域水文网络模型,采用生态网络分析方法中的效用、控制和单位元分析研究水文单元间作用关系.控制分析的结果显示,高地地表水和地下水两个子系统对沼泽地表水和地下水子系统的支持程度达到100%.无论是沼泽还是松林高地,其地表水和地下水之间存在高度的相互依赖和互补性.效用分析结果表明,沼泽地表水和高地地下水之间存在着互利的水文关系.而单位元分析结果显示,沼泽地下水深层渗漏和高地松树生态系统的蒸散过程是袭夺流域湿地系统水资源的重要一环.上述结果表明,生态网络分析方法可以有效地分析水文单元之间的作用过程、描述水文单元之间直接和间接的水文关系,可以用于流域湿地水资源管理.  相似文献   

8.
SWAT分布式流域水文物理模型的改进及应用研究   总被引:33,自引:2,他引:31  
张东  张万昌  朱利  朱求安 《地理科学》2005,25(4):434-440
SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) 模型是一个集成遥感 (RS)、地理信息系统 (GIS) 和数字高程模型(DEM)技术的先进的分布式流域水文物理模型。为了推动该模型在中国的适应性研究及应用,并改进模型以提高水文模拟的精度,针对模型在中国西北寒旱区的黑河流域和中西部温润的汉江流域的水文模拟中发现的问题进行了扩充和改进,增加了土壤粒径转换模块和天气发生器(WGEN)数据预处理模块,改进了模型中的WGEN算法、潜在蒸散量模拟算法以及气象参数的空间离散方法。利用扩充和改进后的模型对汉江褒河上游江口流域的降雨-径流过程进行了系统的研究。结果表明,不仅模型的使用效率有明显提高,而且改进后模型的效率系数和相关系数也比改进前有较大改善。  相似文献   

9.
在粗糙集的基本概念上,基于上、下近似集定义了二维离散空间中的粗糙区域和粗糙模型,用粗糙模型描述二维离散空间中的模糊地理对象,并给出了粗糙区域的3种类型:确定—确定类型、确定—模糊类型、模糊—模糊类型。在离散空间的空间连接计算理论RCC-D-5的基础上,定义了模糊地理对象拓扑关系之间的拓扑约束关系,并依据概念临近推演和拓扑约束关系,研究得出二维离散空间中简单模糊地理对象之间的73种全拓扑关系,并基于4×4相交包含矩阵进行了描述,使得复杂的拓扑关系在计算机中描述和表达成为可能。  相似文献   

10.
基于栅格数据的流域降雨径流模型   总被引:30,自引:0,他引:30  
沈晓东  王腊春 《地理学报》1995,50(3):264-271
本文在研究降雨时空分布不均匀与下垫面自然地理参数空间分布不均匀,对降雨径流过程影响的基础上,提出了一种在地理信息系统支持下的动态分布式降雨径流流域模型,实现了基于栅格的坡面产汇流与河道汇流的数值模拟,能够获得流域上任意模拟时刻任意栅格的径流量。模型视栅格为水文一致性单元,水文参数在栅格内一致,在相邻栅格间变化,采用Holtan模型计算下渗率,水量平衡方程和线性水库的马斯京根法进行栅格产汇流演算,模  相似文献   

11.
离散选择模型研究进展   总被引:4,自引:2,他引:2  
王灿  王德  朱玮  宋姗 《地理科学进展》2015,34(10):1275-1287
本文从离散选择模型(discrete choice model, DCM)体系的一般原理和应用价值出发,总结了各经典模型的基本理论和典型应用,并概括了近来年一些重要的研究新动向。多项Logit模型(multinomial logit model, MNL)是离散选择模型体系的基础,具有简洁、可靠、易实现等优点,但也存在固有的理论缺陷,由此产生了对更加精细化模型的需求。替代的精细化模型中,嵌套Logit模型(nested logit model, NL)常用于处理备选项相关、“都不选”备选项、数据合并等问题,一般极值模型(generalized extreme value model, GEV)体系是其更一般的形式;混合Logit模型(mixed logit model, MXL)可用于解决随机偏好问题和多种相关问题,包括备选项相关、面版数据相关、随机系数相关、数据合并等,与之类似的潜在类别模型也有着广泛应用;多项Probit模型(multinomial probit model, MNP)具有极高的灵活性,但其复杂的模型设定与庞大的运算量大大制约了其应用范围。本文在研究新动向上介绍了4个重要的研究关注点:由多种经典模型形式相结合而成的复杂模型;面向RP/SP数据、定序、排序、多选等不同数据类型的适宜模型;基于各种受限理性选择策略的更为真实的模型;以及考虑选择的时空背景的模型。  相似文献   

12.
Even though drought is difficult to define precisely, rainfall is the most widely used indicator of drought. This paper presents a methodology on modeling of the agricultural drought duration. For this purpose, study area was divided into four hydrologic homogeneous sections as W, CN, CS and E. To constitute the monthly time series of each section, the number of days in each month in which daily rainfall was less than the water consumption of the critical crop was assumed to be drought periods. Then, constituted monthly time series of drought durations of each hydrologic homogeneous section was simulated using ARIMA model. No linear trend was observed for the time series except that of the CS section. In general, the predicted data from the selected best models for the time series of each section represents the actual data of that section.  相似文献   

13.
The estimation of flow quantiles and the regionalization of hydrologic characteristics are two major foci of current hydrologic research. A flow-duration curve represents the annual flow-frequency characteristics of rivers by depicting the cumulative frequencies for average ranked flows in a river. Generally the process requires the empirical estimation of the mean flow at each of 365 ranks. A model requiring only five parameters is developed by combining the principles of order statistics and traditional flow-frequency analyses and is applied to flow-duration curves for rivers in the province of British Columbia, Canada. Results from the model may be interpreted both statistically and physically and allow the identification of hydrologically similar regions. Streamflows in British Columbia are generated from a number of distinct physical processes operating in highly diverse environments. The mixture of the streamflow-generating processes requires that the statistical model be capable of encompassing the different flow-frequency regimes. Identification of hydrologic regions also depends on the inclusion of these generating processes. The model presented incorporates the physical generating processes of streamflow in both the statistical representation of flow-duration curves and their interpretation. Similarly, the spatial model presents hydrologic regions that correspond to the known physical environment. [Key words: regionalization, hydrologic models, daily discharge, flow frequency, rivers, British Columbia.]  相似文献   

14.
15.
Despite a long history of synergy, current techniques for integrating Geographic Information System (GIS) software with hydrologic simulation models do not fully utilize the potential of GIS for modeling hydrologic systems. Part of the reason for this is a lack of GIS data models appropriate for representing fluid flow in space and time. Here we address this challenge by proposing a spatiotemporal data model designed specifically for large‐scale river basin systems. The data model builds from core concepts in geographic information science and extends these concepts to accommodate mathematical representations of fluid flow at a regional scale. Space–time is abstracted into three basic objects relevant to hydrologic systems: a control volume, a flux and a flux coupler. A control volume is capable of storing mass, energy or momentum through time, a flux represents the movement of these quantities within space–time and a flux coupler insures conservation of the quantities within an overall system. To demonstrate the data model, a simple case study is presented to show how the data model could be applied to digitally represent a river basin system.  相似文献   

16.
占车生  宁理科  邹靖  韩建 《地理学报》2018,73(5):893-905
陆面水文过程是全球/区域气候模式十分重要而又十分薄弱的环节。本文通过科学文献计量法,分析了陆面水文—气候耦合研究的发展状况及研究热点和趋势,并进一步对研究中存在的问题和挑战进行综述和探讨。现有多数气候模式中的陆面模式主要基于一维垂向结构设计,缺乏对流域尺度水文过程的精细描述,尤其缺乏下垫面人类活动影响的描述。因此,为了科学认识水文过程与气候变化的相互反馈作用机制,大量研究主要通过耦合流域水文模型与气候模式,研究不同时空尺度下水文过程变化的气候反馈效应。陆面过程模式中水文过程的改进和大尺度水文模型发展为陆面水文—气候耦合模拟奠定基础,在此基础上,陆面水文—气候耦合研究正从传统的单向耦合研究逐步发展为考虑气候—水文反馈的双向耦合研究。然而,双向耦合研究远未成熟,其问题集中表现为陆面水文—气候模型耦合过程如何匹配并提高系统稳定性、研制有效的尺度转换方案、完善参数化方案并评估参数不确定性、研制有效参数移植方法并提高模型适用性以及高分辨率甚至超分辨率模拟等方面,逐步解决上述问题并提高模拟精度是未来水文—气候耦合模拟研究的重要发展方向。  相似文献   

17.
Summary. The Backus–Gilbert theory is extended to the case when the models are piecewise continuous vector functions of depth with variable discontinuity locations. In addition, some of the layers may be represented by linear combinations of known functions. For such layers only a finite number of discrete parameters is to be determined. The iterative process for obtaining a model satisfying the data is convergent, the numerical procedure by which the iterations are performed being equivalent to the method of spectral decomposition for continuous structures. The method of obtaining the Fréchet kernels by using the first perturbation of the differential system satisfied by the corresponding functionals is shown to be valid.
The theory is applied to the magnetotelluric problem, Fréchet kernels being calculated for isotropic and non-isotropic structures.
A few numerical examples are described.  相似文献   

18.
Abstract

A vector-based geographical information system (GIS) is used to generate a variably-sized triangular element finite-element mesh from mappable features. Important digitally-mapped features are automatically linked to nodes in the finite-element model, ensuring an efficient, virtually error-free alternative to the tedious process of mesh design and data-input preparation by other methods. The procedure permits the user to work interactively with graphically-displayed hydrologic information about the study area allowing different mesh sizes to be used as needed, based on hydrologic complexity. The mesh-generaiion programs are stand-alone macros within the GIS that set up the basic data defining a finite-element mesh for many different finite-element model programs.  相似文献   

19.
A novel procedure to analyse the uncertainty associated to the output of GIS-based models is presented. The procedure can handle models of any degree of complexity that accept any kind of input data. Two important aspects of spatial modelling are addressed: the propagation of uncertainty from model inputs and model parameters up to the model output (uncertainty analysis); and the assessment of the relative importance of the sources of uncertainty in the output uncertainty (sensitivity analysis). Two main applications are proposed. The procedure allows implementation of a GIS-based model whose output can reliably support the decision process with an optimized allocation of resources for spatial data acquisition. This is possible in low cost strategy, based on numerical simulations on a small prototype of the GIS-based model. Furthermore, the procedure provides an effective model building tool to choose, from a group of alternative models, the best one in terms of cost-benefit analysis. A comprehensive case study is described. It concerns the implementation of a new GIS-based hydrologic model, whose goal is providing near real-time flood forecasting.  相似文献   

20.
Sky models are quantitative representations of natural luminance of the sky under various atmospheric conditions. They have been used extensively in studies of architectural design for nearly a century, and more recently for rendering objects in the field of computer graphics. The objectives of this paper are to (1) describe sky models, (2) demonstrate how map designers can render terrain under various sky models in a typical geographic information system (GIS), (3) illustrate potential enhancements to terrain renderings using sky models, and (4) discuss how sky models, with their well-established standards from a different discipline, might contribute to a virtual geographic environment (VGE).

Current GIS hill-shading tools use the Lambertian assumption which can be related to a simple point light source at an infinite distance to render terrain. General sky models allow the map designer to choose from a gamut of sky models standardized by the International Commission on Illumination (CIE). We present a computer application that allows the map designer to select a general sky model and to use existing GIS tools to illuminate any terrain under that model. The application determines the orientations and weights of many discrete point light sources that, in the aggregate, approximate the illumination provided by the chosen sky model. We discuss specific enhancements to terrains that are shaded and shadowed with these general sky models, including additional detail of secondary landforms with soft shadows and more realistic shading contrasts. We also illustrate how non-directional illumination models result in renderings that lack the perceptual relief effect. Additionally, we argue that this process of creating hill-shaded visualizations of terrain with sky models shows parallels to other geo-simulations, and that basing such work on standards from the computer graphics industry shows potential for its use in VGE.  相似文献   


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