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1.
American Association of Petroleum Geologists Energy Minerals Division 《Natural Resources Research》2009,18(2):65-83
This paper summarizes five 2007–2008 resource commodity committee reports prepared by the Energy Minerals Division (EMD) of
the American Association of Petroleum Geologists. Current United States and global research and development activities related
to gas hydrates, gas shales, geothermal resources, oil sands, and uranium resources are included in this review. These commodity
reports were written to advise EMD leadership and membership of the current status of research and development of unconventional
energy resources. Unconventional energy resources are defined as those resources other than conventional oil and natural gas
that typically occur in sandstone and carbonate rocks. Gas hydrate resources are potentially enormous; however, production
technologies are still under development. Gas shale, geothermal, oil sand, and uranium resources are now increasing targets
of exploration and development, and are rapidly becoming important energy resources that will continue to be developed in
the future.
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2.
This article examines the relationships between foreign direct investment (FDI) and natural resource depletion and natural resource rents for a longitudinal (2005–2013: N?=?125 nations) sample of less developed countries (LDCs). Theoretically, we argue that FDI contributes to increased ecological withdrawals and dependence on the natural resource sector for economic growth within countries. We hypothesized that LDCs with higher levels of FDI would also have higher levels of natural resource depletion and income (i.e., rents). We assess whether this hypothesized relationship holds across nations in our sample for four different natural resource depletion and rents measures (energy, forest, mineral, and total natural resources). We find strong support for our hypotheses regarding natural resource depletion and resource rents, with the exception of energy rents. The outcome lends support to the ecological withdrawal and ecostructural theory of foreign investment dependence perspectives. 相似文献
3.
科技进步与水土资源是促进经济可持续发展的有力杠杆及资源保证,劳动力是农村经济发展的重要主体。运用生态足迹理论计算了1990-2015年的新疆农村生态人口承载力,该指标代表了农村经济可持续发展水平,并建立与农业全要素生产率、科技投入占总投入比率、水资源灌溉利用率、耕地复耕指数、新疆劳动力转移、劳动力转移性收入的VAR模型。研究结果表明：新疆农村人均资源占有量不断地增大,可承载生态人口数量逐年下降;科技投入目前对于新疆农村经济可持续发展的影响并不明显,短期看来,农业全要素生产率对于其发展有抑制作用,但长期看来有巨大的促进作用;在短期,水资源灌溉利用率有抑制作用,但在长期,有拉动作用;耕地复耕指数长期有抑制作用;短期来说,劳动力转移和劳动力转移性收入对于其发展有促进作用,长期有抑制作用。 相似文献
4.
可持续发展评判的指标体系是对可持续发展进行科学评判和决策的一个重要组成部分.从经济、社会、人口、资源、环境5个方面构建了由35个指标构成的哈尔滨市的可持续发展指标体系,并对其1995～2004年的可持续发展趋势进行了分析.分析结果表明,哈尔滨市从1995～2004年经济发展一直呈现稳步上升的趋势,社会、人口、环境和资源子系统呈现比较波动的趋势.2000年后,逐渐进入环境质量提高、资源消耗量下降的时期,环境污染、资源消耗与发展的综合指数越来越低,发展趋势也渐好,说明哈尔滨市的可持续发展的能力在不断提高. 相似文献
5.
全球化背景下资源型城市可持续发展探讨 总被引：21，自引：0，他引：21
资源型城市是我国重要的城市类型之一。在市场经济迅速发展和日益加剧的全球化背景下 ,资源型城市如何实现可持续发展 ,不仅对这类城市本身、而且对我国社会经济可持续发展都具有至关重要的影响。本文在分析全球化对资源型城市影响的基础上 ,通过对我国资源型城市的实际情况进行宏观分析 ,以及对陕西铜川这样的以煤炭资源为主的资源型城市的案例分析后 ,提出了我国资源型城市可持续发展的基本对策 :(1 )主动适应全球化趋势 ,充分发挥资源优势 ,发展优势产业 ;(2 )提高资源利用效率 ,逐步实现资源密集型向技术密集型的转变 ;(3 )有效保护资源 ,实现资源的可持续利用与经济的可持续发展 ;(4)完善资源市场体系 ,促进资源的合理开发利用。 相似文献
6.
Conventional oil and gas productions in Louisiana has been in decline for four decades, but in recent years, new technology
and capital investment have opened up a significant new resource play in the Haynesville shale, reversing Louisiana’s gas
production decline. The need for long-term forecasting has become more important for state planning and for facilitating efficient
regulatory development and incentive programs, as the largest oil and gas fields diminish in productivity and the promise
of unconventional resources are realized. The purpose of this article is to present a hydrocarbon production forecast for
Louisiana using disaggregate resource classes and a transparent analytic framework. A field-level evaluation is employed for
producing fields categorized by primary product, resource category, geographic area, and production class. Undiscovered fields
are classified according to conventional and unconventional categories and are modeled using a probabilistic and scenario-based
forecast. The analytic framework is described along with a discussion of the model results and limitations of the analysis.
Louisiana is in the early stages of transitioning to a primarily gas-producing state, and the manner in which the Haynesville
shale develops will play a critical role in deliverability and economic prospects in the future. 相似文献
7.
俄罗斯油气资源空间分布格局及可达性评估 总被引：2，自引：4，他引：2
俄罗斯地区油气资源储量十分丰富,未探明储量的地区也有巨大的资源应用前景。随着气候变化加剧,北极通航变为可能,俄罗斯也寄希望于通过北极航道,大力发展其能源贸易。本文将俄罗斯交通网络作为连接资源和港口的重点,采用空间统计方法刻化俄罗斯油气资源空间分布特征,并通过栅格成本距离法、加权平均旅行时间和区位优势潜力等方法量化各港口对油气资源的可达性,得出结论：① 油气资源集中分布在西西伯利亚平原,俄罗斯全域的港口可达性呈“西部高,中部低”的特征;② 俄罗斯东北地区港口的资源可达性普遍较差,西北地区港口资源可达性较好。综合考虑油气资源、地理位置和项目合作等方面,可重点建设萨别塔、摩尔曼斯克和符拉迪沃斯托克（海参崴）3个港口;③ 附近交通网络的布设密集度影响港口的资源可达性。随着气候变暖,冻土融化,加上中俄“冰上丝绸之路”倡议的逐步实施,未来远东地区港口的资源可达性可能有进一步提升的空间。 相似文献
8.
Efstathios E. Michaelides 《Natural Resources Research》2017,26(2):161-175
A critical examination of Hubbert’s model proves that it does not account for several factors that have significantly influenced the production of petroleum and other fossil fuels. The effect of these factors comes into the price of the fossil fuels, and the latter has a significant influence on the demand and rate of production of energy resources as well as on the long-term rate of production growth at both the regional and global levels. Based on several observations of historical production data, a simple mathematical model is constructed and presented in this paper for the lifetime of a fossil fuel resource. The recent data of global petroleum and natural gas production show that a very important period in the life of energy resources is a period when the demand of these resources increases almost linearly. The linear part of the production curve makes the entire lifetime production of the resource asymmetric. Information on the total available quantity of a resource at any time and of the average slope during this linear period yields an estimate of the timescale, T 2, when peak production is reached and depletion follows. The total available quantity of the energy resource is laden with significant uncertainty, which propagates in the estimates of the timescale of the peak production in any resource model. The time asymmetry of the current model leads to a delay of the timescale, when the onset of the resource production commences (e.g., peak oil). However, the rate of the resource production decline is significantly higher than that predicted by other models that use a symmetrical curve-fitting method. 相似文献
9.
中国海洋油气资源开发与国家石油安全战略对策 总被引：17，自引：3，他引：14
石油是中国能源安全的核心问题,随着我国石油供应对外依赖程度的增大,石油安全问题越来越突出,将会成为我国21世纪经济、社会可持续发展面临的一个重要问题。我国是海洋油气资源丰富的国家,广阔的海域中分布着近100×104km2的含油沉积盆地,近海石油资源量为240×108t,天然气资源量为140×1012m3。海洋油气资源的开发利用,将能部分解决我国油气资源进口数量。本文讨论了解决石油安全的四种模式,对我国油气安全的国际和国内条件进行了分析,提出了解决我国油气安全的战略对策。 相似文献
10.
东非油气资源开发始于一战前,二战后出现第一个勘探高峰期。随着冷战结束,东非油气资源开发的力度不断加大,国际能源公司纷纷入驻。在中小型能源公司的积极开拓下,于2006年以后相继取得重大勘探成果。东非油气资源已呈现出分布广、储量大的特点,并吸引一批国际大型能源公司的投资,加快了能源产业的发展,推动了能源立法的建设。随着东非在全球能源版图中地位的凸显,地区外大国在该地区的博弈也日趋激烈。东非各国则获得发展的新机遇,并将推进地区一体化进程。然而,若东非各国不能妥善处理政府能力问题、腐败问题、经济结构问题、利益分配问题、恐怖主义问题等,将有可能陷入"资源诅咒"的陷阱中。 相似文献
11.
Stranded gas resources are defined for this study as gas resources in discrete accumulations that are not currently commercially producible, or producible at full potential, for either physical or economic reasons. Approximately 35 trillion cubic feet (TCF) of stranded gas was identified on Alaska’s North Slope. The commercialization of this resource requires facilities to transport gas to markets where sales revenue will be sufficient to offset the cost of constructing and operating a gas delivery system. With the advent of the shale gas revolution, plans for a gas pipeline to the conterminous US have been shelved (at least temporarily) and the State and resource owners are considering a liquefied natural gas (LNG) export project that targets Asian markets. This paper focuses on competitive conditions for Asian gas import markets by estimating delivered costs of competing supplies from central Asia, Russia, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Australia in the context of a range of import gas demand projections for the period from 2020 to 2040. These suppliers’ costs are based on the cost of developing, producing, and delivering to markets tranches of the nearly 600 TCF of recoverable gas from their own conventional stranded gas fields. The results of these analyses imply that Alaska’s gas exports to Asia will likely encounter substantial competitive challenges. The sustainability of Asia’s oil-indexed LNG pricing is also discussed in light of a potentially intense level of competition. 相似文献
12.
中国北方未来干旱化情景下的土地利用变化模拟 总被引：21，自引：1，他引：20
目前,中国北方未来干旱化过程对土地系统的可能影响还不是十分清楚,这将在一定程度上限制中国北方土地资源的合理开发利用。因此,利用系统动力学 (SD) 的原理和方法,首先构建了中国北方未来干旱化过程影响下的土地利用变化系统动力学模型。进而在不同系统状态下,模拟了中国北方13省未来30年不同干旱化过程和社会经济情景共同影响下的区域土地利用结构变化过程。1989~2001年的模型检验结果表明该SD模型具有一定的可靠性,能在一定程度上理解土地利用系统的复杂变化过程。2000~2030年在干旱化过程转折、不明显和加速3种情景下的情景模拟结果发现,干旱化过程对中国北方未来水资源总量变化影响明显。在干旱化过程3种情景下,北方13省水资源总量从4686.17亿m3下降到3887.88亿m3,水资源正逐渐成为稀缺资源,并成为区域可持续发展的重要制约因素。在中国北方人口增加和经济发展的持续压力下,建筑用地和交通用地在未来增长迅速。城镇,交通等生活型用地与耕地资源之间的矛盾将会十分突出。因此,在未来的发展中,寻求合理的土地利用结构和格局,适应气候变化和社会经济因素的共同压力,将是中国北方区域可持续发展过程中必须面临和解决的问题。 相似文献
13.
Liaoning Province is in a critical period of economic transformation. The rational utilization of ecological resources and the balance of the relationship between the resource environment and economic growth have become the key factors affecting its sustainable economic development. This paper uses data from the Human Development Index and an ecological footprint to construct the ecological well-being performance of Liaoning Province from 2006 to 2016. It then examines the relationship of ecological well-being performance with economic growth, considers the factors influencing the well-being level effect, and analyzes the trends for sustainable economic development from the perspective of ecological well-being. There is a horizontal comparison of the current situation of ecological well-being performance in Liaoning Province and with other coastal provinces in China and clarification of the stage and development gap. The conclusions show that: 1) The trend of ecological well-being performance in Liaoning Province during this period first decreased and then rose, with this movement mainly affected by changes in the ecological footprint; 2) There is a U-shaped relationship between ecological well-being performance and economic growth, and resource consumption contributes less to promote well-being; 3) There are three stages to the sustainable development trend: inferior, medium and advanced. When compared with others coastal provinces, Liaoning Province belongs to the high consumption and low well-being type. 相似文献
14.
入世对我国常规化石能源产业发展的影响分析 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
能源作为关系国家经济发展和国家政治经济安全的重要物质基础,一直受到人们的普遍关注。中国加入世界贸易组织后,随着经济全球化和贸易自由化进程的加快,必然会对国内乃至世界能源的开发和利用产生一系列的影响。文章试图从目前我国的能源现状出发,多角度的探讨入世对我国煤炭、石油、天然气产业发展带来的机遇和挑战,以期能够为我国今后的能源产业发展实践提供一些参考。 相似文献
15.
水是最重要的自然资源之一,水资源的可利用量取决于自然条件和人为因素两个方面。亚洲中部干旱区水资源有限,近年来河湖萎缩、生态环境系统退化,已成为区域社会经济持续发展的瓶颈。以丝绸之路经济带沿线国家之一哈萨克斯坦内按照水资源需求程度划分的八大流域作为研究区,在进行各个流域水质及水资源现状特征分析的基础上,通过径流占比、人为影响程度以及水资源需求程度等3项指标分别对八大流域水资源进行综合评估,并采用可变模糊优选模型评价哈萨克斯坦境内不同流域人类活动对水资源的影响程度,对八大流域进行轻微、中等和显著等3个影响程度的等级划分。结果表明：人类活动对锡尔河-咸海及伊希姆河流域水资源以及水环境的影响程度处于显著水平,而且前者流域水质污染问题较为严重;乌拉尔河-里海流域的地表径流占比最高,但该区域因大量油气资源开发对水资源需求量非常高,处于危险等级。巴尔喀什湖-阿拉湖流域的用水需求处于临界程度,属于第三类（处于危重程度）。额尔齐斯河流域水储量最为丰富,但流域中游哈萨克斯坦境内矿产开发引起的水质污染严重。另外,近几十年来哈萨克斯坦地表径流变化分析表明,1965年以来年总径流量减少39.4 km3,其中跨境径流量减少23 km3,境内径流减少16.5 km3。近年虽然灌溉面积和工业活动减少,年均耗水量也有所减少,但是人口增长导致公共服务和生活等方面耗水量增加2.58 km3,区域水资源供需矛盾日益凸显。因此,需要综合考虑各国利益和整个区域社会经济与生态环境的和谐可持续发展,共同商定水资源开发利用及保护的措施。 相似文献
16.
以徐州市贾汪矿区1986、1996、2006和2016年4期遥感影像为数据源,基于CLUE-S模型,在传统Logistics回归模型的基础上引入空间自相关因子形成Autologistic回归模型,选取政策、自然环境、社会经济和空间约束等因素,对贾汪矿区2016年土地利用空间分布格局进行模拟以检验精度。在此基础上对研究区2026年趋势发展、经济发展和生态保护3种情景下的土地利用空间分布格局进行了模拟。结果表明：1）Autologistic回归模型在土地利用情景模拟过程中能够更好地反映真实的土地利用格局;2）研究区2016－2026年不同情景下,建设用地在3种情景下均呈现明显的增加趋势,未利用地面积持续减少,其中经济发展情景下建设用的增幅最大,生态保护用地情景下建设用地增幅最小,在生态保护情景下,林地、耕地等生态用地受到保护,建设用地的扩展速度被抑制。
关键词：土地利用变化;CLUE-S模型;Autologistic回归模型;情景模拟;贾汪矿区 相似文献
17.
Mikael Höök Bengt Söderbergh Kristofer Jakobsson Kjell Aleklett 《Natural Resources Research》2009,18(1):39-56
The giant oil fields of the world are only a small fraction of the total number of fields, but their importance is huge. Over
50% of the world’s oil production came from giants by 2005 and more than half of the world’s ultimate reserves are found in
giants. Based on this, it is reasonable to assume that the future development of the giant oil fields will have a significant
impact on the world oil supply. In order to better understand the giant fields and their future behavior, one must first understand
their history. This study has used a comprehensive database on giant oil fields in order to determine their typical parameters,
such as the average decline rate and life-times of giants. The evolution of giant oil field behavior has been investigated
to better understand future behavior. One conclusion is that new technology and production methods have generally led to high
depletion rates and rapid decline. The historical trend points towards high decline rates of fields currently on plateau production.
The peak production generally occurs before half the ultimate reserves have been produced in giant oil fields. A strong correlation
between depletion-at-peak and average decline rate is also found, verifying that high depletion rate leads to rapid decline.
Our result also implies that depletion analysis can be used to rule out unrealistic production expectations from a known reserve,
or to connect an estimated production level to a needed reserve base. 相似文献
18.
黄河流域节水高效农业建设的紧迫性及途径探讨 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
黄河流域由于水资源短缺,供需矛盾日益尖锐。本文在分析黄河流域水资源开发利用现状与建设高效节水农业紧迫性的基础上,对黄河流域建设节水高效农业的潜力进行了评价,并根据黄河流域上、中、下游水资源特点和农业生产现状对其节水高效农业的建设途径进行了探讨。建设高效节水的现代灌溉农业和现代旱地农业是黄河流域农业用水战略的必然选择。研究结果和结论对该区域维持21世纪农业可持续发展具有重要意义。 相似文献
19.
Considerations of mineral resource availability and depletion form part of a diverse array of sustainable development-oriented studies, across domains such as resource criticality, life cycle assessment and material flow analysis. Given the multidisciplinary nature of these studies, it is important that a common understanding of the complexity and nuances of mineral supply chains be developed. In this paper, we provide a brief overview of these assessment approaches and expand on several areas that are conceptually difficult to account for in these studies. These include the dynamic nature of relationships between reserves, resources, cut-off grades and ore grades; the ability to account for local economic, social and environmental factors when performing global assessments; and the role that technology improvements play in increasing the availability of economically extractable mineral resources. Advancing knowledge in these areas may further enhance the sophistication and interpretation of studies that assess mineral resource depletion or availability. 相似文献
20.
基于可持续发展能力评价的资源性城市产业转型研究--以新疆克拉玛依市为例 总被引：13，自引：1，他引：12
资源型城市是我国城市类型中十分重要的一类城市,由于产业结构的单一性和区位的相对劣势,其发展存在着较大障碍,并不同程度地面临着资源枯竭之后城市如何持续发展这一严峻问题。本文以新疆克拉玛依市为例,运用层次分析法对克拉玛依市的可持续发展能力进行了定量分析,提出影响克拉玛依可持续发展的突出问题是其产业结构的单一化,通过对克拉玛依市产业结构现状的分析评价,提出了产业转型的战略选择及战略重点。以此作为典型实例分析,希望能给其它类似的城市、区域一些启示。 相似文献