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1.
采用英国Hadley中心1974-2006年逐月的北太平洋海表温度资料和NCEP/NCAR的北半球500hPa和1000hPa高度场资料,利用一元回归和相关分析等统计方法,研究各月北太平洋海温的变化特征、探讨冬季西北太平洋海温关键区,然后分析关键区海温与气象场的联系.结果表明,北太平洋海温变率较大的地方出现在我国东部的西北太平洋地区,年代际变化为上升趋势;海温与前一年12月和同期1月500hPa位势高度场的相关最好.表现为冬季东亚大槽对关键区海温的显著影响.1月关键区海温与后期5-6月西太平洋副高存在较显著的正相关,即1月关键区海温升高,同年5-6月副高亦加强,即反映冬季北太平洋SST对西太平洋副高的影响.  相似文献   

2.
本文应用统计方法,首先探讨南方涛动指数与西北太平洋副热带高压的联系,然后分析赤道和热带太平洋区域海温对南方涛动的响应情况,同时分析南方涛动响应区域的海温与当时及滞后的西北太平洋副热带高压的联系,从中探讨南方涛动、厄尔尼诺海温异常及西北太平洋副热带高压之间的一种可能的相互作用机制。  相似文献   

3.
冬夏季热带太平洋至印度洋次表层海温变化的模态特征   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0  
采用美国Scripps海洋研究所的1955—1998年全球海洋上层海水温度月距平资料,对热带太平洋至印度洋各层海温进行经验正交函数分解,分析其主要模态特征。结果表明:热带太平洋至印度洋次表层海温场主要表现出东、西太平洋海温异常反位相变化的特征,异常强度冬季明显强于夏季。冬季赤道东太平洋40m层,东印度洋至西太平洋120m层,夏季赤道东太平洋40m层,东印度洋至西太平洋160m层为海温异常的显著区域。冬季0—60m层第一特征向量表现出厄尔尼诺(拉尼娜)模态特征,第二特征向量表现出海温异常的东西运移模态特征,80—400m层第一特征向量表现出西太平洋暖池模态特征,第二特征向量表现出海温异常的东西运移模态特征。夏季0—60m层特征向量表现出厄尔尼诺(拉尼娜)模态,80—400m层特征向量表现出西太平洋暖池模态特征。  相似文献   

4.
本文考察了西南区夏季(5~8月)降水距平分布与太平洋海温场的统计相关,认为与冬季太平洋海温场存在三个显著相关区;在此基础上,分析了其相关的物理机制,得到了基本的物理规律,为西南区夏季降水长期预报提供了有意义的参考经验。  相似文献   

5.
热带海洋热状况是影响中国气候变化的主要因子之一,为了研究热带次表层海温如何影响中国气候,通过相关计算和合成分析等方法讨论了热带太平洋至印度洋次表层海温异常对中国东部夏季降水和温度的影响。结果表明:当冬季赤道东印度洋至西太平洋次表层海温偏暖(偏冷),中印度洋和东太平洋次表层海温偏冷(偏暖),夏季,长江中下游地区降水偏少(偏多),华南、华北和东北大部地区降水偏多(偏少);中国东部大范围高温(低温)。其可能的影响途径为,东亚夏季风环流对热带次表层海温异常的响应导致了其年际变化,进而引起中国东部夏季气候的异常分布。  相似文献   

6.
为了认识川渝冬季降水与海温之间的关系,利用川渝地区44个站点降水资料和海表温度资料并借助EOF分解、小波分析和相关分析等方法,讨论了川渝冬季年际降水变化特征及其与前期海温异常之间的关系。结果表明:川渝冬季年际降水空间分布主要有3个类型,EOFl型为川渝冬季降水的一致偏多(偏少),EOF2型为川渝西南部、东部降水偏少(偏多),而川渝地区西北部、中部降水偏多(偏少);EOF3型为川渝西南部降水偏多(偏少),而东北部降水偏少(偏多);EOF1型和EOF2型降水与前期海温的相关明显小于EOF3型并较为分散,EOF3型降水与前期夏季、秋季海温在热带中、东太平洋和印度洋中、北部呈现非常显著的正相关,对应ENSO特征非常明显。  相似文献   

7.
本文对我国汛期降水进行了旋转主分量分析,得到6个最基本的降水型,并利用北太平洋超前一年各季的海表温度与这6个降水型求相关,得到24张相关图。分析相关图的结果表明:黑潮海域的海表温度对我国东部绝大部分地区降水很敏感;影响我国江淮流域降水的海温区有几个,因而使得江淮流域旱涝情况特别复杂也难以预报;我国汛期降水和北太平洋海表温度的相关具有不同的时滞现象,绝大多数与冬半年的海温有密切联系,充分反映了海气相互作用具有十分复杂的机制。  相似文献   

8.
本文首先利用交叉相关系数经验自然正交展开,分析了太平洋海温场与我国气温场的遥相关,得出了相关关联区;在此基础上,通过复经验自然正交展开(CEOF),对关联区的海温和气温时空变化及相互联系作了讨论。  相似文献   

9.
应用EOF(经验正交函数)迭代方案,考虑多时次历史资料,在全球海区海温与四川盆地气温非同步联系的基础上,以海温为预报因子进行了夏季气温的长期预报。结果表明:西太平洋高温区等关键海区海温的异常对未来四川盆地夏季气温变化有重要影响,由此建立的引入多时次海温的EOF迭代长期温度预报方法,具有较强的预报能力  相似文献   

10.
自动网格法程序的数值模拟测试   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
为了测试改进后的程序,原始网格图和变形网格图皆由计算机生成。在生成变形网格图时,考虑了刚体移动、刚体转动、一般变形这三种变形,另外还生成一幅中间缺少网格点的大变形图像。结果表明:在不同的变形情况下,尤其在中间缺少网格点的大变形下,虽然网格点分布不规则,但是程序仍然能够自动分割、编码,而且准确无误;呈二值化分布的网格点误差为0.0058像素以下,呈高斯分布的误差为0.00076像素以下。  相似文献   

11.
四川"9.3"大暴雨中的水汽输送分析   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4  
利用NCEP/NCAR再分析资料对四川“9.3”大暴雨中水汽来源进行了讨论。结果表明,这次暴雨的水汽主要来源于南海、西太平洋地区;异常水汽输送在这次暴雨中占了较大的比例。暴雨日及前3天的异常水汽输送表明,造成此次川东暴雨的异常水汽来源于西太平洋经南海、东海、黄海的向北水汽输送和暴雨区北方的向南水汽输送,以及青藏高原的异常偏西风输送,孟加拉湾的水汽输送对异常强降水并没有明显的作用。大暴雨发生的前期,副高突然异常加强西伸。  相似文献   

12.
To investigate the genetic variation and population structure of Pacific herring in the Yellow Sea and the genetic differentiation between the Yellow Sea and the Sea of Japan,fragments of 479-bp mitochondrial DNA control region were sequenced for 110 individuals collected from three different periods in the Yellow Sea and one locality in the Sea of Japan.High haplotype diversity and moderate nucleotide diversity were observed in Pacific herring.AMOVA and exact test of population differentiation showed no significant genetic differentiations among the three populations of the Yellow Sea and suggested the populations can be treated as a single panmictic stock in the Yellow Sea.However,a large and significant genetic differentiation(WST50.11;P50.00) was detected between the populations in the Yellow Sea and the Sea of Japan.The high sea water temperature in the Tsushima Strait was thought a barrier to block the gene exchange between populations of the two sea areas.The neutrality tests and mismatch distribution indicated recent population expansion in Pacific herring.  相似文献   

13.
Based on the NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction) data, the relationship between the Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (SSTAs) in the North Pacific and the atmospheric circulation anomalies in January 2008 is analyzed in this study. The SSTA mode most correlated with the Geopotential Height anomalies (GHAs) in January 2008 in the North Pacific exhibited a basin-wide horseshoe pattern with a warm center in November 2007. This persistent SSTA pattern would induce positive GHAs in the Aleutian Low area and East Asia and the northward extension of the West Pacific Subtropical High in January 2008 by maximum diabatic heating in the atmosphere over the Kuroshio Oyashio Extension (KOE) area, leading to the occurence of the circumpolar trough-ridge wave train anomaly in January 2008.  相似文献   

14.
We analyzed interdecadal variability of the South China Sea monsoon and its relationship with latent heat flux in the Pacific Ocean, using NCEP wind field and OAFlux heat flux datasets. Results indicate that South China Sea monsoon intensity had an obvious interdecadal variation with a decreasing trend. Variability of the monsoon was significantly correlated with latent heat flux in the Kuroshio area and tropical Pacific Ocean. Variability of latent heat flux in the Kuroshio area had an interdecadal increasing trend, while that in the tropical Pacific Ocean had an interdecadal decreasing trend. Latent heat flux variability in these two sea areas was used to establish a latent heat flux index, which had positive correlation with variability of the South China Sea monsoon. When the latent heat flux was 18 months ahead of the South China Sea monsoon, the correlation coefficient maximized at 0.58 (N=612), with a 99.9% significance level of 0.15. Thus, it is suggested that latent heat flux variability in the two areas contributes greatly to interdecadal variability of the South China Sea monsoon.  相似文献   

15.
INTRODUCTIONPolarlowsareintensemeso scalecyclonesthatformincoldairstreamsofthepolarairmass.Theyhavehorizontalscalesoftheorderofseveralhundredkilometers;severalhourstoseveraldayslifecycles;andusuallydevelopoverhighlatitudeoceansinwinter,forexample ,theGulfofAlaska(1 3 5-1 60°W ,50 -60°N) ,theBarentsSea (2 0 -50°E ,65-75°N) ,theLabradorSea (50 -60°W ,55-65°N)andtheNorwegianSea (5°W -1 0°E ,60 -70°N) .Onsatelliteimages ,polarlowsareoftencharacterizedbytight,spiralcloudpatterns…  相似文献   

16.
The sea ice cover in the Arctic Ocean has been reducing and hit the low record in the summer of 2007. The anomaly was extremely large in the Pacific sector. The sea level height in the Bering Sea vs. the Greenland Sea has been analyzed and compared with the current meter data through the Bering Strait. A recent peak existed as a consequence of atmospheric circulation and is considered to contribute to inflow of the Pacific Water into the Arctic Basin. The timing of the Pacific Water inflow matched with the sea ice reduction in the Pacific sector and suggests a significant increase in heat flux. This component should be included in the model prediction for answering the question when the Arctic sea ice becomes a seasonal ice cover.  相似文献   

17.
本文对1949年以来出现的10次ENSO事件进行了分析,得出如下结果:开始於东太平洋增暖和中大平洋增暖的两类ENSO现象分别对应四川地区粮食产量的减产和增产。此结果对四川地区粮食生产政策的制定及产量的预测研究均有较重要的参考价值。  相似文献   

18.
The nature decadal variability of the equatorial Pacific subsurface temperature is examined in the control simulation with the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory coupled model CM2.1.The dominant mode of the subsurface temperature variations in the equator Pacific features a 20-40 year period and is North-South asymmetric about the equator.Decadal variations of the thermocline are most pronounced in the southwest of the Tropical Pacific.Decadal variation of the north-south asymmetric Sea Surface wind in the tropical Pacific,especially in the South Pacific Convergence,is the dominant mechanism of the nature decadal variation of the subsurface temperature in the equatorial Pacific.  相似文献   

19.
Journal of Oceanology and Limnology - The Yellow Sea (YS) and East China Sea (ECS) are important marginal seas of the western Pacific. Understanding the dynamics of methane (CH4) in the YS and ECS...  相似文献   

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