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1.
根据气象常规观测资料、湛江新一代天气雷达资料、CFL-08风廓线雷达资料及卫星云图,分析2012年4月20日粤西沿海特大暴雨的天气环流形势、能量场、对流不稳定度、水汽输送和辐合辐散等环境特征及物理量场特征。结果表明:这次暴雨过程粤西地区共经历两次强降水过程,分别是受飑线系统、以及高空槽和低空切变影响;西南低空急流的出现有利于粤西暴雨的形成、维持和发展;暴雨过程粤西上空垂直累积液水含量达25~30g/m2;暴雨期间风向随高度明显逆转,有冷平流输送;约2.0 km高度以下低空急流的下传和增强与暴雨的产生有密切关系;短时间内多普勒天气雷达的速度回波低层辐合区域远远大于辐散区域是可能产生强降水的标志。  相似文献   

2.
为了探索川西南山地大暴雨天气发生发展的机制,利用实况观测资料、NCEP再分析资料和卫星云图对2012年8月30~31日发生在凉山州北部的一次致洪局地大暴雨过程进行了中尺度诊断征分析。结果表明:此次局地大暴雨过程是在有利的环流背景下,由两高之间的切变和较强的西南低空急流共同作用产生的。暴雨区位于能量锋南侧,中低层不稳定能量丰富;垂直方向上相对涡度显著增大,低层辐合、高层辐散并伴随强烈的上升运动成为暴雨发生重要的动力条件;显著增大的水汽通量与强水汽辐合是大暴雨天气发生的重要水汽条件。MCS维持时间较长且稳定少动是导致暴雨的直接原因;近地层的中尺度辐合线是触发强对流的关键因子。  相似文献   

3.
应用1°×1°NCEP全球再分析资料,采用非静力中尺度数值模式MM5(V3.6)对2003年6月发生在低纬高原地区一次特大暴雨过程进行数值模拟.分析表明:500hPa流场两高辐合形成的鞍型场是MβCSs发生的有利的环流条件;700hPa孟加拉湾气旋和中心位于湖北的反气旋外围偏南气流提供了有利的水汽条件;500hPaβ中尺度扰动和700hPa气流辐合是MβCSs产生的直接影响系统;低层暖湿高层干冷的配置、剧烈的垂直上升运动,低层辐合中高层辐散、高低空急流的耦合、高能高湿的不稳定能量、地形的抬升作用有利于诱发中尺度对流系统;本次强降水过程MβCSs的生命史较短,较强不稳定能量的迅速释放是本次降水突发性强、强度大、历史短的主要原因.  相似文献   

4.
2013年7月7~11日,四川盆地大部分地区出现了持续性强降雨天气(以下简称四川“7.9”暴雨).此次过程的降水中心稳定少动、降水强度及总量大、持续时间长,累积降水量最高达到了1000ram以上,造成严重灾害.为分析位于孟加拉湾地区的大气河对四川“7.9”暴雨的影响.利用NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,通过研究孟加拉湾大气河水汽对这次暴雨的作用及影响,得到的结果表明:此次持续性暴雨过程中,孟加拉湾大气河受西太平洋副高东撤影响,并在200 hPa和850 hPa高低空急流的共同作用下,不断向四川地区输送水汽.这种水汽输送一直持续到11日才停止,此时降水也趋于结束.在整个暴雨过程中,850 hPa上孟加拉湾大气河输送的水汽由于云贵高原阻挡,而绕开云贵高原在南海地区与西太副高外围的水汽以及南半球的越赤道气流汇合后,在低空急流左侧辐合气流作用下输送到四川盆地,为暴雨产生提供水汽.同时,700 hPa上的水汽直接越过云贵高原到达四川盆地.孟加拉湾大气河的这两种输送方式为四川盆地持续性暴雨提供了充足的水汽供应.  相似文献   

5.
利用NCEP的1°×1°再分析资料、FY-2E逐小时TBB资料以及常规气象观测资料,对湘中地区2010年5月12-13日大暴雨过程的环流形势、物理量场以及中尺度系统进行综合分析,试图从多角度揭示这次大暴雨天气的成因。结果表明:高空南支槽,中低层切变以及地面冷空气是这次大暴雨天气过程的主要影响系统;低空急流作为暖湿气流的载体,为暴雨的产生提供了充足的能量条件和水汽条件;冷空气侵入高能不稳定的暖湿气团,是触发暴雨不稳定能量释放的热力机制;z-螺旋度的空间分布能反映暴雨发生时大气的动力特征,中低层强辐合,高层强辐散与低层正涡度的空间结构,有利于高低层形成"抽吸作用",从而使上升运动得到发展和加强,为暴雨的产生提供有利的动力条件;高分辨率的云顶亮温TBB资料对降水的强度及落区有很好的指示意义。  相似文献   

6.
2011年7月陕西一次区域性暴雨过程分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
为了探索陕西区域性暴雨发生发展的机制,提高暴雨预报准确率,利用实况高空观测、自动站观测资料和NCEP1°×1°格点资料,采用天气学诊断方法,对2011年7月28日陕西区域性暴雨过程进行分析。结果表明:500hPa西风槽、西太平洋副热带高压、700hPa及其以下的切变是这次暴雨的主要影响系统,低层大风速带和南海台风的远距离作用是暴雨增幅的重要因子;暴雨区具有强的能量锋和对流不稳定,降水产生在850hPa温湿能等值线密集区偏高值一侧;水汽主要来源于孟加拉湾和南海台风外围;辐合、辐散中心下移是强降水即将发生的一个信号,850hPa以下出现比湿猛增现象对位于秦岭以北的渭河流域暴雨预报有一定指导意义。  相似文献   

7.
利用常规和加密观测资料、NCEP/NCAR再分析资料以及多普勒雷达资料,对2007年8月2日安徽北部地区发生的一次强对流天气过程进行综合分析.结果表明:中低空切变线是此次强对流天气的触发系统,地面湿度突变线对飑线的生成及发展具有指示意义.低层850hPa低涡较强的辐合,与位于高空大风速带入口区右侧的强辐散的耦合作用,导致强对流天气发生区上空生成次级反环流圈.该反环流圈从北(南)方携带干冷(暖湿)气流下沉(上升),两者交汇进而引发强对流天气的发生.在雷达回波上,飑线生成前期,少数单体不连续地排列成线,但并未连通;飑线生成后,带状特征清晰,并且反射率因子大,多处呈现三体钉状散射体;速度回波上有成熟阶段的速度模糊现象以及消亡阶段出现的逆风区.雹暴的回波具有明显的V型缺口以及速度场上风速的辐合,当逼近雷达测站时,测站上空速度场上出现了牛眼结构.  相似文献   

8.
利用NCEP的1°×1°再分析资料、FY-2E逐小时TBB资料以及常规气象观测资料,对湘中地区2010年5月12—13日大暴雨过程的环流形势、物理量场以及中尺度系统进行综合分析,试图从多角度揭示这次大暴雨天气的成因。结果表明:高空南支槽,中低层切变以及地面冷空气是这次大暴雨天气过程的主要影响系统;低空急流作为暖湿气流的载体,为暴雨的产生提供了充足的能量条件和水汽条件;冷空气侵入高能不稳定的暖湿气团,是触发暴雨不稳定能量释放的热力机制;z-螺旋度的空间分布能反映暴雨发生时大气的动力特征,中低层强辐合,高层强辐散与低层正涡度的空间结构,有利于高低层形成“抽吸作用”,从而使上升运动得到发展和加强,为暴雨的产生提供有利的动力条件;高分辨率的云顶亮温TBB资料对降水的强度及落区有很好的指示意义。  相似文献   

9.
对2012年8月19~21日西藏持续性强降水天气过程的成因进行分析。利用加密地面观测资料、FY一2C卫星TBB资料、常规观测资料和NCEP 1°×1°再分析资料,对2012年8月19--21日西藏持续性强降水天气过程进行诊断和中尺度特征分析。此次强降水天气过程是在稳定的径向型环流背景下产生的,巴尔喀什湖附近东移南下的短波槽和500hPa低涡切变是造成此次降水过程的主要影响系统,西太平洋副热带高压边缘的西南暖湿气流为降水过程提供r有利的水汽条件;β中尺度对流云团的先后影响,为强对流发展提供了必要的热力、动力条件;而中层冷空气的侵入和强的垂直风切变加剧了大气层结的不稳定,为降水天气提供了有利的条件。该研究为西藏夏季降水的相关预报预测提供科学依据。  相似文献   

10.
采用天气学、动力诊断等方法对2010年7月陕西出现两次大暴雨过程综合分析。目的在于揭示近海台风活动对陕西区域性暴雨作用和影响,结果表明:近海台风活动是影响造成两次大暴雨的一个关键因子。两次暴雨的水汽输送均由登陆后的台风低压环流东侧的偏南急流来实现,且以700hPa表现最为显著。前一次暴雨过程中热力条件和高层抽吸对增强上升运动和对流作用明显。后一次暴雨过程是因持续、深厚和稳定少动的河套低压自身不断发展加深的作用,加剧了上升运动发展,其上升运动区与暴雨区吻合较好。  相似文献   

11.
知识型企业中创造型团队的管理   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
主要对知识型企业中团队问题进行了研究。从团队领导、团队结构以及团队协作与企业家精神的关系等方面讨论了在知识型企业中建立创造型团队的重要性,并相应提出了人力资源政策建议。  相似文献   

12.
Characteristics from a hydrodynamic model of a trapezoidal artificial reef   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
Flume experiments and numerical simulation were conducted to characterize the hydrodynamics of a trapezoid artificial reef. Measurements in particle image velocimetry were conducted to observe the formation of upwelling and vortices; and forces for the reef model were measured by load cell. The results of flume experiments agree well with the numerical data. In addition, the flow structure around a reef combining trapezoidal and cubic blocks was simulated numerically under two deployment schemes, showing a more complicated flow structure than that of a stand-alone reef. Relationship between drag coefficient and Reynolds number suggest that the degree of turbulence can be assessed from the value of drag coefficient downstream from the reef. The role of the reef in water flow is to reduce flow velocity and generate turbulence.  相似文献   

13.
Based on the principle of turned mass damper(TMD) systems,the conceptual design of semi-submersible platform with a moveable heave-plate(MHS) has been put forward.The heave motion response amplitude operator(RAO) and viscous damping of the MHS platform are calculated by iteration,and the coupling stiffness between the MHS hull and the heave-plate is optimized to decrease the maximum heave motion response of the MHS hull under 10-year survival conditions in the South China Sea.The nu-merical results indicate that the heave motion RAO of the MHS hull can be decreased in the range of predominant wave frequencies,which may provide some reference to the heave motion control of offshore platforms.  相似文献   

14.
A tunnel-type anchorage(TTA) is one of the main components in suspension bridges: the bearing mechanism is a key problem. Investigating the deformation characteristics, development law, and failure phenomenon of a TTA under load can provide the theoretical basis for a robust design. Utilizing the TTA of the Jinsha River suspension bridge at Lijiang Shangri-La railway as a prototype, a laboratory model test of the TTA was carried out for three different contact conditions between the anchorage body and the surrounding rock. The stress and deformation distribution law of the anchorage body and its surrounding rock were studied, and the ultimate bearing capacity and failure mode of the TTA were analyzed. The test results show that the compressive stress level is highest at the rear part of the anchorage body. Moving away from the rear portion of the body, the stress decays in a negative exponential function. Based on the load transfer curve, the calculation formula for the shear stress on the contact surface between the anchorage body and the surrounding rock was derived, which shows that the distribution of the shear stress along the axial direction of the anchorage body is not uniform. The distance from the maximum value to the loading surface is approximately 1/3 of the length of the anchorage body, and the stress decreases as the distance from the loading surface increases. Furthermore, the contact condition between the anchorage body and surrounding rock has a great influence on the bearing capacity of the TTA. The increase in the anti-skid tooth ridge and radial anchor bolt can improve the cooperative working capacity of the anchorage body and the surrounding rock, which is approximately 50% higher than that of the flat contact condition. The main function of the anchor bolt is to increase the overall rigidity of the TTA. The contact condition between the anchorage body and the surrounding rock will lead to a change in the failure mode of the TTA. With an increase in the degree of contact, the failure mode will change from shear sliding along the interface to trumpet-shaped inverted cone-shaped failure extending into the surrounding rock.  相似文献   

15.
This study aimed to produce a high-quality landslide susceptibility map for Teziutlán municipality, a landslide-prone region in Mexico, which is characterised by a depositional pyroclastic ramp. The heterogeneous quality of available topographic information(i.e. higher resolution digital elevation model only for a sub-region) encouraged to confront modelling results based on two different study area delineations and two raster resolutions. Input data was based on the larger modelling region L15(163 km2) and smaller S(70 km2; located inside L15) with an associated raster cell size of 15 m(region L15 and S15) and 5 m(region S5). The resulting three data sets(L15, S15 and S5) were included into three differently flexible modelling techniques(Generalized Linear Model-GLM, General Additive Model-GAM, Support Vector Machine-SVM) to produce nine landslide susceptibility models. Preceding variable selection was performed heuristically and supported by an exploratory data analysis. The final models were based on the explanatory variables slope angle, slope aspect, lithology, relative slope position, elevation, convergence index, distance to streams, distance to springs and topographic wetness index. The ability of the models to classify independent test data was elaborated using a k-fold cross validation procedure and the AUROC(Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic) metric. In general, all produced landslide susceptibility maps depicted the hillslopes of the ravines, which cut the pyroclastic ramp, as prone to landsliding. The modelling results showed that predictive performances(i.e. AUROC values) slightly increased with an increasing flexibility of the applied modelling technique. Thus, SVM performed best, while the GAM outperformed the GLM. This tendency was most distinctive when modelling with the largest landslide sample size(i.e. data set L15; n = 662 landslides). Non-linear classifiers(GAMs, SVMs) performed slightly better when trained on the basis of lower raster resolution(data set S15) compared to the 5 m counterparts(data set S5). Highest predictive performance was obtained for the model based on data set L15 and the SVM classifier(median AUROC: 0.82). However, SVMs also indicated the highest degree of model overfitting. This study indicates that the decision to delineate a study area, the selection of a raster resolution as well as the chosen classification technique can affect varying aspects of subsequent modelling results. The results do not support the assumption that a higher raster resolution(i.e. a more detailed digital representation of the terrain) inevitably leads to better performing or geomorphically more plausible landslide susceptibility maps.  相似文献   

16.
Reducing the threats of sulfate ion(SO_4~(2-))deposition to terrestrial ecosystems is a great challenge.The canopy interception effect on SO_4~(2-)deposition has been well documented,but the interception efficiency of the gap edge remains unknown.Therefore,a subalpine dragon spruce(Picea asperata) plantation was evaluated in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River.The dynamics of the SO_4~(2-) concentration in the throughfall were investigated from the gap edge to the closed canopy during the rainfall and snowfall periods from August 2015 to July 2016.The annual input of SO_4~(2-) totaled 2.56 kg/ha through rainfall and 0.69 kg/ha through snowfall.The total annual net interception fluxes(NIFs) of SO_4~(2-) at the gap edge and in the closed canopy were 1.48 kg/ha and 0.66 kg/ha,respectively,and the net interception ratios(NIRs) accounted for 45.40% and 20.25%,respectively.The NIF and the NIR of SO_4~(2-) at the gap edge were higher than those in the closed canopy.Therefore,the results suggested that a significant amount of SO_4~(2-) deposition was intercepted by the tree canopy in the subalpine plantation,with more SO_4~(2-) deposition at the gap edge than in the closed canopy,which is beneficial for improving the water quality in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River via forest management.  相似文献   

17.
18.
A finite difference model for solving Navier Stokes equations with turbulence taken into account is used to investigate viscous liquid sloshing-wave interaction with baffles in a tank. The volume-of-fluid and virtual boundary force methods are employed to simulate free surface flow interaction with structures. A liquid sloshing experimental apparatus was established to evaluate the accuracy of the proposed model, as well as to study nonlinear sloshing in a prismatic tank with the baffles. Damping effects of sloshing in a rectangular tank with bottom-mounted vertical baffles and vertical baffles touching the free surface are studied numerically and experimentally. Good agreement is obtained between the present numerical results and experimental data. The numerical results match well with the current experimental data for strong nonlinear sloshing with large free surface slopes. The reduction in sloshing-wave elevation and impact pressure induced by the bottom-mounted vertical baffle and the vertical baffle touching the free surface is estimated by varying the external excitation frequency and the location and height of the vertical baffle under horizontal excitation.  相似文献   

19.
The tidal asymmetry-induced siltation below tidal barriers is a worldwide problem that restricts regional socio-economic and environmental development. The hydrodynamic processes of the small mud estuary also feature a high uncertainty after estuary restoration measures. In this study, a hydrodynamic model based on the MIKE21 is used to quantify the responses of tidal asymmetry to a two-phase restoration project in Shuanglong Estuary, Bohai Bay, China. According to the numerical modeling results, the tidal flat removal in the upper estuary(first-phase restoration) induces the flood asymmetry switching to the ebb asymmetry in unrestored reach but enhances flood asymmetry in widening restored reach. Although the tidal asymmetry reverts to flood-dominated pattern after full restoration over the estuary, the imbalance between flood and ebb velocities is relieved. A possible net sediment transport pattern based on a comparison of dominant asymmetric current and actual sediment transport period shows net sediments in the upper estuary and inlet transport seaward and landward, respectively, in the first-phase restoration, whereas landward net sediment transport occurs in the whole estuary under the second-phase restoration scenario. Given these results, we assume that a switch from the flood-dominated estuary to ebb-dominated estuary can be caused by redesigning the cross-sectional profile. The quantitative comparison of Lagrangian residual currents also implies that a channel–shoal structure rather than a flat bathymetry can promote the mass transport. Therefore, reshaping the channel–tidal flat system in restoration projects can prevent the sedimentation of the estuary and improve the water environment.  相似文献   

20.
A colluvial landslide in a debris flow valley is a typical phenomena and is easily influenced by rainfall. The direct destructiveness of this kind of landslide is small, however, if failure occurs the resulting blocking of the channel may lead to a series of magnified secondary hazards. For this reason it is important to investigate the potential response of this type of landslide to rainfall. In the present paper, the Goulingping landslide, one of the colluvial landslides in the Goulingping valley in the middle of the Bailong River catchment in Gansu Province, China, was chosen for the study. Electrical Resistivity Tomography (ERT), Terrestrial Laser Scanning (TLS), together with traditional monitoring methods, were used to monitor changes in water content and the deformation of the landslide caused by rainfall. ERT was used to detect changes in soil water content induced by rainfall. The most significant findings were as follows:(1) the water content in the centralupper part (0~41 m) of the landslide was greater than in the central-front part (41~84 m) and (2) there was a relatively high resistivity zone at depth within the sliding zone. The deformation characteristics at the surface of the landslide were monitored by TLS and the results revealed that rainstorms caused three types of deformation and failure: (1) gully erosion at the slope surface; (2) shallow sliding failure; (3) and slope foot erosion. Subsequent monitoring of continuous changes in pore-water pressure, soil pressure and displacement (using traditional methods) indicated that long duration light rainfall (average 2.22 mm/d) caused the entire landslide to enter a state of creeping deformation at the beginning of the rainy season. Shear-induced dilation occurred for the fast sliding (30.09 mm/d) during the critical failure sub-phase (EF). Pore-water pressure in the sliding zone was affected by rainfall. In addition, the sliding L1 parts of the landslide exerted a discontinuous pressure on the L2 part. Through the monitoring and analysis, we conclude that this kind of landslide may have large deformation at the beginning and the late of the rainy season.  相似文献   

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